River City Sharps
3 units
San Francisco Giants +111
While Ryan Vogelsong (4-2, 3.39 ERA) had a shaky start to the season, he has been outstanding over his last three starts and he will take the mound tonight against Stephen Strasburg (5-4, 3.10 ERA) and the Washington Nationals. Both of these teams are playing good baseball right now with the Giants sporting the bst record in MLB. The Nationals have won seven of their last nine games and the Giants are winners of five in a row and 14 of their last 17 games. Over his last three starts, Vogelsong has been dominant going 3-0 with a 2.05 ERA. While Strasburg has been really good at home, life on the road hasn't been quite the same. He is 0-3 over his five road starts this seaosn with a 4.80 ERA. The Giants have given Vogelsong really good support when playing he better teams on their schedule as they are 7-1 in Vogelsong's last eight starts vs. teams with a winning record. An interesting trend line to consider is the Nationals inability to back up wins as they are 8-17 in their last 25 games following a win. We really like the way Vogelsong is throwing the ball right now and we see lots of value backing the Giants here at home tonight.
3 units
San Francisco Giants +111
While Ryan Vogelsong (4-2, 3.39 ERA) had a shaky start to the season, he has been outstanding over his last three starts and he will take the mound tonight against Stephen Strasburg (5-4, 3.10 ERA) and the Washington Nationals. Both of these teams are playing good baseball right now with the Giants sporting the bst record in MLB. The Nationals have won seven of their last nine games and the Giants are winners of five in a row and 14 of their last 17 games. Over his last three starts, Vogelsong has been dominant going 3-0 with a 2.05 ERA. While Strasburg has been really good at home, life on the road hasn't been quite the same. He is 0-3 over his five road starts this seaosn with a 4.80 ERA. The Giants have given Vogelsong really good support when playing he better teams on their schedule as they are 7-1 in Vogelsong's last eight starts vs. teams with a winning record. An interesting trend line to consider is the Nationals inability to back up wins as they are 8-17 in their last 25 games following a win. We really like the way Vogelsong is throwing the ball right now and we see lots of value backing the Giants here at home tonight.
CHASE DIAMOND
15* MLB HIDDEN GEM
NY Yankees vs. Kansas City
Money Line: +117 NY Yankees
This game has the 31-31 Yankees at the 31-32 Royals. Yankees are 3-7 in there last 10 and are desperate coming into this game. The Royals are a up and down team. Vidal Nuno needs a good start here. Vargas the Royals starter has a 6.75 ERA in 8 strats versus the Yankees. Despite Nuno’s poor numbers this year the Yankees are 5-0 in his last 5 road starts. Public is on the Yanks and so are we for a plus money 15* winner
15* MLB HIDDEN GEM
NY Yankees vs. Kansas City
Money Line: +117 NY Yankees
This game has the 31-31 Yankees at the 31-32 Royals. Yankees are 3-7 in there last 10 and are desperate coming into this game. The Royals are a up and down team. Vidal Nuno needs a good start here. Vargas the Royals starter has a 6.75 ERA in 8 strats versus the Yankees. Despite Nuno’s poor numbers this year the Yankees are 5-0 in his last 5 road starts. Public is on the Yanks and so are we for a plus money 15* winner
Monday’s MLB betting cheat sheet: Texas-sized total
Here’s a comprehensive look at betting notes for Monday’s major league games:
Big Faves Come Through
Sunday’s three biggest favorites all came through in afternoon action. The Los Angeles Angels (-165) held on for a 4-2 victory over the Chicago White Sox, while Cincinnati (-163) defeated Philadelphia 4-1 and Oakland (-139)
Nationals Stay Low
The Washington Nationals (-119) capped their stingiest week of the season, blanking the San Diego Padres 6-0 for their third shutout in a six-game stretch. The Nationals have won seven of nine and are 2-5 O/U in their last seven, dropping to 29-25-7 O/U for the season.
Texas-Sized Total
The Texas Rangers (+105, 10) see their biggest home total of the season Monday as they wrap up a four-game series with the Cleveland Indians. Texas went 5-5 S/U and 2-8 O/U in 10 home games in 2013 with the total set at double digits.
Pitching Notes
* Nationals right-hander Stephen Strasburg has been one of the strongest Over bets among starting pitchers, going 14-6-1 O/U in his last 21 outings dating back to the end of last season. Strasburg and the Nationals (-120, 6.5) face host San Francisco on Monday.
