EVAN ALTEMUS
3 Units Atlanta -135
Both of these teams have shown a strong difference in their home and road performance this season. Atlanta returns home after another bad road trip, but I think they will turn things around at home tonight. Routinely this season teams have returned home after a bad trip to get a win in that first game. It doesn’t hurt tonight that they have a dominant pitcher, Tim Hudson, getting the start. Hudson has been pitching better and better with each start and has pitched well against the Mets and at home. This start is setting up perfectly for Hudson, as he is getting to face a New York team that isn’t playing well right now. Even if Mets starter Johan Santana pitches well, the bullpen has an ERA of 4.41 over their last 10 games, while the Braves bullpen has an ERA of 1.85 in that same stretch. Look for the Braves return to home, better bullpen, and Hudson to be the difference.
3 Units Atlanta -135
Both of these teams have shown a strong difference in their home and road performance this season. Atlanta returns home after another bad road trip, but I think they will turn things around at home tonight. Routinely this season teams have returned home after a bad trip to get a win in that first game. It doesn’t hurt tonight that they have a dominant pitcher, Tim Hudson, getting the start. Hudson has been pitching better and better with each start and has pitched well against the Mets and at home. This start is setting up perfectly for Hudson, as he is getting to face a New York team that isn’t playing well right now. Even if Mets starter Johan Santana pitches well, the bullpen has an ERA of 4.41 over their last 10 games, while the Braves bullpen has an ERA of 1.85 in that same stretch. Look for the Braves return to home, better bullpen, and Hudson to be the difference.
jeff benton monday
0-1 yesterday minus 20 dimes or minus $250..overall, 84-106-3 MINUS 445.
Monday's Winner ...
15 DIME seleation on <b>MINNESOTA TWINS</b> over Tampa Bay in the opener of a series at Tropicana Field. The odds in this contest range from a pick-em (-105) to the Twins as a +110 underdog. Make sure when placeing your wager that you list both Carl Pavano (Minnesota) and Jeremy Hellickson (Tampa Bay) as the starting pitcrers. If either does not go, this play is VOID!
<b>Twins</b>
Both the Twins and Rays are scorching hot, but Minnesota is the right side here for two reasons: 1) It has the better, more experienced pitcher on the mound; and 2) Tampa Bay is in a prime letdown spot.
Let’s start with the first point: Crazy as it sounds, the Twins’ Carl Pavano has had a tremandous season, going 13-6 with a 3.21 ERA and a 1.03 WHIP. Pavano has delivered a quality start in 15 of his 21 starts this season, and he’s won eight consecutive decisions and given up three earned runs or fewer in nine of his last 10 starts. The right-hander finished off July by going 4-0 with a 1.76 ERA and a 0.91 WHIP in his last four outings, including two complete games. In fact, Pavano has pitched into the seventh inning in 12 of his last 13 appearances, prodeucing four complete games in his last eight.
Pavano also has solid career numbers against Tampa Bay, going 5-3 with a 3.65 ERA in 11 starts. In five starts against the Rays since 2008, Pavano has allowed three earned runs or fewer in each contest.
Pitching opposite Pavano tonight is rookie Jeremy Hellickson, who is making his big-league debut. All reports suggest Hellickson is the real deal – he was 12-3 with 123 strikeouts against just 35 walks in 117 2/3 innings at Triple-A. However, how will he respond when the bright lights are on him and he’s pitching for a contender that’s just one game back of the Yankees in the A.L. East? How will he respond when facing a Twins squad that’s won 13 of its last 16 games, including eight in a row (and scored 66 runs in those eight games)?
Maybe Hellickson blocks out the pressure and confounds the Twins’ offense, but I’m betting on the opposite happening. As for the letdown situation, Tampa Bay just took two of three from the Yankees this weekend to close that gap in the A.L. East race. After such an important, high-pressure series over the weekend, don’t be surprised if the Rays aren’t exactly 100 percent focused on tonight’s contest. And keep this in mind, too: While Tampa Bay has been surging – it is 19-6 in its last 25 games – it has done it mostly with pitching. The Rays have allowed three runs or fewer in eight of their last 10 games, but they’ve been held to four runs or fewer in seven of those 10 contests (including the last four in a row).
With Pavano going tonight, it’s doubrful that the Rays’ offense is suddenly going to wake up and explode for six runs or more. That puts even more pressure on this rookie Hellickson in his first major-league start.
In addition to going 13-3 in its last 16 games, Minnesota has won five straight and six of seven on the road. The Twins are also 6-0 in Pavano’s last six road starts and 7-2 in his last nine as a road underdog.
0-1 yesterday minus 20 dimes or minus $250..overall, 84-106-3 MINUS 445.
Monday's Winner ...
15 DIME seleation on <b>MINNESOTA TWINS</b> over Tampa Bay in the opener of a series at Tropicana Field. The odds in this contest range from a pick-em (-105) to the Twins as a +110 underdog. Make sure when placeing your wager that you list both Carl Pavano (Minnesota) and Jeremy Hellickson (Tampa Bay) as the starting pitcrers. If either does not go, this play is VOID!
<b>Twins</b>
Both the Twins and Rays are scorching hot, but Minnesota is the right side here for two reasons: 1) It has the better, more experienced pitcher on the mound; and 2) Tampa Bay is in a prime letdown spot.
Let’s start with the first point: Crazy as it sounds, the Twins’ Carl Pavano has had a tremandous season, going 13-6 with a 3.21 ERA and a 1.03 WHIP. Pavano has delivered a quality start in 15 of his 21 starts this season, and he’s won eight consecutive decisions and given up three earned runs or fewer in nine of his last 10 starts. The right-hander finished off July by going 4-0 with a 1.76 ERA and a 0.91 WHIP in his last four outings, including two complete games. In fact, Pavano has pitched into the seventh inning in 12 of his last 13 appearances, prodeucing four complete games in his last eight.
