NHL
Hot teams
-- Islanders won 13 of their last 15 games.
-- Kings won three of their last four games.
-- Canucks won five of their last six games. Toronto won four of last five at home.
-- Red Wings won seven of their last nine games.
-- Sabres won six of their last eight games. Florida is 5-1 in game following last six losses.
-- Chicago won its last five games, allowing eight goals. Nashville won 10 of its last 13.
-- Calgary won last four games, allowing five goals. Sharks won last three, scoring 15 goals.
Cold teams
-- Senators lost last four games, scoring six goals. Penguins are 2-3 in last five home games.
-- Blues lost three of their last five games.
-- Flyers lost six in row, 10 of last 11 games.
-- Rangers lost four of their last five road games.
-- Blue Jackets lost seven of last nine road games.
-- Washington lost four of its last six games. Devils lost seven of their last nine.
-- Dallas lost last five games, allowing 20 goals. Canadiens lost five of their last six games.
-- Coyotes lost seven of their last nine games. Boston lost five of their last six.
Series records
-- Penguins won eight of last eleven games with Ottawa.
-- Islanders lost their last five games with St Louis.
-- Flyers won their last three games in Staples Center.
-- Canucks won five of last six games with Toronto.
-- Rangers won their last four games with Detroit.
-- Lightning won five of last seven games with Columbus.
-- Sabres lost seven of last nine games with Florida, getting shut out in last two.
-- Devils won nine of last twelve games with Washington.
-- Predators won four of last five games with Chicago.
-- Canadiens are 5-3 in their last eight games with Dallas.
-- Bruins won their last four games with Arizona.
-- Flames won their last three games with San Jose.
Totals
-- Last four Ottawa games stayed under total.
-- Six of last seven Islander games stayed under.
-- Last four Los Angeles games stayed under.
-- Last four Toronto games went over the total.
-- Last six Detroit games went over the total.
-- Four of last five Columbus road games went over.
-- Five of last six Buffalo games stayed under.
-- Seven of last ten Washington games stayed under.
-- Five of last six Chicago games stayed under.
-- Seven of Dallas Stars' last nine games went over.
-- Six of last eight Arizona home games stayed under.
-- Last five Calgary-San Jose games stayed under.
Back-to-back
-- Blackhawks are 2-2 if they played night before.
-- Montreal is 4-2 if it played the night before.
Hot teams
-- Islanders won 13 of their last 15 games.
-- Kings won three of their last four games.
-- Canucks won five of their last six games. Toronto won four of last five at home.
-- Red Wings won seven of their last nine games.
-- Sabres won six of their last eight games. Florida is 5-1 in game following last six losses.
-- Chicago won its last five games, allowing eight goals. Nashville won 10 of its last 13.
-- Calgary won last four games, allowing five goals. Sharks won last three, scoring 15 goals.
Cold teams
-- Senators lost last four games, scoring six goals. Penguins are 2-3 in last five home games.
-- Blues lost three of their last five games.
-- Flyers lost six in row, 10 of last 11 games.
-- Rangers lost four of their last five road games.
-- Blue Jackets lost seven of last nine road games.
-- Washington lost four of its last six games. Devils lost seven of their last nine.
-- Dallas lost last five games, allowing 20 goals. Canadiens lost five of their last six games.
-- Coyotes lost seven of their last nine games. Boston lost five of their last six.
Series records
-- Penguins won eight of last eleven games with Ottawa.
-- Islanders lost their last five games with St Louis.
-- Flyers won their last three games in Staples Center.
-- Canucks won five of last six games with Toronto.
-- Rangers won their last four games with Detroit.
-- Lightning won five of last seven games with Columbus.
-- Sabres lost seven of last nine games with Florida, getting shut out in last two.
-- Devils won nine of last twelve games with Washington.
-- Predators won four of last five games with Chicago.
-- Canadiens are 5-3 in their last eight games with Dallas.
-- Bruins won their last four games with Arizona.
