jeff benton monday
0-1 yesterday MINUS 15 dimes MINUS $150..overall, 101-124-4 MINUS 460
Monday's Plays ...
20 DIME selection on the <b>OAKLAND A’S</b> over the Yankees from the Bronx. The A’s are a solid undeadog of +110 to +115 in this series opener, so please shop around so you get the best underdog number possibele. Note that you must list Oakland’s Trevor Cahill and New York’s Dustin Moseley as the starting pitchers. If either does not pitch, this play is VOID!
10 DIME selection on the <b>PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES</b> over the Dodgers from Dodger Stadium. Philadelphia is a -140 favorite pretty much across the board. Note that you must list Roy Halladay as Philadelphia’s starting pitcher. If Halladay does not pitch, this play is VOID!
<b>A’s</b>
You better believe I’m taking a shot with Trevor Cahill as an underdog, even if it is against the Yankees in the Bronx. And yes, I’m aware that one of Cahill’s worst starts of the season came at home against the Yanks, when he gave up six runs in six innings of a 6-1 loss on July 6. However, the Yankees had all their big guns in that game, including Alex Rodriguez, who drove in five of the runs (four of which came on a grand slam).
Well, A-Rod is on the DL, and in addition to that, Mark Teixeira is battling a thumb injury and likely won’t play again tonight. Obvaously, no A-Rod or Teixeira significantly weakens the Yankees’ lineup and makes Cahill an even stronger play here. Keep in mind that since losing to the Yankees, Cahill has delivered eight quality starts in nine trips to the mound, including seven in a row coming into tonight. In those eight games, the right-hander yielded a total of six earned runs in 61 innings (0.89 ERA), going at least seven innings in every game.
And its not like Cahill has faced a bunch of cupcakes during this stretch. Since losing to New York, he’s dominated the White Sox, Rangers (twice), Twins and Rays, all top-notch offenses. In fact, in the two particular games against Texas, he gave up just two unearned runs and eight hits in 16 innings.
Speaking of Texas, the A’s just took two of three there t his weekend, pounding out wins of 5-0 and 8-2 the last two days. They’ve won four of six on this current road trip, and they’re 8-4 over their last 12 games to take over second place in the A.L. West.
Meanwhile, New York has been playing .500 baseball over the past three weeks (14-13), going just 8-7 at home during this span. And tonight’s starter, Dustin Moseley, has a 5.28 ERA in five starts this month, giving up seven home runs in 29 innings. The only reason he won three of those five games is because the Yankees scored 27 runs. With no A-Rod and no Teixeira in the lineup – and with Cahill on the mound – I’d be shocked if Moseley gets that kind of run support tonight. Besides, in eight career appeareances against the A’s, Moseley has given up 26 runs in 33 1/3 innings (7.02 ERA, .324 batting average-against).
Bottom line: The Yankees are 20 games over .500 at home (42-22), the A’s are 10 games under .500 on the road (27-37) and Oakland has lost 19 of 26 in this rivalry (including seven of eight overall and eight of nine in the Bronx) … and yet look how cheaply the Yankees are favored! Make no mistake, the oddsmakers are trying to tell us something with this cheap number – and what they’re telling us is Oakland has far and away a HUGE starting pitching edge (and FYI, the A’s have won 23 of Cahill’s last 31 starts overall and eight of his last nine on the road, while the Yankees have dropped four straight Monday contests and four consecutive series openers).
<b>Phillies</b>
How impressive were the Phillies over the weekend, sweeping the first-place Padres on the road – just the second team all year to sweep San Diego. And Philadelphia did it with pitching, giving up just three runs in the three victories.
Now the Phillies give the ball to Roy Halladay, who despite paltry run support – Philadelphia averages barely four runs per game behind its ace – is 16-9 with a 2.22 ERA, including 7-4 with a 2.42 ERA on the road. And when pitching in night games, Halladay has been virtually untorchable (1.89 ERA in 18 games covering 140 innings).
Prior to Wednesday’s 3-2 home loss to Houston, Halladay had won six straight starts and Philly had been 8-1 in his previous nine contests. The former Cy Young winner also is 3-0 with a 1.50 ERA in three career starts against Los Angeles (all in interleague play when Halladay was in Toronto).
Dodgers starter Hiroki Kuroda has a solid 3.56 ERA this season, but just a 9-11 record. And since May 23, L.A. has scored three runs or fewer in 12 of Kuroda’s last 17 starts, going 6-11 in those 17 games. The last time Kuroda faced the Phillies was in last year’s N.L. Championship Series, and Kuroda got blown up, giving up six runs in 1 1/3 innings. Philadelphia won that series in five games and is 7-2 in the last nine meetings.
Finally, the Dodgers are a team in turmoil. They’ve fallen out of the playoff race by losing 25 of 43 games since returning from the All-Star break; they’ve struggled to score runs consistently; and today, they finally unloaded Manny Ramirez to the White Sox, leaving another gaping hole in their weak lineup.