Service Plays Saturday 1/30/10

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Craig Davis
Craig Davis Saturday's Lineup
80 Dime – GEORGETOWN

10 Dime – MAVERICKS

GEORGETOWN --- One of the biggest reasons I backed Syracuse as a 25-dime winner Monday over Georgetown is because I truly believed, even though it was a rivalry game, the Hoyas were looking ahead to this game. Seriously, think about it... why else would bad teams beat good teams, or at least come pretty darn close to doing so? We're talking about 18-22 year old kids who can't possibly be expected to "get pumped" about all 30 (or so) games that they play during the regular season. Are you telling me Michigan State is only 7 points better than Iowa? I mean, Vegas had the Spartans listed as a 22-point favorite, so they know how much better they are. So why only a seven-point win? Or why did Kentucky just lose to a very average South Carolina team when it's perfectly clear they are far better. Lack of motivation, lack of defense, etc. It's easy for great players to "take it easy" once in a while, especially when they are playing bad teams or if they have their minds focused on an upcoming game.

For Michigan State, they just didn't take Iowa seriously that night. Kentucky got caught looking ahead and I also think they didn't take South Carolina as seriously as they probably should have. The same goes for Georgetown. Despite being a rival of Syracuse, they still have bitter feelings towards Duke from last year's debacle in Durham and I can guarantee you these kids have circled this rematch with the Blue Devils as soon as they got back home last year. Did they want to beat Syracuse? Sure they did. Did they give their best effort? Absolutely not... and they'll prove it the next time these two hook up in D.C. In the meantime, the Hoyas have a score to settle with the Dukies, and they're going to take care of business this afternoon in the nation's capitol in front of a sellout crowd that includes President Barack Obama.

Today's matchup between these two ranked teams is the final game of a four-game contract between the two schools that was made-for-TV... it gives the networks the ability to pick and choose the year and venue of each game. It first started in January of 2006 when the Hoyas hosted the then-#1 Blue Devils and knocked them from their perch, 87-84. The next two games took place in Durham, North Carolina and Duke proceeded to win both of those by 9. So, Duke has won both of their home games while the Hoyas won their home game, but Duke hasn't covered a single game in the first three of this four-game contract and I don't see that changing today. Duke earned a "push" last year at home when, in fact, Georgetown should have covered their third straight in this series. Remember, at a key stretch in the second half Georgetown F Greg Monroe was called for a ridiculous technical foul while he was on the bench. Even a year after the fact Monroe and HC John Thompson is still baffled as to why the refs decided to "T him up". The conclusion was that a rabid Georgetown fan behind the Hoyas bench was badgering the official and he assumed it was Monroe. The tech was called, the free throws were made, Duke got the ball back and hit a three. Game, set, match.

You can't tell me that sequence of events doesn't fire this team up. They want this game in the worst way... and if for nothing else to get them fired up for a home date (and rematch) with Villanova next weekend. Today's game is the first of a three-game homestand --- three very key games that, if they can go 3-0, would set them up nicely for a run at the Big East title. At home the Hoyas have dropped just one game SU, a 61-57 loss to Old Dominion in which they took the Monarchs too lightly in the first half and fell behind by 11 at the break. Since then they have been perfect in D.C. and I don't see that stopping today. Meanwhile, Duke has lived off their home crowd long enough (12-0 at home)... it's time for them to get back on the highway and take their medicine. The Blue Devils are a putrid 1-3 SU away from Cameron Indoor, dropping some ugly games to NC State, Georgia Tech and at Wisconsin. When they don't have the Cameron Crazies behind them to intimidate the opponent, they aren't nearly as tough to rattle.

Last year's matchup saw these two teams post nearly identical numbers, but Duke converted on three more three-point attempts which, ironically, was the difference in the game (9 points). Kyle Singler and Jon Scheyer really struggled in that game, and if it weren't for Gerald Henderson hitting 10 of 15 shots from the field, Georgetown would have walked out of Durham with a win. Guess what... Duke doesn't have Henderson this year and I'm not sure if Duke has one player they can count on as the "go to guy" when the game is on the line like they did last year. I'm counting on the Hoyas winning this game with defense, three-point shooting and rebounding. Hoyas win by 7.

DALLAS MAVS --- This line is a little fishy to me as I'm not sure if the Mavs, who haven't played their best basketball recently, should be favored by this many points over anyone at home right now. And that's exactly why I like them. Dallas has been atrocious ATS at home this year, yet Vegas feels like they need to list the Mavs as nearly a double-digit favorite? That's crazy. And I believe they are begging us to take the underdog in this situation, but I'm not buying it. Portland will be without Brandon Roy for yet another game tonight... a game that will be Portland's second straight and 6th in their last 8 days. Portland dropped another heartbreaker last night in Houston and now they're expected to go back on the road and gather the troops for a meeting against a very angry Dallas team? This just isn't a good spot for Portland who just simply wants to get back home. Dallas, meanwhile, had basically dominated for three quarters against the Suns Thursday night, but completely fell apart in the fourth quarter and dropped a 112-106 decision. While they were busy losing, their competition was winning and gaining ground in the West. I won't say this is a must win for the Mavs, but they want to get some confidence back before the All-Star break. I'm calling for a double digit win at home tonight as Portland just won't have enough left in the tank on this road trip. Mavs roll.



