Larry Ness' 20* CFB Bailout Blowout GOY (8-1, 88.9% CFB run since Nov 20)
My 20* CFB Bailout Blowout GOY is on Tennessee at 7:00 ET. Lane Kiffin left an 'ugly' situation out in Oakland, landing in Knoxville and quickly found all sorts of new controversies. His first regular season comes to a close with the Vols entering their season finale with Kentucky at 6-5. It marks the seventh staright season the Vols have ended their regular season with the Wildcats. As for those Wildcats, Rich Brooks will be taking Kentucky (currently 7-4) to its fourth straight bowl (Wildcats have won last three) in his eighth year at Lexington.The Wildcats have an excellent running game (196.2 YPG / 4.6) led by TB Locke (821 YR / 4.9 TDs) and a do-everything player Cobb (33 catches for four TDs / 436 YR, 6.6 YPC and 9 TDs). Starting QB Hartline was lost earlier in the year to an injury but freshman Newton has done a solid job and has five TDs with just one INT in the team's curreny three-game winning streak. Kentucky's most recent win came this past Saturday in Athens, where the Wildcats came back from a 20-6 deficit at the half to win, 34-27. Four Georgia TOs led to four Kentucky TDs, as the Wildcats earned their first win at Athens in 32 years (won 33-0 in 1977). The Kentucky defense is solid, allowing 22.2 PPG and 355.4 YPG. Tennessee is bowl-eligible at 6-5 but Kiffin surely doesn't want to end 6-6. QB Crompton has had a much better season as a senior (split time with Stephens LY passing for less than 1,000 yards with four TDs and five INTs), entering this game with 25 TDs and just 11 INTs and over 2,300 passing yards). His season didn't start well, throwing five INTs without a TD in losses to UCLA and Florida, passing for exactly 93 yards against both teams. However, over his last eight games, he's got 20 TDs and just four INTs. Tennessee runs the ball well too, averaging 164.9 YPG (4.6 YPG) led by Hardesty (1,127 YR / 5.0 YPC / 9 TDs). Lane's dad Monte left Tampa Bay to take over the defense and while it hasn't "all been roses," note that Tennessee has given BOTH Florida and Alabama fits in 2009. The Vols lost 23-13 at Florida, holding the Gators (36.5 PPG) almost two TDs under their average and about 100 yards under their average in yards. The Vols lost just 12-10 at Alabama (), holding the Tide to just 16 FDs and 256 total yards. In fact, Terrence Cody, the Crimson Tide's 350-pound nose guard, blocked a 44-yard FG attempt on the final play of the game to secure the win, his second block of the fourth quarter! While I've given Brooks his due for four straight bowl appearances, he is 0-7 in his career vs Tennessee. However, that's hardly something new. Fact is, Tennessee has won 24 straight games over Kentucky, which represents the nation's longest series win streak now that Navy regularly beats Notre Dame. Tennessee has never played a night game in Lexington and while it will be interesting to see how the Vols react to the hostile crowd and the predicted crisp weather, why should Saturday's result be any different from the previous 24? Kiffin's put himself in 'hot water' in his first year at Knoxville a number of times already but if he loses to Kentucky on Saturday, he and his beautiful wife (if you've seen her, there is NO argument) may be 'house hunting.' Consider this. Is Kentucky actually expected to win in Athens for the first time in 32 years one Saturday and then the very next Saturday end a 24-year losing streak to the hated Vols? I think not! By the way, in addition to its 24-game winning streak over Kentucky, Tennessee also owns a 26-game winning streak in its regular season finales. CFB Bailout Blowout GOY 20* Tennessee.
Good Luck...Larry
Larry Ness' 20* Late-Breaking Play-CFB (1st CFB total of 2009!)
My 20* Late-Breaking Play is on Navy/Hawaii Over at 10:30 ET. I overlooked this game earlier in the week but late Friday night, something caught my eye. This is the FIRST total I've played in CFB all season and I believe it will be an easy winner. This is a great set-up for Navy. The Midshipmen have not played since beating Delaware 35-18 at home on Nov 14 and have until Dec 12 before they met the Cadets in Philadelphia. Navy head coach Ken Niumatalolo ia native Hawaiian and a graduate of UH in 1989. He played football there and is more than just a little familiar with what to expect when he brings his Midshipmen to the shore. Navy ranks third in the nation with 282.6 YPG on the ground, as SEVEN players have gained a least 100 yards. Despite missing one game (and parts of others), QB Ricky Dobbs leads the team with 797 YR and 22 rushing TDs (only Toby Gerhart of Stanford has more with 23). Hawaii's had no real chance to prepare for Navy's option and expect the Midshipmen to "run wild." Speaking of the Rainbows, they have won three straight games and enter this game 4-6. A win here and against Wisconsin next Saturday would send them to the Hawaii Bowl but that may be a stretch. What isn't a stretch is that despite using three different QBs this season, the Rainbows rank third in the nation averaging 347.1 YPG through the air. Whether it's Moniz or Austin at QB, who cares? Check out these numbers. Hawaii beat Utah St 49-36 here at home on Nov 7 and then New Mexico St 24-6 on Nov 14. A check of the record book shows that those two wins up Hawaii's home record in November (going back to the 2003 season) to 15-1. Of importance to us here, those 16 games have averaged 76.3 points per contest. Late Breaking Play 20* Navy/Hawaii Over.
