CASH & PROFIT EXPERTS (C&P)
C&P complimentary plays are now 12-10-1
(7-4 run) at Maui
TODAY'S COMPLIMENTARY PLAY:
Cleveland Indians vs Chicago White Sox
Play: Chicago White Sox ( G Floyd -R ) vs ( J Sowers -L )
The Cleveland Indians go on the road tonight, to take on the Chicago White Sox. On the road the Indians are 15-23 including 0-4 Last 4 in Chicago. Jeremy Sowers (0-3 5.98 era) pitches for the Indians who are 3-12 the last 15 games as a road underdog. The White Sox counter with Gavin Floyd (8-4 3.39 era). He is 4-0 at home this year, 4-0 vs the Central Division, 4-0 vs a team with a losing record. The White Sox average 6 runs a game at home and the Indians 4 runs a game on the road. We will take a shot with the better team, with the better pitcher and the better offense.
C&P complimentary plays are now 12-10-1
(7-4 run) at Maui
TODAY'S COMPLIMENTARY PLAY:
Cleveland Indians vs Chicago White Sox
Play: Chicago White Sox ( G Floyd -R ) vs ( J Sowers -L )
The Cleveland Indians go on the road tonight, to take on the Chicago White Sox. On the road the Indians are 15-23 including 0-4 Last 4 in Chicago. Jeremy Sowers (0-3 5.98 era) pitches for the Indians who are 3-12 the last 15 games as a road underdog. The White Sox counter with Gavin Floyd (8-4 3.39 era). He is 4-0 at home this year, 4-0 vs the Central Division, 4-0 vs a team with a losing record. The White Sox average 6 runs a game at home and the Indians 4 runs a game on the road. We will take a shot with the better team, with the better pitcher and the better offense.
Erin Renning/ER Sports (Sportsmemo)
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6/30/08
</TD><TD>MLB
</TD><TD>St. Louis Under 8.5 -110 (952)
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6/30/08
</TD><TD>MLB
</TD><TD>Playmaker: San Francisco Under 8.5 -115 (964)
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I think you maybe wrong on how you are playing this system. Here are todays plays.
I think since he lost on METS LAA and ATL, Saturday and Sunday he is chasing a 4* today. Lose 1* saturday Lose 2*'s Sunday on the same plays, Now same teams are chasing 4*'s today.
So $100 unit bettors lost -100 plus juice saturday, -200 plus juice on sunday and now will have to bet $400 (plus the made up juice) (so appox $430) to make $100.
Do we do 8*'s if it loses tonight? To keep that record? Let me know, I may follow these until I lose my house.
Correct me if I am wrong and we can debate, I need the post count.
w does the shark's system work? 104-4 is pretty damn good!
I don't use it but have been following it. I believe you start w/A plays, 2 units; if it loses you come back w/a B play for 4 units; if you lose that you come back w/ a C play for 8 units. Essentially doubling-up after every loss but quitting after 3 consecutive loses. I find 104-4 hard to believe but remember he considers losing the A & B play but winning the C play as a winner because you are up 2 units (8-6). Also remember that every win is +2 & every lose is -14 so including vig you have to win 9 of every 10 to break even. I'm a blackjack player & know the house loves people you double up after every loss. If he is really 104-4 then he is +208 -56 for a 152 unit net gain (minus vig). If you want to try it go ahead, sounds like Russian roulette to me, it's the anti-parlay, win 2 or lose 14. Just my opinion. RDS
:think2:
The Experts
<HR style="COLOR: #a8a8a8" SIZE=1><!-- / icon and title --><!-- message --><TABLE cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=2 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD bgColor=#36628f colSpan=3><TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD>Guaranteed Selections</TD><TD align=right>More about Guaranteed Selections</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></TD></TR><FORM action=/services/cart.asp method=post><TR onmouseover="this.style.background='#EEEEEE';" style="BACKGROUND: none transparent scroll repeat 0% 0%" onmouseout="this.style.background='';"><TD vAlign=top><TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=2 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD vAlign=top>ULTIMATE EXPERTS BASEBALL DIAMOND WINNER </TD><TD vAlign=top align=right>[ MLB ] </TD></TR><TR><TD colSpan=3>Date: Monday, June 30, 2008
$25.00 Guaranteed: The Boys are Back in Town and kicking some Bookie Ass! We have the FIVE BEST HANDICAPPERS in the Nation making up our team! Don't ask who they are because they will remain anonymous! Today The Boys have isolated another ULTIMATE EXPERTS BASEBALL DIAMOND WINNER! Get this winner right now for ONLY $25 and you PAY ONLY AFTER YOU WIN!! 30-10 Baseball run this year!
