PAYNE SPORTS
Added play
10 Units Indiana +10.5
Who would have thought these two teams would be undefeated after both were projected toward the middle to bottom of the conference. I give Michigan all the credit in the world with what Coach Rod has done with two quality wins against UCONN and at Notre Dame. He is turning this program in the right direction. His system qb is the answer to all his success in Robinson throwing for 700 and running for almost 700 in only 4 games. He is a human highlight reel, but he got injured last week and you know he will play, but will he be 100%? I do not think so and I also look at Michigan having a big look ahead game next week against hated rival Michigan St. If you look further into this game, their offense is explosive, but they outgained UMASS by only 86 yards, and Notre Dame outgained them. This team could easily be 2-2 right now, as Michigan’s defense is atrocious. They are 93rd in total defense and 105 against the pass allowing 263 yards. This plays right into Indiana’s plan and their 9 offensive starters from last year. Chappell is now a senior and showing it throwing close to 900 yards with 9 tds and 0 interceptions in only 3 games. Indiana has yet to really play anyone, but I still love their strength against Michigan’s weakness. They rank 11th in the nation in pass and their defense is a middle of the pack, but I love their chances at home in their Big 10 OPENER. They struggle against the run, but I believe they have been marking this game on their calendar all year. They gave Michigan all they wanted last year and I believe they will again this year at home. Both teams will score points here and this game could be the most exciting of the day, but don’t be surprised if Indiana is there late in the game with a chance to win it.
Added play
10 Units Indiana +10.5
Who would have thought these two teams would be undefeated after both were projected toward the middle to bottom of the conference. I give Michigan all the credit in the world with what Coach Rod has done with two quality wins against UCONN and at Notre Dame. He is turning this program in the right direction. His system qb is the answer to all his success in Robinson throwing for 700 and running for almost 700 in only 4 games. He is a human highlight reel, but he got injured last week and you know he will play, but will he be 100%? I do not think so and I also look at Michigan having a big look ahead game next week against hated rival Michigan St. If you look further into this game, their offense is explosive, but they outgained UMASS by only 86 yards, and Notre Dame outgained them. This team could easily be 2-2 right now, as Michigan’s defense is atrocious. They are 93rd in total defense and 105 against the pass allowing 263 yards. This plays right into Indiana’s plan and their 9 offensive starters from last year. Chappell is now a senior and showing it throwing close to 900 yards with 9 tds and 0 interceptions in only 3 games. Indiana has yet to really play anyone, but I still love their strength against Michigan’s weakness. They rank 11th in the nation in pass and their defense is a middle of the pack, but I love their chances at home in their Big 10 OPENER. They struggle against the run, but I believe they have been marking this game on their calendar all year. They gave Michigan all they wanted last year and I believe they will again this year at home. Both teams will score points here and this game could be the most exciting of the day, but don’t be surprised if Indiana is there late in the game with a chance to win it.
GC Saturday System Club Play
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On Saturday the NCAAF System Club play is on the Indiana Hoosiers. Game 116 at 3:30 eastern. Indiana qualifies in a system that plays against Michigan and any road favorite in game 5 or later off a double digit ats win if their opponent is also undefeated and off a win of 8 or more and has a solid defense. We have seen how Michigan could struggle as evidenced by their close win at home over UMass. Indy has a big defensive edge and lost in Michigan last year by just 3 points. The Wolverines are 3-13 ats against conference opponents, 1-7 in October, 1-7 ats vs an opponent with revenge, 0-4 on the road off back to back home games and have failed to cover in 8 of 11 times vs winning teams. Were not gonna call for an Indy upset, however we do think this is too many points. On Saturday there are several solid NCAAF Plays up. The Non conf. Goy, the Double system Pac Play, 5* Blowout side + TV Triple play pack. For the Bonus Play Take the Indiana Hoosiers. GC
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On Saturday the NCAAF System Club play is on the Indiana Hoosiers. Game 116 at 3:30 eastern. Indiana qualifies in a system that plays against Michigan and any road favorite in game 5 or later off a double digit ats win if their opponent is also undefeated and off a win of 8 or more and has a solid defense. We have seen how Michigan could struggle as evidenced by their close win at home over UMass. Indy has a big defensive edge and lost in Michigan last year by just 3 points. The Wolverines are 3-13 ats against conference opponents, 1-7 in October, 1-7 ats vs an opponent with revenge, 0-4 on the road off back to back home games and have failed to cover in 8 of 11 times vs winning teams. Were not gonna call for an Indy upset, however we do think this is too many points. On Saturday there are several solid NCAAF Plays up. The Non conf. Goy, the Double system Pac Play, 5* Blowout side + TV Triple play pack. For the Bonus Play Take the Indiana Hoosiers. GC
RAS
1 unit kent st -2
1 UNIT* 131 Texas Tech/Iowa St. over 52
1 UNIT* 167 SMU/Rice over 54
Dr. Bob
Best Bets
#105 Texas (+3 1/2) 3-Stars at +3 or more, 2-Stars at less than +3.
