Cajun-Sports Execuitve- Saturday
TIME: 9 PM EST. Saturday January 24
GAME: Western Kentucky Hilltoppers -4 vs. Denver Pioneers
RATING: 1* to 6* (6* Highest Rated Selection)
PLAY: 5* Denver Pioneers +4
ANALYSIS:
Magness Arena will be the site of tonight’s Sun Belt Conference clash between the host Denver Pioneers and the visiting Western Kentucky Hilltoppers.
Western Kentucky is 13-6 SU and 7-9 ATS on the season. When playing on the highway they are 4-6 both SU and ATS over their last five games they are 4-1 SU but a money burning 1-4 against the number. They have averaged 67.7 points per game against teams that allow 66.8 points per game defensively the Hilltoppers have allowed 73.6 points per game to teams that only average 67.5 points per game.
Denver is 7-11 SU at home but a money-making 10-4 against the spread this season. One of the nations better home teams against the spread at home and one of our key “Play On” teams because of their solid ATS performance on their home floor. At home this season they have managed a record of 6-2 SU and 4-2 ATS and in conference play they are 2-5 SU but a very solid 6-1 ATS. They have held opponents to 56.1 points per game at home and this is versus teams that average 68.9 points per game.
When comparing common opponents this season we see that the Hilltoppers have a record of 3-1 SU and 1-3 ATS while the Pioneers are 1-3 SU but a money-making 4-0 ATS.
Denver is 26-16 ATS in all games over the last 2 seasons, 13-5 ATS in all home games over the last 2 seasons, 17-8 ATS against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons, 16-4 ATS in January games over the last 3 seasons, 6-0 ATS after allowing 60 points or less this season and 6-0 ATS after 4 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons.
Data base research has uncovered two College Basketball Systems that are active for tonight’s game. Play ON CBB teams who lost SU but won ATS and went ‘over’ in their last two games and now play at home, 20-8 ATS. If our Play ON team is installed as a home underdog of 2.5 to 6.5 points the record is a perfect 5-0 ATS.
With solid technical, fundamental and situational support we will back the host here as the Pioneers get the straight up win over the Hilltoppers and also cash the winning ticket for us on Saturday night.
PROJECTED FINAL SCORE: (5*) Denver 66 Western Kentucky 63
TIME: 3 PM EST. Saturday January 24
GAME: Kentucky Wildcats -6.5 vs. Alabama Crimson Tide
RATING: 1* to 6* (6* Highest Rated Selection)
PLAY: 4* Alabama Crimson Tide +6.5
ANALYSIS:
Coleman Coliseum will be the site of today’s SEC clash between the host Alabama Crimson Tide and the visiting Kentucky Wildcats.
Kentucky is 15-4 SU and 9-4 ATS on the season. They are 5-2 SU and 5-1 ATS on the road averaging 72.6 points per game and allowing 64.6 points per game.
Alabama is 12-6 SU and 6-7 ATS this season overall. When the Tide plays at Coleman they are 10-2 SU and 4-4 ATS averaging 74.9 points per game versus teams that allow an average of only 71.6 points per game. The Tide’s defense is allowing 63.7 points per game on their home floor this year versus teams that normally score 69.7 points per game.
Sources at the Capstone say the loss of guard Ronald Steele not as big a factor as the media has implied in fact they have done quite well with him out of the lineup this season. He was an outstanding player but his desire to compete has never really returned and that could have been a negative for this Bama team. We should get a very aggressive and intense Crimson Tide team on Saturday in Coleman Coliseum.
Alabama is 41-24 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997. The Tide is 67-44 ATS versus teams making >=45% of their shots after 15+ games since 1997. Alabama is 54-35 ATS in home games versus teams outscoring their opponents by 4+ points per game since 1997. Bama is 17-6 ATS as a home underdog or pick since 1997.
Data base research has uncovered two CBB systems that are active for today’s game. Play Against CBB road teams as an favorite or pick with a team shooting >=45% with a defense of <=42% on the season, after 4 straight games allowing a shooting percentage of 40% or less, 51-24 ATS the last five seasons. Play ON CBB teams off a SU win in which they went ‘over’ the posted total and are now a conference home underdog of 3 to 7 points, 73-50-2 ATS.
With technical and situational support we are going to back the Elephants on Saturday as they surprise the Wildcats and get the straight up win.
PROJECTED FINAL SCORE: (4*) Alabama 68 00 Kentucky 67
TIME: 2 PM EST. Saturday January 24
GAME: North Carolina State vs. Boston College -5.5
RATING: 1* to 6* (6* Highest Rated Selection)
PLAY: 3* North Carolina State +5.5
ANALYSIS:
The Conte Forum will be the site of today’s ACC clash between the host Boston College Eagles and the visiting North Carolina State Wolfpack.
NC State is 10-6 SU and 7-4 ATS this season including a 1-4 SU and 3-1 ATS on the road. The Wolfpack are averaging 61.0 points per game on the road this season and only allowing 67.0 points per game to teams that average 70.1 points per game.
NC State was able to get their first ACC win at home versus Georgia Tech winning 76 to 71 as a four point home favorite after dropping their first two ACC games of the season. They are coming in off a road loss at Duke 73 to 56 in their last game but they were able to cover the 20 point spread.
There are a couple key technical sets for NC State as we know they are 33-16 ATS on the road facing teams with a winning percentage of 60 to 80 percent after 15 or more games of the season. NC State also bounces back after a road loss where they scored 60 or fewer points; they are 20-6 ATS in this situation.
BC is 14-6 SU and 8-6 against the number this season. They have played well at home going 10-3 SU but have struggled against the number posting a 4-4 ATS record. In their last five games they have struggled going 1-4 both SU and ATS averaging 71.0 points per game and allowing 79.4 points per game.
BC suffered four straight losses after taking down North Carolina and just got a win in their last game versus Georgia Tech winning 80 to 76 as a 2.5 point road favorite. BC is 1-8 ATS after allowing 75 or more points in two straight games.
Our Team Performance Ratings Index shows the Eagles with only a very small edge in this contest, they have a 1 point advantage over NC State in today’s game. With that in mind we will back the visitor here as the Wolfpack surprises this Eagles team and takes them right down to the wire.
Projected Final Score: (3*) North Carolina State 70 Boston College 71
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