-- Flames won their last three games with San Jose.
Totals
-- Last four Ottawa games stayed under total.
-- Six of last seven Islander games stayed under.
-- Last four Los Angeles games stayed under.
-- Last four Toronto games went over the total.
-- Last six Detroit games went over the total.
-- Four of last five Columbus road games went over.
-- Five of last six Buffalo games stayed under.
-- Seven of last ten Washington games stayed under.
-- Five of last six Chicago games stayed under.
-- Seven of Dallas Stars' last nine games went over.
-- Six of last eight Arizona home games stayed under.
-- Last five Calgary-San Jose games stayed under.
Back-to-back
-- Blackhawks are 2-2 if they played night before.
-- Montreal is 4-2 if it played the night before.
StatFox Super Situations
NHL | COLUMBUS at TAMPA BAY
Play On - Any team against the money line (TAMPA BAY) off a home win where they shut out their opponent, with a winning record in the first half of the season
91-28 over the last 5 seasons. ( 76.5% | 55.3 units )
16-5 this year. ( 76.2% | 10.0 units )
NHL | COLUMBUS at TAMPA BAY
Play On - A favorite against the money line (TAMPA BAY) off a home win where they shut out their opponent against opponent off a road win
53-14 over the last 5 seasons. ( 79.1% | 32.0 units )
4-1 this year. ( 80.0% | 2.6 units )
NHL | COLUMBUS at TAMPA BAY
Play On - Any team against the money line (TAMPA BAY) off a home win where they shut out their opponent, with a winning record in the first half of the season
91-28 over the last 5 seasons. ( 76.5% | 55.3 units )
16-5 this year. ( 76.2% | 10.0 units )
NHL | COLUMBUS at TAMPA BAY
Play On - A favorite against the money line (TAMPA BAY) off a home win where they shut out their opponent against opponent off a road win
53-14 over the last 5 seasons. ( 79.1% | 32.0 units )
4-1 this year. ( 80.0% | 2.6 units )
NBA
Hot Teams
-- Bulls won three of their last four games (2-3 U, 0-0 HU). Warriors won last eleven games, covering seven of last ten (5-3 AF).
-- Rockets won six of last seven games (1-4 last five HF). Phoenix won seven of last ten games (2-2 AU).
-- Spurs won 12 of last 14 games (2-5 HF).
-- Clippers won last six games, covered six of last eight.
Cold Teams
-- Detroit lost its last ten games (0-4 vs spread in last four, 0-6 as faves) . 1-18 Sixers covered six of their last seven games.
-- Timberwolves lost 12 of last 14 games, covered two of last eight.
-- Magic lost six of last eight games, but covered three of last four. Kings lost four of last five games (2-2 HF).
-- Pelicans lost four of last five games (3-5 AU).
Series Records
-- 76ers lost six of last eight games with Detroit.
-- Bulls won three of last four games with Golden State.
-- Rockets won four of last six games with Phoenix.
-- T'wolves lost nine of last ten at San Antonio, but covered four of last six visits to Alamo.
-- Kings won last four games with Orlando by average of 14 points.
-- Clippers won six of last seven games with New Orleans.
Totals
-- Under is 9-3 in Philly's last twelve games.
-- Four of last five Chicago games went over.
-- Last three Houston games went over total.
-- Nine of last twelve Minnesota games went over. Under is 8-4 in Spurs' last dozen games.
-- Last five Orlando games stayed under total.
-- Five of last six New Orleans games stayed under total. Over is 6-2-1 in last nine Clipper games.
Back-to-Backs
-- 76ers are 2-1 vs spread if they played night before.
-- Rockets are 3-1 vs spread if they played night before. Suns are 1-2 if they played the night before.
-- Minnesota is 1-4 vs spread if it played night before. Spurs are 2-3.
-- Orlando is 2-3 vs spread if it played night before. Kings are 1-1.
