Dr. Bob - Opinions only !
Opinion - ARKANSAS LITTLE ROCK (-7 ½) over Georgia State
04:00 PM Pacific, Rotation: 606
Arkansas Little Rock is 18-2 with both losses coming on the road and my ratings favor the Trojans by 10 points against a struggling Georgia State team that’s lost 3 of their last 4 games and are just 6-10 ATS for the season (0-4 ATS recently). I’d have played this game as a Best Bet if not for a 77-32-2 ATS bounce-back situation that favors Georgia State. The line value favoring UALR is more significant than the situation favoring Georgia State so I’ll lean with Little Rock minus the points.
Opinion – St. Mary’s (-11 ½) over PACIFIC
08:00 PM Pacific, Rotation: 669
Pacific is improved since leading scorer Alec Kobre joined the team after missing the first 6 games and St. Mary’s is no longer the most underrated team in the nation (they started the season 12-0 ATS). However, St. Mary’s is 56-30-3 ATS as a road favorite in Randy Bennett’s tenure as head coach and the Gaels tend to beat the teams that they are supposed to beat. In fact. St. Mary’s is now 75-28-2 ATS under Bennett if favored by 12 points or less against a team with a win percentage of less than .550. My ratings favor the Gaels by 12 ½ points, so there is still some line value, and I’ll lean with the Gaels at -12 or less based on the team trends.
Opinion - ARKANSAS LITTLE ROCK (-7 ½) over Georgia State
04:00 PM Pacific, Rotation: 606
Arkansas Little Rock is 18-2 with both losses coming on the road and my ratings favor the Trojans by 10 points against a struggling Georgia State team that’s lost 3 of their last 4 games and are just 6-10 ATS for the season (0-4 ATS recently). I’d have played this game as a Best Bet if not for a 77-32-2 ATS bounce-back situation that favors Georgia State. The line value favoring UALR is more significant than the situation favoring Georgia State so I’ll lean with Little Rock minus the points.
Opinion – St. Mary’s (-11 ½) over PACIFIC
08:00 PM Pacific, Rotation: 669
Pacific is improved since leading scorer Alec Kobre joined the team after missing the first 6 games and St. Mary’s is no longer the most underrated team in the nation (they started the season 12-0 ATS). However, St. Mary’s is 56-30-3 ATS as a road favorite in Randy Bennett’s tenure as head coach and the Gaels tend to beat the teams that they are supposed to beat. In fact. St. Mary’s is now 75-28-2 ATS under Bennett if favored by 12 points or less against a team with a win percentage of less than .550. My ratings favor the Gaels by 12 ½ points, so there is still some line value, and I’ll lean with the Gaels at -12 or less based on the team trends.
