SPORTS WAGERS
Boston +126 over PHILADELPHIA
We know you know the obvious and how Philadelphia’s shaky goaltending puts them in a precarious position on most nights, especially in these playoffs. In eight playoff games thus far Philly’s starting goaltender has been yanked a staggering four times. By contrast Tim Thomas has been in net for every minute of every playoff game. After being frustrated by the outstanding goaltending of Carey Price, yet getting past the Habs, the Bruins found the going much easier against Philadelphia by scoring seven goals in the series opener. The Flyers are a strong offensive team but those soft goals are too demoralizing to overcome. Coach Peter Laviolette has yet to name tonight’s starter but does it matter? Pick your poison. None of the three available goalies are anxious to have their name called. This could be a close series, sans the goalies and with such instability at such a crucial position, the offered take-back is a no-brainer, obvious or not. Play: Boston +126 (Risking 2 units).
Milwaukee +132 over ATLANTA
When a pitcher puts together a good or bad three-week stretch in the middle of July it gets lost in the season stats. When it happens in the first month of the season it gets magnified and that’s certainly the case with Yovani Gallardo. Gallardo has allowed 35 hits and 21 earned runs over his last 21 IP covering just four starts. That’s ugly indeed but there’s no reason for concern yet because he has not lost any velocity and his pitches have not lacked movement. Gallardo’s groundball profile is still strong and everything in his skill set suggests there is nothing wrong with him. He’s missing his spots and that’s an adjustment issue. Gallardo has electric stuff. He’s whiffed over 200 batters twice in his young career and he had an electric spring. He also threw a two-hit shutout against these Braves in his second start of the year this season. Milwaukee leads the NL with a .473 SLG over the past week and will face Jair Jurrjens. Leg issues (hamstring, torn meniscus) sidelined him for May, June and most of September. Count Jurrjens among those players seeking redemption in 2011. Jurrjens seemingly broke out two seasons ago with 14 wins, a 2.60 ERA and 1.21 WHIP, only to break down last year - literally and figuratively - as he was derailed both by injury and poor performance. He’s made three starts this year and on paper they were all terrific but the three starts came in San Diego, in L.A and at home against the Mets and that trifecta could make any pitcher in this league look good. In those three starts, Jurrjens strand rate was an unsustainable 91%. His xERA has been on the rise for the past two seasons and exceeded his actual ERA by almost two runs in 2009. He’s a serviceable SP, but don't look for 2009 again and now he’ll get his toughest assignment to date x 10. Play: Milwaukee +132 (Risking 2 units).
Baltimore +106 over CHICAGO
The White Sox are reeling everywhere. They’ve scored four or less runs in 17 of their last 18 games. The pitching staff ranks last in the AL with 149 runs allowed. They’ve been swept three times already this year and they’re going for four here. Brent Lillibridge is the only batter hitting over .300. Mark Buehrle has lost his last three starts, allowing 13 runs and 24 hits in 17.2 innings. Buehrle has traditionally outperformed his skills to post tolerable ERA’s but his across-the-board skills decline threatens Buehrle's ERA more than ever before. His ability to continue to outperform xERA is clearly in question. Current O’s batters are hitting a robust .355 off Buehrle in 166 career AB’s against him and that’s when he was sharper. Buehrle is not a SP worth investing in and he’s even less appealing laying juice when his team is seeing BB’s. Jeremy Guthrie is hit and miss. He can throw a gem or get rocked in any start. The good news is that he has pinpoint control to go along with a BAA of .250 and a solid ERA of 2.53. Those numbers that Guthrie has posted thus far are unlikely to last but that’s a discussion for another time because this one is all about wagering against the brutal combination of Mark Buehrle and the South Side. Play: Baltimore +106 (Risking 2 units).
