Service Plays Saturday 11/20/10

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SCOTT DELANEY
Saturday Winner ...
My 50 Dime Winner is on the SAN DIEGO STATE AZTECS. The line I am seeing at 6:30 a.m. pacific is currently +120 across the board. I want you to be sure to shop the numbers, as I want you getting the best numbers on this play.
 
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1. Asa 9- goy mich st, 4-neb over, 3-tenn, ill
2. Ats 8-bc, fl st, 7-mia fl, tulsa, 6-n ill
3. Ben burns 3t 10-tx, s jose, 9-nc, ind, mich
4. Big money ore st
5. Blazer 6t 4-mia fl, n tx, 3- col st, ole miss, troy, sd st
6. Carolina sports 5-bc, 4-col, sd st, troy, 3-duke, cal, uab
7. Doc enterprises 6-penn st, 5-ohio st under, 4-mich st, s fl, tenn, sd st
8. Dr. Bob 2 3-penn st, 2- bc, pitt
9. Gameday
10. Inside info 3-ore st, 2-c fl
11. Joe d 25-sd st, 20-haw, tulane, utah st, 15-pitt, e mich, neb, mia fl
12. Kelso 50- sd st, n ill, 25-byu, 5-ill 4- kansas 3- md
13. Lenny stevens 20-tenn, stan, 10-iowa, ark
14. Lt profits 3-md, ore st, 2-sd st
15. Million club 6t 2- oh st, ore st
16. Nationwide (goldst) 6t super 7-tenn, top: Vt, reg: Bc, utah st, louis, mar, neb
17. Neri 1 4-penn st, 3- syr, mich, bc
18. Ness 10-utah, 9-bc, ohio st, 8-mich, ill, utah st
19. Northcoast 4- tenn, ole miss, mia fl, 3-oh st, mich st, w mich, col
20. Preferred picks 3t 5- mis fl, 3- iowa, sd st, troy
21. Private players 5 5- fl st, 4- penn st, ole miss, tenn, haw, 3- bc, n ill, byu, sd st
22. Pure lock la laf
23.ras season complete
24.underdog sd st
25. Wildcat 10- baylor, 7-ark over, 5-rice
 
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WISEGUY EDGE

WiseGuy Edge Play - 15% bankroll
Double Play - 5% bankroll
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-3 Pittsburgh - WiseGuy Edge Play
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Analysis - * Pittsburgh is looking to bounce back from last week's 28-30 loss to Connecticut with a statement win over South Florida. The Panthers (5-4) were riding a three game winning streak into Rentschler Field last week but couldn’t slow down Connecticut RB Jordan Todman, who rushed for 222 yards. South Florida (6-3) has won three in a row and is mastering the art of surviving close calls, winning each time during the streak by no more than eight points. The Bulls capitalized on a blocked punt and interception last week against Louisville pulling out a 24-21 overtime win. This team has played above expectations under first year coach Skip Holtz and anything above .500 will be considered a good season. With no one resembling Todman on South Florida, the Panthers ought to get back to the business of shutting opponents down. The defense (29th) is only allowing 304 yards and 20 points a game, which will be a roadblock to the inconsistent Bull offense ( 75th). Even though DE Greg Romeus has suffered a torn ACL, Pitt line mates Jabaal Sheard and Brandon Lindsey should flush B.J. Daniels from the pocket on a regular basis and with one of the worst passing games (103rd) *n the country, the Panthers will be able to press up LB Max Gruder and safeties Jared Holley and Dom DeCicco without paying a price through the air. After losing in the league for the first time, Pittsburgh is sufficiently focused and aware of what’s at stake this weekend in Raymond James Stadium. The Panthers will enjoy the edge on defense forcing Daniels into bad throws with inside and outside pressure, and slowing down the running game. The offense will take care of the rest as the Panthers easily win this game by three touchdowns.*

