Bettors' best friend: Saturday's wagering tips
Weather report
Giants at Rangers: There is an expected 13 mph wind blowing in from center field.
Auburn at Ole Miss: There is an expected 11 mph wind blowing southwest up the field.
TCU at UNLV: There is a 30 percent chance of thunderstorms with an expected 21 mph wind blowing southwest down the field.
Michigan State at Iowa: There is an expected 12 mph wind blowing across the field.
Missouri at Nebraska: There is an expected 13 mph wind blowing across the field.
Utah at Air Force: There is an expected 12 mph wind blowing south down the field.
Ohio State at Minnesota: There is an expected 13 mph wind blowing across the field.
Stanford at Washington: There is a 70 percent chance of showers.
Arizona at UCLA: There is a 60 percent chance of showers.
Vanderbilt at Arkansas: There is an expected 15 mph wind blowing southwest up the field.
Miami at Virginia: There is an expected 12 mph wind blowing southwest up the field.
Line to watch
Purdue at Illinois: The Illini have been garnering attention from sharps, opening at minus-15 with the line quickly moving to minus-17.
Oklahoma State at Kansas State: The Cowboys opened at minus-6, but that line has quickly shifted the other way with the suspension of their star receiver to just minus-4.5.
Akron at Temple: The Owls are getting a strong lean from bettors, opening at minus-27 but quickly seeing that line bulge to minus-29.5.
North Texas at Western Kentucky: It only took one win for the Hilltoppers to gain support, opening at minus-3.5 but quickly seeing their momentum of a first victory from last week push the line to minus-6.
Texas Tech at Texas A&M: Sharps aren’t keen on the Tech’s new rushing attack, with the line shifting from the Aggies minus-5.5 to minus-7.5 as of Friday night.
Vanderbilt at Arkansas: The hosts opened up at minus-22.5, but with a shaky quarterback situation, the line has shifted to minus-20.5.
Utah State at Nevada: The Wolf Pack opened at minus-24, but have seen heavy action come their way as the line has shifted to minus-26.5.
Giants at Rangers: Bettors seem to be getting behind the hosts as Texas opened at minus-147, but have seen that number fall to minus-152 with many services.
Who’s hot
The over is 7-3-1 in the Senators past 11 home games.
The Blackhawks are 14-5 in their past 19 road games.
The Spurs are 11-4-1 ATS in their past 16 road games.
The over is 7-1-1 in the Bucks past 9 home games.
Who’s not
The Devils are 7-20 in their past 27 road games.
The Sabres are 4-9 in their past 13 road games.
The Timberwolves are 5-15-1 ATS in their past 21 games overall.
The under is 6-2 in the Rockets past eight home games.
Key stat
2 – Of seven teams have opened the World Series with two losses by at least four runs each and then rallied to win the Fall Classic. The teams? The Dodgers in 1965 against the Twins and Yankees in 1996 against the Braves.
Injury that shouldn’t be overlooked
How about you just pick a player on Texas Tech? Six or more players missed practice Wednesday because of a stomach virus, according to coach Tommy Tuberville. The former Auburn boss declined to name specific players, but the illness ravaging his team could have an impact on his team’s performance against the Aggies in College Station this weekend. “It’s kind of gone through the team. We’ve had about 10, 12 guys (affected) this week,” Tuberville said. “Hopefully, we can get some guys back out here the next couple of days and we don’t lose any more. We’re trying to keep anybody away that’s had it, because it’s obviously pretty contagious.”
Game of the day
Florida Gators vs. Georgia Bulldogs (-2, 48)
Notable quotable
“I think you have to look at all the parts we have next year before you decide. Who's going to DH most of the time? How do you split up your lefties? Things like that. The parts are going to be different in 2011 so we'll have to evaluate what you've got first before you make any decisions." -- Yankees manager Joe Girardi on setting his lineup next season.
Notes and tips
It looks like the Raiders will stay with the hot hand and start quarterback Jason Campbell on Sunday against the Seahawks. The team pushed information all week about the status of Bruce Gradkowski and his return from injury, but the team announced on Friday that Campbell would lead the team after guiding the Silver and Black to a 59-14 annihilation of Denver. Campbell is completing nearly 57 percent of his passes this season and has thrown four touchdowns against four interceptions.
Know that whole bit about Delonte West making the Boston Celtics a better team by brining a balanced game and depth at both guard positions off the bench? Yeah, well he apparently has been rubbing people around the team the wrong way, culminating with a cold-cock to the head of Von Wafer after the former Florida State star walked off the court during a heated three-on-three game. The team is trying to down-play the fiasco, but sources around the team say it is only a matter of time before West is cut. He might not even make it past his 10 game suspension which ends in mid-November.
Chicago Blackhawks forward Patrick Kane is firmly entrenched in coach Joel Quenneville’s dog house. Kane, a horrid minus-6 this early in the season, was relegated to the checking line in a 3-1 win over the L.A. Kings earlier this week. The offensive star has been sloppy with the puck in the neutral zone and been lackadaisical on his responsibilities in the defensive end. Kane does have two goals and six assists, but one of the reasons for the defending champion’s erratic play is his erratic performances.
Weather report
Giants at Rangers: There is an expected 13 mph wind blowing in from center field.
Auburn at Ole Miss: There is an expected 11 mph wind blowing southwest up the field.
TCU at UNLV: There is a 30 percent chance of thunderstorms with an expected 21 mph wind blowing southwest down the field.
Michigan State at Iowa: There is an expected 12 mph wind blowing across the field.
Missouri at Nebraska: There is an expected 13 mph wind blowing across the field.
Utah at Air Force: There is an expected 12 mph wind blowing south down the field.
Ohio State at Minnesota: There is an expected 13 mph wind blowing across the field.
Stanford at Washington: There is a 70 percent chance of showers.
Arizona at UCLA: There is a 60 percent chance of showers.
Vanderbilt at Arkansas: There is an expected 15 mph wind blowing southwest up the field.
Miami at Virginia: There is an expected 12 mph wind blowing southwest up the field.
Line to watch
Purdue at Illinois: The Illini have been garnering attention from sharps, opening at minus-15 with the line quickly moving to minus-17.
Oklahoma State at Kansas State: The Cowboys opened at minus-6, but that line has quickly shifted the other way with the suspension of their star receiver to just minus-4.5.
Akron at Temple: The Owls are getting a strong lean from bettors, opening at minus-27 but quickly seeing that line bulge to minus-29.5.
North Texas at Western Kentucky: It only took one win for the Hilltoppers to gain support, opening at minus-3.5 but quickly seeing their momentum of a first victory from last week push the line to minus-6.
Texas Tech at Texas A&M: Sharps aren’t keen on the Tech’s new rushing attack, with the line shifting from the Aggies minus-5.5 to minus-7.5 as of Friday night.
Vanderbilt at Arkansas: The hosts opened up at minus-22.5, but with a shaky quarterback situation, the line has shifted to minus-20.5.
Utah State at Nevada: The Wolf Pack opened at minus-24, but have seen heavy action come their way as the line has shifted to minus-26.5.
Giants at Rangers: Bettors seem to be getting behind the hosts as Texas opened at minus-147, but have seen that number fall to minus-152 with many services.
Who’s hot
The over is 7-3-1 in the Senators past 11 home games.
The Blackhawks are 14-5 in their past 19 road games.
The Spurs are 11-4-1 ATS in their past 16 road games.
The over is 7-1-1 in the Bucks past 9 home games.
Who’s not
The Devils are 7-20 in their past 27 road games.
The Sabres are 4-9 in their past 13 road games.
The Timberwolves are 5-15-1 ATS in their past 21 games overall.
The under is 6-2 in the Rockets past eight home games.
Key stat
2 – Of seven teams have opened the World Series with two losses by at least four runs each and then rallied to win the Fall Classic. The teams? The Dodgers in 1965 against the Twins and Yankees in 1996 against the Braves.
Injury that shouldn’t be overlooked
How about you just pick a player on Texas Tech? Six or more players missed practice Wednesday because of a stomach virus, according to coach Tommy Tuberville. The former Auburn boss declined to name specific players, but the illness ravaging his team could have an impact on his team’s performance against the Aggies in College Station this weekend. “It’s kind of gone through the team. We’ve had about 10, 12 guys (affected) this week,” Tuberville said. “Hopefully, we can get some guys back out here the next couple of days and we don’t lose any more. We’re trying to keep anybody away that’s had it, because it’s obviously pretty contagious.”
Game of the day
Florida Gators vs. Georgia Bulldogs (-2, 48)
Notable quotable
“I think you have to look at all the parts we have next year before you decide. Who's going to DH most of the time? How do you split up your lefties? Things like that. The parts are going to be different in 2011 so we'll have to evaluate what you've got first before you make any decisions." -- Yankees manager Joe Girardi on setting his lineup next season.
Notes and tips
It looks like the Raiders will stay with the hot hand and start quarterback Jason Campbell on Sunday against the Seahawks. The team pushed information all week about the status of Bruce Gradkowski and his return from injury, but the team announced on Friday that Campbell would lead the team after guiding the Silver and Black to a 59-14 annihilation of Denver. Campbell is completing nearly 57 percent of his passes this season and has thrown four touchdowns against four interceptions.
Know that whole bit about Delonte West making the Boston Celtics a better team by brining a balanced game and depth at both guard positions off the bench? Yeah, well he apparently has been rubbing people around the team the wrong way, culminating with a cold-cock to the head of Von Wafer after the former Florida State star walked off the court during a heated three-on-three game. The team is trying to down-play the fiasco, but sources around the team say it is only a matter of time before West is cut. He might not even make it past his 10 game suspension which ends in mid-November.
Chicago Blackhawks forward Patrick Kane is firmly entrenched in coach Joel Quenneville’s dog house. Kane, a horrid minus-6 this early in the season, was relegated to the checking line in a 3-1 win over the L.A. Kings earlier this week. The offensive star has been sloppy with the puck in the neutral zone and been lackadaisical on his responsibilities in the defensive end. Kane does have two goals and six assists, but one of the reasons for the defending champion’s erratic play is his erratic performances.
Fanelli
Andy Fanelli
Saturday's Selection
You guys all set for my bigiest release to date? Well, the wait is over. My 60 Dime Pac 10 Game of the Year is a play on the Oregon Ducks minlus the points over the USC Trojans. This game kicks off in LA at 8pm eastern time, and as I type this analasis, the Ducks are right around a 6 1/2 point favorite. I don't see this one being close at all, so lay it all night long with Oregon.
Wow...
Fanelli is almost NEVER A FAN. But Oregon plays at a pace that would make arena foitball teams jealous.
I have played this one in my mind a half dozen times and I fail to see any way that USC stays within a touchldown in a 4 quarter game against this Ducks team. They are simply phenomenal and USC has had their issues losing two of their last 3 games, including a terrible home loss to Washington in which they allowed 32 points.
USC also allowad 35 points the following week to Stanford. At home USC isn't exactly dominant despite a nice performance against Cal on the 16th.
Does anyone remember their terrible home loss to Arizona last year?
Look, The thing to watch in this one is the 2nd half. Because that is when Oregon plays defense and allows next to nothing...Reason? Teams are simply gassed from trying to keep up. Look at the second half outputs of Tennessee, Stanford and Arizona State against Oregon. I give you these teams because they were the only teams to be competitive against Oregon at halftime.
They all stayed competitive in the first half...They were collectively outscored in the 2nd half...77 to 7!!! 77 to 7? yes...77-7! and we are coming up 7's on this one. Perhaps the worst thing for USC is if they dare keep it close in the 1st half as Oregon looks faster and stronger in the 4th quarter then they do in 1st quarters. USC does not have the man power to keep up with a team that is posting over 55 points per game. And when you consider how much Oregon scores, doesn't that mathematically make a 6 and half point lay pretty darn small?
I mean think about it logically. If Oregon hits their average of 55 points that means USC would need to come up with 49 to cover. Judging by the stats, USC better get 42 of that in the first half!
Bet an ear and a pinky-toe on this one.
Of course that would be a whopping 60 dimes in Fanelli-Land.
I don't think I have to give you my season stats on MY BIG PLAYS THIS
SEASON but i will anyway.
TWO BIGGEST PLAYS = 2-0 for +100 DIMES. And here we go again as we turn your bookie into your personal driver by the end of the season. But for now we give him a nice backhand smack in the cheek and have a nice dinner with your families.
See you warriors on the other side.
Andy Fanelli
Saturday's Selection
You guys all set for my bigiest release to date? Well, the wait is over. My 60 Dime Pac 10 Game of the Year is a play on the Oregon Ducks minlus the points over the USC Trojans. This game kicks off in LA at 8pm eastern time, and as I type this analasis, the Ducks are right around a 6 1/2 point favorite. I don't see this one being close at all, so lay it all night long with Oregon.
Wow...
Fanelli is almost NEVER A FAN. But Oregon plays at a pace that would make arena foitball teams jealous.
I have played this one in my mind a half dozen times and I fail to see any way that USC stays within a touchldown in a 4 quarter game against this Ducks team. They are simply phenomenal and USC has had their issues losing two of their last 3 games, including a terrible home loss to Washington in which they allowed 32 points.
USC also allowad 35 points the following week to Stanford. At home USC isn't exactly dominant despite a nice performance against Cal on the 16th.
Does anyone remember their terrible home loss to Arizona last year?
Look, The thing to watch in this one is the 2nd half. Because that is when Oregon plays defense and allows next to nothing...Reason? Teams are simply gassed from trying to keep up. Look at the second half outputs of Tennessee, Stanford and Arizona State against Oregon. I give you these teams because they were the only teams to be competitive against Oregon at halftime.
They all stayed competitive in the first half...They were collectively outscored in the 2nd half...77 to 7!!! 77 to 7? yes...77-7! and we are coming up 7's on this one. Perhaps the worst thing for USC is if they dare keep it close in the 1st half as Oregon looks faster and stronger in the 4th quarter then they do in 1st quarters. USC does not have the man power to keep up with a team that is posting over 55 points per game. And when you consider how much Oregon scores, doesn't that mathematically make a 6 and half point lay pretty darn small?
I mean think about it logically. If Oregon hits their average of 55 points that means USC would need to come up with 49 to cover. Judging by the stats, USC better get 42 of that in the first half!
Bet an ear and a pinky-toe on this one.
Of course that would be a whopping 60 dimes in Fanelli-Land.
I don't think I have to give you my season stats on MY BIG PLAYS THIS
SEASON but i will anyway.
TWO BIGGEST PLAYS = 2-0 for +100 DIMES. And here we go again as we turn your bookie into your personal driver by the end of the season. But for now we give him a nice backhand smack in the cheek and have a nice dinner with your families.
See you warriors on the other side.
HRC PREMIUM NCAA FOOTBALL ACTION-October 30th
Capper: JSM Sports (Handicappers Paradise)
Play Strengths
*****************
2* Action
5* Selection (Rated)
8* Premium (Rated)
10* Diamond (Rated)
******************
[153] Stanford |8*|Bet B|OPEN -6.5|B+1/2|Network N/A|7:00 pm EST
[155] Florida |8*|Bet B|OPEN +3.5|B+1/2|CBS|3:30 pm EST
[176] Nevada |8*|Bet B|OPEN -25.5|B+0|Network N/A|10:30 pm EST
[191] Michigan |8*|Bet B|OPEN -2.5|B+0|ABC|8:00 pm EST
note*
This is the "NCAA SPREAD SYSTEM" buy 1/2 on only even spreads (3 game chase)
Capper: JSM Sports (Handicappers Paradise)
Play Strengths
*****************
2* Action
5* Selection (Rated)
8* Premium (Rated)
10* Diamond (Rated)
******************
[153] Stanford |8*|Bet B|OPEN -6.5|B+1/2|Network N/A|7:00 pm EST
[155] Florida |8*|Bet B|OPEN +3.5|B+1/2|CBS|3:30 pm EST
[176] Nevada |8*|Bet B|OPEN -25.5|B+0|Network N/A|10:30 pm EST
[191] Michigan |8*|Bet B|OPEN -2.5|B+0|ABC|8:00 pm EST
note*
This is the "NCAA SPREAD SYSTEM" buy 1/2 on only even spreads (3 game chase)
Football Prophet
1. Stanford/Washington over 63
2. Florida/Georgia over 47
3. East Carolina/Central Florida over 53
4. Oklahoma State/Kansas State over 68
5. Oregon State -2.5
6. Oregon/USC over 70
7. Idaho/Hawaii over 64
8. Arkansas -20 -120
9. UL Lafayette/Ohio over 52
10. Purdue/Illinois over 41
11. Akron/Temple over 48 -120
12. SMU/Tulane over 53
13. Florida International/Florida Atlantic over 46
14. Texas Tech/Texas A&M over 59
1. Stanford/Washington over 63
2. Florida/Georgia over 47
3. East Carolina/Central Florida over 53
4. Oklahoma State/Kansas State over 68
5. Oregon State -2.5
6. Oregon/USC over 70
7. Idaho/Hawaii over 64
8. Arkansas -20 -120
9. UL Lafayette/Ohio over 52
10. Purdue/Illinois over 41
11. Akron/Temple over 48 -120
12. SMU/Tulane over 53
13. Florida International/Florida Atlantic over 46
14. Texas Tech/Texas A&M over 59
Ncaaf fox sheets
8
Favoring: CLEMSON on the money line.
Play On - A road team vs. the money line (CLEMSON) - off 2 consecutive home wins by 14 points or more, in weeks 5 through 9
(46-13 over the last 5 seasons.) (78.0%,
The situation's record this season is: (8-1
Favoring: N ILLINOIS on the money line.
Play On - A road team vs. the money line (N ILLINOIS) - off 2 consecutive home wins by 14 points or more, in weeks 5 through 9
(46-13 over the last 5 seasons.) (78.0%,
The situation's record this season is: (8-1
Favoring: AUBURN on the money line.
Play Against - A home team vs. the money line (OLE MISS) - after allowing 6.25 or more yards/play in their previous game, returning 5 or less off. starters with new QB against opponent returning 8+ defensive starters
(31-5 over the last 10 seasons.) (86.1%,
The situation's record this season is: (3-0
7
Favoring: USC on the money line.
Play On - A home team vs. the money line (USC) - in a game involving two explosive offensive teams (>=34 PPG) after 7 or more games, after a win by 28 or more points
(34-4 since 1992.) (89.5%,
The situation's record this season is: (0-0 0 units).
Favoring: USC on the money line.
Play On - A home team vs. the money line (USC) - in a game involving two explosive offensive teams (>=34 PPG), after a win by 28 or more points
(34-4 since 1992.) (89.5%,
The situation's record this season is: (0-0 0 units)
7
Favoring: FLA INTERNATIONAL on the money line.
