Nick "BookieKiller" Parsons
7* Air Force +13.5
For a number of different reasons I believe the value in this contest is on Air Force
The Aztecs can finish in either third or fourth place in the standings depending on the outcomes of conference games today. The goal this season is to post a second consecutive 11-win league campaign. Wednesday night saw SDSU top Colorado State at home, 68-55, the team's fifth win in six tries and the 10th in 15 MWC opportunities.
Dominating in almost every ATS statistical category, it's important to note that this is a position that San Diego State does struggle in; 2-3 ATS vs. good defensive teams that only allow 64 points or less per contest.
On the other side of the court: The Falcons have struggled this year to say the least; they own the last place spot in the Mountain West Conference; they are out of contention for any other postseason play barring a miracle run though the league tournament; all that's left to play for today is for pride on Senior Night!
“There’s an Air Force basketball tradition, and finishing last—it hurts, it hurts a lot,” junior forward Tom Fow said. “Especially because every single one of these guys in the locker room, including myself, we bust our tails every single day. And it’s just not happening for us right now.”
Bottom line: I do expect AIR FORCE to play with some pride today, and also revenge as it was blown out 70-48 by the Aztecs earlier this season at Viejas Arena.
This line is simply too high; play on AIR FORCE!