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Karl Garrett
Karl Garrett 40 DIMER - KANSAS JAYHAWKS....10 DIMER - VANDERBILT COMMODORES 40 DIMER - KANSAS JAYHAWKS

Since the Jayhawks got knocked from the # 1 spot in the land, Bill Self's team has come back to win 5 straight games. KU has covered their last pair of wins, and 3 of their last 4 games overall.

They catch the Wildcats off a close one at Baylor, a game in which the 'Cats were able to win. Kansas State is a young team on the rise, and their upset of then # 1 Texas on their home court earlier this month was their "signature" win of the year.

I don't think they will be able to knock off Kansas today, even in Manhattan, as the Jayhawks have been able to win and cover the last 3 series meetings, and Rock Chalk has also won 7 of the last 8 meetings, going 6-2 against the spread.

I will lay the short road wood with the Jayhawks, as I have a feeling the Baylor win the other night will have K-State a tad drained come crunch time.

10 DIMER - VANDERBILT COMMODORES

You knew the way the young Wildcats were playing them, that they would eventually get bit, and get bit they did at South Carolina this week.

Coach Cal has stated he has no idea how his team will play in this game, and while they should be able to notch the outright, Vanderbilt has the size to give Kentucky some trouble today at Rupp Arena.

Vanderbilt is riding a 10 game winning streak as they come into Lexington, and the 'Dores are also on a 7-1 spread run their last 8 lined games.

Kentucky is 5-6 against the spread at home, and while they should bounce-back today, it is important to note that the Commodores have gone toe-to-toe with Kentucky of late, as the season series is 2-2 split the last 4, and Vandy does own a 6-2 straight up mark the last 8 meetings.

Don't forget DeMarcus Cousins could be spending some time on the bench with disciplinary problems as well.

Take the points.



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HIGHEST-RATED HOOPS OF THE SEASON



Jeff Benton
Saturday's Winners ... 40 Dime: WASHINGTON (minus the points vs. Washington State)

10 Dime: BLAZERS (plus the points vs. Mavericks)


Washington

This play should NOT surprise you if you’ve been following me for the last 10 days. I told you a week ago today when I backed USC as a two-point home favorite against Washington that I figured the Huskies out. You go against them when they’re on the road (now 0-6 SU and ATS) and you back them at home (13-1 SU).

In their last three home games, the Huskies have crushed Pac-10 foes Stanford (94-61) and Cal (84-69), easily covering in both games, and then they stepped out of conference on Tuesday and whipped Seattle 123-76. (Seattle’s no slouch, either, as the Redhawks scored road wins at Utah and at Oregon State, plus a home win over Fresno State).

At home, Washington State averages 86.9 points, shoots 45.2 percent from the field and has an average rebounding edge of 8.4 boards per game (37.8-29.4). By comparison, in their four Pac-10 road losses, Washington has scored 61, 61, 70 and 51 points (60.8 ppg); shot 76-for-215 from the field, good for 35.3 percent; and has a minus-25 rebounding differential! Digest those stark contrasts – I can’t remember the last time I saw home-road splits like that in college basketball!

Not only that, but look at Washington State’s statistics on the road: The Cougars manage just 65.2 ppg and give up 73.5 ppg, and they get outshot by an eye-popping 47.4 percent to 41.5 percent margin, including 38.8 percent to 32.9 percent from 3-point land!

Now, obviously, this is a rivalry game and that element has to be factored into this game. But really, there’s no comparing the talent level of Washington and Washington State. The Huskies were picked my pretty much everyone to challenge Cal for the Pac-10 title, while the Cougars were pegged for the middle of the pack (at best). And while Washington has had its struggles this year (on the road, of course), the Cougars are just 4-4 SU and 2-6 ATS in league play; in fact, they’ve failed to cover in seven of their last nine games.

If you take away a 65-60 home win over Oregon State (and Oregon State is easily the worst team in the league) and a 67-60 win at USC (the Trojans have no offensive firepower), here are the point totals Washington State has surrendered in its other Pac-10 games: 91, 76, 71, 93, 70 and 74. You can’t play that kind of defense and expect to hang with a Washington squad that lights up the scoreboard at home.

Last year, the Huskies swept the season series from Wazu, winning 68-48 on the road and 67-60 at home, and the talent gap between these rivals was much narrower than it is this year. Lay the chalk and watch Washington roll by at least 15 points!


Blazers

I know Portland is going to be without All-Star point guard Brandon Roy once again. I know Portland is on the second game of a back-to-back situation (after last night’s narrow loss at the Rockets. I know this is Portland’s sixth game since last Friday (and four of those have been on the road). Doesn’t matter. If you’re going to give me THIS many points in a game at Dallas, I’m taking them.