Pavano also has solid career numbers against Tampa Bay, going 5-3 with a 3.65 ERA in 11 starts. In five starts against the Rays since 2008, Pavano has allowed three earned runs or fewer in each contest.
Pitching opposite Pavano tonight is rookie Jeremy Hellickson, who is making his big-league debut. All reports suggest Hellickson is the real deal – he was 12-3 with 123 strikeouts against just 35 walks in 117 2/3 innings at Triple-A. However, how will he respond when the bright lights are on him and he’s pitching for a contender that’s just one game back of the Yankees in the A.L. East? How will he respond when facing a Twins squad that’s won 13 of its last 16 games, including eight in a row (and scored 66 runs in those eight games)?
Maybe Hellickson blocks out the pressure and confounds the Twins’ offense, but I’m betting on the opposite happening. As for the letdown situation, Tampa Bay just took two of three from the Yankees this weekend to close that gap in the A.L. East race. After such an important, high-pressure series over the weekend, don’t be surprised if the Rays aren’t exactly 100 percent focused on tonight’s contest. And keep this in mind, too: While Tampa Bay has been surging – it is 19-6 in its last 25 games – it has done it mostly with pitching. The Rays have allowed three runs or fewer in eight of their last 10 games, but they’ve been held to four runs or fewer in seven of those 10 contests (including the last four in a row).
With Pavano going tonight, it’s doubrful that the Rays’ offense is suddenly going to wake up and explode for six runs or more. That puts even more pressure on this rookie Hellickson in his first major-league start.
In addition to going 13-3 in its last 16 games, Minnesota has won five straight and six of seven on the road. The Twins are also 6-0 in Pavano’s last six road starts and 7-2 in his last nine as a road underdog.
BK PROFESSIONAL SPORTS BETTING
BK's Monday card
BK Professional Sports Betting went 2-1/+$40..Recap for the week I went 9-6/-$430 and for 13 week running MONEY TOTAL am still +$1160..Guys I couldn't recover from Tuesday C.P. loser, we had 5 winning days in that week though!!!
Today's card has some SQUARE SUCKER BETS they would be REDS, TWINS, CARDINALS them 3 games are a DANGEROUS PROPOSITION and so you guys know betting T.Y.D. SQUARE PLAYS, I have them winning at a 44.2% CLIP!!!
MONDAYS PLAYS
METS.......Risking $100 to win $130. Guys I have a system that I had followed for years, short story it involves a home team coming off an extend road trip. This play fits perfectly!!!
UNDER 8 PIRATES GAME...Risking $110 to win $100..
Bernie's 8/2 TOP MLB PLAYS OF THE DAY!!!
Bernie's TOP MLB PLAYS OF THE DAY
2* Yankees/Toronto UNDER 9.5
BK's Monday card
BK Professional Sports Betting went 2-1/+$40..Recap for the week I went 9-6/-$430 and for 13 week running MONEY TOTAL am still +$1160..Guys I couldn't recover from Tuesday C.P. loser, we had 5 winning days in that week though!!!
Today's card has some SQUARE SUCKER BETS they would be REDS, TWINS, CARDINALS them 3 games are a DANGEROUS PROPOSITION and so you guys know betting T.Y.D. SQUARE PLAYS, I have them winning at a 44.2% CLIP!!!
MONDAYS PLAYS
METS.......Risking $100 to win $130. Guys I have a system that I had followed for years, short story it involves a home team coming off an extend road trip. This play fits perfectly!!!
UNDER 8 PIRATES GAME...Risking $110 to win $100..
Bernie's 8/2 TOP MLB PLAYS OF THE DAY!!!
Bernie's TOP MLB PLAYS OF THE DAY
2* Yankees/Toronto UNDER 9.5
HAMMERtheBOOK
ROTATION 901/902: 5-UNITS: CINCINNATI REDS @ PITTSBURGH PIRATES (OVER 8-RUNS @ Bookmaker, 5dimes, the greek & Bodog)
ROTATION 903/904: 3-UNITS: NEW YORK METS @ ATLANTA BRAVES (BRAVES ML -136 @ Pinnancle)
ROTATION 905/906: 4-UNITS: MILWAUKEE BREWERS @ CHICAGO CUBS (BREWERS ML -113 @ Bet Jamaica & Pinnancle)
ROTATION 911/912: 5-UNITS: SAN DIEGO PADRES @ LOS ANGELES DODGERS (OVER 6 1/2 RUNS @ Pinnancle, Legends, Diamond & YouWager)
ROTATION 915/916: 3-UNITS: MINNESOTA TWINS @ TAMPA BAY RAYS (TWINS ML +111 @ Pinnancle)
ROTATION 901/902: 5-UNITS: CINCINNATI REDS @ PITTSBURGH PIRATES (OVER 8-RUNS @ Bookmaker, 5dimes, the greek & Bodog)
ROTATION 903/904: 3-UNITS: NEW YORK METS @ ATLANTA BRAVES (BRAVES ML -136 @ Pinnancle)
ROTATION 905/906: 4-UNITS: MILWAUKEE BREWERS @ CHICAGO CUBS (BREWERS ML -113 @ Bet Jamaica & Pinnancle)
ROTATION 911/912: 5-UNITS: SAN DIEGO PADRES @ LOS ANGELES DODGERS (OVER 6 1/2 RUNS @ Pinnancle, Legends, Diamond & YouWager)
ROTATION 915/916: 3-UNITS: MINNESOTA TWINS @ TAMPA BAY RAYS (TWINS ML +111 @ Pinnancle)
