Service Plays Monday 9/28/15

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Matt Fargo NFL

Fargo's 10* NFL MONDAY NIGHT ENFORCER (INSANE 66% PRIMETIME)
The Packers are off to a non-surprising 2-0 start as they took out Chicago Week One and then defeated the Seahawks last week in primetime. While many could consider this a letdown, the fact they have five straight non-divisional games right after this puts them in a position where they can run the table and start off 8-0 before their next NFC North game which is against the Lions. The Chiefs lost a heartbreaker last week against the Broncos as they allowed two touchdowns in a span of nine seconds in the final minute of the game to even their record out at 1-1. The first game was a suspect victory however as they defeated the Texans but were actually outgained in doing so. It is pretty common knowledge at this point about how good Aaron Rodgers has been at home but the fact that he has thrown 43 touchdowns with no interceptions with a 124 passer rating in his last 18 games at home is pretty amazing. Going back, the Packers have won 31 of their last 32 regular-season home games in which Rodgers was the primary quarterback. This does not count the loss to the Bears two years ago where he left with an injury. He may not have the services of Eddie Lacy tonight but he was a non-factor last week against Seattle and his backup James Starks provides a more than capable backup. While there are some key factors that favor the Packers, they are in a very simple yet effective situation where we play on teams on Monday night that have yet to lose and going up against a non-divisional opponent. This situation is 20-4 ATS (83.3 percent) since 1990. 10* (490) Green Bay Packers
 

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Totals 4 You "Total Domination" for Monday, September 28th

2015 AFC vs NFL Monday Night Total of the Year!!!!!
Kansas City/Green Bay over 48 1/2

Please note: due to discount, guarantees do not apply to this package

September's Major League TV Total of the Month!!!!!
St Louis/Pittsburgh over 7

MLB Best Bets
Toronto/Baltimore over 8 1/2
Boston/New York over 8 1/2
Minnesota/Cleveland over 7 1/2
Detroit/Texas over 8 1/2
 

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From Platinum Plays.
[h=1]500K MNF Shocker[/h]the Kansas City Chiefs +6½ over
the Green Bay Packers

Best Bets
the Kansas City/Green Bay Game UNDER
the Total Of 49 Points

the Pittsburgh Pirates w/Happ -125 over
the St Louis Cardinals

the Toronto Blue Jays w/Estrada -130 over
the Baltimore Orioles

the Texas Rangers w/Lewis -125 over
the Detroit Tigers


PLATINUM PLAYS PREMIER PICK




the NY Yankees w/Nova -140 over
the Boston Red Sox



 
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XpertPicks

Monday Baseball


Play Houston -120 over Seattle---Top Play

Roenis Elias has lost 16 of the last 24 home games and he has lost 27 of
the last 44 games when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs.
Roenis Elias has lost 17 of the last 25 games when the line posted is
between +125 to -125 and he has lost 23 of the last 38 night games.


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BONUS MLB BASEBALL PLAYS

Play Detroit +120 over Texas (MLB Bonus Play)
Play Oakland +160 over Los Angeles Angels (MLB Bonus Play)
 
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GC; MLB Play

Monday card led by a Huge 6* Triple perfect release and a 100% MLB Totals system that averages 12 runs per game. NFL Top Total +Denver and MLB nice winners on Sunday. MLB Play below


On Monday the free MLB System Play is on the LA. Angels. Game 984 at 10:05 eastern. The Angels fit a nice 84% system here tonight that pertains to teams that are home favorites off a 1 run home win vs an opponent like Oakland that is off a 1 run home win. Oakland has lost 7 of the last 8 on the road vs leftys and thats what they will see tonight with H. Santiago who has a solid 2.53 home era. Doubront for Oakland has a 5.65 road Era. Oakland has lost 17 of 24 this month and 4 of 5 on the road off a home loss. Go with the Angels. On Monday the Lead play is a triple perfect 6* Monday night football super system play and a 100% MLB Totals system that averages 12 runs on average. NFL Top totals play cashed easily in Sunday. Jump on now and start the week big with the most powerful data available. For the Bonus Play Take the LA. Angels. GC
 

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Brandon Lang
My 25 Dime selection is 2-team 6-point teaser on the Packers and the Over.
The current line on this game is -6 and 49 in Vegas and offshore.
With the teaser take the Packers down to a pickem and the total down to 43 and go Over. Be sure to shop around for the best lines available.
 
