NORTHCOAST SPORTS
Early Bird - Michigan
Big 10 - Iowa
Pac 12 - Stanford
ACC - Florida St
SEC - Kentucky
AAC - Cincinnati
CUSA - Marshall
Big 12 - Kansas St
MT West - San Diego St
MAC - Ohio U
Sun Belt - Georgia St
TV Play of the Day - Released Sat
900 POD - Released Sat
Inside Info - Released Sat
Totals Play of Day - Released Sat
BIG DOGS
Iowa St +17 Oklahoma St +625
Eastern Michigan +17.5 Toledo +610
Boston College +17 Clemson +660
Texas +11.5 Oklahoma +400
Arizona St +10 UCLA +325
Tennessee +7 Texas A&M +225
Early Bird - Michigan
Big 10 - Iowa
Pac 12 - Stanford
ACC - Florida St
SEC - Kentucky
AAC - Cincinnati
CUSA - Marshall
Big 12 - Kansas St
MT West - San Diego St
MAC - Ohio U
Sun Belt - Georgia St
TV Play of the Day - Released Sat
900 POD - Released Sat
Inside Info - Released Sat
Totals Play of Day - Released Sat
BIG DOGS
Iowa St +17 Oklahoma St +625
Eastern Michigan +17.5 Toledo +610
Boston College +17 Clemson +660
Texas +11.5 Oklahoma +400
Arizona St +10 UCLA +325
Tennessee +7 Texas A&M +225
SATURDAY, OCTOBER 8
COLLEGE FB
TOP CHOICE 1 1/2 units CINCINNATI -3 over UConn -home 8:30 AM PDT time change (Game #331)
NOTRE DAME +2 1/2 over NC State -home 9:00 AM PDT time change (Game #349)
TEXAS +11 1/2 over Oklahoma 9:00 AM PDT time change at Cotton Bowl, Dallas (Game #360)
TENNESSEE +7 over Texas A&M -home 12:30 PM PDT (Game #377)
SOUTHERN CAL -5 -home over Colorado 1:00 PM PDT time change (Game #388)
Marc Lawrence perfect system club
CFB 10/8/2016
THE PERFECT 10
PLAY ON any college football road dog or favorite of 3 or less points off a SU
home loss as a favorite of 10 or more points if they scored more than 10 points in the loss and the won 10 or more games last season if they are facing a foe off a win of 14 or less points that won 8 or fewer games last season.
ATS W-L Record Since 1980: 11-0
Play On: Florida State
Rationale: After being embarrassed at home, quality teams show an ability to
bounce right back up when on the road in a price range they can handle.
Especially if they were the better team last season. Note: these team have
won 9 of the 11 games straight up.
CFB 10/8/2016
THE PERFECT 10
PLAY ON any college football road dog or favorite of 3 or less points off a SU
home loss as a favorite of 10 or more points if they scored more than 10 points in the loss and the won 10 or more games last season if they are facing a foe off a win of 14 or less points that won 8 or fewer games last season.
ATS W-L Record Since 1980: 11-0
Play On: Florida State
Rationale: After being embarrassed at home, quality teams show an ability to
bounce right back up when on the road in a price range they can handle.
Especially if they were the better team last season. Note: these team have
won 9 of the 11 games straight up.
