STATSYSTEMS SPORTS NBA REPORT
MONDAY, MARCH 9th 2015
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
_____________________________________
***** Monday, 3/9/15 National Basketball Association Information *****
(ALL RESULTS ATS) - Against The Spread - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Each and every day during the 2014-15 National Basketball Association season we will analyze all of your daily basketball action, featuring all our Highly-Rated (Situational and Match-up) Power Trends, along with some of our Situational Analysis (Betting Systems) that pertain to some of that days match-ups. Content contained in this report remains exclusive private property of StatSystemsSports.net. Database information may not be reused or disseminated in any form without express written consent of the publisher.
___________________________________________________________
Inside the Paint – Monday
•Hot Teams
-- Charlotte won its last five games (3-6 last nine HF).
-- Miami won three of its last four games (4-7 last 11 HF).
-- Hawks won six of last seven games (2-7 last nine HF).
-- Pelicans won seven of their last nine games (7-2 last nine AU).
-- Warriors won five of their last six games (12-4-1 last 17 HF).
•Cold Teams
-- Washington lost eight of its last ten games (1-5 last six AU).
-- Celtics lost three of their last five games (12-3 last 15 AU).
-- Sacramento lost five of its last six games (3-7 last ten AU).
-- Memphis is 3-4 in its last seven games (0-4 last four AF). Bulls also lost four of their last seven (4-0 last four HU).
-- Milwaukee lost six of its last eight games (3-6 last nine HF).
-- Knicks lost 11 of last 13 games (1-3-1 last five AU). Denver lost 14 of its last 17 games (0-4 last four HF).
-- Suns lost 11 of their last 16 games (4-2 HU).
-- Minnesota lost four of its last five games (5-1 last six HU). Clippers are 3-4 in their last seven games (3-1 last four HF).
•Totals
-- Six of last seven Washington road games stayed under.
-- Five of last seven Miami home games went over.
-- Five of last six Sacramento road games went over.
-- Six of last eight Memphis road games stayed under.
-- Eight of last ten New Orleans road games stayed under.
-- Five of last six Denver home games stayed under.
-- Seven of last nine Golden State road games stayed under.
•Series Records
-- Hornets won their last five games with Washington.
-- Celtics lost eight of last eleven games with Miami.
-- Hawks won their last eleven games with Sacramento.
-- Grizzlies won four of last six games with Chicago.
-- Bucks lost six of last seven games with New Orleans.
-- Home side won ten of last eleven New York-Denver games.
-- Warriors are 9-3 in last 12 games with Phoenix; home side won eight of last nine series games.
-- Clippers won their last eleven games with Minnesota.
•Back-to-Backs
-- Charlotte is 3-4 at home if it played night before.
-- Celtics are 8-3 if they played the night before.
-- Chicago is 1-3 at home if it played night before.
-- Warriors are 3-5 vs. spread if they won night before.
-- Clippers are 5-8 if they played the day before.
•East vs. West
-- SU: West 199-139 ATS: West 174-161-3
-- East teams HF vs. West: 44-50
-- East teams HU vs. West: 39-41
-- West teams HF vs. East: 65-67-3
-- West teams HU vs. East: 18-13
______________________________
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_________________________
Hoop Trends - Monday
•WASHINGTON is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) versus up-tempo teams averaging 83 or more shots/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
The average score was WASHINGTON 96.7, OPPONENT 102.0.
•MINNESOTA is 20-3 UNDER (+16.7 Units) in road games off an upset win over a division rival as an underdog since 1996.
The average score was MINNESOTA 92.9, OPPONENT 93.5.
•ATLANTA is 13-1 (+13.9 Units) against the money line versus teams who average 53 or more rebounds/game on the season this season.
The average score was ATLANTA 104.4, OPPONENT 95.7.
•MILWAUKEE is 20-8 (+11.2 Units) against the 1rst half line versus good free throw shooting teams - making >=76% of their attempts this season.
The average score was MILWAUKEE 48.6, OPPONENT 48.0.
•NEW ORLEANS is 12-0 UNDER (+12.0 Units) the 1rst half total in road games versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting <=21 free throws/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 42.5, OPPONENT 46.9.
•DAVID JOERGER is 11-1 UNDER (+9.9 Units) in road games versus teams who are called for 2+ less fouls/game than their opponents as the coach of MEMPHIS.
The average score was JOERGER 90.2, OPPONENT 94.2.
