Service Plays Monday 5/19/14

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StatFox Super Situations

HOUSTON at LA ANGELS
Play Against - Road underdogs with a money line of +150 or more (HOUSTON) poor hitting team (AVG <=.260) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA <=3.50) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.50 or better on the season (AL) 52-11 over the last 5 seasons. ( 82.5% | 31.9 units ) 3-3 this year. ( 50.0% | -3.2 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends

MLB | DETROIT at CLEVELAND
DETROIT is 11-1 (+10.1 Units) against the money line in Road games on the road when the total is 7 to 8.5 this season. The average score was: DETROIT (6.1) , OPPONENT (3.0)
 
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StatFox Super Situations

OKLAHOMA CITY at SAN ANTONIO
Play Against - Home favorites (SAN ANTONIO) after having won 2 of their last 3 games against opponent hot team - having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games 151-93 over the last 5 seasons. ( 61.9% | 48.7 units ) 29-21 this year. ( 58.0% | 5.9 units )

OKLAHOMA CITY at SAN ANTONIO
Play On - Home teams vs. the money line (SAN ANTONIO) revenging 4 or more losses vs opponent in last 2 years, good team, winning 60-75% or more of their games on the season 97-43 since 1997. ( 69.3% | 41.6 units ) 2-1 this year. ( 66.7% | 1.6 units )

OKLAHOMA CITY at SAN ANTONIO
Play Under - All teams where the first half total is greater than 100 double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent, playing with 3 or more days rest 130-73 since 1997. ( 64.0% | 49.7 units ) 5-5 this year. ( 50.0% | -0.5 units )
 
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Ecks and Bacon

"Mr Chalk" won in MLB in extra innings on Sunday with the Rockies -$140/Padres.

E&B won on Sunday in the NBA Playoff's with the Pacers +2.5/Heat.

For Monday in the NBA Playoffs E&B like the Thunder +5.5/Spurs.

For Monday in the NHL Playoffs E&B are using a parlay and like the Canadians -$120 and under 5.

*** This parlay goes only if Cary Price is in goal for the Canadians***

"Mr Chalk" has Np for Monday.

Ben lee is 125-142-5 -$2561 through twenty nine weeks.

"Mr Chalk" is 21-19 -$377 for the 2014 MLB season.

All E&B selections will be for $50 unless noted.
 

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Inside the Paint- Monday


The final stage on the road to the NBA Finals is set, as the Western Conference Finals begins (9:05 PM EST) on Monday night with the Thunder visiting the Spurs. After an exciting playoffs thus far, the top two seeds in the West have made it to the finals. The path has been tough though, as Oklahoma City went to seven games in its opening series against the defensive-minded Grizzlies and then needed six games to finish off the offensively talented Clippers. Overall in the postseason, the Thunder have gone 8-5 SU and 7-5-1 ATS while averaging a solid 104.5 PPG (45% FG).

San Antonio has also had difficulties getting to this points with a seven-game series to open the playoffs against the Mavericks, before an easier handling of the Trail Blazers in five games. The Spurs had gone 1-6 ATS in their first-round games but then went 4-1 ATS in the second round, defeating Portland by an average of 19.5 PPG in their four wins. Their offense has been extremely efficient so far in the playoffs, scoring 105.5 PPG (49.3% FG), while their defense has allowed just 98.7 PPG (43.7% FG).

NBA Playoffs Betting News & Notes
•Oklahoma City is without big man Serge Ibaka (calf) for rest of playoffs, a big loss; Thunder beat San Antonio in six games in playoffs two years ago, after losing first two games- they've won last five overall versus Spurs, winning all four meetings this season- they're 10-2 in last 12 series games, with six of last eight staying under total. Thunder is 4-2 on road in playoffs, with losses by 3-2 points. Spurs are 6-1 at home in playoffs, 4-3 versus spread.

--Over is 43-30 in playoffs this season.
--Favorites are 24-49 in playoffs this season.

Hoop Trends - Monday
•OKLAHOMA CITY is 13-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game this season.
The average score was OKLAHOMA CITY 107.9, OPPONENT 101.7.