StatFox Super Situations
CFL*|*BRITISH COLUMBIA*at*WINNIPEG
Play On - Underdogs or pick (BRITISH COLUMBIA) in a game involving two average defensive teams (23-28 PPG) after 9 or more games
119-64*since 1997.**(*65.0%*|*48.6 units*)
1-4*this year.**(*20.0%*|*-3.4 units*)
CFL*|*BRITISH COLUMBIA*at*WINNIPEG
Play On - Any team vs the money line (WINNIPEG) versus division opponents, off an upset loss to a division rival as a home favorite
54-39*since 1997.**(*58.1%*|*0.0 units*)
CFL*|*BRITISH COLUMBIA*at*WINNIPEG
Play Against - Road underdogs vs. the 1rst half line (BRITISH COLUMBIA) after covering the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games, good team, winning 60-75% or more of their games, in the second half of the season
29-6*since 1997.**(*82.9%*|*22.4 units*)
1-1*this year.**(*50.0%*|*-0.1 units*)
CFL*|*BRITISH COLUMBIA*at*WINNIPEG
Play On - Underdogs or pick (BRITISH COLUMBIA) in a game involving two average defensive teams (23-28 PPG) after 9 or more games
119-64*since 1997.**(*65.0%*|*48.6 units*)
1-4*this year.**(*20.0%*|*-3.4 units*)
CFL*|*BRITISH COLUMBIA*at*WINNIPEG
Play On - Any team vs the money line (WINNIPEG) versus division opponents, off an upset loss to a division rival as a home favorite
54-39*since 1997.**(*58.1%*|*0.0 units*)
CFL*|*BRITISH COLUMBIA*at*WINNIPEG
Play Against - Road underdogs vs. the 1rst half line (BRITISH COLUMBIA) after covering the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games, good team, winning 60-75% or more of their games, in the second half of the season
29-6*since 1997.**(*82.9%*|*22.4 units*)
1-1*this year.**(*50.0%*|*-0.1 units*)
StatFox Super Situations
CFB*|*TCU*at*KANSAS
Play Against - Home underdogs (KANSAS) after having lost 3 out of their last 4 games, a terrible team (<=25%) playing a team with a winning record
41-15*over the last 5 seasons.**(*73.2%*|*24.5 units*)
1-1*this year.**(*50.0%*|*-0.1 units*)
CFB*|*UCLA*at*ARIZONA ST
Play On - A road team vs. the money line (UCLA) off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival, when playing on a Saturday
265-164*over the last 5 seasons.**(*61.8%*|*0.0 units*)
5-3*this year.**(*62.5%*|*0.0 units*)
CFB*|*E CAROLINA*at*S FLORIDA
Play On - Home favorites vs. the 1rst half line (S FLORIDA) after allowing 475 or more total yards/game in their last 3 games, with an experienced QB vs. opponent with inexperienced QB
41-15*over the last 5 seasons.**(*73.2%*|*24.5 units*)
CFB*|*HOUSTON*at*NAVY
Play On - A road team vs. the money line (HOUSTON) off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival, when playing on a Saturday
265-164*over the last 5 seasons.**(*61.8%*|*0.0 units*)
5-3*this year.**(*62.5%*|*0.0 units*)
CFB*|*MIAMI OHIO*at*AKRON
Play Over - All teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 off a home loss, winless on the season
46-18*over the last 10 seasons.**(*71.9%*|*26.2 units*)
2-2*this year.**(*50.0%*|*-0.2 units*)
CFB*|*TOLEDO*at*E MICHIGAN
Play On - Road favorites vs. the money line (TOLEDO) excellent passing team - averaging 8.5 or more passing yards/attempt, after allowing 8 or more passing yards/attempt last game
43-7*over the last 5 seasons.**(*86.0%*|*0.0 units*)
4-2*this year.**(*66.7%*|*0.0 units*)
CFB*|*TCU*at*KANSAS
Play Against - Home underdogs (KANSAS) after having lost 3 out of their last 4 games, a terrible team (<=25%) playing a team with a winning record
41-15*over the last 5 seasons.**(*73.2%*|*24.5 units*)
1-1*this year.**(*50.0%*|*-0.1 units*)
CFB*|*UCLA*at*ARIZONA ST
Play On - A road team vs. the money line (UCLA) off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival, when playing on a Saturday
265-164*over the last 5 seasons.**(*61.8%*|*0.0 units*)
5-3*this year.**(*62.5%*|*0.0 units*)
CFB*|*E CAROLINA*at*S FLORIDA
Play On - Home favorites vs. the 1rst half line (S FLORIDA) after allowing 475 or more total yards/game in their last 3 games, with an experienced QB vs. opponent with inexperienced QB