Play On - Road favorites vs. the money line (FLA INTERNATIONAL) - off a double digit road win, in weeks 5 through 9
(37-2 over the last 5 seasons.) (94.9%,
The situation's record this season is: (3-1
Favoring: HOUSTON on the money line.
Play On - Road favorites vs. the money line (HOUSTON) - off a double digit road win, in weeks 5 through 9
(37-2 over the last 5 seasons.) (94.9%,
The situation's record this season is: (3-1
Favoring: SAN DIEGO ST on the money line.
Play On - Road favorites vs. the money line (SAN DIEGO ST) - off a double digit road win, in weeks 5 through 9
(37-2 over the last 5 seasons.) (94.9%,
The situation's record this season is: (3-1
Favoring: MIAMI OHIO on the money line.
Play Against - A home team vs. the money line (BUFFALO) - after being beaten by the spread by more than 21 points in their previous game against opponent after being beaten by the spread by 21 or more points total in their last three games
(38-17 over the last 10 seasons.) (69.1%,
The situation's record this season is: (3-1
Favoring: STANFORD on the money line.
Play Against - A home team vs. the money line (WASHINGTON) - after being beaten by the spread by more than 21 points in their previous game against opponent after being beaten by the spread by 21 or more points total in their last three games
(38-17 over the last 10 seasons.) (69.1%,
The situation's record this season is: (3-1
Favoring: CONNECTICUT on the money line.
Play Against - A road team vs. the money line (W VIRGINIA) - average rushing team (140-190 RY/game) against a team with an average rushing defense (140-190 RY/G), after gaining 125 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games
(29-9 over the last 10 seasons.) (76.3%,
The situation's record this season is: (1-1
Favoring: FLA INTERNATIONAL on the money line.
Play On - Road favorites vs. the money line (FLA INTERNATIONAL) - off a double digit road win, in October games
(35-2 over the last 5 seasons.) (94.6%,
The situation's record this season is: (3-1
Favoring: HOUSTON on the money line.
Play On - Road favorites vs. the money line (HOUSTON) - off a double digit road win, in October games
(35-2 over the last 5 seasons.) (94.6%,
The situation's record this season is: (3-1
Favoring: SAN DIEGO ST on the money line.
Play On - Road favorites vs. the money line (SAN DIEGO ST) - off a double digit road win, in October games
(35-2 over the last 5 seasons.) (94.6%,
The situation's record this season is: (3-1
Favoring: UTAH on the money line.
Play Against - A home team vs. the money line (AIR FORCE) - good team - outscoring opponents by 7 or more points/game, after scoring 14 points or less last game
(41-38 over the last 5 seasons.) (51.9%,
The situation's record this season is: (5-6
8
Favoring: CLEMSON on the money line.
Play On - A road team vs. the money line (CLEMSON) - off 2 consecutive home wins by 14 points or more, in weeks 5 through 9
(46-13 over the last 5 seasons.) (78.0%,
The situation's record this season is: (8-1
Favoring: N ILLINOIS on the money line.
Play On - A road team vs. the money line (N ILLINOIS) - off 2 consecutive home wins by 14 points or more, in weeks 5 through 9
(46-13 over the last 5 seasons.) (78.0%,
The situation's record this season is: (8-1
Favoring: AUBURN on the money line.
Play Against - A home team vs. the money line (OLE MISS) - after allowing 6.25 or more yards/play in their previous game, returning 5 or less off. starters with new QB against opponent returning 8+ defensive starters
(31-5 over the last 10 seasons.) (86.1%,
The situation's record this season is: (3-0
7
Favoring: USC on the money line.
Play On - A home team vs. the money line (USC) - in a game involving two explosive offensive teams (>=34 PPG) after 7 or more games, after a win by 28 or more points
(34-4 since 1992.) (89.5%,
The situation's record this season is: (0-0 0 units).
Favoring: USC on the money line.
Play On - A home team vs. the money line (USC) - in a game involving two explosive offensive teams (>=34 PPG), after a win by 28 or more points
(34-4 since 1992.) (89.5%,
The situation's record this season is: (0-0 0 units)
7
Favoring: FLA INTERNATIONAL on the money line.
Play On - Road favorites vs. the money line (FLA INTERNATIONAL) - off a double digit road win, in weeks 5 through 9
(37-2 over the last 5 seasons.) (94.9%,
The situation's record this season is: (3-1
Favoring: HOUSTON on the money line.
Play On - Road favorites vs. the money line (HOUSTON) - off a double digit road win, in weeks 5 through 9
(37-2 over the last 5 seasons.) (94.9%,
The situation's record this season is: (3-1
Favoring: SAN DIEGO ST on the money line.
Play On - Road favorites vs. the money line (SAN DIEGO ST) - off a double digit road win, in weeks 5 through 9
(37-2 over the last 5 seasons.) (94.9%,
The situation's record this season is: (3-1
Favoring: MIAMI OHIO on the money line.
Play Against - A home team vs. the money line (BUFFALO) - after being beaten by the spread by more than 21 points in their previous game against opponent after being beaten by the spread by 21 or more points total in their last three games
(38-17 over the last 10 seasons.) (69.1%,
The situation's record this season is: (3-1
Favoring: STANFORD on the money line.
Play Against - A home team vs. the money line (WASHINGTON) - after being beaten by the spread by more than 21 points in their previous game against opponent after being beaten by the spread by 21 or more points total in their last three games
(38-17 over the last 10 seasons.) (69.1%,
The situation's record this season is: (3-1
Favoring: CONNECTICUT on the money line.
Play Against - A road team vs. the money line (W VIRGINIA) - average rushing team (140-190 RY/game) against a team with an average rushing defense (140-190 RY/G), after gaining 125 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games
(29-9 over the last 10 seasons.) (76.3%,
The situation's record this season is: (1-1
Favoring: FLA INTERNATIONAL on the money line.
Play On - Road favorites vs. the money line (FLA INTERNATIONAL) - off a double digit road win, in October games
(35-2 over the last 5 seasons.) (94.6%,
The situation's record this season is: (3-1
Favoring: HOUSTON on the money line.
Play On - Road favorites vs. the money line (HOUSTON) - off a double digit road win, in October games
(35-2 over the last 5 seasons.) (94.6%,
The situation's record this season is: (3-1
Favoring: SAN DIEGO ST on the money line.
Play On - Road favorites vs. the money line (SAN DIEGO ST) - off a double digit road win, in October games
(35-2 over the last 5 seasons.) (94.6%,
The situation's record this season is: (3-1
Favoring: UTAH on the money line.
Play Against - A home team vs. the money line (AIR FORCE) - good team - outscoring opponents by 7 or more points/game, after scoring 14 points or less last game
(41-38 over the last 5 seasons.) (51.9%,
The situation's record this season is: (5-6
Wiseguyedge
Important Note - Please read this carefully. WiseGuy Edge Plays are worth twice as much as double plays. Please do not overvalue the big plays and undervalue the normal plays. Our double plays are premium plays and should be played at 5% of your bankroll. The WiseGuy Edge Plays are not Locks of the year or 100 unit bets. They are simply stronger than our regular plays. k
WiseGuy Edge Play - 10% bankroll
Double Play - 5% bankroll
+2.5 Florida - WiseGuy Edge Play
Analysis - The annual cocktail party is usually one of the biggest games of the year but neither Florida or Georgia have met expectations so far. The Gators (4-3,2-4 ATS) have struggled adjusting to life without Tim Tebow and have not been able to find any rhythm offensively. With two weeks off to prepare and rest up a bit, the Florida defense that’s been stunningly inconsistent this year, but is still allowing under 300 yards per game, should be able to take away the Georgia passing game. Georgia (4-4, 4-4 ATS) is finally starting to play better and has won three in a row. QB Aaron Murray has been efficient and effective, but that’s partly been a function of a running game that’s taking all the pressure off. Florida might be having problems, but the pass defense has been fantastic (although, LSU, shockingly, found a way to make it work) allowing just 167 yards per game while ranking 11th in the nation in pass efficiency defense. The Gators are going to stack the line and force Murray to win the game though the air, and while he’ll win a few battles, the consistency isn’t going to be there like it’s been over the last few weeks. Offensively, the Gator attack should get a little bit of life with suspended star Chris Rainey possibly back in the mix. Look for Florida to play it's best game of the year and make it three in a row against Georgia.
Projected Score Georgia 17 Florida 24
-23.5 Oklahoma - Double Play
Analysis - After becoming another national championship front-runner to lose in recent weeks, the 11th-ranked Sooners look to bounce back with a third straight home win over struggling Colorado in the rivals' final matchup as Big 12 members Saturday night. Oklahoma is coming off a 36-27 loss at then-No. 18 Missouri last Saturday. The Sooners (6-1, 3-4 ATS) followed Ohio State and Alabama, both No. 1 in the AP poll, to lose over a span of three straight Saturdays. The defeat dropped Oklahoma to ninth in the BCS standings. Landry Jones had thrown three interceptions in the previous six games, but had two against the Tigers. Still, he's thrown for 637 yards and six touchdowns in the last two contests. Colorado (3-4, 3-4 ATS) is coming off a close loss to Texas Tech and has allowed an average of 190.0 yards on the ground the last four games. The Buffaloes could face a more difficult challenge without leading tackler Jon Major. Though Oklahoma yielded season highs for points and total yards (486) against Missouri, its defense could be in for a better effort against a Colorado squad also without injured starting quarterback Tyler Hansen(ruptured spleen). The Sooners were embarrassed in front of the entire country last week and should have plenty of motivation to play better against the Buffalos. Expect Oklahoma to bounce back and absolutely dominate Colorado in a complete rout.
Projected Score Colorado 14 Oklahoma 63
-7 Texas - Double Play
Analysis - Baylor (6-2, 4-3 ATS) enters this week with a surprising lead in its division and a ranking for the first time since 1993. Equally shocking are the struggles of the 25th-ranked Bears' next opponent. Texas (4-2, 2-5 ATS) entered this year with nine consecutive seasons of at least 10 wins, but have been humbled after dropping three of four including an embarrassing 21-28 loss to Iowa State. To keep the streak going, they'll need to win their remaining five contests and a bowl game. Baylor hopes to extend Texas' rare home losing streak to three while ending a 12-game skid to the Longhorns as the teams meet Saturday in Austin. Last week's 47-42 victory over Kansas State, though, pushed the Bears atop the Big 12 South - a half-game in front of Oklahoma and Oklahoma State - and one more win would give Baylor a program high for conference victories. Baylor hasn't won three straight since Sept. 9-22, 2007 - and has never won three straight in Big 12 play in a single season- but boasts an offense that ranks fifth nationally both overall (510.8 yards per game) and passing (314.3). The Bears have also struggled at times to keep opponents off the scoreboard and have given up at least 25 points four times. The Longhorns are capable of playing much better and should look like a different team this week. The Bears finally run out of gas and fall flat against the Horns.
Projected Score Baylor 16 Texas 34
-7 Clemson - Double Play
Analysis - Clemson (4-3, 3-3 ATS) has regrouped from a slow start and won consecutive games over Maryland and Georgia Tech, the latter earning revenge for last year’s ACC championship game defeat. They are led by QB Kyle Parker who completed 17 of 27 passes last week. They’ll hit the road, where they’ve yet to win in 2010, looking to keep faint hopes for another Atlantic Division crown alive. Boston College (2-5,1-5 ATS) has lost five games in a row are trying to recover from losing multiple starters to injury. The Eagles fell late to Maryland last week and almost pulled off the upset against Florida state two weeks ago but fell short to the Terrapins 24-21. The Eagles offense is ranked 104th nationally and will face even more pressure to score after losing two more defensive starters to injury last week. Clemson has too much talent for the Eagles and will not have any trouble moving the ball against their banged up defense. Look for the Tigers to cruise to their first road win.
Projected Score Clemson 35 Boston College 17
-7.5 Nebraska - Double Play
Analysis - After clinching their best start in 50 years, the No. 7 Tigers will try to stay unbeaten when they travel to 14th-ranked Nebraska in the schools' final matchup as Big 12 rivals Saturday. Missouri (7-0, 3-4 ATS) knocked off one nemesis last Saturday with a 36-27 upset of then-BCS leading Oklahoma. While Tigers coach Gary Pinkel gave his team one day to bask in that victory, he admitted to already thinking about the Cornhuskers hours after beating the Sooners. The win allowed Missouri climbed to sixth in the BCS standings, and a victory over Nebraska (6-1, 2-1) could push the Tigers higher. It might be more difficult for Missouri to top last week's performance, especially on offense. The Tigers gained a season-high 486 yards with 308 through the air from quarterback Blaine Gabbert. Nebraska (6-1, 3-3) is coming off a 51-41 over No. 17 Oklahoma State and got a huge performance from QB Taylor Martinez. The freshman threw for 323 yards after topping 140 just once in his first six games. Martinez also ran for a team-best 112 yards, giving him 870 this season - 10th most in FBS. The Cornhuskers face a defense that's given up at least 240 passing yards in the past four games, but is fifth nationally allowing 13.1 points per contest. This year's matchup will mark the final time the schools meet regularly as Nebraska joins the Big Ten in 2011. The Cornhuskers will try for a better performance at home than in their previous two games there. In Big 12 play, they've won seven straight road games but have dropped three of five in Lincoln, including a 20-13 defeat to Texas on Oct. 16 in which they didn't score an offensive touchdown. The Cornhuskers are looking to make up for their last home loss and are catching the Tigers at the right time. The Tigers will still be on cloud nine after knocking off #1 Oklahoma and will not be ready to play another big game. Nebraska will force Missouri out of its comfort zone and win this game by forcing multiple turnovers.
Projected Score Missouri 21 Nebraska 45
+6 Kentucky - Double Play
Analysis - Mississippi State (6-2, 4-3 ATS) is finally starting to cruise under second year coach Dan Mullen. The Bulldogs have won five straight, earning bowl eligibility for the first time since 2007, but Saturday's victory wasn't pretty. UAB outgained Mississippi State 207-103 in the first half, and briefly took a 24-23 lead after a touchdown with 10:16 remaining in the game. Kentucky (4-4, 5-3 ATS) has been up and down this season with solid wins over South Carolina and Louisville. The Wildcats are ranked 23rd nationally in offense and rely primarily on do everything QB Mike Hartline. The UK pass defense has been solid allowing just 177 yards per game through the air, and MSU’s anemic passing game isn’t going to push that envelope. LB Danny Trevathan and the UK defensive front isn’t great at getting into the backfield, and it hasn’t always been a brick wall against the run, but it did a relatively decent job against everyone but Auburn. The Wildcats wouldn’t mind making this a shootout and could do a decent job against the mediocre Bulldog secondary. Kentucky is 4-0 when it allows 28 points or fewer so expect the streak to continue to 5-0 with a win over Mississippi State.
Projected Score Kentucky 17 Mississippi State 15
+6.5 USC - Double Play
Projected Score Oregon 21 USC 31
Important Note - Please read this carefully. WiseGuy Edge Plays are worth twice as much as double plays. Please do not overvalue the big plays and undervalue the normal plays. Our double plays are premium plays and should be played at 5% of your bankroll. The WiseGuy Edge Plays are not Locks of the year or 100 unit bets. They are simply stronger than our regular plays. k
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Double Play - 5% bankroll
+2.5 Florida - WiseGuy Edge Play
Analysis - The annual cocktail party is usually one of the biggest games of the year but neither Florida or Georgia have met expectations so far. The Gators (4-3,2-4 ATS) have struggled adjusting to life without Tim Tebow and have not been able to find any rhythm offensively. With two weeks off to prepare and rest up a bit, the Florida defense that’s been stunningly inconsistent this year, but is still allowing under 300 yards per game, should be able to take away the Georgia passing game. Georgia (4-4, 4-4 ATS) is finally starting to play better and has won three in a row. QB Aaron Murray has been efficient and effective, but that’s partly been a function of a running game that’s taking all the pressure off. Florida might be having problems, but the pass defense has been fantastic (although, LSU, shockingly, found a way to make it work) allowing just 167 yards per game while ranking 11th in the nation in pass efficiency defense. The Gators are going to stack the line and force Murray to win the game though the air, and while he’ll win a few battles, the consistency isn’t going to be there like it’s been over the last few weeks. Offensively, the Gator attack should get a little bit of life with suspended star Chris Rainey possibly back in the mix. Look for Florida to play it's best game of the year and make it three in a row against Georgia.
Projected Score Georgia 17 Florida 24
-23.5 Oklahoma - Double Play
Analysis - After becoming another national championship front-runner to lose in recent weeks, the 11th-ranked Sooners look to bounce back with a third straight home win over struggling Colorado in the rivals' final matchup as Big 12 members Saturday night. Oklahoma is coming off a 36-27 loss at then-No. 18 Missouri last Saturday. The Sooners (6-1, 3-4 ATS) followed Ohio State and Alabama, both No. 1 in the AP poll, to lose over a span of three straight Saturdays. The defeat dropped Oklahoma to ninth in the BCS standings. Landry Jones had thrown three interceptions in the previous six games, but had two against the Tigers. Still, he's thrown for 637 yards and six touchdowns in the last two contests. Colorado (3-4, 3-4 ATS) is coming off a close loss to Texas Tech and has allowed an average of 190.0 yards on the ground the last four games. The Buffaloes could face a more difficult challenge without leading tackler Jon Major. Though Oklahoma yielded season highs for points and total yards (486) against Missouri, its defense could be in for a better effort against a Colorado squad also without injured starting quarterback Tyler Hansen(ruptured spleen). The Sooners were embarrassed in front of the entire country last week and should have plenty of motivation to play better against the Buffalos. Expect Oklahoma to bounce back and absolutely dominate Colorado in a complete rout.
Projected Score Colorado 14 Oklahoma 63
-7 Texas - Double Play
Analysis - Baylor (6-2, 4-3 ATS) enters this week with a surprising lead in its division and a ranking for the first time since 1993. Equally shocking are the struggles of the 25th-ranked Bears' next opponent. Texas (4-2, 2-5 ATS) entered this year with nine consecutive seasons of at least 10 wins, but have been humbled after dropping three of four including an embarrassing 21-28 loss to Iowa State. To keep the streak going, they'll need to win their remaining five contests and a bowl game. Baylor hopes to extend Texas' rare home losing streak to three while ending a 12-game skid to the Longhorns as the teams meet Saturday in Austin. Last week's 47-42 victory over Kansas State, though, pushed the Bears atop the Big 12 South - a half-game in front of Oklahoma and Oklahoma State - and one more win would give Baylor a program high for conference victories. Baylor hasn't won three straight since Sept. 9-22, 2007 - and has never won three straight in Big 12 play in a single season- but boasts an offense that ranks fifth nationally both overall (510.8 yards per game) and passing (314.3). The Bears have also struggled at times to keep opponents off the scoreboard and have given up at least 25 points four times. The Longhorns are capable of playing much better and should look like a different team this week. The Bears finally run out of gas and fall flat against the Horns.
