Service Plays Saturday 4/17/10

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Dunkel MLB


Today's MLB Picks

Florida at Philadelphia

The Phillies look to follow up last night's 8-6 win and build on their 7-1 record in Jamie Moyer's last 8 starts after scoring 5 or more runs in the previous game. Philadelphia is the pick (-115) according to Dunkel, which has the Phillies favored by 1/2 a run. Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-115). Here are all of today's picks.

SATURDAY, APRIL 17
Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST

Game 901-902: Houston at Chicago Cubs
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Oswalt) 14.471; Cubs (Gorzelanny) 14.007
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-135); No Total
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+115); N/A

Game 903-904: Milwaukee at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Wolf) 14.626; Washington (Hernandez) 15.200
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-160); 9
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+140); Over

Game 905-906: NY Mets at St. Louis
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Santana) 14.866; St. Louis (Garcia) 14.944
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-110); 8
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-110); Over

Game 907-908: San Francisco at LA Dodgers
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Lincecum) 15.672; LA Dodgers (Haeger) 16.034
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-160); 7
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (+140); Over

Game 909-910: Florida at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: Florida (Nolasco) 15.393; Philadelphia (Moyer) 15.848
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1/2; 11
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-115); 10
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-115); Over

Game 911-912: Cincinnati at Pittsburgh
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Cueto) 14.420; Pittsburgh (McCutchen) 14.288
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 913-914: Colorado at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Jimenez) 15.478; Atlanta (Kawakami) 14.879
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Colorado (-115); 8
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-115);

Game 915-916: Arizona at San Diego
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Benson) 14.741; San Diego (Correia) 14.728
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: San Diego (-135); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+115); Over

Game 917-918: LA Angels at Toronto
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Saunders) 15.566; Toronto (Tallet) 15.416
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-115); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-115); Under

Game 919-920: Texas at NY Yankees
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Feldman) 16.170; NY Yankees (Burnett) 15.650
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-185); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas (+165); Under

Game 921-922: Kansas City at Minnesota
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Meche) 15.109; Minnesota (Blackburn) 17.058
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 2; 10
Vegas Line: Minnesota (-180); 9
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-180); Over

Game 923-924: Baltimore at Oakland
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Guthrie) 14.487; Oakland (Duchscherer) 14.742
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Oakland (-165); 8
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-165); Over

Game 925-926: Chicago White Sox at Cleveland
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Peavy) 14.899; Cleveland (Westbrook) 14.915
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-135); 8
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+115); Over

Game 927-928: Tampa Bay at Boston
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Shields) 14.709; Boston (Buchholz) 16.616
Dunkel Line: Boston by 2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Boston (-130); 9
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-130); Under

Game 929-930: Detroit at Seattle
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Verlander) 14.799; Seattle (Rowland-Smith) 14.607
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Detroit (-130); 7
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-130); Over

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Dunkel NBA


Today's NBA Picks

Utah at Denver

The Nuggets look to build on their 7-1 ATS record in their last 8 playoff games as a favorite from 5 to 10 1/2 points. Denver is the pick (-5) according to Dunkel, which has the Nuggets favored by 6 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Denver (-5). Here are all of today's picks.

SATURDAY, APRIL 17
Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST

Game 701-702: Chicago at Cleveland
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 115.383; Cleveland 127.832
Dunkel Line & Total: Cleveland by 12 1/2; 189
Vegas Line & Total: Cleveland by 11; 191 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-11); Under

Game 703-704: Milwaukee at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee 117.004; Atlanta 124.400
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 7 1/2; 191
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 9; 186
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+9); Over

Game 705-706: Miami at Boston
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 122.123; Boston 119.532
Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 2 1/2; 182
Vegas Line & Total: Boston by 4 1/2; 185
Dunkel Pick: Miami (+4 1/2); Under

Game 707-708: Utah at Denver
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 118.165; Denver 124.905
Dunkel Line & Total: Denver by 6 1/2; 212
Vegas Line & Total: Denver by 5; 207 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Denver (-5); Over

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Dunkel NHL

Today's NHL Picks

Montreal at Washington

The Capitals look to bounce back from their Game 1 loss and take advantage of a Montreal team that is 1-8 in its last 9 playoff games as an underdog. Washington is the pick (-335) according to Dunkel, which has the Caps favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Washington (-335). Here are all of today's picks.