41-15*over the last 5 seasons.**(*73.2%*|*24.5 units*)
CFB*|*HOUSTON*at*NAVY
Play On - A road team vs. the money line (HOUSTON) off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival, when playing on a Saturday
265-164*over the last 5 seasons.**(*61.8%*|*0.0 units*)
5-3*this year.**(*62.5%*|*0.0 units*)
CFB*|*MIAMI OHIO*at*AKRON
Play Over - All teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 off a home loss, winless on the season
46-18*over the last 10 seasons.**(*71.9%*|*26.2 units*)
2-2*this year.**(*50.0%*|*-0.2 units*)
CFB*|*TOLEDO*at*E MICHIGAN
Play On - Road favorites vs. the money line (TOLEDO) excellent passing team - averaging 8.5 or more passing yards/attempt, after allowing 8 or more passing yards/attempt last game
43-7*over the last 5 seasons.**(*86.0%*|*0.0 units*)
4-2*this year.**(*66.7%*|*0.0 units*)
ASI
SATURDAY 10/8 (released 10/5)
Ohio -11.5 Bowling Green (2pm) ** 2 UNIT MID AMERICAN BLOWOUT SELECTION **
Maryland -1 Penn State (12pm)
Washington -8 Oregon (630pm)
California -13.5 Oregon State (10pm)
SATURDAY 10/8 (released 10/7) Larry
Texas +11.5 -105 Oklahoma (12PM) ** 2 UNIT UNDERDOG GAME OF THE MONTH SELECTION **
Kansas State -8 Texas Tech (7PM)
Western Michigan -20 thern Illinois (630PM)
Duke -5.5 Army (330PM)
SATURDAY 10/8 (released 10/7) jeff
Marshall / North Texas over 63.5 (7pm) ** 2 UNIT CONFERNCE USA TOTAL OF MONTH SELECTION **
Idaho -5 UL Monroe (7pm)
Saturday October 8th- (released 10/07) simin
ENGLAND - NATIONAL LEAGUE
(UNDER 2.5 +100) Lincoln City @ Bromley (10AM)
ENGLAND - LEAGUE 1
(UNDER 2.5 -110) Southend United @ Rochdale AFC (10AM)
ENGLAND - LEAGUE 2
(UNDER 2.5 -140) Wycombe Wanderers @ Yeovil Town (10AM)
USA - MLS
(UNDER 2.5 -133) Colorado Rapids @ Houston Dynamo (8PM)
Sunday October 9th- No Selections today
SATURDAY 10/8 (released 10/5)
Ohio -11.5 Bowling Green (2pm) ** 2 UNIT MID AMERICAN BLOWOUT SELECTION **
Maryland -1 Penn State (12pm)
Washington -8 Oregon (630pm)
California -13.5 Oregon State (10pm)
SATURDAY 10/8 (released 10/7) Larry
Texas +11.5 -105 Oklahoma (12PM) ** 2 UNIT UNDERDOG GAME OF THE MONTH SELECTION **
Kansas State -8 Texas Tech (7PM)
Western Michigan -20 thern Illinois (630PM)
Duke -5.5 Army (330PM)
SATURDAY 10/8 (released 10/7) jeff
Marshall / North Texas over 63.5 (7pm) ** 2 UNIT CONFERNCE USA TOTAL OF MONTH SELECTION **
Idaho -5 UL Monroe (7pm)
Saturday October 8th- (released 10/07) simin
ENGLAND - NATIONAL LEAGUE
(UNDER 2.5 +100) Lincoln City @ Bromley (10AM)
ENGLAND - LEAGUE 1
(UNDER 2.5 -110) Southend United @ Rochdale AFC (10AM)
ENGLAND - LEAGUE 2
(UNDER 2.5 -140) Wycombe Wanderers @ Yeovil Town (10AM)
USA - MLS
(UNDER 2.5 -133) Colorado Rapids @ Houston Dynamo (8PM)
Sunday October 9th- No Selections today
WAYNE ROOT
MILL - Oregon State
No Limit - Navy
Perfect Play - Florida State
The date is October 6th and Florida State has two losses. These are words that I wouldn't have believed before the season started. So what is Coach Fisher's game plan? Dalvin Cook is a rare talent who broke Miami’s backs the last two years. Once again, he will be highly motivated to play against his hometown team. He is likely the best player the Hurricanes will defend all season. Going one-on-one with Cook in the open field is one of the toughest physical tests in the game. The talented receiver averaged 12.2 yards per touch against UM in 2014, and 10.8 last year. Those are two of his top four performances in that stat category. The Hurricanes have played inferior teams, but they’ve beaten them soundly. FSU has played some quality opponents, but looked shaky. Florida State is angry. Jimbo Fisher is fielding questions about changing schemes and personnel, as fans call for the firing of his defensive coordinator. He’s saying the team isn’t divided, even after Cook commented last week that there’s only so much he can do.