Hot Teams
-- Bulls won three of their last four games (2-3 U, 0-0 HU). Warriors won last eleven games, covering seven of last ten (5-3 AF).
-- Rockets won six of last seven games (1-4 last five HF). Phoenix won seven of last ten games (2-2 AU).
-- Spurs won 12 of last 14 games (2-5 HF).
-- Clippers won last six games, covered six of last eight.
Cold Teams
-- Detroit lost its last ten games (0-4 vs spread in last four, 0-6 as faves) . 1-18 Sixers covered six of their last seven games.
-- Timberwolves lost 12 of last 14 games, covered two of last eight.
-- Magic lost six of last eight games, but covered three of last four. Kings lost four of last five games (2-2 HF).
-- Pelicans lost four of last five games (3-5 AU).
Series Records
-- 76ers lost six of last eight games with Detroit.
-- Bulls won three of last four games with Golden State.
-- Rockets won four of last six games with Phoenix.
-- T'wolves lost nine of last ten at San Antonio, but covered four of last six visits to Alamo.
-- Kings won last four games with Orlando by average of 14 points.
-- Clippers won six of last seven games with New Orleans.
Totals
-- Under is 9-3 in Philly's last twelve games.
-- Four of last five Chicago games went over.
-- Last three Houston games went over total.
-- Nine of last twelve Minnesota games went over. Under is 8-4 in Spurs' last dozen games.
-- Last five Orlando games stayed under total.
-- Five of last six New Orleans games stayed under total. Over is 6-2-1 in last nine Clipper games.
Back-to-Backs
-- 76ers are 2-1 vs spread if they played night before.
-- Rockets are 3-1 vs spread if they played night before. Suns are 1-2 if they played the night before.
-- Minnesota is 1-4 vs spread if it played night before. Spurs are 2-3.
-- Orlando is 2-3 vs spread if it played night before. Kings are 1-1.
StatFox Super Situations
NBA | MINNESOTA at SAN ANTONIO
Play On - Home favorites of 10 or more points (SAN ANTONIO) after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record
32-10 over the last 5 seasons. ( 76.2% | 21.0 units )
1-2 this year. ( 33.3% | -1.2 units )
NBA | PHILADELPHIA at DETROIT
Play Against - Any team vs the money line (PHILADELPHIA) after having covered 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread, a terrible team (<=25%) playing a team with a losing record
228-105 since 1997. ( 68.5% | 77.0 units )
0-2 this year. ( 0.0% | -5.7 units )
NBA | PHOENIX at HOUSTON
Play On - Home teams where the 1rst half line is +1.5 to -1.5 (HOUSTON) in a game involving two average three point shooting teams (33%-36.5%), poor ball handling team (>=16.5 TO's) against an average ball handling team (14.5-16.5 TO's)
41-15 since 1997. ( 73.2% | 24.5 units )
NBA | MINNESOTA at SAN ANTONIO
Play On - Home favorites of 10 or more points (SAN ANTONIO) after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record
32-10 over the last 5 seasons. ( 76.2% | 21.0 units )
1-2 this year. ( 33.3% | -1.2 units )
NBA | PHILADELPHIA at DETROIT
Play Against - Any team vs the money line (PHILADELPHIA) after having covered 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread, a terrible team (<=25%) playing a team with a losing record
228-105 since 1997. ( 68.5% | 77.0 units )
0-2 this year. ( 0.0% | -5.7 units )
NBA | PHOENIX at HOUSTON
Play On - Home teams where the 1rst half line is +1.5 to -1.5 (HOUSTON) in a game involving two average three point shooting teams (33%-36.5%), poor ball handling team (>=16.5 TO's) against an average ball handling team (14.5-16.5 TO's)
41-15 since 1997. ( 73.2% | 24.5 units )
StatFox Super Situations
CBB | WI-GREEN BAY at MIAMI
