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Tom Freese
NCAA-F | Nov 27
LSU vs. Arkansas
Arkansas-3½-105 at
SIA> 4h.LSU is 10-1 straight up this year. The Tigers are 3-11 ATS their last 14 November games and they are 1-5-1 ATS their last 7 games after scoring 40 or more points in their last game. Lsu is 2-5 ATS their last 7 games off a straight up win. Arkansas is 9-2 straight this year. The Razorbacks are 12-2 ATS their last 14 games off a straight up win and they are 6-0 ATS their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning home record. The Razorbacks are 5-0 ATS their last 5 games overall. PLAY ON ARKANSAS -
Bryan Leonard
NFL | Nov 28
St Louis Rams vs. Denver Broncos
St Louis Rams+4-110 at
SIA> 1d.St Louis at Denver
The Rams are 4-6 on the season with four of those losses by 4, 2, 1 and 3 points in overtime. This is a team that continually gets overlook by the betting public. And after a 34-17 loss last week to Atlanta the general public will continue to look past the Rams. Much will be made about the fact that St Louis has lost 17 straight games on the road. But they have taken 3 of their 4 road opponents right down to the wire. This is a hungry team that continues to give it all each and every week.
The same cannot be said of the Broncos. Denver scored the first seven points of the game Monday night in San Diego and then were outscored 35-7 the rest of the way. Denver had high hopes coming into the season but have won just 3 of their first 10 games. And unlike the Rams when the Broncos lose they lose big. Denver has already lost by margins of 7, 14, 14, 4, 45, 8 and 21 points. At home they have dropped 3 of 5 in straight up fashion and 7 of their last 10 here going back to last season. Next week Denver faces Kansas City for the second time after what the Chiefs coaching staff thought was running up the score in a 49-29 home win just two weeks ago. You can be sure the players are more focused on that game than on the invading NFC team that has posted a 10-48 record the past 3+ seasons. We fully expect the Broncos to look past the Rams just like the general public has done all season. This time St Louis gets over the hump for the outright victory.
PLAY ST LOUIS
Jimmy Boyd
NCAA-F | Nov 27
LSU vs. Arkansas
Arkansas
-3-110 at
BETUS> 4h.
Bonus Play
1 Unit on Arkansas Razorbacks -3
Arkansas enters this contest smoking hot, having won 5 in a row SU and ATS. Motivated by last season's tough 3-point loss at LSU, I expect the Razorbacks to keep on rolling.
LSU is a good football team, but it is limited offensively, and it has certainly benefited from a home-heavy schedule. This will only be LSU's fourth true road game of the season. The Tigers have played 2 other road games in league play. They were lucky to win at Florida against the mediocre Gators and they lost at Auburn.
It has not been wise to go against the Hogs when they are streaking. In fact, Arkansas is a perfect 9-0 ATS after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 2 seasons. Plus, Arkansas has typically played its best ball late in the season. As a result, the Razors are 7-0 ATS in November games over the last 2 years. Consider that the Tigers are just 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games in November.
Expect Arkansas to pay LSU back for last season's narrow defeat on senior day. Lay the points.
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Tom Stryker
NCAA-F | Nov 27
Indiana vs. Purdue
Indiana
+3-105 at
BETUS> 1h.Indiana has lost 12 consecutive conference games. Just two weeks ago, the Hoosiers program was the joke of college football when they allowed Wisconsin to post 83 points on them in Madison. The Big Red defense is one of the worst in the nation allowing a whopping 34.3 points and 419 total yards per game. All of those facts are noted. However, this could very well be the last game for IU head coach Bill Lynch and his players will fight tooth-and-nail to win the Oaken Bucket for him.
Purdue played well in the first half at Michigan State last Saturday and gave the Spartans a run for their money. Off that heart-breaking loss, the injury-plagued Boilermakers will be asked to get up emotionally one more time for a game against their biggest rival. Call me crazy, but I think the Hoosiers are going to want this victory just a little more.
One thing that Indiana’s Swiss cheese defense has going for it in this game is the fact that Purdue’s offense is one of the worst in the land. Statistically speaking, the Boilers average a weak 18.6 points and 312 total yards per game. PU has some success running the football but their passing attack is next-to-nothing. The Boilermakers are averaging just 4.8 yards per pass. That number is one the Hoosiers can handle.