In response, I would guess a proud senior like defensive end Demarcus Walker will have one of his best performances, especially since he’ll be going against a group of Miami offensive tackles which hasn’t been impressive so far. This game calls for desperate measures to be taken. It seems like just four weeks ago, many thought Florida St was the #2 team in the country. Today we see that team.
Inner Circle - Virginia Tech
After getting an extra week to prepare for the North Carolina Tar Heels, Virginia Tech goes into Kenan Stadium and pulls off the upset. So much for that brand new top 25 entry. Even though they defeated Florida St last game, the Tar Heels have another important battle this week. This game is perhaps even more vital in their efforts to repeat as Coastal Division champs. Division foe Virginia Tech invades Chapel Hill and after fumbling away a game against Tennessee, the Hokies have blown out Boston College and East Carolina, leading to a No. 25 ranking. A key for Carolina is that RB Elijah Hood suffered an injury last week. The junior from Charlotte left the game against Florida State in the first half with an undisclosed injury. The Tar Heel offense has been carried by QB Mitch Trubisky and the receivers so far this season, as the unit has averaged only 136 yards per game on the ground. But against a team like Virginia Tech that has considerable defensive talent, North Carolina will need to achieve some offensive balance. Rushing against North Carolina is the Hokies game plan. North Carolina gave up more than 200 rushing yards last week and currently sit at No. 116 nationally in rush defense. In a nut shell, The Hokies have rushed for nearly 200 yards per game, so UNC will have to be wary of Virginia Tech running back Travon McMillian. Quarterback Jerod Evans, who’s gotten off to a great start throwing the football, is a major rushing threat as well. If Virginia Tech has success on the ground, its offense will be difficult to stop.
Oregon ............ Pinny Game of the Year
WOW! That describes the beating that Washington put on Stanford last week. They celebrated all week. But not so fast Huskies. Now you travel to a place where you've not only lost 12 straight games but the closes loss was by 17 points. And there's more Mr Washington. Oregon beat you on your turf last year 26-20. Look for more of the same. Now you get to travel to meet the Ducks laying a lot of points on the road. Quack-Quack they are laying in wait. The Ducks have scored at least 32 points in every game this season, so the offense should provide a challenge for the Husky defense. Running back Royce Freeman had 138 yards and three touchdowns against Washington State to pass Kenjon Barner and move into second place in school history with 3,664 rushing yards. Freeman has rushed for 307 yards in two previous meetings with Washington. Our scouting reports have reported that Justin Herbert will be the Quarterback starting against the Huskies. That should be advantageous to Oregon as Dakota Prukop has been ineffective thus season. Herbert is the future for Oregon and Washington's lack of game film on Herbert might give the Ducks an edge. Oregon's offensive shake-up could catch the Huskies off guard, much in the same way Arizona was able two weeks ago. The point spread should increase so it is best to bet this game as late as possible for added value. Oregon is struggling but it's nice to know that this game has righted the ship over and over.