SATURDAY, APRIL 17
Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST

Game 1-2: Boston at Buffalo
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 12.115; Buffalo 13.143
Dunkel Line & Total: Buffalo by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Buffalo (-155); 5
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (-135); Over

Game 3-4: Montreal at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: Montreal 11.214; Washington 12.350
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 1; 7
Vegas Line & Total: Washington (-335); 6
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-335); Over

Game 5-6: Los Angeles at Vancouver
Dunkel Ratings: Los Angeles 11.145; Vancouver 12.211
Dunkel Line & Total: Vancouver by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Vancouver (-180); 5
Dunkel Pick: Vancouver (-180); Over

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MTi

4.5* Hawks -8.5

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Marc Lawrence

Atlanta Braves +105 - MLB Superpick

Atlanta Hawks -8.5pts - 110 - NBA PLayoff System

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Rudy NYC Sports Plays of the Day -04/17/10

Matinee Games:

907 Saturday, 4/17/2010 San Francisco Giants (-152) 2 units
4:10pm EST @ Los Angeles Dodgers

---------------------------------------------------

921 Saturday, 4/17/2010 Minnesota Twins/Kansas City Royals Over 9.0 3 units
1:10pm EST @ Minnesota Twins

---------------------------------------------------

922 Saturday, 4/17/2010 Minnesota Twins (RL -1.5 +117) 2 units
1:10pm EST @ Minnesota Twins

 

[1drmain]

jeff benton saturday

1-0 last night 19-23-1 MINUS 100 dimes since my debut.

Saturday's Action 20 Dime: HAWKS

5 DIME: BULLS


Hawks

I kind of feel bad for the Milwaukee Bucks, who were the feel-good story of the NBA’s second half, winning 30 of their final 44 games to reach the playoffs for the first time since 2006. With a couple of weeks left in the regular season, I had the Bucks pegged as a team that could make some legit postsaason noise. Then center Andrew Bogut went down with a series of season-ending injuries to his shoulder, arm and hand, and for all intents and purposes, Milwaukee’s playoff chances went into the toilet.

Yeah, I know Milwaukee “bucked” up and won five of seven down the stretch without Bogut (including a victory over the Suns in the game Bogut got hurt). But first off, that was the regular season; this is the playoffs. Secondly, look at who the Bucks beat: Other than the Suns, they defeated the Bulls, Nets and 76ers, plus a meaningless 11-point win in Boston in Wednesday’s regular-season finale when the Celtics rested a bunch of guys. The two losses without Bogut came in back-to-back home games to the fully-manned Celtics (105-90) and these Hawks (104-96).

Look inside that loss to Atlanta and you’ll see that Milwauksee got six points and 10 rebounds out of Bogut’s replacement (Kurt Thomas), while Hawks center Al Horford had 13 points and 12 rebounds in just 25 minutes (he was in foul trouble). In two previous regular-season meetings with Atlanta when Bogut was in the lineup, the Bucks won 98-95 as a six-point home underdog and took the Hawks to overtime, losing 106-102 and covering as an 8½-point ‘dog. In those two contests, Bogut had a combined 23 points and 20 rebounds, while Horford had 29 points and 22 rebounds. So it was pretty much a push. The point is that Tim Thomas or whomever else Bucks coach Scott Skiles sticks in the post isn’t going to be able to play Horford even-up, or anything close to it.

Few other things to consider about this matchup: While the Bucks were a spread-covering machine in the regular season (no team was better), the playoffs are a different beast. Besides, most of those spread-covers came with Bogut on the court. What’s more important to me is the fact that Milwaukee was a sub-.500 road team this year (13-28), while the Hawks went 34-7 at Philips Arena, including a rock-solid 25-16 ATS.