#124 Maryland (-7 1/2) 2-Stars at -9 or less, 3-Stars at -7.
#127 Temple (-5) 2-Stars at -6 1/2 or less, 3-Stars at -4.
#138 Baylor (-9) 2-Stars at -10 or less, 3-Stars at -7.
#163 Arizona State (+3 1/2) 2-Stars as an underdog.
#172 Alabama (-7 1/2) 2-Stars at -9 or less, 3-Stars at -7.
#188 Hawaii (-8) 3-Stars at -10 or less, 2-Stars up to -11.
Strong Opinions
#112 Central Michigan (-17 1/2) Strong Opinion at -19 or less, 2-Star Best Bet at -17.
#122 North Carolina (-13) Strong Opinion at -14 or less, 2-Star Best Bet at -11.
#125-126 Tulane-Rutgers UNDER (43) Strong Opinion Under 41 or higher.
#129 Georgia Tech (-10) Strong Opinion at -10 or less.
#141 Idaho (-3) Strong Opinion at -3 or less.
#178 USC (-10) Strong Opinion at -11 or less.
#198 South Florida (-21) Strong Opinion at -21 or less, 2-Star Best Bet at -20 or less.
MATT FARGO
10* Illinois Fighting Illini +18.5
10* Navy Midshipmen +10
9* Mississippi Rebels -2.5
9* Indiana Hoosiers +10.5
8* Clemson Tigers +4
3* Kent State Golden Flashes -3
1 unit kent st -2
1 UNIT* 131 Texas Tech/Iowa St. over 52
1 UNIT* 167 SMU/Rice over 54
Dr. Bob
Best Bets
#105 Texas (+3 1/2) 3-Stars at +3 or more, 2-Stars at less than +3.
#124 Maryland (-7 1/2) 2-Stars at -9 or less, 3-Stars at -7.
#127 Temple (-5) 2-Stars at -6 1/2 or less, 3-Stars at -4.
#138 Baylor (-9) 2-Stars at -10 or less, 3-Stars at -7.
#163 Arizona State (+3 1/2) 2-Stars as an underdog.
#172 Alabama (-7 1/2) 2-Stars at -9 or less, 3-Stars at -7.
#188 Hawaii (-8) 3-Stars at -10 or less, 2-Stars up to -11.
Strong Opinions
#112 Central Michigan (-17 1/2) Strong Opinion at -19 or less, 2-Star Best Bet at -17.
#122 North Carolina (-13) Strong Opinion at -14 or less, 2-Star Best Bet at -11.
#125-126 Tulane-Rutgers UNDER (43) Strong Opinion Under 41 or higher.
#129 Georgia Tech (-10) Strong Opinion at -10 or less.
#141 Idaho (-3) Strong Opinion at -3 or less.
#178 USC (-10) Strong Opinion at -11 or less.
#198 South Florida (-21) Strong Opinion at -21 or less, 2-Star Best Bet at -20 or less.
MATT FARGO
10* Illinois Fighting Illini +18.5
10* Navy Midshipmen +10
9* Mississippi Rebels -2.5
9* Indiana Hoosiers +10.5
8* Clemson Tigers +4
3* Kent State Golden Flashes -3
KIKI SPORTS
Saturday October 2nd
3 units 176 Iowa -7
BIG 10 GAME OF THE YEAR
1 unit 107 Vanderbilt +7.5
2 units 114 Michigan State +2
1 unit 115 Michigan -10
2 units 119 Va Tech -3.5
1 unit 126 Rutgers -14.5
1 unit 149 Notre Dame -2.5
1 unit 171 Florida +8.5
1 unit 185/186 Stanford/Oregon OVER 66.5
Saturday October 2nd
3 units 176 Iowa -7
BIG 10 GAME OF THE YEAR
1 unit 107 Vanderbilt +7.5
2 units 114 Michigan State +2
1 unit 115 Michigan -10
2 units 119 Va Tech -3.5
1 unit 126 Rutgers -14.5
1 unit 149 Notre Dame -2.5
1 unit 171 Florida +8.5
1 unit 185/186 Stanford/Oregon OVER 66.5
jeff benton saturday
0-1 yesterday minus 20 dimes minus $220. overall, 130-153-7 minus 535 dimes
SATURDAY'S ACTION
15 DIME college football selection on WESTERN MICHIGAN plus the points against Idaho in a non-confarence clash. As I go live with today’s plays, Western Michigan is a solid three-point home underdog across the board. If you have the ability, go ahead and get off that key number of 3 by purchasing the half-point so you get Western Michigan at +3½ (it’s a cheap price to protect your investment and guaraintee a win if this game lands on 3).
