Freddy Wills
Take Yankees -138 4-DIME POD (1-5scale) Yankees have some value here today in my opinion it is not very often that you can say that right? I really like Burnett on the mound and he's been better on the road with a 3.38ERA and a 6-3 record. White Sox have just a .226 average against the RHP and if he can get past Konerko in the lineup he should do just fine. In his last appearance vs. the Sox he went 7 innings gave up 1 hit and 0 ER when he was with the Jays in September of last year. Yankees are 12-2 with him as the starter as a favorite and he's 6-0 in his last 6 vs. a team with a winning record so he knows his role here and has been earning that contract. He will go up against a solid Lefty that the Yankees have not seen since 2007.
Yankees have a .350 average against Danks despite not seeing him in over 2 years. A lot has changed and Danks is a much more consistent pitcher. However I feel he is due for a let down performance here against a Yankee lineup that his flat out destroyed Left handed pitching all year, whether it be a starter or reliever. They are 18-8 in their last 26 games vs. LH starter and 7-2 over their last 9. Over their last 5 games they have a .343 average and are scoring 8.10 runs per 9 innings. Last 10 .297 and 7.05/9 and away this year a very impressive .304average and 6.60 runs per 9 innings. Danks has not presented himself as a big game pitcher 2-5 in his last 7 as a home dog so I do not see him putting up a performance that we can be surprised about. When it comes down to it the White Sox are also without Jenks so if Yankees are to be trailing in the later innings we can be confident of a comeback
Take Yankees -138 4-DIME POD (1-5scale) Yankees have some value here today in my opinion it is not very often that you can say that right? I really like Burnett on the mound and he's been better on the road with a 3.38ERA and a 6-3 record. White Sox have just a .226 average against the RHP and if he can get past Konerko in the lineup he should do just fine. In his last appearance vs. the Sox he went 7 innings gave up 1 hit and 0 ER when he was with the Jays in September of last year. Yankees are 12-2 with him as the starter as a favorite and he's 6-0 in his last 6 vs. a team with a winning record so he knows his role here and has been earning that contract. He will go up against a solid Lefty that the Yankees have not seen since 2007.
Yankees have a .350 average against Danks despite not seeing him in over 2 years. A lot has changed and Danks is a much more consistent pitcher. However I feel he is due for a let down performance here against a Yankee lineup that his flat out destroyed Left handed pitching all year, whether it be a starter or reliever. They are 18-8 in their last 26 games vs. LH starter and 7-2 over their last 9. Over their last 5 games they have a .343 average and are scoring 8.10 runs per 9 innings. Last 10 .297 and 7.05/9 and away this year a very impressive .304average and 6.60 runs per 9 innings. Danks has not presented himself as a big game pitcher 2-5 in his last 7 as a home dog so I do not see him putting up a performance that we can be surprised about. When it comes down to it the White Sox are also without Jenks so if Yankees are to be trailing in the later innings we can be confident of a comeback
JACK JONES
15* Colorado Rockies -145
I give Rockies the edge over the Reds in Cincinnati, mostly due to their hitting and their opposing pitcher. Colorado is posting 4.9 runs per game, compared to Cincinnati's 4.0 runs per game. Reds' starter, Homer Baily is 2-2 in 7 starts this season, but he brings in a 6.87 ERA and 1.53 WHIP, including a 1-2 record 9.39 ERA, and 1.76 WHIP over his last 3 starts. Rockies starter, Ubaldo Jimenez has a losing record this year, but he has been solid overall. Jimenez has a 3.74 ERA and 1.23 WHIP in 12 road starts this season and is 1-0 with a 1.50 ERA in 2 career starts against the Reds (both last year). The Reds are hitting an embarrassing .180 as a team and are putting up just 3.0 runs per game over the past week, and they've lost 10 of their last 11 overall. We'll keeping fading the Reds, who are showing no signs of improvement.