Projected Score Baylor 16 Texas 34
-7 Clemson - Double Play
Analysis - Clemson (4-3, 3-3 ATS) has regrouped from a slow start and won consecutive games over Maryland and Georgia Tech, the latter earning revenge for last year’s ACC championship game defeat. They are led by QB Kyle Parker who completed 17 of 27 passes last week. They’ll hit the road, where they’ve yet to win in 2010, looking to keep faint hopes for another Atlantic Division crown alive. Boston College (2-5,1-5 ATS) has lost five games in a row are trying to recover from losing multiple starters to injury. The Eagles fell late to Maryland last week and almost pulled off the upset against Florida state two weeks ago but fell short to the Terrapins 24-21. The Eagles offense is ranked 104th nationally and will face even more pressure to score after losing two more defensive starters to injury last week. Clemson has too much talent for the Eagles and will not have any trouble moving the ball against their banged up defense. Look for the Tigers to cruise to their first road win.
Projected Score Clemson 35 Boston College 17
-7.5 Nebraska - Double Play
Analysis - After clinching their best start in 50 years, the No. 7 Tigers will try to stay unbeaten when they travel to 14th-ranked Nebraska in the schools' final matchup as Big 12 rivals Saturday. Missouri (7-0, 3-4 ATS) knocked off one nemesis last Saturday with a 36-27 upset of then-BCS leading Oklahoma. While Tigers coach Gary Pinkel gave his team one day to bask in that victory, he admitted to already thinking about the Cornhuskers hours after beating the Sooners. The win allowed Missouri climbed to sixth in the BCS standings, and a victory over Nebraska (6-1, 2-1) could push the Tigers higher. It might be more difficult for Missouri to top last week's performance, especially on offense. The Tigers gained a season-high 486 yards with 308 through the air from quarterback Blaine Gabbert. Nebraska (6-1, 3-3) is coming off a 51-41 over No. 17 Oklahoma State and got a huge performance from QB Taylor Martinez. The freshman threw for 323 yards after topping 140 just once in his first six games. Martinez also ran for a team-best 112 yards, giving him 870 this season - 10th most in FBS. The Cornhuskers face a defense that's given up at least 240 passing yards in the past four games, but is fifth nationally allowing 13.1 points per contest. This year's matchup will mark the final time the schools meet regularly as Nebraska joins the Big Ten in 2011. The Cornhuskers will try for a better performance at home than in their previous two games there. In Big 12 play, they've won seven straight road games but have dropped three of five in Lincoln, including a 20-13 defeat to Texas on Oct. 16 in which they didn't score an offensive touchdown. The Cornhuskers are looking to make up for their last home loss and are catching the Tigers at the right time. The Tigers will still be on cloud nine after knocking off #1 Oklahoma and will not be ready to play another big game. Nebraska will force Missouri out of its comfort zone and win this game by forcing multiple turnovers.
Projected Score Missouri 21 Nebraska 45
+6 Kentucky - Double Play
Analysis - Mississippi State (6-2, 4-3 ATS) is finally starting to cruise under second year coach Dan Mullen. The Bulldogs have won five straight, earning bowl eligibility for the first time since 2007, but Saturday's victory wasn't pretty. UAB outgained Mississippi State 207-103 in the first half, and briefly took a 24-23 lead after a touchdown with 10:16 remaining in the game. Kentucky (4-4, 5-3 ATS) has been up and down this season with solid wins over South Carolina and Louisville. The Wildcats are ranked 23rd nationally in offense and rely primarily on do everything QB Mike Hartline. The UK pass defense has been solid allowing just 177 yards per game through the air, and MSU’s anemic passing game isn’t going to push that envelope. LB Danny Trevathan and the UK defensive front isn’t great at getting into the backfield, and it hasn’t always been a brick wall against the run, but it did a relatively decent job against everyone but Auburn. The Wildcats wouldn’t mind making this a shootout and could do a decent job against the mediocre Bulldog secondary. Kentucky is 4-0 when it allows 28 points or fewer so expect the streak to continue to 5-0 with a win over Mississippi State.
Projected Score Kentucky 17 Mississippi State 15
+6.5 USC - Double Play
Projected Score Oregon 21 USC 31
Statsystems report 10/30
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***** STAT/SYSTEMS SPORTS POWER SEARCH -- CFB *****
• AWESOME ANGLE OF THE WEEK
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This weeks’ AWESOME ANGLE takes the field this afternoon at Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium in Annapolis, Maryland and it tells to play against the Midshipmen after their upset win of Notre Dame. “And that my friend is exactly what we’ll do!”
--PLAY AGAINST: Any college favorite that beat Notre Dame as an underdog in its last game if it beat the spread by 10 or more points and is facing a sub .600 opponent today. ATS W-L Record Since 1980: 10-0-1 (100%).
Turning to our huge database it dialed-up several tidbits of its own: the Middies are 0-10 ATS at home off a SU dog win and just 4-12 SU and 3-13 ATS at home versus ACC opposition. Meanwhile; HC David Cutcliffe's work is also a factor in this decision as the third-year HC of Duke is already an overwhelming 14-6-1 ATS as an underdog off a SU loss and 3-1 ATS away versus an opponent off a SU dog win.
Like so many other FBS schools, the Naval Academy has scheduled the likes of the Blue Devils from Duke as their Homecoming opponent. "And that’s just fine, this one gets better-looking with every passing hour, we suggest grabbing all of those beautiful points!"
• CFB SYSTEM OF THE WEEK
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In the aftermath of more upsets, including the third straight week the No.1 team in the nation lost, will Week 9 hold true to form or will the dogs prevail again facing the giants of college football.
There is absolute no denying the brilliance of Cam Newton, who is doing things at the QB position no one has ever done, and with the Tigers unbeaten there are both Heisman Trophy and BCS notions to make them a public darling. That sets this up well for us, as we now catch a team playing for the 9th straight week that can be very vulnerable in this setting, especially given the fact that nothing is going to come easily for them anyway!
This week sees Auburn ranked No.1 after another tough SEC victory against LSU. Auburn must play a potentially tough game against upset minded Mississippi and the Tigers are favored by seven points. As we have seen throughout all of college football and especially in the SEC, seven points is not a guarantee that any favored team will win there game.
If you do not think that the No. 1 team can lose four straight weeks then take a close look at this Super Situational System as this game may be a whole lot closer than most observers believe possible. PLAY ON - Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points - off a loss by 10 points or more to a conference rival against opponent after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite.
(29-8 over the last 10 seasons.) (78.4%, +20.2 units)
Once again, and to seal the deal we turned to our powerful database for suggestions: Ole Miss stands 3-1 ATS in the series of late, 9-2 ATS as a home dog of seven or more points and 8-2 ATS in the first of consecutive home encounters. Coach Nutt also brings to the table a 4-0 SU and ATS mark as a home underdog versus an opponent allowing 19 or more PPG.
The Rebels will have to play a perfect game to pull off the upset and they do have a strong history playing against elite passing offenses. Rebels are a rock-solid 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) facing strong offensive teams scoring 34 or more points per game since 1992.
THIS WEEK'S PLAY: MISSISSIPPI +7
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• INCREDIBLE STATS OF THE WEEK
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--FLORIDA - Head Coach Urban Meyer is 18-2 SU and 16-3-1 ATS when his teams play with rest, including 5-0 SU and ATS when not favored.
--IOWA: Is 1-10 ATS at home following a home loss if they allowed less than 35 points in the loss.
--WASHINGTON: Is 14-3 ATS as Pac-10 home underdog versus an opponent off back-to-back wins, including 8-0 ATS off a double-digit defeat.
• AMAZING SITUATIONAL TRENDS
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--OHIO STATE: Is 18-0-1 ATS (6.5 ppg) since 1994 when facing a team they beat by between 28 and 35 last meeting within the past 2000 days, if they are not favored by 38 or more, were not favored by 31 or more last game.
--NEW MEXICO: Is 15-0 ATS (12.3 ppg) since 1997 when not on a Friday night and facing a team they scored between 28 and 33 points against last meeting.
--SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI: Is 0-11 ATS (-9.5 ppg) since 2001 when facing a conference team they allowed between 28 and 33 points to last meeting.
--TULANE: Is 0-10 ATS (-12.3 ppg) since 2005 when facing a team which it scored between 21 and 27 points against last meeting, if they did not get shutout in their previous game.
--TOLEDO: Is 0-9 ATS (-14.8 ppg) since October 2005 when facing a team it beat by at least 25 points last meeting.
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
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--AIR FORCE is 0-12 ATS (-13.2 Units) off a blowout loss by 21 points or more to a conference rival since 1992.
The average score was AIR FORCE 22.2, OPPONENT 34.9 - (Rating = 5*)
--NORTH TEXAS is 2-18 ATS (-17.8 Units) after a game where they committed no turnovers since 1992.
The average score was NORTH TEXAS 16.6, OPPONENT 31 - (Rating = 5*)
--AIR FORCE is 4-23 ATS (-21.3 Units) off a loss by 10 points or more to a conference rival since 1992.
The average score was AIR FORCE 25.8, OPPONENT 31.4 - (Rating = 4*)
--ARIZONA ST is 14-1 ATS (+12.9 Units) versus terrible rushing teams - averaging <=90 rushing yards/game since 1992.
The average score was ARIZONA ST 36.7, OPPONENT 16.8 - (Rating = 4*)
--BUFFALO is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) when the total is between 42.5 and 49 over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was BUFFALO 15.8, OPPONENT 30.6 - (Rating = 4*)
--KANSAS is 2-16 ATS (-15.6 Units) after allowing 31 points or more in 3 straight games since 1992.
The average score was KANSAS 16.8, OPPONENT 37.4 - (Rating = 4*)
--MARSHALL is 13-1 ATS (+11.9 Units) in home games after failing to cover the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games since 1992.
The average score was MARSHALL 38.4, OPPONENT 23.6 - (Rating = 4*)
--OHIO ST is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) after a game where they forced 3 or more turnovers over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was OHIO ST 33.6, OPPONENT 14 - (Rating = 4*)
--SAN JOSE ST is 0-10 ATS (-11 Units) after playing 3 straight conference games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was SAN JOSE ST 13.2, OPPONENT 31.1 - (Rating = 4*)
--UCF is 12-1 ATS (+10.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was UCF 27.2, OPPONENT 18.9 - (Rating = 4*)
--ILLINOIS is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) in home games after leading in their previous game by 17 or more points at the half since 1992.
The average score was ILLINOIS 22.4, OPPONENT 20.2 - (Rating = 3*)
--IOWA is 17-3 ATS (+13.7 Units) versus excellent rushing teams - averaging >=5.25 rushing yards/carry since 1992.
The average score was IOWA 32.9, OPPONENT 22.6 - (Rating = 3*)
--IOWA ST is 8-0 ATS (+8 Units) after having lost 2 out of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was IOWA ST 24.4, OPPONENT 16.6 - (Rating = 3*)
--KANSAS is 1-10 ATS (-10 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was KANSAS 19.5, OPPONENT 40.5 - (Rating = 3*)
--KANSAS is 1-10 ATS (-10 Units) after the first month of the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was KANSAS 19.5, OPPONENT 40.5 - (Rating = 3*)
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• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
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--VANDERBILT is 12-0 UNDER (+12 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was VANDERBILT 9.1, OPPONENT 24.7 - (Rating = 6*)
--ARIZONA ST is 10-0 OVER (+10 Units) in home games off a road blowout loss by 21 points or more since 1992.
The average score was ARIZONA ST 31.5, OPPONENT 32.1 - (Rating = 4*)
--IDAHO is 12-1 OVER (+10.9 Units) as a road underdog over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was IDAHO 22.4, OPPONENT 44 - (Rating = 4*)
--ILLINOIS is 16-2 UNDER (+13.8 Units) after scoring 24 points or more in the first half last game since 1992.
The average score was ILLINOIS 18.3, OPPONENT 21 - (Rating = 4*)
--VIRGINIA is 10-0 UNDER (+10 Units) in home games after 2 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers since 1992.
The average score was VIRGINIA 20.1, OPPONENT 11 - (Rating = 4*)
--STANFORD is 12-1 OVER (+10.9 Units) after playing 2 straight conference games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was STANFORD 35, OPPONENT 31.2 - (Rating = 4*)
--IDAHO is 14-2 OVER (+11.8 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was IDAHO 24.6, OPPONENT 41.8 - (Rating = 3*)
--IDAHO is 11-1 OVER (+9.9 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was IDAHO 26.7, OPPONENT 42.2 - (Rating = 3*)
--IDAHO is 8-0 OVER (+8 Units) in road games after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was IDAHO 27, OPPONENT 50.2 - (Rating = 3*)
--MICHIGAN ST is 18-4 OVER (+13.6 Units) in road games in October games since 1992.
The average score was MICHIGAN ST 24.8, OPPONENT 27.9 - (Rating = 3*)
--KANSAS is 10-1 OVER (+8.9 Units) after a game where they forced 1 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was KANSAS 23.6, OPPONENT 36.7 - (Rating = 3*)
--KANSAS ST is 29-9 OVER (+19.1 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.
The average score was KANSAS ST 31.7, OPPONENT 24.5 - (Rating = 3*)
--KANSAS ST is 9-0 OVER (+9 Units) after a playing a game where 80 total points or more were scored since 1992.
The average score was KANSAS ST 37.6, OPPONENT 31.6 - (Rating = 3*)
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• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
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--HAWAII is 8-0 (+8 Units) against the 1rst half line versus the first half line in all games this season.
The average score was HAWAII 20.6, OPPONENT 8.1 - (Rating = 4*)
--TROY is 9-0 (+9 Units) against the 1rst half line after a game where they committed 3 or more turnovers over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was TROY 20.2, OPPONENT 6.8 - (Rating = 4*)
--UTAH is 7-0 (+7 Units) against the 1rst half line versus the first half line in all games this season.
The average score was UTAH 25, OPPONENT 4.7 - (Rating = 3*)
--UTAH is 7-0 (+7 Units) against the 1rst half line as a favorite vs. the 1rst half line this season.
The average score was UTAH 25, OPPONENT 4.7 - (Rating = 3*)
--COLORADO ST is 11-1 (+9.9 Units) against the 1rst half line in home games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was COLORADO ST 14.3, OPPONENT 9.2 - (Rating = 3*)
--IOWA is 22-5 (+16.5 Units) against the 1rst half line in home games off 1 or more straight overs since 1992.
The average score was IOWA 17.5, OPPONENT 5.9 - (Rating = 3*)
--IOWA ST is 8-0 (+8 Units) against the 1rst half line after having lost 2 out of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was IOWA ST 14.4, OPPONENT 5.4 - (Rating = 3*)
--BALL ST is 15-2 (+12.8 Units) against the 1rst half line after having lost 6 or 7 out of their last 8 games since 1992.
The average score was BALL ST 10.8, OPPONENT 15.6 - (Rating = 3*)
--SAN JOSE ST is 2-12 (-11.2 Units) against the 1rst half line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was SAN JOSE ST 6.1, OPPONENT 21.9 - (Rating = 3*)
--UTAH is 6-0 (+6 Units) against the 1rst half line when the first half total is between 25 and 28 this season.
The average score was UTAH 26.8, OPPONENT 4.3 - (Rating = 2*)
--UTAH is 6-0 (+6 Units) against the 1rst half line when playing on a Saturday this season.
The average score was UTAH 26.8, OPPONENT 4.3 - (Rating = 2*)
--UTAH is 6-0 (+6 Units) against the 1rst half line after 1 or more consecutive straight up wins this season.
The average score was UTAH 26.8, OPPONENT 4.3 - (Rating = 2*)
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• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER UNDER TRENDS
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--KENTUCKY is 9-0 OVER (+9 Units) the 1rst half total versus good rushing defenses - allowing <=120 rushing yards/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was KENTUCKY 13.2, OPPONENT 22.4 - (Rating = 4*)
--TULANE is 9-0 UNDER (+9 Units) the 1rst half total after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was TULANE 5.6, OPPONENT 13.9 - (Rating = 4*)
--UCLA is 20-3 OVER (+16.7 Units) the 1rst half total versus excellent rushing defenses -allowing <=2.75 rushing yards/carry since 1992.
The average score was UCLA 16.1, OPPONENT 17.1 - (Rating = 4*)
--NORTH TEXAS is 12-1 OVER (+10.9 Units) the 1rst half total after failing to cover the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NORTH TEXAS 12.8, OPPONENT 24.2 - (Rating = 4*)
--NORTH TEXAS is 13-1 OVER (+11.9 Units) the 1rst half total off a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NORTH TEXAS 15.4, OPPONENT 25.6 - (Rating = 4*)
--NORTH TEXAS is 9-0 OVER (+9 Units) the 1rst half total off a loss by 10 points or more to a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NORTH TEXAS 18.2, OPPONENT 27.1 - (Rating = 4*)
--ARKANSAS is 8-0 UNDER (+8 Units) the 1rst half total off 1 or more straight overs over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was ARKANSAS 10.6, OPPONENT 8.9 - (Rating = 3*)
--ARKANSAS is 8-0 UNDER (+8 Units) the 1rst half total after a playing a game where 60 total points or more were scored over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was ARKANSAS 11.9, OPPONENT 8.4 - (Rating = 3*)
--CLEMSON is 9-0 OVER (+9 Units) the 1rst half total in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
The average score was CLEMSON 18.3, OPPONENT 10.1 - (Rating = 3*)
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• TOP RATED COACHING TRENDS - ATS
------------------------------------------------
--Kirk Ferentz is 15-2 ATS (+12.8 Units) versus excellent rushing teams - averaging >=5.25 rushing yards/carry as the coach of IOWA.
The average score was Ferentz 33.3, OPPONENT 23.2 - (Rating = 4*)
--Ralph Friedgen is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) versus good rushing teams - averaging >=200 rushing yards/game as the coach of MARYLAND.
The average score was Friedgen 29.8, OPPONENT 16.7 - (Rating = 4*)
--Jim Tressel is 23-6 ATS (+16.4 Units) after having won 4 out of their last 5 games as the coach of OHIO ST.
The average score was Tressel 30.9, OPPONENT 13.2 - (Rating = 4*)
--Rich Rodriguez is 3-16 ATS (-14.6 Units) against conference opponents as the coach of MICHIGAN.
The average score was Rodriguez 23.2, OPPONENT 33.7 - (Rating = 4*)
--Rich Rodriguez is 3-16 ATS (-14.6 Units) after the first month of the season as the coach of MICHIGAN.
The average score was Rodriguez 23.9, OPPONENT 31.3 - (Rating = 4*)
--Bob Petrino is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) in home games after scoring 31 points or more in 2 straight games in all games he has coached since 1992.