</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></TD></TR></FORM></TBODY></TABLE>Arizona w/ Davis
<HR style="COLOR: #a8a8a8" SIZE=1><!-- / icon and title --><!-- message --><TABLE cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=2 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD bgColor=#36628f colSpan=3><TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD>Guaranteed Selections</TD><TD align=right>More about Guaranteed Selections</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></TD></TR><FORM action=/services/cart.asp method=post><TR onmouseover="this.style.background='#EEEEEE';" style="BACKGROUND: none transparent scroll repeat 0% 0%" onmouseout="this.style.background='';"><TD vAlign=top><TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=2 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD vAlign=top>ULTIMATE EXPERTS BASEBALL DIAMOND WINNER </TD><TD vAlign=top align=right>[ MLB ] </TD></TR><TR><TD colSpan=3>Date: Monday, June 30, 2008
$25.00 Guaranteed: The Boys are Back in Town and kicking some Bookie Ass! We have the FIVE BEST HANDICAPPERS in the Nation making up our team! Don't ask who they are because they will remain anonymous! Today The Boys have isolated another ULTIMATE EXPERTS BASEBALL DIAMOND WINNER! Get this winner right now for ONLY $25 and you PAY ONLY AFTER YOU WIN!! 30-10 Baseball run this year!
</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></TD></TR></FORM></TBODY></TABLE>Arizona w/ Davis
So this post is untrue?
or this one?
hopefully these incorrect responses were simply out of ignorance and not to be deceptive.
Defending a system incorrectly to show they won, even thou they did not win?
Hopefully if people are following they win the 4*'s and people don't go in the poor house chasing $300 by betting over $1200.
GL if you are playing these tonight!!
WinPts. is now on a 6-2 run w/Minny yest., the forum consensus is also 6-2 lately w/Halos yest. WP has Det. w/Galarraga & so far the consensus seems to be Pale Hose 6-1, but still early.
I think we can all agree that in capping baseball some of the important factors are: record ag. R & L hm. & aw. (which I try to post every 8-10 days under PLAY/FADE), pitching form, bullpen, & hot vs. snot. For totals players that makes up about 1/2 the equation w/1/2 being the yield of the park. Until all teams have played atleast about 10 or more gm. day & nite there is not enough info to guage. For the past 2 weeks I have been using that factor in my totals, gone over 75%, hit 3 of 4 yest.-the one I lost I put more emphasis on the sad offense & better pitching form of the Pads/Seattle gm. than on the fac that Petco gives up 9 rpg days & the line was 7. My bad! My 2 heavy hitters were Minny under 8.5 in a park which yields 7.7 pg w/ 2 quality hurlers & LAD under 7 in a park which yields 7.3 pg/, 2 quality pitchers & 2 teams that had about 5 hits total in their last 2 gms. We all think we know the hitters parks & the pitchers parks, but figures don't lie. Following are the best & worst numbers in both leagues. Use it to your advantage. AL day-Bost. 10.6,Tex. 9.9,Yks. 9.7-nt. Det. 12, Tex. 13.2, Balt. 10.1, WSox 9.9 NL day-Hous. 12.6, Phils. 10.5, FL 10.6, Pits. & Ariz. 10.1, SF 10-nt. Cubs 11.7, Col. 10, Ariz. 9.9.