Also, the Hawks ended an eight-year postseason drought two years ago and since then they’ve played seven home playoff games, going 6-1 SU and ATS with an average margin of victory of 11.8 ppg. That included a 3-0 SU and ATS run at home against the eventual-champion Celtics two years ago. In fact, the winner has covered the spread at a 17-0-1 clip in Atlanta’s playoff games the last two years.

Lastly, the favorite has dominated the Hawks-Bucks series recently, going 9-3-1 ATS in the last 13 meetings. And in the last 15 meetings, the SU winner is 11-3-1 ATS. That means whatever team prevails in this game almost certainly will cover the number – I’m 100 percent confident that team will be the Hawks!


Bulls

One of the things I love to do in the playoffs, regardless of sport, is back underdogs that needed to fight, scratch and claw in the final weeks of the regular season to earn their postseason slot when those teams are facing opponents that put it on cruise control down the stretch. And this matchup fits that philosophy to a tee.

Chicago was in win-or-go-home mode for much of the final two weeks of the season. And although it was ugly at times (including an inexcusable loss at the Nets with just three games to go), the Bulls got the job done. They followed up the Nets loss with three straight wins and covers, including a blowout road win against the team (Toronto) that was fighting them for the final playoff spot. That three-game winning streak was part of an overall 10-4 SU run to end the regular season. And that 10-4 run included a 5-1 road record (only loss was in that a letdown situation at New Jersey 24 hours after a huge one-point win over these Cavs).

The Bulls were also a moneymaker over the final month of the campaign, going 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games, including 7-1 ATS in their last eight on the road. The Cavs, on the other hand, sent people to the poorhouse all season long. They ended the year 38-43-1 ATS, including 16-25 ATS in their home building. And as a favorite of nine points or more this year, the Cavs are just 12-19 ATS, going 2-6 ATS in their last eight when laying 11 points or more.

I know I just stated above that the playoffs are a different beast and you shouldn’t put too much stock into regular-season trends, and I stand by that. But while Chicago is playoff-ready, the Cavaliers haven’t taken part in a meaningful game in two weeks, and LeBron James hasn’t played a single minute in the last four games (he last suited up on April 6). Obviously, James is such a freak athletically that the layoff likely won’t affect his ability to get to the rim and such. But I wouldn’t be at all surprised if he struggled with his outside shot and his free throws.

Two final points to make: These teams split their four-game season series, including a one-point Bulls win at Cleveland (as an 11½-point underdog) when LeBron played. And the ‘dog is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings. Finally, last year the Bulls went into the playoffs as a huge underdog against the defending-champion Celtics and they took them to seven games, including a Game 1 overtime victory in Boston (Chicago cashed in the first three road games in that series).

Do I see another Game 1 upset by Chicago here? I’d be shocked, honestly. But can the Bulls be competitive? Absolutely, especially since all the pressure is on LeBron and the Cavs. Grab the points.

 

[goldencontender]

Saturday Mlb System play-GC

<TABLE border=0 cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=3><TBODY><TR><TD>Sport:</TD><TD>MLB</TD></TR><TR><TD>Game:</TD><TD>Detroit at Seattle</TD></TR><TR><TD>Date/Time:</TD><TD>4/17/2010 9:10PM EST</TD></TR><TR><TD>Bonus Play:</TD><TD>Detroit</TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=top>Reason:</TD><TD>On Saturday the Bonus Play is on the Detroit Tigers. Game 929 at 9:10 eastern. The Tigers are coming off a blowout loss last night courtesy of a Seattle Mariners team who finally put a big number up on the board. Tonight the Tigers have hard throwing Justin Verlander going tonight. Verlander is 6-3 with a solid 3.36 era in 9 starts vs Seattle. The Mariners counter with Lefty Rowland-Smith. In his 2 starts vs the Tigers Rowland-Smith is 0-2 with a 5.23 era. The Tigers are better suited against lefty's and Seattle qualifies in a negative system that plays against certain home dogs who were home favorites in their last game that won by 5+ runs vs an opponent who lost on the road by 5+ runs if the posted total tonight is 8 or less. Look for Detroit to even the series up tonight. On Saturday I have 2 Big NBA System plays,one a double system side, the other a rare 18-2 playoff system. In bases we have cashed big 2 straight nights cashing another big one on the Angels on Friday as well as our big 2 team parlay. For the Bonus Play take the Tigers BOL GC</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Rocketman

