Service Plays Monday 8/4/14

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BONES BEST BET

REDS @ INDIANS – UNDER 7 -120 *3* BEST BET
REDS @ INDIANS – First 5innings – UNDER 3.5 -120 *2*

Lights out vs Lights out here tonight! Kluber has been sensational for months now (11-6, 2.61 ERA) but almost unhittable over his last 3 starts with 26.2 innings pitched, a 0.68 ERA, and an out of this world 0.49 WHIP! Simon owns a 7-2 road record, a 2.45 ERA and a 1.05 WHIP. All extremely impressive numbers for the Reds Allstar. Throwing in the first 5 under as well because we are getting tired of getting burned by these 9th inning meltdowns.

TIGERS ML -120 *3*

Ever since Scherzer’s blowup against the Royals on June 17th, he has now put up 7 straight quality starts. Scherzer has allowed 3 runs just once in those past 7 starts with all others being either 1 or 2 runs allowed. He has also not lost since that June 17th start – he is 5-0 and has 2 no decision’s along the way.
 
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WUNDERDOG SPORTS FREE PICK

MLB Game: Tampa Bay Rays @ Oakland Athletics
Time: Monday 08/04 10:05 PM Eastern
Pick: Tampa Bay +133 (moneyline)

The Tampa Bay Rays were left for dead in June when they slipped to 18 games under .500, but this team has rallied back behind better and more timely hitting, and excellent pitching. The Rays have moved back into the heated race for the second wild card race in the AL where they sit just 3.5 games off the pace. The Rays staff has allowed three runs or less in 12 of their last 16 games. Oakland has suddenly gone cold on offense as they have scored 12 runs in their last four games, but eight of the 12 all occurred in the same inning, leaving them with just four runs in 35 of their last 36 innings of play. The Rays pitching has positioned them to win with short totals as they are 14-2 in their last 16 to a total of 7-8.5, and Cobb has delivered a 5-0 record in his last five road starts. The A’s have been misfiring in series openers as they have dropped four straight. Make the play on Tampa Bay.
 

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RickJ's Handicapping Picks Monday MLB Play
1/2 Unit
Yankees +106
 
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LineCatchers

Zach Greinke will toe the rubber for the home side tonight and he has been dominant in 9 home starts in 2014, going 6-1 with a stingy 2.52 ERA and 0.97 WHIP. Greinke has allowed just 1 ER in his last 15 IP, earning wins against the Giants and Braves in his last 2 outings.

Garrett Richards gets the nod for the Angels tonight and has had a great season up to now, he is 11-4 with a 2.74 ERA and 1.04 WHIP. The Angels however are just 1-5 in Richards’ last 6 outings as a road underdog.

The Dodgers are 32-16 in games following a loss this season and I believe they are showing good value tonight with Greinke on the mound.

LA Dodgers - 128
 
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Andre Gomes

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 903 Detroit Tigers ML (w/ M. Scherzer) @ -123 / 1.81 on 5 Dimes

I’m taking the Tigers in this contest as I have no problem in laying a small juice w/ Scherzer on the mound.

We have a rested DET bullpen (important factor w/ this DET team) as their SP’s went deep during the weekend vs. COL: Verlander 8IP’s, Porcello 8IP’s and yesterday Anibal Sanchez went 7 IP’s! On the other end, the Yankees are coming from a tiring “ESPN game” vs. rivals Red Sox in a game that last almost 4 hours. This is a potential letdown spot IMO.

One of our biggest plays of the season was w/ Scherzer in their last start (Run Line Play). My notes about him:

“They will throw Max Scherzer to the mound and I expect Scherzer to take care of the business. His 3.31 FIP & 3.18 xFIP numbers in this month are good but not great, but please note the level of his opponents in the month of July (Ranked teams vs. RHP’s in this season):

LAA #8
CLE #4
LAD #5
TB #12

Yes, all top teams! Only the Rays aren’t a top 10 offensive team vs. RHP’s using season numbers, but I have no doubts that they are a top team right now – ranked #4 in the L30 days! Still, Scherzer managed to give his team a chance to win those games. He already has made 3 starts vs. CWS this season w/ great numbers of 2, 0 & 0 ER’s allowed!”

Well, he didn’t disappoint us: 7.0IP, 5H, 1ER, 6/1 K/BB ratio w/ nice 1.86 FIP & 2.75 xFIP! I expect him to be decent (once again) today.

On the other end, I’ve also made a play in NYY’s B. McCarthy in his last but we had to sweat to win that play @TEX as he didn’t fare well w/ 6.00 ERA + 4.81 FIP + 4.32 xFIP! Even though he has been solid lately, note that he has faced TEX 2x & CIN in his last 3 starts, we just can’t compare them vs. DET’s power offense! McCarthy’s 17.3% HR/FB ratio is a potential problem tonight vs. DET power bats @NYY stadium, and the correlation of all these factors = Single Dime Play w/ Detroit tonight!
 
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SMART SPORTS INVESTMENTS / SSIwins

MLB 7:05 pm Cincinnati Reds at Cleveland Indians
UNDER 7 for 3 units

MLB 7:05 pm Baltimore Orioles at Washington Nationals
Baltimore Orioles 130 for 3 units

MLB 10:05 pm Tampa Bay Rays at Oakland Athletics
UNDER 7 for 3 units

MLB 10:10 pm LA Angels at LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers -125 for 4 units

MLB 7:05 pm Cincinnati Reds at Cleveland Indians
Cincinnati Reds +180 for 2 units
 
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Ecks and Bacon


Ben lee won on Sunday in MLB in the National League with the Padres -$130/Braves.

For Monday in Interleague play "Mr Chalk" likes the Indians -$170/Reds.

Ben lee is 182-212-5 -$2787 through Forty Weeks.

"Mr Chalk" is 58-40 -$166 for the 2014 MLB season.

All E&B selections will be for $50 unless noted.
 

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