Situational Analysis of The Day
•Play On - Road underdogs of 10 or more points (SACRAMENTO) - a terrible defensive team - allowing 103+ points/game on the season, after going over the total by 42 or more points total in their last five games against opponent after going under the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games.
(31-8 since 1996.) (79.5%, +22.2 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (7-34)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 12.5
The average score in these games was: Team 94, Opponent 101.5 (Average point differential = -7.5)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 18 (43.9% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (7-0).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (8-1).
•Play Under - Road teams where the first half total is 100.5 to 105 (NEW YORK) – an average 3PT shooting team (33-36.5%) against a poor 3PT shooting team (<=33%) after 42+ games, after being beaten by the spread by 24 or more points total in their last three games, a terrible team (<=25%) playing a team with a losing record.
(39-11 over the last 5 seasons.) (78%, +26.9 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 103.2
The average first half score in these games was: Team 49.4, Opponent 49.7 (Total first half points scored = 99.1)
The situation's record this season is: (6-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (18-4).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (109-55).
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Monday's NBA Action
Systems Analyst Erik Jeromin
•Wizards @ Hornets – 7:10 PM EST
It’s disconcerting that the Wizards haven’t beaten a team with a winning record since Jan. 14 or picked up a road win since Jan. 27. A lot of those issues were tied to missing Bradley Beal, who is back from a tibia injury but wisely sat on the second night of a back-to-back in Saturday night’s loss in Milwaukee. He’s going to be in the mix tonight, averaging 13 pts and four rebounds in helping Washington to a 2-1 mark since his return. The Wizards have won twice in the last 10 games he’s been out of the lineup. John Wall shot 3-for-14 against the Bucks and has now shot under 50 percent from the field in seven of his last eight. He’s 43-for-125 (34 percent) in that stretch. Milwaukee pulled to within 1.5 games of Washington for the Eastern Conference’s No. 5 seed. The Wizards have lost eight of nine against the number, with the lone exception coming in as a push. They haven’t covered since before the All-Star break.
Charlotte has tied its longest winning streak of the season after winning its fifth straight against Detroit on Sunday night, coming back from an eight-point fourth-quarter deficit. Al Jefferson finished with 24 points and eight rebounds and has been ridiculous in March, averaging 20.6 points and 10.6 rebounds over the first five games. Mo Williams has been exactly what the Hornets hoped for when they traded for him to come in and help replace Kemba Walker, averaging 21.7 points and 8.7 assists in his nine game since arriving from Minnesota. Walker practiced over the weekend for the first time and is scheduled to return this week, though the expectation is he’ll miss perhaps his last game tonight. Charlotte’s last four games have all gone over the posted total, which has been set in the mid-to-low 190s. The Hornets have won and covered both meetings against Washington this season.
•Kings @ Hawks – 7:40 PM EST
Sacramento is playing the fifth of its eight-game East coast swing and seemingly keeps inventing ways to lose. After a 119-114 loss in Orlando where it allowed the Magic to shoot 56.5 percent and 13 3-pointers, the Kings traveled down to Miami and blew a 14-point halftime lead in a 114-109 OT loss to the Heat. They let a third consecutive opponent shoot above 50 percent and it should be noted that Miami was missing starters Luol Deng, Goran Dragic and Hassan Whiteside. DeMarcus Cousins averaged 28 points and 14.5 rebounds in the Sunshine state and looks like his normal self after dealing with a nasty ankle sprain. Rudy Gay averaged 33 points in the two losses, shooting 28-for-50 (56 percent). Eight of the Kings last 10 games have gone over the posted total.
Paul Millsap, Kyle Korver along with DeMarre Carroll rested in Atlanta’s improbable 92-84 loss in Philadelphia on Saturday night. All-Stars Al Horford and Jeff Teague should’ve been enough to beat the hapless 76ers, who shot 36.8 percent from the field, but the Hawks shot 39 percent themselves and committed 18 turnovers. The Hawks have failed to cover in four of five. Eight of Atlanta’s last nine games have gone under the posted total. This is its first meeting of the season against Sacramento.
