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Joe Gavazzi

CFB STEAMROLLER GAME OF THE WEEK
Oregon at Utah (-14) 2:00 ET
How the mighty have fallen! An Oregon record of 36-5 SU began to show cracks with a 9-4 SU log last year, as the defense declined to 37/485. That was just the tip of the iceberg. Long gone are the days of QB Mariota, running the offense flawlessly. Yes, the Ducks can still put up points (though only 27 and 20 the last 2 weeks against Stanford and USC). But, they simply can’t outscore the opposition because of a defense that in 6 of their last 7 games has allowed 540 or more yards and who, since conference season has begun, allow every opponent to score 35 or more points. Utah is the perfect opponent to continue that decline. Last year, this well-coached, fundamentally strong team destroyed Oregon (62-20). With RB Williams back in the fold, the Utah ground attack will continue to pound its way to a 6th consecutive game, in which they rush for more than 200 yards. In fact, Utah has outrushed their opponent in 9 of 10 games and you know what that means! Against an Oregon defense that typically allowed 282 RY last week to Stanford and 271 the week before to USC, it means the Utes control the line of scrimmage and the clock in systematically defeating an Oregon team who, after more than a decade of feasting at a post-season party, will be home for the holidays this year.
 
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Joe Gavazzi

CFB STEAMROLLER GAME OF THE WEEK
Oregon at Utah (-14) 2:00 ET
How the mighty have fallen! An Oregon record of 36-5 SU began to show cracks with a 9-4 SU log last year, as the defense declined to 37/485. That was just the tip of the iceberg. Long gone are the days of QB Mariota, running the offense flawlessly. Yes, the Ducks can still put up points (though only 27 and 20 the last 2 weeks against Stanford and USC). But, they simply can’t outscore the opposition because of a defense that in 6 of their last 7 games has allowed 540 or more yards and who, since conference season has begun, allow every opponent to score 35 or more points. Utah is the perfect opponent to continue that decline. Last year, this well-coached, fundamentally strong team destroyed Oregon (62-20). With RB Williams back in the fold, the Utah ground attack will continue to pound its way to a 6th consecutive game, in which they rush for more than 200 yards. In fact, Utah has outrushed their opponent in 9 of 10 games and you know what that means! Against an Oregon defense that typically allowed 282 RY last week to Stanford and 271 the week before to USC, it means the Utes control the line of scrimmage and the clock in systematically defeating an Oregon team who, after more than a decade of feasting at a post-season party, will be home for the holidays this year.
 
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trace adams

2000♦
Double-Your-Wager
Winner # 46 of 71
- and 4th straight in college -

AAC Game of the Year - Part 2

cent fl -1
 
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Joe Gavazzi

CRUSHER OF THE WEEK
Navy (-7) at E. Carolina 4:00 ET ESN
Now that Navy has gotten the inside track for the AAC-West divisional crown, could we expect a letdown against a 3-7 SU E. Carolina team, whom they handled 45-21 last season? Remember, since the beginning of October, Navy has faced 6 quality opponents in Air Force, Houston, Memphis, S. Florida, Notre Dame and Tulsa. Letdown? Sure, IF IT WAS ANYONE EXCEPT NAVY! For, the Middies will simply continue their momentum with their patient and disciplined ways. Senior QB Worth, after biding his time behind QB Reynolds in recent seasons, has begun a post-season roll. Following the Air Force defeat, the Navy option attack has run for over 300 yards against every defense they have faced.

The decline in Greenville has continued even under 1st year HC Montgomery, who appears to have lost control of his team. In-state home victories vs. W. Carolina and NC State provided a 2-0 SU ATS start. Since that time, they have gone 1-7 SU (only victory to lowly UConn) and 2-6 ATS. Facing similar strong rushing attacks such as USF and Tulsa, the Pirates allowed 306 and 345 yards overland respectively. The last 2 weeks, they have tossed the towel, allowing 100 points and nearly 1,100 yards in losses to Tulsa and SMU. Last year, Navy rushed for 415 yards against this defense. What are the chances that ECU, which hasn’t seen another option attack since, will stop them today? Close your eyes!
 