My 20* CFB Bailout Blowout GOY is on Tennessee at 7:00 ET. Lane Kiffin left an 'ugly' situation out in Oakland, landing in Knoxville and quickly found all sorts of new controversies. His first regular season comes to a close with the Vols entering their season finale with Kentucky at 6-5. It marks the seventh staright season the Vols have ended their regular season with the Wildcats. As for those Wildcats, Rich Brooks will be taking Kentucky (currently 7-4) to its fourth straight bowl (Wildcats have won last three) in his eighth year at Lexington.The Wildcats have an excellent running game (196.2 YPG / 4.6) led by TB Locke (821 YR / 4.9 TDs) and a do-everything player Cobb (33 catches for four TDs / 436 YR, 6.6 YPC and 9 TDs). Starting QB Hartline was lost earlier in the year to an injury but freshman Newton has done a solid job and has five TDs with just one INT in the team's curreny three-game winning streak. Kentucky's most recent win came this past Saturday in Athens, where the Wildcats came back from a 20-6 deficit at the half to win, 34-27. Four Georgia TOs led to four Kentucky TDs, as the Wildcats earned their first win at Athens in 32 years (won 33-0 in 1977). The Kentucky defense is solid, allowing 22.2 PPG and 355.4 YPG. Tennessee is bowl-eligible at 6-5 but Kiffin surely doesn't want to end 6-6. QB Crompton has had a much better season as a senior (split time with Stephens LY passing for less than 1,000 yards with four TDs and five INTs), entering this game with 25 TDs and just 11 INTs and over 2,300 passing yards). His season didn't start well, throwing five INTs without a TD in losses to UCLA and Florida, passing for exactly 93 yards against both teams. However, over his last eight games, he's got 20 TDs and just four INTs. Tennessee runs the ball well too, averaging 164.9 YPG (4.6 YPG) led by Hardesty (1,127 YR / 5.0 YPC / 9 TDs). Lane's dad Monte left Tampa Bay to take over the defense and while it hasn't "all been roses," note that Tennessee has given BOTH Florida and Alabama fits in 2009. The Vols lost 23-13 at Florida, holding the Gators (36.5 PPG) almost two TDs under their average and about 100 yards under their average in yards. The Vols lost just 12-10 at Alabama (), holding the Tide to just 16 FDs and 256 total yards. In fact, Terrence Cody, the Crimson Tide's 350-pound nose guard, blocked a 44-yard FG attempt on the final play of the game to secure the win, his second block of the fourth quarter! While I've given Brooks his due for four straight bowl appearances, he is 0-7 in his career vs Tennessee. However, that's hardly something new. Fact is, Tennessee has won 24 straight games over Kentucky, which represents the nation's longest series win streak now that Navy regularly beats Notre Dame. Tennessee has never played a night game in Lexington and while it will be interesting to see how the Vols react to the hostile crowd and the predicted crisp weather, why should Saturday's result be any different from the previous 24? Kiffin's put himself in 'hot water' in his first year at Knoxville a number of times already but if he loses to Kentucky on Saturday, he and his beautiful wife (if you've seen her, there is NO argument) may be 'house hunting.' Consider this. Is Kentucky actually expected to win in Athens for the first time in 32 years one Saturday and then the very next Saturday end a 24-year losing streak to the hated Vols? I think not! By the way, in addition to its 24-game winning streak over Kentucky, Tennessee also owns a 26-game winning streak in its regular season finales. CFB Bailout Blowout GOY 20* Tennessee.
Good Luck...Larry
Larry Ness' 20* Late-Breaking Play-CFB (1st CFB total of 2009!)
My 20* Late-Breaking Play is on Navy/Hawaii Over at 10:30 ET. I overlooked this game earlier in the week but late Friday night, something caught my eye. This is the FIRST total I've played in CFB all season and I believe it will be an easy winner. This is a great set-up for Navy. The Midshipmen have not played since beating Delaware 35-18 at home on Nov 14 and have until Dec 12 before they met the Cadets in Philadelphia. Navy head coach Ken Niumatalolo ia native Hawaiian and a graduate of UH in 1989. He played football there and is more than just a little familiar with what to expect when he brings his Midshipmen to the shore. Navy ranks third in the nation with 282.6 YPG on the ground, as SEVEN players have gained a least 100 yards. Despite missing one game (and parts of others), QB Ricky Dobbs leads the team with 797 YR and 22 rushing TDs (only Toby Gerhart of Stanford has more with 23). Hawaii's had no real chance to prepare for Navy's option and expect the Midshipmen to "run wild." Speaking of the Rainbows, they have won three straight games and enter this game 4-6. A win here and against Wisconsin next Saturday would send them to the Hawaii Bowl but that may be a stretch. What isn't a stretch is that despite using three different QBs this season, the Rainbows rank third in the nation averaging 347.1 YPG through the air. Whether it's Moniz or Austin at QB, who cares? Check out these numbers. Hawaii beat Utah St 49-36 here at home on Nov 7 and then New Mexico St 24-6 on Nov 14. A check of the record book shows that those two wins up Hawaii's home record in November (going back to the 2003 season) to 15-1. Of importance to us here, those 16 games have averaged 76.3 points per contest. Late Breaking Play 20* Navy/Hawaii Over.
here is what doesnt make sense with these guys MAXIMUS REPORT.
Their yearly package is $12,000. Yet they say play their top pick for $200. You would have to go 67-0 to just break even for that cost. Who does that? It doesnt make sense. Their top pick is 193-91. So you have played with them say since August, minus the cost of your package, you are only up 15 units? Hmmmm, that sure doesnt add up. Just an observation. If I invested $12,000 in something id sure want more than a 3.75 unit ROI per month. And that is IF they continue to hit at 68% (or so is claimed) which we know they will not.