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Projected Score* Pittsburgh*34* South Florida*10*
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-7 Oklahoma - Double Play *
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Analysis - Oklahoma will try to remain alive in the conference title chase by continuing its dominance of Baylor on Saturday night. *The Sooners (8-2) offense came alive last week in a 45-7 win over Texas Tech with 317 passing yards and 246 rushing yards. They will need to end a four-game road losing streak dating to a win over then-No. 24 Kansas on Oct. 24, 2009. They've lost both games as visitors this season, falling to then-18th-ranked Missouri and the Aggies two weeks ago. Baylor (7-4) is coming off a tough loss to Texas A&M. The Bears squandered a 16-point, first-half lead by giving up 28 unanswered points in a 43-30 loss.*Offensively, the Bears are led by Robert Griffin, who completes 66.8 percent of his passes to rank third in the conference with 3,071 passing yards, 20 TDs and six interceptions. The sophomore is also a threat on the ground, gaining 508 yards with eight touchdowns. He had 212 passing yards while adding 92 rushing with a score against the Aggies. The Sooners have won all 19 meetings with the Bears - eight in Waco, including a 49-17 victory in the most recent meeting there in October 2008. They won last season's matchup 33-7 at home in October and have won seven of the last eight by at least 26 points. The Bear's defense (73rd)*has been a nightmare at times, allowing 42 points or more in four of the last six games. The Oklahoma passing game (4th) should be too much for Baylor's defensive back seven to handle. The Sooners are also seeking redemption after dropping both conference road games this season. Look for Oklahoma to finally play a complete game on the road and come away with the win.

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Projected Score** Oklahoma 44* Baylor 21
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-5 West Virginia*- Double Play
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Analysis - West Virginia’s hopes for a Big East crown got a whole lot better over the past couple of days after the Mountaineers snapped out of a two-game funk and relocated their offensive groove, bolting past Cincinnati, 37-10. The Mountaineers (6-3) finally showed some offensive firepower, an outburst they plan to turn into a trend. Quarterback Geno Smith threw four touchdown passes, two each to Tavon Austin and Jock Sanders, and the running game churned out 245 yards. The defense continued to show why it’s the best in the Big East and 4th nationally, holding a fifth straight opponent under 20 points. *Louisville (5-5) is trying to rebound from its most devastating loss of the year, falling in overtime to South Florida, 24-21. The Cardinals allowed bowl eligibility to slip through their fingertips, meaning they’re down to two more chances to secure that coveted sixth victory. The Cardinals were led by RB Lilal Powell's 140 rushing yards and also got a solid game from backup quarterback Justin Burke who passed for 146 yards and three touchdowns. The West Virginia defense has playmakers at every level, and has been impenetrable on third downs, leading the country at a measly conversion rate of 22. The West Virginia secondary has only yielded two touchdown passes in the last six games and should be able to shut down a Cardinal passing game ranked 76th nationally. *First year Louisville coach Charlie Strong has done a great job this year but simply doesn't have the same weapons he had at Florida to beat a team like West Virginia. The Mountaineers are finally clicking and should dominate the Cardinals on both sides of the ball.*Look for West Virginia to get their first conference road win of the year.

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Projected Score* West Virginia 32* Louisville 21* **
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+8 Army - Double Play
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Analysis - **While the Yankee Stadium is new, this is an interesting historical matchup between two storied programs who played one of the most important games in college football history in a 0-0 tie in 1946 that stopped a 25-game winning streak. Notre Dame (5-5) is coming its biggest win of the year over then #14 Utah and needs this win to become bowl eligible before going to USC next week. For all the problems both on and off the field, to blow away Utah like the Irish did last week and to rally from the abyss to become bowl eligible would be a huge step forward for a program that was in utter disarray and chaos over the last several weeks. Army (6-4) is coming off a 45-28 win over Kent State and is already bowl eligible.*The Black Knights completed an amazing turnaround under Rich Ellerson, possibly the best college football coach no one knows about, but could use one more win to be assured of a slot. These two teams don’t play every year like Notre Dame and Navy do, but Army has had the same level of futility (at least until recently for the Midshipmen) losing 13 straight with the last win coming in 1958. The Notre Dame run defense was fantastic against the lifeless Utes last week, but it’s going to struggle up the middle when the nation’s eighth-ranked running game tries to pound away with Jared Hassin, the bruising fullback who ran for 114 yards or more in four straight games before rumbling for 75 yards and a score against Kent State. *Defensively, Army has been surprisingly strong all season long and while it gives up a few deep balls, it doesn’t get ripped up allowing just 189 yards per game. Notre Dame ranks 92nd nationally in third down conversions and ranks 100th nationally rushing the ball so do not much scoring in this game. *Notre Dame played well last week but simply doesn't have the talent to put together back to back solid games. The Black Knights should be able run all over the Irish and have the same success Navy did against them using the triple option.*Look for Army to pull off the upset over Notre Dame.