Boston +126 over PHILADELPHIA
We know you know the obvious and how Philadelphia’s shaky goaltending puts them in a precarious position on most nights, especially in these playoffs. In eight playoff games thus far Philly’s starting goaltender has been yanked a staggering four times. By contrast Tim Thomas has been in net for every minute of every playoff game. After being frustrated by the outstanding goaltending of Carey Price, yet getting past the Habs, the Bruins found the going much easier against Philadelphia by scoring seven goals in the series opener. The Flyers are a strong offensive team but those soft goals are too demoralizing to overcome. Coach Peter Laviolette has yet to name tonight’s starter but does it matter? Pick your poison. None of the three available goalies are anxious to have their name called. This could be a close series, sans the goalies and with such instability at such a crucial position, the offered take-back is a no-brainer, obvious or not. Play: Boston +126 (Risking 2 units).
Milwaukee +132 over ATLANTA
When a pitcher puts together a good or bad three-week stretch in the middle of July it gets lost in the season stats. When it happens in the first month of the season it gets magnified and that’s certainly the case with Yovani Gallardo. Gallardo has allowed 35 hits and 21 earned runs over his last 21 IP covering just four starts. That’s ugly indeed but there’s no reason for concern yet because he has not lost any velocity and his pitches have not lacked movement. Gallardo’s groundball profile is still strong and everything in his skill set suggests there is nothing wrong with him. He’s missing his spots and that’s an adjustment issue. Gallardo has electric stuff. He’s whiffed over 200 batters twice in his young career and he had an electric spring. He also threw a two-hit shutout against these Braves in his second start of the year this season. Milwaukee leads the NL with a .473 SLG over the past week and will face Jair Jurrjens. Leg issues (hamstring, torn meniscus) sidelined him for May, June and most of September. Count Jurrjens among those players seeking redemption in 2011. Jurrjens seemingly broke out two seasons ago with 14 wins, a 2.60 ERA and 1.21 WHIP, only to break down last year - literally and figuratively - as he was derailed both by injury and poor performance. He’s made three starts this year and on paper they were all terrific but the three starts came in San Diego, in L.A and at home against the Mets and that trifecta could make any pitcher in this league look good. In those three starts, Jurrjens strand rate was an unsustainable 91%. His xERA has been on the rise for the past two seasons and exceeded his actual ERA by almost two runs in 2009. He’s a serviceable SP, but don't look for 2009 again and now he’ll get his toughest assignment to date x 10. Play: Milwaukee +132 (Risking 2 units).
Baltimore +106 over CHICAGO
The White Sox are reeling everywhere. They’ve scored four or less runs in 17 of their last 18 games. The pitching staff ranks last in the AL with 149 runs allowed. They’ve been swept three times already this year and they’re going for four here. Brent Lillibridge is the only batter hitting over .300. Mark Buehrle has lost his last three starts, allowing 13 runs and 24 hits in 17.2 innings. Buehrle has traditionally outperformed his skills to post tolerable ERA’s but his across-the-board skills decline threatens Buehrle's ERA more than ever before. His ability to continue to outperform xERA is clearly in question. Current O’s batters are hitting a robust .355 off Buehrle in 166 career AB’s against him and that’s when he was sharper. Buehrle is not a SP worth investing in and he’s even less appealing laying juice when his team is seeing BB’s. Jeremy Guthrie is hit and miss. He can throw a gem or get rocked in any start. The good news is that he has pinpoint control to go along with a BAA of .250 and a solid ERA of 2.53. Those numbers that Guthrie has posted thus far are unlikely to last but that’s a discussion for another time because this one is all about wagering against the brutal combination of Mark Buehrle and the South Side. Play: Baltimore +106 (Risking 2 units).
Chip Chirimbes
Los Angeles Angels vs. Boston Red Sox
Play: Los Angeles Angels
The Red Sox seem to have the Angels 'number' as they have beaten the Halo's 13 of the last 16 meetings while Los Angeles will counter with 8 road wins in their last 10 contests. Monday's game with pit two pitchers entering the game that are polar opposites so far this season, Jered Weaver is 6-0 with an amazing ERA of 0.99 over his 45.2 innings while giving up ONLY 26 hits while Clay Buchholz is 1-3 with an ERA of 5.33 surrendering 34 hits in 27 innings. Boston has yet to put it together and are coming off an emotional win over the Mariners yesterday and I just have to stay with the 'hot' arm.
