Service Plays Monday 6/2/14

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RIVER CITY SHARPS

3 UNITS - PITT vs SD OVER 7

The Pirates appear to be playing some of their best baseball of the season, highlighted by a Sunday win over Zach Greinke and the Dodgers to take three out of four games in that series. The Bucs look to continue the momentum tonight as they send Charlie Morton (1-7, 3.29 ERA) to the mound to face the Padres Tim Stauffer (2-1, 4.50 ERA) Stauffer was shelled in his last start against the Diamondbacks, giving up seven runs in the first inning. Both of these teams, most notably the Padres, started the year off struggling from the plate, but both offenses appear to be headed in the right direction. We may see some bullpen fatigue tonight for the Pirates as Clint Hurdle was very liberal with his use of the pen during the Dodgers series, so that may be a story if the Padres can get past Morton. For us, the story of this game is that based on our systems, this total is too low and we're going to make a play on the OVER 7.0 in this spot.
 

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STATSYSTEMS SPORTS MLB PITCHING REPORT
MONDAY, JUNE 2ND 2014
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
_______________________________________


#951 PITTSBURGH @ #952 SAN DIEGO - 10:10 PM
•Pirates RH Charlie Morton (1-7, 3.29 ERA, WHIP: 1.288) - Morton lasted just 5 1/3 innings in his last start, allowing three runs (two earned) against the Mets on Wednesday. The 30-year-old yielded two or fewer runs in five of his six starts last month, but still enters Monday’s contest with just one victory. Seth Smith is 3-for-6 with a homer against Morton, who is 2-0 with a 1.33 ERA in three career starts against San Diego, including eight innings of one-run ball last Sept. 18.

--KEY STAT: MORTON is 15-36 (-17.8 Units) against the money line as an underdog of +100 to +150 since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was MORTON 3.1, OPPONENT 5.1.

•Padres RH Tim Stauffer (2-1, 4.50 ERA, WHIP: 1.500) - Stauffer saw his ERA climb from 1.90 to 4.50 on Wednesday against Arizona, when he allowed seven runs in the first inning and exited after recording just one out. The 31-year-old, who is 0-1 with a 3.00 ERA in four career games (one start) against the Pirates, was moved into the rotation after Andrew Cashner and Robbie Erlin landed on the disabled list. Stauffer has been part of the Padres organization since being drafted fourth overall in 2003.

--KEY STAT: STAUFFER is 16-5 UNDER (+10.2 Units) in home games in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was STAUFFER 3.4, OPPONENT 2.8.

--STAUFFER is 16-3 UNDER (+12.5 Units) in home games after a loss since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was STAUFFER 2.6, OPPONENT 2.3 - (Rating = 2*)

#953 BOSTON @ #954 CLEVELAND - 7:05 PM
•Red Sox RH John Lackey (6-3, 3.27 ERA, WHIP: 1.242) - Lackey struck out nine in 6 1/3 scoreless innings to earn a win over the Atlanta Braves on Wednesday and has not allowed a run in 13 1/3 frames over his last two starts. The veteran surrendered two earned runs or fewer in six of his last seven outings. Lackey made one start against Cleveland last season and allowed just one unearned run on two hits in seven innings to pick up a win.

--KEY STAT: LACKEY is 20-9 UNDER (+10.0 Units) versus an American League team with an on base percentage .330 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was LACKEY 3.9, OPPONENT 4.0.

--LACKEY is 11-1 UNDER (+9.8 Units) after giving up <=2 earned runs in his last 2 outings over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was LACKEY 2.9, OPPONENT 3.7.

--LACKEY is 1-7 against the run line (-9.4 Units) in road games after giving up 1 or less earned runs last outing over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was LACKEY 3.0, OPPONENT 5.3.

•Indians RH Justin Masterson (2-4, 5.21 ERA, WHIP: 1.545) - Masterson was limited to three innings due to a lengthy rain delay on Tuesday but suffered the loss at the Chicago White Sox after yielding a run on four hits. The former Boston farmhand has been knocked around for 18 runs in 18 1/3 innings while going 0-3 in his last four starts. Masterson made two starts against the Red Sox in 2013 and lost both, allowing a total of nine runs and 17 hits in 11 innings.

