NBA
Hot Teams
-- Clippers won five of their last six road games; homecoming for Paul, who went to Wake Forest.
-- 76ers are 4-1 as road favorite; this is only their second road game in last three weeks (lost last two at home).
-- Knicks won last four games, covered last seven.
-- Spurs won/covered their last six games.
-- Mavericks won five of their last six road games.
-- Sacramento won its last three home games, covered last seven games overall. Suns won three of their last four road games.
Cold Teams
-- Bobcats covered once in their last nine home games.
-- Indiana lost three of last four games, failed to cover last four at home. Nuggets lost five in row, seven of last eight games.
-- Cavaliers lost nine of their last thirteen games.
-- Minnesota is 2-6-1 vs spread as a home favorite.
-- Nets lost their last five games (0-4 vs spread last four).
-- Trailblazers covered once in six games as a road underdog.
-- Bucks are 3-4 in last seven home games (3-3 as home dog). Orlando is 4-6 in its last ten games (4-3 as road favorite).
Wear and Tear
-- Clippers: 3rd game/4 nites. Bobcats: 2nd nite in row after two off.
-- Nuggets: 7th game/10 nites. Pacers: 4th game/5 nites.
-- 76ers: 6th game/9 nites. Cavaliers: 4th game/5 nites.
-- Knicks: 3rd game/4 nites. Wolves: 4th game/5 nites.
-- Spurs: Had last two nites off. Nets: 6th game/9 nites.
-- Blazers: 3rd game/4 nites. Mavericks: 3rd game/4 nites.
-- Magic: 6th game/9 nites. Bucks: 4th game/5 nites.
-- Suns: 6th game/9 nites. Kings: 4th game/6 nites.
Totals
-- Four of last five Clipper games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last seven Denver road games went over the total.
-- Four of Philly's last five road games went over the total.
-- Under is 11-2 in New York's road games this season.
-- Last four New Jersey home games went over the total.
-- Under is 8-3 in Mavericks' last eleven home games.
-- Four of last five Orlando road games stayed under total.
-- Three of last four Sacramento home games went over.
Hot Teams
-- Clippers won five of their last six road games; homecoming for Paul, who went to Wake Forest.
-- 76ers are 4-1 as road favorite; this is only their second road game in last three weeks (lost last two at home).
-- Knicks won last four games, covered last seven.
-- Spurs won/covered their last six games.
-- Mavericks won five of their last six road games.
-- Sacramento won its last three home games, covered last seven games overall. Suns won three of their last four road games.
Cold Teams
-- Bobcats covered once in their last nine home games.
-- Indiana lost three of last four games, failed to cover last four at home. Nuggets lost five in row, seven of last eight games.
-- Cavaliers lost nine of their last thirteen games.
-- Minnesota is 2-6-1 vs spread as a home favorite.
-- Nets lost their last five games (0-4 vs spread last four).
-- Trailblazers covered once in six games as a road underdog.
-- Bucks are 3-4 in last seven home games (3-3 as home dog). Orlando is 4-6 in its last ten games (4-3 as road favorite).
Wear and Tear
-- Clippers: 3rd game/4 nites. Bobcats: 2nd nite in row after two off.
-- Nuggets: 7th game/10 nites. Pacers: 4th game/5 nites.
-- 76ers: 6th game/9 nites. Cavaliers: 4th game/5 nites.
-- Knicks: 3rd game/4 nites. Wolves: 4th game/5 nites.
-- Spurs: Had last two nites off. Nets: 6th game/9 nites.
-- Blazers: 3rd game/4 nites. Mavericks: 3rd game/4 nites.
-- Magic: 6th game/9 nites. Bucks: 4th game/5 nites.
-- Suns: 6th game/9 nites. Kings: 4th game/6 nites.
Totals
-- Four of last five Clipper games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last seven Denver road games went over the total.
-- Four of Philly's last five road games went over the total.
-- Under is 11-2 in New York's road games this season.
-- Last four New Jersey home games went over the total.
-- Under is 8-3 in Mavericks' last eleven home games.
-- Four of last five Orlando road games stayed under total.
-- Three of last four Sacramento home games went over.