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Joe Gavazzi

IF IT AIN'T BROKE, DON’T FIX IT GAME OF THE WEEK
Tulsa (-1) at C. Florida 8:00 ET ESN
Each week, I isolate a team whose offense has been explosive and consistent all season long. Today’s choice is the Tulsa Golden Hurricane. Under 2nd year HC Montgomery and RB Evans, the Hurricanes have been blowing away opponents with regularity. Even in last week’s heart wrenching 42-40 loss to Navy, Tulsa still logged 200 Club numbers for the 4th consecutive week. In doing so, they have put up 566 offensive yards four consecutive times. Under Montgomery, Tulsa is a proven road team who is 8-4 ATS in 2 years. Already this season, they have beaten a team similar to UCF (Memphis) on the road by a score of 59-30. Despite that excellence, this matchup with UCF is a battle of “also rans.” Each of these teams is 4-2 SU in their respective AAC divisions on the outside looking in. The question for Tulsa is whether they can bounce back from that Navy defeat to get motivated for a matchup against a team they beat 45-30 last season. My answer to that is a resounding yes! At least on the offensive side of the football! This Tulsa offensive machine is clearly purring. The ego and pride of these offensive players will be looking to continue their onslaught of opposing defenses. In short, they will be operating under the concept of IF IT AINT BROKE, DON’T FIX IT. As such, there is a good chance for them to continue their 200 Club onslaught in outgaining their 5th consecutive opponent.
Today’s opponent is one of the biggest turnaround stories on the CFB landscape. Last year’s HC George OLeary had grown long in the tooth and was beyond his expiration date. The result, fueled by numerous injuries, was a 0-12 SU, 2-9 ATS mark (after a record of 31-9 SU the previous 3 years). It was an ideal spot for 1st year HC Frost (former Nebraska QB and Oregon Asst.) to come in and pick up the pieces. That he has done with a turnaround that has seen the Knights go 6-4 SU, 8-2 ATS. That is not a surprise, considering how their Power Rating had been beaten down by the end of last year. But, a closer look inside the numbers sees that although this team has a winning record, both SU and ATS, THIS BALLOON IS ABOUT TO BURST. The reason for that is that THEY HAVE BEEN OUTGAINED IN ALL 6 CONFERENCE CONTESTS, INCLUDING EVEN THE LAST 2 WEEKS AGAINST SUB.500 TEAMS, Cinci and Tulane - a combined 1-11 SU in league play. They won these two games by a combined 61-9 in large part because of a combined (+6) net TO margin. Talk about a balloon that is about to burst!
 

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Mike Handzelek of Vegas Top Dogs: NC State, Pittsburgh, Notre Dame, Vanderbilt, and West Virginia. Any chance of Consensus today?
 

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How has he done on these in the past? I ask because on the sportsmemo.com podcast Teddy Covers said he could only bet Colorado or pass on this one since WSU has nothing to play for. They're in the PAC12 title game regardless of the outcome of this game.

To answer your question, ML is 29-10 on his 10* releases since he started his newsletters He won with Michigan St +16 1/2 LY vs Ohio St, MSU won SU 17-14, he's 2-3 his L5 making this selection including a 35 pt loss on a fav that was only giving up 5, I'd have to dig further to find out that exact game, and it wasn't even close. He used to move lines with his picks, his newsletters have been so-so the past few years, he'll tank in one sport and do well in another year to year. That's all part of handicapping.

GL on whichever side you pick. 63% are on Wazoo and the line has gone from -3 1/2 to -6 for Colorado.

Brandon Lang has one 2-100* games his last 12!!

GL!
 
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Pointwise Phone Service

4* Utah, Duke
3* Notre Dame, TCU, Vandy, Navy
2* Northwestern, Washington ,SAN Diego St, Wisconsin
 

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