helmut
3/7/09 CBB Houston Under 138 -110 (604)
ANALYSIS: The Mustangs have been very bad offensively on the road this season. Through 11 games they are shooting 36.6% from the field and averaging 53.2 ppg. They will be facing a Cougar team with the #3 overall defense in CUSA. The Mustangs have been horrible at holding on to the basketball, entering the week with a turnover margin of -5.43 that ranked last in Conference USA. The Mustangs have only scored more than 60 points in one road game this season and in the previous meeting between these teams they could only score 56 at home. It should be once again very difficult for the Mustangs to score and if the just hit their road scoring average it’s going to take 86 from Houston to put it over the total. I don’t not expect the pace here to be fast enough for Houston to put up that many points as the previous game between these teams was played well under 140 total possessions.
3/7/09 CBB Wisc-Green Bay Over 131 -110 (648)
ANALYSIS: Both games this season between these teams went over this number by 10+ points. We should get a relatively fast pace in this game and I am still not ready to fade this Phoenix over run.
3/7/09 CBB Houston Under 138 -110 (604)
ANALYSIS: The Mustangs have been very bad offensively on the road this season. Through 11 games they are shooting 36.6% from the field and averaging 53.2 ppg. They will be facing a Cougar team with the #3 overall defense in CUSA. The Mustangs have been horrible at holding on to the basketball, entering the week with a turnover margin of -5.43 that ranked last in Conference USA. The Mustangs have only scored more than 60 points in one road game this season and in the previous meeting between these teams they could only score 56 at home. It should be once again very difficult for the Mustangs to score and if the just hit their road scoring average it’s going to take 86 from Houston to put it over the total. I don’t not expect the pace here to be fast enough for Houston to put up that many points as the previous game between these teams was played well under 140 total possessions.
3/7/09 CBB Wisc-Green Bay Over 131 -110 (648)
ANALYSIS: Both games this season between these teams went over this number by 10+ points. We should get a relatively fast pace in this game and I am still not ready to fade this Phoenix over run.
DRBOB, 3 best bets
Saturday Night College Opinions
RICHMOND (+6) over Xavier
Rotation #590 – 4 pm Pacific
I’d take Richmond in a 2-Star Best Bet at +7 or more.
Niagara (-13) over Marist
Rotation #666 – 4:30 pm Pacific
I’ll just lean with the Purple Eagles at -13 points and I’d take Niagara in a 2-Star Best Bet at -12 ½ points or less.
Rider (-5 ½) over St. Peter’s
Rotation #668 – 7 pm Pacific
I’ll take Rider in a 2-Star Best Bet at -5 points or less.
Saturday Night College Opinions
RICHMOND (+6) over Xavier
Rotation #590 – 4 pm Pacific
I’d take Richmond in a 2-Star Best Bet at +7 or more.
Niagara (-13) over Marist
Rotation #666 – 4:30 pm Pacific
I’ll just lean with the Purple Eagles at -13 points and I’d take Niagara in a 2-Star Best Bet at -12 ½ points or less.
Rider (-5 ½) over St. Peter’s
Rotation #668 – 7 pm Pacific
I’ll take Rider in a 2-Star Best Bet at -5 points or less.
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Robin banks play
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STANFORD (17 - 11) at ARIZONA (18 - 12)
The total for this game opened at 140 and has since rose to 143.5. Some would think to take this game at this number would bad value. If you got it earlier at 140 than great, but I believe 143.5 still to be to low.
ARIZONA is 10-0 OVER (+10.0 Units) when playing against a good team (Win Pct.60% to 80%) this season. STANFORD is 10-1 OVER (+8.9 Units) in road games vs. good free throw shooting teams - making >=72% of their attempts after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. STANFORD is 14-3 OVER (+10.7 Units) in road games versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game over the last 2 seasons. STANFORD is 11-2 OVER (+8.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons. ARIZONA is 15-5 OVER (+9.5 Units) when playing only their 2nd game in a week this season. Stanford has gone over 7 out of 11 on the road this season. Also.all 3 of there last games have gone over the total. It is hard to find this many trends favoring something. Looks like a shoot out to me!
Stanford over 143.5
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STANFORD (17 - 11) at ARIZONA (18 - 12)
The total for this game opened at 140 and has since rose to 143.5. Some would think to take this game at this number would bad value. If you got it earlier at 140 than great, but I believe 143.5 still to be to low.
ARIZONA is 10-0 OVER (+10.0 Units) when playing against a good team (Win Pct.60% to 80%) this season. STANFORD is 10-1 OVER (+8.9 Units) in road games vs. good free throw shooting teams - making >=72% of their attempts after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. STANFORD is 14-3 OVER (+10.7 Units) in road games versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game over the last 2 seasons. STANFORD is 11-2 OVER (+8.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons. ARIZONA is 15-5 OVER (+9.5 Units) when playing only their 2nd game in a week this season. Stanford has gone over 7 out of 11 on the road this season. Also.all 3 of there last games have gone over the total. It is hard to find this many trends favoring something. Looks like a shoot out to me!
Stanford over 143.5