•Grizzlies @ Bulls – 8:10 PM EST
The Grizzlies have had a few uncharacteristic performances of late, arriving in Chicago losers of four of the last seven. The Clippers and Jazz handcuffed their offense at home, while this current four-game road trip got off to an awful start when they blew a 12-point halftime lead by getting outscored 33-17 out of halftime in New Orleans Saturday night. Marc Gasol and Zach Randolph combined for 5-for-17 shooting and just 15 points and nine rebounds against the Pelicans. Jeff Green scored 20 points, his second-highest scoring output with Memphis. The Grizzlies have been involved in games that have gone under in 12 of their last 14. They lost to the Bulls 103-97 at home on Dec. 19.
The Bulls may have been better off letting yesterday’s result go early after going into the halftime break down 18 in San Antonio, but came up with a 38-point quarter and had no choice but to chase the result. Head coach Tom Thibodeau did substitute liberally enough that no one other than Pau Gasol played over 28 minutes. This will be Chicago’s fourth game in five nights, which is why maintenance takes on added importance. Taj Gibson may be close to returning from an ankle injury, but rookie Nikola Mirotic is likely to continue playing a larger role, averaging 20.8 points and 9.4 rebounds since the All-Star break in games where he plays at least 30 minutes. Aaron Brooks and Tony Snell remain the backcourt starters, a far cry from Derrick Rose and Jimmy Butler. The under has come in on 11 of Chicago’s last 13 games.
•Warriors @ Suns – 10:10 PM EST
Outside of that highlight-reel special where he dribbled through traffic and buried that step-back 3-pointer, Stephen Curry didn’t do much in yesterday’s 106-98 win over the Clippers. His nine shot attempts were the fewest he’s had in a game since Dec. 30, while his four assists was the lowest output since the All-Star break. Much to the frustration of Warriors-backers, head coach Steve Kerr emptied his bench a little early and a lead that was 19 with less than 4:00 left wound up being cut to eight by game’s end, failing to cover the number. This is GSW’s third back-to-back since the All-Star break, sporting a 1-1 record. Golden State will be looking to become the first NBA team to reach the 50-win mark. The Warriors have played games that have gone under the posted total in 11 of their last 13. The Warriors have split the first two meetings with their Pacific Division neighbor and see them a final time at home on April 2.
The Suns had their two-game winning streak snapped in Cleveland on Saturday, shooting 35.7 percent in an 89-79 loss that was nowhere near that close. Riding a 27-9 edge in the fourth quarter, Phoenix managed to cover as an 11.5-point favorite despite trailing 80-52 through three quarters. Only rookie T.J. Warren shot better than 50 percent against the Cavs in a flat, brutal effort. This is the first game of a 10-game stretch where the Suns are home nine times. Considering PHX is 2.5 games behind OKC, it’s time to move. Center Alex Len is questionable with a sprained ankle that forced him to sit against the Cavs. Earl Barron, who wasn’t on the roster until after trade deadline passed, got the start. Since Jan. 31, Phoenix is on a 1-7 run against teams with winning records.
_____________________________________________________________
MONDAY, MARCH 9th 2015
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
_____________________________________
***** Monday, 3/9/15 National Basketball Association Information *****
(ALL RESULTS ATS) - Against The Spread - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Each and every day during the 2014-15 National Basketball Association season we will analyze all of your daily basketball action, featuring all our Highly-Rated (Situational and Match-up) Power Trends, along with some of our Situational Analysis (Betting Systems) that pertain to some of that days match-ups. Content contained in this report remains exclusive private property of StatSystemsSports.net. Database information may not be reused or disseminated in any form without express written consent of the publisher.
___________________________________________________________
Inside the Paint – Monday
•Hot Teams
-- Charlotte won its last five games (3-6 last nine HF).
-- Miami won three of its last four games (4-7 last 11 HF).
-- Hawks won six of last seven games (2-7 last nine HF).
-- Pelicans won seven of their last nine games (7-2 last nine AU).
-- Warriors won five of their last six games (12-4-1 last 17 HF).
•Cold Teams
-- Washington lost eight of its last ten games (1-5 last six AU).
-- Celtics lost three of their last five games (12-3 last 15 AU).
-- Sacramento lost five of its last six games (3-7 last ten AU).
-- Memphis is 3-4 in its last seven games (0-4 last four AF). Bulls also lost four of their last seven (4-0 last four HU).
-- Milwaukee lost six of its last eight games (3-6 last nine HF).
-- Knicks lost 11 of last 13 games (1-3-1 last five AU). Denver lost 14 of its last 17 games (0-4 last four HF).
-- Suns lost 11 of their last 16 games (4-2 HU).
