Mike Hook | CBB Sides Sat, 01/30/10 - 8:00 PM ƒŠ
triple-dime bet 642 Drake 0.0 (-110) Bodog vs 641 Creighton
Analysis: I've backed Drake before this season to much success, and i see no reason not to back them here. There are several reasons why i like this play, notably the revenge angle and the fact that we are backing the home team that also happens to be in better form right now.
Drake had won 5 games in a row before losing by 16 points at Northern Iowa. I'm glad they lost in blowout fashion, as that's created a bit of value with today's line. The fact is, this Drake team is playing their best basketball of the season right now. After all, who doesn't lose in Northern Iowa, as that team is absolutely loaded and can make a run to the Sweet 16 this year. I like how Drake has played it's past 3 home games. They've beaten 3 of the toughest opponents by double digits most recently. Wichita St, Missouri St, and Illinois St are all very capable teams, and Drake dispatched of all them rather easily. I believe this team will be ready once again to fire a big performance in front of their home crowd today. Their loss at Northern Iowa isn't going to deter them in the least. If anything it will only motivate them to play that much stronger today.
Creighton has won 4 of their past 5 games in their own right, bu´t keep in mind that 3 of those wins were all at home. This Creighton team isn't quite as good as past years editions of this team. In fact, i could argue that this team is actually overrated. I especially don't like this team away from home, as they've really struggled. In fact, Creighton has only 2 road wins all season. I"m happy that Creighton beat Bradley in their last game, because the win looks better than it really was, and again created value today. Let's not forget that Bradley totally collapsed in the final 4 minutes of that specific matchup. Sure Creighton did their part, but i still don't trust this team on the road. I also don't trust the mentality of this team completely, as i believe there is a bit of turmoil with this team. Losing a diverse talent like P'Allen Stinnett hurts this team, as he was able to do so many different things to help this team. I think there is a reason why this team has struggled on the road, and it has to do with their mentality and the fact they are too one dimensional.
I love the revenge angle for Drake tonight. They played on January 6th at Creighton, and Drake lost that game by 4 points. I want to mention that they were 13 point underdogs in that game. Now you see that today's game is a PK, so has that much changed in less than a month? That's the million dollar question that we know the answer too. Obviously that line was too high that day, as Drake easily covered the point spread. Today, Drake will get their revenge and win this game by at least 6-8 points. Drake hung tough in that last game thanks to their rebounding and their overall discipline. They only shot 38% from the field, yet still was there in the end. That's a testament to this Drake team, as they do all the little things right.
At home and on revenge, Drake is going to win this game. I also absolutely love the fact that Drake shoots 75% from the free throw line. We are backing by far the more disciplined team that is also playing at home. I love the spot Drake is in tonight, and we are backing it for a PINATA BUSTING TRIPLE STAR today. Yep, a TRIPLE STAR. Let's cash this winner with DRAKE as a PK tonight!
As always, thanks for all your support. Please check out my daily thread in the pregame forums, as i will have more plays listed very shortly. I will also put those plays in the system so you can have them in your members page! Let's have a great day!