Play Against - Road underdogs of 10 or more points (WI-GREEN BAY) a poor offensive team (63-67 PPG) against an excellent defensive team (<=63 PPG), after trailing in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half
34-11 over the last 5 seasons. ( 75.6% | 21.9 units )
0-2 this year. ( 0.0% | -2.2 units )
CBB | RHODE ISLAND at SOUTHERN MISS
Play Against - Home underdogs of +145 to +350 vs. the money line (SOUTHERN MISS) average 3PT shooting team (32-36.5%) against a poor 3PT shooting team (<=32%)
255-74 since 1997. ( 77.5% | 87.7 units )
1-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 1.0 units )
CBB | HAWAII at BYU
Play Against - Neutral Court favorites vs. the 1rst half line (BYU) after scoring 80 points or more 3 straight games, with 2 more starters returning from last year than opponent
29-8 since 1997. ( 78.4% | 20.2 units )
1-1 this year. ( 50.0% | -0.1 units )
CBB | WI-GREEN BAY at MIAMI
Play Against - Road underdogs of 10 or more points (WI-GREEN BAY) a poor offensive team (63-67 PPG) against an excellent defensive team (<=63 PPG), after trailing in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half
34-11 over the last 5 seasons. ( 75.6% | 21.9 units )
0-2 this year. ( 0.0% | -2.2 units )
CBB | RHODE ISLAND at SOUTHERN MISS
Play Against - Home underdogs of +145 to +350 vs. the money line (SOUTHERN MISS) average 3PT shooting team (32-36.5%) against a poor 3PT shooting team (<=32%)
255-74 since 1997. ( 77.5% | 87.7 units )
1-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 1.0 units )
CBB | HAWAII at BYU
Play Against - Neutral Court favorites vs. the 1rst half line (BYU) after scoring 80 points or more 3 straight games, with 2 more starters returning from last year than opponent
29-8 since 1997. ( 78.4% | 20.2 units )
1-1 this year. ( 50.0% | -0.1 units )
StatFox Super Situations
CFB | OKLAHOMA ST at OKLAHOMA
Play Against - Road underdogs (OKLAHOMA ST) off a loss by 10 points or more to a conference rival against opponent off a home blowout win by 28 points or more
81-40 since 1997. ( 66.9% | 37.0 units )
1-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 1.0 units )
CFB | OKLAHOMA ST at OKLAHOMA
Play Against - Road underdogs vs. the 1rst half line (OKLAHOMA ST) after failing to cover the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season
41-15 over the last 5 seasons. ( 73.2% | 24.5 units )
8-6 this year. ( 57.1% | 1.4 units )
CFB | HOUSTON at CINCINNATI
Play Against - A home team vs. the money line (CINCINNATI) average rushing team (140-190 RY/G) against a good rushing defense (100-140 RY/G) after 7+ games, in conference games
76-48 over the last 5 seasons. ( 61.3% | 0.0 units )
13-7 this year. ( 65.0% | 0.0 units )
CFB | OKLAHOMA ST at OKLAHOMA
Play Against - Road underdogs (OKLAHOMA ST) off a loss by 10 points or more to a conference rival against opponent off a home blowout win by 28 points or more
81-40 since 1997. ( 66.9% | 37.0 units )
1-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 1.0 units )
CFB | OKLAHOMA ST at OKLAHOMA
Play Against - Road underdogs vs. the 1rst half line (OKLAHOMA ST) after failing to cover the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season
41-15 over the last 5 seasons. ( 73.2% | 24.5 units )
8-6 this year. ( 57.1% | 1.4 units )
CFB | HOUSTON at CINCINNATI
Play Against - A home team vs. the money line (CINCINNATI) average rushing team (140-190 RY/G) against a good rushing defense (100-140 RY/G) after 7+ games, in conference games
76-48 over the last 5 seasons. ( 61.3% | 0.0 units )
13-7 this year. ( 65.0% | 0.0 units )
WAYNE ROOT
NO LIMIT CLUB---PASS ON SATURDAY
____________________
PERFECT PLAY---FLORIDA ST.