-- Minnesota lost four of its last five games (5-1 last six HU). Clippers are 3-4 in their last seven games (3-1 last four HF).
•Totals
-- Six of last seven Washington road games stayed under.
-- Five of last seven Miami home games went over.
-- Five of last six Sacramento road games went over.
-- Six of last eight Memphis road games stayed under.
-- Eight of last ten New Orleans road games stayed under.
-- Five of last six Denver home games stayed under.
-- Seven of last nine Golden State road games stayed under.
•Series Records
-- Hornets won their last five games with Washington.
-- Celtics lost eight of last eleven games with Miami.
-- Hawks won their last eleven games with Sacramento.
-- Grizzlies won four of last six games with Chicago.
-- Bucks lost six of last seven games with New Orleans.
-- Home side won ten of last eleven New York-Denver games.
-- Warriors are 9-3 in last 12 games with Phoenix; home side won eight of last nine series games.
-- Clippers won their last eleven games with Minnesota.
•Back-to-Backs
-- Charlotte is 3-4 at home if it played night before.
-- Celtics are 8-3 if they played the night before.
-- Chicago is 1-3 at home if it played night before.
-- Warriors are 3-5 vs. spread if they won night before.
-- Clippers are 5-8 if they played the day before.
•East vs. West
-- SU: West 199-139 ATS: West 174-161-3
-- East teams HF vs. West: 44-50
-- East teams HU vs. West: 39-41
-- West teams HF vs. East: 65-67-3
-- West teams HU vs. East: 18-13
______________________________
StatSystems Sports
Your #1 Source for Winning Information
StatSystemsSports.net takes pride in providing the average player with an edge by building a full in-depth analysis of football, basketball and baseball games. All aspects of games are considered. These include; but are not limited to, injuries, weather, playing surface, team chemistry, individual match-ups, line moves, scheduling, fatigue, statistical analysis, trend analysis, etc. The better prepared you are - The better chance you have of winning, plain and simple.
Get the most sought after plays in the industry today! Call us today for a 1 Day VIP Pass - $29.00, 7 Day VIP Pass - $149.00, or get our most popular 30 Day VIP Package for just $499.00.
P.S. If you're looking to acquire the extra insider edge, look no further than our Daily StatSystems NBA & NCAA College Basketball Reports providing you the most up to date information on injuries, line moves, in-game betting and everything sports betting related.
"You'll be Real Glad You Did!"
_________________________
Hoop Trends - Monday
•WASHINGTON is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) versus up-tempo teams averaging 83 or more shots/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
The average score was WASHINGTON 96.7, OPPONENT 102.0.
•MINNESOTA is 20-3 UNDER (+16.7 Units) in road games off an upset win over a division rival as an underdog since 1996.
The average score was MINNESOTA 92.9, OPPONENT 93.5.
•ATLANTA is 13-1 (+13.9 Units) against the money line versus teams who average 53 or more rebounds/game on the season this season.
The average score was ATLANTA 104.4, OPPONENT 95.7.
•MILWAUKEE is 20-8 (+11.2 Units) against the 1rst half line versus good free throw shooting teams - making >=76% of their attempts this season.
The average score was MILWAUKEE 48.6, OPPONENT 48.0.
•NEW ORLEANS is 12-0 UNDER (+12.0 Units) the 1rst half total in road games versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting <=21 free throws/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 42.5, OPPONENT 46.9.
•DAVID JOERGER is 11-1 UNDER (+9.9 Units) in road games versus teams who are called for 2+ less fouls/game than their opponents as the coach of MEMPHIS.
The average score was JOERGER 90.2, OPPONENT 94.2.
Situational Analysis of The Day
•Play On - Road underdogs of 10 or more points (SACRAMENTO) - a terrible defensive team - allowing 103+ points/game on the season, after going over the total by 42 or more points total in their last five games against opponent after going under the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games.
(31-8 since 1996.) (79.5%, +22.2 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (7-34)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 12.5
The average score in these games was: Team 94, Opponent 101.5 (Average point differential = -7.5)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 18 (43.9% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (7-0).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (8-1).
•Play Under - Road teams where the first half total is 100.5 to 105 (NEW YORK) – an average 3PT shooting team (33-36.5%) against a poor 3PT shooting team (<=33%) after 42+ games, after being beaten by the spread by 24 or more points total in their last three games, a terrible team (<=25%) playing a team with a losing record.