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Projected Score* Army 17* Notre Dame 13* *

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+22 Troy *- Double Play
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Analysis - *South Carolina has already clinched its first trip to the SEC title game and is looking to post nine victories for the third time in school history by winning their final two non-conference games, beginning with Saturday's home matchup against Troy. The Gamecocks (7-3) clinched the SEC East championship for the first time with a dominant 36-14 victory over Florida. Freshman tailback Marcus Lattimore helped set off celebrations that went into early Sunday morning with a career-high 212 rushing yards and three touchdowns. The only time the program recorded nine regular-season wins came when it went 10-2 in 1984. The Gamecocks limited Florida to 191 yards through the air after entering the game ranked 109th of 120 FBS teams in pass defense. They've given up at least 300 yards in five games this season. Troy (5-4) is no stranger to big games and would like nothing more than to pull off the upset. The Trojans have the nation's 13th-best passing offense (296.2 ypg) and nearly beat Oklahoma State 38-41 on the road earlier this year. Troy freshman quarterback Corey Robinson is 23rd in FBS with 2,553 yards but has thrown at least two interceptions in four consecutive games. He had two passes picked off in last Saturday's 52-35 home loss to Florida International. Troy’s offense has been explosive all season long, and that includes a battle at Oklahoma State with 270 passing yards and 38 points. The offense has scored 30 points or more in the other eight games. Offensively, the Trojans passing game should be able to throw at will on the Gamecock secondary, while defensively the pass rush should get into the backfield. South Carolina should be feeling the effects of a letdown after its biggest win in school history and will not be excited to play a non-conference team from the sun belt. Look for Troy to take advantage of the 11:20 A.M. early start and hang around just long enough to cover the spread.

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Projected Score* Troy 23* South Carolina 38 **
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-3 Arkansas - Double Play
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Analysis - *Arkansas is finally starting to become the team that Arkansas fans envisioned under third year coach Bobby Petrino. The Razorbacks (8-2) are led by 6'6 junior Quarterback Ryan Mallett, who has completed more than 67 percent of his passes for 2,967 yards, 24 touchdowns and eight interceptions. Largely because of that production, the Razorbacks are scoring nearly 38 points per game. Arkansas has won four straight, including a 41-20 blasting of South Carolina, and now the offense has put up 41 points or more in four of its last five games. While Arkansas' offense has been potent all season, Mississippi State is trying to revive its offense that fell flat against the Tide after winning six in a row.*Unlike the Razorbacks, the Bulldogs (7-3) have generated most of their offense on the ground with quarterback Chris Relf and running back Vick Ballard but those two were held mostly in check by Alabama's defense, rushing for a combined 87 yards. The Bulldogs defense has been among the SEC's best all season, but it didn't have a banner day against Alabama in last Saturday's 30-10 loss in Tuscaloosa. The Bulldogs are also still dealing with the tragic death of lineman Nick Bell. Arkansas was only held under 24 once so don’t expect Mississippi State to slow down Mallet and the Hogs. The Bulldogs passing offense is ranked 109th nationally and might have trouble throwing the ball against a razorback defense ranked 14th in the nation against the pass. Mississippi State has put together a solid year but does not have the overall talent to keep up with the high scoring Razorbacks. The Hogs will put together another balanced performance and pull away in the third quarter.*

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Projected Score* *Arkansas 34* Mississippi State 17*

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-2.5 Utah*- Double Play
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Analysis - Once a potential BCS buster, Utah (8-2) is looking to bounce back from last week's anemic offensive performance against Notre Dame. The No. 25 Utes look to avoid their first three-game losing streak in five years when they visit San Diego State on Saturday night. Utah was ranked sixth just two weeks ago, but suffered a 47-7 drubbing by No. 4 TCU on Nov. 6 and a 28-3 loss to Notre Dame on Saturday. The Utes averaged 232 yards in their last two games as the passing attack under Jordan Wynn has particularly struggled. Wynn threw for 194 yards and an interception last weekend, failing to pass for a touchdown for the first time this season. The Utes, who last dropped three in a row from Oct. 1-15, 2005, are prepared for another challenge from upstart San Diego State.*The Aztecs (7-3) had a four-game winning streak snapped by the Horned Frogs on Saturday as they fell short in an 35-40 upset bid. San Diego State led 14-0 less than 6 minutes in but had to rally in the second half. The Aztecs scored three touchdowns in the final 16 minutes but couldn't complete the comeback after their final TD with 4:50 left. *Ryan Lindley threw for 262 yards and two touchdowns but also tossed two interceptions, one of which set up a TCU field goal in the fourth quarter. Utah has won four straight over San Diego State by a combined 162-35. The Utes offense is still ranked 15th nationally and the defense is holding opponents to less than 19 points a game (17th). San Diego State will need a good effort against a Utah team that was embarrassed the last two weeks but might be out of gas after coming up short last week. Utah will pull out all the stops and get its swagger back with a blowout win over San Diego State.*
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Projected Score** Utah 44* San Diego State* 24*
 