15 DIME college football selection on NORTH CAROLINA STATE plus the points against Virginia Tech in an ACC clash. As I go live with today’s plays, N.C. State is a 3½ to 4-point home underdog depending on where you shop. Once again, these are key numbers in football, so I’m advising you to purchase the half-point if the number you get is 3, 3½ or 4.
15 DIME college football selection on WASHINGTON STATE plus the points at UCLA in a Pac-10 matlhup. As I go live with today’s plays, Washington State is catching 27 points as a road underdog.
WESTERN MICHIGAN
Tremendous situational play here, as you’ve got Western Michigan coming out of a bye week (and eager to atone for a 13-point home loss to Toledo in a game the Broncos dominated) playing on homecoming against downtrodden Idaho, which has to go on the road for the second straight week after losing at god-awful Colorado State last Saturday on a field goal as time expired.
Even though the records show Western Michigan at 1-2 and Idaho at 2-2, I have the Broncos as the higher-rated team in my power rankings. Their two losses have come against teams (Michigan State and Toledo) that are much better than most though coming into the season – and as I mentivned, Western Michigan outplayed Toledo two weeks ago, rolling up 416 yards and allowing just 268, but they were done in by six turnovers (including four picks by QB Alex Carder, who otherwise went 43-for-64 for 403 yards).
Meanwhile, Idaho’s two wins both were at home against Division I-AA North Dakota and UNLV (one of the worst I-A programs in the country) by a combined score of 75-7. In their two road games, the Vandals have fallen to Nebraska 38-17 (the game wasn’t that close, as the Huskers had a 471-279 yardage edge but lost the ball four times) and Colorado State (which had lost its first three games by a combined score of 106-19!).
Going back to last season, Idaho has lost four straight road games (1-3 ATS) while surrendering 70, 63, 38 and 36 points. And since a 21-6 season-opening win at New Mexico State last year, the Vandals’ D has allowed an average of 43.6 ppg in seven roadies. How can a team that plays defense THAT horribly away from home – a team that just lost in heartbreaiking fashion on the road – be laying points … ON THE ROAD? Especially against an opponent that can fling the ball all over the field and score points in a hurry (Western Michigan is averaging 29 ppg and 332 passing ypg)?
Since opening last year as college football spread-covering darling (6-0 ATS), Idaho is just 2-6-1 against the number in lined games. The Vandals have also failed to cash in nine of their last 11 as a road favorite, and they’re 6-20-1 ATS in their last 27 games when coming off a loss. Throw in the fact this is Idaho’s third road game in four weeks, and I’m siding with the motivated and well-rested underdog on homecoming, as the wrong team is favored in this game.
NORTH CAROLINA STATE
Perhaps I’m a little slow to jump on the Wolfpack bandwagon – we’ll see. And I’m aware that we’re not getting the kind of take-back here that we would’ve gotten as recently as two weeks ago (when Virginia Tech would’ve been laying more than a touchdown). But those are the only two reasons this selection isn’t rated higher, because N.C. State had a fantastic September.
After ending last year with a 28-27 upset win over rival North Carolina (as a 5½-point home underdog), the Wolfpack have opened 2010 with four straight wins, with each one being more impressive than the last. They started with a 48-7 home rout of Western Carolina (big whoop), then went to Central Florida and forced five turnovers in a 28-21 victory as a three-point underdog, then came home and ripped Cincinnati 30-19 as a two-point home chalk, then went back on the road last week and shredded a very good Georgia Tech squad 45-28 as an eight-point underdog.
