WISEGUY EDGE
3 Oklahoma* - Double Play *
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Analysis - Oklahoma (7-1, 4-4 ATS) will head to Texas A&M and try to correct the mistakes it made at Missouri two weeks ago.*The Sooners committed a season-high three turnovers, helping lead to three empty possessions inside the 15-yard line in the loss to Missouri. The uncharacteristic errors disappeared when the Sooners got home and throttled Colorado 43-10 in a turnover-free performance last week. *Texas A&M (5-3, 3-4 ATS) has bounced back from a three-game losing streak with back-to-back wins against Kansas and Texas Tech. The Aggies will have to rely on their passing game (6th in country) even more after losing starting running back Christine Michael (631 Yds) to a broken right tibia.* The good news is they got a school-record 449 yards passing from new starting quarterback Ryan Tannehill in a 45-27 win against Tech. Ever since the stunning 30-26 loss to the Aggies in 2002, OU has gone on an impressive seven game run rolling by a combined score of 345 to 126, or an average of 49-18.*The Sooners have the 3rd best passing attack in the country and will look to expose an Aggie defense that has given up 300 yards in three of the last four weeks. The Sooners will use the Missouri loss as motivation and play inspired football against the Aggies. We expect Oklahoma to dominate both sides of the line and easily cover the spread. *
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Projected Score** Oklahoma 34* Texas A&M 20
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-28 Ole Miss - Double Play
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Analysis - *Ole Miss (3-5, 3-4 ATS) was expected to have a rebuilding year after losing so many key players but what has happened so far this season is downright embarrassing. The Rebels lost at home to Jacksonville State in the opener and then lost at home by two touchdowns to Vanderbilt. They bounced back nicely with wins over Kentucky and Fresno state but have lost 3 in a row since then.*The Rebels defense which was supposed to be its strength cannot stop anyone and is ranked 107 nationally. Louisiana-Lafayette (2-6, 4-4 ATS) has been a shocking disaster giving up 54 points in a loss to a Western Kentucky team that couldn’t buy a win since joining the FBS ranks. On a four game losing streak, the Ragin’ Cajuns aren’t doing anything on defense, and the offense isn’t picking up the slack. To make matters worse starting quarterback Chris Masson isn’t going to play with a knee injury. While that doesn’t mean the Ragin’ Cajun passing game is necessarily dead, it could be a problem considering there’s no running game to lean on. ULL hasn’t even been close on defense this year, giving up 400 yards or more five times, and allowing 377 yards or more in every game. On the other side of the ball, the ULL offensive line has been a nightmare in pass protection, and the Ole Miss pass rush should take advantage. At 3-5, this is a must win for Ole Miss if it wants to get back in the bowl hunt.* The Rebels will lay it all on the line against a wounded Cajuns team. *Expect Ole Miss to play its best game of the season and blow out Louisianna-Lafayette.
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Projected Score* Louisiana-Lafayette 0* Ole Miss* 55
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-3 East Carolina*- Double Play
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Analysis -East Carolina (5-3, 5-3 ATS) is looking to forget about last weeks disapointing loss to Central Florida. The Pirates are a perfect 4-0 at home this season including an impressive OT win over N.C. State. Transfer QB Dominique Davis has been overly impressive since arriving and has already passed for 2300 yards. *The offense, ranked 15th nationally is the backbone of team and relies mainly on its passing attack. Navy (5-3, 3-4 ATS) is also looking to bounce back after losing to Duke last week.* The Midshipmen have wins over Notre Dame and SMU but have struggled away from home going 2-2. QB Ricky Dobbs leads the team in its option attack, which is ranked 10th nationally. These teams are polar opposites of each other with East Carolina primarly scoring through passing and Navy relying on its option rushing game. This should be a good game but in the end the Pirates will have too much offensively for the Midshipmen.* Look for East Carolina to pull away in the fourth quarter.
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Projected Score* Navy 14* East Carolina 24
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-5 Oregon State - Double Play
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Analysis - **Oregon State (4-3,6-1 ATS) came into this season with high expectations and is finally starting to live up to the hype. After falling to unbeaten Boise State and TCU in September, the Beavers have bounced back by beating both Arizona schools and are coming off their most complete game of the season, trampling Cal on Saturday, 35-7. *While Jacquizz Rodgers is one of the best backs in the country and QB Ryan Katz is smoothing out the wrinkles, it’s the defense that provided the most encouragement. Shaky throughout the first half of the year, Oregon State held the Bears to 23 yards on the ground and got to the quarterbacks five times.* UCLA (3-5,3-5ATS) also had high hopes entering this season but has been too inconsistent and suffered key injuries. The Bruins notched wins over Houston and Texas but also have bad losses to Kansas State and California. The defense is ranked 92nd nationally and allowed almost 600 yards to both Oregon and Arizona. The Beavers will look to capitalize with Rodgers, who’s taken on an even bigger role since brother James was lost for the year. No. 2 behind LaMichael James in Pac-10 rushing, he’s gone for 100 yards in three of the last four games, and has accounted for 16 scores, including his second career touchdown pass last week. The Beavers simply have too much offense for the Bruins especially with the defense nursing multiple injuries. *Look for Oregon State to put up big numbers and come away with a quality road win.
