MLB
Write-Up
Monday, May 9
Hot pitchers
-- Billingsley is 1-0, 2.31 in his last four starts.
-- Blanton is 0-0, 2.57 in his last couple starts.
-- Rodriguez has a 1.67 RA in his last four starts.
-- Chacin is 2-1, 1.17 in three home starts. Capuano has a 2.03 RA in his last two starts.
-- Scherzer is 4-0, 2.23 in his last six starts. Morrow is 1-0, 2.19 in his last two outings.
-- Beckett is 2-0, 1.89 in his last five starts.
-- Cahill is 4-0, 0.96 in his last four outings. Wilson is 3-1, 3.00.
Cold pitchers
-- Karstens is 1-1, 6.43 in four starts this season.
-- Vazquez has a 7.84 RA in six starts this season.
-- Wood is 0-3, 7.34 in his last six starts.
-- Latos is 0-4, 6.18 in five starts this season. Greinke allowed five runs in four IP in his first '11 start.
-- Blackburn is 1-2, 7.04 in his last four starts.
-- EJackson is 0-4, 6.75 in his last five starts. Santana is 1-2, 6.43 in his last four starts.
Totals
-- Over is 7-3-1 in last eleven Dodger road games.
-- Over is 7-3-1 in Florida's last eleven home games.
-- Six of last nine Houston games stayed under the total.
-- Last four Milwaukee games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 8-3 in last eleven Colorado games.
-- Four of last six Toronto home games went over total.
-- Five of last seven games at Fenway Park went over the total.
-- Last six Oakland games stayed under the total.
-- Seven of White Sox' last eight road games stayed under total.
Hot teams
-- Pirates won five of their last seven games.
-- Phillies won seven of their last ten games.
-- Cincinnati won four of its last five games.
-- Mets won three of their last four games.
-- Detroit won five of its last six games.
-- Red Sox are 8-5 in their last thirteen games.
-- Oakland won three of its last four road games.
-- Angels won four of their last five games.
Cold teams
-- Dodgers lost six of their last eight games.
-- Marlins lost three of their last four games.
-- Houston lost four of its last five games.
-- Milwaukee lost eight of its last nine games. Padres are 2-11 in game following a win this season.
-- Colorado lost six of its last seven games.
-- Blue Jays lost six of their last eight games.
-- Twins are 4-7 in their last eleven road games.
-- Texas lost six of its last eight games.
-- White Sox lost eight of their last eleven games.
Write-Up
Monday, May 9
Hot pitchers
-- Billingsley is 1-0, 2.31 in his last four starts.
-- Blanton is 0-0, 2.57 in his last couple starts.
-- Rodriguez has a 1.67 RA in his last four starts.
-- Chacin is 2-1, 1.17 in three home starts. Capuano has a 2.03 RA in his last two starts.
-- Scherzer is 4-0, 2.23 in his last six starts. Morrow is 1-0, 2.19 in his last two outings.
-- Beckett is 2-0, 1.89 in his last five starts.
-- Cahill is 4-0, 0.96 in his last four outings. Wilson is 3-1, 3.00.
Cold pitchers
-- Karstens is 1-1, 6.43 in four starts this season.
-- Vazquez has a 7.84 RA in six starts this season.
-- Wood is 0-3, 7.34 in his last six starts.
-- Latos is 0-4, 6.18 in five starts this season. Greinke allowed five runs in four IP in his first '11 start.
-- Blackburn is 1-2, 7.04 in his last four starts.
-- EJackson is 0-4, 6.75 in his last five starts. Santana is 1-2, 6.43 in his last four starts.
Totals
-- Over is 7-3-1 in last eleven Dodger road games.
-- Over is 7-3-1 in Florida's last eleven home games.
-- Six of last nine Houston games stayed under the total.
-- Last four Milwaukee games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 8-3 in last eleven Colorado games.
-- Four of last six Toronto home games went over total.
-- Five of last seven games at Fenway Park went over the total.
-- Last six Oakland games stayed under the total.
-- Seven of White Sox' last eight road games stayed under total.
Hot teams
-- Pirates won five of their last seven games.
-- Phillies won seven of their last ten games.
-- Cincinnati won four of its last five games.
-- Mets won three of their last four games.
-- Detroit won five of its last six games.
-- Red Sox are 8-5 in their last thirteen games.
-- Oakland won three of its last four road games.
-- Angels won four of their last five games.
Cold teams
-- Dodgers lost six of their last eight games.
-- Marlins lost three of their last four games.
-- Houston lost four of its last five games.