In the victories the last two weeks, North Carolina State outgained Cincinnati (491-385) and Georgia Tech (527-363) by a combined 270 yards. That becomes even more impressive when you consider that Cincinnati nearly upset Oklahoma last week, while Georgia Tech entered this season ranked 16th in the nation.
What I really like about N.C. State has been the balance and consistency. During its five-game winning streak, Tom O’Brien’s squad has scored 28, 48, 28, 30 and 45 points and yielded an average of just 20.4 ppg (and that average would be even lower if not for two garbage touchdowns allowed two weeks ago to Cincinnati). That’s the consiltency part. Here’s the balance: The Wolfpack are averaging 289.2 passing yards per game and 145 rushing yards per game, while the defense is yielding 185.5 ypg through the air and just 125.8 ypg on the ground (3.5 per carry).
Without question, the key to N.C. State’s resurgence has been the maturation of junior QB Russell Wilson, who should be a Heisman candidate right now. In four wins, Wilson has passed for 1,112 yards, 11 TDs and just one INT. And that doesn’t even include a 20-for-27, 259-yard, 4 TD, 0 INT performance in the season-ending victory over North Carolina (which had one of the best defenses in the country last year).
As for Virginia Tech, it has turned things around since season-opening losses to Boise State and James Madison. In fact, the Hokies trailed their third opponent (East Carolina) 27-21 midway through the third quarter two weeks ago and has since outscored East Carolina and Boston College 47-0. But this is a very tough spot for the Hokies, having to go on the road as a favorite for the second straight week and doing so with top running back Ryan Williams (hamstring) at less than 100 percent. And this is a big revenge spot for N.C. State, which got whipped 38-10 at Va-Tech last year as a 21-point underdog (prior to that, seven previous meetings had been decided by a total of 17 points, including one tie).
Both teams have been solid against the number recent – the Hokies are on ATS runs of 7-2 overall, 4-0 as a road favorite and 35-16 in ACC play; N.C. State is on pointspread upticks of 18-7-2 overall (5-0 last five), 4-1 at home, 18-7-1 as a ‘dog and 6-1 as a home pup – but here’s my favorite stat of the week: Wolfpack coach O’Brien is 17-2 ATS in the last 19 times his teams have faced an opponent that’s coming off back-to-back wins – meaning he knows how to knock a foe that’s flying high right back down to earth.
Grab the points with the surging, confident home underdog … and don’t be surprised by an outright upset!
WASHINGTON STATE
How do I back a team that’s got just two wins in its last 27 games against Division I-A competition?
A team that has lost 15 in a row to I-A foes by scores of 27-6, 52-6, 27-14, 49-17, 40-14, 48-7, 43-7, 42-10, 30-0, 65-17, 35-21 and 50-16?
A team that has dropped 13 consecutive road games by an average of 31.8 ppg?
And a team that has lost its last two meetings with today’s opponent by the combined score of 71-10?
Hey, it’s not easy to defend, I’ll grant you that. But let’s not forget that there’s no such thing as a sure thing in this business, and as horrific as Washington State has been since the start of the 2008 season, that doesn’t mean the Cougars can’t rise up and cover an extremely inflated pointspread against an overrated Bruins squad that is in a major flat spot.
Yes, UCLA deserves credit for consecutive blowout wins over Top 25 teams Houston (31-13) and Texas (34-12) – a lot of credit. But don’t lose sight of the fact that Houston’s all-everything QB Case Keenum went into his team’s game against the Bruins having not played the previous week because of a concussion, then suffered a season-ending knee injury in the game (Keenum’s backup later suffered his own season-ending injury against UCLA). And last week, while the Bruins dismantled Texas as a 15½-point ‘dog, it got outgained by 58 yards and threw just nine passes for 27 yards – and the Longhorns were in a big look-ahead spot because of this week’s game against Oklahoma.
UCLA has a totally one-dimensional offense with absolutely ZERO passing attack (the Bruins have passed for 327 TOTAL yards in four games!), and I just don’t see how a team that unbalanced can cover a four-touchdown spread.
Bottom line: No team in college football has posted more fluky wins than UCLA the last three years – and by fluky I mean games where they were outgained by a wide margin and still won. Today, the Bruins can’t rely on “fluky”; they’ll have to have to seriously outplay Washington State for four solid quarters to cover this massive number.
