Street Rosenthal
*200 Wyoming +10.5
These two teams are to evenly matched for a 10.5 point spread. Wyoing runs the ball
well, and so does Air Force. However, Wyoming throws the ball a little better.
Here is a fairly complicated system that I have pointing to a Cowboy cover today.
On a Saturday when ANY NCAAF Team played as a -10.0 or more Favorite the last 5
years and with 6 days off and also coming off back to back straight up losses off a
2 game losing streak that team is 0-10. In this case Air Force would be the 0-10
team. Wyoming is 12-1 ATS since 1982 in game 3 or greater and line>10 and opponent
lost their previous game.
*200 Virginia Tech -3
Not many teams are playing better football than Virginia Tech is right now. Take
away that season opening loss to number 2 ranked Alabama and the Hokies are
virtually unblemished. This is going to be a very good game versus to high powered
teams. Lets look at some trends and why I like the Hokies to cover the spread in
this one. Virginia Tech is 11-4 against the spread in their last 15 as a road
favorite and 19-8 against the number in their last 27 road games. On the other side
Ga Tech is 0-8-1 ATS since 1983 in game 7 and when an opponent scored more than 35
points in their previous game. Ga Tech is also 1-9-1 ATS since 1980 in game 7 and
when their opponents previous margin of victory was greater than 7. Ga Tech is
2-12-1 ATS since 1980 in game 7 and when their opponents previous game was at home.
Take the Hokies today for the cover!
*200 California -3
The biggest battle in this game will be UCLA's offensive line versus California's
defensive line. This is a must win game for both teams today. I see a more
seasoned Cal team stepping up to the challenge today. Here are some trends that
favor my selection.
When ANY NCAAF Team played on the Road as a Favorite, and after a division game,
plus playing on Saturday and coming off 2 unders versus an opponent with a 51% to
60% winning percentage that team is 14-0 straight up. When I applied this somewhat
complicated system to California I found them to be 11-3 under this system. UCLA 0-7
ATS since 1992 in game 6 and when previous game they were a dog.
*300 Notre Dame +10
Jimmy Clausen has grown up in a hurry, and as much as I can't stand this quarterback
he has proved himself an asset. More is on the line today than just a Notre Dame;
Jobs, Heisman dreams and a Fighting Irish legacy. Notre Dame is 9-0 ATS in game 6
and line less than -10 and opponents previous ATS margin greater than 2. Notre Dame
is 15-2 ATS since 1984 in game 6 and opponent scored more than 25 points in their
previous game. This will be a hard fought battle, but look for Notre Dame to keep
it close and cover this spread. Take the Irish for the cover.
*300 Oklahoma +3
This will be one of the best on the tube today. Texas coming into this game is 1-4
against the spread. The battle saturday will be won when a quarterback can figure
out how to manipulate one of these defenses. These defenses rank 1-2 in the
conference, with the Longhorns allowing just 23 yards less per game than Oklahoma.
Texas has put the stop on opposing pass attacks, giving up under 187 passing yards
per game. Texas however has yet to see an offense this season like Oklahoma. The
reason I like this play is because the public is on Texas today, and while the line
remains stagnant the juice at some books indicate that they want more money on
Texas. Take Oklahoma today and walk away with a winner!
*500 Wisconsin -2
The Hawkeyes are 6-0 and riding into Wisconsin with high hopes for a perfect season.
So why is this line going against the public? Why is a higher ranked team laying
points? I smell saturdays first upset of the day and that is why I am making the
Badgers my biggest play of the day! Here are some trends that point to a Badger
cover today. When a Wisconsin team played at Home as a Favorite in the last 5 years
they are 27-1 straight up. When a Wisconsin team played at Home as a Favorite in
the last 5 years and it was during Week 4 to 8 they are 10-0 straight up. I really
like the Badgers to pull off the upset today and cover this low spread.
*200 Chicago Blackhawks -175
I am taking the Blackhawks over the Stars on Saturday. I have the Blackhawks as
9-1 SU last 10 games on Saturday and Stars as 2-8 last 10 games on Saturday. Take
the Blackhawks for the win.
*200 Buffalo Sabres Over 6
I am taking the Sabres vs the Thrashers over the total on Saturday. I have the
Sabres as 6-4 Over on Saturday and Home and the Thrashers as 7-2-1 Over their last
10 games on Saturday. I also have the Thrashers and Sabres as 7-2-1 Over their last
10 games they played each other. Take the over for the win.