Why? Because as I told you earlier this week when I used a 20 Dime play on the Bucks +6½ points at Dallas (108-107 final), the Mavericks just can’t cover pointspreads at home. They’ve now cashed just one ticket in their last 16 home games (and that was a 102-95 victory over the Cavaliers as a 3½-point UNDERDOG!). You have to back to Nov. 18 for the last time the Mavericks covered as a home favorite (a 99-94 overtime win against the Spurs as a three-point chalk). In fact, that win capped a 4-0 ATS run at home for the Mavericks; since then, again 1-15 ATS at home, including 0-15 ATS as a favorite!

As tough a spot as the Blazers are in (sixth game in eight days), Dallas is in an equally tough spot. Going back to Jan. 17, Portland has played seven games in seven different cities, and the fatigue finally caught up with them Thursday at Phoenix, as they lost 112-106 as a two-point road underdog, getting outgained 28-16 in the decisive fourth quarter (after scoring 34, 25 and 31 points in the first three quarters).

As for the Blazers, they’re a .500 road team SU (not bad in the NBA), and they’ve cashed in seven of their last nine on the road. That includes last night’s spread-cover in Houston, and it includes an 85-81 victory at Dallas a month ago as a 5½-point underdog. True, Roy had a big hand in that win (team-high 23 points), but it was Portland’s length on defense that gave the Mavericks fits (Dirk Nowitizki with 27 points and point guard Jose Barea with 22 scored 49 of the Mavs’ 81 points, and take away their 19-for-29 shooting effort, and the rest of the Mavs were a combined 12-for-51!).

Finally, in addition to Dallas’ aforementioned struggles at home, the Mavericks are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 overall, 7-20 ATS in their last 27 games as a favorite and 0-12 ATS in their last 11 when laying big points (between 5 and 10½ points). Meanwhile, the Blazers are 6-2 ATS in their last eight as a road underdog and this young, energetic squad has cashed in 11 of its last 14 games when playing the second night of a back-to-back. Also, the underdog is on a 4-1 ATS roll when these teams meet!



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CHRIS JORDAN
Saturday's Winners...

BIG WEST GAME OF THE YEAR

2,000♦ PACIFIC TIGERS

~plus~

500♦ CHARLOTTE BOBCATS
 

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axiumsports

January 30th 2009

*-Weekly System Picks. Please follow the system and do not increase your starting bet until you at least triple your account. -*

Current Bankroll=$3,942.80

Pick #14-NCAAB-Louisville +7 OVER West Virginia -105

Pick #15-NCAAB-Florida State +1 OVER Boston College -103

Pick #16-NCAAB-Georgia/South Carolina UNDER 139 -108


Can someone explain this system.
 
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NCAAB DUNKEL


Duke at Georgetown
The Hoyas look to bounce back from their 73-56 loss to Syracuse and build on their 5-1 ATS record following an ATS loss. Georgetown is the pick (+2) according to Dunkel, which has the Hoyas favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Georgetown (+2). Here are all of today's early games.

SATURDAY, JANUARY 30

Game 513-514: LaSalle at Temple
Dunkel Ratings: LaSalle 55.972; Temple 70.492
Dunkel Line: Temple by 14 1/2
Vegas Line: Temple by 11 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Temple (-11 1/2)

Game 515-516: James Madison at George Mason
Dunkel Ratings: James Madison 51.372; George Mason 59.450
Dunkel Line: George Mason by 8
Vegas Line: George Mason by 9
Dunkel Pick: James Madison (+9)

Game 517-518: Marquette at Connecticut
Dunkel Ratings: Marquette 68.790; Connecticut 74.792
Dunkel Line: Connecticut by 6
Vegas Line: Connecticut by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Connecticut (-5 1/2)

Game 519-520: Louisville at West Virginia
Dunkel Ratings: Louisville 69.436; West Virginia 75.925
Dunkel Line: West Virginia by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: West Virginia by 7
Dunkel Pick: Louisville (+7)

Game 521-522: Eastern Michigan at Miami (OH)
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Michigan 49.134; Miami (OH) 57.763
Dunkel Line: Miami (OH) by 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Miami (OH) by 9
Dunkel Pick: Eastern Michigan (+9)

Game 523-524: George Washington at Rhode Island
Dunkel Ratings: George Washington 55.729; Rhode Island 67.472
Dunkel Line: Rhode Island by 11 1/2
Vegas Line: Rhode Island by 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Rhode Island (-10 1/2)

Game 525-526: Duke at Georgetown
Dunkel Ratings: Duke 76.125; Georgetown 76.897
Dunkel Line: Georgetown by 1
Vegas Line: Duke by 2
Dunkel Pick: Georgetown (+2)

Game 527-528: Oklahoma at Nebraska
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma 63.415; Nebraska 65.222
Dunkel Line: Nebraska by 2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 529-530: LSU at Mississippi State
Dunkel Ratings: LSU 56.120; Mississippi State 68.237
Dunkel Line: Mississippi State by 12
Vegas Line: Mississippi State by 13 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LSU (+13 1/2)

Game 531-532: Oklahoma State at Missouri
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma State 68.595; Missouri 74.476
Dunkel Line: Missouri by 6
Vegas Line: Missouri by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma State (+7 1/2)

Game 533-534: Western Michigan at Kent State
Dunkel Ratings: Western Michigan 51.926; Kent State 66.341
Dunkel Line: Kent State by 14 1/2
Vegas Line: Kent State by 10
Dunkel Pick: Kent State (-10)