3* Cinn -135 (7:05)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Billy Coleman

4* Minn/Bos ov185 (8:00) NBA
3* Bos -4 (8:00) NBA

3* Minn -1.5 +110 (1:10)
3* Hou +115 (1:05)
3* LAD +140 (4:10)
Bonus Play: Col -110 (7:10)

5* Buff/Bos un5 (1:00) NHL
3* Wash -1.5 -110 puck line (7:00) NHL

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Wicked Good Wagers 04.17.2010


Here are today's picks:

Boxing

Kelly Pavlik ML (-170)

NHL

Washington Capitals PICK (pricey, but worth every penny)

MLB

Chicago Cubs PICK
Oakland Athletics PICK

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

JSM Sports

10* Diamond
8* Premium
5* Selection
2* Action


[925]Chicago|8*|-130|B+0|Network N/A|4:10pm EST

[924]Oakland|5*|-160|B+0|Network N/A|4:05pm EST

[929]Detroit|5*|-130|B+0|Network N/A|9:10pm EST

[708]Denver|5*|-5|B+0|TNT|10:30pm EST

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mike Cannon

30 Bulls
10 Heat
10 Reds Runline

 

[tinfw17]

mreast mlb saturday freight train

#909 florida marlins @ #910 philadelphia phillies 7:05pm edt

play on #910 philadelphia phillies -1.5 +190 for 3 units

 

[justwannawin]

Big punk bases

kc +170

fla/phil under 10 +105

az +120

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Sports Betting Professor
MLB VOL 1.0

Chicago Cubs -142

St. Louis Cardinals -107

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Win or Lose Sports Betting

Major League Baseball
Rot# Team Spread Line Wager
903 MIL ML -154 $10
906 STL ML -107 $9
913 COLO ML -112 $18
917 LAA ML -107 $12
920 NYY ML -180 $5
922 MINN ML -173 $6
924 OAK -1.5 +125 $7
925 CWS ML -127 $14


National Hockey League
Rot# Team Spread Line Wager
2 BUFF ML -151 $7
5 LA ML +168 $5
5 LA +1.5 -185 $6

National Basketball Association
Rot# Team Spread Line Wager
708 DEN -5.5 -105 $6

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Johnny Guild

Saturday, April 17th, 2010 8:00 PM EST.
(5) Miami Heat (0-0) at (4) Boston Celtics (0-0)
Miami's stingy defense will make this a close battle. The Heat are allowing an average of just 94.2 points per game. Take the points in a low scoring battle. Miami won their last eight road games by an average of 13.3 points, going 7-1 ATS.
Boston is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games at home and the road team in this series is 4-1 ATS in the last five clashes. The total has gone “under” in 11 of Miami's last 16 games in Boston.

Miami Heat +4
Under - 185

Saturday, April 17th, 2010 5:30 PM EST.
(6) Milwaukee Bucks (0-0) at (3) Atlanta Hawks (0-0) Over - 186

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mr A

Philadelphia Phillies -115
Cleveland Cavaliers -11
Denver Nuggets -5

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

DICEITUPONLINE
HAMMER

MLB: Wash. +140 = 10 Dimes
MLB: Oakland -160 = 20 Dimes
MLB: Mets/St.Louis Under 8 = 10 Dimes
MLB: Arizona/San Diego Over 7.5 = 20 Dimes

NHL: LA/Vanc Over 5 -130 = 20 Dimes

NBA: Miami/Boston Over 185 = 15 Dimes
NBA: Utah +5.5 = 15 Dimes