The average score was Petrino 46.7, OPPONENT 15.2 - (Rating = 3*)
--Bob Petrino is 17-3 ATS (+13.7 Units) in home games in the second half of the season in all games he has coached since 1992.
The average score was Petrino 43.1, OPPONENT 21.9 - (Rating = 3*)
--Urban Meyer is 16-3 ATS (+12.7 Units) after a bye week in all games he has coached since 1992.
The average score was Meyer 36.6, OPPONENT 17.3 - (Rating = 3*)
--Kirk Ferentz is 30-11 ATS (+17.9 Units) after covering the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games as the coach of IOWA.
The average score was Ferentz 28.9, OPPONENT 16.5 - (Rating = 3*)
--Kirk Ferentz is 22-7 ATS (+14.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - averaging >=5.9 yards/play as the coach of IOWA.
The average score was Ferentz 30.3, OPPONENT 24 - (Rating = 3*)
--Paul Rhoads is 8-0 ATS (+8 Units) after having lost 2 out of their last 3 games as the coach of IOWA ST.
The average score was Rhoads 24.4, OPPONENT 16.6 - (Rating = 3*)
--Larry Blakeney is 17-4 ATS (+12.6 Units) after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games as the coach of TROY.
The average score was Blakeney 27.9, OPPONENT 18.9 - (Rating = 3*)
__________________________________________________ ______
• TOP RATED COACHING TRENDS - OVER/UNDER
------------------------------------------------------------
--Ralph Friedgen is 19-4 UNDER (+14.6 Units) after a game where they committed no turnovers as the coach of MARYLAND.
The average score was Friedgen 23.8, OPPONENT 20.4 - (Rating = 4*)
--Ralph Friedgen is 33-11 UNDER (+20.9 Units) after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers as the coach of MARYLAND.
The average score was Friedgen 21.8, OPPONENT 21.2 - (Rating = 4*)
--Kevin Sumlin is 11-1 OVER (+9.9 Units) after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers as the coach of HOUSTON.
The average score was Sumlin 43.1, OPPONENT 36.7 - (Rating = 4*)
--Mack Brown is 23-6 OVER (+16.4 Units) vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 62% or better as the coach of TEXAS.
The average score was Brown 38.7, OPPONENT 27.8 - (Rating = 4*)
--Mark Dantonio is 14-3 OVER (+10.7 Units) in road games as the coach of MICHIGAN ST.
The average score was Dantonio 32.2, OPPONENT 29.7 - (Rating = 3*)
--Kirk Ferentz is 13-2 OVER (+10.8 Units) in home games vs. good offensive teams - scoring 31 or more points/game as the coach of IOWA.
The average score was Ferentz 29.5, OPPONENT 26.2 - (Rating = 3*)
--Kirk Ferentz is 10-1 OVER (+8.9 Units) in home games vs. very good offensive teams - scoring 34 or more points/game as the coach of IOWA.
The average score was Ferentz 31, OPPONENT 27.1 - (Rating = 3*)
--Mike Gundy is 8-0 UNDER (+8 Units) in a road game where the total is between 63.5 and 70 as the coach of OKLAHOMA ST.
The average score was Gundy 31.4, OPPONENT 23.6 - (Rating = 3*)
--Jim Tressel is 17-4 UNDER (+12.6 Units) off a home blowout win by 28 points or more as the coach of OHIO ST.
The average score was Tressel 29.8, OPPONENT 12.1 - (Rating = 3*)
--David Cutcliffe is 12-1 UNDER (+10.9 Units) in road games after gaining 125 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games in all games he has coached since 1992.
The average score was Cutcliffe 16.8, OPPONENT 24.3 - (Rating = 3*)
--David Cutcliffe is 9-0 UNDER (+9 Units) in road games after gaining 125 or less rushing yards in 3 straight games in all games he has coached since 1992.
The average score was Cutcliffe 18.8, OPPONENT 25.7 - (Rating = 3*)
--Larry Fedora is 8-0 OVER (+8 Units) as a home favorite of 7.5 to 14 points as the coach of SOUTHERN MISS.
The average score was Fedora 43.7, OPPONENT 29.6 - (Rating = 3*)
--Jerry Kill is 8-0 UNDER (+8 Units) after a win by 21 or more points as the coach of N ILLINOIS.
The average score was Kill 22.1, OPPONENT 14.1 - (Rating = 3*)
--Dennis Erickson is 26-11 UNDER (+13.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday as the coach of ARIZONA ST.
The average score was Erickson 26.4, OPPONENT 21.9 - (Rating = 2*)
__________________________________________________ ______
• TOP RATED TEAM TEASER LINE TRENDS
---------------------------------------------------
--UTAH is 25-1 (+21.8 Units) against a teaser line when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was UTAH 38.1, OPPONENT 16.8 - (Rating = 3*)
--UTAH is 16-0 (+16 Units) against a teaser line as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was UTAH 38.1, OPPONENT 13.4 - (Rating = 2*)
--UTAH is 27-2 (+20.7 Units) against a teaser line in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was UTAH 37.1, OPPONENT 17.1 - (Rating = 2*)
--PITTSBURGH is 22-1 (+18.8 Units) against a teaser line after the first month of the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was PITTSBURGH 30.5, OPPONENT 20.3 - (Rating = 2*)
--AIR FORCE is 15-0 (+15 Units) against a teaser line after gaining 75 or less passing yards in last game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was AIR FORCE 22.8, OPPONENT 17.9 - (Rating = 1*)
--UTAH is 44-6 (+25 Units) against a teaser line after allowing 75 or less rushing yards last game since 1992.
The average score was UTAH 29.8, OPPONENT 17.3 - (Rating = 1*)
--UTAH is 19-1 (+15.8 Units) against a teaser line in all games against a 6 point teaser line over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was UTAH 36.1, OPPONENT 17.6 - (Rating = 1*)
--PITTSBURGH is 15-0 (+15 Units) against a teaser line after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was PITTSBURGH 29, OPPONENT 19.9 - (Rating = 1*)
--TCU is 15-0 (+15 Units) against a teaser line after allowing 7 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was TCU 38.3, OPPONENT 11.2 - (Rating = 1*)
--TCU is 21-1 (+17.8 Units) against a teaser line off 2 or more consecutive unders since 1992.
The average score was TCU 35.2, OPPONENT 15.5 - (Rating = 1*)
--UTAH is 24-2 (+17.7 Units) against a teaser line after 1 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was UTAH 37.4, OPPONENT 17.2 - (Rating = 1*)
--UTAH is 19-1 (+15.8 Units) against a teaser line against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was UTAH 35.9, OPPONENT 16 - (Rating = 1*)
--ARIZONA ST is 15-0 (+15 Units) against a teaser line versus terrible rushing teams - averaging <=90 rushing yards/game since 1992.
The average score was ARIZONA ST 36.7, OPPONENT 16.8 - (Rating = 1*)
--TCU is 30-3 (+20.5 Units) against a teaser line after gaining 275 or more rushing yards last game since 1992.
The average score was TCU 34.8, OPPONENT 14.7 - (Rating = 1*)
STAN THE MAN'S STAT/SYSTEMS REPORT 10/30
NCAA COLLEGE FOOTBALL
INFO WORTH BETTING ON ONE PAGE EACH DAY
________________________________________________
***** STAT/SYSTEMS SPORTS POWER SEARCH -- CFB *****
• AWESOME ANGLE OF THE WEEK
------------------------------------------
This weeks’ AWESOME ANGLE takes the field this afternoon at Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium in Annapolis, Maryland and it tells to play against the Midshipmen after their upset win of Notre Dame. “And that my friend is exactly what we’ll do!”
--PLAY AGAINST: Any college favorite that beat Notre Dame as an underdog in its last game if it beat the spread by 10 or more points and is facing a sub .600 opponent today. ATS W-L Record Since 1980: 10-0-1 (100%).
Turning to our huge database it dialed-up several tidbits of its own: the Middies are 0-10 ATS at home off a SU dog win and just 4-12 SU and 3-13 ATS at home versus ACC opposition. Meanwhile; HC David Cutcliffe's work is also a factor in this decision as the third-year HC of Duke is already an overwhelming 14-6-1 ATS as an underdog off a SU loss and 3-1 ATS away versus an opponent off a SU dog win.
Like so many other FBS schools, the Naval Academy has scheduled the likes of the Blue Devils from Duke as their Homecoming opponent. "And that’s just fine, this one gets better-looking with every passing hour, we suggest grabbing all of those beautiful points!"
• CFB SYSTEM OF THE WEEK
-----------------------------------
In the aftermath of more upsets, including the third straight week the No.1 team in the nation lost, will Week 9 hold true to form or will the dogs prevail again facing the giants of college football.
There is absolute no denying the brilliance of Cam Newton, who is doing things at the QB position no one has ever done, and with the Tigers unbeaten there are both Heisman Trophy and BCS notions to make them a public darling. That sets this up well for us, as we now catch a team playing for the 9th straight week that can be very vulnerable in this setting, especially given the fact that nothing is going to come easily for them anyway!
This week sees Auburn ranked No.1 after another tough SEC victory against LSU. Auburn must play a potentially tough game against upset minded Mississippi and the Tigers are favored by seven points. As we have seen throughout all of college football and especially in the SEC, seven points is not a guarantee that any favored team will win there game.
If you do not think that the No. 1 team can lose four straight weeks then take a close look at this Super Situational System as this game may be a whole lot closer than most observers believe possible. PLAY ON - Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points - off a loss by 10 points or more to a conference rival against opponent after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite.
(29-8 over the last 10 seasons.) (78.4%, +20.2 units)
Once again, and to seal the deal we turned to our powerful database for suggestions: Ole Miss stands 3-1 ATS in the series of late, 9-2 ATS as a home dog of seven or more points and 8-2 ATS in the first of consecutive home encounters. Coach Nutt also brings to the table a 4-0 SU and ATS mark as a home underdog versus an opponent allowing 19 or more PPG.
The Rebels will have to play a perfect game to pull off the upset and they do have a strong history playing against elite passing offenses. Rebels are a rock-solid 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) facing strong offensive teams scoring 34 or more points per game since 1992.
THIS WEEK'S PLAY: MISSISSIPPI +7
_________________________________
• INCREDIBLE STATS OF THE WEEK
-------------------------------------------
--FLORIDA - Head Coach Urban Meyer is 18-2 SU and 16-3-1 ATS when his teams play with rest, including 5-0 SU and ATS when not favored.
--IOWA: Is 1-10 ATS at home following a home loss if they allowed less than 35 points in the loss.
--WASHINGTON: Is 14-3 ATS as Pac-10 home underdog versus an opponent off back-to-back wins, including 8-0 ATS off a double-digit defeat.
• AMAZING SITUATIONAL TRENDS
-------------------------------------------
--OHIO STATE: Is 18-0-1 ATS (6.5 ppg) since 1994 when facing a team they beat by between 28 and 35 last meeting within the past 2000 days, if they are not favored by 38 or more, were not favored by 31 or more last game.
--NEW MEXICO: Is 15-0 ATS (12.3 ppg) since 1997 when not on a Friday night and facing a team they scored between 28 and 33 points against last meeting.
--SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI: Is 0-11 ATS (-9.5 ppg) since 2001 when facing a conference team they allowed between 28 and 33 points to last meeting.
--TULANE: Is 0-10 ATS (-12.3 ppg) since 2005 when facing a team which it scored between 21 and 27 points against last meeting, if they did not get shutout in their previous game.
--TOLEDO: Is 0-9 ATS (-14.8 ppg) since October 2005 when facing a team it beat by at least 25 points last meeting.
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
---------------------------------------
--AIR FORCE is 0-12 ATS (-13.2 Units) off a blowout loss by 21 points or more to a conference rival since 1992.
The average score was AIR FORCE 22.2, OPPONENT 34.9 - (Rating = 5*)
--NORTH TEXAS is 2-18 ATS (-17.8 Units) after a game where they committed no turnovers since 1992.
The average score was NORTH TEXAS 16.6, OPPONENT 31 - (Rating = 5*)
--AIR FORCE is 4-23 ATS (-21.3 Units) off a loss by 10 points or more to a conference rival since 1992.
The average score was AIR FORCE 25.8, OPPONENT 31.4 - (Rating = 4*)
--ARIZONA ST is 14-1 ATS (+12.9 Units) versus terrible rushing teams - averaging <=90 rushing yards/game since 1992.
The average score was ARIZONA ST 36.7, OPPONENT 16.8 - (Rating = 4*)
--BUFFALO is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) when the total is between 42.5 and 49 over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was BUFFALO 15.8, OPPONENT 30.6 - (Rating = 4*)
--KANSAS is 2-16 ATS (-15.6 Units) after allowing 31 points or more in 3 straight games since 1992.
The average score was KANSAS 16.8, OPPONENT 37.4 - (Rating = 4*)
--MARSHALL is 13-1 ATS (+11.9 Units) in home games after failing to cover the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games since 1992.
The average score was MARSHALL 38.4, OPPONENT 23.6 - (Rating = 4*)
--OHIO ST is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) after a game where they forced 3 or more turnovers over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was OHIO ST 33.6, OPPONENT 14 - (Rating = 4*)
--SAN JOSE ST is 0-10 ATS (-11 Units) after playing 3 straight conference games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was SAN JOSE ST 13.2, OPPONENT 31.1 - (Rating = 4*)
--UCF is 12-1 ATS (+10.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was UCF 27.2, OPPONENT 18.9 - (Rating = 4*)
--ILLINOIS is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) in home games after leading in their previous game by 17 or more points at the half since 1992.
The average score was ILLINOIS 22.4, OPPONENT 20.2 - (Rating = 3*)
--IOWA is 17-3 ATS (+13.7 Units) versus excellent rushing teams - averaging >=5.25 rushing yards/carry since 1992.
The average score was IOWA 32.9, OPPONENT 22.6 - (Rating = 3*)
--IOWA ST is 8-0 ATS (+8 Units) after having lost 2 out of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was IOWA ST 24.4, OPPONENT 16.6 - (Rating = 3*)
--KANSAS is 1-10 ATS (-10 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was KANSAS 19.5, OPPONENT 40.5 - (Rating = 3*)
--KANSAS is 1-10 ATS (-10 Units) after the first month of the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was KANSAS 19.5, OPPONENT 40.5 - (Rating = 3*)
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• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------------
--VANDERBILT is 12-0 UNDER (+12 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was VANDERBILT 9.1, OPPONENT 24.7 - (Rating = 6*)
--ARIZONA ST is 10-0 OVER (+10 Units) in home games off a road blowout loss by 21 points or more since 1992.
The average score was ARIZONA ST 31.5, OPPONENT 32.1 - (Rating = 4*)
--IDAHO is 12-1 OVER (+10.9 Units) as a road underdog over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was IDAHO 22.4, OPPONENT 44 - (Rating = 4*)
--ILLINOIS is 16-2 UNDER (+13.8 Units) after scoring 24 points or more in the first half last game since 1992.
The average score was ILLINOIS 18.3, OPPONENT 21 - (Rating = 4*)
--VIRGINIA is 10-0 UNDER (+10 Units) in home games after 2 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers since 1992.
The average score was VIRGINIA 20.1, OPPONENT 11 - (Rating = 4*)
--STANFORD is 12-1 OVER (+10.9 Units) after playing 2 straight conference games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was STANFORD 35, OPPONENT 31.2 - (Rating = 4*)
--IDAHO is 14-2 OVER (+11.8 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was IDAHO 24.6, OPPONENT 41.8 - (Rating = 3*)
--IDAHO is 11-1 OVER (+9.9 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was IDAHO 26.7, OPPONENT 42.2 - (Rating = 3*)
--IDAHO is 8-0 OVER (+8 Units) in road games after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was IDAHO 27, OPPONENT 50.2 - (Rating = 3*)
--MICHIGAN ST is 18-4 OVER (+13.6 Units) in road games in October games since 1992.
The average score was MICHIGAN ST 24.8, OPPONENT 27.9 - (Rating = 3*)
--KANSAS is 10-1 OVER (+8.9 Units) after a game where they forced 1 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was KANSAS 23.6, OPPONENT 36.7 - (Rating = 3*)
--KANSAS ST is 29-9 OVER (+19.1 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.
The average score was KANSAS ST 31.7, OPPONENT 24.5 - (Rating = 3*)
--KANSAS ST is 9-0 OVER (+9 Units) after a playing a game where 80 total points or more were scored since 1992.
The average score was KANSAS ST 37.6, OPPONENT 31.6 - (Rating = 3*)
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• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------
--HAWAII is 8-0 (+8 Units) against the 1rst half line versus the first half line in all games this season.
The average score was HAWAII 20.6, OPPONENT 8.1 - (Rating = 4*)
--TROY is 9-0 (+9 Units) against the 1rst half line after a game where they committed 3 or more turnovers over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was TROY 20.2, OPPONENT 6.8 - (Rating = 4*)
--UTAH is 7-0 (+7 Units) against the 1rst half line versus the first half line in all games this season.
The average score was UTAH 25, OPPONENT 4.7 - (Rating = 3*)
--UTAH is 7-0 (+7 Units) against the 1rst half line as a favorite vs. the 1rst half line this season.
The average score was UTAH 25, OPPONENT 4.7 - (Rating = 3*)
--COLORADO ST is 11-1 (+9.9 Units) against the 1rst half line in home games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was COLORADO ST 14.3, OPPONENT 9.2 - (Rating = 3*)
--IOWA is 22-5 (+16.5 Units) against the 1rst half line in home games off 1 or more straight overs since 1992.
The average score was IOWA 17.5, OPPONENT 5.9 - (Rating = 3*)
--IOWA ST is 8-0 (+8 Units) against the 1rst half line after having lost 2 out of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was IOWA ST 14.4, OPPONENT 5.4 - (Rating = 3*)
--BALL ST is 15-2 (+12.8 Units) against the 1rst half line after having lost 6 or 7 out of their last 8 games since 1992.
The average score was BALL ST 10.8, OPPONENT 15.6 - (Rating = 3*)
--SAN JOSE ST is 2-12 (-11.2 Units) against the 1rst half line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was SAN JOSE ST 6.1, OPPONENT 21.9 - (Rating = 3*)
--UTAH is 6-0 (+6 Units) against the 1rst half line when the first half total is between 25 and 28 this season.
The average score was UTAH 26.8, OPPONENT 4.3 - (Rating = 2*)
--UTAH is 6-0 (+6 Units) against the 1rst half line when playing on a Saturday this season.
The average score was UTAH 26.8, OPPONENT 4.3 - (Rating = 2*)
--UTAH is 6-0 (+6 Units) against the 1rst half line after 1 or more consecutive straight up wins this season.