15* Colorado Rockies -145
I give Rockies the edge over the Reds in Cincinnati, mostly due to their hitting and their opposing pitcher. Colorado is posting 4.9 runs per game, compared to Cincinnati's 4.0 runs per game. Reds' starter, Homer Baily is 2-2 in 7 starts this season, but he brings in a 6.87 ERA and 1.53 WHIP, including a 1-2 record 9.39 ERA, and 1.76 WHIP over his last 3 starts. Rockies starter, Ubaldo Jimenez has a losing record this year, but he has been solid overall. Jimenez has a 3.74 ERA and 1.23 WHIP in 12 road starts this season and is 1-0 with a 1.50 ERA in 2 career starts against the Reds (both last year). The Reds are hitting an embarrassing .180 as a team and are putting up just 3.0 runs per game over the past week, and they've lost 10 of their last 11 overall. We'll keeping fading the Reds, who are showing no signs of improvement.
Dominic Fazzini
Dominic Fazzini
Saturday's play
10 Dime -- BRAVES (Lowe) over Dodgers (Wolf)
BRAVES
NOTE: List only Lowe as Atlanta's starting pitcher
Braves starter Derek Lowe (10-7, 4.20 ERA) went through a little rough patch earlier in the season, but he seems to have rebounded nicely.
The veteran right-hander is 3-0 with a 2.63 ERA in his last four starts, and allowed two runs and nine hits in six innings Sunday in a 10-2 victory over Milwaukee.
Lowe will face the Dodgers for the first time since leaving Los Angeles in the offseason, and he is 0-1 with a 3.21 ERA in two career starts vs. his former team. He hasn't faced the Dodgers, though, since 2004.
Dodgers starter Randy Wolf (5-5, 3.43) has pitched well over his last six outings, going 2-2 with a 2.87 ERA. He alllowed two runs and seven hits in six innings Monday against St. Louis.
The veteran left-hander, however, is 0-4 with an 8.75 ERA in his last eight starts against Atlanta, and 4-11 with a 5.36 ERA in 25 career appearances (23 starts) against the Braves.
I think Lowe will have the Dodgers knocking his sinkerball into the ground all day. And I think Atlanta, which is 20-15 against southpaws, will get to Wolf once again. Take the Braves in this one.
Paid & confirmed by me.
GL!
Dominic Fazzini
Saturday's play
10 Dime -- BRAVES (Lowe) over Dodgers (Wolf)
BRAVES
NOTE: List only Lowe as Atlanta's starting pitcher
Braves starter Derek Lowe (10-7, 4.20 ERA) went through a little rough patch earlier in the season, but he seems to have rebounded nicely.
The veteran right-hander is 3-0 with a 2.63 ERA in his last four starts, and allowed two runs and nine hits in six innings Sunday in a 10-2 victory over Milwaukee.
Lowe will face the Dodgers for the first time since leaving Los Angeles in the offseason, and he is 0-1 with a 3.21 ERA in two career starts vs. his former team. He hasn't faced the Dodgers, though, since 2004.
Dodgers starter Randy Wolf (5-5, 3.43) has pitched well over his last six outings, going 2-2 with a 2.87 ERA. He alllowed two runs and seven hits in six innings Monday against St. Louis.
The veteran left-hander, however, is 0-4 with an 8.75 ERA in his last eight starts against Atlanta, and 4-11 with a 5.36 ERA in 25 career appearances (23 starts) against the Braves.
I think Lowe will have the Dodgers knocking his sinkerball into the ground all day. And I think Atlanta, which is 20-15 against southpaws, will get to Wolf once again. Take the Braves in this one.
Paid & confirmed by me.
GL!