--KEY STAT: MASTERSON is 12-1 (+11.6 Units) against the money line after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was MASTERSON 4.3, OPPONENT 2.2.

--MASTERSON is 17-6 UNDER (+10.7 Units) versus poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was MASTERSON 3.8, OPPONENT 4.0.

#955 TAMPA BAY @ #956 MIAMI - 7:10 PM
•Rays RH Alex Cobb (1-2, 2.93 ERA, WHIP: 1.043) - Cobb was pushed back one day to get some extra rest as he continues to build strength following a lengthy stint on the disabled list. The 26-year-old posted 24 2/3 consecutive scoreless innings before the fourth inning of a start at Toronto last Tuesday and ended up charged with six runs on nine hits in a loss. Cobb is 2-0 with a 1.35 ERA in two career starts against Miami.

•Marlins LH Randy Wolf (0-1, 4.50 ERA, WHIP: 1.400) - Wolf was picked up last month when the Marlins were hit with injuries to their starting rotation and built some length with a pair of appearances out of the bullpen before making his first start on May 25. The 37-year-old surrendered six runs - four earned - on nine hits over five innings to suffer a loss against Milwaukee. Wolf does not have a long track record against Tampa Bay but has held shortstop Yunel Escobar to 2-for-11 in his career.

--KEY STAT: WOLF is 23-9 (+14.1 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 7.5 or less since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was WOLF 4.6, OPPONENT 4.0.

--WOLF is 0-10 against the run line (-12.4 Units) versus American League teams scoring 4.2 or less runs/game on the season since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was WOLF 3.0, OPPONENT 5.3.

#957 MINNESOTA @ #958 MILWAUKEE - 7:20 PM
•Twins RH Kyle Gibson (4-4, 4.18 ERA, WHIP: 1.375) - Gibson was brilliant his last time out with six scoreless innings, but he got a no-decision as the Twins were on the wrong end of a 1-0 game. He has had trouble stringing together strong outings though, and hasn't recorded consecutive quality starts since mid-April. The 26-year-old has never faced the Brewers.

•Brewers RH Matt Garza (2-4, 4.84 ERA, WHIP: 1.313) - Garza is winless in his last four starts but has recorded quality starts in three of his last five outings. He allowed only three earned runs over 6 2/3 innings last time out, but he was derailed by three unearned runs in the seventh. The 30-year-old is 0-1 with a 2.57 ERA in two matchups against his former team -- both quality starts.

--KEY STAT: GARZA is 15-2 (+12.8 Units) against the money line in home games versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was GARZA 5.4, OPPONENT 3.5.

--GARZA is 39-86 against the run line (-39.1 Units) as a favorite when the run line price is -190 to +175 since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was GARZA 4.3, OPPONENT 4.1.

#959 KANSAS CITY @ #960 ST LOUIS - 8:10 PM
•Royals LH Danny Duffy (2-5, 3.57 ERA, WHIP: 1.246) - Duffy's transition to the starting rotation got off to a stellar beginning, but he has been roughed up in consecutive losses. The 25-year-old has allowed 11 runs (10 earned) and 16 hits in 10 innings over his last two starts and was hurt by five walks in Wednesday's loss to Houston. Duffy made one start against St. Louis in 2011 and allowed two runs in 3 2/3 innings while striking out nine.

•Cardinals RH Shelby Miller (6-4, 3.94 ERA, WHIP: 1.460) - Miller's streakiness continues, as he has followed a run of six straight wins with consecutive losses. His last outing was his worst of the season as the Yankees tagged him for seven runs and nine hits over five frames. The 23-year-old has never faced the Royals, but he's 2-3 with a 6.99 ERA in six starts during interleague play.

--KEY STAT: MILLER is 13-7 against the run line (+9.3 Units) at home when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was MILLER 4.7, OPPONENT 3.3.