It is noted that Purdue is a stunning 23-0 SU and 15-5 ATS in its last 23 at home matched up against an opponent that owns a won/loss percentage less than .500. However, there is a strong late-season system that works against the Boilermakers and this technical gem demands our respect. Since 1980, college home favorites battling in their season finale are a pitiful 11-26 ATS provided they check in off back-to-back ATS dog wins. The Boilers hit pointspread paydirt against Michigan and Michigan State and they apply to this negative situation.
Coach Lynch may not produce wins but he is a player favorite. Watch the Big Red step up and give their leader something to remember. Take Indiana. Thank you and best of luck, Tom Stryker.
Tony Karpinski
NCAA-F | Nov 27
Indiana vs. Purdue
Total
53½ ov-110 at
BETUS> 1h.This is a battle of the hopeless, where both teams are on dreadful losing streaks. Indiana losing their last 5 games, by an average of 24 points, including the bizarre beating Wisconsin put on them. Purdue, also losers of 5 in a row, with losses to Ohio State, 49-0 and Illinois, 44-10. Something has got to give, this is a break game for both teams. Neither team plays much defense, so I expect a lot of points in this game here.
Bonus Play SHOOTOUT
Steve Merril
NCAA-F | Nov 27
Washington Huskies vs. California
California
-6½-110 at
CRIS> 4h.
Bonus Play
Both teams have had disappointing seasons after they had higher pre-season expectations. Washington is just 4-6 and needs to win their final two games to get to a bowl game. California is 5-6 and needs to win this game if they want to go bowling. So there’s a lot on the line for these two teams this afternoon, but there’s one other key motivating factor that gives California an extra edge in this game.
California will be playing their final game in nostalgic Memorial Stadium; the historic place will be undergoing a major renovation and be a totally different place once finished. The Bears are talking about going out in style with a big signature win, and they are certainly capable of getting one here against Washington. The Huskies beat an injury-riddled UCLA team last week 24-7, but that game was a lot closer than the final score indicates. And if we draw a line through that result, we see a Washington team that had lost their three previous games by 30, 41, and 37 points while being out-scored by a combined 138-30.
The Huskies will be up against here, especially against a desperate California team looking for bowl eligibility. Cal is off back-to-back losses to Oregon and Stanford so there’s no shame in losing those games. But when they face teams on their level at home, Cal blows them out. The Bears have won home games by 49, 45, 28, and 33 points this season. California should have a field day running the ball with Shane Vereen here as Washington’s rush defense has allowed some big numbers this season including 383, 298, 234, 278, and 279 yards. California’s defense should also contain a pedestrian Washington offense that has gained 321 yards of total offense or less in their last four games. California lost 42-10 at Washington last year so a little payback is in order as the Bears cruise to an easy home win and earn their eight consecutive bowl bid.
Jack Jones
NCAA-F | Nov 27
TCU Horned Frogs vs. New Mexico
TCU Horned Frogs
-43-110 at
BETUS> 5h.Jack's Free Pick Saturday: TCU -43
The TCU Horned Frogs get the call here in what is their final regular season game, thus their last chance to impress voters. TCU is 11-0 this season and is not only playing to make a BCS Bowl, but possible a National Championship berth if the chips fall in place. They won't call off the dogs Saturday against New Mexico, which is why I feel they will have no problem covering this massive spread. The Lobos rank as one of the worst teams in the land, sitting at 1-10 this season thanks to an offense that ranks 114th (279 YPG) and a defense that ranks 116th (497 YPG) out of 120 FBS teams. TCU ranks No. 1 against the pass (135 YPG) and No. 1 in total defense (223 YPG).
New Mexico lost to TCU 51-40 last season, and this 2010 edition of the Horned Frogs is better than they were a year ago. The Lobos have faced a pair of BCS contenders this season, losing to Oregon 72-0 and to Utah 56-14. That was the same Utah team that TCU throttled 47-7 a few weeks back. TCU is outscoring opponents 41.3 PPG to 10.9 PPG this season or an average of 30.4 PPG. New Mexico is clearly the worst team they have faced all season, which is why covering 43 points when they win by nearly that much on average anyway shouldn't be a problem. The Lobos are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater. TCU holds nothing back Saturday coming off a bye and looking to put one lasting impression on the polls. Bet the Horned Frogs Saturday.