Message to FSU haters. No matter how ugly it has been at times, the fact remains there is only one undefeated team in college football. The Defending Champions. The team that's prepared to defend their title. That is the Jameis Winston led Florida State Seminoles at 12-0. No matter how ugly the ACC championship game is Saturday, a win over Georgia Tech will get the Seminoles into the playoffs. Florida State is 13th nationally in passing, tossing for almost 300 yards per contest. Beyond turnovers and mistakes, it will be the ‘Noles passing attack vs the Yellow Jacket ground game. This Seminoles team has a mission and something to prove to the nation. TAKE FLORIDA ST
____________________
INNER CIRCLE---MISSOURI
The Crimson Tide roll into the SEC Championship game this weekend as the top ranked team in the nation, boasting a 11-1 record, going and going 7-1 in the conference. Laying this many points is a recipe for disaster. Missouri heads into the game with the identical 7-1 mark in the conference and are 10-2 overall. The Tigers have put together six straight victories and are coming off a 21-14 win over Arkansas last weekend. Quarterback Maty Mauk has taken every snap for the Tigers this season, going 193-361 for a total of 2,279 yards through the air. The Tigers are giving up less than 20 points per game, and ranked 13th in the nation in points allowed. The Tide is giving up just 16.9 points per game, which is 6th in the country. Forget about the final score. Let's focus on covering the point spread. The Crimson Tide are 4-11-1 ATS in their last 16 games overall. That's because the oddsmakers make you pay for betting them. On the other side of the coin, the Tigers are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 conference games. And even more, they rise up for the occasion as the Tigers are 13-3 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. TAKE MISSOURI
__________________________
Pinnacle---OHIO ST...Championship Game of the Year
What a bad week for the Wisconsin Badgers. First their great basketball team lost at home to Duke and now their football team is set for another loss in their biggest game. The Bucks head into the Big Ten Championship game against Wisconsin with their third string quarterback at the season’s beginning, Cardale Jones. But hold all bets. It seems that this has happened before and Coach Meyer handled the problem. Losing Braxton Miller and JT Barrett is the type of challenge that real men love to take and then win. This is why the entire team rallies and comes up with wins. Additionally, think of the added value to the pointspread for those willing to play with a new QB.
Wisconsin and Ohio State are working on building what could be a rivalry. This year's Big Ten Championship game is likely to cement that rivalry. Coach Urban Meyer has always been one of the favorites to bet on in The Gig Game. I'm not sold on how Wisconsin struggled somewhat in the game they had to win last week against Minnesota. This game may be too big for them.
TAKE OHIO ST.
KEVIN"S PLAYS
A slow start in bad weather lead to us missing the over by a couple scores. Four plays for today...
2 UNIT = Louisiana Tech @ Marshall - [121] LOUISIANA TECH +9 (-105)
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.90 units)
2 UNIT = Kansas State @ Baylor - [118] BAYLOR -7 (+100)
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 2.00 units)
2 UNIT = Kansas State @ Baylor - [117] OVER 66.5 POINTS (-106)
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.87 units)
2 UNIT = Fresno State @ Boise State - [129 ]OVER 69 POINTS (-105)
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.90 units)
Cheers,
Kevin
A slow start in bad weather lead to us missing the over by a couple scores. Four plays for today...