#961 CHI WHITE SOX @ #962 LA DODGERS - 10:10 PM
•White Sox LH Jose Quintana (3-4, 3.61 ERA, WHIP: 1.262) - Quintana has been a model of consistency this season while allowing three earned runs or fewer in 10 of his 11 starts. “He might give up a hit per inning, but he always keeps you in a game,” Indians manager Terry Francona said after watching Quintana hold his team to two runs over six innings last Monday. The 25-year-old is making his first start against the Dodgers since June 17, 2012, when he tossed eight shutout innings in Chicago’s 2-1 victory.

--KEY STAT: QUINTANA is 23-10 UNDER (+11.8 Units) versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was QUINTANA 3.8, OPPONENT 3.5.

--QUINTANA is 13-4 UNDER (+8.7 Units) when working on 5 or 6 days rest over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was QUINTANA 3.0, OPPONENT 3.8.

•Dodgers LH Clayton Kershaw (3-2, 3.57 ERA, WHIP: 1.217) - Kershaw bounced back from a dismal outing against Arizona with two strong starts, including Wednesday against Cincinnati when he allowed three runs over seven frames. The two-time Cy Young award winner is 6-3 with a 2.67 ERA in 17 career interleague games, including a 0-1 mark and 5.40 ERA in two starts against the White Sox. Adam Dunn is 8-for-13 with four homers against Kershaw, who owns a 46-to-7 strikeout-to-walk ratio.

--KEY STAT: KERSHAW is 10-23 against the run line (-13.9 Units) as a home favorite when the run line price is +135 to -190 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was KERSHAW 3.1, OPPONENT 2.6.

--KERSHAW is 3-12 against the run line (-10.0 Units) in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was KERSHAW 2.7, OPPONENT 2.9.

#963 NY METS @ #964 PHILADELPHIA - 7:05 PM
•Mets RH Bartolo Colon (4-5, 4.73 ERA, WHIP: 1.283) - Colon has defeated the Nationals and Pirates during his winning streak, firing eight innings of two-run ball against Washington before pitching 7 1/3 shutout innings with a season-high nine strikeouts Wednesday against Pittsburgh. He is pitching to contact – opponents are hitting .286 against him, but the veteran has walked only seven hitters in 64 2/3 innings. Colon owns a 1-2 record and 4.65 ERA in five career starts against the Phillies.

--KEY STAT: COLON is 12-2 (+10.7 Units) against the money line in road games versus National League teams scoring 4.3 or less runs/game on the season since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was COLON 6.1, OPPONENT 3.7.

--COLON is 28-14 (+14.0 Units) against the money line versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was COLON 4.7, OPPONENT 3.4.

•Phillies RH Roberto Hernandez (2-2, 3.76 ERA, WHIP: 1.556) - Hernandez has made two appearances against the Mets this season, surrendering one run on six hits in five innings May 9 and pitching two-third of an inning of scoreless relief two days later. He got a no-decision against the Rockies on Wednesday, allowing two runs on six hits with five walks in 5 2/3 innings. Hernandez has made three career appearances against New York, posting a 1.50 ERA.

--KEY STAT: HERNANDEZ is 33-16 UNDER (+14.8 Units) in home games versus teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was HERNANDEZ 3.4, OPPONENT 4.2.

--HERNANDEZ is 39-19 UNDER (+17.3 Units) versus poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was HERNANDEZ 3.8, OPPONENT 4.0.

#965 SEATTLE @ #966 NY YANKEES - 7:05 PM
•Mariners RH Felix Hernandez (7-1, 2.57 ERA, WHIP: 1.024) - Hernandez has worked eight or more innings in each of his last three starts, allowing only four runs and 16 hits during the stretch. He struck out nine and gave up one run and four hits in 8 2/3 innings against the Los Angeles Angels in his last turn. Hernandez is 8-5 with a 2.89 ERA and two shutouts in 16 career starts against the Yankees.

--KEY STAT: HERNANDEZ is 20-6 UNDER (+13.3 Units) as a road favorite of -125 to -150 since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was HERNANDEZ 3.5, OPPONENT 3.0.