Jack Jones
15* on Texas Rangers +106
You can't really call Rangers' starter, Tommy Hunter a fluke anymore. He now has 6 Major League starts, and a 3-1 record with a 2.00 ERA and 1.17 WHIP. Hunter has been exceptional in his last 3 starts, going 2-0 with a 0.95 ERA and 1.00 WHIP. His counterpart, Felix Hernandez, also has good numbers this season, and gets more headlines for striking more batters out, but he was roughed up in his last outing, giving up 7 earned runs on 11 hits in just 5 2/3 innings. Offensively these teams aren't close. The Rangers hit .271 as a team and average 5.4 runs per game in Texas this year, while the Mariners average .256 as a team and score just 3.9 runs per game on the road this season. Texas has been tough at home, earning a 36-20 record so far, while the Mariners are 26-28 on the road and just 2-5 over thier last 7 games.
20* No-Brainer on Mariners/Rangers UNDER 8.5
In all Seattle road games the Under has a record of 34-19. In all Texas home games the Under has a record of 36-17. With two quality starters on the mound, both of those records should improve again tonight. Felix Hernandez throws for the Mariners and the young righty has been great on the road this season, earning a 1.91 ERA and 1.07 WHIP in 12 road starts. 8 of those 12 games have stayed under the total. Tommy Hunter, the Rangers' starter, has a 2.00 ERA and 1.17 WHIP on the season and the Under has hit in all 6 of his starts. Rangers Ballpark in Arlington has a reputation of being a hitters' park, but odds makers are apparently over-adjusting the total because the Under continues to be a great play when the Rangers are at home.
15* on New York Mets +135
Take the Mets as a home underdog against the Diamondbacks Saturday. New York starter, Oliver Perez hasn't had a very successful year, but I like the lefty against an Arizona team that is 10-20 this season against left-handed starters and a line up that hits .233 and averages 3.7 runs per game against lefties. Meanwhile, the Mets have won 5 of their last 7 and are hitting .276 as a team while averaging about 5.7 runs per game over that stretch. Arizona is now 13 games under .500 for the season. I'll take the Mets at home at this price
15* on Colorado Rockies -140
I give Rockies the edge over the Reds in Cincinnati, mostly due to their hitting and their opposing pitcher. Colorado is posting 4.9 runs per game, compared to Cincinnati's 4.0 runs per game. Reds' starter, Homer Baily is 2-2 in 7 starts this season, but he brings in a 6.87 ERA and 1.53 WHIP, including a 1-2 record 9.39 ERA, and 1.76 WHIP over his last 3 starts. Rockies starter, Ubaldo Jimenez has a losing record this year, but he has been solid overall. Jimenez has a 3.74 ERA and 1.23 WHIP in 12 road starts this season and is 1-0 with a 1.50 ERA in 2 career starts against the Reds (both last year). The Reds are hitting an embarrassing .180 as a team and are putting up just 3.0 runs per game over the past week, and they've lost 10 of their last 11 overall. We'll keeping fading the Reds, who are showing no signs of improvement
15* on Baltimore Orioles +155
The Orioles are big home underdogs against the Red Sox and starter Josh Beckett coming to town, but their starter, David Hernandez gives them a good shot to win this game. Over his last 3 starts, Hernandez has a 1.89 ERA and a 0.95 WHIP. His season ERA is 3.40, including a 3.17 ERA in 2 starts at Baltimore. His most recent start was also against Boston, a game he won by 7 innings while giving up just one earned run. Beckett has been sharp this season, but is most vulnerable on the road, where he is just 5-4 with a 4.34 ERA. Saturday night is a good time for the Orioles to steal one from Boston.
15* on Texas Rangers +106
You can't really call Rangers' starter, Tommy Hunter a fluke anymore. He now has 6 Major League starts, and a 3-1 record with a 2.00 ERA and 1.17 WHIP. Hunter has been exceptional in his last 3 starts, going 2-0 with a 0.95 ERA and 1.00 WHIP. His counterpart, Felix Hernandez, also has good numbers this season, and gets more headlines for striking more batters out, but he was roughed up in his last outing, giving up 7 earned runs on 11 hits in just 5 2/3 innings. Offensively these teams aren't close. The Rangers hit .271 as a team and average 5.4 runs per game in Texas this year, while the Mariners average .256 as a team and score just 3.9 runs per game on the road this season. Texas has been tough at home, earning a 36-20 record so far, while the Mariners are 26-28 on the road and just 2-5 over thier last 7 games.