SPORTS WAGERS
IOWA STATE -7½ over Texas A&M
4:00 PM EST. The Aggies have played better lately but it’s not showing up in the win column. A 2-4 record in their past six is not as weak as it may seem after facing some top tiered teams. They basically did what was expected record-wise but they did stay close to some of the top teams in the country. Now they'll travel to Iowa State after that difficult set of games. The Aggies are leaving the conference after this season so that last game against Texas was a farewell if you will. Texas/Texas A&M is one of the most historic rivalries in all of sports and the intensity level for the entire 40 minutes was extremely high. They have Texas Tech on deck, followed by a home game against Mizzou. The Aggies can't have much left in their tank right now. They also have key injuries to two of their best players and even if one or both go today, it's unlikely to matter. The Cyclones are right in the thick of this thing with a 7-4 conference mark. They're home for the first time since Jan 31, where they're 12-2. ISU just split its two-game trip to Oklahoma/Oklahoma St and can't afford to leave this one in doubt for a second. This is a quality Cyclones squad that can score and rebound. They should have little trouble beating an Aggies team that they manhandled on Jan 7th by a 70-54 count and against a visitor that is on an 0-5 road run, coming off its biggest game of the season. Play: #586 Iowa State -7½ (Risking 2.1 units to win 2).
Pass NBA
IOWA STATE -7½ over Texas A&M
4:00 PM EST. The Aggies have played better lately but it’s not showing up in the win column. A 2-4 record in their past six is not as weak as it may seem after facing some top tiered teams. They basically did what was expected record-wise but they did stay close to some of the top teams in the country. Now they'll travel to Iowa State after that difficult set of games. The Aggies are leaving the conference after this season so that last game against Texas was a farewell if you will. Texas/Texas A&M is one of the most historic rivalries in all of sports and the intensity level for the entire 40 minutes was extremely high. They have Texas Tech on deck, followed by a home game against Mizzou. The Aggies can't have much left in their tank right now. They also have key injuries to two of their best players and even if one or both go today, it's unlikely to matter. The Cyclones are right in the thick of this thing with a 7-4 conference mark. They're home for the first time since Jan 31, where they're 12-2. ISU just split its two-game trip to Oklahoma/Oklahoma St and can't afford to leave this one in doubt for a second. This is a quality Cyclones squad that can score and rebound. They should have little trouble beating an Aggies team that they manhandled on Jan 7th by a 70-54 count and against a visitor that is on an 0-5 road run, coming off its biggest game of the season. Play: #586 Iowa State -7½ (Risking 2.1 units to win 2).
Pass NBA
Totals4U 2/11
Kansas State/Texas under 133
Orlando/Milwaukee under 188 1/2
-------------------
Denver/Indiana under 200
Philadelphia/Cleveland over 185
New York/Minnesota under 194
Phoenix/Sacramento under 196 1/2
Louisville/West Virginia under 133 1/2
Connecticut/Syracuse under 132
San Diego State/UNLV under 142 1/2
Maryland/Duke over 152 1/2
Michigan State/Ohio State under 128
Kentucky/Vanderbilt over 138
Kansas State/Texas under 133
Orlando/Milwaukee under 188 1/2
-------------------
Denver/Indiana under 200
Philadelphia/Cleveland over 185
New York/Minnesota under 194
Phoenix/Sacramento under 196 1/2
Louisville/West Virginia under 133 1/2
Connecticut/Syracuse under 132
San Diego State/UNLV under 142 1/2
Maryland/Duke over 152 1/2
Michigan State/Ohio State under 128
Kentucky/Vanderbilt over 138
DR BOB
2 Star Selection
Dayton (-7) over FORDHAM
11-Feb-12 10:05 AM Pacific
Dayton has lost 4 consecutive games and that losing skid will keep the Flyers from taking a bad Fordham team lightly. Dayton applies to a 39-6 ATS subset of a 90-43-1 ATS road favorite bounce-back situation and the Flyers also apply to a 191-90-6 ATS big road favorite situation. Fordham is just 4-18-1 ATS in conference games when not getting at least 20 points in two seasons under coach Tom Pecora, so I certainly don’t mind fading the Rams against a team that should come to play. My ratings favor Dayton by 7 ½ points, so the line is fair, and I’ll take Dayton in a 2-Star Best Bet at -8 or less.
Play Strength: 2-Stars at -8 or less.
3 Star Selection
Virginia (+10) over NORTH CAROLINA
11-Feb-12 10:05 AM Pacific
North Carolina’s defense hasn’t been as good without injured defensive ace Dexter Strickland, who averaged 1.3 steals per game, and the Tarheels have now failed to cover the spread in 4 consecutive games while their defensive efficiency without Strickland is 0.03 points per possession higher than their season rating (that equates to about 2 points). Virginia is also without a top defender, as C Assane Sene is still out, but the Cavaliers’ slow pace suits them well against a team like North Carolina and it’s tough to beat the Cavs by a lot of points. I had Virginia as a Best Bet in their 3 point loss as an 11 point dog at Duke earlier this season and the Cavs also lost by just 3 points at Florida State. Virginia has covered the spread 11 consecutive times as a road underdog and the Cavaliers apply to a very good 95-25-3 ATS big road underdog situation that plays on slow paced teams. North Carolina, meanwhile, applies to a negative 40-112-4 ATS situation that is based on their loss to Duke, which may still be on their minds. Those two angles are both very strong and independent of each other (2-0 ATS for the road dog when both apply with the covering margins by 13 and 11 ½ points), so this is a very good spot for Virginia. My ratings favor North Carolina by only 8 points and I’ll take Virginia in a 3-Star Best Bet at +9 points or more and for 2-Stars down to +8 points.