* Cincinnati southpaw Tony Cingrani will look to recoup some of his value as he and the Reds (-105, 8) host the Los Angeles Dodgers. Cingrani ranks 211th out of 222 starters in money won at $-527, a far cry from his modest gain of $27 during his rookie 2013 campaign.
Hitting Notes
* Blue Jays slugger Edwin Encarnacion is just 3-for-17 over his last five games while failing to drive in a run during that span. Toronto is 3-2 SU over that stretch but has dropped two straight and has gone Under in three in a row entering Monday’s tilt with visiting Minnesota (+158, 9.5).
* New York Yankees outfielder Alfonso Soriano is mired in a 2-for-21 slump over his last seven games, dipping his average to .229. The Yankees are 2-5 S/U and 3-4 O/U in that span as they conclude their series with host Kansas City (-126, 8).
Totals Streak
New York Mets (7-2-1 O/U): The Mets are caught in the clutches of a six-game losing skid thanks in large part to a pitching staff that has surrendered an average of nearly five runs per game during the streak. New York is 28-25-10 O/U for the season.
Prop of the Day
Take a shot on San Francisco to beat Washington by exactly two runs (+750). Two of the Giants’ previous three victories have been by a pair of runs, and the Giants earned two two-run victories in six meetings with the Nationals in 2013.
Injury Notes
* Tampa Bay right-hander Jeremy Hellickson threw three scoreless innings in a rehab start over the weekend as he recovers from offseason elbow surgery. Hellickson went 12-10 with a 5.17 ERA in 33 starts last season, in which the Rays went 18-15 S/U and 16-15-2 O/U.
* Boston starter Clay Buchholz (knee) reported no soreness after a 48-pitch simulated game. Buchholz has struggled mightily this season, going 2-4 with a 7.02 ERA while losing $-356 in value over 10 starts.
Weather Watch
* Wind at U.S. Cellular Field will blow from left to right field at 11 mph for Monday’s game between the host Chicago White Sox (+114, 8.5) and the Detroit Tigers. Teams averaged 9.46 runs and 2.58 homers in 24 games under similar conditions in 2013, slightly above stadium averages.
Umpire Stat of the Day
Over is 5-1-1 in umpire Jim Wolf’s last seven games behind home plate. Wolf will call the balls and strikes for the series finale between Cleveland and Texas.
** Odds, stats, weather forecast and probable pitchers as of 9:20 a.m. ET Monday.
Here’s a comprehensive look at betting notes for Monday’s major league games:
Big Faves Come Through
Sunday’s three biggest favorites all came through in afternoon action. The Los Angeles Angels (-165) held on for a 4-2 victory over the Chicago White Sox, while Cincinnati (-163) defeated Philadelphia 4-1 and Oakland (-139)
Nationals Stay Low
The Washington Nationals (-119) capped their stingiest week of the season, blanking the San Diego Padres 6-0 for their third shutout in a six-game stretch. The Nationals have won seven of nine and are 2-5 O/U in their last seven, dropping to 29-25-7 O/U for the season.
Texas-Sized Total
The Texas Rangers (+105, 10) see their biggest home total of the season Monday as they wrap up a four-game series with the Cleveland Indians. Texas went 5-5 S/U and 2-8 O/U in 10 home games in 2013 with the total set at double digits.
Pitching Notes
* Nationals right-hander Stephen Strasburg has been one of the strongest Over bets among starting pitchers, going 14-6-1 O/U in his last 21 outings dating back to the end of last season. Strasburg and the Nationals (-120, 6.5) face host San Francisco on Monday.
* Cincinnati southpaw Tony Cingrani will look to recoup some of his value as he and the Reds (-105, 8) host the Los Angeles Dodgers. Cingrani ranks 211th out of 222 starters in money won at $-527, a far cry from his modest gain of $27 during his rookie 2013 campaign.
Hitting Notes
* Blue Jays slugger Edwin Encarnacion is just 3-for-17 over his last five games while failing to drive in a run during that span. Toronto is 3-2 SU over that stretch but has dropped two straight and has gone Under in three in a row entering Monday’s tilt with visiting Minnesota (+158, 9.5).
* New York Yankees outfielder Alfonso Soriano is mired in a 2-for-21 slump over his last seven games, dipping his average to .229. The Yankees are 2-5 S/U and 3-4 O/U in that span as they conclude their series with host Kansas City (-126, 8).
Totals Streak
New York Mets (7-2-1 O/U): The Mets are caught in the clutches of a six-game losing skid thanks in large part to a pitching staff that has surrendered an average of nearly five runs per game during the streak. New York is 28-25-10 O/U for the season.
