al demarco
Saturday's Pick 10 Dime - Auburn
Auburn looks to rebound after a pathetic performance in a 44-23 loss at Arkansas last Saturday that dropped the Tigers from the ranks of the unbeaten. Their defense, not the greatest to begin with, was shredded for 495 yards by the Razorbacks in a game that was even more one-sided than the final score indicated. But the SEC schedule-makers have given Auburn a favorable opponent to rebound against as injury-riddled Kentucky comes to town.
The Wildcats are coming off a heart-breaking -- and costly -- loss to South Carolina, 28-26, a game in which starting quarterback Mike Hartline suffered a knee injury. That means either untested junior Will Fidler, who completed 2-of-8 passes against the Gamecocks for 16 yards (5-for-13 on the season), or true freshman Morgan Newton, whom Kentucky planned to redshirt, will get the starting nod against Auburn.
Auburn's defense leaves much to be desired, but Kentucky does not have the talent to exploit those flaws. The same cannot be said about the Wildcat D, a unit that is the SEC's worst against the run, allowing 178 yards per game, including 362 to Florida and 204 to Alabama. The 'Cats will be hard-pressed to stop the Tiger backfield duo of Ben Tate (724 yards, 6.1 ypc) and Onterio McCalebb (439 yards, 6.0 ypc).
The Tigers can also attack through the air as QB Chris Todd is averaging 227 yards per game with 12 TDs thanks to excellent protection that's resulted in him being sacked just five times on the season. Todd will face a banged-up Kentucky secondary missing All-America cornerback Trevard Lindley.
Although this is the first meeting between these two since 2005, this has been a one-sided series dominated by Auburn as the Tigers have won the last 15 match-ups straight-up, a streak that dates back to 1966. The Tigers have also covered five of the last six clashes.
Auburn is 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS at home this season with the only pointspread setback coming in a 54-30 rout of Ball State when the Tigers were laying 30' points in non-conference tilt played one week after a big second-half rally secured a 41-30 win and cover as a 7-point home chalk against West Virginia.
Saturday's Pick 10 Dime - Auburn
Auburn looks to rebound after a pathetic performance in a 44-23 loss at Arkansas last Saturday that dropped the Tigers from the ranks of the unbeaten. Their defense, not the greatest to begin with, was shredded for 495 yards by the Razorbacks in a game that was even more one-sided than the final score indicated. But the SEC schedule-makers have given Auburn a favorable opponent to rebound against as injury-riddled Kentucky comes to town.
The Wildcats are coming off a heart-breaking -- and costly -- loss to South Carolina, 28-26, a game in which starting quarterback Mike Hartline suffered a knee injury. That means either untested junior Will Fidler, who completed 2-of-8 passes against the Gamecocks for 16 yards (5-for-13 on the season), or true freshman Morgan Newton, whom Kentucky planned to redshirt, will get the starting nod against Auburn.
Auburn's defense leaves much to be desired, but Kentucky does not have the talent to exploit those flaws. The same cannot be said about the Wildcat D, a unit that is the SEC's worst against the run, allowing 178 yards per game, including 362 to Florida and 204 to Alabama. The 'Cats will be hard-pressed to stop the Tiger backfield duo of Ben Tate (724 yards, 6.1 ypc) and Onterio McCalebb (439 yards, 6.0 ypc).
The Tigers can also attack through the air as QB Chris Todd is averaging 227 yards per game with 12 TDs thanks to excellent protection that's resulted in him being sacked just five times on the season. Todd will face a banged-up Kentucky secondary missing All-America cornerback Trevard Lindley.
Although this is the first meeting between these two since 2005, this has been a one-sided series dominated by Auburn as the Tigers have won the last 15 match-ups straight-up, a streak that dates back to 1966. The Tigers have also covered five of the last six clashes.
Auburn is 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS at home this season with the only pointspread setback coming in a 54-30 rout of Ball State when the Tigers were laying 30' points in non-conference tilt played one week after a big second-half rally secured a 41-30 win and cover as a 7-point home chalk against West Virginia.
the canadian prophet
2009-10-17
STRONG PICK 1*: Dallas/Chicago OVER 5.5
Dallas has been scoring on the road (4 avg), but giving up as many. Chicago has been scoring at home (4.7 avg) and giving up alot too. Now Turco played last night and Dallas got no bounces. So I see some opportunity here to take advantage of a o/u line that should be 6. A few stats-- The Over is 7-0 in Blackhawks last 7 home games, the head to head Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings and the Over is 4-0 in Stars last 4 road games.
2009-10-17
STRONG PICK 1*: Boston Bruins +105
I bet all of you reading this expected the Bruins to come out top 3 starting this season, especially with that homestand... right? Well it didn't happen. If the team is beginning to gel, we will see the evidence of that tonight in Phoenix. The Yotes are a much better team this year, but they seem to let up on these Saturday night home games (PHOENIX is 9-24 ATS (-16.4 Units) in home games on Saturday games over the last 3 seasons). PHOENIX is also 2-12 ATS (+16.2 Units) after a 2 game unbeaten streak over the last 2 seasons. I saw a wave coming yesterday and I caught it (B's vs Dallas). I intend to stay on for the ride
2009-10-17
STRONG PICK 1*: Dallas/Chicago OVER 5.5
Dallas has been scoring on the road (4 avg), but giving up as many. Chicago has been scoring at home (4.7 avg) and giving up alot too. Now Turco played last night and Dallas got no bounces. So I see some opportunity here to take advantage of a o/u line that should be 6. A few stats-- The Over is 7-0 in Blackhawks last 7 home games, the head to head Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings and the Over is 4-0 in Stars last 4 road games.
2009-10-17
STRONG PICK 1*: Boston Bruins +105
I bet all of you reading this expected the Bruins to come out top 3 starting this season, especially with that homestand... right? Well it didn't happen. If the team is beginning to gel, we will see the evidence of that tonight in Phoenix. The Yotes are a much better team this year, but they seem to let up on these Saturday night home games (PHOENIX is 9-24 ATS (-16.4 Units) in home games on Saturday games over the last 3 seasons). PHOENIX is also 2-12 ATS (+16.2 Units) after a 2 game unbeaten streak over the last 2 seasons. I saw a wave coming yesterday and I caught it (B's vs Dallas). I intend to stay on for the ride
