<TABLE style="TABLE-LAYOUT: fixed" cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=5 width="100%"><TBODY><TR><TD vAlign=top width="85%" height="100%">THE SPORTS ADVISORS
NATIONAL LEAGUE
Milwaukee (41-34) at Atlanta (38-39)
The red-hot Brewers send ace Ben Sheets (8-1, 2.74 ERA) to the mound at Turner Field to take on the Braves and young left-hander Jo-Jo Reyes (3-4, 4.05) in the opener of a three-game series in Atlanta.
Milwaukee has won six of its last seven overall, including Sunday?s 7-3 victory over the Orioles. The Brewers are 6-1 in their last seven Monday games and 6-1 in their last seven when facing a southpaw, but they?re 7-15 in their last 22 on the road and 34-71 in their last 105 road games against a team with a losing record.
Atlanta is coming off a pair of wins over the lowly Mariners, rallying for a 5-4 victory Saturday and cruising 7-3 on Sunday. The Braves are on a 37-15 roll at Turner Field dating back to last season, including 27-12 this year. Also, Bobby Cox?s club sports streaks of 22-7 at home against right-handed starters and 4-0 on Mondays, but it has lost six straight games against the N.L. Central and is 2-7 in its last nine versus winning teams.
The Brewers took two of three against the Braves in Milwaukee a month ago, but Atlanta is 6-4 in the last 10 series clashes. Finally, the home team is 4-1 in the last five meetings.
Milwaukee has won 10 of Sheets? 14 starts this season, including seven of nine on the road where the right-hander is a perfect 5-0 with a 2.62 ERA. He hasn?t allowed more than three earned runs in six straight starts and gave up two runs on four hits in six innings of a 5-4 home win over the Blue Jays on Wednesday.
For his career, Sheets is 8-3 with a 4.80 ERA in 11 starts against the Braves, including 4-2 with a 5.27 ERA in 41 innings of work at Turner Field. The Brewers have won his last five starts against Atlanta, including a 5-4 victory last season with Sheets yielding three runs on 11 hits in six innings.
Reyes has a 2.82 ERA in his last three starts but he?s just 1-1, with the victory coming Wednesday in Texas, where he surrendered two runs (one earned) in seven innings of a 5-2 win. At home this season, he?s gone 2-2 with a 5.17 ERA, including a 6-2 loss to the Phillies in his most recent outing at Turner Field, as he gave up four runs on seven hits in 7 1/3 innings.
Reyes was a tough-luck loser against the Brewers last month, yielding just one run on two hits in seven innings but losing 1-0. In two career starts against Milwaukee he?s allowed four earned runs on six hits in 12 1/3 innings (2.92 ERA).
With Sheets on the hill, the Brewers are on hot streaks of 24-9 overall, 10-2 on the road, 13-3 against the N.L. East and 4-1 on Mondays. Meanwhile, Atlanta is 6-2 in Reyes? last eight at home and 9-4 in his last 13 overall.
The over is 7-2-1 in Sheets? last 10 with four days of rest and 7-3 in his last 10 against the Braves (4-1 in Atlanta), but the under is 4-1-1 in his last six Monday outings. For Reyes, the under is 8-2-1 in his last 11 overall.
Milwaukee has topped the total in eight of its last 11 overall, but otherwise the team is on ?under? runs of 6-2 against southpaws, 17-5 against the N.L. East, 10-3-1 in series openers and 4-1 on Mondays. The Braves are on ?under? streaks of 41-19-3 overall, 37-16-3 against right-handed starters, 20-8 in series openers, 20-7-4 against the N.L. Central and 4-2 at home.
Finally, the under is 17-8 in the last 25 series meetings in Atlanta and 6-1 in the last seven head-to-head battles overall.
ATS ADVANTAGE: NONE
INTERLEAGUE
Arizona (39-37) at Boston (47-31)
A pair of division leaders are set square off at Fenway Park as the Diamondbacks send Danny Haren (7-4, 3.26) to the mound opposite Red Sox ace Josh Beckett (7-4, 3.87).
Arizona arrives in Boston after getting swept in Minnesota over the weekend, capped by Sunday?s 5-3 setback. The Diamondbacks, who were outscored 18-6 in Minnesota, have lost six of their last eight and 12 of 19. They?ve also really struggled on the road, going just 6-17 in their last 23 on foreign turf.
Boston needed to go 13 innings versus the Cardinals on Sunday to avoid a rare three-game sweep at Fenway Park, getting a walk-off, two-run homer from Kevin Youkilis for a 5-3 victory. The Red Sox have been the kings of interleague play in recent years, going 49-13 in their last 62 against the National League. Boston is also on a 40-12 roll at Fenway since last season (29-9 this year), and the team is 41-11 in its last 52 games when hosting N.L. squads. The Sox also carry streaks of 5-0 against the N.L. West and 38-16 at Fenway against teams with a winning record.
These teams met last year in Arizona, with the Red Sox taking two of three. In the only previous meeting in 2002, the DBacks swept a three-game set in Boston.
Haren held the A?s to one run on four hits in seven innings en route to an 11-1 win over his former team on Wednesday, as Arizona improved to 4-0 in the right-hander?s last four starts. Haren is 1-0 with a 2.70 ERA in his last three outings, but on the road he is 0-3 with a 4.62 ERA in six starts.
Going back to his days in Oakland, Haren is just 1-3 with a 3.26 ERA in five lifetime starts (30 1/3 innings) against Boston. He saw them last season as a member of the A?s and allowed two runs on four hits in 7 2/3 innings of a 5-4 victory.
Beckett has been sidelined since June 15, when he pitched seven innings of shutout ball against Cincinnati, as he and the Sox got an easy 9-0 win. The veteran righty hasn?t lost at Fenway this season, going 4-0 despite a 4.81 ERA. Against the DBacks, Beckett is 1-3 with a 5.65 ERA in five career starts, but the lone victory was a 10-3 blowout triumph in Arizona last June, when he held the DBacks to three runs (two earned) on five hits (no walks) in eight innings work.
Terry Francona?s club is 35-16 in Beckett?s last 51 starts, 21-6 in his last 27 when facing a winning team, 10-1 in his past 11 interleague starts and 10-4 in his last 14 series openers.
The under is 7-3 in Haren?s last 10 outings for Arizona, but the over is 5-2 in Beckett?s last seven at home, 4-1-1 in his last six Monday starts and 4-1 in his last five series openers.
For the Diamondbacks, the over trends include 8-0-1 against the A.L. East, 4-2 in interleague road games and 5-2 against right-handed starters. Additionally, Boston is on over streaks of 4-2-2 overall, 6-2-2 against right-handed starters and 4-1-1 against righties at home, but the under is 20-8-3 in the squad?s last 31 games on Mondays.
ATS ADVANTAGE: BOSTON
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