Play Strength: 3-Stars at +9 or more, 2-Stars down to +8.
2 Star Selection
PENN STATE (-2 ½) over Nebraska
11-Feb-12 10:05 AM Pacific
Penn State is offensively challenged, but the Nebraska has really struggled defensively this season in 7 games without defensive presence Jorge Brian Diaz, who averaged 1.9 blocks per game but is now out for the season. Nebraska allowed just 41.4% shooting with Diaz playing, but the Cornhuskers have allowed opponents to make 51.3% of their shots in 7 games that Diaz has missed and they’re 0-6 ATS in those games (would be 0-7 ATS if there were a line on their 14 point home win against lowly Alcorn State). Penn State is a better team right now than Nebraska is without Diaz and my ratings conservatively favor the Nittany Lions by 6 ½ points. I’ll take Penn State in a 2-Star Best Bet at -3 points or less.
Play Strength: 2-Stars at -3 or less.
3 Star Selection
Illinois Chicago (+2) over LOYOLA CHICAGO
11-Feb-12 11:00 AM Pacific
Loyola Chicago is 0-13 straight up in Horizon League play and I see the Ramblers getting their first win today given that they apply to a very negative 4-42 ATS situation that has worked for me all 3 times so for this season. My ratings make this game a pick and I’d favor Illinois Chicago if Loyola’s top player Ben Avenkamp has to sit out a 3rd straight game with a concussion. The only issue I have is that Illinois-Chicago hasn’t won a road game. But, the Flames also haven’t visited any team nearly as bad as Loyola. I’ll take Illinois-Chicago in a 3-Star Best Bet at +2 or more and for 2-Stars down to -1.
Play Strength: 3-Stars at +2 or more, 2-Stars down to -1.
2 Star Selection
Dayton (-7) over FORDHAM
11-Feb-12 10:05 AM Pacific
Dayton has lost 4 consecutive games and that losing skid will keep the Flyers from taking a bad Fordham team lightly. Dayton applies to a 39-6 ATS subset of a 90-43-1 ATS road favorite bounce-back situation and the Flyers also apply to a 191-90-6 ATS big road favorite situation. Fordham is just 4-18-1 ATS in conference games when not getting at least 20 points in two seasons under coach Tom Pecora, so I certainly don’t mind fading the Rams against a team that should come to play. My ratings favor Dayton by 7 ½ points, so the line is fair, and I’ll take Dayton in a 2-Star Best Bet at -8 or less.
Play Strength: 2-Stars at -8 or less.
3 Star Selection
Virginia (+10) over NORTH CAROLINA
11-Feb-12 10:05 AM Pacific
North Carolina’s defense hasn’t been as good without injured defensive ace Dexter Strickland, who averaged 1.3 steals per game, and the Tarheels have now failed to cover the spread in 4 consecutive games while their defensive efficiency without Strickland is 0.03 points per possession higher than their season rating (that equates to about 2 points). Virginia is also without a top defender, as C Assane Sene is still out, but the Cavaliers’ slow pace suits them well against a team like North Carolina and it’s tough to beat the Cavs by a lot of points. I had Virginia as a Best Bet in their 3 point loss as an 11 point dog at Duke earlier this season and the Cavs also lost by just 3 points at Florida State. Virginia has covered the spread 11 consecutive times as a road underdog and the Cavaliers apply to a very good 95-25-3 ATS big road underdog situation that plays on slow paced teams. North Carolina, meanwhile, applies to a negative 40-112-4 ATS situation that is based on their loss to Duke, which may still be on their minds. Those two angles are both very strong and independent of each other (2-0 ATS for the road dog when both apply with the covering margins by 13 and 11 ½ points), so this is a very good spot for Virginia. My ratings favor North Carolina by only 8 points and I’ll take Virginia in a 3-Star Best Bet at +9 points or more and for 2-Stars down to +8 points.
Play Strength: 3-Stars at +9 or more, 2-Stars down to +8.