(39-11 over the last 5 seasons.) (78%, +26.9 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 103.2
The average first half score in these games was: Team 49.4, Opponent 49.7 (Total first half points scored = 99.1)
The situation's record this season is: (6-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (18-4).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (109-55).
______________________________________________
Monday's NBA Action
Systems Analyst Erik Jeromin
•Wizards @ Hornets – 7:10 PM EST
It’s disconcerting that the Wizards haven’t beaten a team with a winning record since Jan. 14 or picked up a road win since Jan. 27. A lot of those issues were tied to missing Bradley Beal, who is back from a tibia injury but wisely sat on the second night of a back-to-back in Saturday night’s loss in Milwaukee. He’s going to be in the mix tonight, averaging 13 pts and four rebounds in helping Washington to a 2-1 mark since his return. The Wizards have won twice in the last 10 games he’s been out of the lineup. John Wall shot 3-for-14 against the Bucks and has now shot under 50 percent from the field in seven of his last eight. He’s 43-for-125 (34 percent) in that stretch. Milwaukee pulled to within 1.5 games of Washington for the Eastern Conference’s No. 5 seed. The Wizards have lost eight of nine against the number, with the lone exception coming in as a push. They haven’t covered since before the All-Star break.
Charlotte has tied its longest winning streak of the season after winning its fifth straight against Detroit on Sunday night, coming back from an eight-point fourth-quarter deficit. Al Jefferson finished with 24 points and eight rebounds and has been ridiculous in March, averaging 20.6 points and 10.6 rebounds over the first five games. Mo Williams has been exactly what the Hornets hoped for when they traded for him to come in and help replace Kemba Walker, averaging 21.7 points and 8.7 assists in his nine game since arriving from Minnesota. Walker practiced over the weekend for the first time and is scheduled to return this week, though the expectation is he’ll miss perhaps his last game tonight. Charlotte’s last four games have all gone over the posted total, which has been set in the mid-to-low 190s. The Hornets have won and covered both meetings against Washington this season.
•Kings @ Hawks – 7:40 PM EST
Sacramento is playing the fifth of its eight-game East coast swing and seemingly keeps inventing ways to lose. After a 119-114 loss in Orlando where it allowed the Magic to shoot 56.5 percent and 13 3-pointers, the Kings traveled down to Miami and blew a 14-point halftime lead in a 114-109 OT loss to the Heat. They let a third consecutive opponent shoot above 50 percent and it should be noted that Miami was missing starters Luol Deng, Goran Dragic and Hassan Whiteside. DeMarcus Cousins averaged 28 points and 14.5 rebounds in the Sunshine state and looks like his normal self after dealing with a nasty ankle sprain. Rudy Gay averaged 33 points in the two losses, shooting 28-for-50 (56 percent). Eight of the Kings last 10 games have gone over the posted total.
Paul Millsap, Kyle Korver along with DeMarre Carroll rested in Atlanta’s improbable 92-84 loss in Philadelphia on Saturday night. All-Stars Al Horford and Jeff Teague should’ve been enough to beat the hapless 76ers, who shot 36.8 percent from the field, but the Hawks shot 39 percent themselves and committed 18 turnovers. The Hawks have failed to cover in four of five. Eight of Atlanta’s last nine games have gone under the posted total. This is its first meeting of the season against Sacramento.
•Grizzlies @ Bulls – 8:10 PM EST
The Grizzlies have had a few uncharacteristic performances of late, arriving in Chicago losers of four of the last seven. The Clippers and Jazz handcuffed their offense at home, while this current four-game road trip got off to an awful start when they blew a 12-point halftime lead by getting outscored 33-17 out of halftime in New Orleans Saturday night. Marc Gasol and Zach Randolph combined for 5-for-17 shooting and just 15 points and nine rebounds against the Pelicans. Jeff Green scored 20 points, his second-highest scoring output with Memphis. The Grizzlies have been involved in games that have gone under in 12 of their last 14. They lost to the Bulls 103-97 at home on Dec. 19.
The Bulls may have been better off letting yesterday’s result go early after going into the halftime break down 18 in San Antonio, but came up with a 38-point quarter and had no choice but to chase the result. Head coach Tom Thibodeau did substitute liberally enough that no one other than Pau Gasol played over 28 minutes. This will be Chicago’s fourth game in five nights, which is why maintenance takes on added importance. Taj Gibson may be close to returning from an ankle injury, but rookie Nikola Mirotic is likely to continue playing a larger role, averaging 20.8 points and 9.4 rebounds since the All-Star break in games where he plays at least 30 minutes. Aaron Brooks and Tony Snell remain the backcourt starters, a far cry from Derrick Rose and Jimmy Butler. The under has come in on 11 of Chicago’s last 13 games.