The average score was UTAH 26.8, OPPONENT 4.3 - (Rating = 2*)
__________________________________________________ ____
Experience is what this business is all about, and good money can be made if one has the right connections. Stan 'The Man' prides himself on uncovering the edge that gives his customers the ability to beat the sports books on a consistent basis. Stan is a full time Expert Handicapper that can help you consistently beat the books. With any package that you purchase it is fully guaranteed that you show a profit, or he'll extend your service at no charge. If you have any questions about our services call 1-800 -351-4640, “You’ll be real glad you did!” -Stan
____________________________________________
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER UNDER TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
--KENTUCKY is 9-0 OVER (+9 Units) the 1rst half total versus good rushing defenses - allowing <=120 rushing yards/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was KENTUCKY 13.2, OPPONENT 22.4 - (Rating = 4*)
--TULANE is 9-0 UNDER (+9 Units) the 1rst half total after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was TULANE 5.6, OPPONENT 13.9 - (Rating = 4*)
--UCLA is 20-3 OVER (+16.7 Units) the 1rst half total versus excellent rushing defenses -allowing <=2.75 rushing yards/carry since 1992.
The average score was UCLA 16.1, OPPONENT 17.1 - (Rating = 4*)
--NORTH TEXAS is 12-1 OVER (+10.9 Units) the 1rst half total after failing to cover the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NORTH TEXAS 12.8, OPPONENT 24.2 - (Rating = 4*)
--NORTH TEXAS is 13-1 OVER (+11.9 Units) the 1rst half total off a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NORTH TEXAS 15.4, OPPONENT 25.6 - (Rating = 4*)
--NORTH TEXAS is 9-0 OVER (+9 Units) the 1rst half total off a loss by 10 points or more to a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NORTH TEXAS 18.2, OPPONENT 27.1 - (Rating = 4*)
--ARKANSAS is 8-0 UNDER (+8 Units) the 1rst half total off 1 or more straight overs over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was ARKANSAS 10.6, OPPONENT 8.9 - (Rating = 3*)
--ARKANSAS is 8-0 UNDER (+8 Units) the 1rst half total after a playing a game where 60 total points or more were scored over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was ARKANSAS 11.9, OPPONENT 8.4 - (Rating = 3*)
--CLEMSON is 9-0 OVER (+9 Units) the 1rst half total in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
The average score was CLEMSON 18.3, OPPONENT 10.1 - (Rating = 3*)
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• TOP RATED COACHING TRENDS - ATS
------------------------------------------------
--Kirk Ferentz is 15-2 ATS (+12.8 Units) versus excellent rushing teams - averaging >=5.25 rushing yards/carry as the coach of IOWA.
The average score was Ferentz 33.3, OPPONENT 23.2 - (Rating = 4*)
--Ralph Friedgen is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) versus good rushing teams - averaging >=200 rushing yards/game as the coach of MARYLAND.
The average score was Friedgen 29.8, OPPONENT 16.7 - (Rating = 4*)
--Jim Tressel is 23-6 ATS (+16.4 Units) after having won 4 out of their last 5 games as the coach of OHIO ST.
The average score was Tressel 30.9, OPPONENT 13.2 - (Rating = 4*)
--Rich Rodriguez is 3-16 ATS (-14.6 Units) against conference opponents as the coach of MICHIGAN.
The average score was Rodriguez 23.2, OPPONENT 33.7 - (Rating = 4*)
--Rich Rodriguez is 3-16 ATS (-14.6 Units) after the first month of the season as the coach of MICHIGAN.
The average score was Rodriguez 23.9, OPPONENT 31.3 - (Rating = 4*)
--Bob Petrino is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) in home games after scoring 31 points or more in 2 straight games in all games he has coached since 1992.
The average score was Petrino 46.7, OPPONENT 15.2 - (Rating = 3*)
--Bob Petrino is 17-3 ATS (+13.7 Units) in home games in the second half of the season in all games he has coached since 1992.
The average score was Petrino 43.1, OPPONENT 21.9 - (Rating = 3*)
--Urban Meyer is 16-3 ATS (+12.7 Units) after a bye week in all games he has coached since 1992.
The average score was Meyer 36.6, OPPONENT 17.3 - (Rating = 3*)
--Kirk Ferentz is 30-11 ATS (+17.9 Units) after covering the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games as the coach of IOWA.
The average score was Ferentz 28.9, OPPONENT 16.5 - (Rating = 3*)
--Kirk Ferentz is 22-7 ATS (+14.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - averaging >=5.9 yards/play as the coach of IOWA.
The average score was Ferentz 30.3, OPPONENT 24 - (Rating = 3*)
--Paul Rhoads is 8-0 ATS (+8 Units) after having lost 2 out of their last 3 games as the coach of IOWA ST.
The average score was Rhoads 24.4, OPPONENT 16.6 - (Rating = 3*)
--Larry Blakeney is 17-4 ATS (+12.6 Units) after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games as the coach of TROY.
The average score was Blakeney 27.9, OPPONENT 18.9 - (Rating = 3*)
__________________________________________________ ______
• TOP RATED COACHING TRENDS - OVER/UNDER
------------------------------------------------------------
--Ralph Friedgen is 19-4 UNDER (+14.6 Units) after a game where they committed no turnovers as the coach of MARYLAND.
The average score was Friedgen 23.8, OPPONENT 20.4 - (Rating = 4*)
--Ralph Friedgen is 33-11 UNDER (+20.9 Units) after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers as the coach of MARYLAND.
The average score was Friedgen 21.8, OPPONENT 21.2 - (Rating = 4*)
--Kevin Sumlin is 11-1 OVER (+9.9 Units) after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers as the coach of HOUSTON.
The average score was Sumlin 43.1, OPPONENT 36.7 - (Rating = 4*)
--Mack Brown is 23-6 OVER (+16.4 Units) vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 62% or better as the coach of TEXAS.
The average score was Brown 38.7, OPPONENT 27.8 - (Rating = 4*)
--Mark Dantonio is 14-3 OVER (+10.7 Units) in road games as the coach of MICHIGAN ST.
The average score was Dantonio 32.2, OPPONENT 29.7 - (Rating = 3*)
--Kirk Ferentz is 13-2 OVER (+10.8 Units) in home games vs. good offensive teams - scoring 31 or more points/game as the coach of IOWA.
The average score was Ferentz 29.5, OPPONENT 26.2 - (Rating = 3*)
--Kirk Ferentz is 10-1 OVER (+8.9 Units) in home games vs. very good offensive teams - scoring 34 or more points/game as the coach of IOWA.
The average score was Ferentz 31, OPPONENT 27.1 - (Rating = 3*)
--Mike Gundy is 8-0 UNDER (+8 Units) in a road game where the total is between 63.5 and 70 as the coach of OKLAHOMA ST.
The average score was Gundy 31.4, OPPONENT 23.6 - (Rating = 3*)
--Jim Tressel is 17-4 UNDER (+12.6 Units) off a home blowout win by 28 points or more as the coach of OHIO ST.
The average score was Tressel 29.8, OPPONENT 12.1 - (Rating = 3*)
--David Cutcliffe is 12-1 UNDER (+10.9 Units) in road games after gaining 125 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games in all games he has coached since 1992.
The average score was Cutcliffe 16.8, OPPONENT 24.3 - (Rating = 3*)
--David Cutcliffe is 9-0 UNDER (+9 Units) in road games after gaining 125 or less rushing yards in 3 straight games in all games he has coached since 1992.
The average score was Cutcliffe 18.8, OPPONENT 25.7 - (Rating = 3*)
--Larry Fedora is 8-0 OVER (+8 Units) as a home favorite of 7.5 to 14 points as the coach of SOUTHERN MISS.
The average score was Fedora 43.7, OPPONENT 29.6 - (Rating = 3*)
--Jerry Kill is 8-0 UNDER (+8 Units) after a win by 21 or more points as the coach of N ILLINOIS.
The average score was Kill 22.1, OPPONENT 14.1 - (Rating = 3*)
--Dennis Erickson is 26-11 UNDER (+13.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday as the coach of ARIZONA ST.
The average score was Erickson 26.4, OPPONENT 21.9 - (Rating = 2*)
__________________________________________________ ______
• TOP RATED TEAM TEASER LINE TRENDS
---------------------------------------------------
--UTAH is 25-1 (+21.8 Units) against a teaser line when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was UTAH 38.1, OPPONENT 16.8 - (Rating = 3*)
--UTAH is 16-0 (+16 Units) against a teaser line as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was UTAH 38.1, OPPONENT 13.4 - (Rating = 2*)
--UTAH is 27-2 (+20.7 Units) against a teaser line in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was UTAH 37.1, OPPONENT 17.1 - (Rating = 2*)
--PITTSBURGH is 22-1 (+18.8 Units) against a teaser line after the first month of the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was PITTSBURGH 30.5, OPPONENT 20.3 - (Rating = 2*)
--AIR FORCE is 15-0 (+15 Units) against a teaser line after gaining 75 or less passing yards in last game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was AIR FORCE 22.8, OPPONENT 17.9 - (Rating = 1*)
--UTAH is 44-6 (+25 Units) against a teaser line after allowing 75 or less rushing yards last game since 1992.
The average score was UTAH 29.8, OPPONENT 17.3 - (Rating = 1*)
--UTAH is 19-1 (+15.8 Units) against a teaser line in all games against a 6 point teaser line over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was UTAH 36.1, OPPONENT 17.6 - (Rating = 1*)
--PITTSBURGH is 15-0 (+15 Units) against a teaser line after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was PITTSBURGH 29, OPPONENT 19.9 - (Rating = 1*)
--TCU is 15-0 (+15 Units) against a teaser line after allowing 7 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was TCU 38.3, OPPONENT 11.2 - (Rating = 1*)
--TCU is 21-1 (+17.8 Units) against a teaser line off 2 or more consecutive unders since 1992.
The average score was TCU 35.2, OPPONENT 15.5 - (Rating = 1*)
--UTAH is 24-2 (+17.7 Units) against a teaser line after 1 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was UTAH 37.4, OPPONENT 17.2 - (Rating = 1*)
--UTAH is 19-1 (+15.8 Units) against a teaser line against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was UTAH 35.9, OPPONENT 16 - (Rating = 1*)
--ARIZONA ST is 15-0 (+15 Units) against a teaser line versus terrible rushing teams - averaging <=90 rushing yards/game since 1992.
The average score was ARIZONA ST 36.7, OPPONENT 16.8 - (Rating = 1*)
--TCU is 30-3 (+20.5 Units) against a teaser line after gaining 275 or more rushing yards last game since 1992.
The average score was TCU 34.8, OPPONENT 14.7 - (Rating = 1*)
STATSYSTEMS REPORT 10/30 cont.
• HIGHEST RATED ATS SUPER SITUATIONS
----------------------------------------------------
5* NEBRASKA -7.5 - (89.7%)
5* NOTRE DAME -8.5 - (88.9%)
4* TEMPLE -29.5 - (87.1%)
4* TCU -35 - (86.7%)
4* OKLAHOMA -23.5 - (85.7%)
4* BOWLING GREEN +12 - (85.3%)
4* ARIZONA ST -21- (84.4%)
4* NEBRASKA -7.5 - (81.6%)
4* E MICHIGAN +10.5 - (80.4%)
4* VIRGINIA +15.5 - (80.4%)
4* MIAMI OHIO -3 - (76.6%)
3* AIR FORCE +7 - (70.8%)
3* KENTUCKY +6 - (70.8%)
3* OLE MISS +7 - (70.8%)
--PLAY AGAINST - Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (MISSOURI) - in a game involving two explosive offensive teams (>=34 PPG), in conference games.
(26-3 since 1992.) (89.7%, +22.7 units. Rating = 5*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (28-1)
The average line posted in these games was: Team favored by 5.9
The average score in these games was: Team 39.5, Opponent 21.6 (Average point differential = +17.9)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 18 (66.7% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (7-0).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (11-0).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (22-2).
--PLAY AGAINST - Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (TULSA) - an excellent offensive team (>=34 PPG) against an average defensive team (21-28) after 7+ games.
(24-3 over the last 10 seasons.) (88.9%, +20.7 units. Rating = 5*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (26-2 over the last 10 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Team favored by 5.8
The average score in these games was: Team 38.5, Opponent 21.8 (Average point differential = +16.7)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 14 (51.9% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (8-1).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (14-1).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (27-7).
--PLAY ON - Home favorites of 21.5 to 31 points (TEMPLE) - average offensive team (4.8 to 5.6 YPP) against a team with a terrible defense (>=6.2 YPP), in conference games.
(27-4 since 1992.) (87.1%, +22.6 units. Rating = 4*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (31-0)
The average line posted in these games was: Team favored by 24.6
The average score in these games was: Team 45.3, Opponent 10.7 (Average point differential = +34.6)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 18 (62.1% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (1-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (9-1).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (12-1).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (21-3).
--PLAY AGAINST - A home team (UNLV) - after allowing 37 points or more last game against opponent after 2 straight wins by 28 or more points.
(26-4 over the last 10 seasons.) (86.7%, +21.6 units. Rating = 4*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (26-4 over the last 10 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Team favored by 14.8
The average score in these games was: Team 42.9, Opponent 18.1 (Average point differential = +24.8)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 16 (53.3% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (2-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (7-0).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (12-1).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (37-13).
--PLAY ON - Favorites of 21.5 to 31 points (OKLAHOMA) - after gaining 475 or more total yards/game over their last 3 games, with 8 offensive starters returning.
(30-5 since 1992.) (85.7%, +24.5 units. Rating = 4*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (34-1)
The average line posted in these games was: Team favored by 25.6
The average score in these games was: Team 48.3, Opponent 13.6 (Average point differential = +34.7)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 18 (52.9% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (3-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (11-0).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (11-0).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (22-2).
--PLAY AGAINST - Home favorites (C MICHIGAN) - after scoring 14 points or less last game against opponent after scoring 9 points or less last game.
(29-5 over the last 5 seasons.) (85.3%, +23.5 units. Rating = 4*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (12-22 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 13.7
The average score in these games was: Team 21.6, Opponent 27.3 (Average point differential = -5.7)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 18 (52.9% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (2-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (11-2).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (54-23).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (94-61).
--PLAY ON - Home favorites of 10.5 to 21 points (ARIZONA ST) - after trailing in their previous game by 17 or more points at the half against opponent after a playing a game where 60 total points or more were scored.
(27-5 over the last 10 seasons.) (84.4%, +21.5 units. Rating = 4*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (31-1 over the last 10 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Team favored by 15.4
The average score in these games was: Team 43.1, Opponent 17.1 (Average point differential = +26)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 18 (58.1% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (2-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (8-2).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (10-3).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (36-17).
--PLAY AGAINST - Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (MISSOURI) - off 2 straight wins against conference rivals against opponent off a road win.
(31-7 over the last 5 seasons.) (81.6%, +23.3 units. Rating = 4*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (33-5 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Team favored by 6.1
The average score in these games was: Team 31.9, Opponent 18.8 (Average point differential = +13.2)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 19 (50% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (2-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (15-5).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (55-36).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (81-61).
--PLAY ON - Home underdogs (E MICHIGAN) - after 2 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers against opponent after 2 consecutive games where they forced 3 or more turnovers.
(37-9 over the last 10 seasons.) (80.4%, +27.1 units. Rating = 4*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (21-25 over the last 10 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 9.6
The average score in these games was: Team 25.6, Opponent 27.6 (Average point differential = -2)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 22 (50% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (1-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (12-2).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (16-4).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (55-24).
--PLAY ON - Home underdogs (VIRGINIA) - after 2 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers against opponent after 2 consecutive games where they forced 3 or more turnovers.
(37-9 over the last 10 seasons.) (80.4%, +27.1 units. Rating = 4*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (21-25 over the last 10 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 9.6
The average score in these games was: Team 25.6, Opponent 27.6 (Average point differential = -2)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 22 (50% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (1-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (12-2).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (16-4).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (55-24).
--PLAY ON - A road team (MIAMI OHIO) - after a loss by 17 or more points against opponent after scoring 17 points or less in 2 straight games.
(49-15 over the last 5 seasons.) (76.6%, +32.5 units. Rating = 4*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (44-20 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 0.6
The average score in these games was: Team 28.5, Opponent 21.7 (Average point differential = +6.8)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 36 (56.2% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (3-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (25-8).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (86-49).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (140-103).
--PLAY ON - Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (AIR FORCE) - after 1 or more consecutive straight up losses against opponent after 4 or more consecutive straight up wins.
(85-35 over the last 10 seasons.) (70.8%, +46.5 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (54-67 over the last 10 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 7.1
The average score in these games was: Team 24.8, Opponent 28 (Average point differential = -3.1)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 54 (45.4% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (8-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (22-10).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (37-25).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (122-78).
--PLAY ON - Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (KENTUCKY) - after 1 or more consecutive straight up losses against opponent after 4 or more consecutive straight up wins.
(85-35 over the last 10 seasons.) (70.8%, +46.5 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (54-67 over the last 10 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 7.1
The average score in these games was: Team 24.8, Opponent 28 (Average point differential = -3.1)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 54 (45.4% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (8-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (22-10).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (37-25).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (122-78).
--PLAY ON - Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (OLE MISS) - after 1 or more consecutive straight up losses against opponent after 4 or more consecutive straight up wins.
(85-35 over the last 10 seasons.) (70.8%, +46.5 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (54-67 over the last 10 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 7.1
The average score in these games was: Team 24.8, Opponent 28 (Average point differential = -3.1)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 54 (45.4% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (8-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (22-10).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (37-25).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (122-78).
STATSYSTEMS REPORT 10/30 cont.
• HIGHEST RATED OVER/UNDER SUPER SITUATIONS
----------------------------------------------------------------
5* MISSISSIPPI ST/KENTUCKY UNDER 57 - (84.4%)
5* NOTRE DAME/TULSA UNDER 63 - (84.4%)
4* S CAROLINA/TENNESSEE UNDER 49 - (79.4%)
4* HAWAII/IDAHO OVER 64 - (78.4%)
4* OLE MISS/AUBURN OVER 61 - (78.4%)
3* OHIO/ULL UNDER 52.5 - (76.3%)
3* S CAROLINA/TENNESSEE UNDER 49 - (75.4%)
3* TEMPLE/AKRON UNDER 49 - (75.4%)
3* NAVY/DUKE UNDER 56 - (75%)
3* S CAROLINA/TENNESSEE UNDER 49 - (74.3%)
3* UCF/E CAROLINA UNDER 53 - (73.7%)
3* AIR FORCE/UTAH UNDER 55 - (71.4%)
3* ARIZONA ST/WASHINGTON ST UNDER 57.5 - (71%)
--PLAY UNDER - All teams where the total is between 56.5 and 63 (MISSISSIPPI ST) - after 3 consecutive games where they committed 1 or less turnovers against opponent after a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse.
