NCAAB
Saturday, February 1
Richmond/VCU split last four games, after Rams had won previous six meetings; Spiders won four of last five games but are 1-2 on A-13 road, losing by 14 at St Bonaventure, 20 at Saint Louis. A-13 home favorites of 9+ points are 2-7 vs spread. VCU is 5-1 in A-13 but 0-3 as favorites at home, despite winning by 14-15-16 points- they're forcing turnovers 24.5% of time in A-13 games. Richmond is #1 in A-13 protecting ball.
Ohio State lost five of last six games, Wisconsin lost four of last five, so this is huge game for both sides. Teams are 6-6 in last dozen series tilts, but Badgers won seven of last eight games here, with lone loss 58-52 in '12. Buckeyes lost last three road games by 4-10-6 points; they lost last game at home to Penn State. Badgers are 1-3 as home favorites, losing last two SU. Big Dozen single digit home favorites are 6-11 vs spread.
Ohio won six of last seven games with Toledo, winning last five here by 8-11-33-13-9 points. Bobcats won four of their last five games, are 1-3 as MAC home favorites, losing SU to Akron/Bowling Green, winning by 20-4 points. Toledo won its last six games since losing at W. Michigan in MAC opener; they've won road games since at Akron/Miami, O. MAC home favorites of less than 5 points are 2-8 vs spread.
Missouri was outscored 23-12 on line in 90-83 OT loss at Kentucky in only series meeting LY, game Tigers led by 13 in first half. Mizzou won three of last four games, winning last two home games by 21-8 points after losing home opener to Georgia. SEC home underdogs of 4 or less points are 9-1-1 vs spread. Kentucky lost last two road games, allowing 87 points at both Arkansas/LSU, in losses by 2-5 points.
Memphis is 11-2 in last 13 games with SMU, but lost two of last three visits to SMU, in series where home side won five of last six meetings. Tigers won five of last six games, are 4-0 on AAC road- both its losses in league are at home. AAC favorites are 6-2 in games where spread was 5 or less points. Mustangs are 3-0 at home in AAC, winning by 14-17-9 points- they had 4-game win streak snapped at USF Tuesday.
Georgetown lost last five games, is 1-6 since Josh Smtih flunked out of school; three of their last five losses are by 10+ points. Michigan State is down two starters, still won at Iowa last game; they're 10-0 away from home, with seven of ten wins vs top 100 teams. Hoyas are 2-5 top 40 teams, with four of five losses by 13+- they turn ball over 19.5% of the time. Spartans are holding teams to 41.5% inside the arc.
Iowa State was 14-0 before losing 87-82 at Oklahoma Jan 11- they lost four of five games since, with only win by 6 over K-State. Sooners hit 13-30 from arc in first meeting, are 7-4 in last 11 series games, but lost last two visits to Ames by 11-19 points. Oklahoma won three of its last four games, is 3-1 as road dog, with only Big X losses by 6-7 points. Big X home favorites of 7+ points are 5-7 vs spread.
Kansas won five in row, 11 of last 13 games with Texas, winning three in row in Austin by 12-3-5 points. Jayhawks are 4-1-1 as Big X faves, 2-0 on road, winning away games by 7-7-22 points. Longhorns won last five games, are 3-1 at home, with three of the four (dogs 4-0 vs spread) decided by exactly three points. Kansas makes 41.7% of its 3's, turns ball over 21.1% of time in conference play. Big X home underdogs of 5 or less points are 5-2-1 vs spread.
Home team won last six UMass-St Joe's games; Minutemen lost two in a row here by 3-11 points- they lost two of last three games after a 16-1 start, losing last two road games, in Richmond/Olean. St Joe's won 10 of its last 12 games; they're 0-2 as A-13 home favorites, beating Duquesne by 9, URI by 4. Hawks are turning ball over 22% of time but shooting 38.6% on arc. A-13 home faves of 5 or less points are 9-5 vs spread.
Duke didn't play road game until January, then lost its first two in ACC play, before winning last two, at Miami/Pitt; Blue Devils make 41.8% of 3's in ACC play, only 42.7% inside arc- will shooting in a packed dome screw up their shooting? ACC home favorites of 5 or less points are 3-7 vs spread. Syracuse is 7-0 in ACC, 1-2 as home favorites, allowing 47.7 ppg in wins by 5-12-5 points- no ACC team has scored 60 on them. .
Iowa lost last eight visits to Illinois, last three by 11+ points, but they won last two games with Illini, by 3-8 points, with one win conference tourney last March. Hawkeyes lost two of last three games, losing last game at home to shorthanded Michigan State- they're 2-2 on Big Dozen road, losing at Wisconsin/Michigan. Big Dozen home underdogs of 6 or less points are 6-5 vs spread. Illini lost last six games, scoring less than 60 points in four of last five.
Home team won five of last six Boise-UNLV games; Broncos lost three games here, by 3-17-4 points. Rebels won last three games, are 1-3 as a home favorite, winning last two home games by 20-2, after losing first two. Road team is 6-2 vs spread in Boise's games; Broncos are 1-2 on MW road, losing by 3 in San Diego, 9 at New Mexico, winning by 9 in Nevada. MW home favorites of 5 or less points are 4-1 vs spread.
Arizona is 8-0 in Pac-12 but failed to cover last three; they're 2-1 as road favorites, winning by 4-20-3 points- they missed 20 foul shots in last two games. Cal won in Tucson LY, its first series win in last four games- Arizona won last two visits here by total of six points, with one of wins in triple OT. Pac-12 home underdogs of 5 or less points are 7-4 against spread. Golden Bears lost last three games after starting 5-0 in Pac-12.