•Warriors @ Suns – 10:10 PM EST
Outside of that highlight-reel special where he dribbled through traffic and buried that step-back 3-pointer, Stephen Curry didn’t do much in yesterday’s 106-98 win over the Clippers. His nine shot attempts were the fewest he’s had in a game since Dec. 30, while his four assists was the lowest output since the All-Star break. Much to the frustration of Warriors-backers, head coach Steve Kerr emptied his bench a little early and a lead that was 19 with less than 4:00 left wound up being cut to eight by game’s end, failing to cover the number. This is GSW’s third back-to-back since the All-Star break, sporting a 1-1 record. Golden State will be looking to become the first NBA team to reach the 50-win mark. The Warriors have played games that have gone under the posted total in 11 of their last 13. The Warriors have split the first two meetings with their Pacific Division neighbor and see them a final time at home on April 2.
The Suns had their two-game winning streak snapped in Cleveland on Saturday, shooting 35.7 percent in an 89-79 loss that was nowhere near that close. Riding a 27-9 edge in the fourth quarter, Phoenix managed to cover as an 11.5-point favorite despite trailing 80-52 through three quarters. Only rookie T.J. Warren shot better than 50 percent against the Cavs in a flat, brutal effort. This is the first game of a 10-game stretch where the Suns are home nine times. Considering PHX is 2.5 games behind OKC, it’s time to move. Center Alex Len is questionable with a sprained ankle that forced him to sit against the Cavs. Earl Barron, who wasn’t on the roster until after trade deadline passed, got the start. Since Jan. 31, Phoenix is on a 1-7 run against teams with winning records.
_____________________________________________________________
STATSYSTEMS SPORTS NCAAB REPORT
MONDAY, MARCH 9th 2015
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
_____________________________________
***** Monday, 3/9/15 NCAA College Basketball Knowledge *****
(ALL RESULTS ATS) - Against The Spread - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Each and every day during the 2014-15 NCAA College Basketball season we will analyze all of your daily basketball action, featuring all our Highly-Rated (Situational & Match-up) Power Trends, along with some of our Situational Analysis (Betting Systems) that pertain to some of that days match-ups. Content contained in this report remains exclusive private property of StatSystemsSports.net. Database information may not be reused or disseminated in any form without express written consent of the publisher.
__________________________________________
Monday's Notebook
MAC Tournament, Campus Sites
•Bowling Green is much-improved this season under first-year coach Jans; Falcons beat Ball State twice this year, 58-46 (-9) at home Jan 17, then 79-65 (-6) in Muncie Feb 14. Cardinals won first two MAC games but haven't won since, losing 16 games in row, going 4-5 as road underdogs in MAC play. Falcons lost four of last six games after starting season 17-6; they lost last two games by total of three points. Ball is 2-8 in its last ten tourney openers; Bowling Green is 2-7 in last nine.
•Over last six years,Akron is 17-6 in this event, winning it twice in last four years; Zips won their first tourney game last nine years, but Akron lost 64-61 (-3.5) at Northern Illinois this year in its only meeting with the Huskies Jan 21- Zips were 9-28 from arc. Akron is banged-up, lost six of last seven games, all by 7 or less points. NIU is 2-11 in MAC tourney last 11 years, with only two wins by three points each; four of their last six losses in this event were by six or less points.
•Eastern Michigan started MAC play 11-2, but lost five of first six games in league and stumbled to 8-10 mark, winning last two; home teams won both EMU-Miami games this year. Redhawks won 82-81 (+4.5) in OT Jan 10, after being down 25 in first half. Eastern (-9) won rematch 83-69 at home Feb 10, making 10-19 from arc. Eagles are 4-4-1 as a home favorite. Miami won five of last seven games after starting MAC play 3-8, but in last game, they lost by 30 at Ohio U.
•Western Michigan won five of last seven games, one of which was 80-69 (-8) home win over Bobcats Feb 18, when WMU outscored Ohio 15-2 in last 6:01. Broncos outscored Bobcats 15-5 on foul line. Broncos won first tourney game 10 of last 11 years; Ohio eight of last ten. Western is 3-4 as home favorite this year, winning five of last six at home. Ohio snapped a 7-game skid with 30-point win in season finale; Bobcats are 2-7 as a road underdog, failing to cover last four games on foreign soil.