Three final points to make: 1) The last time UCLA was this big of a favorite was in Week 2 of the 2006 season when the Bruins laid 27½ points at home to Rice and struggled in a 26-16 win; 2) Prior to the last two years, Washington State had cashed in seven straight meetings with the Bruins; and 3) UCLA – which has consecutive road games at Cal and Oregon on deck – is just 11-27-1 ATS in its last 39 games against losing teams.
0-1 yesterday minus 20 dimes minus $220. overall, 130-153-7 minus 535 dimes
SATURDAY'S ACTION
15 DIME college football selection on WESTERN MICHIGAN plus the points against Idaho in a non-confarence clash. As I go live with today’s plays, Western Michigan is a solid three-point home underdog across the board. If you have the ability, go ahead and get off that key number of 3 by purchasing the half-point so you get Western Michigan at +3½ (it’s a cheap price to protect your investment and guaraintee a win if this game lands on 3).
15 DIME college football selection on NORTH CAROLINA STATE plus the points against Virginia Tech in an ACC clash. As I go live with today’s plays, N.C. State is a 3½ to 4-point home underdog depending on where you shop. Once again, these are key numbers in football, so I’m advising you to purchase the half-point if the number you get is 3, 3½ or 4.
15 DIME college football selection on WASHINGTON STATE plus the points at UCLA in a Pac-10 matlhup. As I go live with today’s plays, Washington State is catching 27 points as a road underdog.
WESTERN MICHIGAN
Tremendous situational play here, as you’ve got Western Michigan coming out of a bye week (and eager to atone for a 13-point home loss to Toledo in a game the Broncos dominated) playing on homecoming against downtrodden Idaho, which has to go on the road for the second straight week after losing at god-awful Colorado State last Saturday on a field goal as time expired.
Even though the records show Western Michigan at 1-2 and Idaho at 2-2, I have the Broncos as the higher-rated team in my power rankings. Their two losses have come against teams (Michigan State and Toledo) that are much better than most though coming into the season – and as I mentivned, Western Michigan outplayed Toledo two weeks ago, rolling up 416 yards and allowing just 268, but they were done in by six turnovers (including four picks by QB Alex Carder, who otherwise went 43-for-64 for 403 yards).
Meanwhile, Idaho’s two wins both were at home against Division I-AA North Dakota and UNLV (one of the worst I-A programs in the country) by a combined score of 75-7. In their two road games, the Vandals have fallen to Nebraska 38-17 (the game wasn’t that close, as the Huskers had a 471-279 yardage edge but lost the ball four times) and Colorado State (which had lost its first three games by a combined score of 106-19!).
Going back to last season, Idaho has lost four straight road games (1-3 ATS) while surrendering 70, 63, 38 and 36 points. And since a 21-6 season-opening win at New Mexico State last year, the Vandals’ D has allowed an average of 43.6 ppg in seven roadies. How can a team that plays defense THAT horribly away from home – a team that just lost in heartbreaiking fashion on the road – be laying points … ON THE ROAD? Especially against an opponent that can fling the ball all over the field and score points in a hurry (Western Michigan is averaging 29 ppg and 332 passing ypg)?
Since opening last year as college football spread-covering darling (6-0 ATS), Idaho is just 2-6-1 against the number in lined games. The Vandals have also failed to cash in nine of their last 11 as a road favorite, and they’re 6-20-1 ATS in their last 27 games when coming off a loss. Throw in the fact this is Idaho’s third road game in four weeks, and I’m siding with the motivated and well-rested underdog on homecoming, as the wrong team is favored in this game.
NORTH CAROLINA STATE
Perhaps I’m a little slow to jump on the Wolfpack bandwagon – we’ll see. And I’m aware that we’re not getting the kind of take-back here that we would’ve gotten as recently as two weeks ago (when Virginia Tech would’ve been laying more than a touchdown). But those are the only two reasons this selection isn’t rated higher, because N.C. State had a fantastic September.
After ending last year with a 28-27 upset win over rival North Carolina (as a 5½-point home underdog), the Wolfpack have opened 2010 with four straight wins, with each one being more impressive than the last. They started with a 48-7 home rout of Western Carolina (big whoop), then went to Central Florida and forced five turnovers in a 28-21 victory as a three-point underdog, then came home and ripped Cincinnati 30-19 as a two-point home chalk, then went back on the road last week and shredded a very good Georgia Tech squad 45-28 as an eight-point underdog.