Game 535-536: Buffalo at Northern Illinois
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 58.839; Northern Illinois 53.477
Dunkel Line: Buffalo by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: Buffalo by 1
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (-1)

Game 537-538: St. Louis at Richmond
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 57.466; Richmond 65.710
Dunkel Line: Richmond by 8
Vegas Line: Richmond by 7
Dunkel Pick: Richmond (-7)

Game 539-540: Loyola-Chicago at Wright State
Dunkel Ratings: Loyola-Chicago 49.975; Wright State 66.007
Dunkel Line: Wright State by 16
Vegas Line: Wright State by 16 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Loyola-Chicago (+16 1/2)

Game 541-542: Indiana at Illinois
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 56.040; Illinois 70.418
Dunkel Line: Illinois by 14 1/2
Vegas Line: Illinois by 12
Dunkel Pick: Illinois (-12)

Game 543-544: Syracuse at DePaul
Dunkel Ratings: Syracuse 74.292; DePaul 57.464
Dunkel Line: Syracuse by 17
Vegas Line: Syracuse by 16 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Syracuse (-16 1/2)

Game 545-546: Memphis at SMU
Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 66.469; SMU 58.188
Dunkel Line: Memphis by 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Memphis by 8
Dunkel Pick: Memphis (-8)

Game 547-548: Northern Iowa at Missouri State
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Iowa 65.845; Missouri State 61.435
Dunkel Line: Northern Iowa by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: Northern Iowa by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Northern Iowa (-1 1/2)

Game 549-550: Florida State at Boston College
Dunkel Ratings: Florida State 66.476; Boston College 68.493
Dunkel Line: Boston College by 2
Vegas Line: Boston College by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston College (-1 1/2)

Game 551-552: Washington State at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: Washington State 61.783; Washington 72.270
Dunkel Line: Washington by 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Washington by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-7 1/2)

Game 553-554: Wyoming at Air Force
Dunkel Ratings: Wyoming 56.141; Air Force 53.981
Dunkel Line: Wyoming by 3
Vegas Line: Wyoming by 1
Dunkel Pick: Wyoming (-1)

Game 555-556: Vanderbilt at Kentucky
Dunkel Ratings: Vanderbilt 69.380; Kentucky 79.225
Dunkel Line: Kentucky by 10
Vegas Line: Kentucky by 9
Dunkel Pick: Kentucky (-9)

Game 557-558: Arkansas at Mississippi
Dunkel Ratings: Arkansas 59.196; Mississippi 71.981
Dunkel Line: Mississippi by 13
Vegas Line: Mississippi by 11 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Mississippi (-11 1/2)

Game 559-560: Alabama at Auburn
Dunkel Ratings: Alabama 61.800; Auburn 63.217
Dunkel Line: Auburn by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: Alabama by 1
Dunkel Pick: Auburn (+1)

Game 561-562: Illinois-Chicago at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: Illinois-Chicago 49.031; Detroit 61.822
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 13
Vegas Line: Detroit by 14
Dunkel Pick: Illinois-Chicago (+14)

Game 563-564: Baylor at Texas
Dunkel Ratings: Baylor 69.510; Texas 79.278
Dunkel Line: Texas by 10
Vegas Line: Texas by 9
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-9)

Game 565-566: Stanford at Arizona State
Dunkel Ratings: Stanford 60.722; Arizona State 68.047
Dunkel Line: Arizona State by 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Arizona State by 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Stanford (+10 1/2)

Game 567-568: New Orleans at Western Kentucky
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 41.526; Western Kentucky 59.635
Dunkel Line: Western Kentucky by 18
Vegas Line: Western Kentucky by 17
Dunkel Pick: Western Kentucky (-17)

Game 569-570: Youngstown State at Cleveland State
Dunkel Ratings: Youngstown State 48.650; Cleveland State 58.238
Dunkel Line: Cleveland State by 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Cleveland State by 10
Dunkel Pick: Youngstown State (+10)

Game 571-572: Old Dominion at Northeastern
Dunkel Ratings: Old Dominion 65.982; Northeastern 64.643
Dunkel Line: Old Dominion by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: Pick
Dunkel Pick: Old Dominion

Game 573-574: Delaware at Hofstra
Dunkel Ratings: Delaware 48.797; Hofstra 60.646
Dunkel Line: Hofstra by 12
Vegas Line: Hofstra by 11 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Hofstra (-11 1/2)

Game 575-576: Iowa at Michigan
Dunkel Ratings: Iowa 56.322; Michigan 70.128
Dunkel Line: Michigan by 14
Vegas Line: Michigan by 13
Dunkel Pick: Michigan (-13)

Game 577-578: Tulsa at Central Florida
Dunkel Ratings: Tulsa 61.710; Central Florida 60.605
Dunkel Line: Tulsa by 1
Vegas Line: Tulsa by 6
Dunkel Pick: Central Florida (+6)