--HERNANDEZ is 35-80 against the run line (-36.5 Units) as a favorite when the run line price is +115 to +160 since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was HERNANDEZ 3.6, OPPONENT 3.7.

•Yankees RH David Phelps (1-2, 3.38 ERA, WHIP: 1.425) - Phelps has lost consecutive starts to the Chicago White Sox and St. Louis. He gave up five runs (three earned) and eight hits in six innings against the Cardinals on Tuesday in his last turn. Phelps is 1-0 with a 1.23 ERA in two career appearances (one start) against Seattle.

--KEY STAT: PHELPS is 1-11 against the run line (-10.9 Units) versus teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was PHELPS 4.3, OPPONENT 5.0.
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CHASE DIAMOND

10* MLB HOME COOKING
NY Mets vs. Philadelphia
Money Line: -103 Philadelphia Phillies

This play features the 27-29 Mets at the 24-30 Phillies. This has been a very long series with the last 3 games going into extra innings. I will be in person at this game right behind home plate row 5. I’ve talked to several guys with Philly connections and they tell me this game is a high priority tonight for the Phillies. Bartolo Colon has been down right average this season he is 4-5 with a 4.73 ERA I love the over tonight since both bullpens are messed up but the stronger play is the Phillies with the very low juice. Roberto Hernandez has been ok with a 2-2 3.76 ERA there are worse pitchers out there. Take the Phillies straight for a 10* winner!
 
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Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with the Rangers (series) while on vacation and likes the Mets on Monday.

The deficit is 350 sirignanos.
 
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Monday’s MLB betting cheat sheet: Marlins struggling at home

Here’s a comprehensive look at betting notes for Monday’s major league games:

Mets Rally to Push (Again)

The New York Mets once again left totals bettors frustrated, rallying for two runs in the ninth while allowing one of their own to settle for a push in a 4-3 win over Philadelphia. The Mets already have 10 pushes in 2014; only two teams reached double digits (Miami, New York Yankees) all of last season.

Marlins Swimming in Reverse

Miami began the season as one of the hottest moneyline and Over plays at home, but those numbers have cooled of late. The Marlins are 1-4 SU and 1-3-1 O/U in their last five games at Marlins Park entering Monday’s home tilt with the in-state rival Tampa Bay Rays (-142, 7.5).

Kershaw Comes Through

Clayton Kershaw is the favorite of the night on Monday’s eight-game sked, coming in at -207 as his Dodgers face Jose Quintana and the Chicago White Sox. Kershaw has been dominant in the role, allowing just three earned runs in his last four starts as a fave of -185 or better.

Pitching Notes

* Cleveland right-hander Justin Masterson has struggled as an underdog of late, going 0-4 in his last five starts in the role. Masterson and the Indians (+103, 8) open a three-game set Monday afternoon against his former team, the Boston Red Sox.

* Seattle hurler Felix Hernandez has quelled one of the league’s stronger Over trends, allowing just two runs over his last two starts to go 0-1-1 O/U following six straight Overs. Hernandez and the Mariners (-129, 7.5) visit the New York Yankees on Monday.

Hitting Notes

* Minnesota star Joe Mauer looked like a shell of his former self in May, batting just .258 with a .290 OBP for the month. That contributed to the Twins’ 11-17-1 O/U record for May, a trend they hope to see halted as they visit the Milwaukee Brewers (-155, 8).

* Philadelphia first baseman Ryan Howard is heating up, with four homers and 14 RBIs over his last seven games. The Phillies are 6-5 S/U and 7-2-2 O/U in games where Howard goes deep entering Monday’s showdown with the visiting Mets (-105, 7.5).

Totals Streak

Boston Red Sox (0-5 O/U): Boston has followed a nine-game losing skid with a seven-game winning streak on the strength of some sensational pitching. The Red Sox have allowed just six runs over their last five games, including a sweep of Tampa Bay in which the Rays scored just three times.