In the victories the last two weeks, North Carolina State outgained Cincinnati (491-385) and Georgia Tech (527-363) by a combined 270 yards. That becomes even more impressive when you consider that Cincinnati nearly upset Oklahoma last week, while Georgia Tech entered this season ranked 16th in the nation.
What I really like about N.C. State has been the balance and consistency. During its five-game winning streak, Tom O’Brien’s squad has scored 28, 48, 28, 30 and 45 points and yielded an average of just 20.4 ppg (and that average would be even lower if not for two garbage touchdowns allowed two weeks ago to Cincinnati). That’s the consiltency part. Here’s the balance: The Wolfpack are averaging 289.2 passing yards per game and 145 rushing yards per game, while the defense is yielding 185.5 ypg through the air and just 125.8 ypg on the ground (3.5 per carry).
Without question, the key to N.C. State’s resurgence has been the maturation of junior QB Russell Wilson, who should be a Heisman candidate right now. In four wins, Wilson has passed for 1,112 yards, 11 TDs and just one INT. And that doesn’t even include a 20-for-27, 259-yard, 4 TD, 0 INT performance in the season-ending victory over North Carolina (which had one of the best defenses in the country last year).
As for Virginia Tech, it has turned things around since season-opening losses to Boise State and James Madison. In fact, the Hokies trailed their third opponent (East Carolina) 27-21 midway through the third quarter two weeks ago and has since outscored East Carolina and Boston College 47-0. But this is a very tough spot for the Hokies, having to go on the road as a favorite for the second straight week and doing so with top running back Ryan Williams (hamstring) at less than 100 percent. And this is a big revenge spot for N.C. State, which got whipped 38-10 at Va-Tech last year as a 21-point underdog (prior to that, seven previous meetings had been decided by a total of 17 points, including one tie).
Both teams have been solid against the number recent – the Hokies are on ATS runs of 7-2 overall, 4-0 as a road favorite and 35-16 in ACC play; N.C. State is on pointspread upticks of 18-7-2 overall (5-0 last five), 4-1 at home, 18-7-1 as a ‘dog and 6-1 as a home pup – but here’s my favorite stat of the week: Wolfpack coach O’Brien is 17-2 ATS in the last 19 times his teams have faced an opponent that’s coming off back-to-back wins – meaning he knows how to knock a foe that’s flying high right back down to earth.
Grab the points with the surging, confident home underdog … and don’t be surprised by an outright upset!
WASHINGTON STATE
How do I back a team that’s got just two wins in its last 27 games against Division I-A competition?
A team that has lost 15 in a row to I-A foes by scores of 27-6, 52-6, 27-14, 49-17, 40-14, 48-7, 43-7, 42-10, 30-0, 65-17, 35-21 and 50-16?
A team that has dropped 13 consecutive road games by an average of 31.8 ppg?
And a team that has lost its last two meetings with today’s opponent by the combined score of 71-10?
Hey, it’s not easy to defend, I’ll grant you that. But let’s not forget that there’s no such thing as a sure thing in this business, and as horrific as Washington State has been since the start of the 2008 season, that doesn’t mean the Cougars can’t rise up and cover an extremely inflated pointspread against an overrated Bruins squad that is in a major flat spot.
Yes, UCLA deserves credit for consecutive blowout wins over Top 25 teams Houston (31-13) and Texas (34-12) – a lot of credit. But don’t lose sight of the fact that Houston’s all-everything QB Case Keenum went into his team’s game against the Bruins having not played the previous week because of a concussion, then suffered a season-ending knee injury in the game (Keenum’s backup later suffered his own season-ending injury against UCLA). And last week, while the Bruins dismantled Texas as a 15½-point ‘dog, it got outgained by 58 yards and threw just nine passes for 27 yards – and the Longhorns were in a big look-ahead spot because of this week’s game against Oklahoma.
UCLA has a totally one-dimensional offense with absolutely ZERO passing attack (the Bruins have passed for 327 TOTAL yards in four games!), and I just don’t see how a team that unbalanced can cover a four-touchdown spread.
Bottom line: No team in college football has posted more fluky wins than UCLA the last three years – and by fluky I mean games where they were outgained by a wide margin and still won. Today, the Bruins can’t rely on “fluky”; they’ll have to have to seriously outplay Washington State for four solid quarters to cover this massive number.