(27-5 over the last 10 seasons.) (84.4%, +21.5 units. Rating = 5*)
The average total posted in these games was: 58.9
The average score in these games was: Team 26.2, Opponent 24.5 (Total points scored = 50.7)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 21 (67.7% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (1-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (10-1).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (15-3).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (28-6).
--PLAY UNDER - All teams where the total is between 56.5 and 63 (TULSA) - after 3 consecutive games where they committed 1 or less turnovers against opponent after a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse.
(27-5 over the last 10 seasons.) (84.4%, +21.5 units. Rating = 5*)
The average total posted in these games was: 58.9
The average score in these games was: Team 26.2, Opponent 24.5 (Total points scored = 50.7)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 21 (67.7% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (1-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (10-1).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (15-3).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (28-6).
--PLAY UNDER - All teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 (S CAROLINA) - after a cover as a double digit favorite, in October games.
(50-13 over the last 5 seasons.) (79.4%, +35.7 units. Rating = 4*)
The average total posted in these games was: 46.2
The average score in these games was: Team 21.7, Opponent 17.9 (Total points scored = 39.6)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 33 (51.6% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (7-4).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (32-11).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (71-50).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (99-78).
--PLAY OVER - Any team against the total (HAWAII) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (330 to 390 YPG), after gaining 525 or more total yards in their previous game.
(40-11 over the last 5 seasons.) (78.4%, +27.9 units. Rating = 4*)
The average total posted in these games was: 61.5
The average score in these games was: Team 39.1, Opponent 30.9 (Total points scored = 69.9)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 31 (59.6% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (5-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (31-9).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (76-31).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (86-52).
--PLAY OVER - Any team against the total (AUBURN) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (330 to 390 YPG), after gaining 525 or more total yards in their previous game.
(40-11 over the last 5 seasons.) (78.4%, +27.9 units. Rating = 4*)
The average total posted in these games was: 61.5
The average score in these games was: Team 39.1, Opponent 30.9 (Total points scored = 69.9)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 31 (59.6% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (5-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (31-9).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (76-31).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (86-52).
--PLAY UNDER - Any team against the total (LA LAFAYETTE) - in non-conference games, off 2 straight losses to conference rivals, allowing 31 points or more.
(45-14 over the last 10 seasons.) (76.3%, +29.6 units. Rating = 3*)
The average total posted in these games was: 55.2
The average score in these games was: Team 22.5, Opponent 27.5 (Total points scored = 50)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 27 (46.6% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-3).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (18-7).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (29-12).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (51-20).
--PLAY UNDER - All teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 (S CAROLINA) - after outgaining opp by 125 or more total yards in their previous game against opponent after being outgained by 175+ total yards in their previous game.
(49-16 over the last 5 seasons.) (75.4%, +31.4 units. Rating = 3*)
The average total posted in these games was: 46.3
The average score in these games was: Team 26.6, Opponent 15.7 (Total points scored = 42.3)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 32 (50% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (1-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (26-9).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (66-36).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (78-51).
--PLAY UNDER - All teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 (TEMPLE) - after outgaining opp by 125 or more total yards in their previous game against opponent after being outgained by 175+ total yards in their previous game.
(49-16 over the last 5 seasons.) (75.4%, +31.4 units. Rating = 3*)
The average total posted in these games was: 46.3
The average score in these games was: Team 26.6, Opponent 15.7 (Total points scored = 42.3)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 32 (50% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (1-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (26-9).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (66-36).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (78-51).
--PLAY UNDER - All teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (NAVY) - after having won 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games, in a non-conference game between two teams from major division 1-A conferences.
(48-16 over the last 10 seasons.) (75%, +30.4 units. Rating = 3*)
The average total posted in these games was: 52.8
The average score in these games was: Team 24.4, Opponent 22.9 (Total points scored = 47.2)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 33 (51.6% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (18-4).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (28-10).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (72-29).
--PLAY UNDER - All teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 (S CAROLINA) - after a cover as a double digit favorite, in weeks 5 through 9.
(52-18 over the last 5 seasons.) (74.3%, +32.2 units. Rating = 3*)
The average total posted in these games was: 46.2
The average score in these games was: Team 22.7, Opponent 18.4 (Total points scored = 41.1)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 33 (46.5% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (7-4).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (33-12).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (82-59).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (115-93).
--PLAY UNDER - All teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (E CAROLINA) - after a cover as a double digit favorite, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 80%).
(59-21 since 1992.) (73.8%, +35.9 units. Rating = 3*)
The average total posted in these games was: 52.6
The average score in these games was: Team 24.8, Opponent 22.6 (Total points scored = 47.4)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 45 (56.2% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (3-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (16-2).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (25-5).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (45-17).
--PLAY UNDER - Any team against the total (UTAH) - after covering the spread in 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games, in weeks 5 through 9.
(70-28 over the last 5 seasons.) (71.4%, +39.2 units. Rating = 3*)
The average total posted in these games was: 50.6
The average score in these games was: Team 25.2, Opponent 19.9 (Total points scored = 45)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 53 (55.2% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (6-4).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (35-17).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (100-44).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (114-60).
--PLAY UNDER - Any team against the total (WASHINGTON ST) - after covering the spread in 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games, in weeks 5 through 9.
(70-28 over the last 5 seasons.) (71.4%, +39.2 units. Rating = 3*)
The average total posted in these games was: 50.6
The average score in these games was: Team 25.2, Opponent 19.9 (Total points scored = 45)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 53 (55.2% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (6-4).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (35-17).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (100-44).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (114-60).
___________________________________
• HIGHEST RATED FIRST HALF SUPER SITUATIONS
--------------------------------------------------------------
5* GEORGIA -1 - (88.9%)
5* IDAHO +8.5 - (86.7%)
4* UTEP +1.5 - (84.4%)
4* OLE MISS +3.5 - (83.3%)
3* SAN JOSE ST -2 - (80.6%)
3* FLA ATLANTIC +2.5 - (76.5%)
3* DUKE +8 - (76.5%)
3* AKRON +24.5 - (76.5%)
3* HOUSTON -8 - (75.5%)
3* TOLEDO -6 - (75.4%)
3* MIAMI OHIO -1.5 - (74.2%)
3* WASHINGTON ST +11.5 - (73.1%)
--PLAY ON - Any team (GEORGIA) - after scoring 42 points or more in 2 straight games against opponent after a playing a game where 29 total points or less were scored.
(24-3 over the last 10 seasons.) (88.9%, +20.7 units. Rating = 5*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Team favored by 8.6
The average first half score in these games was: Team 24.3, Opponent 5.7 (Average first half point differential = +18.6)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (7-1).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (12-1).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (41-16).
--PLAY AGAINST - Home favorites of 6 to 11.5 vs. the first half line (HAWAII) - with an opportunistic defense - forcing 2.5 or more turnovers/game, after 4 consecutive games with a turnover margin of +1 or better.
(26-4 since 1992.) (86.7%, +21.6 units. Rating = 5*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 8.6
The average first half score in these games was: Team 11.3, Opponent 12.2 (Average first half point differential = -0.9)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (1-1).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (6-1).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (19-3).
--PLAY AGAINST - All teams where the 1rst half line is +1.5 to -1.5 (MARSHALL) - off a road loss, a terrible team (<=25%) playing a team with a winning record.
(27-5 since 1992.) (84.4%, +21.5 units. Rating = 4*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Team favored by 0.3
The average first half score in these games was: Team 16.1, Opponent 9.5 (Average first half point differential = +6.6)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (5-0).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (7-0).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (14-5).
--PLAY AGAINST - Favorites of 2 to 6 points vs. the first half line (AUBURN) - after 4 or more consecutive straight up wins, a top-level team (>=80%) playing a team with a losing record.
(30-6 over the last 10 seasons.) (83.3%, +23.4 units. Rating = 4*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 4.7
The average first half score in these games was: Team 12.5, Opponent 12 (Average first half point differential = +0.5)
The situation's record this season is: (2-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (9-2).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (10-3).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (44-26).
--PLAY ON - Favorites of 2 to 6 points vs. the first half line (SAN JOSE ST) - after allowing 31 points or more in 2 straight games against opponent after 2 straight losses by 17 or more points.
(29-7 since 1992.) (80.6%, +21.3 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Team favored by 3.8
The average first half score in these games was: Team 18.3, Opponent 7.5 (Average first half point differential = +10.8)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (5-0).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (8-3).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (19-5).
--PLAY AGAINST - Any team (FLA INTERNATIONAL) - after a win by 17 or more points against opponent after scoring 17 points or less in 3 straight games.
(39-12 over the last 5 seasons.) (76.5%, +25.8 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 9.2
The average first half score in these games was: Team 11.8, Opponent 16.7 (Average first half point differential = -5)
The situation's record this season is: (4-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (24-8).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (75-33).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (104-81).
--PLAY AGAINST - Any team (NAVY) - after a win by 17 or more points against opponent after scoring 17 points or less in 3 straight games.
(39-12 over the last 5 seasons.) (76.5%, +25.8 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 9.2
The average first half score in these games was: Team 11.8, Opponent 16.7 (Average first half point differential = -5)
The situation's record this season is: (4-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (24-8).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (75-33).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (104-81).
--PLAY AGAINST - Any team (TEMPLE) - after a win by 17 or more points against opponent after scoring 17 points or less in 3 straight games.
(39-12 over the last 5 seasons.) (76.5%, +25.8 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 9.2
The average first half score in these games was: Team 11.8, Opponent 16.7 (Average first half point differential = -5)
The situation's record this season is: (4-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (24-8).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (75-33).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (104-81).
--PLAY ON - Road favorites of 6 to 11.5 vs. the first half line (HOUSTON) - average rushing team(+/- 40 RY/G) against a terrible team who is outrushed by 80+ YPG after 7+ games, in conference games.
(40-13 since 1992.) (75.5%, +25.7 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Team favored by 8.1
The average first half score in these games was: Team 21.5, Opponent 8.1 (Average first half point differential = +13.5)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (2-0).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (10-3).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (23-5).
--PLAY ON - Any team (TOLEDO) - opportunistic team (2.5+ TO/game forced) against a team with <=1.25 TO/game forced, after a game with a turnover margin of +2 or better.
(49-16 over the last 5 seasons.) (75.4%, +31.4 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Team favored by 2
The average first half score in these games was: Team 16.1, Opponent 11 (Average first half point differential = +5.1)
The situation's record this season is: (7-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (32-11).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (79-40).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (119-87).
--PLAY ON - A road team vs. the 1rst half line (MIAMI OHIO) - after a loss by 17 or more points against opponent after scoring 17 points or less in 2 straight games.
(46-16 over the last 5 seasons.) (74.2%, +28.4 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 0.5
The average first half score in these games was: Team 15.4, Opponent 11.5 (Average first half point differential = +3.9)
The situation's record this season is: (4-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (24-8).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (80-54).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (125-108).
--PLAY ON - Underdogs of 6 to 11.5 points vs. the first half line (WASHINGTON ST) - in conference games, with 5+ more defensive starters returning than opponent.
(49-18 over the last 10 seasons.) (73.1%, +29.2 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 8.6
The average first half score in these games was: Team 10.8, Opponent 13.1 (Average first half point differential = -2.4)
The situation's record this season is: (4-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (13-2).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (29-8).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (69-37).
• HIGHEST RATED ATS SUPER SITUATIONS
----------------------------------------------------
5* NEBRASKA -7.5 - (89.7%)
5* NOTRE DAME -8.5 - (88.9%)
4* TEMPLE -29.5 - (87.1%)
4* TCU -35 - (86.7%)
4* OKLAHOMA -23.5 - (85.7%)
4* BOWLING GREEN +12 - (85.3%)
4* ARIZONA ST -21- (84.4%)
4* NEBRASKA -7.5 - (81.6%)
4* E MICHIGAN +10.5 - (80.4%)
4* VIRGINIA +15.5 - (80.4%)
4* MIAMI OHIO -3 - (76.6%)
3* AIR FORCE +7 - (70.8%)
3* KENTUCKY +6 - (70.8%)
3* OLE MISS +7 - (70.8%)
--PLAY AGAINST - Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (MISSOURI) - in a game involving two explosive offensive teams (>=34 PPG), in conference games.
(26-3 since 1992.) (89.7%, +22.7 units. Rating = 5*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (28-1)
The average line posted in these games was: Team favored by 5.9
The average score in these games was: Team 39.5, Opponent 21.6 (Average point differential = +17.9)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 18 (66.7% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (7-0).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (11-0).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (22-2).
--PLAY AGAINST - Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (TULSA) - an excellent offensive team (>=34 PPG) against an average defensive team (21-28) after 7+ games.
(24-3 over the last 10 seasons.) (88.9%, +20.7 units. Rating = 5*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (26-2 over the last 10 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Team favored by 5.8
The average score in these games was: Team 38.5, Opponent 21.8 (Average point differential = +16.7)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 14 (51.9% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (8-1).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (14-1).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (27-7).
--PLAY ON - Home favorites of 21.5 to 31 points (TEMPLE) - average offensive team (4.8 to 5.6 YPP) against a team with a terrible defense (>=6.2 YPP), in conference games.
(27-4 since 1992.) (87.1%, +22.6 units. Rating = 4*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (31-0)
The average line posted in these games was: Team favored by 24.6
The average score in these games was: Team 45.3, Opponent 10.7 (Average point differential = +34.6)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 18 (62.1% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (1-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (9-1).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (12-1).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (21-3).
--PLAY AGAINST - A home team (UNLV) - after allowing 37 points or more last game against opponent after 2 straight wins by 28 or more points.
(26-4 over the last 10 seasons.) (86.7%, +21.6 units. Rating = 4*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (26-4 over the last 10 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Team favored by 14.8
The average score in these games was: Team 42.9, Opponent 18.1 (Average point differential = +24.8)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 16 (53.3% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (2-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (7-0).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (12-1).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (37-13).
--PLAY ON - Favorites of 21.5 to 31 points (OKLAHOMA) - after gaining 475 or more total yards/game over their last 3 games, with 8 offensive starters returning.
(30-5 since 1992.) (85.7%, +24.5 units. Rating = 4*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (34-1)
The average line posted in these games was: Team favored by 25.6
The average score in these games was: Team 48.3, Opponent 13.6 (Average point differential = +34.7)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 18 (52.9% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (3-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (11-0).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (11-0).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (22-2).
--PLAY AGAINST - Home favorites (C MICHIGAN) - after scoring 14 points or less last game against opponent after scoring 9 points or less last game.
(29-5 over the last 5 seasons.) (85.3%, +23.5 units. Rating = 4*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (12-22 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 13.7
The average score in these games was: Team 21.6, Opponent 27.3 (Average point differential = -5.7)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 18 (52.9% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (2-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (11-2).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (54-23).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (94-61).
--PLAY ON - Home favorites of 10.5 to 21 points (ARIZONA ST) - after trailing in their previous game by 17 or more points at the half against opponent after a playing a game where 60 total points or more were scored.
(27-5 over the last 10 seasons.) (84.4%, +21.5 units. Rating = 4*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (31-1 over the last 10 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Team favored by 15.4
The average score in these games was: Team 43.1, Opponent 17.1 (Average point differential = +26)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 18 (58.1% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (2-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (8-2).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (10-3).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (36-17).
--PLAY AGAINST - Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (MISSOURI) - off 2 straight wins against conference rivals against opponent off a road win.
(31-7 over the last 5 seasons.) (81.6%, +23.3 units. Rating = 4*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (33-5 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Team favored by 6.1
The average score in these games was: Team 31.9, Opponent 18.8 (Average point differential = +13.2)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 19 (50% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (2-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (15-5).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (55-36).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (81-61).
--PLAY ON - Home underdogs (E MICHIGAN) - after 2 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers against opponent after 2 consecutive games where they forced 3 or more turnovers.
(37-9 over the last 10 seasons.) (80.4%, +27.1 units. Rating = 4*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (21-25 over the last 10 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 9.6
The average score in these games was: Team 25.6, Opponent 27.6 (Average point differential = -2)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 22 (50% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (1-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (12-2).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (16-4).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (55-24).
--PLAY ON - Home underdogs (VIRGINIA) - after 2 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers against opponent after 2 consecutive games where they forced 3 or more turnovers.
(37-9 over the last 10 seasons.) (80.4%, +27.1 units. Rating = 4*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (21-25 over the last 10 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 9.6
The average score in these games was: Team 25.6, Opponent 27.6 (Average point differential = -2)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 22 (50% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (1-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (12-2).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (16-4).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (55-24).
--PLAY ON - A road team (MIAMI OHIO) - after a loss by 17 or more points against opponent after scoring 17 points or less in 2 straight games.
(49-15 over the last 5 seasons.) (76.6%, +32.5 units. Rating = 4*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (44-20 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 0.6
The average score in these games was: Team 28.5, Opponent 21.7 (Average point differential = +6.8)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 36 (56.2% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (3-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (25-8).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (86-49).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (140-103).
--PLAY ON - Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (AIR FORCE) - after 1 or more consecutive straight up losses against opponent after 4 or more consecutive straight up wins.
(85-35 over the last 10 seasons.) (70.8%, +46.5 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (54-67 over the last 10 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 7.1
The average score in these games was: Team 24.8, Opponent 28 (Average point differential = -3.1)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 54 (45.4% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (8-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (22-10).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (37-25).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (122-78).
--PLAY ON - Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (KENTUCKY) - after 1 or more consecutive straight up losses against opponent after 4 or more consecutive straight up wins.
(85-35 over the last 10 seasons.) (70.8%, +46.5 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (54-67 over the last 10 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 7.1
The average score in these games was: Team 24.8, Opponent 28 (Average point differential = -3.1)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 54 (45.4% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (8-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (22-10).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (37-25).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (122-78).
--PLAY ON - Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (OLE MISS) - after 1 or more consecutive straight up losses against opponent after 4 or more consecutive straight up wins.
(85-35 over the last 10 seasons.) (70.8%, +46.5 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (54-67 over the last 10 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 7.1
The average score in these games was: Team 24.8, Opponent 28 (Average point differential = -3.1)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 54 (45.4% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (8-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (22-10).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (37-25).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (122-78).
STATSYSTEMS REPORT 10/30 cont.