-- Milwaukee lost eight of its last nine games. Padres are 2-11 in game following a win this season.
-- Colorado lost six of its last seven games.
-- Blue Jays lost six of their last eight games.
-- Twins are 4-7 in their last eleven road games.
-- Texas lost six of its last eight games.
-- White Sox lost eight of their last eleven games.
EasyBaseballBetting
Mets +161 over Rockies (1.0 Units) - We hit our only play yesterday with a win with the Giants against these very same Rockies. Now look at what these Rockies have to deal with. They have been playing on the road since the 3rd of May and went 1-5 in that stretch. They were a good road team before entering that swing but now just 11-8. And now they were just shut out. So what kind of momentum do they have coming into today's game? Not much. Considering their very average home record, we cannot even expect their home crowd to turn things around. So you have some good value taking these Mets at +161.
Our statistics are very favorable when going against a team that was swept. Check this out, going for a +150 or higher dog in a non-divisional rivalry game is 42-48, +26 units over the past 13 seasons if their opponent is coming off of being swept. Only two losing seasons the past 12 years. Now we exclude divisional rivalry games for a very important reason. Since our pick is predicated on the fact that the opponent is struggling, teams can tend to turn things around if they are facing a hated foe better than if they fought any average Joe team. Meaning these Rockies would be more likely to bounce back against someone from the NL West than from the NL East.
Marlins at [100] versus Phillies (1.0 Units) - With the Marlins at +100, we consider them dogs. And they are also only 2 games behind these Phillies so we expect them to play about as stellar as possible in this series. The Marlins are coming into this game having won 8-0 against a divisional foe in the Nationals. These Phillies are coming into the series off a loss. Statistics show that advantage in the first game of a series goes to the team coming off a win if their opponent is coming off a loss. Not only that, these Marlins are stellar in the first game of a series 8-2, +7 units ... all the while the Phillies are 3-7, -6.9 units in the first game of a series. That's a 14 unit flip.
Padres +136 over Brewers (1.0 Units) - The Padres haven't been playing particularly well but who cares, our pick does not concern them. The Brewers are favored to win but they are averaging 1.7 runs a game in their last 10 games.. even worse 1.2 runs a game L5. I don't care who you have starting games for you, but averaging those kinds of runs just not going to win you a lot of games. And if you are a favorite, forget about it. Here's another good system that is easy to follow. Dogs of +120 or higher in the first game of a series going against a team averaging fewer than 2 runs a game L5 are 79-95, +21 units the past 12 seasons. It was not a good play last year going -7 units but had 3 losing seasons, 9 winning seasons. This only works for the first game of a series because so many other things go into a second and third game of a series like revenge etc... This system would be better for divisional rivals but works well for nondivisional rivals too. This is an even stronger play for AL teams because AL game are expected to have more runs (DH hitter) therefore a team really has to suck if they are below 2 runs a game. The fact this is a nondivisional rivalry NL game makes it a regular 1 unit play or else we'd pounce on it.
Heat -1 over the Celtics (1.0 Units) - About two-thirds of the money on this game is going on the Celtics but they are just blindly following the home team. The true value here goes with the better and younger team Heat. After the first two games, it looked like the Celtics were out of the series. Winning Game 3 does not necessarily change the series.
It is a changing of the guard year for the NBA and the Celtics are next on the hit list after the Spurs and Lakers.
The Celtics needed Game 3 so they won it. But Game 4 becomes an even handed battle that will go to the better Heat team.
And secondly, if so much money is going on the Celtics, why wouldn't they be a favorite? At least by about 2-3 points? Well, easy. Vegas is not concerned with you losing your money betting on these Celtics.
Take the Heat
Mets +161 over Rockies (1.0 Units) - We hit our only play yesterday with a win with the Giants against these very same Rockies. Now look at what these Rockies have to deal with. They have been playing on the road since the 3rd of May and went 1-5 in that stretch. They were a good road team before entering that swing but now just 11-8. And now they were just shut out. So what kind of momentum do they have coming into today's game? Not much. Considering their very average home record, we cannot even expect their home crowd to turn things around. So you have some good value taking these Mets at +161.
Our statistics are very favorable when going against a team that was swept. Check this out, going for a +150 or higher dog in a non-divisional rivalry game is 42-48, +26 units over the past 13 seasons if their opponent is coming off of being swept. Only two losing seasons the past 12 years. Now we exclude divisional rivalry games for a very important reason. Since our pick is predicated on the fact that the opponent is struggling, teams can tend to turn things around if they are facing a hated foe better than if they fought any average Joe team. Meaning these Rockies would be more likely to bounce back against someone from the NL West than from the NL East.