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Bob Wingerter
NCAA-F | Nov 27
South Carolina vs. Clemson
Total
45 un-105 at
JAMAICA> 8h.Clemson scored only 35 points against North Texas. Teams
in the Sun Belt Conference have scored more points against
North Texas. Is this Clemson offense going to score big
against an SEC defense? We want to say, “No way, Jose.”
On the other hand, this Clemson defense held Auburn to
24 points in regulation, and Auburn has averaged 41
points per game this season.
For the season, Clemson opponents have scored 11 points
per game less than their average. As South Carolina comes
in eyeing the SEC Championship Game in a week, will they
be looking to throw the ball over the field, maybe get
their quarterback sacked and injured in a game with 75
offensive plays? Nope. They’ll be happy to snap it late
in the play-clock, run the B game plan with as few snaps
as possible for both offensive and defensive units, and
take their chances with their talent against Clemson’s
talent in a field position battle. TAKE THE UNDER
Black Widow
NCAA-F | Nov 27
Florida vs. Florida State
Florida State
-2-105 at
JAMAICA> 4h.Widow's CFB Free Pick Saturday:
1* on Florida State -2
*Analysis Coming Soon*
John Ryan
NFL | Nov 28
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Baltimore Ravens
Baltimore Ravens
-7½-110 at
SIA> 1d.My proprietary model and simulator shows a high probability that the Baltimore (7-3, 4-0 home) will defeat Tampa Bay (7-3, 4-1 away) by a minimum of eight points. The technical systems and angles favor the Ravens and they are the better team on both sides of the ball. Tampa Bay has been a real surprise this season, but going on the road to defeat an AFC contender is just too tall a task at this point. Just last week we saw an upstart Raiders team go into Pittsburgh and the Raiders got a rude awakening in a very humbling defeat. I think the same will occur in this game as well to the Bucs.
The Technicals Favor the Ravens
Ravens are a solid 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in home games after a win by 21 or more points since 1992; 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games after scoring 30 points or more last game over the last three seasons; 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) in home games after a playing a game where 50 total points or more were scored since 1992.
Supporting the Ravens is a solid system that has produced a 43-16 ATS mark for 73% winners since 1983. Play against road teams off an upset win by 14 points or more as a dog and is a good team winning 60% or more of their games on the season.
Tampa Bay has become over valued
NFL has been commonly referred to as ‘Not for Long’ and this certainly applies to Tampa Bay. They enter this game winners of four of the last five games and have covered four straight. At the beginning of the season the public did not expect the Bucs to be even a .500 type team. Now that they have accomplished far more than the original expectations the public is now enamored with them and will ride the horse all the way to the finish line. By analogy, that horse is about to stop far short of the finish line. So, what I see as a fair line, the public will see otherwise as ‘Lock bet’ on Tampa Bay at the 7 1/2 point level. In sum, the value is with the Ravens, who are the proven team.
Baltimore in a near ‘must win’ game
Baltimore and Pittsburgh are tied for the AFC North lead and the winner could easily have a first round BYE while the second place team may not even make the playoffs. So, Baltimore must take care of business in this game and get the win. A veteran team like the Ravens will not get caught looking ahead to next week’s showdown with the Steelers.
The Ravens ‘D’ will be Prepared
Tampa Bay used several gadget plays last week. They threw a touchdown to an offensive lineman, used a fake punt successfully, and had a backup quarterback lined up at wide receiver in a modified ‘wildcat’ formation. Those plays worked because the element of surprise was present. Now, that Baltimore has had ample time to review tape of all of these plays they will be fully prepared to recognize any odd formations and alignments.
Ravens Defense will stop the Bucs run
The Bucs have averaged 141 rushing yards per game since October 10 with the running back combination of Cadillac Williams and LeGarrette Blount. The Ravens defense has the personnel to stop the Bucs running game and this will severely limit Bucs tight end Kellon Winslow’s impact in the game.
Without play action, there are a minimal number of plays that the Bucs can use to get the ball into Winslow’s hands, who leads the team with 43 receptions. In addition, the lack of a reliable running game will enable the Ravens defensive front and linebackers to collapse the pocket and force poor reads that may result in numerous turnovers.
Ravens win this BIG!