•SAN ANTONIO is 31-17 OVER (+12.3 Units) after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games this season.
The average score was SAN ANTONIO 106.4, OPPONENT 99.5.

•OKLAHOMA CITY is 45-28 (+14.2 Units) against the 1rst half line versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was OKLAHOMA CITY 54.5, OPPONENT 47.9.

•SAN ANTONIO is 18-2 UNDER (+15.8 Units) the 1rst half total after 5 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 42% or less this season.
The average score was SAN ANTONIO 52.6, OPPONENT 43.1.

•GREGG POPOVICH is 29-9 UNDER (+19.1 Units) the 1rst half total in the conference finals as the coach of SAN ANTONIO.
The average score was POPOVICH 48.4, OPPONENT 45.5.

Situation Analysis of The Day
•Play Under - All teams where the first half total is greater than 100 (SAN ANTONIO) - good shooting team - shooting >=46% on the season, in a game involving two average defensive teams (43.5-45.5%) after 42+ games, in a game involving two average rebounding teams (+/-3 reb/game) after 42+ games.
(130-73 since 1996.) (64.0%, +49.7 units. Rating = 2*)

The average first half total posted in these games was: 104.4
The average first half score in these games was: Team 50.3, Opponent 52.4 (Total first half points scored = 102.7)

The situation's record this season is: (5-5).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (18-8).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (48-29).
___________________________________________
 

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Hondo, closing in on the dreaded four-figured deficit, was steamrolled Suday with the Reds, who were crushed in Philadelphia to raise the NRN (nasty red number) to 970 freehans.
Monday night: Mr. Aitch expects Smyly to provide something to grin about — 10 units on the Tigers. Also, he will try an investment on Leake to hose the Nats — 10 units on the Reds.
 
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CHASE DIAMOND

10* MLB DIAMOND PLAY
Detroit vs. Cleveland
Money Line: +105 Cleveland

This game has the 27-12 Tigers at the 19-25 Indians. Detroit is the better team here but not every team gets up for every game and this is one of those spots. Tigers have won 6 straight including a big emotional sweep against rival Boston in Boston. They should not be up for this game on the other side the Indians have lost 4 straight and really need the win tonight.Drew Smyly is pitching over his head and is due for a bad start Corey Kluber has been solid this year a 4-3 with a 3.38 ERA look for him to give the Indians the needed boost and win over the Tigers here today. Play on Indians for a 10* winner.
 
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Monday's MLB betting cheat sheet: Monday sked a light one

Here's a comprehensive look at betting notes for Monday's major league games:

Fenway Fail

Things couldn't have gone much worse for the Boston Red Sox over the weekend, as they were swept by the Central Division-leading Detroit Tigers despite being -106, -137 and -119 favorites in those games. Boston, which fell to $-869 for the season, resumes its homestand Tuesday against Toronto.

Royal Wakeup

Kansas City's offense came to life in Sunday's series finale with Baltimore, banging out 11 hits - four coming from Alex Gordon - in an 8-6 victory. It was the Royals' first Over in six games; the Royals came into the afternoon having scored just two total runs in their previous three contests.

Quiet Monday

Monday's schedule has just five games, with three of those featuring heavy home favorites. Washington is a -171 fave against visiting Cincinnati, while Kansas City is installed at -175 versus the Chicago White Sox and the Los Angeles Angels a whopping -205 bet against Houston.

Pitching Notes

* Angels right-hander Garrett Richards has led his team to a 4-1 moneyline record and an 0-4-1 O/U mark over his last five starts, allowing no more than three runs in any of them while racking up 36 strikeouts in 33 innings over that span. Richards will be opposed Monday by Houston's Dallas Keuchel.

* Washington ace Stephen Strasburg saw his four-game moneyline winning streak halted last time out, but has racked up five consecutive quality starts and is 8-1 in his previous nine outings as a favorite of -170 or greater. He'll face off Monday with Cincinnati's Mike Leake.

