Scott rickenback
MONDAY MLB analysis (3 plays):
Rickenbach MLB Game #909/910 - Earliest Cash - 8* OVER 9 in Cleveland vs Boston @ 1:10 ET Monday -
The Red Sox won 16-2 yesterday and have now won 3 straight games and scored an average of 10.3 runs
per game in the process. The Indians are off of a 5-4 win yesterday and have now won 4 straight games
and scored an average of 9.3 runs per game in the process. The point is that two very confident teams
with surging lineups are matched up early Monday afternoon and this should lead to plenty of
"fireworks" on offense. The Indians are an incredible 34-17 to the over in home games this season. The
Red Sox have seen both games at Cleveland go over the total this season. Boston should have no trouble
with the offerings of Josh Tomlin as his recent struggles continue. The over is 7-1-1 in Tomlin's 9 home
starts this season and he comes into this start having allowed 4 earned runs or more in 4 of his last 6
starts and this includes 7 earned runs in each of his last two starts. He'll be opposed by Boston's Drew
Pomeranz who has a 5.26 ERA in his last 5 starts. The southpaw has given up 28 hits and 13 walks for a
1.60 WHIP in his last 5 starts. 5 of Cleveland's last 7 games against left-handed starters have gone over
the total and I look for another one here as both of these lineups remain red hot. 8* OVER in Cleveland
Rickenbach MLB Game #919/920 - Total Dominator - 8* OVER 8 in Tampa Bay vs San Diego @ 7:10 ET
Monday - When you think of the Padres, you likely don't think of a powerful lineup. However, against
left-handed pitching this season San Diego's .451 slugging percentage ranks them 4th out of all 30
teams! That said, I expect the Padres to enjoy success against Drew Smyly of the Rays as he had more
walks than strikeouts in his most recent start and he faces a Padres team that just faced a lefty
yesterday and had a rare "off day" at the plate. The over is 11-4-2 in Smyly's last 17 starts and the
Padres now will be seeing a southpaw in back to back games after having not faced one for awhile. The
over is 11-3 in Padres inter-league games this season. Also, the over is 19-11 in San Diego games this
season when the posted total is 8 or 8.5 runs. A big key to this play today is that Luis Perdomo gets the
start for the Padres and he seems to have arm fatigue as he has faded in each of his recent starts. He'll
generally get off to a good start with his sinker and then he'll fade and become more and more hittable
as the start goes on. The over is 8-4 in Perdomo's starts this season and he's particularly struggled in his
last 3 starts with a 6.23 ERA that easily could be even higher as he has amassed a 1.96 WHIP in these 3
outings. Perdomo is getting hit at a .337 clip this season and the Rays have averaged 5.5 runs per game
in their last 11 games. 8* OVER 8 in Tampa Bay
Rickenbach MLB Game #904 - RL Game of the Week - 10* Top Play Colorado Rockies +1.5 runs +105 vs
Washington @ 8:40 ET Monday - The Rockies Jorge De la Rosa has pitched much better than his full
season records show. In his 11 starts since mid-June he has allowed more than 3 earned runs only 1
time! In the other 10 starts he has made over this two month period De la Rosa has compiled a fantastic
2.69 ERA. De la Rosa also has a stellar 5-2 record in his career starts against Washington and he has a
1.86 ERA against the Nationals in his last 3 starts. Max Scherzer gets the start for the Nats in this one.
Though he has pitched very well of late, pitching at Coors Field is always a challenge. Also, in his last two
starts against the Rockies (both last August) Scherzer was quite hittable with 7 earned runs on 16 hits in
his 12 innings of work. Scherzer is only 1-4 in his career against the Rockies. With the wind expected to
be blowing in at Coors Field tonight I expect it to be tough for the Nationals to get any kind of big inning
against De la Rosa in this one and the Rockies are likely to be in this one all the way which is why I see
big value with the +1.5 runs available at plus money for this one. The Nationals are 4-3 in their last 7
games but two of those wins came by just a single run. The Rockies have been in a tough stretch on the
road but 3 of their last 6 losses have come by a single run and certainly they are happy to be back home
where De la Rosa is a fantastic 52-19 in his career! Fantastic underdog value here with the Rockies. 10*
COLORADO Run Line +1.5 RUNS Monday