On the other side of the ledger AL day-Cleve. 6.5,Balt,Minny, TB 7.7, Tor. 8 nt-Oak. 7.3,Tor. & TB 7.6 NL day LAD 7.3,Col. 8.2, STL 8.5 nt. SD 7.2, SF 7.8, Mil. 7.9, Pitt & LAD 8.1. Hope this helps you totals players. If so I'll update every wk. or so. BOL as always RDS
:toast:
I think we can all agree that in capping baseball some of the important factors are: record ag. R & L hm. & aw. (which I try to post every 8-10 days under PLAY/FADE), pitching form, bullpen, & hot vs. snot. For totals players that makes up about 1/2 the equation w/1/2 being the yield of the park. Until all teams have played atleast about 10 or more gm. day & nite there is not enough info to guage. For the past 2 weeks I have been using that factor in my totals, gone over 75%, hit 3 of 4 yest.-the one I lost I put more emphasis on the sad offense & better pitching form of the Pads/Seattle gm. than on the fac that Petco gives up 9 rpg days & the line was 7. My bad! My 2 heavy hitters were Minny under 8.5 in a park which yields 7.7 pg w/ 2 quality hurlers & LAD under 7 in a park which yields 7.3 pg/, 2 quality pitchers & 2 teams that had about 5 hits total in their last 2 gms. We all think we know the hitters parks & the pitchers parks, but figures don't lie. Following are the best & worst numbers in both leagues. Use it to your advantage. AL day-Bost. 10.6,Tex. 9.9,Yks. 9.7-nt. Det. 12, Tex. 13.2, Balt. 10.1, WSox 9.9 NL day-Hous. 12.6, Phils. 10.5, FL 10.6, Pits. & Ariz. 10.1, SF 10-nt. Cubs 11.7, Col. 10, Ariz. 9.9.
On the other side of the ledger AL day-Cleve. 6.5,Balt,Minny, TB 7.7, Tor. 8 nt-Oak. 7.3,Tor. & TB 7.6 NL day LAD 7.3,Col. 8.2, STL 8.5 nt. SD 7.2, SF 7.8, Mil. 7.9, Pitt & LAD 8.1. Hope this helps you totals players. If so I'll update every wk. or so. BOL as always RDS
:toast:
Jeff Benton
Monday's winners ...
15 Dime: ASTROS (over Dodgers) ... NOTE: List Oswalt and Stults as the starting pitchers. If either does not start, this play is VOID!
5 Dime: PIRATES (over Reds) ... NOTE: List Maholm as the Pirates' starting pitcher. If Maholm does not start, this play is VOID!
5 Dime: NATIONALS (over Marlins) ... NOTE: List Redding and Tucker as the starting pitchers. If either does not start, this play is VOID!
Monday's winners ...
15 Dime: ASTROS (over Dodgers) ... NOTE: List Oswalt and Stults as the starting pitchers. If either does not start, this play is VOID!
5 Dime: PIRATES (over Reds) ... NOTE: List Maholm as the Pirates' starting pitcher. If Maholm does not start, this play is VOID!
5 Dime: NATIONALS (over Marlins) ... NOTE: List Redding and Tucker as the starting pitchers. If either does not start, this play is VOID!
Ethan Law
Mon, 06/30/08 - 7:05 PMEthan Law | MLB Total Single-Dime Bet
968 NYY / 967 TEX Over 10 Bodog +100
Analysis:
THIS WILL BE THE LAST DAY OF 1/2* UNIT PLAYS. FROM MY EXPERIECE THERE IS SOMETIMES A HANGOVER FROM INTER-LEAGUE PLAY AND SOME BRUTAL TRAVEL SPOTS AS WELL.
-----------------
Texas Rangers TEX: RHP Scott Feldman (1-3, 4.60 ERA)
at
New York Yankees NYY: RHP Mike Mussina (10-5, 3.93 ERA)
PLAY 1/2* UNIT (1%) ON YANKEES/RANGERS OVER 10 +$100
Mon, 06/30/08 - 10:10 PMEthan Law | MLB Money Line Single-Dime Bet
978 SEA (+135) BetUS vs 977 TOR
Analysis:
Toronto Blue Jays TOR: RHP Roy Halladay (8-6, 3.12 ERA)
at
Seattle Mariners SEA: RHP R.A. Dickey (2-3, 4.79 ERA)
PLAY 1/2* UNIT (1%) ON SEATTLE +$135
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Mon, 06/30/08 - 7:05 PMEthan Law | MLB Total Single-Dime Bet
968 NYY / 967 TEX Over 10 Bodog +100
Analysis:
THIS WILL BE THE LAST DAY OF 1/2* UNIT PLAYS. FROM MY EXPERIECE THERE IS SOMETIMES A HANGOVER FROM INTER-LEAGUE PLAY AND SOME BRUTAL TRAVEL SPOTS AS WELL.