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Alex Smart Sports- NFL Monday Night Football - Chiefs @ Packers
NFL | Sep 28 8:30 pm
Green Bay Packers vs Kansas City Chiefs
While the Chiefs look to turn the page on a bitter loss to a division rival, the Packers try to move on from a satisfying revenge win when the teams face off Monday night at Lambeau Field. Kansas City draws another tough assignment in its visit to Lambeau Field, where Green Bay (2-0) owns a 10-game win streak behind what my own power rankings suggest of the NFLs best QB along with NEs Tom Brady. Counting the postseason, Rodgers has recorded has had 18 consecutive home games without an interception including last week's 27-17 victory over Seattle. The reigning NFL MVP has attempted 539 passes, thrown for 43 touchdowns and posted a 124.0 passer rating over a streak dating back to December 2012. . KC and Green Bay have not played here in Wisconsin since 2003.
GREEN BAY is 6-0 ATS in home games in the first half of the season over the last few seasons winning SU by an average 17 ppg. coach Mike McCarthy is 4-1 in the L/5 Monday nighters with Rodgers sporting a 116.3 passer rating over those five games. Im betting on Green Bay bringing home the cheese in this spot,'
Green Bay Packers to cover 1 unit reg selection
 
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PACKERS vs CHIEFS Monday night 3*** NFL Over / Under WINNER from King Creole:
Plays rated 2 thru 5 stars
8:30pm ET - 5:30pm PT / #489
KANSAS CITY CHIEFS @ GREEN BAY PACKERS

3* Play on: OVER THE TOTAL
I’m aware that tonight’s OU Line is on the high-side (48.5 to 49 points). I’m also aware that ALL THREE Monday night games so far this season have gone ‘UNDER the Total’. And finally, I’m aware that 65% to 67% of all totals action in tonight’s game is on the OVER (squares?). With that said, we’re still very confident in our play. At the very least, I have multiple situations that I queried in our NFL database that point to a high-scoring outcome tonight. I can’t speak for ‘Joe Public’, BUT I at least have the ‘OU ammo’ to back up our call. Green Bay is a team in which you must almost AUTOMATICALLY play the ‘Over’ when they are at home against non-divisiion competition. The PACKERS have gone a 12-1 O/U in the last 5 years (8-0 O/U in last 4) as non-division home favorites of -4 > Points when the OU Line is > 45 points (like tonight). This situation came up four times last season for Green Bay, In those games, the OVER went a PERFECT 4-0… and the average combined points in those games was a very impressive 65.8!
So when we go into our database and query non-divsion Monday night games in which the host is a hefty favorite and the OU Line is in the high side… we come up with the following: 7-1 O/U since 2004: All MONDAY NIGHT non-division home favorites of > 4 points (PACKERS) when the OU line is 48 or more points.
Kansas City is playing this game with extended rest. They last played 11 days ago on THURSDAY night at home against the Denver Broncos. The OU line in that division game was 41.5 points, and the final scored was 31-24. That game went OVER the Total… and that outcome plays a big part in the situation that I uncovered…
NFL teams playing off a THURSDAY home game that went ‘OVER the Total’ (CHIEFS) have gone a remarkable 32-4 O/U in their next game over the last five years. That’s 89% OVERS. But wait, there’s more. If these teams are on the ROAD in their next game (like KANSAS CITY), the results improve to an unreal 20-0 O/U. That’s 20 ‘OVERS’…and ZERO ‘Unders’! How can we go against that?
Kansas City was a division home favorite in that last game, and lost to Denver OUTRIGHT. These teams usually rebound with a high-scoring result in their next game… 11-1 O/U since 2005: All non-division underdogs of > 1 points (CHIEFS) playing off a SU division home FAVORITE loss… when the OU line is 47 > points.
Green Bay comes into Game Three with a perfect 2-0 record. They won AND covered the spread in each of their first two games…and are now favored at home. Check out how these teams have done from an OU perspective in their next game.
11-2 O/U since 2007: All GAME THREE home favorites of > 3 points off BB SUA and ATS wins in their first two games (PACKERS). When the OU linen in these games is 39 > points, the results improve to 9-1 O/U. We had two more such teams playing YESTERDAY in the NFL in the same situation (Game 3 HF > 3 off BB SUATS wins). Those two teams were the CAROLINA PANTHERS (vs New Orleans) and the ARIZONA CARDINALS (vs San Fran). Guess what? BOTH of those games ALSO went ‘Over the Total’. So we will ride this HIGH-scoring pattern one more time on Monday night.
Green Bay plays in the NFC NORTH Division while Kansas City plays in the AFC WEST Division…
10-1 O/U since 2007: All NFC NORTH favorites (PACKERS) versus any AFC WEST opponent (CHIEFS)… when the OU line is 36 > points.
In 2013 (two years ago), there was a great ‘in-season’ pattern which pointed to a HIGH-scoring outcome in all non-conference games (AFC vs NFC). That pattern came back dow to earth last year. But in SOME situations, we STIL want to look to go OVER (like tonight). In the last three years, NFC Conference favorites of -5 > points (PACKERS) have gone 23-7-2 O/U versus any AFC Conference opponent (CHIEFS) when the OU line is > 40 points.
 
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NORTHCOAST SPORTS LATE PHONES for Monday
2* Kansas City (+6/+5.5) over Green Bay
Top Opinions: Monday Night Marquee: OVER 48.5 Kansas City/Green Bay
 

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Frank Patron

20,000 Unit NFL Lock


Kansas City Chiefs +5.5 over Packers
 

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