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BURNS

Hockey (NHL)

DALLAS

Game: Colorado Avalanche vs. Dallas Stars Game Time: 11/20/2010 8:05:00 PM Prediction: Dallas Stars Reason: I'm playing on DALLAS. These teams faced each other on 11/6. I was on the Avalanche in that game and they rewarded me with an easy 5-0 victory. That was at Colorado though. Also, the Stars were coming off a game the previous night. This time, the Stars had last night off while the Avs were in action. Given that major difference and with tonight's game being played at Dallas, I expect the revenge-minded Stars to have the edge. For starters, note that the Avs are an awful 6-21 (-14.2) the last 27 times that they played the second of back to back games. After losing the game at Colorado, the Stars dropped their next two. They've responded with back to back victories though, most recently a 5-4 win over a strong San Jose team. Note that they're 42-26 (+20.8) the past few seasons when coming off a game in which they allowed four or more goals. The Stars are 7-3 at home on the season. They're also 7-3 (+4.8) the last 10 times that they were playing with 'revenge.' I feel the price is fair and I expect them to improve on those stats here. *10
SAN JOSE

Game: Columbus Blue Jackets vs. San Jose Sharks Game Time: 11/20/2010 10:35:00 PM Prediction: San Jose Sharks Reason: I'm playing on SAN JOSE. At first glance, the price on the Sharks seems rather steep. After all, the Jackets have been playing well. The Sharks are that good though and they've got the schedule strongly in their favor here. Additionally, keep in mind that they were laying -250 the last time that they played the Jackets here at San Jose. More importantly, note that the Sharks are a commanding 17-1 all-time, when facing the Jackets here at San Jose. Tonight, they catch the Jackets off a win at LA on Wednesday and off a win at Anaheim last night. Note that the Jackets are 59-93 (-13.2) when playing the second of back to back games. I expect the Sharks to continue their home ice dominance in the series, improving to 29-11 (+15.4) the last 40 times that they faced a team with a winning record, during the first half of the season. *6
 

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Seabass (from the joint)

400 BC
300 Mich
200 Steam Stanford
200 Steam Rutgers
200 Steam Nebraska
100 Arkansas
100 Under Iowa
LIKE I SAID EARLIER, FADE THIS PIECE OF SHIT!!! - 700 units first two plays of the day. He Can't win!!
 

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GC Dog with Bite to win Outright

On Saturday the Dog with Bite to win outright is on the Colorado State Rams. Game 313 at 2 eastern. The Rams have edges on both sides of the ball here today and are 7-1 ats as dogs of 9 or less vs losing teams. They have covered 6 of the last 8 here in Wyoming. The Cowboys have been pathetic losing their last as a road favorite and were blown out by a bad UNLV team. They are 1-14 vs teams who have revenge and 0-5 in their last home game. When they take on losing teams off a straight up favored loss they are 1-8 ats.. They are on a 6 game losing streak and will likely struggle once again. Take Colorado St. GC

COLO ST O
WYOMING 37 IN THE 3Q

On Saturday the System Club Play is on Michigan. Game 334 at 12 noon eastern. The Line on this one has dropped for 6 to 4 during the week. Michigan has covered all 3 times as a home dog of 4 or more the past few years and are 18-1 straight up vs Wisconsin at home over the last 45 years! Wisconsin, obviously upset that they are the top ranked Big 10 play and not getting much attention, went and put over 80 points vs Indiana last week. That performance puts them in a negative situation here that plays against teams that scored 80 or more. These teams have lost 5 of the 7 times in their next game. The Badgers are a poor 1-6 ats as a road favorite vs certain winning teams. Both teams should have no problem scoring here as both offenses are super potent. We will side with history and a live home dog as our system club play this week. On Saturday I have yet another Huge College Football card led by the NCAAF Total of the year and the 22-1 Mountain West Conference highest rated game. I also have the Dog with bite that wins outright and has 6 angles that apply as well as the Ohio.St at Iowa Triple system TV Side winner. Also on the card is an 18-0 small school system side that dates to 1980. College football is cashing over 66% this year. NBA 19-1 Non Conference Game of the Month System + triple angle NCAAB Side too. . For the system Club Play. Take the Michigan Wolverines plus the points. GC​
WISC 48
MICH 28
 

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