-----------------
Texas Rangers TEX: RHP Scott Feldman (1-3, 4.60 ERA)
at
New York Yankees NYY: RHP Mike Mussina (10-5, 3.93 ERA)
PLAY 1/2* UNIT (1%) ON YANKEES/RANGERS OVER 10 +$100
Mon, 06/30/08 - 10:10 PMEthan Law | MLB Money Line Single-Dime Bet
978 SEA (+135) BetUS vs 977 TOR
Analysis:
Toronto Blue Jays TOR: RHP Roy Halladay (8-6, 3.12 ERA)
at
Seattle Mariners SEA: RHP R.A. Dickey (2-3, 4.79 ERA)
PLAY 1/2* UNIT (1%) ON SEATTLE +$135
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nick bookiekiller parsons
Mon, 06/30/08 - 8:10 PM | MLB Money Line
double-dime bet973 CLE (+138)Bodog vs 974 CWS
Analysis:
Indians Coming off of a sweep of their hated cross-town rivals, the Cubs, there is simply no way for the White Sox to avoid being a little flat tonight. Last nights 5-1 win over the Cubs capped a three game sweep for the Sox and it was a big revenge sweep too as the ChiSox had lost all three games at Wrigley Field earlier in the month. Now there is no time to rest for the Sox as the Indians come to town. Cleveland is off of back to back losses but previously they had won two straight and outscored their opponents 10-1 in those two victories. Jeremy Sowers gets the start for the Indians tonight and hes coming off of a tough, hard-luck loss as he pitched quite well in his most recent start but he was out-dueled by Barry Zito of the Giants. Sowers shows an 0-3 record in the books so far this season but he has allowed just three earned runs in four of his six starts this season. A big part of the issue is that, other than one nine run explosion, the Indians just havent given him much run support as theyve tallied just 13 runs in the other five starts Sowers has made this season. Look for this lack of run support to quickly turn around tonight as Cleveland faces Gavin Floyd of the White Sox. The ChiSox right-hander had produced very impressive numbers at home through early June but he has since regressed. It was quite likely that Floyd was not going to be able to maintain his torrid pace at home. That said, it should come as no surprise that, even though two of his last three starts have been at U.S. Cellular Field, Floyd has allowed 16 runs (9 earned) on 16 hits (5 homers) in his last three starts! Floyd got the win, but was hit quite hard, in his lone start versus Cleveland this season. As for Sowers, he allowed just one hit in six innings but got a no-decision in his lone career start against the White Sox. Behind a strong start from Sowers, and more struggles for Floyd, the Indians get the upset win in this match-up!
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Mon, 06/30/08 - 8:10 PM | MLB Money Line
double-dime bet973 CLE (+138)Bodog vs 974 CWS
Analysis:
Indians Coming off of a sweep of their hated cross-town rivals, the Cubs, there is simply no way for the White Sox to avoid being a little flat tonight. Last nights 5-1 win over the Cubs capped a three game sweep for the Sox and it was a big revenge sweep too as the ChiSox had lost all three games at Wrigley Field earlier in the month. Now there is no time to rest for the Sox as the Indians come to town. Cleveland is off of back to back losses but previously they had won two straight and outscored their opponents 10-1 in those two victories. Jeremy Sowers gets the start for the Indians tonight and hes coming off of a tough, hard-luck loss as he pitched quite well in his most recent start but he was out-dueled by Barry Zito of the Giants. Sowers shows an 0-3 record in the books so far this season but he has allowed just three earned runs in four of his six starts this season. A big part of the issue is that, other than one nine run explosion, the Indians just havent given him much run support as theyve tallied just 13 runs in the other five starts Sowers has made this season. Look for this lack of run support to quickly turn around tonight as Cleveland faces Gavin Floyd of the White Sox. The ChiSox right-hander had produced very impressive numbers at home through early June but he has since regressed. It was quite likely that Floyd was not going to be able to maintain his torrid pace at home. That said, it should come as no surprise that, even though two of his last three starts have been at U.S. Cellular Field, Floyd has allowed 16 runs (9 earned) on 16 hits (5 homers) in his last three starts! Floyd got the win, but was hit quite hard, in his lone start versus Cleveland this season. As for Sowers, he allowed just one hit in six innings but got a no-decision in his lone career start against the White Sox. Behind a strong start from Sowers, and more struggles for Floyd, the Indians get the upset win in this match-up!