20* No-Brainer on Mariners/Rangers UNDER 8.5
In all Seattle road games the Under has a record of 34-19. In all Texas home games the Under has a record of 36-17. With two quality starters on the mound, both of those records should improve again tonight. Felix Hernandez throws for the Mariners and the young righty has been great on the road this season, earning a 1.91 ERA and 1.07 WHIP in 12 road starts. 8 of those 12 games have stayed under the total. Tommy Hunter, the Rangers' starter, has a 2.00 ERA and 1.17 WHIP on the season and the Under has hit in all 6 of his starts. Rangers Ballpark in Arlington has a reputation of being a hitters' park, but odds makers are apparently over-adjusting the total because the Under continues to be a great play when the Rangers are at home.
15* on New York Mets +135
Take the Mets as a home underdog against the Diamondbacks Saturday. New York starter, Oliver Perez hasn't had a very successful year, but I like the lefty against an Arizona team that is 10-20 this season against left-handed starters and a line up that hits .233 and averages 3.7 runs per game against lefties. Meanwhile, the Mets have won 5 of their last 7 and are hitting .276 as a team while averaging about 5.7 runs per game over that stretch. Arizona is now 13 games under .500 for the season. I'll take the Mets at home at this price
15* on Colorado Rockies -140
I give Rockies the edge over the Reds in Cincinnati, mostly due to their hitting and their opposing pitcher. Colorado is posting 4.9 runs per game, compared to Cincinnati's 4.0 runs per game. Reds' starter, Homer Baily is 2-2 in 7 starts this season, but he brings in a 6.87 ERA and 1.53 WHIP, including a 1-2 record 9.39 ERA, and 1.76 WHIP over his last 3 starts. Rockies starter, Ubaldo Jimenez has a losing record this year, but he has been solid overall. Jimenez has a 3.74 ERA and 1.23 WHIP in 12 road starts this season and is 1-0 with a 1.50 ERA in 2 career starts against the Reds (both last year). The Reds are hitting an embarrassing .180 as a team and are putting up just 3.0 runs per game over the past week, and they've lost 10 of their last 11 overall. We'll keeping fading the Reds, who are showing no signs of improvement
15* on Baltimore Orioles +155
The Orioles are big home underdogs against the Red Sox and starter Josh Beckett coming to town, but their starter, David Hernandez gives them a good shot to win this game. Over his last 3 starts, Hernandez has a 1.89 ERA and a 0.95 WHIP. His season ERA is 3.40, including a 3.17 ERA in 2 starts at Baltimore. His most recent start was also against Boston, a game he won by 7 innings while giving up just one earned run. Beckett has been sharp this season, but is most vulnerable on the road, where he is just 5-4 with a 4.34 ERA. Saturday night is a good time for the Orioles to steal one from Boston.
IC
4 Unit Play. Take Under 8.5 between Seattle Mariners @ Texas Rangers (Saturday @ 8:05pm est). After nine straight quailty starts, King Felix got shelled in his last start for one of his worse starts of this season and frankly, his career. Hernandez got hit for 7 runs in less than 6 innings through 11 hits at home as the Mariners lost 4-11 to the Bluejays at home. Just to give you some reference, prior to that start where he gave up 7 runs, Felix had given up 7 total runs in his previous five starts combined (spanning 38 innings). Tommy Hunter continues to pitch extremely well as the Texas air has been good for him. Hunter has defeated the Redsox and Beckett at home as well as the Tigers at home as well and he is cruising with a 3-1 record and a 2 era. I look for Hernandez to bounce-back today as well as Tommy to continue to pitch well at home as the last time he pitched against Seattle, he picked up a no-decision and his team lost 1-3. So, both pitchers should do well today as the Under is 22-4-1 when the Mariners are favorites by this margin and the Under is 21-5-1 when the Rangers face a team with a losing road record at home.