Tony George
NCAA-F | Nov 27
Cincinnati vs. Connecticut
Connecticut
-1-110 at
CRIS> 1h.U Conn -1.5 vs. Cincy – Saturday NCAA Football
It looks like a set up line, but U Conn at home laying less than a field goal in my humble opinion is a gift against a Cincy team in poor form and 2-6 ATS their last 8 games. U Conn has had a disappointing season, but with their Seventh win here could grab a decent mid bowl game. 3 Impressive wins against Pitt, West Virginia and on the road at Syracuse where the Huskies dominated a decent Cuse team has me all over them. Because the Bearcats lit of Rutgers, who is a bad team last week for over 60 points has this line lower than expected, but it is the Huskies on the rise and off 3 straight wins where they are playing now to their potential. U Conns defense allowing 15 ppg their last 3 games, Cincy allowing over 30, enough said.
Bonus Play on U Conn
Jeff Alexander
NCAA-F | Nov 27
BYU vs. Utah
BYU
+8½-110 at
SIA> 4h.Bonus Play for November 27, 2010
1 Unit on BYU Cougars +8.5
Bottom Line: A Utah team that has been exposed is getting way too much respect this afternoon against a BYU team that has found its stride. The Cougars have won 4 in a row, and with all that momentum should be able to take Utah down to the wire. Utah has been a terrible investment in the chalk, where it is 7-21 ATS in its last 28 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0 points. The Utes are just 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0 points. Plus, the underdog is a terrific 10-3 ATS in the last 13 meetings in this series. These teams are headed in different directions, and I'm taking the one on the upswing catching big points.
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Jim Feist
NCAA-F | Nov 27
UNLV Rebels vs. San Diego State
Total
59½ ov-110 at
BETUS> 9h.
Take: over
Reason: The weather looks good in San Diego, which will help these offenses. UNLV (2-9 SU/4-6 ATS) has a decent passing game behind senior QB Omar Clayton (10 TDs, 5 INTs), but the defense is terrible allowing 35 points per game. The Rebels are riding a 1-6 SU/3-4 ATS run giving up 44, 49, 43, 48, 16 and 35 points. They had an embarrassing 43-10 loss at a bad Colorado State team. Injuries have been a major reason the Rebels have struggled. San Diego State is playing well under second-year Coach Brady Hoke with a potent, balanced attack averaging 260 yards in the air and 31 points behind Junior QB Ryan Lindley (22 TDs, 15 INTs). Look for more offense than odsmakers expect, Play UNLV/San Diego State Over the total.
Michael Alexander
NCAA-F | Nov 27
South Carolina vs. Clemson
Total
45 un-105 at
JAMAICA> 8h.Clemson hosts the S. Carolina in a SEC contest hoping that they can put the ball in the endzone. Clemson has really struggled scoring as they put up only 35 points versus North Texas. Weaker teams in the Sun Belt Conference have scored more points against North Texas. If they can't score versus a Sun Belt defense chances are they'll struggle versus an SEC defense. Fortunately for Clemson they also have a defense of their own that held Auburn to 24 points in regulationn while Auburn has averaged 41 points per game.
This game doesn't mean a whole lot to the South Carolina Gamecoks as they will be playing in the SEC Championship Game next week. As a result they will play this one pretty close to the vest to make sure that everyone is healthy for the Championship game against Auburn. So, expect the Gamecocks to play ball control football and keep in on the ground.
All that spells a game that is going to struggle getting the point total higher than 45.
Take the Under
Craig Trapp
NCAA-F | Nov 27
Cincinnati vs. Connecticut
Total
55½ ov-105 at
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Over 55 CIN/UCONN: CINCY offense is finally healthy and its shown scoring 69 against Rutgers last week. Bad news for Bearcats is defense has been pitiful all year giving up nearly 30 pts average against this year. UCONN has been rolling lately winning 3 in a row. Today this offense of UCONN will march up and down the field as this is an old fashion shootout.
