Guaranteed Pick: John Ryan
Game: Chicago White Sox at Kansas City Royals May 30 2009 7:10PM
Prediction: Kansas City Royals
Reason: Ai Simulator 15* graded play on the Kansas City Royals as the host the CWS slated to start at 7:10 EST. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 34-12 making 21.6 units since 2003. Play against all teams when the money line is +125 to -125 and is a bad offensive team scoring <=4.5 runs/game facing an average AL starting pitcher posting an ERA=4.70 to 5.70 and with good control allowing less than 1.75 BB's/start. Here is a second system that has gone 48-21 making 27.6 units for 70% winners since 1997. Play on home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 and is a poor hitting team batting <=.260 facing an excellent AL starting pitcher posting an ERA <=3.20 and is a cold hitting team batting .240 or worse over their last 10 games. CWS starter Buehrle is 19-29 (-17.2 Units) against the money line in road games versus an AL team with a team batting average of .265 or worse since 1997. CWS are also 12-27 (-14.0 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 2 seasons. KC starter Meche is a solid 7-3 when starting against the CWS with an ERA of 3.83 and a WHIP of 1.298. Buehrle is 6-1, but he has not been lights out against KC batters in his career. For example, Mark Teahan is batting 432 in 44 AB, Crips 378 in 33 AB, and Bloomquist 474 in 19 AB. Meche has allowed a 245 BA in 164 AB versus the current members of the CWS. Take KC.