MILL - Oregon State
No Limit - Navy
Perfect Play - Florida State
The date is October 6th and Florida State has two losses. These are words that I wouldn't have believed before the season started. So what is Coach Fisher's game plan? Dalvin Cook is a rare talent who broke Miami’s backs the last two years. Once again, he will be highly motivated to play against his hometown team. He is likely the best player the Hurricanes will defend all season. Going one-on-one with Cook in the open field is one of the toughest physical tests in the game. The talented receiver averaged 12.2 yards per touch against UM in 2014, and 10.8 last year. Those are two of his top four performances in that stat category. The Hurricanes have played inferior teams, but they’ve beaten them soundly. FSU has played some quality opponents, but looked shaky. Florida State is angry. Jimbo Fisher is fielding questions about changing schemes and personnel, as fans call for the firing of his defensive coordinator. He’s saying the team isn’t divided, even after Cook commented last week that there’s only so much he can do.
In response, I would guess a proud senior like defensive end Demarcus Walker will have one of his best performances, especially since he’ll be going against a group of Miami offensive tackles which hasn’t been impressive so far. This game calls for desperate measures to be taken. It seems like just four weeks ago, many thought Florida St was the #2 team in the country. Today we see that team.
Inner Circle - Virginia Tech
After getting an extra week to prepare for the North Carolina Tar Heels, Virginia Tech goes into Kenan Stadium and pulls off the upset. So much for that brand new top 25 entry. Even though they defeated Florida St last game, the Tar Heels have another important battle this week. This game is perhaps even more vital in their efforts to repeat as Coastal Division champs. Division foe Virginia Tech invades Chapel Hill and after fumbling away a game against Tennessee, the Hokies have blown out Boston College and East Carolina, leading to a No. 25 ranking. A key for Carolina is that RB Elijah Hood suffered an injury last week. The junior from Charlotte left the game against Florida State in the first half with an undisclosed injury. The Tar Heel offense has been carried by QB Mitch Trubisky and the receivers so far this season, as the unit has averaged only 136 yards per game on the ground. But against a team like Virginia Tech that has considerable defensive talent, North Carolina will need to achieve some offensive balance. Rushing against North Carolina is the Hokies game plan. North Carolina gave up more than 200 rushing yards last week and currently sit at No. 116 nationally in rush defense. In a nut shell, The Hokies have rushed for nearly 200 yards per game, so UNC will have to be wary of Virginia Tech running back Travon McMillian. Quarterback Jerod Evans, who’s gotten off to a great start throwing the football, is a major rushing threat as well. If Virginia Tech has success on the ground, its offense will be difficult to stop.
Oregon ............ Pinny Game of the Year
WOW! That describes the beating that Washington put on Stanford last week. They celebrated all week. But not so fast Huskies. Now you travel to a place where you've not only lost 12 straight games but the closes loss was by 17 points. And there's more Mr Washington. Oregon beat you on your turf last year 26-20. Look for more of the same. Now you get to travel to meet the Ducks laying a lot of points on the road. Quack-Quack they are laying in wait. The Ducks have scored at least 32 points in every game this season, so the offense should provide a challenge for the Husky defense. Running back Royce Freeman had 138 yards and three touchdowns against Washington State to pass Kenjon Barner and move into second place in school history with 3,664 rushing yards. Freeman has rushed for 307 yards in two previous meetings with Washington. Our scouting reports have reported that Justin Herbert will be the Quarterback starting against the Huskies. That should be advantageous to Oregon as Dakota Prukop has been ineffective thus season. Herbert is the future for Oregon and Washington's lack of game film on Herbert might give the Ducks an edge. Oregon's offensive shake-up could catch the Huskies off guard, much in the same way Arizona was able two weeks ago. The point spread should increase so it is best to bet this game as late as possible for added value. Oregon is struggling but it's nice to know that this game has righted the ship over and over.