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Ferringo:
4-Unit Play. Take #958 Houston (-145) over Los Angeles Dodgers (8 p.m., Monday, June 30)
2-Unit Play. Take #974 Chicago White Sox (-155) over Cleveland (8 p.m., Monday, June 30)
1.5-Unit Play. Take #976 Los Angeles Angels (-130) over Oakland (10 p.m., Monday, June 30)
1.5-Unit Play. Take #962 Arizona (-120) over Milwaukee (9:40 p.m., Monday, June 30)
1-Unit Play. Take #954 Cincinnati (-145) over Pittsburgh (7 p.m., Monday, June 30)
4-Unit Play. Take #958 Houston (-145) over Los Angeles Dodgers (8 p.m., Monday, June 30)
2-Unit Play. Take #974 Chicago White Sox (-155) over Cleveland (8 p.m., Monday, June 30)
1.5-Unit Play. Take #976 Los Angeles Angels (-130) over Oakland (10 p.m., Monday, June 30)
1.5-Unit Play. Take #962 Arizona (-120) over Milwaukee (9:40 p.m., Monday, June 30)
1-Unit Play. Take #954 Cincinnati (-145) over Pittsburgh (7 p.m., Monday, June 30)
King Creole | MLB Total
double-dime bet954 CIN / 953 PIT Over 8.5 BetUS
Analysis: 7:10pm ET / PITTSBURGH PIRATES with Maholm @ CINCINNATI REDS with Harang
2** Play on: OVER THE TOTAL
There's only ONE team in Major League BASEBALL that's 20 game or more over .500 in their O/U results for the 2008 season. And that's the PITTSBURGH PIRATES, who are the BEST 'Over' team in the league at 48-28 O/U on the year. That includes an 'unreal' 27-8 O/U in ALL road games. This is also a pretty high-scoring series, as the Reds and Pirates have gone 12-5-1 O/U in their last 18 games vs each other... including 6-1-1 O/U in the last 8 played IN Cincinnati (2-0-1 O/U THIS season).
PAUL MAHOLM's road starts in 2008 are highlighted by a very high ERA of 6.15 and opponent team batting average of .364 (and 71% OVER the Total). On a more recent note, Pittsburgh tends to score a lot of runs behind him in terms of offensive support. His last 6 starts have seen the Buccos average 7.2 runs per game. His career numbers "In THIS Park" are pretty over-whelming as well. In 5 starts dating back to the 2006 season, his ERA here is 7.07 with an OU record of 4-1 O/U. He's also 6-0-1 O/U in his last 7 starts vs losing teams... 4-1-1 O/U in Game One of a series... and 12-4 O/U vs fellow NL Central opponents.
AARON HARANG is not in typical Harang form. He's gotten ripped up in his last 2 starts... and in FIVE of his last 7 overall. ERA is 8.44 in his last two... and 7.58 dating back to late May. In 2008 NIGHT starts, his ERA is a full 2 runs HIGHER (5.53) compared to all day starts (3.51). He faced the Buccos once already in 2008, and allowed 6 earned runs (and 10 hits) in only 4 full innings pitched (ERA of 12.50). In 3 HOME starts vs Pittsburgh since the start of last season, his ERA is 6.88 (2-0-1 O/U record). He also 5-1 O/U off a team win... and 6-2-1 O/U at home vs losing teams.
With winds projected to be blowing OUT to right-center field in excess of 15+ MPH... we'll take a bite on the "OVER
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double-dime bet954 CIN / 953 PIT Over 8.5 BetUS
Analysis: 7:10pm ET / PITTSBURGH PIRATES with Maholm @ CINCINNATI REDS with Harang
2** Play on: OVER THE TOTAL
There's only ONE team in Major League BASEBALL that's 20 game or more over .500 in their O/U results for the 2008 season. And that's the PITTSBURGH PIRATES, who are the BEST 'Over' team in the league at 48-28 O/U on the year. That includes an 'unreal' 27-8 O/U in ALL road games. This is also a pretty high-scoring series, as the Reds and Pirates have gone 12-5-1 O/U in their last 18 games vs each other... including 6-1-1 O/U in the last 8 played IN Cincinnati (2-0-1 O/U THIS season).
