[h=3]Brad Wilton[/h][h=4]Your Friday Winner...[/h]Friday winner is a 100 Dime release on Ole Miss as the favorite over Oklahoma State. At 5:00 am Vegas time, the Rebels are the -8 point favorites. I do suggest buying the half-point down on Ole Miss if your line is anywhere from -7 to -7 1/2 points.
[h=3]Craig Davis[/h][h=4]Friday's Action...[/h]
50 Dime Winner for Friday is Ohio State over Notre Dame. At 8:30 am eastern time, the Buckeyes are the -6 point favorites in Vegas and offshore. Absolutely buy the half-point down on Ohio State if your line should fall anywhere between -7 to -7 1/2 points.
50 Dime Winner for Friday is Ohio State over Notre Dame. At 8:30 am eastern time, the Buckeyes are the -6 point favorites in Vegas and offshore. Absolutely buy the half-point down on Ohio State if your line should fall anywhere between -7 to -7 1/2 points.
[h=3]Anthony Redd[/h][h=4]Friday's Play[/h]50 Dime selection on the Oklahoma State Cowboys against the Ole Miss Rebels. As I release this play at 6:55am Pacific here in Vegas, the line on Oklahoma State is +7 1/2 in Vegas and offshore. Should the line drop to 7, I recommend buying up the 1/2 point insurance.
Steve Merril CFB
(3% play) NOTRE DAME +6 (vs. Ohio State) - 1:00 pm ET (ESPN) #267 - Fiesta Bowl
Notre Dame played tremendous football this season, and they didn’t skip a beat with their backup quarterback (DeShone Kizer) after losing starter Malik Zaire for the season in Week 2. Notre Dame’s offense averaged 34.7 points per game on a whopping 7.1 yards per play. Those impressive offensive numbers came against a strong slate of defenses that allowed 24.7 points per game on 5.5 yards per play. Notre Dame has an exceptional rushing attack that averaged 216 yards per game on 5.8 yards per rush. That strong running game has opened up big plays downfield for Notre Dame, and it has allowed quarterback Kizer to throw for an incredible 8.7 yards per pass attempt this season. The Fighting Irish have incredible offensive balance as they also pass for 256 yards per game; teams with such a profile are exceptional plays as underdogs, especially in bowl games.
Ohio State went 11-1 SU this season, but the Buckeyes weren’t as dominant as some of their previous teams; the Buckeyes went just 5-7 ATS on the year. Ohio State actually played a worse slate of defenses than Notre Dame as their opponents allowed 27.8 points per game on 5.5 yards per play. The Fighting Irish also played a tougher slate of opposing offenses this season; Notre Dame gave up just 22.4 points per game on 5.5 yards per play versus opponents that averaged 28.5 points per game on 5.7 yards per play. Ohio State played an extremely weak schedule this season, and in fact, it was ranked 58th by efficiency metrics. To compare, Notre Dame played the 16th rated schedule, and they simply played better football on both sides of the ball against the tougher competition. This is also a meaningless game for Ohio State after winning the national championship last season, so we’ll take Notre Dame plus the points in the Fiesta Bowl on Friday afternoon.
Play NOTRE DAME (+) as a 3% play.
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(3% play) OVER 68.5 (Mississippi/Oklahoma State) - 8:30 pm ET (ESPN) #271 - Sugar Bowl
Mississippi and Oklahoma State both have explosive offenses, and on a fast track inside a dome, we expect a high-scoring game. The Rebels have an offense that averaged 40.2 points per game on 7.0 yards per play versus defenses that allowed 29.5 points per game on 5.8 yards per play. Mississippi is well-balanced as they ran for 182 yards per game and passed for more than 333 yards per game. The Rebels running game averaged 5.1 yards per rush this season, and they will face an Oklahoma State run defense that is not in good current form. The Cowboys allowed 218 rushing yards or more in their last four games of the season. Oklahoma State’s defense gave up 29 points or more in their last five games, and overall they allowed 37 points and 524 yards per game to the seven bowl opponents they faced this season.
Oklahoma State had an explosive passing attack this season. The Cowboys threw for 357 yards per game on an incredible 9.1 yards per pass attempt. Quarterback Mason Rudolph will face a Mississippi secondary that ranked 55th in efficiency while giving up 23 passing touchdowns this season. Overall, Oklahoma State’s offense averaged 41.2 points per game on 6.5 yards per play. The Cowboys will face a Mississippi defense that allowed 31.6 points per game away from home this season. The Rebels defense allowed 402 yards or more in four of their five road games this season. We expect a high-scoring game between Mississippi and Oklahoma State in the Sugar Bowl on Friday night.