Prop of the Day
Take a shot on San Francisco to beat Washington by exactly two runs (+750). Two of the Giants’ previous three victories have been by a pair of runs, and the Giants earned two two-run victories in six meetings with the Nationals in 2013.
Injury Notes
* Tampa Bay right-hander Jeremy Hellickson threw three scoreless innings in a rehab start over the weekend as he recovers from offseason elbow surgery. Hellickson went 12-10 with a 5.17 ERA in 33 starts last season, in which the Rays went 18-15 S/U and 16-15-2 O/U.
* Boston starter Clay Buchholz (knee) reported no soreness after a 48-pitch simulated game. Buchholz has struggled mightily this season, going 2-4 with a 7.02 ERA while losing $-356 in value over 10 starts.
Weather Watch
* Wind at U.S. Cellular Field will blow from left to right field at 11 mph for Monday’s game between the host Chicago White Sox (+114, 8.5) and the Detroit Tigers. Teams averaged 9.46 runs and 2.58 homers in 24 games under similar conditions in 2013, slightly above stadium averages.
Umpire Stat of the Day
Over is 5-1-1 in umpire Jim Wolf’s last seven games behind home plate. Wolf will call the balls and strikes for the series finale between Cleveland and Texas.
** Odds, stats, weather forecast and probable pitchers as of 9:20 a.m. ET Monday.
EZWINNERS
3 STAR SELECTION: (922) Los Angeles Angels -$115
(Risking $345 to win $300)
(Action)
2 STAR SELECTION: (901) Chicago Cubs +$130
(Risking $200 to win $260)
(Action)
2 STAR SELECTION: (911) Minnesota Twins +$155
(Risking $200 to win $310)
(Action)
2 STAR SELECTION: (913) Boston Red Sox +$103
(Risking $200 to win $206)
(Action)
3 STAR SELECTION: (922) Los Angeles Angels -$115
(Risking $345 to win $300)
(Action)
2 STAR SELECTION: (901) Chicago Cubs +$130
(Risking $200 to win $260)
(Action)
2 STAR SELECTION: (911) Minnesota Twins +$155
(Risking $200 to win $310)
(Action)
2 STAR SELECTION: (913) Boston Red Sox +$103
(Risking $200 to win $206)
(Action)
Way to go on picking up an enormous {C} win yesterday on Boston! So far this MLB season we have won each and every single official as well as unofficial betting series to date! Let's keep this streak going!
The system bet today on June 9 is an {A} bet on LA Angels. Remember to bet on the +1.5 run line if your team is an underdog, and the money line if your team is the favorite. Note that this is an unofficial bet because it does not pass the RPI filter.
Good luck,
Tony the Sports Betting Champ
The system bet today on June 9 is an {A} bet on LA Angels. Remember to bet on the +1.5 run line if your team is an underdog, and the money line if your team is the favorite. Note that this is an unofficial bet because it does not pass the RPI filter.
Good luck,
Tony the Sports Betting Champ
Gc: Nhl play
Triple 5* Monday has 3 Perfect league wide MLB Systems, 2 are totals that both averages over 11 runs per game. The side is a road warrior that wins by 3 runs per game. Big 6* Cashes on Miami on Sunday. Monday NHL Play below.
The NHL Play is on The NY. Rangers. Game 56 at 8:05 eastern. The Rangers have led just about every minute in regulation in the series but return home after a pair of disappointing losses. In NHL History Three teams have lost Games 1-2 of a best-of-7 NHL Finals on the road but won the series: the 1971 Montreal Canadiens over the Chicago Blackhawks; the 2009 Pittsburgh Penguins over the Detroit Red Wings; the 2011 Boston Bruins over the Vancouver Canucks. So the series can still be competitive and the Rangers should be energized by what will be a raucous crowd. The historical grid below shows that Game 3 teams off back to back road losses tend to bounce back. New York knows the importance of this game and will primed for a complete 60 minute effort and get one back here at home tonight. Look for the Rangers to win game 3. On Monday we have 3 Big MLB Plays up all are from Perfect league wide systems direct from the MLB Database. Two are totals that are averaging over 11 runs. MLB Cashing big again this season, our top 6* NBA play cashes with Miami. Jump on now and Start the week big. For the Free NHL Game 3 play take The NY. Rangers. GC
HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Leading 2-games-nil @ HH:
Ignoring win order; considering site order: The team leading 2-games-nil with site order HH (Los Angeles) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2014 NHL and NBA Semifinals rounds:
series record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 473-53 (.899)
series record, all best-of-7 sports, Finals round: 86-13 (.869)
series record, NHL only, all rounds: 222-30 (.881)
series record, NHL only, Finals round: 32-3 (.914)
Game 3 record, NHL only, all rounds: 130-122 (.516)
Game 3 record, NHL only, Finals round: 15-20 (.429
Triple 5* Monday has 3 Perfect league wide MLB Systems, 2 are totals that both averages over 11 runs per game. The side is a road warrior that wins by 3 runs per game. Big 6* Cashes on Miami on Sunday. Monday NHL Play below.