Game 579-580: UL-Lafayette at UL-Monroe
Dunkel Ratings: UL-Lafayette 51.616; UL-Monroe 48.990
Dunkel Line: UL-Lafayette by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: UL-Lafayette by 3
Dunkel Pick: UL-Monroe (+3)

Game 581-582: Bradley at Illinois State
Dunkel Ratings: Bradley 57.653; Illinois State 64.362
Dunkel Line: Illinois State by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Illinois State by 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Bradley (+8 1/2)

Game 583-584: Marshall at Houston
Dunkel Ratings: Marshall 61.572; Houston 62.984
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: Houston by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Marshall (+3 1/2)

Game 585-586: Towson at NC Wilmington
Dunkel Ratings: Towson 45.386; NC Wilmington 53.016
Dunkel Line: NC Wilmington by 7 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 587-588: Charlotte at Massachusetts
Dunkel Ratings: Charlotte 58.628; Massachusetts 58.084
Dunkel Line: Charlotte by 1
Vegas Line: Charlotte by 3
Dunkel Pick: Massachusetts (+3)

Game 589-590: Notre Dame at Rutgers
Dunkel Ratings: Notre Dame 63.507; Rutgers 58.056
Dunkel Line: Notre Dame by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: Notre Dame by 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Rutgers (+6 1/2)

Game 591-592: San Diego State at Colorado State
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego State 61.713; Colorado State 58.310
Dunkel Line: San Diego State by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: San Diego State by 4
Dunkel Pick: Colorado State (+4)

Game 593-594: New Mexico at TCU
Dunkel Ratings: New Mexico 66.854; TCU 57.489
Dunkel Line: New Mexico by 9 1/2
Vegas Line: New Mexico by 7
Dunkel Pick: New Mexico (-7)

Game 595-596: USC at Oregon
Dunkel Ratings: USC 64.735; Oregon 61.487
Dunkel Line: USC by 3
Vegas Line: USC by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: USC (-1 1/2)

Game 597-598: Georgia at South Carolina
Dunkel Ratings: Georgia 60.759; South Carolina 68.964
Dunkel Line: South Carolina by 8
Vegas Line: South Carolina by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: South Carolina (-7 1/2)

Game 599-600: Florida International at Florida Atlantic
Dunkel Ratings: Florida International 46.965; Florida Atlantic 55.978
Dunkel Line: Florida Atlantic by 9
Vegas Line: Florida Atlantic by 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida International (+10 1/2)

Game 601-602: UC Davis at Long Beach State
Dunkel Ratings: UC-Davis 47.771; Long Beach State 53.500
Dunkel Line: Long Beach State by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: Long Beach State by 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UC Davis (+8 1/2)

Game 603-604: Rice at East Carolina
Dunkel Ratings: Rice 48.742; East Carolina 52.339
Dunkel Line: East Carolina by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: East Carolina by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Rice (+4 1/2)

Game 605-606: Northwestern at Michigan State
Dunkel Ratings: Northwestern 64.833; Michigan State 78.806
Dunkel Line: Michigan State by 14
Vegas Line: Michigan State by 13
Dunkel Pick: Michigan State (-13)

Game 607-608: Drexel at William & Mary
Dunkel Ratings: Drexel 59.834; William & Mary 61.248
Dunkel Line: William & Mary by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: William & Mary by 5
Dunkel Pick: Drexel (+5)

Game 609-610: Toledo at Akron
Dunkel Ratings: Toledo 39.933; Akron 62.337
Dunkel Line: Akron by 22 1/2
Vegas Line: Akron by 24 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toledo (+24 1/2)

Game 611-612: Central Michigan at Bowling Green
Dunkel Ratings: Central Michigan 51.336; Bowling Green 57.086
Dunkel Line: Bowling Green by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: Bowling Green by 5
Dunkel Pick: Bowling Green (-5)

Game 613-614: Harvard at Cornell
Dunkel Ratings: Harvard 61.189; Cornell 67.277
Dunkel Line: Cornell by 6
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 615-616: Pennsylvania at Brown
Dunkel Ratings: Pennsylvania 39.991; Brown 47.430
Dunkel Line: Brown by 7 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 617-618: Princeton at Yale
Dunkel Ratings: Princeton 53.104; Yale 48.220
Dunkel Line: Princeton by 5
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 619-620: Dartmouth at Columbia
Dunkel Ratings: Dartmouth 41.116; Columbia 46.117
Dunkel Line: Columbia by 5
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 621-622: Dayton at St. Bonaventure
Dunkel Ratings: Dayton 62.355; St. Bonaventure 58.164
Dunkel Line: Dayton by 4
Vegas Line: Dayton by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Bonaventure (+4 1/2)

Game 623-624: Kansas at Kansas State
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas 80.183; Kansas State 75.788
Dunkel Line: Kansas by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: Kansas by 4
Dunkel Pick: Kansas (-4)

Game 625-626: Georgia State at VCU
Dunkel Ratings: Georgia State 51.410; VCU 65.906
Dunkel Line: VCU by 14 1/2
Vegas Line: VCU by 16
Dunkel Pick: Georgia State (+16)

Game 627-628: UCLA at Oregon State
Dunkel Ratings: UCLA 57.756; Oregon State 61.855
Dunkel Line: Oregon State by 4
Vegas Line: Oregon State by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oregon State (-2 1/2)