Prop of the Day

The St. Louis Cardinals could be a strong play at +800 to beat the Kansas City Royals by exactly three runs. The Cardinals are 11-5 against their geographical rivals over the past three seasons, with four of the last seven victories coming by three runs.

Injury Notes

* Baltimore Orioles outfielder Nelson Cruz is considered day-to-day after he was hit in the hand by a pitch Sunday. Cruz leads the majors with 20 home runs; the Orioles are 9-9 S/U and 11-7 O/U in games in which Cruz has gone deep at least once.

* Los Angeles Angels outfielder Mike Trout is expected to return Tuesday from a back injury after sitting out the entire weekend. The Angels were 1-1 S/U, 1-1 O/U and +100 units without Trout, who has three homers and 10 RBIs over his last nine games.

Weather Watch

* The wind at Yankee Stadium will be blowing out to left field at 10 mph for Monday’s game between the Yankees and Mariners. Teams averaged 8.6 runs and a whopping 3.6 homers in five games under similar wind conditions last season.

Umpire Note of the Day

Under is 12-3-1 in umpire Doug Edding’s last 16 games behind home plate. Eddings will call the balls and strikes for Monday’s series finale between the Mets and Phillies.

** Odds, stats, weather forecast and probable pitchers as of 10:10 a.m. ET Monday.
 

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RickJ's Handicapping Picks Monday MLB Play
1 Unit
White Sox +170


 
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GC: MLB Play

Monday card has the 100% MLB Dog of the Year from an Undefeated League wide system that has won all 14 times. There are also a Pair of totals systems from 13-1 and 11- 1 systems. MLB Preview Play below


On Monday the MLB Preview Play is in the Chicago White Sox and LA. Dodgers game at 10:10 eastern. The Dodgers apply to the 15-1 League Wide power system below that has won 15 of 16 times. However its hard to unit rate favorites in this range. It is worth noting that these home favorites are winning by over 3 runs in this system. We want to do is play on home favorites in this range that were at home and favored in their last game, vs an opponent, which is the White Sox in this game, that are off a home favored win at -140 or higher. This very simple set of parameters have produced solid results since 2004. The Dodgers have done well in the Inter League as they average 5.6 runs. LA has their ace on the mound in Clayton Kershaw tonight. In his last 9 home starts Kershaw has allowed just 11 earned runs, spanning 62 innings. Tonight he will oppose J. Quintana for Chicago who has been decent despite pitching for a mediocre team. The White Sox are off the win at home vs the Padres on Sunday. However, they are a terrible 1-15 on the road off a home game. They have also lost 4 of 5 as a road dog in this range. While its hard to lay such a high number with the Dodgers, they do have a plethora of Solid indicators on their side tonight. See the Power system Below. On Monday we have 3 Powerful Play up, one is the MLB Dog of the Year from an Incredible 100% System where dogs have won all 14 times. There are also a pair Of totals systems that are 13-1 and 11-1. Jump on now and Start the week big with this Triple pack. For the Bonus Play take the LA. Dodgers. GC