CAA Tournament, Baltimore, MD
•Wm&Mary is one of five original NCAA teams that has never been in NCAA tourney; they lost this game by point to Delaware LY. Tribe is here after winning in double OT Sunday after being down 5 with 0:50 to play- they made 12-28 from arc. Northeastern hasn't been in NCAAs in last 24 years; Huskies won five of last six games, winning couple close games last two days, by 3-7 points. Home side won both series games this year by double digits.
WCC Tournament, Las Vegas, NV
•Gonzaga is playing for NCAA seed, thought they seemed locked in to a 2-seed; Bulldogs beat Pepperdine twice this season, 78-76 (-19) Jan 15 in Malibu, then 56-48 (-18) at home Feb 19. Zags are 20-3 in WCC tourney last 11 years, winning it eight times- they won last 12 semifinal games. Pepperdine is 6-12 in WCC tourney since 2003; the five years they won a game, they lost next game every time, last three by 18-24-17. Waves are 3-1 in last four games- they were down 8 in 2nd half versus USD Saturday.
Southern Conference, Asheville, NC
•Woffordwon seven games in row, 14 of last 15 games; they won SoCon tourney three of last five years. Still, Terriers need win here or they'll be like Murray State, on outside looking in on Selection Sunday. Furman has beaten Chattanooga/Mercer last two days, both huge upsets; this is 4th day in row they're playing- they were 1-8 in last nine games before this tourney. Wofford beat Furman by 25 at home Jan 22, but only by hoop in Greenville nine days ago, hanging on after being up 13 with 11:30 left.
MAAC Tournament, Albany, NY
•Iona-Manhattan meet in MAAC final for third year in row- they've split last two, both by 3 points. Top-seed Iona beat Jaspers twice this season by total of 7 points, with games in February two weeks apart- thin Iona bench has played total of 56:00 in two games of this tourney, but game yesterday wasn't stressful. Gaels made 19-35 from arc yesterday- they were up 57-45 at half. Manhattan won six of last seven games, with 79-75 loss to Iona only setback. Iona shot 32% or less on arc in its MAAC losses. Jaspers are in middle of MAAC pack defending the arc.
Summit League, Sioux Falls, SD
•South Dakotais #21 in experience in country; they won six of last seven games, were up 22 at half over favored Fort Wayne yesterday, held off Mastodon charge in second half. South Dakota State won 11 of its last 13 game after starting 0-2 in Summit. Jackrabbits won this tournament two of last three years; they beat South Dakota 71-57 at home Jan 17, then lost 80-64 to Coyotes in regular season finale 9 days ago. South Dakota played seven guys Sunday, three for 32+ minutes.
•Oral Roberts won eight of last eleven games, four of last six on road- they lost 72-66 at North Dakota State in Summit opener Jan 2, then whacked Bison 74-58 in Tulsa eleven nights ago. Eagles played two guys for 39-40 minutes in tense 58-56 win over IUPUI last nght- they allowed Jaguars 16 offensive boards, were -7 (14-7) in turnovers. North Dakota State won seven of its last nine games; three of its last eight wins came in overtime. Bison has rookie head coach, only one senior in rotation.
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Hoop Trends - Monday
•PEPPERDINE is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) versus good passing teams, averaging >=16 assists/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PEPPERDINE 68.6, OPPONENT 68.9.
•AKRON is 13-2 UNDER (+10.8 Units) in home games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was AKRON 67.8, OPPONENT 59.8.
•BYU is 10-1 (+14.3 Units) against the money line after 3 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers this season.
The average score was BYU 81.9, OPPONENT 68.1.
•W MICHIGAN is 19-5 (+13.5 Units) against the 1rst half line versus good free throw shooting teams - making >=72% of their attempts over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was W MICHIGAN 34.9, OPPONENT 30.5.
•GONZAGA is 9-0 OVER (+9.0 Units) the 1rst half total in road games versus good free throw shooting teams - making >=72% of their attempts after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was GONZAGA 37.4, OPPONENT 33.1.
•MARK MONTGOMERY is 17-1 ATS (+15.9 Units) in road games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game after 15+ games as the coach of N ILLINOIS.