2 Star Selection
PENN STATE (-2 ½) over Nebraska
11-Feb-12 10:05 AM Pacific
Penn State is offensively challenged, but the Nebraska has really struggled defensively this season in 7 games without defensive presence Jorge Brian Diaz, who averaged 1.9 blocks per game but is now out for the season. Nebraska allowed just 41.4% shooting with Diaz playing, but the Cornhuskers have allowed opponents to make 51.3% of their shots in 7 games that Diaz has missed and they’re 0-6 ATS in those games (would be 0-7 ATS if there were a line on their 14 point home win against lowly Alcorn State). Penn State is a better team right now than Nebraska is without Diaz and my ratings conservatively favor the Nittany Lions by 6 ½ points. I’ll take Penn State in a 2-Star Best Bet at -3 points or less.
Play Strength: 2-Stars at -3 or less.
3 Star Selection
Illinois Chicago (+2) over LOYOLA CHICAGO
11-Feb-12 11:00 AM Pacific
Loyola Chicago is 0-13 straight up in Horizon League play and I see the Ramblers getting their first win today given that they apply to a very negative 4-42 ATS situation that has worked for me all 3 times so for this season. My ratings make this game a pick and I’d favor Illinois Chicago if Loyola’s top player Ben Avenkamp has to sit out a 3rd straight game with a concussion. The only issue I have is that Illinois-Chicago hasn’t won a road game. But, the Flames also haven’t visited any team nearly as bad as Loyola. I’ll take Illinois-Chicago in a 3-Star Best Bet at +2 or more and for 2-Stars down to -1.
Play Strength: 3-Stars at +2 or more, 2-Stars down to -1.
Jeff Benton
Saturday's Action
30 Dime winner going out on the Xavier Musketeers as the road undeadog ageainst the host Temple Owls. At the time I release this seleclion, the Musketeers are an 5-point underdog against the Owls both here in Vegas and offshore.
10 Dime winner going out on the Colorado Buffaloes to bounce-back as the road favorite versus Arizona State. At the time I release this selection, the Buffaloes are a 3 1/2-point fave both here in Vegas and offshore.
Saturday's Action
30 Dime winner going out on the Xavier Musketeers as the road undeadog ageainst the host Temple Owls. At the time I release this seleclion, the Musketeers are an 5-point underdog against the Owls both here in Vegas and offshore.
10 Dime winner going out on the Colorado Buffaloes to bounce-back as the road favorite versus Arizona State. At the time I release this selection, the Buffaloes are a 3 1/2-point fave both here in Vegas and offshore.
Craig Davis
Saturday's Plays...
50 Dime Play on the WEBER STATE WILDCATS as the favorite agaanst Eastern Washington. Weber State is currently listed as between -9 to -9 1/2 point favorite in the books offshore and in Vegas.
30 Dime Play on the CREIGHTON BLUEJAYS as the favorite against Wichita State. Creighton is curreently listed as between -1 to -1 1/2 point favorite in the books offshore and in Vegas.
20 Dime Play on the PROVIDENCE FRIARS as the favorite against South Florida. Providence is currently listed as a -2 point favorite in the book offshore and in Vegas.
10 Dime Play on the ARKANSAS RAZORBACK as the favorite against South Carolina. Arkansas is currently listed as a -5 1/2 point favlrite in the books offshore and in Vegas.
Saturday's Plays...
50 Dime Play on the WEBER STATE WILDCATS as the favorite agaanst Eastern Washington. Weber State is currently listed as between -9 to -9 1/2 point favorite in the books offshore and in Vegas.
30 Dime Play on the CREIGHTON BLUEJAYS as the favorite against Wichita State. Creighton is curreently listed as between -1 to -1 1/2 point favorite in the books offshore and in Vegas.
20 Dime Play on the PROVIDENCE FRIARS as the favorite against South Florida. Providence is currently listed as a -2 point favorite in the book offshore and in Vegas.
10 Dime Play on the ARKANSAS RAZORBACK as the favorite against South Carolina. Arkansas is currently listed as a -5 1/2 point favlrite in the books offshore and in Vegas.
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Saturday, February 11, 2012 11:37 AM
ALL ARE TOP-RATED
CBB
(530) NORTH CAROLINA OVER 132
(543) BAYLOR +6 ***CBB GAME OF THE WEEK***
(582) DUKE OVER 153
(660) VANDERBILT +5
MORE SHORTLY......
JR STEVENS
Saturday, February 11, 2012 11:37 AM
ALL ARE TOP-RATED
CBB
(530) NORTH CAROLINA OVER 132
(543) BAYLOR +6 ***CBB GAME OF THE WEEK***
(582) DUKE OVER 153
(660) VANDERBILT +5
MORE SHORTLY......
JR STEVENS