Three final points to make: 1) The last time UCLA was this big of a favorite was in Week 2 of the 2006 season when the Bruins laid 27½ points at home to Rice and struggled in a 26-16 win; 2) Prior to the last two years, Washington State had cashed in seven straight meetings with the Bruins; and 3) UCLA – which has consecutive road games at Cal and Oregon on deck – is just 11-27-1 ATS in its last 39 games against losing teams.
KELSO
10 UNIT* CFB* Notre Dame Fighting Irish -2.5
25 UNIT* CFB* University Texas El Paso Miners (UTEP)-15
5 UNIT* CFB* Alabama Crimson Tide -8
5 UNIT* CFB* Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets -10
5 UNIT* CFB* Kentucky Wildcats +3
5 UNIT* CFB* Michigan State Spartans +1.5
5 UNIT* CFB* Texas Longhorns +2.5
50 UNIT* CFB* Iowa State Cyclones -7
10 UNIT* CFB* Notre Dame Fighting Irish -2.5
25 UNIT* CFB* University Texas El Paso Miners (UTEP)-15
5 UNIT* CFB* Alabama Crimson Tide -8
5 UNIT* CFB* Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets -10
5 UNIT* CFB* Kentucky Wildcats +3
5 UNIT* CFB* Michigan State Spartans +1.5
5 UNIT* CFB* Texas Longhorns +2.5
50 UNIT* CFB* Iowa State Cyclones -7
CAJUN SPORTS
Texas Tech vs. Iowa State (NCAAF) - 7:00 PM EDT Premium Play
Pick: Point Spread: -7/-107 Texas Tech Play Title: Cajuns 5-Star CFB Black Label Marquee 15-0 ATS
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Texas Tech takes to the Big 12 road for a meeting in Ames with the hometown Iowa State Cyclones on Saturday evening. ISU is 4-19 straight up and 6-17 against the spread versus teams from the Big 12 South division. Texas Tech is coming off a bye week after their disappointing performance against the Longhorns losing 24 to 14 at home. Iowa State on the other hand was busy defeating in-state rival Northern Iowa 27 to 0. That win and final score are very misleading because the Cyclones offense only managed 13 points while their defense returned two INT’s for touchdowns including one for 94 yards. Iowa State’s defense forced five turnovers including a fumble at their own one-yard line, held the Panthers on downs at their own twenty-yard line, blocked a Northern Iowa field goal attempt and converted a fake field goal into a touchdown drive. Everything went the Cyclones way against the Panthers last week and they were still outgained 320 yards to 210 yards in total offense. Texas Tech has dominated this series posting a record of 7-1 straight up and 5-1 against the spread. The favorite in this series is a perfect 6-0 against the number winning by an average of twenty-three points per game. The Tech defense has been solid allowing 100 yards rushing per game on 3.1 yards per carry, getting to the QB with twelve sacks, and forcing eleven turnovers to this point in the season. Our situational database looks at teams playing their fourth game of the season and coming off a bye week. The search reveals a powerful angle when teams coming off a bye lost both SU and ATS the previous week, these teams are 30-20 ATS in their next game. If that loss was their first loss of the season, their record improves to 17-5 against the spread in their next game and if they were a favorite of underdog of three or fewer points in their last game their record is a mind boggling 13-1 against the spread. The Red Raiders qualify in each aspect of our bye week angle. A check of the database reveals a league-wide system that tells us from Game 3 on, Play AGAINST a home team (not an underdog of more than 11 points) with five or more days rest before playing Utah and coming off a home game. Playing against these teams has produced a record of 15-0 ATS since 1996 and averages covering the spread by 11.6 points per game. Lay the points with the Red Raiders on Saturday night.