The NHL Play is on The NY. Rangers. Game 56 at 8:05 eastern. The Rangers have led just about every minute in regulation in the series but return home after a pair of disappointing losses. In NHL History Three teams have lost Games 1-2 of a best-of-7 NHL Finals on the road but won the series: the 1971 Montreal Canadiens over the Chicago Blackhawks; the 2009 Pittsburgh Penguins over the Detroit Red Wings; the 2011 Boston Bruins over the Vancouver Canucks. So the series can still be competitive and the Rangers should be energized by what will be a raucous crowd. The historical grid below shows that Game 3 teams off back to back road losses tend to bounce back. New York knows the importance of this game and will primed for a complete 60 minute effort and get one back here at home tonight. Look for the Rangers to win game 3. On Monday we have 3 Big MLB Plays up all are from Perfect league wide systems direct from the MLB Database. Two are totals that are averaging over 11 runs. MLB Cashing big again this season, our top 6* NBA play cashes with Miami. Jump on now and Start the week big. For the Free NHL Game 3 play take The NY. Rangers. GC
HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Leading 2-games-nil @ HH:
Ignoring win order; considering site order: The team leading 2-games-nil with site order HH (Los Angeles) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2014 NHL and NBA Semifinals rounds:
series record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 473-53 (.899)
series record, all best-of-7 sports, Finals round: 86-13 (.869)
series record, NHL only, all rounds: 222-30 (.881)
series record, NHL only, Finals round: 32-3 (.914)
Game 3 record, NHL only, all rounds: 130-122 (.516)
Game 3 record, NHL only, Finals round: 15-20 (.429
SPORTS WAGERS
Cleveland -107 over TEXAS
Nick Martinez is 1-2 with a 3.22 ERA in six games started while T.J. House is 0-1 with a 3.79 ERA in three games started. Furthermore, House is 0-1 on the road with an ERA of 4.38. The Rangers are at home, yet there are some sharp outfits that have the Indians at -115 while most others has the game listed at a pick'em. When said sharp sportsbooks “take a position” it should not be ignored. Truth is, Martinez is living a very charmed life that isn’t going to last. In 45 innings, Martinez has a brutal BB/K split of 20/21. His 5.96 xERA is the biggest discrepancy between xERA and actual ERA in the majors. Martinez’s 7.70 xERA over his last two starts is the worst in the majors and his 1.84 WHIP over his last four starts is also the worst in the majors. Martinez was rushed to the big leagues and it is showing, as he only has 42 innings pitched at the AA level and is now completely overmatched at this level. He’s been the beneficiary of an unsustainable 88% strand rate and hard hit balls being hit right at people. Pay no attention whatsoever to Martinez’s ERA, as even Chris Angel would have a hard time making this illusion work.
House has showed excellent skills so far in his brief stay. He has an elite groundball/line-drive/fly ball profile of 60%/20%/20%. He also has an elite swing and miss rate of 13%. House has a long way to go to be considered anywhere near elite because the sample size (19 IP) is way too small to get an accurate reading but one thing we know for sure is that he’s been 100 times better than his mound opponent. Indians figure to score a bunch today and we doubt the Rangers will keep pace.
SPORTS WAGERS
N.Y.R to win Game 3 & win Series +600 over LOS ANGELES
We would only recommend this wager if you bet the Kings before the series @ -160 or thereabouts. This prop bet can be found at both Sports Interaction and Bet365. The prop bet is that New York wins Game 3 and wins Series and we prefer that to just winning the series at 4½-1. The rational is that if New York loses tonight, there is virtually no chance of them coming back to win four straight. Should they win tonight, they’re back in it.
However, letting it ride wouldn’t be such a bad idea either, as history is very much against the Rangers here. In fact, of the 49 teams that went up 2-0 in Stanley Cup Finals history, 43 of those went on to win the Cup. That said, the Rangers could just as easily be up 2-0 as down 0-2. They have blown 2-0 leads in both games and they blew a 4-2 third period lead in Game 2. One could easily argue that the Rangers have been the better team in four of the six periods and while the two losses had to be disappointing, the Rangers also must feel like they can compete against and beat this team.