SU: 15-1

Runs
Team 7.2
Opp 3.9

Date Link Day Site Team Starter Opp Starter Final SUm W/L OUm O/U Hits Errors BL Line Total Innings
Aug 31, 2004 box Tue home Red Sox Curt Schilling - ? Angels John Lackey - R 10-7 3 W 7.5 O 16-15 0-2 9-0 -200 9.5 9
Sep 13, 2004 box Mon home Athletics Tim Hudson - R Rangers Juan Dominguez - R 7-6 1 W 4.0 O 8-12 1-1 1-2 -250 9.0 10
Apr 22, 2005 box Fri home Cardinals Jason Marquis - R Astros Brandon Duckworth - R 8-7 1 W 5.5 O 9-11 0-1 7-0 -210 9.5 9
Sep 20, 2005 box Tue home Angels Bartolo Colon - R Rangers Juan Dominguez - R 2-1 1 W -5.5 U 7-5 3-0 2-0 -210 8.5 9
Sep 23, 2005 box Fri home Yankees Shawn Chacon - R Blue Jays Ted Lilly - L 5-0 5 W -5.0 U 8-4 0-1 5-0 -220 10.0 9
Aug 15, 2006 box Tue home Twins Johan Santana - L Indians Jake Westbrook - R 4-1 3 W -3.5 U 8-4 0-0 4-0 -200 8.5 9
May 11, 2007 box Fri home Twins Johan Santana - L Tigers Mike Maroth - L 3-7 -4 L 2.0 O 11-13 0-1 0-4 -200 8.0 9
Jun 05, 2007 box Tue home Blue Jays Roy Halladay - R Rays Andy Sonnanstine - R 12-11 1 W 14.5 O 12-17 3-1 1-7 -240 8.5 9
Oct 24, 2007 box Wed home Red Sox Josh Beckett - R Rockies Jeff Francis - L 13-1 12 W 5.5 O 17-6 0-0 12-0 -210 8.5 9
Oct 01, 2008 box Wed home Phillies Cole Hamels - L Brewers Yovani Gallardo - R 3-1 2 W -4.5 U 4-4 1-1 3-0 -200 8.5 9
May 06, 2009 box Wed home Dodgers Clayton Kershaw - L Nationals Daniel Cabrera - R 10-3 7 W 3.5 O 11-6 0-2 8-0 -205 9.5 9
Jun 09, 2009 box Tue home Dodgers Chad Billingsley - R Padres Chris Young - R 6-4 2 W 2.5 O 11-10 0-1 3-2 -200 7.5 9
Apr 16, 2010 box Fri home Phillies Roy Halladay - R Marlins Anibal Sanchez - R 8-6 2 W 6.0 O 12-14 1-0 7-0 -260 8.0 9
Jul 22, 2010 box Thu home Yankees CC Sabathia - L Royals Bruce Chen - L 10-4 6 W 5.0 O 14-14 1-1 6-2 -325 9.0 9
Jul 27, 2010 box Tue home Rangers Cliff Lee - L Athletics Gio Gonzalez - L 3-1 2 W -4.0 U 8-6 1-0 2-0 -235 8.0 10
Jul 02, 2013 box Tue home Braves Kris Medlen - R Marlins Tom Koehler - R 11-3 8 W 6.5 O 16-11 1-2 8-2 -255 7.5 9

Jun 02, 2014 Mon home Dodgers Clayton Kershaw - L White Sox Jose Quintana - L -210 6.5
 

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XpertPicks

MONDAY BASEBALL



  • Play New York Yankees +120 over Seattle---Top Play (Risk 8% of your Bankroll)
    7:00 PM EST

David Phelps has won 9 of the last 13 home games and he has won 7 of the last 10 games when pitching with five or six days of rest. David Phelps has an ERA of 2.50 over his last three starts and he has an ERA of 1.50 vs. Seattle over his career.




  • Play Pittsburgh +100 over San Diego----Top Play (Risk 8% of your Bankroll)
    10:00 PM EST

Tim Stauffer has lost 11 of the last 18 games vs. NL Central Division Opponents and he has lost 7 of the last 11 games when pitching in the month of June. Tim Stauffer has lost 7 of the last 11 games when pitching on a Monday and he has an ERA of 11.82 over the last three starts.
 

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BeatYourBookie


MONDAY

MLB BASEBALL


10* Play Miami +120 over Tampa Bay (MLB TOP PLAY)

Tampa Bay is 11-20 in road games this season

Tampa Bay is 6-15 when batting .250 or worse over the last twenty games
Tampa Bay is 8-16 coming off an UNDER the total in their last game


10* Play Pittsburgh +100 over San Diego (MLB TOP PLAY)

Pittsburgh is 34-19 when playing in the month of June the last two seasons
Pittsburgh is 75-60 when playing in the 1[SUP]st[/SUP] half of the season the last two years
Pittsburgh is 107-81 when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs

=============================================

5* Play NY Yankees +120 over Seattle (MLB BONUS PLAY)
5* Play NY Mets +100 over Philadelphia (MLB BONUS PLAY)

 