Marlins at [100] versus Phillies (1.0 Units) - With the Marlins at +100, we consider them dogs. And they are also only 2 games behind these Phillies so we expect them to play about as stellar as possible in this series. The Marlins are coming into this game having won 8-0 against a divisional foe in the Nationals. These Phillies are coming into the series off a loss. Statistics show that advantage in the first game of a series goes to the team coming off a win if their opponent is coming off a loss. Not only that, these Marlins are stellar in the first game of a series 8-2, +7 units ... all the while the Phillies are 3-7, -6.9 units in the first game of a series. That's a 14 unit flip.
Padres +136 over Brewers (1.0 Units) - The Padres haven't been playing particularly well but who cares, our pick does not concern them. The Brewers are favored to win but they are averaging 1.7 runs a game in their last 10 games.. even worse 1.2 runs a game L5. I don't care who you have starting games for you, but averaging those kinds of runs just not going to win you a lot of games. And if you are a favorite, forget about it. Here's another good system that is easy to follow. Dogs of +120 or higher in the first game of a series going against a team averaging fewer than 2 runs a game L5 are 79-95, +21 units the past 12 seasons. It was not a good play last year going -7 units but had 3 losing seasons, 9 winning seasons. This only works for the first game of a series because so many other things go into a second and third game of a series like revenge etc... This system would be better for divisional rivals but works well for nondivisional rivals too. This is an even stronger play for AL teams because AL game are expected to have more runs (DH hitter) therefore a team really has to suck if they are below 2 runs a game. The fact this is a nondivisional rivalry NL game makes it a regular 1 unit play or else we'd pounce on it.
Heat -1 over the Celtics (1.0 Units) - About two-thirds of the money on this game is going on the Celtics but they are just blindly following the home team. The true value here goes with the better and younger team Heat. After the first two games, it looked like the Celtics were out of the series. Winning Game 3 does not necessarily change the series.
It is a changing of the guard year for the NBA and the Celtics are next on the hit list after the Spurs and Lakers.
The Celtics needed Game 3 so they won it. But Game 4 becomes an even handed battle that will go to the better Heat team.
And secondly, if so much money is going on the Celtics, why wouldn't they be a favorite? At least by about 2-3 points? Well, easy. Vegas is not concerned with you losing your money betting on these Celtics.
Take the Heat
FantasySportsGametime
MLB Baseball Monday
Play Boston (-220) over Minnesota (Top Play of the Day)
Starts at 7:10 PM EST
Boston pitcher, Josh Beckett has won 11 of the last 12 games as a favorite of -200 or higher and he is 2-0 in home games this season with an ERA of 0.47. Minnesota pitcher, Nick Blackburn has lost 9 of the last 11 road games when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs and he is 1-2 over the last 3 starts with an ERA of 5.82.
Play Colorado (-170) over New York Mets (Top Play of the Day)
Starts at 8:30 PM EST
Colorado has won 28 of the last 37 home games as a favorite of -150 to -175 and pitcher, Jhoulys Chacin has an ERA of 1.17 in home games this season. New York pitcher, Chris Capuano has lost 5 consecutive road games and he has also lost 6 of the last 7 games as an underdog of +100 or higher.
Play Oakland +115 over Texas (Bonus)
MLB Baseball Monday
Play Boston (-220) over Minnesota (Top Play of the Day)
Starts at 7:10 PM EST
Boston pitcher, Josh Beckett has won 11 of the last 12 games as a favorite of -200 or higher and he is 2-0 in home games this season with an ERA of 0.47. Minnesota pitcher, Nick Blackburn has lost 9 of the last 11 road games when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs and he is 1-2 over the last 3 starts with an ERA of 5.82.
Play Colorado (-170) over New York Mets (Top Play of the Day)
Starts at 8:30 PM EST
Colorado has won 28 of the last 37 home games as a favorite of -150 to -175 and pitcher, Jhoulys Chacin has an ERA of 1.17 in home games this season. New York pitcher, Chris Capuano has lost 5 consecutive road games and he has also lost 6 of the last 7 games as an underdog of +100 or higher.
