WAYNE ROOT
MILL--Utah +
No Limit--TCU -
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Perfect Play--Florida State +
Clemson opened up at -2 and the line moved to -4.5. But this is not your 2015 team with a quarterback sent from the heavens. The Tigers have not won in this stadium since '06. Clemson hasn't showed that it knows how to protect the ball for turnovers and struggles with dropped balls. Deshaun Watson is not his last years self. For Florida State, running back Dalvin Cook's return to form has been a factor in the Seminoles' rebound from a 1-2 start to the season. He has rushed for 900 yards for the season, is coming off a 115-yard effort in last week's victory over Wake Forest, and rushed for 194 yards and scored the Seminoles' only touchdown in last year's loss to Clemson. After two horrible games to start the season, the most encouraging sign for Florida State is their recent resurgence on defense. Back to Clemson, the offensive line ranks 125th nationally in Football Outsiders’ power success rate which should make the defensive efforts of the Noles an improved lot. The Seminoles have a standout defensive line and can disrupt Clemson’s attack at the line of scrimmage with a big night from end DeMarcus Walker and tackle Derrick Nnadi. This season, the teams that can generate a pass rush – Auburn, Louisville and NC State – have had the most success in keeping Clemson’s offense within check. The Tigers were not impressive in the Week 7 win over NC State (24-17) and will have their hands full against Cook, Francois and an active Florida State defensive line.
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Inner Circle--Texas +
First stat: Baylor has not played anybody that has a decent team so it is fairly difficult to give them proper measure. For example, they defeated a 1-5 Iowa St team 45-42. ISU is horrible and that was one of their toughest opponents to date. The Bears haven't been tested this season playing a weak nonconference schedule, and they tout a strength of schedule that ranks 126th out of 128 FBS teams. Texas plays hard!! Losing games is part of the job with a recent coaching change and different recruits playing. But they play hard for 60 minutes. Coach Charlie Strong is getting Texas closer to living up to the lofty expectations. Any win helps Strong keep his job, and I’m going with the Longhorns to pull this one out and shake up the Big 12 race as Baylor loses its first game of the year. This week, the Texas President get Strong a vote of confidence so the boosters would give him breathing room. This Texas defense has struggled mightily, and it will give up a ton of yards, but I think the ‘Horns defense can stymie the Bears offense in the red zone, and Shane Buechele will have a big day through the air. This will be a four-quarter game, with the Horns slipping by after a late score. Grab a cigar for Strong and Co. with this win. The quick-tempo attack is idling too often, even though there’s a strong balance with an ultra-efficient passing game and, thanks to D’Onta Foreman, a killer ground attack. This is an emotional game and Texas gets the upset on their heart alone and Charlie Strong's last two weeks influence on the defensive side of the ball as he took over the coordinators role. Russell will put up his yards, Foreman will put up his, it’ll be a shootout, and at home under all the pressure, Texas will come up with a close win it so desperately needs. And Charlie Strong will be around for another week.
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Pinnacle--Ole Mississippi + ****College Underdog of Year
Hint-Hint: Betting rule 101. Bet the original favorite. The oddsmakers made it the favorite but the public got involved and moved the line to where the other side is favored. Ole Miss opened -1 and now Auburn in -4.5 because of the 56-3 blowout of Arkansas last week. This means that the sports books are going to pay 86% of the public with no questions asked? NOT! It’s still the SEC, and it’s a road game against an Ole Miss team with talent. It’s not going to be a run in the park and Auburn has to deal with the Rebel's talented QB. There’s an opportunity the Ole Miss O clicks on all cylinders and scores like it did against Georgia in the 45-14 win. Marquis Haynes was a disruptive force in the Rebels’ 27-19 victory last year, when he made a season-high 6 tackles. He’s been Ole Miss’ best defensive player, leading the Rebels with 5 sacks and 7 tackles for loss. Remember that Ole Miss was ahead by three TD's against Florida St and Alabama (lost both tho). If the Tigers fall behind, QB White is averaging only 14 completions. He reached his season-highs for completions (19) in Auburn’s 18-13 victory over LSU last month. That's not good enough and the beginning recipe of an upset. Look for Mississippi's Akeem Judd to balance the Ole Miss offense with his running and Kelly's best in the SEC passing game. Ole Miss has to be one of the most frustrating teams in the country and looking to take it out on a Tiger team that's in the spotlight. With Chad Kelly, Evan Ingram and a defense featuring several legitimate NFL prospects, this team has the talent to be fighting for a playoff spot instead of fighting for bowl eligibility. This feels like a Chad Kelly game, so expect 40-45 throws from the Rebels signal-caller and the basis of this upset. Ole Miss should get big games from their talented receiving corps. Damore’ea Stringfellow and Quincy Adeboyejo are big, fast options on the outside while freshman Van Jefferson is a smooth route-runner in the slot. Put 25% of you bet on the money line for added profits.