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Kevin's Pick(s):
Chris Sale pitched a great game and I picked up a White Sox run line winner yesterday afternoon. Today we've got a smaller board on a Monday, but I'm taking a small road favorite.
2 UNIT = Boston Red Sox @ Cleveland Indians - RED SOX TO WIN (-112)
Listed Pitchers: Lackey vs Masterson
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.79 units)

The Red Sox enter this game winners of 7 straight as they swept the Rays at home over the weekend. The Indians had lost 4 straight before sweeping Colorado at home over the weekend. This will be the first meeting between these two teams this season. Last year the Red Sox went 6-1 vs the Indians in their seven meetings. John Lackey will be on the mound for Boston and he is 6-3 on the year with a 3.27 ERA, .266 OBA and 1.24 WHIP. He is coming off two straight starts where he allowed 0 earned runs, and he posted a 2.56 ERA over 5 May starts. Justin Masterson will counter for Cleveland and he is just 2-4 with a 5.21 ERA, .272 OBA and 1.54 WHIP on the season. He posted a 5.63 ERA over 6 May starts. Take note that the Indians are 1-4 in Masterson's last 5 starts as an underdog and 1-7 in his last 8 starts vs AL East opponents. The Indians are also 0-4 in their last 4 games as an underdog overall. Boston is 30-13 in their last 43 games as a road favorite between -110 to -150, and 4-1 in Lackey's last 5 starts as a favorite. Boston has won 4 straight in Cleveland and I look for them to keep their winning streak going given the pitching match up we will see tonight.
 

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FantasySportsGametime

MLB Baseball

1000* Play St. Louis -150 over Kansas City (MLB TOP PLAY)

Danny Duffy has lost 5 consecutive games after giving up two or more home runs in his last outing and he has lost 10 of the last 13 games when pitching as an underdog of +125 to +175.Danny Duffy has lost 16 of the last 26 games coming off a team loss and he has lost two of the last three starts with an ERA of 5.29.

=====================================================



50* Play Milwaukee -150 over Minnesota (MLB BONUS PLAY)
50* Play LA Dodgers -230 over Chicago White Sox (MLB BONUS PLAY)
 
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Soccer Plays

19.20 CET - Sweden Superettan:
Sirius - Hammarby, both team to score (GG) @ 1.57 (Bet365)

20.45 CET - Ireland Premier League:
Dundalk - UC Dublin, 1 (-1.5)AH @ 1.75 (Bet365)

19.30 CET - Austria Ersteliga:
Parndorf - LASK Linz, over 2.5 @ 1.80 (Bet365)
 
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Ecks and Bacon

"Mr Chalk" won in MLB in Interleague play on Sunday with the White Sox -$180/Padres.

E&B lost their lean on Sunday in the NHL Playoffs with Blackhawks -$150/Kings.

E&B and "Mr Chalk" have Np for Monday.

Ben lee is 138-156-5 -$2630 through Thirty One weeks.

"Mr Chalk" is 26-24 -$517 for the 2014 MLB season.

All E&B selections will be for $50 unless noted.
 
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WUNDERDOG SPORTS FREE PICK

MLB Game: New York Mets @ Philadelphia Phillies
Time: Monday 06/02 7:05 PM Eastern
Pick: New York -108 (moneyline)

The Mets took a flyer on Bartolo Colon, and he is starting to prove he still has something left in the tank. Colon has pitched great in his last two turns where he has allowed two runs total, covering 15.1 innings of work. Colon doesn’t beat himself, as he has walked just seven hitters in over 64 innings. The Mets pen has been sharp of late as well, allowing nine runs in their last 43 innings of work. Philadelphia has skidded into last place in the NL East, by virtue of eight losses in their last 12 games, and they have been victimized at home in 18 of their 30 games here on the season. The Mets have taken advantage of poor home teams where they are now 7-1 in their last eight vs. a team with a losing home record. The Phillies are even worse at home vs. a team with a winning road record at just a woeful 6-15 in their last 21. The Mets have been lethal in this park where they are 18-6 in their last 24 here. Make the play on New York.
 

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