PROJECTED FORECAST: 5* Texas Tech Red Raiders 37 Iowa State Cyclones 20
Texas Tech vs. Iowa State (NCAAF) - 7:00 PM EDT Premium Play
Pick: Point Spread: -7/-107 Texas Tech Play Title: Cajuns 5-Star CFB Black Label Marquee 15-0 ATS
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Texas Tech takes to the Big 12 road for a meeting in Ames with the hometown Iowa State Cyclones on Saturday evening. ISU is 4-19 straight up and 6-17 against the spread versus teams from the Big 12 South division. Texas Tech is coming off a bye week after their disappointing performance against the Longhorns losing 24 to 14 at home. Iowa State on the other hand was busy defeating in-state rival Northern Iowa 27 to 0. That win and final score are very misleading because the Cyclones offense only managed 13 points while their defense returned two INT’s for touchdowns including one for 94 yards. Iowa State’s defense forced five turnovers including a fumble at their own one-yard line, held the Panthers on downs at their own twenty-yard line, blocked a Northern Iowa field goal attempt and converted a fake field goal into a touchdown drive. Everything went the Cyclones way against the Panthers last week and they were still outgained 320 yards to 210 yards in total offense. Texas Tech has dominated this series posting a record of 7-1 straight up and 5-1 against the spread. The favorite in this series is a perfect 6-0 against the number winning by an average of twenty-three points per game. The Tech defense has been solid allowing 100 yards rushing per game on 3.1 yards per carry, getting to the QB with twelve sacks, and forcing eleven turnovers to this point in the season. Our situational database looks at teams playing their fourth game of the season and coming off a bye week. The search reveals a powerful angle when teams coming off a bye lost both SU and ATS the previous week, these teams are 30-20 ATS in their next game. If that loss was their first loss of the season, their record improves to 17-5 against the spread in their next game and if they were a favorite of underdog of three or fewer points in their last game their record is a mind boggling 13-1 against the spread. The Red Raiders qualify in each aspect of our bye week angle. A check of the database reveals a league-wide system that tells us from Game 3 on, Play AGAINST a home team (not an underdog of more than 11 points) with five or more days rest before playing Utah and coming off a home game. Playing against these teams has produced a record of 15-0 ATS since 1996 and averages covering the spread by 11.6 points per game. Lay the points with the Red Raiders on Saturday night.
PROJECTED FORECAST: 5* Texas Tech Red Raiders 37 Iowa State Cyclones 20
3G SPORTS/TONY KARPINSKY
Texas vs. Oklahoma (NCAAF) - 3:30 PM EDT Premium Play
Pick: Point Spread: 3.5/-113 Texas Play Title: 10* College Value Play Game of the Week
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Look for Mack Brown and Texas to be prepared this week after a pathetic showing against UCLA at home last week. Both teams have new QB's but I really like Texas Longhorns QB Garrett Gilbert. Texas expects to get the speedy D.J. Monroe more involved, either in the backfield or as a receiver, and the Texas defense is very tough. I'll take the better defense and QB in this rival and play on TEXAS as a 10* play on Saturday afternoon.
Handicapper: Tony Karpinski
Vanderbilt vs. Connecticut (NCAAF) - 12:00 PM EDT Premium Play
Pick: Point Spread: 7.5/-101 Vanderbilt Play Title: 5*
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Both of these teams remind me of each other as they both look to run the ball first. Both have okay defenses, and just look to not make mistakes and keep the game tight. With that said Vanderbilt is coming off a bye week which is something they did not have a year ago. I think this is huge as they get healthy after some big games in SEC play
Vanderbilt’s defense has not crumbled yet and they are solid against the run so far. Take the points with the SEC team and Vandy to cover the number.
Handicapper: Tony Karpinski
Miami Florida vs. Clemson (NCAAF) - 12:00 PM EDT Premium Play
Pick: Point Spread: 3.5/-117 Clemson Play Title: 4*
Texas vs. Oklahoma (NCAAF) - 3:30 PM EDT Premium Play
Pick: Point Spread: 3.5/-113 Texas Play Title: 10* College Value Play Game of the Week
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Look for Mack Brown and Texas to be prepared this week after a pathetic showing against UCLA at home last week. Both teams have new QB's but I really like Texas Longhorns QB Garrett Gilbert. Texas expects to get the speedy D.J. Monroe more involved, either in the backfield or as a receiver, and the Texas defense is very tough. I'll take the better defense and QB in this rival and play on TEXAS as a 10* play on Saturday afternoon.
Handicapper: Tony Karpinski
Vanderbilt vs. Connecticut (NCAAF) - 12:00 PM EDT Premium Play
Pick: Point Spread: 7.5/-101 Vanderbilt Play Title: 5*
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Both of these teams remind me of each other as they both look to run the ball first. Both have okay defenses, and just look to not make mistakes and keep the game tight. With that said Vanderbilt is coming off a bye week which is something they did not have a year ago. I think this is huge as they get healthy after some big games in SEC play
Vanderbilt’s defense has not crumbled yet and they are solid against the run so far. Take the points with the SEC team and Vandy to cover the number.
Handicapper: Tony Karpinski
Miami Florida vs. Clemson (NCAAF) - 12:00 PM EDT Premium Play
Pick: Point Spread: 3.5/-117 Clemson Play Title: 4*