PAUL MAHOLM's road starts in 2008 are highlighted by a very high ERA of 6.15 and opponent team batting average of .364 (and 71% OVER the Total). On a more recent note, Pittsburgh tends to score a lot of runs behind him in terms of offensive support. His last 6 starts have seen the Buccos average 7.2 runs per game. His career numbers "In THIS Park" are pretty over-whelming as well. In 5 starts dating back to the 2006 season, his ERA here is 7.07 with an OU record of 4-1 O/U. He's also 6-0-1 O/U in his last 7 starts vs losing teams... 4-1-1 O/U in Game One of a series... and 12-4 O/U vs fellow NL Central opponents.
AARON HARANG is not in typical Harang form. He's gotten ripped up in his last 2 starts... and in FIVE of his last 7 overall. ERA is 8.44 in his last two... and 7.58 dating back to late May. In 2008 NIGHT starts, his ERA is a full 2 runs HIGHER (5.53) compared to all day starts (3.51). He faced the Buccos once already in 2008, and allowed 6 earned runs (and 10 hits) in only 4 full innings pitched (ERA of 12.50). In 3 HOME starts vs Pittsburgh since the start of last season, his ERA is 6.88 (2-0-1 O/U record). He also 5-1 O/U off a team win... and 6-2-1 O/U at home vs losing teams.
With winds projected to be blowing OUT to right-center field in excess of 15+ MPH... we'll take a bite on the "OVER
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WUNDERDOG:
Game: Boston at Tampa Bay (7:10 PM Eastern)
Pick: 4 units on Boston +136 (moneyline) (risk 4 to win 5.4)
Ok, so the oddsmakers are now saying that Tampa Bay is for real, but let's not forget that so are the Red Sox. After slipping behind the Rays in the standings, we have to think the Sox will come into this series with a very focused mindest. Justin Masterson has given the Sox good outings in which he has yet to allow more than four runs and the Sox are 5-2 in his seven starts. James Shields has allowed four runs or more in four of his last 10 starts, and has failed to get out of the fourth inning in his last two appearances against the Sox this season, where he has pitched to a 21.20 ERA. The Sox always have value playing as a dog, and we like them in this spot.
Game: Cleveland at Chicago (8:10 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Game Total UNDER 9.5 -110 (risk 3 to win 2.7)
Due to injuries and team slumps, the Indians have been punchless this season. They have already amassed a total of 52 games played scoring four runs or less. Facing Gavin Floyd won't make it much easier as Floyd has allowed more than four runs in just two of 15 starts. The White Sox may be a little flat here after pounding the Cubs over the weekend. Jeremy Sowers has made six starts and just one produced runs higher than this total. UNDER is the way to go in this one.
Game: Toronto at Seattle (10:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Seattle +143 (moneyline) (risk 3 to win 4.3)
Even bad teams get on a little roll. The Mariners come home feeling good about themselves as they have now won five of their last six. Bats that were sleeping for most of the year have now produced six runs per game in these last six. The road has been a struggle for the Jays where they have posted wins in just two of their last 11 and the offense continues to struggle as they have been shutout six times already this season. Roy Halladay hasn't been the cure either, as the Jays have dropped his last three starts and are just 9-8 on the season with him on the hill. Seattle shows signs of being much closer to the team everyone expected, and this is a good spot as a valued home dog.
Game: Toronto at Seattle (10:10 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Seattle +1.5 runs -119 (runline) (risk 3 to win 2.5)
Roy Halladay is a good pitcher on a team with a bad offense and spotting a team +1.5 runs has not been working. Halladay has pitched in nine games this season where the Jays have won, but in five of those nine wins, there has been no margin for error as they won by just one run. That leaves the Jays at 4-13 in his 17 starts, playing to the -1.5 runline, so with the M's playing much better, they also get the call on the runline.
Game: Chicago at San Francisco (10:15 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on San Francisco +126 (moneyline) (risk 3 to win 3.8)
You gotta wonder what happened to Barry Zito landing in the NL and the Giants losing his first nine starts. Things have been a bit different results wise, as they are now 4-3 in his last seven starts, and he has had success against this Cubs' lineup pitching to a 3.15 ERA over his career. The Giants have been a much better team than the way they started, as they have now actually played over .500 baseball for 40 games. For the first time all season the Cubs have gone into a slide. They have dropped four straight games and are just 4-8 over their last 12. It hasn't been the best of years for Ted Lilly either, as he pitches to an ERA of close to five. Good opportunity for the Giants to steal one at home.