Batting Notes

* Royals outfielder Alex Gordon broke out of a season-long slump in a big way, slamming a pair of home runs in Kansas City's victory Sunday afternoon. Gordon has four multi-hit efforts in his last nine games; the Royals are 3-1 against the moneyline and 2-1-1 O/U in those contests.

* Boston designated hitter David Ortiz has just three hits - all singles - in his previous four games following back-to-back multi-homer efforts against the Minnesota Twins. Ortiz leads the way for the offensively challenged Red Sox with 11 home runs; no other Boston player has more than five.

Totals Streak

Boston Red Sox (0-4 O/U): Not only did the Red Sox allow Detroit to leave with a three-game sweep, they scored just three runs over those three games. Boston has managed just six runs during its four-game losing skid and is a surprising 15-26-2 O/U for the season.

Injury Notes

* An MRI conducted on Washington Nationals left-hander Gio Gonzalez revealed shoulder inflammation but no damage. Gonzalez was placed on the 15-day disabled list Sunday; he had lost his previous three starts prior to the DL stint while lasting just 7 1/3 innings in his previous two outings combined.

* Los Angeles Dodgers right-hander Hyun-Jin Ryu (shoulder) is expected to return to the rotation Wednesday against the host New York Mets. The Dodgers are 3-4 against the moneyline and 2-4-1 O/U in his seven starts this season; he has yet to allow a run on the road this season, tossing 26 shutout innings.

Weather Watch

* Kauffman Stadium will see winds blowing out to left field at 17 mph for the game between the Royals and the visiting White Sox. Kansas City played just five games last season in which the wind favored the hitters; the Royals were 4-1 against the moneyline and 2-3 O/U in those contests.

** Odds, stats, weather forecast and probable pitchers as of 10:15 p.m. ET Monday.
 
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GC: NHL Play

Monday card has 2 Powerful 5* plays. In the NBA a 96% Long term playoff system with a Perfect Angle and a 5* Perfect system MLB Totals play with 11 statistical indicators. Free NHL Preview below.


Monday NHL Playoff Preview Game 2 NY. Rangers at Montreal Canadiens at 8:05 eastern on NBC Sports Network. This series resumes here tonight with the NY. Rangers holding a 1-0 lead courtesy of their 7-1 game one win on Saturday afternoon. In that game the Rangers put away a Montreal team that appeared disorganized on defense with several breakdowns. The Rangers score in bunches and had the game put away early in the 3rd period. The Rangers outburst was a surprise to many as they scored just 1 goal in 3 games this season vs Montreal. Now they head into game 2 which should be much tougher. In fact as seen below. All road teams in game 2 of this round are 18-32 good for 36% off a game 1 road win. The Rangers are on an 0-5 run in game 2 of a 7 game series off a win and are a dismal 0-12 when leading in a playoff series. However, the Rangers take the fewest amount of penalties in the league and have the #3 power play kill unit. They have played excellent defense and have Lundquist in goal. New York has won 4 straight games and have allowed 2 or less goals in each of those wins. This should be a closely contested game and 7 of the last 8 between these two teams have had 5 or less goals scored. Look for this one to be close late with goals at a premium in what should be a solid game. We will lean with the under 5 goals. Start the week big with us as we have a 5* NBA 96% System winner and a 100% 5* MLB Totals system tonight. GC


HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Leading 1-game-nil @ V:
Ignoring win order; considering site order: The team leading 1-game-nil with site order V (N.Y. Rangers) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2014 NHL Quarterfinals rounds:
series record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 230-181 (.560)
series record, all best-of-7 sports, Semifinals round: 69-42 (.622)
series record, NHL only, all rounds: 122-96 (.560)
series record, NHL only, Semifinals round: 29-21 (.580)
Game 2 record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 137-274 (.333)
Game 2 record, all best-of-7 sports, Semifinals round: 41-70 (.369)
Game 2 record, NHL only, all rounds: 83-135 (.381)
Game 2 record, NHL only, Semifinals round: 18-32 (.360)​
 
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Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with the Heat (-2 1/2) on Sunday and likes the Rangers on Monday.

The deficit is 492 sirignanos.
 

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