Saturday, February 1
Richmond/VCU split last four games, after Rams had won previous six meetings; Spiders won four of last five games but are 1-2 on A-13 road, losing by 14 at St Bonaventure, 20 at Saint Louis. A-13 home favorites of 9+ points are 2-7 vs spread. VCU is 5-1 in A-13 but 0-3 as favorites at home, despite winning by 14-15-16 points- they're forcing turnovers 24.5% of time in A-13 games. Richmond is #1 in A-13 protecting ball.
Ohio State lost five of last six games, Wisconsin lost four of last five, so this is huge game for both sides. Teams are 6-6 in last dozen series tilts, but Badgers won seven of last eight games here, with lone loss 58-52 in '12. Buckeyes lost last three road games by 4-10-6 points; they lost last game at home to Penn State. Badgers are 1-3 as home favorites, losing last two SU. Big Dozen single digit home favorites are 6-11 vs spread.
Ohio won six of last seven games with Toledo, winning last five here by 8-11-33-13-9 points. Bobcats won four of their last five games, are 1-3 as MAC home favorites, losing SU to Akron/Bowling Green, winning by 20-4 points. Toledo won its last six games since losing at W. Michigan in MAC opener; they've won road games since at Akron/Miami, O. MAC home favorites of less than 5 points are 2-8 vs spread.
Missouri was outscored 23-12 on line in 90-83 OT loss at Kentucky in only series meeting LY, game Tigers led by 13 in first half. Mizzou won three of last four games, winning last two home games by 21-8 points after losing home opener to Georgia. SEC home underdogs of 4 or less points are 9-1-1 vs spread. Kentucky lost last two road games, allowing 87 points at both Arkansas/LSU, in losses by 2-5 points.
Memphis is 11-2 in last 13 games with SMU, but lost two of last three visits to SMU, in series where home side won five of last six meetings. Tigers won five of last six games, are 4-0 on AAC road- both its losses in league are at home. AAC favorites are 6-2 in games where spread was 5 or less points. Mustangs are 3-0 at home in AAC, winning by 14-17-9 points- they had 4-game win streak snapped at USF Tuesday.
Georgetown lost last five games, is 1-6 since Josh Smtih flunked out of school; three of their last five losses are by 10+ points. Michigan State is down two starters, still won at Iowa last game; they're 10-0 away from home, with seven of ten wins vs top 100 teams. Hoyas are 2-5 top 40 teams, with four of five losses by 13+- they turn ball over 19.5% of the time. Spartans are holding teams to 41.5% inside the arc.
Iowa State was 14-0 before losing 87-82 at Oklahoma Jan 11- they lost four of five games since, with only win by 6 over K-State. Sooners hit 13-30 from arc in first meeting, are 7-4 in last 11 series games, but lost last two visits to Ames by 11-19 points. Oklahoma won three of its last four games, is 3-1 as road dog, with only Big X losses by 6-7 points. Big X home favorites of 7+ points are 5-7 vs spread.
Kansas won five in row, 11 of last 13 games with Texas, winning three in row in Austin by 12-3-5 points. Jayhawks are 4-1-1 as Big X faves, 2-0 on road, winning away games by 7-7-22 points. Longhorns won last five games, are 3-1 at home, with three of the four (dogs 4-0 vs spread) decided by exactly three points. Kansas makes 41.7% of its 3's, turns ball over 21.1% of time in conference play. Big X home underdogs of 5 or less points are 5-2-1 vs spread.
Home team won last six UMass-St Joe's games; Minutemen lost two in a row here by 3-11 points- they lost two of last three games after a 16-1 start, losing last two road games, in Richmond/Olean. St Joe's won 10 of its last 12 games; they're 0-2 as A-13 home favorites, beating Duquesne by 9, URI by 4. Hawks are turning ball over 22% of time but shooting 38.6% on arc. A-13 home faves of 5 or less points are 9-5 vs spread.
Duke didn't play road game until January, then lost its first two in ACC play, before winning last two, at Miami/Pitt; Blue Devils make 41.8% of 3's in ACC play, only 42.7% inside arc- will shooting in a packed dome screw up their shooting? ACC home favorites of 5 or less points are 3-7 vs spread. Syracuse is 7-0 in ACC, 1-2 as home favorites, allowing 47.7 ppg in wins by 5-12-5 points- no ACC team has scored 60 on them. .
Iowa lost last eight visits to Illinois, last three by 11+ points, but they won last two games with Illini, by 3-8 points, with one win conference tourney last March. Hawkeyes lost two of last three games, losing last game at home to shorthanded Michigan State- they're 2-2 on Big Dozen road, losing at Wisconsin/Michigan. Big Dozen home underdogs of 6 or less points are 6-5 vs spread. Illini lost last six games, scoring less than 60 points in four of last five.
Home team won five of last six Boise-UNLV games; Broncos lost three games here, by 3-17-4 points. Rebels won last three games, are 1-3 as a home favorite, winning last two home games by 20-2, after losing first two. Road team is 6-2 vs spread in Boise's games; Broncos are 1-2 on MW road, losing by 3 in San Diego, 9 at New Mexico, winning by 9 in Nevada. MW home favorites of 5 or less points are 4-1 vs spread.
Arizona is 8-0 in Pac-12 but failed to cover last three; they're 2-1 as road favorites, winning by 4-20-3 points- they missed 20 foul shots in last two games. Cal won in Tucson LY, its first series win in last four games- Arizona won last two visits here by total of six points, with one of wins in triple OT. Pac-12 home underdogs of 5 or less points are 7-4 against spread. Golden Bears lost last three games after starting 5-0 in Pac-12.