• HIGHEST RATED OVER/UNDER SUPER SITUATIONS
----------------------------------------------------------------
5* MISSISSIPPI ST/KENTUCKY UNDER 57 - (84.4%)
5* NOTRE DAME/TULSA UNDER 63 - (84.4%)
4* S CAROLINA/TENNESSEE UNDER 49 - (79.4%)
4* HAWAII/IDAHO OVER 64 - (78.4%)
4* OLE MISS/AUBURN OVER 61 - (78.4%)
3* OHIO/ULL UNDER 52.5 - (76.3%)
3* S CAROLINA/TENNESSEE UNDER 49 - (75.4%)
3* TEMPLE/AKRON UNDER 49 - (75.4%)
3* NAVY/DUKE UNDER 56 - (75%)
3* S CAROLINA/TENNESSEE UNDER 49 - (74.3%)
3* UCF/E CAROLINA UNDER 53 - (73.7%)
3* AIR FORCE/UTAH UNDER 55 - (71.4%)
3* ARIZONA ST/WASHINGTON ST UNDER 57.5 - (71%)
--PLAY UNDER - All teams where the total is between 56.5 and 63 (MISSISSIPPI ST) - after 3 consecutive games where they committed 1 or less turnovers against opponent after a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse.
(27-5 over the last 10 seasons.) (84.4%, +21.5 units. Rating = 5*)
The average total posted in these games was: 58.9
The average score in these games was: Team 26.2, Opponent 24.5 (Total points scored = 50.7)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 21 (67.7% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (1-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (10-1).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (15-3).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (28-6).
--PLAY UNDER - All teams where the total is between 56.5 and 63 (TULSA) - after 3 consecutive games where they committed 1 or less turnovers against opponent after a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse.
(27-5 over the last 10 seasons.) (84.4%, +21.5 units. Rating = 5*)
The average total posted in these games was: 58.9
The average score in these games was: Team 26.2, Opponent 24.5 (Total points scored = 50.7)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 21 (67.7% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (1-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (10-1).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (15-3).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (28-6).
--PLAY UNDER - All teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 (S CAROLINA) - after a cover as a double digit favorite, in October games.
(50-13 over the last 5 seasons.) (79.4%, +35.7 units. Rating = 4*)
The average total posted in these games was: 46.2
The average score in these games was: Team 21.7, Opponent 17.9 (Total points scored = 39.6)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 33 (51.6% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (7-4).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (32-11).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (71-50).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (99-78).
--PLAY OVER - Any team against the total (HAWAII) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (330 to 390 YPG), after gaining 525 or more total yards in their previous game.
(40-11 over the last 5 seasons.) (78.4%, +27.9 units. Rating = 4*)
The average total posted in these games was: 61.5
The average score in these games was: Team 39.1, Opponent 30.9 (Total points scored = 69.9)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 31 (59.6% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (5-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (31-9).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (76-31).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (86-52).
--PLAY OVER - Any team against the total (AUBURN) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (330 to 390 YPG), after gaining 525 or more total yards in their previous game.
(40-11 over the last 5 seasons.) (78.4%, +27.9 units. Rating = 4*)
The average total posted in these games was: 61.5
The average score in these games was: Team 39.1, Opponent 30.9 (Total points scored = 69.9)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 31 (59.6% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (5-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (31-9).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (76-31).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (86-52).
--PLAY UNDER - Any team against the total (LA LAFAYETTE) - in non-conference games, off 2 straight losses to conference rivals, allowing 31 points or more.
(45-14 over the last 10 seasons.) (76.3%, +29.6 units. Rating = 3*)
The average total posted in these games was: 55.2
The average score in these games was: Team 22.5, Opponent 27.5 (Total points scored = 50)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 27 (46.6% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-3).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (18-7).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (29-12).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (51-20).
--PLAY UNDER - All teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 (S CAROLINA) - after outgaining opp by 125 or more total yards in their previous game against opponent after being outgained by 175+ total yards in their previous game.
(49-16 over the last 5 seasons.) (75.4%, +31.4 units. Rating = 3*)
The average total posted in these games was: 46.3
The average score in these games was: Team 26.6, Opponent 15.7 (Total points scored = 42.3)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 32 (50% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (1-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (26-9).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (66-36).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (78-51).
--PLAY UNDER - All teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 (TEMPLE) - after outgaining opp by 125 or more total yards in their previous game against opponent after being outgained by 175+ total yards in their previous game.
(49-16 over the last 5 seasons.) (75.4%, +31.4 units. Rating = 3*)
The average total posted in these games was: 46.3
The average score in these games was: Team 26.6, Opponent 15.7 (Total points scored = 42.3)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 32 (50% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (1-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (26-9).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (66-36).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (78-51).
--PLAY UNDER - All teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (NAVY) - after having won 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games, in a non-conference game between two teams from major division 1-A conferences.
(48-16 over the last 10 seasons.) (75%, +30.4 units. Rating = 3*)
The average total posted in these games was: 52.8
The average score in these games was: Team 24.4, Opponent 22.9 (Total points scored = 47.2)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 33 (51.6% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (18-4).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (28-10).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (72-29).
--PLAY UNDER - All teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 (S CAROLINA) - after a cover as a double digit favorite, in weeks 5 through 9.
(52-18 over the last 5 seasons.) (74.3%, +32.2 units. Rating = 3*)
The average total posted in these games was: 46.2
The average score in these games was: Team 22.7, Opponent 18.4 (Total points scored = 41.1)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 33 (46.5% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (7-4).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (33-12).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (82-59).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (115-93).
--PLAY UNDER - All teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (E CAROLINA) - after a cover as a double digit favorite, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 80%).
(59-21 since 1992.) (73.8%, +35.9 units. Rating = 3*)
The average total posted in these games was: 52.6
The average score in these games was: Team 24.8, Opponent 22.6 (Total points scored = 47.4)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 45 (56.2% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (3-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (16-2).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (25-5).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (45-17).
--PLAY UNDER - Any team against the total (UTAH) - after covering the spread in 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games, in weeks 5 through 9.
(70-28 over the last 5 seasons.) (71.4%, +39.2 units. Rating = 3*)
The average total posted in these games was: 50.6
The average score in these games was: Team 25.2, Opponent 19.9 (Total points scored = 45)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 53 (55.2% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (6-4).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (35-17).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (100-44).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (114-60).
--PLAY UNDER - Any team against the total (WASHINGTON ST) - after covering the spread in 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games, in weeks 5 through 9.
(70-28 over the last 5 seasons.) (71.4%, +39.2 units. Rating = 3*)
The average total posted in these games was: 50.6
The average score in these games was: Team 25.2, Opponent 19.9 (Total points scored = 45)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 53 (55.2% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (6-4).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (35-17).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (100-44).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (114-60).
___________________________________
• HIGHEST RATED FIRST HALF SUPER SITUATIONS
--------------------------------------------------------------
5* GEORGIA -1 - (88.9%)
5* IDAHO +8.5 - (86.7%)
4* UTEP +1.5 - (84.4%)
4* OLE MISS +3.5 - (83.3%)
3* SAN JOSE ST -2 - (80.6%)
3* FLA ATLANTIC +2.5 - (76.5%)
3* DUKE +8 - (76.5%)
3* AKRON +24.5 - (76.5%)
3* HOUSTON -8 - (75.5%)
3* TOLEDO -6 - (75.4%)
3* MIAMI OHIO -1.5 - (74.2%)
3* WASHINGTON ST +11.5 - (73.1%)
--PLAY ON - Any team (GEORGIA) - after scoring 42 points or more in 2 straight games against opponent after a playing a game where 29 total points or less were scored.
(24-3 over the last 10 seasons.) (88.9%, +20.7 units. Rating = 5*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Team favored by 8.6
The average first half score in these games was: Team 24.3, Opponent 5.7 (Average first half point differential = +18.6)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (7-1).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (12-1).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (41-16).
--PLAY AGAINST - Home favorites of 6 to 11.5 vs. the first half line (HAWAII) - with an opportunistic defense - forcing 2.5 or more turnovers/game, after 4 consecutive games with a turnover margin of +1 or better.
(26-4 since 1992.) (86.7%, +21.6 units. Rating = 5*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 8.6
The average first half score in these games was: Team 11.3, Opponent 12.2 (Average first half point differential = -0.9)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (1-1).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (6-1).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (19-3).
--PLAY AGAINST - All teams where the 1rst half line is +1.5 to -1.5 (MARSHALL) - off a road loss, a terrible team (<=25%) playing a team with a winning record.
(27-5 since 1992.) (84.4%, +21.5 units. Rating = 4*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Team favored by 0.3
The average first half score in these games was: Team 16.1, Opponent 9.5 (Average first half point differential = +6.6)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (5-0).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (7-0).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (14-5).
--PLAY AGAINST - Favorites of 2 to 6 points vs. the first half line (AUBURN) - after 4 or more consecutive straight up wins, a top-level team (>=80%) playing a team with a losing record.
(30-6 over the last 10 seasons.) (83.3%, +23.4 units. Rating = 4*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 4.7
The average first half score in these games was: Team 12.5, Opponent 12 (Average first half point differential = +0.5)
The situation's record this season is: (2-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (9-2).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (10-3).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (44-26).
--PLAY ON - Favorites of 2 to 6 points vs. the first half line (SAN JOSE ST) - after allowing 31 points or more in 2 straight games against opponent after 2 straight losses by 17 or more points.
(29-7 since 1992.) (80.6%, +21.3 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Team favored by 3.8
The average first half score in these games was: Team 18.3, Opponent 7.5 (Average first half point differential = +10.8)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (5-0).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (8-3).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (19-5).
--PLAY AGAINST - Any team (FLA INTERNATIONAL) - after a win by 17 or more points against opponent after scoring 17 points or less in 3 straight games.
(39-12 over the last 5 seasons.) (76.5%, +25.8 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 9.2
The average first half score in these games was: Team 11.8, Opponent 16.7 (Average first half point differential = -5)
The situation's record this season is: (4-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (24-8).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (75-33).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (104-81).
--PLAY AGAINST - Any team (NAVY) - after a win by 17 or more points against opponent after scoring 17 points or less in 3 straight games.
(39-12 over the last 5 seasons.) (76.5%, +25.8 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 9.2
The average first half score in these games was: Team 11.8, Opponent 16.7 (Average first half point differential = -5)
The situation's record this season is: (4-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (24-8).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (75-33).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (104-81).
--PLAY AGAINST - Any team (TEMPLE) - after a win by 17 or more points against opponent after scoring 17 points or less in 3 straight games.
(39-12 over the last 5 seasons.) (76.5%, +25.8 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 9.2
The average first half score in these games was: Team 11.8, Opponent 16.7 (Average first half point differential = -5)
The situation's record this season is: (4-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (24-8).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (75-33).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (104-81).
--PLAY ON - Road favorites of 6 to 11.5 vs. the first half line (HOUSTON) - average rushing team(+/- 40 RY/G) against a terrible team who is outrushed by 80+ YPG after 7+ games, in conference games.
(40-13 since 1992.) (75.5%, +25.7 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Team favored by 8.1
The average first half score in these games was: Team 21.5, Opponent 8.1 (Average first half point differential = +13.5)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (2-0).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (10-3).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (23-5).
--PLAY ON - Any team (TOLEDO) - opportunistic team (2.5+ TO/game forced) against a team with <=1.25 TO/game forced, after a game with a turnover margin of +2 or better.
(49-16 over the last 5 seasons.) (75.4%, +31.4 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Team favored by 2
The average first half score in these games was: Team 16.1, Opponent 11 (Average first half point differential = +5.1)
The situation's record this season is: (7-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (32-11).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (79-40).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (119-87).
--PLAY ON - A road team vs. the 1rst half line (MIAMI OHIO) - after a loss by 17 or more points against opponent after scoring 17 points or less in 2 straight games.
(46-16 over the last 5 seasons.) (74.2%, +28.4 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 0.5
The average first half score in these games was: Team 15.4, Opponent 11.5 (Average first half point differential = +3.9)
The situation's record this season is: (4-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (24-8).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (80-54).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (125-108).
--PLAY ON - Underdogs of 6 to 11.5 points vs. the first half line (WASHINGTON ST) - in conference games, with 5+ more defensive starters returning than opponent.
(49-18 over the last 10 seasons.) (73.1%, +29.2 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 8.6
The average first half score in these games was: Team 10.8, Opponent 13.1 (Average first half point differential = -2.4)
The situation's record this season is: (4-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (13-2).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (29-8).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (69-37).
STATSYSTEMS REPORT 10/30 cont.
• HIGHEST RATED FIRST HALF SUPER SITUATIONS
--------------------------------------------------------------
5* GEORGIA -1 - (88.9%)
5* IDAHO +8.5 - (86.7%)
4* UTEP +1.5 - (84.4%)
4* OLE MISS +3.5 - (83.3%)
3* SAN JOSE ST -2 - (80.6%)
3* FLA ATLANTIC +2.5 - (76.5%)
3* DUKE +8 - (76.5%)
3* AKRON +24.5 - (76.5%)
3* HOUSTON -8 - (75.5%)
3* TOLEDO -6 - (75.4%)
3* MIAMI OHIO -1.5 - (74.2%)
3* WASHINGTON ST +11.5 - (73.1%)
--PLAY ON - Any team (GEORGIA) - after scoring 42 points or more in 2 straight games against opponent after a playing a game where 29 total points or less were scored.
(24-3 over the last 10 seasons.) (88.9%, +20.7 units. Rating = 5*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Team favored by 8.6
The average first half score in these games was: Team 24.3, Opponent 5.7 (Average first half point differential = +18.6)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (7-1).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (12-1).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (41-16).
--PLAY AGAINST - Home favorites of 6 to 11.5 vs. the first half line (HAWAII) - with an opportunistic defense - forcing 2.5 or more turnovers/game, after 4 consecutive games with a turnover margin of +1 or better.
(26-4 since 1992.) (86.7%, +21.6 units. Rating = 5*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 8.6
The average first half score in these games was: Team 11.3, Opponent 12.2 (Average first half point differential = -0.9)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (1-1).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (6-1).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (19-3).
--PLAY AGAINST - All teams where the 1rst half line is +1.5 to -1.5 (MARSHALL) - off a road loss, a terrible team (<=25%) playing a team with a winning record.
(27-5 since 1992.) (84.4%, +21.5 units. Rating = 4*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Team favored by 0.3
The average first half score in these games was: Team 16.1, Opponent 9.5 (Average first half point differential = +6.6)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (5-0).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (7-0).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (14-5).
--PLAY AGAINST - Favorites of 2 to 6 points vs. the first half line (AUBURN) - after 4 or more consecutive straight up wins, a top-level team (>=80%) playing a team with a losing record.
(30-6 over the last 10 seasons.) (83.3%, +23.4 units. Rating = 4*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 4.7
The average first half score in these games was: Team 12.5, Opponent 12 (Average first half point differential = +0.5)
The situation's record this season is: (2-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (9-2).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (10-3).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (44-26).
--PLAY ON - Favorites of 2 to 6 points vs. the first half line (SAN JOSE ST) - after allowing 31 points or more in 2 straight games against opponent after 2 straight losses by 17 or more points.
(29-7 since 1992.) (80.6%, +21.3 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Team favored by 3.8
The average first half score in these games was: Team 18.3, Opponent 7.5 (Average first half point differential = +10.8)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (5-0).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (8-3).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (19-5).
--PLAY AGAINST - Any team (FLA INTERNATIONAL) - after a win by 17 or more points against opponent after scoring 17 points or less in 3 straight games.
(39-12 over the last 5 seasons.) (76.5%, +25.8 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 9.2
The average first half score in these games was: Team 11.8, Opponent 16.7 (Average first half point differential = -5)
The situation's record this season is: (4-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (24-8).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (75-33).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (104-81).
--PLAY AGAINST - Any team (NAVY) - after a win by 17 or more points against opponent after scoring 17 points or less in 3 straight games.
(39-12 over the last 5 seasons.) (76.5%, +25.8 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 9.2
The average first half score in these games was: Team 11.8, Opponent 16.7 (Average first half point differential = -5)
The situation's record this season is: (4-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (24-8).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (75-33).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (104-81).
--PLAY AGAINST - Any team (TEMPLE) - after a win by 17 or more points against opponent after scoring 17 points or less in 3 straight games.
(39-12 over the last 5 seasons.) (76.5%, +25.8 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 9.2
The average first half score in these games was: Team 11.8, Opponent 16.7 (Average first half point differential = -5)
The situation's record this season is: (4-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (24-8).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (75-33).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (104-81).
--PLAY ON - Road favorites of 6 to 11.5 vs. the first half line (HOUSTON) - average rushing team(+/- 40 RY/G) against a terrible team who is outrushed by 80+ YPG after 7+ games, in conference games.
(40-13 since 1992.) (75.5%, +25.7 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Team favored by 8.1
The average first half score in these games was: Team 21.5, Opponent 8.1 (Average first half point differential = +13.5)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (2-0).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (10-3).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (23-5).
--PLAY ON - Any team (TOLEDO) - opportunistic team (2.5+ TO/game forced) against a team with <=1.25 TO/game forced, after a game with a turnover margin of +2 or better.
(49-16 over the last 5 seasons.) (75.4%, +31.4 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Team favored by 2
The average first half score in these games was: Team 16.1, Opponent 11 (Average first half point differential = +5.1)
The situation's record this season is: (7-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (32-11).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (79-40).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (119-87).
--PLAY ON - A road team vs. the 1rst half line (MIAMI OHIO) - after a loss by 17 or more points against opponent after scoring 17 points or less in 2 straight games.
(46-16 over the last 5 seasons.) (74.2%, +28.4 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 0.5
The average first half score in these games was: Team 15.4, Opponent 11.5 (Average first half point differential = +3.9)
The situation's record this season is: (4-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (24-8).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (80-54).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (125-108).
--PLAY ON - Underdogs of 6 to 11.5 points vs. the first half line (WASHINGTON ST) - in conference games, with 5+ more defensive starters returning than opponent.
(49-18 over the last 10 seasons.) (73.1%, +29.2 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 8.6
The average first half score in these games was: Team 10.8, Opponent 13.1 (Average first half point differential = -2.4)
The situation's record this season is: (4-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (13-2).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (29-8).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (69-37).
_________________________________________
• HIGHEST RATED FIRST HALF TOTAL SUPER SITUATIONS
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
5* KENT ST/BALL ST OVER 21.5 - (81.6%)
5* WYOMING/SAN DIEGO ST OVER 24.5 - (81.6%)
4* IOWA ST/KANSAS OVER 28 - (81.4%)
4* MEMPHIS/HOUSTON OVER 29 - (81.4%)
4* NEW MEXICO ST/SAN JOSE ST OVER 23.5 - (81%)
4* MINNESOTA/OHIO ST OVER 27.5 - (78.2%)
4* UCF/E CAROLINA OVER 26.5 - (78.2%)
4* UNLV/TCU OVER 27.5 - (78.2%)
4* W MICHAGAN/N ILLINOIS OVER 27.5 - (78.2%)
4* WYOMING/SAN DIEGO ST OVER 24.5 - (78%)
--PLAY OVER - All teams where the first half total is 21.5 to 24.5 (BALL ST) - with a poor defense - allowing 5.8 or more yards/play, after being outgained by 100+ total yards in 3 consecutive games.