Game 629-630: North Texas at Middle Tennessee State
Dunkel Ratings: North Texas 49.089; Middle Tennessee State 58.930
Dunkel Line: Middle Tennessee State by 10
Vegas Line: Middle Tennessee State by 6
Dunkel Pick: Middle Tennessee State (-6)

Game 631-632: Denver at Arkansas State
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 52.190; Arkansas State 51.301
Dunkel Line: Arkansas State by 1
Vegas Line: Arkansas State by 2
Dunkel Pick: Denver (+2)

Game 633-634: UTEP at UAB
Dunkel Ratings: UTEP 66.758; UAB 66.445
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: UAB by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UTEP (+3 1/2)

Game 635-636: Providence at Cincinnati
Dunkel Ratings: Providence 58.736; Cincinnati 68.950
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 10
Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 8
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-8)

Game 637-638: UC-Irvine at CS-Fullerton
Dunkel Ratings: UC-Irvine 48.860; CS-Fullerton 54.879
Dunkel Line: CS-Fullerton by 6
Vegas Line: CS-Fullerton by 7
Dunkel Pick: UC-Irvine (+7)

Game 639-640: Southern Mississippi at Tulane
Dunkel Ratings: Southern Mississippi 54.380; Tulane 53.299
Dunkel Line: Southern Mississippi by 1
Vegas Line: Southern Mississippi by 2
Dunkel Pick: Tulane (+2)

Game 641-642: Creighton at Drake
Dunkel Ratings: Creighton 58.829; Drake 61.542
Dunkel Line: Drake by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: Drake by 1
Dunkel Pick: Drake (-1)

Game 643-644: South Alabama at Troy
Dunkel Ratings: South Alabama 46.280; Troy 56.800
Dunkel Line: Troy by 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Troy by 8
Dunkel Pick: Troy (-8)

Game 645-646: New Mexico State at Louisiana Tech
Dunkel Ratings: New Mexico State 54.980; Louisiana Tech 69.114
Dunkel Line: Louisiana Tech by 14
Vegas Line: Louisiana Tech by 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Louisiana Tech (-10 1/2)

Game 647-648: San Jose State at Utah State
Dunkel Ratings: San Jose State 51.437; Utah 72.421
Dunkel Line: Utah State by 21
Vegas Line: Utah State by 16 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Utah State (-16 1/2)

Game 649-650: Utah at BYU
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 61.642; BYU 75.726
Dunkel Line: BYU by 14
Vegas Line: BYU by 14 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Utah (+14 1/2)

Game 651-652: Texas Tech at Texas A&M
Dunkel Ratings: Texas Tech 63.952; Texas A&M 70.121
Dunkel Line: Texas A&M by 6
Vegas Line: Texas A&M by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas Tech (+7 1/2)

Game 653-654: Colorado at Iowa State
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado 59.299; Iowa State 67.505
Dunkel Line: Iowa State by 8
Vegas Line: Iowa State by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Iowa State (-7 1/2)

Game 655-656: Gonzaga at San Francisco
Dunkel Ratings: Gonzaga 68.438; San Francisco 53.511
Dunkel Line: Gonzaga by 15
Vegas Line: Gonzaga by 12 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Gonzaga (-12 1/2)

Game 657-658: UC-Santa Barbara at CS-Northridge
Dunkel Ratings: UC-Santa Barbara 54.462; CS-Northridge 53.917
Dunkel Line: UC-Santa Barbara by 1
Vegas Line: CS-Northridge by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UC-Santa Barbara (+1 1/2)

Game 659-660: Pacific at UC-Riverside
Dunkel Ratings: Pacific 56.141; UC-Riverside 53.116
Dunkel Line: Pacific by 3
Vegas Line: Pacific by 4
Dunkel Pick: UC-Riverside (+4)

Game 661-662: Hawaii at Nevada
Dunkel Ratings: Hawaii 49.394; Nevada 67.861
Dunkel Line: Nevada by 18 1/2
Vegas Line: Nevada by 16 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Nevada (-16 1/2)

Game 663-664: Portland at Santa Clara
Dunkel Ratings: Portland 59.372; Santa Clara 54.569
Dunkel Line: Portland by 5
Vegas Line: Portland by 6
Dunkel Pick: Santa Clara (+6)

Game 665-666: San Diego at Pepperdine
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego 51.106; Pepperdine 55.985
Dunkel Line: Pepperdine by 5
Vegas Line: San Diego by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pepperdine (+1 1/2)

Game 667-668: St. Mary's (CA) at Loyola-Marymount
Dunkel Ratings: St. Mary's (CA) 66.368; Loyola-Marymount 57.390
Dunkel Line: St. Mary's (CA) by 9
Vegas Line: St. Mary's (CA) by 10
Dunkel Pick: Loyola-Marymount (+10)

Game 669-670: Fresno State at Boise State
Dunkel Ratings: Fresno State 54.965; Boise State 58.737
Dunkel Line: Boise State by 4
Vegas Line: Boise State by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Fresno State (+4 1/2)
 
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NCAAB WRITE-UP

Saturday, January 30

Information on the best of Saturday's college basketball games........

