Jeff Scott Sports
3 UNIT PLAY
DETROIT RL (-115) over Cleveland
Armando Gallaraga has faced the Tribe 3 times this year and he is 3-0 with a 3.57 ERA in those starts, with the Cats outscoring Cleveland by 5.7 rpg in the 3 starts. Armando has had a nice year for the Tigers overall, going 12-4 with a 3.17 ERA, including a 4-2 mark with a 3.67 ERA at home. Detroit is 7-2 in his home starts and have outscored opponents by 2 rpg in the process. Tonight Armando has to face a Cleveland squad that has been hitting well of late as they are averaging 7.1 rpg in thier last 7 games, but a closers look of those numbers show 3 games in Texas and 3 home games vs the Royals in that stretch. Certainly not the kind of pitching or conditions they will be facing tonight. The Tribe has been outscored by 2 runs or more in 10 of their last 12 road losses and they have been outscored by 2 runs or more in all 4 losses in Detroit on the year. Zach Jackson has made just 2 starts on the yera and he is 0-0 with a 5.25 ERA in those starts, while he has a 2-1 record with a 6.15 ERA in his career on the road. Zach will be taking on a team that hits .298 and scores 5.6 rpg at home. Detroit also scores 5.2 rpg vs lefty starters and 5.6 rpg at night. Detroit is clearly the better team here, with the better starting pitcher and they should eaily win this one by 2+ runs.
2 UNIT PLAYS
ChiSox/ Baltimore Over 11.5
The Over is 5-1 in White Sox last 6 road games vs. a left-handed starter and 19-7-1 in White Sox last 27 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30, while the Over is 16-5-3 in Orioles last 24 home games vs. a left-handed starter and 23-9-3 in Orioles last 35 vs. a team with a winning record. Camden Yards is one of the best hitting parks in the league as it's ranked 3rd in OPS and Scoring (10.6 rpg) and over the last 18 games there an average of 12 rpg have been scored. Tonight's pitching matchup is indicative of a game that will put at least 15 runs on the board. Clayton Richard for the Sox has not pitched, as he has a 6.75 ERA in his 4 starts on the yeay, including a 9.90 ERA in his 2 road starts. Clayton's starts have averaged 12.8 rpg overall and 14 rpg on the road. Chris Waters has also had a rough go (ERA wise) in his 3 starts for the O's this year as he owns a 4.98 ERA overall and a 10.00 ERA at home. His starts overall have averaged 13.8 rpg, while his two home starts have put up 19.5 rpg. I know there is bad pitching on the mound, but you also need two offenses that can take advantage of it to get an Over with a line this high.The Sox have really been killing the ball lately as they have averaged 8.4 rpg and hit .311 in their last 7 games, with those 7 games averaging 12.4 rpg. The Orioles have been knocking the cover off the ball as well lately, as they come in hitting .315 and scoring 7.1 rpg in their last 10 games, with those 10 games averaging 13.3 rpg. Camden Yards is starting to resemble Ranger Stadium and with some horrible pitching and hot hitting I can't see how this game doesn't put 15+ runs on the board.
Oakland/ LA ANGELS Under 8
The Under is 24-10-3 in Angels last 37 games vs. a left-handed starter and 18-8-2 in Weavers last 28 starts vs. a team with a losing record, while the Under is 20-8-1 in Athletics last 29 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game and 25-7 in Athletics last 32 during game 1 of a series. Neither offense has been hitting very well of late as the A's come in hitting just .214 and scoring just 3 rpg in their last 10 games, while the Halos come in hitting just .246 and scoring 3.3 rpg in their last 10 games. The A's score just 4.2 rpg vs righty starters on the year, while the Angles put up just 4.4 rpg vs lefty starters. Dallas Braden does have a 4.53 ERA overall and a 4.66 ERA ERA on the road, but his starts have been low scoring as his overall starts have put up just 7 rpg, while his road starts have averaged just 6.5 rpg. Jered Weaver has pitched decently for the Halos on the year, with a 4.43 ERA overall and a 4.03 ERA at home. Jered also has a 2.75 ERA in 5 starts vs the A's, with his last 3 starts vs them averaging 5.7 rpg. The last 9 in this series has averaged just 7.8 rpg and with two struggling offense, I see another low scoring game here.
1 UNIT PLAYS
Arizona/ SAN DIEGO Under 6.5
The Under is 5-1 in Diamondbacks last 6 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game, while the Under is 13-4-2 in Padres last 19 during game 1 of a series and 14-5-2 in Padres last 21 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game. Last week these Danny Haren and Jake Peavey squared off in Arizona and both were hit hard, while the game put up 14 total runs. You can bet that both starters are angry and want some redemption here. Jake Peavey has pitched very well at home with a 1.42 ERA, while his home starts have averaged 5.1 rpg. Jale also owns a 1.29 ERA in his last 3 home starts vs the Pads, with those games averaging 6 rpg. The Padres don't hit well at home, as they have a .233 BA and score 3.4 rpg at Petco on the year. They also come in hitting just .235 and scoring 3 rpg in their last 7 games overall, plus they have scored just 2.8 rpg in Jake's home starts on the year. Danny Haren has pitched very well this year, with a 3.12 ERA overall and a 2.96 ERA on the road. Danny also has a 3.00 ERA in 6 starts vs the Padres. Arizona's offense struggles on the road scoring just 4.2 rpg and they should have problems getting going tonight vs Jake. Have ya ever seen a game where negative runs were scored. Not sure how that would happen, but you get the point. I'm expecting avery low scoring game in this one.
Texas +125 over KANSAS CITY