Still, the Kings have played two sloppy games. We have not seen the best out of them yet while we may have already seen the best out of the Rangers. It’s your call. We recommend playing it safe and take the risk completely out of the wager because the Rangers have not looked a bit out of place in this series. We’re still convinced that the Kings are vastly superior but if L.A. doesn’t clean up their sloppiness, this series could get interesting.
Cleveland -107 over TEXAS
Nick Martinez is 1-2 with a 3.22 ERA in six games started while T.J. House is 0-1 with a 3.79 ERA in three games started. Furthermore, House is 0-1 on the road with an ERA of 4.38. The Rangers are at home, yet there are some sharp outfits that have the Indians at -115 while most others has the game listed at a pick'em. When said sharp sportsbooks “take a position” it should not be ignored. Truth is, Martinez is living a very charmed life that isn’t going to last. In 45 innings, Martinez has a brutal BB/K split of 20/21. His 5.96 xERA is the biggest discrepancy between xERA and actual ERA in the majors. Martinez’s 7.70 xERA over his last two starts is the worst in the majors and his 1.84 WHIP over his last four starts is also the worst in the majors. Martinez was rushed to the big leagues and it is showing, as he only has 42 innings pitched at the AA level and is now completely overmatched at this level. He’s been the beneficiary of an unsustainable 88% strand rate and hard hit balls being hit right at people. Pay no attention whatsoever to Martinez’s ERA, as even Chris Angel would have a hard time making this illusion work.
House has showed excellent skills so far in his brief stay. He has an elite groundball/line-drive/fly ball profile of 60%/20%/20%. He also has an elite swing and miss rate of 13%. House has a long way to go to be considered anywhere near elite because the sample size (19 IP) is way too small to get an accurate reading but one thing we know for sure is that he’s been 100 times better than his mound opponent. Indians figure to score a bunch today and we doubt the Rangers will keep pace.
SPORTS WAGERS
N.Y.R to win Game 3 & win Series +600 over LOS ANGELES
We would only recommend this wager if you bet the Kings before the series @ -160 or thereabouts. This prop bet can be found at both Sports Interaction and Bet365. The prop bet is that New York wins Game 3 and wins Series and we prefer that to just winning the series at 4½-1. The rational is that if New York loses tonight, there is virtually no chance of them coming back to win four straight. Should they win tonight, they’re back in it.
However, letting it ride wouldn’t be such a bad idea either, as history is very much against the Rangers here. In fact, of the 49 teams that went up 2-0 in Stanley Cup Finals history, 43 of those went on to win the Cup. That said, the Rangers could just as easily be up 2-0 as down 0-2. They have blown 2-0 leads in both games and they blew a 4-2 third period lead in Game 2. One could easily argue that the Rangers have been the better team in four of the six periods and while the two losses had to be disappointing, the Rangers also must feel like they can compete against and beat this team.
Still, the Kings have played two sloppy games. We have not seen the best out of them yet while we may have already seen the best out of the Rangers. It’s your call. We recommend playing it safe and take the risk completely out of the wager because the Rangers have not looked a bit out of place in this series. We’re still convinced that the Kings are vastly superior but if L.A. doesn’t clean up their sloppiness, this series could get interesting.
Ecks and Bacon
Ben lee lost in the NBA Finals on Sunday with the Spurs -2/Heat 1st Half.
"Mr Chalk" lost on Sunday in MLB in the American League with the Tigers -$152/Red Sox.
For Monday in the NHL Stanley Cup Finals E&B like the Rangers -$120/Kings.
For Monday in MLB in the National League "Mr Chalk" likes the Pirates -$145/Cubs.
Ben lee is 142-163-5 -$2804 through Thirty Two weeks.
"Mr Chalk" is 28-27 -$646 for the 2014 MLB season.
All E&B selections will be for $50 unless noted.
Ben lee lost in the NBA Finals on Sunday with the Spurs -2/Heat 1st Half.
"Mr Chalk" lost on Sunday in MLB in the American League with the Tigers -$152/Red Sox.
For Monday in the NHL Stanley Cup Finals E&B like the Rangers -$120/Kings.
For Monday in MLB in the National League "Mr Chalk" likes the Pirates -$145/Cubs.
Ben lee is 142-163-5 -$2804 through Thirty Two weeks.
"Mr Chalk" is 28-27 -$646 for the 2014 MLB season.
All E&B selections will be for $50 unless noted.