Play Oakland +115 over Texas (Bonus)
WUNDERDOG (MLB)
1 OF 4
Game: Cincinnati at Houston (8:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: Game Total UNDER 8.5 -115
The Astros liked what they saw out of Aneury Rodriguez enough to give him a shot in the rotation. Against these same Reds, he worked 5 innings of shutout baseball in his first start. The Reds are getting jus t4.2 runs per game on the road and they are now 8-3 to the UNDER in their last 11 vs. a right hander. Houston comes in at 23-9 to the UNDER facing an opponent that plated 2 runs or less in their previous outing. As they spend longer on the road, this team tends toward the UNDER. The Stros are 58-36 UNDER the past three seasons after four straight road games and 44-25 UNDER after five in a row on the road.
Play the UNDER here.
1 OF 4
Game: Cincinnati at Houston (8:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: Game Total UNDER 8.5 -115
The Astros liked what they saw out of Aneury Rodriguez enough to give him a shot in the rotation. Against these same Reds, he worked 5 innings of shutout baseball in his first start. The Reds are getting jus t4.2 runs per game on the road and they are now 8-3 to the UNDER in their last 11 vs. a right hander. Houston comes in at 23-9 to the UNDER facing an opponent that plated 2 runs or less in their previous outing. As they spend longer on the road, this team tends toward the UNDER. The Stros are 58-36 UNDER the past three seasons after four straight road games and 44-25 UNDER after five in a row on the road.
Play the UNDER here.
THE BOSTON KID-TONY ROSSI
MONDAY MAY 9th
10 UNIT* MLB* F5 INNINGS* Detroit Tigers +100 ML
(GAME WRITE-UP)
The play on this game is a 1st 5innings play due to the fact that the Blue Jays bullpen has an ERA 2.83 better on the season and 5.80 better in their last 3 games than the Tigers do. The Detroit Tigers are hitting right handed pitching .49 points better over their last 10 games than the Blue Jays and I don't expect Adam Lind to be in the lineup for the Blue Jays today so the Tigers can pitch around Jose Batista. We have the advantage in every aspect of this game except the bullpen so play 1st 5 innings only.
MONDAY MAY 9th
10 UNIT* MLB* F5 INNINGS* Detroit Tigers +100 ML
(GAME WRITE-UP)
The play on this game is a 1st 5innings play due to the fact that the Blue Jays bullpen has an ERA 2.83 better on the season and 5.80 better in their last 3 games than the Tigers do. The Detroit Tigers are hitting right handed pitching .49 points better over their last 10 games than the Blue Jays and I don't expect Adam Lind to be in the lineup for the Blue Jays today so the Tigers can pitch around Jose Batista. We have the advantage in every aspect of this game except the bullpen so play 1st 5 innings only.
GC MLB Play
Monday NL Game of the Month from 16-0 MLB Diamond Cutter system that wins by over 3 runs per game + NBA and 90% MLB Combo pack. Free MLB System Play and radio show info below.
On Monday the Bonus Play is on the Texas Rangers. Game 966 at 8:05 eastern. Bonus Plays on a nice 5-0 runs. The Texas Rangers fit a nice system that plays on home favorites off a home loss by 5 or more runs, while scoring 5 or more runs vs an opponent off a road favored win. Texas averages 5.6 runs per game ay home compared to Oakland who averages just 3.2 runs per game on the road. The Pitching match up is pretty even with Cahill for Oakland and C.J.. Wilson for Texas, which is what keeps this from Unit rated status. That said Texas should bounce back from the home blowout loss the the Yankees. On Monday I have the 16-0 National League Game of the Month as the lead play. I also have a solid NBA Power System Side. I will also have another Bonus Play on the Monday night radio show. Listen online at 88.9 wsia.fm. For the Bonus Play tonight take Texas. GC
Monday NL Game of the Month from 16-0 MLB Diamond Cutter system that wins by over 3 runs per game + NBA and 90% MLB Combo pack. Free MLB System Play and radio show info below.
On Monday the Bonus Play is on the Texas Rangers. Game 966 at 8:05 eastern. Bonus Plays on a nice 5-0 runs. The Texas Rangers fit a nice system that plays on home favorites off a home loss by 5 or more runs, while scoring 5 or more runs vs an opponent off a road favored win. Texas averages 5.6 runs per game ay home compared to Oakland who averages just 3.2 runs per game on the road. The Pitching match up is pretty even with Cahill for Oakland and C.J.. Wilson for Texas, which is what keeps this from Unit rated status. That said Texas should bounce back from the home blowout loss the the Yankees. On Monday I have the 16-0 National League Game of the Month as the lead play. I also have a solid NBA Power System Side. I will also have another Bonus Play on the Monday night radio show. Listen online at 88.9 wsia.fm. For the Bonus Play tonight take Texas. GC