Game: Chicago at San Francisco (10:20 PM Eastern)
Pick: 4 units on San Francisco +1.5 runs -135 (runline) (risk 4 to win 3)
We also like the value on the San Francisco run line. Despite their overall success this season the Cubs are just 9-16 against the run line on the road after two straight road games. And, Zito is 28-18 at home to the run line vs. teams that outscore their opponents by 0.5+ runs per game. With the Cubbies in the slide they are on, getting +1.5 on the home team at this small price is nice.<!-- / message -->
Game: Boston at Tampa Bay (7:10 PM Eastern)
Pick: 4 units on Boston +136 (moneyline) (risk 4 to win 5.4)
Ok, so the oddsmakers are now saying that Tampa Bay is for real, but let's not forget that so are the Red Sox. After slipping behind the Rays in the standings, we have to think the Sox will come into this series with a very focused mindest. Justin Masterson has given the Sox good outings in which he has yet to allow more than four runs and the Sox are 5-2 in his seven starts. James Shields has allowed four runs or more in four of his last 10 starts, and has failed to get out of the fourth inning in his last two appearances against the Sox this season, where he has pitched to a 21.20 ERA. The Sox always have value playing as a dog, and we like them in this spot.
Game: Cleveland at Chicago (8:10 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Game Total UNDER 9.5 -110 (risk 3 to win 2.7)
Due to injuries and team slumps, the Indians have been punchless this season. They have already amassed a total of 52 games played scoring four runs or less. Facing Gavin Floyd won't make it much easier as Floyd has allowed more than four runs in just two of 15 starts. The White Sox may be a little flat here after pounding the Cubs over the weekend. Jeremy Sowers has made six starts and just one produced runs higher than this total. UNDER is the way to go in this one.
Game: Toronto at Seattle (10:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Seattle +143 (moneyline) (risk 3 to win 4.3)
Even bad teams get on a little roll. The Mariners come home feeling good about themselves as they have now won five of their last six. Bats that were sleeping for most of the year have now produced six runs per game in these last six. The road has been a struggle for the Jays where they have posted wins in just two of their last 11 and the offense continues to struggle as they have been shutout six times already this season. Roy Halladay hasn't been the cure either, as the Jays have dropped his last three starts and are just 9-8 on the season with him on the hill. Seattle shows signs of being much closer to the team everyone expected, and this is a good spot as a valued home dog.
Game: Toronto at Seattle (10:10 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Seattle +1.5 runs -119 (runline) (risk 3 to win 2.5)
Roy Halladay is a good pitcher on a team with a bad offense and spotting a team +1.5 runs has not been working. Halladay has pitched in nine games this season where the Jays have won, but in five of those nine wins, there has been no margin for error as they won by just one run. That leaves the Jays at 4-13 in his 17 starts, playing to the -1.5 runline, so with the M's playing much better, they also get the call on the runline.
Game: Chicago at San Francisco (10:15 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on San Francisco +126 (moneyline) (risk 3 to win 3.8)
You gotta wonder what happened to Barry Zito landing in the NL and the Giants losing his first nine starts. Things have been a bit different results wise, as they are now 4-3 in his last seven starts, and he has had success against this Cubs' lineup pitching to a 3.15 ERA over his career. The Giants have been a much better team than the way they started, as they have now actually played over .500 baseball for 40 games. For the first time all season the Cubs have gone into a slide. They have dropped four straight games and are just 4-8 over their last 12. It hasn't been the best of years for Ted Lilly either, as he pitches to an ERA of close to five. Good opportunity for the Giants to steal one at home.
Game: Chicago at San Francisco (10:20 PM Eastern)
Pick: 4 units on San Francisco +1.5 runs -135 (runline) (risk 4 to win 3)
We also like the value on the San Francisco run line. Despite their overall success this season the Cubs are just 9-16 against the run line on the road after two straight road games. And, Zito is 28-18 at home to the run line vs. teams that outscore their opponents by 0.5+ runs per game. With the Cubbies in the slide they are on, getting +1.5 on the home team at this small price is nice.<!-- / message -->