UConn will be without coach Calhoun again; Huskies beat Marquette the last two years 89-73/93-82, but are just 3-4 in Big East this season, losing four of last five games overall. Eagles are 3-0 as Big East road dog, losing away games by 1-2-1-5 points. UConn is 3-1 as home favorite in Big East, winning conference home games by 12-8-16 points.

Louisville won last four games vs West Virginia, winning by 9-3 points in last two visits here, but Cardinals lost three of last four games, losing by 5-3 points in last two away games- they allowed 70 or less points in their four league wins, 92-82-80 in losses. Four of West Virginia's seven games in Big East (5-2) were decided by 1 or 2 points or in overtime.

Duke won three of last four games vs Georgetown, winning last two by 9 points each; Blue Devils are 1-3 in true road games, beating Clemson by 13, but losing to Ga Tech/NC State/Wisconsin. ACC road teams are 32-23 vs spread in non-league games. Big East home teams are 33-37 vs spread. Georgetown won its last five home games.

Underdog covered five of last six Oklahoma State-Missouri games; road teams won last three. Cowobys won last three games by 12-4-7 points; they're 1-2 on Big 12 road, winning at K-State, losing at Oklahoma by 5 in OT, at Baylor by 13. Home side is 4-1 vs spread in Missouri's Big 12 games; Tigers are 2-0 as home faves, beating K-State (6), Nebraska (17).

Underdog covered last five Saint Louis-Richmond games; Billikens won their last two visits here, winning in triple OT LY. SLU is 3-2 this year in A-14, with three of its last four games going OT. Richmond is 0-3 as A-14 home fave, losing to Charlotte, beating UMass by 7, LaSalle by 4. A-14 home favorites are 9-22 against the spread.

Washington beat rival Washington State twice LY, after losing previous seven in series; Coogs won three of last four visits here, winning by 7-4- 4 points, losing by 7- they're 2-2 as Pac-10 road dog, losingby 25-12 at ASU/UCLA, winning at Arizona/USC. Home team is 6-0 vs spread in Huskies' last six Pac-10 games. U-Dub is 2-2 as Pac-10 home favorite.

Home side won last five Vanderbilt-Kentucky games; Commodores won six of last eight in series, but lost last two visits to Rupp by 4-10 points, Vandy is 5-0 in SEC, already winning road games at Alabama, Tennessee and So Carolina. Kentucky lost first game of year at South Carolina last game; they're 1-1 as home favorite, beating Georgia (8), Arkansas (31).

Baylor upset Texas in Big 12 tourney LY, after losing previous 13 games vs Longhorns; Bears lost last six visits here by 22-19-27-5-8-16 points. Baylor is 0-2 on Big 12 road, losing by 7 at Colorado, 6 at Kansas; they are 4-0 vs spread this season as an underdog. Texas is 4-1 in Big 12, but 0-5 vs spread, winning home games by 17-5-12 points.

Stanford won six of last eight games vs Arizona State, with underdog 3-0 in last three SU; Cardinal won four of last six visits here, but is 0-4 on the Pac-10 road this year, losing by 26-33-4-8 points (1-3 as road dog). ASU lost last two games, allowing 79-78 points; they're 0-3 in Pac-10 allowing more than 57 points. Pac-10 home favorites are 11-16.

Old Dominion is 4-3 in last seven games vs Northeastern, winning two of last three visits here; Monarchs won last eight games, winning its last four road games by 16-18-19-3 points- they allowed 48.3 ppg in last six games overall. Huskies had 8-game win streak snapped by Drexel in last game- they're 5-1 at home in CAA- they covered 7 of last 9 games.

USC won six of last seven games vs Oregon, winning its last four visits to Mac Court by 6-2-9-21 points. Underdog is 9-2-1 vs spread in last 12 series games. Trojans are 1-5 in true road games, losing Pac-10 games on road by 1 at Stanford, 8 at Cal, 6 at Oregon State. Ducks snapped their 5-game skid Thursday, their first win in four Pac-10 home contests.

South Carolina won three of last four games vs Georgia; Dawgs lost last two visits here by 6-11 points. Gamecocks upset Kentucky in last game after losing three in row before that- they're 2-1 at home, losing by 10 to Candy, beating LSU by 9. Georgia is 4-1 vs spread in SEC, losing away games by 8 at Kentucky, 3 at Mississippi State, 16 at Florida.

Michigan State won 12 of last 13 games vs Northwestern, beating them 91-70 (-5) in Evanston Jan 2; Spartans shot 57% from floor in that game, are 8-0 in Big 11 after winning last two games on road by a point each. State is 2-2 as Big 11 home favorite. Wildcats are 3-1 as Big 11 road dog, losing by 6 at Illinois, 20 at Ohio State, 4 at Minnesota (beat Michigan).

Cornell won six of last nine games vs Harvard, winning three of last four here, winning by 2-33-21 points; underdog covered nine of last eleven in series. Ivy League has no conference tournament, so this is a huge game. Cornell is 12-1 in last 13 games, losing only by 5 at Kansas; they're 5-3 as favorite this year. Harvard won its last five games, is 2-1 as a dog.

