Bobby Maxwell
Saturday's winners...
600-Unit College Pac-10 Book Buster - OREGON DUCKS
I’m not quite sure anybody can keep up with Oregon right now. The Ducks play a fast-paced style of offense and they are leading the football subdivision with 57.8 points a game and they’re tied for third in rushing yards and total yards per game. And don’t forget, the Ducks can play some defense too, sitting as the No. 3 defense in the nation allowing just 11 points per game.
When they get going, the offense just starts steamrolling people. The Ducks turned things around in a hurry on Friday with a major boost from the committees. The Ducks trailed 24-14 in the fourth quarter at Arizona State last weekend and rallied back for a 42-31 victory.
The key that makes the Oregon offense move is the play of RB LaMichael James, who is second in the country with 475 rushing yards. He ended up running for 125 yards and a TD against the Cardinal last season and he caught four passes for 89 yards. QB Darron Thomas is grateful for all of James’ hard work as he’s thrown for 822 yards, 10 TDs and 3 INTs.
Over on the other side is Stanford QB Andrew Luck who is up to 912 yards and 11 TD passes. He has looked very good this season against mostly bad opposition. The Ducks haven’t been held to less than 42 points in any game this season and at home in a big one against Stanford, they won’t be held tonight either.
Oregon had a seven-game streak in this series snapped last year, but they have won big the last three games at home against Stanford, and will blow out the Cardinals in this one.
The Ducks have cashed in 16 of their last 21 October games, and they are 5-2 ATS as a home favorite. Oregon has taken six of the last eight against the Cardinals and I’m looking for the Ducks to come together and help me at home with a big winner over Stanford.
100-Unit College Smart Play - GEORGIA BULLDOGS
This is one of those cases that happen in college football where you have to play the average SEC team to beat any other average team from any other conference. The SEC is just so much ahead of the other conferences, that you’ll see the average squad there destroy an average squad from the Big 12 tonight.
Georgia is just 1-3 on the season, but with losses on the road to SEC foes South Carolina and Mississippi State and a tough home loss to Arkansas. All of that without their superstar WR A.J. Green. Well, the suspension is over and Green will be in the lineup tonight in Colorado. He’s going to see the ball a lot and he’s going to make big plays. It’s what he does.
The average team from the Big 12 is Colorado who come in to this one 2-1, but the wins are over lousy squads Colorado State and Hawaii. In their one test that could have showed something, the Buffs went to Cal and got crushed 52-7 as 10 ½-point underdogs.
All-SEC receiver Green will make life easier on the TEs in the Georgia lineup as coverages are rolled to his side of the field. Look for good things down the middle from Aron White and Orson Charles tonight. QB Aaron Murray has already thrown for 879 yards, 5 TDs and just 2 INTs, and getting his primary target back is only going to improve those numbers.
Defensively, the Bulldogs have been very good against the run, allowing just 2.9 yards per carry. Colorado needs offense from the running game because QB Tyler Hansen has been a mystery this season with his 558 yards, four TDs and four INTs.
Georgia comes into this one on ATS surges of 3-1-1 as a road favorite of 3 ½ to 10 points, plus they are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 non-conference tilts. Colorado is on some negative ATS trends, including 1-4 against losing teams, 3-8 after a straight-up win and 2-8 as an underdog of 3 ½ to 10 points.
The Bulldogs have faced the stiffer competition and that will be clearly evident in this one. Lay the chalk and play the road team Bulldogs. Go with Georgia to win this one.