Los Angeles Angels vs. Boston Red Sox
Play: Los Angeles Angels
The Red Sox seem to have the Angels 'number' as they have beaten the Halo's 13 of the last 16 meetings while Los Angeles will counter with 8 road wins in their last 10 contests. Monday's game with pit two pitchers entering the game that are polar opposites so far this season, Jered Weaver is 6-0 with an amazing ERA of 0.99 over his 45.2 innings while giving up ONLY 26 hits while Clay Buchholz is 1-3 with an ERA of 5.33 surrendering 34 hits in 27 innings. Boston has yet to put it together and are coming off an emotional win over the Mariners yesterday and I just have to stay with the 'hot' arm.
05-02-2011 04:55 PM #74
Scott L
RX Wizard
Join DateAug 2006LocationpaPosts6,622
Originally Posted by Can'tPickaWinner
WASHINGTON - Osama bin Laden, the face of global terrorism and architect of the Sept. 11, 2001, attacks, was killed in a firefight with elite American forces Monday, then quickly buried at sea in a stunning finale to a furtive decade on the run.
Long believed to be hiding in caves, bin Laden was tracked down in a costly, custom-built hideout not far from a Pakistani military academy.
"Justice has been done," President Barack Obama said in a dramatic announcement at the White House while a crowd cheered outside and hundreds more gathered at ground zero in Manhattan to celebrate the news.
http://soundcloud.com/markholiday/ba...sama-bin-laden
To me (as a USMC vet) big deal, Laden's death takes absolutely nothing away from the fact in my mind that we "let" them do what they did on that day. I will never be able to tuck that one away. As a nation that day we all got raped and that will always stick with me. Have to admit though, would of LOVED to have seen his face the moment he saw WHO was judging him. Had to of been priceless. Sorry any clutter CPAW.
Scott L
RX Wizard
WASHINGTON - Osama bin Laden, the face of global terrorism and architect of the Sept. 11, 2001, attacks, was killed in a firefight with elite American forces Monday, then quickly buried at sea in a stunning finale to a furtive decade on the run.
Long believed to be hiding in caves, bin Laden was tracked down in a costly, custom-built hideout not far from a Pakistani military academy.
"Justice has been done," President Barack Obama said in a dramatic announcement at the White House while a crowd cheered outside and hundreds more gathered at ground zero in Manhattan to celebrate the news.
http://soundcloud.com/markholiday/ba...sama-bin-laden
To me (as a USMC vet) big deal, Laden's death takes absolutely nothing away from the fact in my mind that we "let" them do what they did on that day. I will never be able to tuck that one away. As a nation that day we all got raped and that will always stick with me. Have to admit though, would of LOVED to have seen his face the moment he saw WHO was judging him. Had to of been priceless. Sorry any clutter CPAW.
http://www.rocketmansports.net/sportscapping.php?capper/capper/441/Michail
san francisco ml
boston red sox ml
san diego under 7
atlanta under 7.5
white sox ml
he is on 99bucks for a month
san francisco ml
boston red sox ml
san diego under 7
atlanta under 7.5
white sox ml
he is on 99bucks for a month
Cpaw - just wanted to let you know that GATA is once again posting fake plays in a willful attempt to mislead the forum. GATA, why are you so threatened by my success? Posting fake plays to the detriment of other members is not the best approach to developing good will. But, I am honored by all of the attention you are giving to my sports investment firm.
It's just a song man. I didn't mean to get political in here. We have another forum for that. FWIW our gov't may have missed some things that could have stopped the attacks but I think, "we let them do what they did" is over the top. There are so many turds who soil the net with accusations against our own gov't so we must choose our words carefully. I do agree AQ has metastasized so we are fighting an ideology in which obl was just the developer of the franchise. Most importantly, THANK YOU SO MUCH FOR YOUR COURAGE AND FOR PUTTING YOURSELF IN HARM'S WAY TO PROTECT THE REST OF US!