MILL--Utah +
No Limit--TCU -
__________________
Perfect Play--Florida State +
Clemson opened up at -2 and the line moved to -4.5. But this is not your 2015 team with a quarterback sent from the heavens. The Tigers have not won in this stadium since '06. Clemson hasn't showed that it knows how to protect the ball for turnovers and struggles with dropped balls. Deshaun Watson is not his last years self. For Florida State, running back Dalvin Cook's return to form has been a factor in the Seminoles' rebound from a 1-2 start to the season. He has rushed for 900 yards for the season, is coming off a 115-yard effort in last week's victory over Wake Forest, and rushed for 194 yards and scored the Seminoles' only touchdown in last year's loss to Clemson. After two horrible games to start the season, the most encouraging sign for Florida State is their recent resurgence on defense. Back to Clemson, the offensive line ranks 125th nationally in Football Outsiders’ power success rate which should make the defensive efforts of the Noles an improved lot. The Seminoles have a standout defensive line and can disrupt Clemson’s attack at the line of scrimmage with a big night from end DeMarcus Walker and tackle Derrick Nnadi. This season, the teams that can generate a pass rush – Auburn, Louisville and NC State – have had the most success in keeping Clemson’s offense within check. The Tigers were not impressive in the Week 7 win over NC State (24-17) and will have their hands full against Cook, Francois and an active Florida State defensive line.
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Inner Circle--Texas +
First stat: Baylor has not played anybody that has a decent team so it is fairly difficult to give them proper measure. For example, they defeated a 1-5 Iowa St team 45-42. ISU is horrible and that was one of their toughest opponents to date. The Bears haven't been tested this season playing a weak nonconference schedule, and they tout a strength of schedule that ranks 126th out of 128 FBS teams. Texas plays hard!! Losing games is part of the job with a recent coaching change and different recruits playing. But they play hard for 60 minutes. Coach Charlie Strong is getting Texas closer to living up to the lofty expectations. Any win helps Strong keep his job, and I’m going with the Longhorns to pull this one out and shake up the Big 12 race as Baylor loses its first game of the year. This week, the Texas President get Strong a vote of confidence so the boosters would give him breathing room. This Texas defense has struggled mightily, and it will give up a ton of yards, but I think the ‘Horns defense can stymie the Bears offense in the red zone, and Shane Buechele will have a big day through the air. This will be a four-quarter game, with the Horns slipping by after a late score. Grab a cigar for Strong and Co. with this win. The quick-tempo attack is idling too often, even though there’s a strong balance with an ultra-efficient passing game and, thanks to D’Onta Foreman, a killer ground attack. This is an emotional game and Texas gets the upset on their heart alone and Charlie Strong's last two weeks influence on the defensive side of the ball as he took over the coordinators role. Russell will put up his yards, Foreman will put up his, it’ll be a shootout, and at home under all the pressure, Texas will come up with a close win it so desperately needs. And Charlie Strong will be around for another week.
__________________
Pinnacle--Ole Mississippi + ****College Underdog of Year
Hint-Hint: Betting rule 101. Bet the original favorite. The oddsmakers made it the favorite but the public got involved and moved the line to where the other side is favored. Ole Miss opened -1 and now Auburn in -4.5 because of the 56-3 blowout of Arkansas last week. This means that the sports books are going to pay 86% of the public with no questions asked? NOT! It’s still the SEC, and it’s a road game against an Ole Miss team with talent. It’s not going to be a run in the park and Auburn has to deal with the Rebel's talented QB. There’s an opportunity the Ole Miss O clicks on all cylinders and scores like it did against Georgia in the 45-14 win. Marquis Haynes was a disruptive force in the Rebels’ 27-19 victory last year, when he made a season-high 6 tackles. He’s been Ole Miss’ best defensive player, leading the Rebels with 5 sacks and 7 tackles for loss. Remember that Ole Miss was ahead by three TD's against Florida St and Alabama (lost both tho). If the Tigers fall behind, QB White is averaging only 14 completions. He reached his season-highs for completions (19) in Auburn’s 18-13 victory over LSU last month. That's not good enough and the beginning recipe of an upset. Look for Mississippi's Akeem Judd to balance the Ole Miss offense with his running and Kelly's best in the SEC passing game. Ole Miss has to be one of the most frustrating teams in the country and looking to take it out on a Tiger team that's in the spotlight. With Chad Kelly, Evan Ingram and a defense featuring several legitimate NFL prospects, this team has the talent to be fighting for a playoff spot instead of fighting for bowl eligibility. This feels like a Chad Kelly game, so expect 40-45 throws from the Rebels signal-caller and the basis of this upset. Ole Miss should get big games from their talented receiving corps. Damore’ea Stringfellow and Quincy Adeboyejo are big, fast options on the outside while freshman Van Jefferson is a smooth route-runner in the slot. Put 25% of you bet on the money line for added profits.