Rob Vinciletti
NCAA-F | Nov 27
Florida vs. Florida State
Florida
+2-110 at
BETUS> 4h.Saturday 4 Big NCAAF Power system plays. 100% Blowout GOY, Double System Dog of the month, Triple angle Revenger + 24-1 Battle for Oklahoma side. College football cashing 65% this year. NBA Now 22-8 after cashing on Friday. On Saturday the 100% NBA power system total of the week beats line by 18 points. NCAAF AND NBA RANKED #1. Free System Club Play below
On Saturday the System Club Play is on Florida. Game 149 at 3:30 eastern. Florida qualifies in a plethora of solid angles here today. They are 13-0 in non conference games and 11-1 in November. They also have a solid defensive edge. Coach Meyer is 39-3 in non conference games including 15-1 ats off a win. The Gators are 6-1 as a dog of 7 or less. Florida St is just 2-9 ats has a home favorite of 7 or less and have failed to cover 7 of 8 times after playing Maryland. In last home games they are just 2-5 ats of late. Look for Florida to win here as a small dog today. On Saturday there are 4 big NCAAF games up. The 100% Blowout Game of the Year. the Dog and revenger's of the Month Both backed with Huge Long term Systems that cash well over 90% + the 24-1 Battle for Oklahoma side. College football cashing over 65% on the year. NBA now 22-8 after cashing again last night. Tonight we have a 100% Power system total of the week that beats the line by 18 points. NCAAB cashed last night and will be on 2nd report. For the free System Club Play take Florida. RV
Wunderdog
NFL | Nov 28
Tennessee Titans vs. Houston Texans
Tennessee Titans
+6½-110 at
CRIS> 1d.The Tennessee Titans will go with Rusty Smith at QB here, and its about as good a spot as possible for him to get his first start. The Texans' defense is the worst in the league, and with Chris Johnson piling up yards on a soft Houston front he should have some time off play action to do an adequate job. Often when teams have an apparent downgrade on offense, we see the defense rise to the occasion, playing focused with a sense of urgency. The Titans can get a lot of pressure on Matt Schaub, as they have recorded 30 sacks already on the season. Houston appeared to turn the corner lasy year breaking the .500 mark for the first time, and started 4-2 this season. But they have now dropped four straight games. They are the only team in the NFL to allow 24 or more points in every game. And, it's only gotten worse as the season progresses. They have allowed 29 or more in each of their last six. This is too many points to be giving from a team that has dropped their last four games and is allowing 30+ a game over their last half-dozen. I'm on Tennessee here.
NCAA-F | Nov 27
LSU vs. Arkansas
Arkansas
-3-110 at
BETUS> 4h.The Tigers are 10-1 and currently reside in 5th place in the latest BCS Poll. The defense has carried them this season but in their big games, the defense has cracked, allowing 29 to Florida, 24 to Auburn and 21 to Alabama not to mention 36 last week to Mississippi. The offense is average, so facing a high octane Arkansas offense led by Ryan Mallett, on the road, is a big chore. The Hogs are almost impossible to stop at home on the offensive end as over the last two years spanning 11 games at home, they are averaging 45 ppg. The Razorbacks are a sharp 12-2 ATS in their last 14 after a win, while LSU is 1-5-1 ATS after piling up 40+ in their last game. They are also 11-21 ATS under Les Miles when coming off a home win. They are just 1-4 ATS in their last five games vs. Arkansas. Meanwhile, Arkansas is 11-3 ATS since last sesaon vs. winning opponents. I like the home team to win and cover this one.
Chip Chirimbes
NCAA-F | Nov 27
TCU Horned Frogs vs. New Mexico
TCU Horned Frogs
-43-110 at
BETUS> 5h.FREE WINNER- I can't help but remember poor Big Jim, my New Mexico alumni friend sitting at the bar in Las Vegas watching Oregon destroy the hapless Lobos the opening week of the season 72-0 and the Ducks actually called of the dogs after taking a 58-0 lead a half time. New Mexico (1-10) did manage a win at home as a 9-point dog over Wyoming but, I doubt that will put any points on the board here. The Horned Frogs have one the the best stop units in the nation and they will look to impress the polls by out-doing Oregon. Take TCU!
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Sean Higgs
NCAA-F | Nov 27
South Carolina vs. Clemson
Total
45½ un-110 at
BETUS> 8h.Putting Friday far behind us as we head into the weekend. First up, I have a big SEC Top 10* going today $ College Hoops off to a sluggish start. Even after a couple losing CBB days, we see looking back to my last 94 selections that we are still at 60% winners on the college hardwood. On to the final Saturday of CFB. My Bonus Play today will be on the UNDER between the Gamecocks and Tigers. Clemson has played UNDER in 9 of 12 vs SEC teams. UNDER tonight ~ BURY the MAN $ .. Higgs