Kansas won 12 of last 14 games vs K-State; favorite is 9-4 vs spread in last 13 series games; Jayhawks are 5-1 in last six visits here, winning by 8-9-14-9-11 points. Kansas won last five games since loss at Tennessee, winning by 12 at Nebraska, 23 at Iowa State. K-State won four of last five games, beating Texas when they were ranked #1 in country.

UCLA won its last nine games vs Oregon State, covering all nine, taking last four visits here by 9-15-23-23 points. Bruins lost last two on road by 11 at Stanford, 5 at Oregon- they're 3-2 as Pac-10 dog. Beavers lost three of last four games, but they're 2-1 at home in league, winning by 3 over Arizona, 6 over USC, losing 66-57 at home to Arizona.State.

Arkansas State (+8.5) lost 64-55 at Denver Dec 31, shooting 38% from floor, 13-26 from line; ASU won six of seven games since- they're 4-0 at home in Sun Belt (1-1 as home favorite) winning home games by 8-15-2-2 points. Denver is 0-4 on Sun Belt road, losing by 18-6-11-12 points. Sun Belt home favorites are 23-16 against the spread this season.

Home side won six of last seven UTEP-UAB games, with Blazers 4-1 in last five. Miners lost last three visits here by 9-8-5 points- they're 5-1 in C-USA, losing by 10 at Houston, but also winning at Memphis. UAB is 6-0 in league, 1-2 as home favorites, winning home games by 8-1-10 pts. C-USA home favorites are 10-12 against the spread this season.

Providence won last four games vs Cincinnati; underdogs covered four of last five series games, with Friars winning last two visits to Shoe by 2-8 points. PC is 1-2 as Big East road dog, losing away games at Marquette by 30, Notre Dame by 15 (won at St John's/DePaul). Bearcats are 0-3-1 as Big East home fave, winning at home by 2-2-8 points (lost to Pitt).

Utah lost five of its last six games vs rival BYU, losing last four visits to Provo by 12-23-8-13 points; favorite covered seven of last nine in series. Utes are 1-2 on MWC road, losing by 17 at New Mexico, 6 at Wyoming winning by 4 at UNLV. BYU had 14-game win streak snapped at New Mexico last game; they're 1-2 as home fave, winning by 4-44-15 points.
 
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Eafra soccer

1* Everton -0.5 (+120), England Premier League at 10am EST
1* Chelsea -1.5 (-125), England Premier League at 10am EST
1* Werder Bremen -0.5 (-105), German Bundesliga at 9:30am EST

2* Napoli -0.5 (-120), Italian Serie A at 2:45pm EST
 
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HANDICAPPER WORLD

LaSalle vs temple
Line: 11-
Pick: Temple -11- (HUGE)

Kansas vs Kansas st
Line: 4
Pick: Kansas St +4
 
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JIMMY BOYD
4*- Atlanta Hawks/Orlando Magic under 193 1/2
5*- Game of the year- SMU +8
4*- Letdown Game of the Month- Georgia +7.5
 
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KILLER SPORTS LIVE

10* Dallas Mavericks, -8
10* Drexel Dragons, +5
10* Louisville Cardinals, +7
10* Orlando Magic, -5
 
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KELSO

50 units Arkansas State -2
15 units Notre Dame -6.5
5 units Georgia +7
5 units Duke -1.5
4 units Northwestern +13.5
4 units Louisville +7
3 units Boise State -4.5
3 units Vandy +8
 

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Sensational handicapper Matt Rivers of OffshoreInsiders says bet on Kentucky minus the points against Vanderbilt. They are laying 10.

It’s not like me to lay a fairly big number like this and especially not against a pretty solid Vanderbilt squad but the intangibles are all lined up for a quality Wildcat win.

To begin with being back home at Rupp Arena is obviously a huge plus for Coach Cal’s boys. Then you factor in how this team now will not just walk on the court and think their shit don’t stink if you know what I mean. John Wall and the fellows were caught up in the whole we’re number one thing and we’re never going to lose and were not emotionally ready for what the Gamecocks were bringing the other night. Devan Downey was a stud and the ‘Cats just did not bring that a-game as evidence by all of the missed opportunities and mental breakdowns and that game turned out to be a nice little lesson for Kentucky.

On the opposite extreme Vanderbilt is coming off of a great outing and victory in Knoxville against Bruce Pearl’s Volunteers. To ask them to once again put forth a great effort is not very believable as the let-down is in. These kids are going to “Rupp” to play big bad “Kentucky” I understand that but Human nature still will create a letdown.

AJ Ogilvy, Jermaine Beal and the Commodores would be better off if they were smacked around a bit in that last game and now had to save face as it’s just asking too much to stay at such a high against a pair of very good or even great teams for two straight games like this.

You know that Calipari was in his team’s face since that last loss. His message is now across to the team and these young kids now understand that they are not invincible and will need to come out and play their bawls off.

In that last home game KU absolutely obliterated an improving and pretty decent Arkansas squad. This game won’t get that ugly but it will result in a beating and a Kentucky win and cover.
 

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