(3% play) NOTRE DAME +6 (vs. Ohio State) - 1:00 pm ET (ESPN) #267 - Fiesta Bowl
Notre Dame played tremendous football this season, and they didn’t skip a beat with their backup quarterback (DeShone Kizer) after losing starter Malik Zaire for the season in Week 2. Notre Dame’s offense averaged 34.7 points per game on a whopping 7.1 yards per play. Those impressive offensive numbers came against a strong slate of defenses that allowed 24.7 points per game on 5.5 yards per play. Notre Dame has an exceptional rushing attack that averaged 216 yards per game on 5.8 yards per rush. That strong running game has opened up big plays downfield for Notre Dame, and it has allowed quarterback Kizer to throw for an incredible 8.7 yards per pass attempt this season. The Fighting Irish have incredible offensive balance as they also pass for 256 yards per game; teams with such a profile are exceptional plays as underdogs, especially in bowl games.
Ohio State went 11-1 SU this season, but the Buckeyes weren’t as dominant as some of their previous teams; the Buckeyes went just 5-7 ATS on the year. Ohio State actually played a worse slate of defenses than Notre Dame as their opponents allowed 27.8 points per game on 5.5 yards per play. The Fighting Irish also played a tougher slate of opposing offenses this season; Notre Dame gave up just 22.4 points per game on 5.5 yards per play versus opponents that averaged 28.5 points per game on 5.7 yards per play. Ohio State played an extremely weak schedule this season, and in fact, it was ranked 58th by efficiency metrics. To compare, Notre Dame played the 16th rated schedule, and they simply played better football on both sides of the ball against the tougher competition. This is also a meaningless game for Ohio State after winning the national championship last season, so we’ll take Notre Dame plus the points in the Fiesta Bowl on Friday afternoon.
Play NOTRE DAME (+) as a 3% play.
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(3% play) OVER 68.5 (Mississippi/Oklahoma State) - 8:30 pm ET (ESPN) #271 - Sugar Bowl
Mississippi and Oklahoma State both have explosive offenses, and on a fast track inside a dome, we expect a high-scoring game. The Rebels have an offense that averaged 40.2 points per game on 7.0 yards per play versus defenses that allowed 29.5 points per game on 5.8 yards per play. Mississippi is well-balanced as they ran for 182 yards per game and passed for more than 333 yards per game. The Rebels running game averaged 5.1 yards per rush this season, and they will face an Oklahoma State run defense that is not in good current form. The Cowboys allowed 218 rushing yards or more in their last four games of the season. Oklahoma State’s defense gave up 29 points or more in their last five games, and overall they allowed 37 points and 524 yards per game to the seven bowl opponents they faced this season.
Oklahoma State had an explosive passing attack this season. The Cowboys threw for 357 yards per game on an incredible 9.1 yards per pass attempt. Quarterback Mason Rudolph will face a Mississippi secondary that ranked 55th in efficiency while giving up 23 passing touchdowns this season. Overall, Oklahoma State’s offense averaged 41.2 points per game on 6.5 yards per play. The Cowboys will face a Mississippi defense that allowed 31.6 points per game away from home this season. The Rebels defense allowed 402 yards or more in four of their five road games this season. We expect a high-scoring game between Mississippi and Oklahoma State in the Sugar Bowl on Friday night.
Northcoast with opinions
4* Iowa +6 Stanford 5 pm (Rose Bowl)
3* Florida +4.5/+4 Michigan 1 pm (Citrus Bowl) Bowl
Top Opinion:
Mississippi -8 Oklahoma St 8:30 PM (Sugar Bowl)
Marquee DOUBLE OVER 57 Fiesta Bowl 1 PM (Ohio St-Notre Dame)
Bowl Regular Opinion:
Marquee DOUBLE UNDER 48 Outback Bowl Noon (Northwestern-Tennessee)
Ohio St -5.5 Notre Dame 1 PM (Fiesta Bowl)
Northwestern +9.5 Tennessee Noon (Outback Bowl)
Marquee SINGLE UNDER 39.5 Citrus Bowl 1 PM (Florida-Michigan)
Marquee SINGLE OVER 68 Sugar Bowl 8:30 PM (Mississippi-Oklahoma St)
Bowl Had to pickem:
Marquee SINGLE UNDER 54 Rose Bowl 5 PM (Iowa-Stanford)
4* Iowa +6 Stanford 5 pm (Rose Bowl)
3* Florida +4.5/+4 Michigan 1 pm (Citrus Bowl) Bowl
Top Opinion:
Mississippi -8 Oklahoma St 8:30 PM (Sugar Bowl)
Marquee DOUBLE OVER 57 Fiesta Bowl 1 PM (Ohio St-Notre Dame)
Bowl Regular Opinion:
Marquee DOUBLE UNDER 48 Outback Bowl Noon (Northwestern-Tennessee)
Ohio St -5.5 Notre Dame 1 PM (Fiesta Bowl)
Northwestern +9.5 Tennessee Noon (Outback Bowl)
Marquee SINGLE UNDER 39.5 Citrus Bowl 1 PM (Florida-Michigan)
Marquee SINGLE OVER 68 Sugar Bowl 8:30 PM (Mississippi-Oklahoma St)
Bowl Had to pickem:
Marquee SINGLE UNDER 54 Rose Bowl 5 PM (Iowa-Stanford)