4 Unit Play. Take Under 8.5 between Seattle Mariners @ Texas Rangers (Saturday @ 8:05pm est). After nine straight quailty starts, King Felix got shelled in his last start for one of his worse starts of this season and frankly, his career. Hernandez got hit for 7 runs in less than 6 innings through 11 hits at home as the Mariners lost 4-11 to the Bluejays at home. Just to give you some reference, prior to that start where he gave up 7 runs, Felix had given up 7 total runs in his previous five starts combined (spanning 38 innings). Tommy Hunter continues to pitch extremely well as the Texas air has been good for him. Hunter has defeated the Redsox and Beckett at home as well as the Tigers at home as well and he is cruising with a 3-1 record and a 2 era. I look for Hernandez to bounce-back today as well as Tommy to continue to pitch well at home as the last time he pitched against Seattle, he picked up a no-decision and his team lost 1-3. So, both pitchers should do well today as the Under is 22-4-1 when the Mariners are favorites by this margin and the Under is 21-5-1 when the Rangers face a team with a losing road record at home.
GoodFella | MLB Money Line Sat, 08/01/09 - 4:05 PM ';
double-dime bet ml917 NYY (-130) SportBet vs 918 CWS
Analysis:
-Burnett must start for the Yankees or no action guys-
Yankees have dropped the 1st two games to the White Sox inthis series, and I expect a extremely focused Yankees team today. They crush left-handed starters & Danks has no»t had his best stuff or command lately. Burnett has been flat out LIGHTS OUT as he is 6-1, with a 1.84 ERA in his last 8 starts & the Yankees have won 7 of those 8 starts. The Yanks also did not use their best arms inthe bullpen last night, as Hughes, Bruney, and Rivera all did not pitch. For the WSox, Dotel threw 2 innings last night & Linebrink was used again as well. I really like how this one shapes up today, and I expect the Yankees to bounce back strong this afternoon and take care of business over the White Sox.
double-dime bet ml917 NYY (-130) SportBet vs 918 CWS
Analysis:
-Burnett must start for the Yankees or no action guys-
Yankees have dropped the 1st two games to the White Sox inthis series, and I expect a extremely focused Yankees team today. They crush left-handed starters & Danks has no»t had his best stuff or command lately. Burnett has been flat out LIGHTS OUT as he is 6-1, with a 1.84 ERA in his last 8 starts & the Yankees have won 7 of those 8 starts. The Yanks also did not use their best arms inthe bullpen last night, as Hughes, Bruney, and Rivera all did not pitch. For the WSox, Dotel threw 2 innings last night & Linebrink was used again as well. I really like how this one shapes up today, and I expect the Yankees to bounce back strong this afternoon and take care of business over the White Sox.
Daily Matchup
MLB
8/1/09 4:10PM Los Angeles Dodgers at Atlanta Braves Under 8½/-110
8/1/09 7:05PM Cleveland Indians -104
8/1/09 7:10PM Colorado Rockies at Cincinnati Reds Under 9/-125
8/1/09 9:05PM Philadelphia Phillies at San Francisco Giants Under 7/-110
WNBA
under 157 NY/Atlanta
over 144.5 Sac/LA
Minnesota +3.5
Chicago -2
Sacramento -2.5
MLB
8/1/09 4:10PM Los Angeles Dodgers at Atlanta Braves Under 8½/-110
8/1/09 7:05PM Cleveland Indians -104
8/1/09 7:10PM Colorado Rockies at Cincinnati Reds Under 9/-125
8/1/09 9:05PM Philadelphia Phillies at San Francisco Giants Under 7/-110
WNBA
under 157 NY/Atlanta
over 144.5 Sac/LA
Minnesota +3.5
Chicago -2
Sacramento -2.5