2 UNIT = Louisiana Tech @ Marshall - [121] LOUISIANA TECH +9 (-105)
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.90 units)
2 UNIT = Kansas State @ Baylor - [118] BAYLOR -7 (+100)
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 2.00 units)
2 UNIT = Kansas State @ Baylor - [117] OVER 66.5 POINTS (-106)
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.87 units)
2 UNIT = Fresno State @ Boise State - [129 ]OVER 69 POINTS (-105)
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.90 units)
Cheers,
Kevin
RIVER CITY SHARPS (CFB)
Last week’s Marshall-Western Kentucky game was certainly one of the wildest of the season, with the Hilltoppers winning the game 67-66 after WKU went for a successful two-point conversion in OT. That was a big deflating lost for the Herd, who need to get refocused this week for the CUSA Championship game against Louisiana Tech. The Bulldogs have been a really good play against the number this season, going 9-3 ATS, and they are 4-0 as an away dog this season with two outright victories. Last week, Tech absolutely crushed Rice 76-31 and they appear to be rolling headed into this game Saturday. The Bulldogs are also an impressive 16-5 ATS in their last 21 road games vs. teams with a winning home record. Time to roll with the Bulldogs. The Sharps say…
4* LOUISIANA TECH (+9.5)
Last week’s Marshall-Western Kentucky game was certainly one of the wildest of the season, with the Hilltoppers winning the game 67-66 after WKU went for a successful two-point conversion in OT. That was a big deflating lost for the Herd, who need to get refocused this week for the CUSA Championship game against Louisiana Tech. The Bulldogs have been a really good play against the number this season, going 9-3 ATS, and they are 4-0 as an away dog this season with two outright victories. Last week, Tech absolutely crushed Rice 76-31 and they appear to be rolling headed into this game Saturday. The Bulldogs are also an impressive 16-5 ATS in their last 21 road games vs. teams with a winning home record. Time to roll with the Bulldogs. The Sharps say…
4* LOUISIANA TECH (+9.5)
Perfect Game Picks
Louisiana Tech/Marshall – Over 68.5 (-110)
If you combine last weeks games together that these two teams played in it would add up to 240 points! Yes that is correct, 240 points. Louisiana Tech beat Rice 76-31 and Marshall lost to Western Kentucky 67-66 in an OT thriller. The teams both have super star players on their teams and they will have every opportunity to put up gaudy numbers. We looked at taking Louisiana Tech plus the points but the total is a much safer approach (we had this game at 80.5 for the over under prior to the line being released).
Boise State -22.5 (-105)
Our co-favorite play of the week is the late game in College Football on Saturday. There are two reasons why we love this game. The first reason is Boise St. star running back Jay Ajayi, who has been absolutely unstoppable this year. Ajayi has rushed for a ridiculous 1635 yards with 24 TD’s. He is very dangerous catching the ball as well, with 45 grabs for 536 yards and 4 TD’s. Ajayi is going to go wild and could break the recently set single game Rushing record.
The second reason we like this game so much goes along with the first reason. Fresno St. is atrocious against the run game, as they allow 212.2 yards per game. They have faced some good run teams this year, but Ajayi and his Boise St. team is on a whole different level.
Expect Boise to be up by at least 21 by halftime and continue to pour it on. The favorite in this match up is 11-2 ATS in the past 13 meetings.
Louisiana Tech/Marshall – Over 68.5 (-110)
If you combine last weeks games together that these two teams played in it would add up to 240 points! Yes that is correct, 240 points. Louisiana Tech beat Rice 76-31 and Marshall lost to Western Kentucky 67-66 in an OT thriller. The teams both have super star players on their teams and they will have every opportunity to put up gaudy numbers. We looked at taking Louisiana Tech plus the points but the total is a much safer approach (we had this game at 80.5 for the over under prior to the line being released).
Boise State -22.5 (-105)
Our co-favorite play of the week is the late game in College Football on Saturday. There are two reasons why we love this game. The first reason is Boise St. star running back Jay Ajayi, who has been absolutely unstoppable this year. Ajayi has rushed for a ridiculous 1635 yards with 24 TD’s. He is very dangerous catching the ball as well, with 45 grabs for 536 yards and 4 TD’s. Ajayi is going to go wild and could break the recently set single game Rushing record.
The second reason we like this game so much goes along with the first reason. Fresno St. is atrocious against the run game, as they allow 212.2 yards per game. They have faced some good run teams this year, but Ajayi and his Boise St. team is on a whole different level.
Expect Boise to be up by at least 21 by halftime and continue to pour it on. The favorite in this match up is 11-2 ATS in the past 13 meetings.
