Anybody have this:
TONY WESTON
MY STRONGEST COLLEGE FOOTBALL PLAY OF THE SEASON
35 DIME SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA - OHIO STATE
Tony Weston SATURDAY'S PLAYS 35 Dime USC
15 Dime Oklahoma State
5 Dime Florida
USC at Ohio State
USC - Some people might consider what happened in the opening week of the college football season a fluke, and sure, there could be a case made for Ohio State’s slip up against Navy. But what USC did to San Jose State was not.
Granted, San Jose State isn’t a power anywhere, but the Trojans, even with a freshman at quarterback, weren’t looking ahead and looked like the best team in the country with that 56-3 victory.
USC enters the Horseshoe installed as a 7-point favorite and will cruise to a double-digit victory.
While the Trojans had a more experienced quarterback under center last year, Mark Sanchez was still starting in his first year at USC and led the team to an easy 35-3 beat down of Ohio State in the Los Angeles Coliseum.
You may be scared off by the fact that USC is only 1-4 ATS its last 5 true road games. But, consider that in those games the Trojans were installed as a favorite, on average, of more than 27 points per game (27.3).
Tonight, the Trojans are laying single digits. And when USC is laying between 3 1/2 and 10 points, the Trojans have been an ATM. USC is a perfect 8-0 ATS when laying between 3 1/2 and 10 points on the road and the team has cashed in 14 of its last 16 games when installed as a favorite anywhere of that price.
Consider, too, the Big Ten has been a punching bag for the Trojans, who have cashed in 10 of their last 11 against the conference.
The Buckeyes, on the other hand, are just 1-7 ATS their last 8 home games, including last week’s 31-27 survival against Navy as a 22-point favorite. Ohio State is also just 1-5 ATS its last 6 games outside the Big Ten and has not covered a game in its last 6 September contests.
Tonight, things won’t get much better as the Trojans cruise to a double digit victory. Take USC big on the road in this one.
Houston at Oklahoma State
OKLAHOMA STATE - How impressive did Oklahoma State look last week? Against a top-ranked opponent the Cowboys cruised to a 24-10 victory as a 5 1/2 point favorite.
Today, against the Houston Cougars the Cowboys will cruise to another victory as a 15 1/2 point favorite at home.
Including last week’s win and cover, Oklahoma State has now covered in 7 of its last 9 home games. At home, overall, the Cowboys are on a 7-0 ATS streak and are 5-1 ATS against opponents outside the Big XII.
Keep in mind, too, OSU is 22-5 ATS when laying double digits and is on an amazing 42-20-2 ATS run as a favorite overall.
On the other side, the Cougars have been a money loser lately, having failed to cover in 7 of its last 12 games overall and having gone only 1-7 ATS their last 8 roadies.
Houston is also just 1-4 ATS its last 5 non-league games and has covered just twice in its last 11 games coming off a SU win.
Things won’t get any better today as Oklahoma State cruises past the visitors.
Troy at Florida
FLORIDA - The Florida Gators continued right where they left off destroying Charleston Southern 62-3 last week in Florida’s first game since winning a national championship last season.
The Gators are now laying about 36 1/2 points and will cruise to another victory at home against visiting Troy.
The last time these two hooked up was in 2007 with Florida beating up Troy 59-31 as a 26-point favorite.
While things have changed slightly since then, the fact of the matter is Florida is still a dominant team. The Gators have covered in each of their last 4 home games and are 12-3 ATS their last 15 outside the SEC.
Consider, too, the Gators have covered in 21 of their last 27 games overall, while the Trojans have failed to cover in 4 of their last 5 against non-conference opponents.
They’ll fail to cover again as the Gators make this one look all too easy. Take Florida easily at home.
Paid by me. Don't like it at all.
Tony vs Frank, Burn and SSG.