SITUATIONAL ANALYSIS: Play Over - Any team where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (NEW ORLEANS) - off 2 or more consecutive unders, with a good scoring defense - allowing 17 or less points/game.
Over/Under W-L Record: 26-4 over the last 5 seasons. (86.7%, +21.6 units. Rating = 4*)
The average total posted in these games was: 45.1
The average score in these games was: Team 28, Opponent 24.2 (Total points scored = 52.3)
Note: The number of games in which this StatSystemsSports.net system covered the total by 7 or more points was 16 (55.2% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (9-2).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (40-20).
Since 1983 the situation's record is: (91-64).
Over/Under W-L Record: 26-4 over the last 5 seasons. (86.7%, +21.6 units. Rating = 4*)
The average total posted in these games was: 45.1
The average score in these games was: Team 28, Opponent 24.2 (Total points scored = 52.3)
Note: The number of games in which this StatSystemsSports.net system covered the total by 7 or more points was 16 (55.2% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (9-2).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (40-20).
Since 1983 the situation's record is: (91-64).
SITUATIONAL ANALYSIS: Play Against - Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (TAMPA BAY) - poor American League offensive team (<=4.5 runs/game) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA<=3.75), after 2 straight games with no home runs.
W-L Record: 78-33 over the last 5 seasons. (70.3%, +40.9 units. Rating = 3*)
The average money line posted in these games was: Team favored with a money line of: -112.3
The average score in these games was: Team 4.1, Opponent 3.1 (Average run differential = +1)
The situation's record this season is: (22-11, +9.9 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (66-29, +33.1 units).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (108-66, +33.7 units).
W-L Record: 78-33 over the last 5 seasons. (70.3%, +40.9 units. Rating = 3*)
The average money line posted in these games was: Team favored with a money line of: -112.3
The average score in these games was: Team 4.1, Opponent 3.1 (Average run differential = +1)
The situation's record this season is: (22-11, +9.9 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (66-29, +33.1 units).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (108-66, +33.7 units).
From This Week's PLATINUM SHEET
STATFOX FORECASTER
MIAMI (225) AT NEW ORLEANS (226)
Latest Line: New Orleans -6.5; Total: 48.0
Week 4 concludes with an intriguing Monday night matchup beatween two unbeatens, the Dolphins and the Saints. Miami has been outgained in all three of its victories, but it's leading the NFL in red-zone efficiency (88%). New Orleans' offense stumbled in the first two games, but QB Drew Brees accounted for 363 yards and 4 TD (134 yards, 2 TD to TE Jimmy Graham) in a 31-7 blowout of the Cardinals in Week 3. But the real story for the Saints is the enormous defensive improvement under DC Rob Ryan (295 YPG allowed) compared to last year (440 YPG allowed). These teams last met in 2009, a 46-34 Saints win.
FORECASTER: Dolphins 25, Saints 20
STATFOX FORECASTER
MIAMI (225) AT NEW ORLEANS (226)
Latest Line: New Orleans -6.5; Total: 48.0
Week 4 concludes with an intriguing Monday night matchup beatween two unbeatens, the Dolphins and the Saints. Miami has been outgained in all three of its victories, but it's leading the NFL in red-zone efficiency (88%). New Orleans' offense stumbled in the first two games, but QB Drew Brees accounted for 363 yards and 4 TD (134 yards, 2 TD to TE Jimmy Graham) in a 31-7 blowout of the Cardinals in Week 3. But the real story for the Saints is the enormous defensive improvement under DC Rob Ryan (295 YPG allowed) compared to last year (440 YPG allowed). These teams last met in 2009, a 46-34 Saints win.
FORECASTER: Dolphins 25, Saints 20