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Projected Score* Oregon State 35* Ucla 15
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-8 Oklahoma State - Double Play
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Analysis - Not much was expected of Oklahoma State or Baylor at the start of this season, but by the end of Saturday, one of them will be in control of its own destiny in the Big 12 South race.*Oklahoma State (7-1,6-2 ATS) ranks second nationally with 527.3 yards of offense per game and tied for third with 45.3 points per game. *The cowboys were able to beat Kansas State last week 24-14 without star WR Justin Blackmon who leads the FBS with 158.9 receiving yards per game and 14 receiving touchdowns. Kendall Hunter helped make up for Blackmon's absence, rushing for 143 yards. Hunter is third in the nation with 1,174 yards rushing. *Baylor (7-2,5-3 ATS) is one of the biggest surprises in college football this year. The Bears led by QB Robert Griffin are averaging 34.3 points and 490.4 yards per game. After breaking into the top 25 for the first time since 1993 last week, the Bears won their third straight, defeating Texas 30-22 for their first win over the Longhorns since 1997. After picking up a rare win in Austin, Baylor faces another challenge in Stillwater, where the Bears haven't won since 1939. *Oklahoma State has won four straight over Baylor, outscoring the Bears 179-51, including a 34-7 victory last season. The Bears are 1-13 against the Cowboys as Big 12 rivals. The Bears are still suspect on defense after giving up 566 yards to TCU and 635 to Texas Tech. *The Cowboys have caused 22 turnovers so far this season and will try force Griffin out of his comfort zone with multiple blitzes. We expect another shootout between two great games but give Oklahoma State the overall edge.* Look for the Cowboys to outscore the Bears and coast to a double digit win.
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Projected Score* Baylor 14* Oklahoma State 44* *
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TCU/ Utah = Under 51 - Double Play
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Analysis- *It's the Mountain West's premier matchup, the first in league history pitting two ranked top-10 teams and one that will go a long way in deciding not only a conference champion but also who will remain a potential BCS buster. TCU (9-0, 4-4 ATS) beat UNLV convincingly Saturday, rolling to a 48-6 win behind senior quarterback Andy Dalton, who threw for 252 yards and two TD passes. TCU has never won in three trips to Salt Lake City. The Frogs boast the nation's top defense and have only given up 16 points in their last five games.* They have not given up more than 7 points in conference play and have impressive wins over Oregon State and TCU. Utah (8-0, 6-1 ATS) haven’t been nearly as dominant as the Horned Frogs, struggling to get past Air Force last week, but the offense has been phenomenal hanging 50 points or more on the board in four of the last six games, while allowing 14 points or fewer in five of the eight wins. The Utes have impressive wins over Iowa State and Pittsburgh as well.* These teams are mirror images of each other so expect this game to go the distance and come down to a defensive stop. We expect this game to be very low scoring and go well below the total of 51.
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Projected Score* TCU 17* Utah 13 **
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-14 Florida - Double Play
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Analysis - Vanderbilt (2-6, 3-5 ATS) is at the bottom of the SEC in wins and ranks last in the league in several offensive categories including total defense.* The Commadores (2-6, 3-5 ATS) offense (105th nationally) has been a problem all season long, and it has gotten worse over the last three weeks. The passing game has thrown for under 100 yards four times so far and came up with a mere 36 last week against Arkansas on 6-of-17 throws with two interceptions. Florida (5-3,3-4 ATS) played its best game of the year last week vs Georgia after coming off three straight losses including a 10-7 home disaster against Mississippi State. The Gators were sparked offensively by the return of speedsters Jeff Demps and Chris Rainey.* They also got a boost from Trey Burton, who ran for 110 yards and two scores.* The Commadores suffered a huge blow last week when leading rusher Warren Norman was lost for the year with a wrist injury. While he wasn’t having a huge year, he was still the team’s top playmaker on the ground with 459 yards and four touchdowns, and his loss puts more pressure on Zac Stacy, a good-looking sophomore who has been a nice complementary player, but he hasn’t come up with more than nine carries so far this year. *The Gators are finally click on offense so look for them to pick up where they left off last week by blowing out Vanderbilt.
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Projected Score* Florida 35* Vanderbilt 14* *