VEGAS RUNNER
VR's Morning Moves | NBA Sides Sat, 04/10/10 - 10:35 PM Œ�
double-dime bet 516 LAC -2.0 (-110) Bodog vs 515 GSW
Analysis: †
** NBA MORNING MOVES 2* PERSONAL PLAY **
LA CLIPPERS -2....(2*)
*** This Line Has Dropped to -1 or PK...The Reason for This is a "Buy-Back/Middle Attempt"...Outfits Had Forced the Adjustment Upwards Early and Now Took the Other Side...NO WORRIES...I Just Hope You Can Get an Even BETTER LINE That Listed Above ***
We are getting a ton of Value by backing the Clippers in this spot...In fact, the last time that Golden St. came to town...the Clippers were installed as a -5.5 pt Favorite...Granted, the Warriors beat them...but the bottom line is that we are looking at a huge adjustment this time around...
More importantly, the Clippers are actually a .500 team at home...And based on their 27-52 Overall Record, that tells us they have a pretty strong "Home-Court Edge"...Because Home Court Edge is determined by how much of an edge a team gets when playing at home, when compared to how they play on the Road...So in the Clippers case...that Edge is HUGE...
On the flip side...the Warriors have managed to win only 7 of 32 games on the Road...And we took advantage of that when they lost to the Wizards earlier this week...
So let's go ahead and take another position against the Warriors on the Road...By backing the Home Team and laying the very small spot...VR
vegas-runner | MLB Money Line Sat, 04/10/10 - 7:10 PM Œ�
double-dime bet 978 KAN (+110) Bookmaker.com vs 977 BOS
Analysis:
*** MLB 2* PERSONAL PLAY **
KC ROYALS +110....(2*)....GREINKE over Beckett
The last time Greinke pitched at home against the Red Sox...he was installed as a -160 Favorite...And even though I don't think he shožuld be that high when his opponent on the mound is Beckett...the bottom line is that he still shouldn't be made a Dog...So this is a price based on "perception" and not based on "probability"...
The RedSox have now lost 3 straight, since winning on opening night...And even though they will end up as one of the top teams of 2010 in the AL...right now, they are not clicking on all cylinders, while the Royals have put up an OPS of .721 & .879 in their L/2...
In his last outing Beckett only lasted 4.2 Innings...and just didn't look like he's in top form early on...So let's take the generous "plus money" and the Home Team...by backing the Royals and their Ace on Sat Night...VR
vegas-runner | MLB Money Line Sat, 04/10/10 - 7:05 PM Œ�
triple-dime bet 976 BAL (-140) Sportbet vs 975 TOR
Analysis:
*** MLB 3* BOOKIE BET *** (Confirmed "BIG SLICK BET" by Bookie Bill)
ORIOLES -140....(3*)....HERNANDEZ over Eveland
When Bookie Bill told me that he had a Big Slick Bet in MLB for Saturday...I was re¬ally excited because we all saw just how much Damage his Slicks did in MLB last season...And they started the 2010 Season with a nice Winner earlier this week...But when he told me it was the Orioles...I was really amped up because that was one of the positions that I was already going to try and confirm for Saturday's action...as I believe that based on my "projection/model"...we are getting the best of it, all the way up to -155...So I have no problem at all making this our 3* BOOKIE BET for Saturday..and seeing if we can improve on the 67% Win Rate over the L/2 Weeks...and see if Bill's Slicks can stay perfect on the young season...VR