(40-9 over the last 5 seasons.) (81.6%, +30.1 units. Rating = 5*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 23.3
The average first half score in these games was: Team 9.8, Opponent 18.4 (Total first half points scored = 28.2)
The situation's record this season is: (6-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (16-4).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (45-15).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (46-20).
--PLAY OVER - All teams where the first half total is 21.5 to 24.5 (WYOMING) - with a poor defense - allowing 5.8 or more yards/play, after being outgained by 100+ total yards in 3 consecutive games.
(40-9 over the last 5 seasons.) (81.6%, +30.1 units. Rating = 5*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 23.3
The average first half score in these games was: Team 9.8, Opponent 18.4 (Total first half points scored = 28.2)
The situation's record this season is: (6-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (16-4).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (45-15).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (46-20).
--PLAY OVER - Any team vs the 1rst half total (KANSAS) - poor offensive team - scoring 17 or less points/game, after 3 straight losses by 21 or more points.
(35-8 over the last 5 seasons.) (81.4%, +26.2 units. Rating = 4*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 25.8
The average first half score in these games was: Team 10.3, Opponent 20.8 (Total first half points scored = 31.1)
The situation's record this season is: (4-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (25-5).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (43-12).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (44-12).
--PLAY OVER - Any team vs the 1rst half total (MEMPHIS) - poor offensive team - scoring 17 or less points/game, after 3 straight losses by 21 or more points.
(35-8 over the last 5 seasons.) (81.4%, +26.2 units. Rating = 4*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 25.8
The average first half score in these games was: Team 10.3, Opponent 20.8 (Total first half points scored = 31.1)
The situation's record this season is: (4-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (25-5).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (43-12).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (44-12).
--PLAY OVER - All teams where the first half total is 21.5 to 24.5 (NEW MEXICO ST) - poor team outrushed by opponents by 50+ YPG against a team who is outrushed by 80+ YPG.
(34-8 over the last 5 seasons.) (81%, +25.2 units. Rating = 4*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 23.5
The average first half score in these games was: Team 15.4, Opponent 14.1 (Total first half points scored = 29.5)
The situation's record this season is: (3-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (13-3).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (41-23).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (44-25).
--PLAY OVER - Any team vs the 1rst half total (OHIO ST) - team outrushing opponents by 80+ YPG against a team who is outrushed by 50+ YPG after 7+ games, in conference games.
(43-12 over the last 5 seasons.) (78.2%, +29.8 units. Rating = 4*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 27.7
The average first half score in these games was: Team 23.3, Opponent 11.3 (Total first half points scored = 34.6)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (22-6).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (51-33).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (54-39).
--PLAY OVER - Any team vs the 1rst half total (UCF) - team outrushing opponents by 80+ YPG against a team who is outrushed by 50+ YPG after 7+ games, in conference games.
(43-12 over the last 5 seasons.) (78.2%, +29.8 units. Rating = 4*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 27.7
The average first half score in these games was: Team 23.3, Opponent 11.3 (Total first half points scored = 34.6)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (22-6).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (51-33).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (54-39).
--PLAY OVER - Any team vs the 1rst half total (TCU) - team outrushing opponents by 80+ YPG against a team who is outrushed by 50+ YPG after 7+ games, in conference games.
(43-12 over the last 5 seasons.) (78.2%, +29.8 units. Rating = 4*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 27.7
The average first half score in these games was: Team 23.3, Opponent 11.3 (Total first half points scored = 34.6)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (22-6).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (51-33).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (54-39).
--PLAY OVER - Any team vs the 1rst half total (N ILLINOIS) - team outrushing opponents by 80+ YPG against a team who is outrushed by 50+ YPG after 7+ games, in conference games.
(43-12 over the last 5 seasons.) (78.2%, +29.8 units. Rating = 4*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 27.7
The average first half score in these games was: Team 23.3, Opponent 11.3 (Total first half points scored = 34.6)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (22-6).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (51-33).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (54-39).
--PLAY OVER - All teams where the first half total is 21.5 to 24.5 (WYOMING) - poor team - outgained by their opponents by 1 or more yards/play, after being outgained by 100+ total yards in 3 consecutive games.
(46-13 over the last 5 seasons.) (78%, +31.7 units. Rating = 4*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 23.3
The average first half score in these games was: Team 9.7, Opponent 18.6 (Total first half points scored = 28.2)
The situation's record this season is: (6-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (17-7).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (54-18).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (57-23).
• HIGHEST RATED FIRST HALF SUPER SITUATIONS
--------------------------------------------------------------
5* GEORGIA -1 - (88.9%)
5* IDAHO +8.5 - (86.7%)
4* UTEP +1.5 - (84.4%)
4* OLE MISS +3.5 - (83.3%)
3* SAN JOSE ST -2 - (80.6%)
3* FLA ATLANTIC +2.5 - (76.5%)
3* DUKE +8 - (76.5%)
3* AKRON +24.5 - (76.5%)
3* HOUSTON -8 - (75.5%)
3* TOLEDO -6 - (75.4%)
3* MIAMI OHIO -1.5 - (74.2%)
3* WASHINGTON ST +11.5 - (73.1%)
--PLAY ON - Any team (GEORGIA) - after scoring 42 points or more in 2 straight games against opponent after a playing a game where 29 total points or less were scored.
(24-3 over the last 10 seasons.) (88.9%, +20.7 units. Rating = 5*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Team favored by 8.6
The average first half score in these games was: Team 24.3, Opponent 5.7 (Average first half point differential = +18.6)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (7-1).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (12-1).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (41-16).
--PLAY AGAINST - Home favorites of 6 to 11.5 vs. the first half line (HAWAII) - with an opportunistic defense - forcing 2.5 or more turnovers/game, after 4 consecutive games with a turnover margin of +1 or better.
(26-4 since 1992.) (86.7%, +21.6 units. Rating = 5*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 8.6
The average first half score in these games was: Team 11.3, Opponent 12.2 (Average first half point differential = -0.9)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (1-1).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (6-1).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (19-3).
--PLAY AGAINST - All teams where the 1rst half line is +1.5 to -1.5 (MARSHALL) - off a road loss, a terrible team (<=25%) playing a team with a winning record.
(27-5 since 1992.) (84.4%, +21.5 units. Rating = 4*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Team favored by 0.3
The average first half score in these games was: Team 16.1, Opponent 9.5 (Average first half point differential = +6.6)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (5-0).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (7-0).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (14-5).
--PLAY AGAINST - Favorites of 2 to 6 points vs. the first half line (AUBURN) - after 4 or more consecutive straight up wins, a top-level team (>=80%) playing a team with a losing record.
(30-6 over the last 10 seasons.) (83.3%, +23.4 units. Rating = 4*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 4.7
The average first half score in these games was: Team 12.5, Opponent 12 (Average first half point differential = +0.5)
The situation's record this season is: (2-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (9-2).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (10-3).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (44-26).
--PLAY ON - Favorites of 2 to 6 points vs. the first half line (SAN JOSE ST) - after allowing 31 points or more in 2 straight games against opponent after 2 straight losses by 17 or more points.
(29-7 since 1992.) (80.6%, +21.3 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Team favored by 3.8
The average first half score in these games was: Team 18.3, Opponent 7.5 (Average first half point differential = +10.8)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (5-0).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (8-3).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (19-5).
--PLAY AGAINST - Any team (FLA INTERNATIONAL) - after a win by 17 or more points against opponent after scoring 17 points or less in 3 straight games.
(39-12 over the last 5 seasons.) (76.5%, +25.8 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 9.2
The average first half score in these games was: Team 11.8, Opponent 16.7 (Average first half point differential = -5)
The situation's record this season is: (4-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (24-8).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (75-33).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (104-81).
--PLAY AGAINST - Any team (NAVY) - after a win by 17 or more points against opponent after scoring 17 points or less in 3 straight games.
(39-12 over the last 5 seasons.) (76.5%, +25.8 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 9.2
The average first half score in these games was: Team 11.8, Opponent 16.7 (Average first half point differential = -5)
The situation's record this season is: (4-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (24-8).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (75-33).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (104-81).
--PLAY AGAINST - Any team (TEMPLE) - after a win by 17 or more points against opponent after scoring 17 points or less in 3 straight games.
(39-12 over the last 5 seasons.) (76.5%, +25.8 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 9.2
The average first half score in these games was: Team 11.8, Opponent 16.7 (Average first half point differential = -5)
The situation's record this season is: (4-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (24-8).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (75-33).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (104-81).
--PLAY ON - Road favorites of 6 to 11.5 vs. the first half line (HOUSTON) - average rushing team(+/- 40 RY/G) against a terrible team who is outrushed by 80+ YPG after 7+ games, in conference games.
(40-13 since 1992.) (75.5%, +25.7 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Team favored by 8.1
The average first half score in these games was: Team 21.5, Opponent 8.1 (Average first half point differential = +13.5)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (2-0).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (10-3).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (23-5).
--PLAY ON - Any team (TOLEDO) - opportunistic team (2.5+ TO/game forced) against a team with <=1.25 TO/game forced, after a game with a turnover margin of +2 or better.
(49-16 over the last 5 seasons.) (75.4%, +31.4 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Team favored by 2
The average first half score in these games was: Team 16.1, Opponent 11 (Average first half point differential = +5.1)
The situation's record this season is: (7-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (32-11).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (79-40).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (119-87).
--PLAY ON - A road team vs. the 1rst half line (MIAMI OHIO) - after a loss by 17 or more points against opponent after scoring 17 points or less in 2 straight games.
(46-16 over the last 5 seasons.) (74.2%, +28.4 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 0.5
The average first half score in these games was: Team 15.4, Opponent 11.5 (Average first half point differential = +3.9)
The situation's record this season is: (4-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (24-8).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (80-54).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (125-108).
--PLAY ON - Underdogs of 6 to 11.5 points vs. the first half line (WASHINGTON ST) - in conference games, with 5+ more defensive starters returning than opponent.
(49-18 over the last 10 seasons.) (73.1%, +29.2 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 8.6
The average first half score in these games was: Team 10.8, Opponent 13.1 (Average first half point differential = -2.4)
The situation's record this season is: (4-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (13-2).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (29-8).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (69-37).
_________________________________________
• HIGHEST RATED FIRST HALF TOTAL SUPER SITUATIONS
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
5* KENT ST/BALL ST OVER 21.5 - (81.6%)
5* WYOMING/SAN DIEGO ST OVER 24.5 - (81.6%)
4* IOWA ST/KANSAS OVER 28 - (81.4%)
4* MEMPHIS/HOUSTON OVER 29 - (81.4%)
4* NEW MEXICO ST/SAN JOSE ST OVER 23.5 - (81%)
4* MINNESOTA/OHIO ST OVER 27.5 - (78.2%)
4* UCF/E CAROLINA OVER 26.5 - (78.2%)
4* UNLV/TCU OVER 27.5 - (78.2%)
4* W MICHAGAN/N ILLINOIS OVER 27.5 - (78.2%)
4* WYOMING/SAN DIEGO ST OVER 24.5 - (78%)
--PLAY OVER - All teams where the first half total is 21.5 to 24.5 (BALL ST) - with a poor defense - allowing 5.8 or more yards/play, after being outgained by 100+ total yards in 3 consecutive games.
(40-9 over the last 5 seasons.) (81.6%, +30.1 units. Rating = 5*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 23.3
The average first half score in these games was: Team 9.8, Opponent 18.4 (Total first half points scored = 28.2)
The situation's record this season is: (6-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (16-4).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (45-15).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (46-20).
--PLAY OVER - All teams where the first half total is 21.5 to 24.5 (WYOMING) - with a poor defense - allowing 5.8 or more yards/play, after being outgained by 100+ total yards in 3 consecutive games.
(40-9 over the last 5 seasons.) (81.6%, +30.1 units. Rating = 5*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 23.3
The average first half score in these games was: Team 9.8, Opponent 18.4 (Total first half points scored = 28.2)
The situation's record this season is: (6-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (16-4).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (45-15).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (46-20).
--PLAY OVER - Any team vs the 1rst half total (KANSAS) - poor offensive team - scoring 17 or less points/game, after 3 straight losses by 21 or more points.
(35-8 over the last 5 seasons.) (81.4%, +26.2 units. Rating = 4*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 25.8
The average first half score in these games was: Team 10.3, Opponent 20.8 (Total first half points scored = 31.1)
The situation's record this season is: (4-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (25-5).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (43-12).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (44-12).
--PLAY OVER - Any team vs the 1rst half total (MEMPHIS) - poor offensive team - scoring 17 or less points/game, after 3 straight losses by 21 or more points.
(35-8 over the last 5 seasons.) (81.4%, +26.2 units. Rating = 4*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 25.8
The average first half score in these games was: Team 10.3, Opponent 20.8 (Total first half points scored = 31.1)
The situation's record this season is: (4-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (25-5).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (43-12).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (44-12).
--PLAY OVER - All teams where the first half total is 21.5 to 24.5 (NEW MEXICO ST) - poor team outrushed by opponents by 50+ YPG against a team who is outrushed by 80+ YPG.
(34-8 over the last 5 seasons.) (81%, +25.2 units. Rating = 4*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 23.5
The average first half score in these games was: Team 15.4, Opponent 14.1 (Total first half points scored = 29.5)
The situation's record this season is: (3-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (13-3).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (41-23).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (44-25).
--PLAY OVER - Any team vs the 1rst half total (OHIO ST) - team outrushing opponents by 80+ YPG against a team who is outrushed by 50+ YPG after 7+ games, in conference games.
(43-12 over the last 5 seasons.) (78.2%, +29.8 units. Rating = 4*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 27.7
The average first half score in these games was: Team 23.3, Opponent 11.3 (Total first half points scored = 34.6)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (22-6).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (51-33).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (54-39).
--PLAY OVER - Any team vs the 1rst half total (UCF) - team outrushing opponents by 80+ YPG against a team who is outrushed by 50+ YPG after 7+ games, in conference games.
(43-12 over the last 5 seasons.) (78.2%, +29.8 units. Rating = 4*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 27.7
The average first half score in these games was: Team 23.3, Opponent 11.3 (Total first half points scored = 34.6)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (22-6).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (51-33).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (54-39).
--PLAY OVER - Any team vs the 1rst half total (TCU) - team outrushing opponents by 80+ YPG against a team who is outrushed by 50+ YPG after 7+ games, in conference games.
(43-12 over the last 5 seasons.) (78.2%, +29.8 units. Rating = 4*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 27.7
The average first half score in these games was: Team 23.3, Opponent 11.3 (Total first half points scored = 34.6)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (22-6).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (51-33).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (54-39).
--PLAY OVER - Any team vs the 1rst half total (N ILLINOIS) - team outrushing opponents by 80+ YPG against a team who is outrushed by 50+ YPG after 7+ games, in conference games.
(43-12 over the last 5 seasons.) (78.2%, +29.8 units. Rating = 4*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 27.7
The average first half score in these games was: Team 23.3, Opponent 11.3 (Total first half points scored = 34.6)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (22-6).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (51-33).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (54-39).
--PLAY OVER - All teams where the first half total is 21.5 to 24.5 (WYOMING) - poor team - outgained by their opponents by 1 or more yards/play, after being outgained by 100+ total yards in 3 consecutive games.
(46-13 over the last 5 seasons.) (78%, +31.7 units. Rating = 4*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 23.3
The average first half score in these games was: Team 9.7, Opponent 18.6 (Total first half points scored = 28.2)
The situation's record this season is: (6-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (17-7).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (54-18).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (57-23).
Wunderdog
Game: California at Oregon State (Saturday 10/30 3:30 PM Eastern)
Pick: California +3 (-110)
The California Bears have not yet won on the road yet so how do they have a shot here? Look at the competition. They lost to Arizona, USC and Nevada, teams with a combined record of 17-4. This game should be different as they face a .500 team. The Bears have a nasty defense that ranks #16 in the country. They have already held five of their opponents to 17 points or less, and four of their opponents to 10 points or less! Oregon State hasn't exactly been blowing teams out with their three wins coming by a total of 12 points. The Bears not only have a powerful defense to keep them in the game, but they have a capable offense that has scored 50+ on three different occasions this season. And they have been a dangerous road dog over the years, entering this one at 15-6-1 ATS as a road dog in their last 22. The Beavers are not faring so well as a small favorite of 3 points or less where they have covered just one of their last five. This has been a road-dominated series with the road team cashing six of the last seven. The public is all over Oregon State here (75% of around 5,000 bets). My computer matchup predicts a Cal win and I agree! Take the Bears here.
Game: California at Oregon State (Saturday 10/30 3:30 PM Eastern)
Pick: California +3 (-110)
The California Bears have not yet won on the road yet so how do they have a shot here? Look at the competition. They lost to Arizona, USC and Nevada, teams with a combined record of 17-4. This game should be different as they face a .500 team. The Bears have a nasty defense that ranks #16 in the country. They have already held five of their opponents to 17 points or less, and four of their opponents to 10 points or less! Oregon State hasn't exactly been blowing teams out with their three wins coming by a total of 12 points. The Bears not only have a powerful defense to keep them in the game, but they have a capable offense that has scored 50+ on three different occasions this season. And they have been a dangerous road dog over the years, entering this one at 15-6-1 ATS as a road dog in their last 22. The Beavers are not faring so well as a small favorite of 3 points or less where they have covered just one of their last five. This has been a road-dominated series with the road team cashing six of the last seven. The public is all over Oregon State here (75% of around 5,000 bets). My computer matchup predicts a Cal win and I agree! Take the Bears here.
Hondo
Hail to the C -- Vic C., that is -- who came through for Hondo yesterday at Belmont when his Best Bet, Flask, poured it on in the sixth for a victory that lowered the deficit to 2,770 maldonados.
Today, Mr. Aitch expects more excellence from Vic. Thus, he will pony up the dough on Funny Moon in the sixth at Belmont -- 10 units. Also, moving from horses to horsehide, 10 on the Giants to keep messing with Texas. And, finally, going from horsehide to pigskin, he will back his college Best Bets -- Cincinnati, Auburn and Michigan State -- with 10-unit investments.
Hail to the C -- Vic C., that is -- who came through for Hondo yesterday at Belmont when his Best Bet, Flask, poured it on in the sixth for a victory that lowered the deficit to 2,770 maldonados.
Today, Mr. Aitch expects more excellence from Vic. Thus, he will pony up the dough on Funny Moon in the sixth at Belmont -- 10 units. Also, moving from horses to horsehide, 10 on the Giants to keep messing with Texas. And, finally, going from horsehide to pigskin, he will back his college Best Bets -- Cincinnati, Auburn and Michigan State -- with 10-unit investments.