The average score was MONTGOMERY 61.7, OPPONENT 65.3.
Situational Analysis of The Day
•Play Under - Neutral court teams where the total is between 130 and 139.5 points (WM & MARY) – a good ball handling team (<=14.5 TO's) against a poor pressure defense (<=14.5 TO's) after 15+ games, after allowing 90 points or more, with just two starters returning from last season.
(26-4 since 1997.) (86.7%, +21.6 units. Rating = 4*)
The average total posted in these games was: 134.7
The average score in these games was: Team 59.5, Opponent 64.7 (Total points scored = 124.2)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 19 (65.5% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (8-0).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (13-1).
•Play Under - Neutral court teams where the first half total is 60.5 or less points (FURMAN) - off a win over a conference rival as an underdog of 6 points or more against opponent off 2 straight wins against conference rivals, in a game involving 2 slow-down teams (<=55 shots/game) after 15+ games.
(47-14 since 1997.) (77.0%, +31.6 units. Rating = 4*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 57.5
The average first half score in these games was: Team 25.3, Opponent 28.4 (Total first half points scored = 53.7)
The situation's record this season is: (2-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (6-1).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (14-4).
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Monday's WCC Semifinals
Systems Analyst William Stillman
This season’s West Coast Conference Tournament is down to its final four teams heading into Monday night’s semifinal round. The Gonzaga Bulldogs cruised to the WCC regular season title with a straight-up record of 17-1 and they will now face Pepperdine in a 9:00 PM (ET) tip in their quest for the tournament crown. The only team in the WCC that beat the Bulldogs this season was the BYU Cougars and they will headline the second semifinal when the square-off against Portland in an 11:30 PM tip.
Pepperdine vs. Gonzaga
ESPN, 9:00 PM EST
Opening Odds: Gonzaga -14
Pepperdine finished the regular season with a SU record of 18-12 while going 10-8 in conference play. It opened this tournament with a 50-47 victory against San Diego while covering against the spread as a two-point underdog. The Waves are now 3-1 (SU and ATS) in their last four outings and the total has stayed UNDER in their last six games. Junior forward Stacy Davis came up huge against San Diego this past Saturday with a game-high 19 points while adding eight rebounds and three assists. Overall, the Waves are averaging 63.8 points per game while shooting 42.7 percent from the field.
The Bulldogs bounced back from that 73-70 season-ending loss to BYU as 13 ½-point home favorites with a tighter than expected 81-72 victory over San Francisco this past Saturday as 16 ½-point favorites. They have now failed to cover in six of their last nine games and the total has stayed UNDER five of their last seven contests. Gonzaga has been one of the highest scoring teams in the nation all season long with 78.8 PPG and it is ranked first in the nation shooting the ball with a field goal percentage of 52.4. Against San Francisco, the Bulldogs matched that mark by hitting 52.7 percent of their 55 shots from the floor. One injury note; Gonzaga’s leading scorer junior forward Kyle Wiltjer (16.6 PPG) left the game late in the second half with an apparent hip injury.
•Betting Trends
-- The Waves are 6-1 ATS in their last seven neutral-site games and they are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 games following a SU win. The total has gone OVER in five of their last seven games against a team with a SU winning record.
-- The Bulldogs are 0-5-1 ATS in their last six games played at a neutral site, but they have covered in 24 of their last 36 games following an ATS loss. The total has gone OVER in five of their last six neutral-site games.
-- The favorite in this series has gone 19-6-3 ATS in the last 28 meetings and the total has gone OVER in five of the last seven games. Gonzaga has won the last 10 meetings SU, but Pepperdine covered ATS in both losses this season.
Portland vs. BYU
ESPN2, 11:30 PM EST
Opening Odds: BYU -8.5
Portland stunned St. Mary’s in its tournament opener with a 69-52 win as a 6 ½-point underdog. This snapped a four-game losing streak (SU and ATS) to close-out the regular season. The total has stayed UNDER in seven of its last 10 games. Three of five starters scored in double figures in Saturday’s upset led by senior guard Kevin Bailey. He has led the way all season long with an average of 14.5 PPG. The Pilots are averaging 70.3 PPG, but this number has dropped a bit over their last seven games to 66.7. They hit an impressive 50 percent of their 46 shots against St. Mary’s as opposed to a field goal percentage of 44.4 percent on the year.
The Cougars stayed hot with a 78-76 victory against Santa Clara on Saturday, but they came nowhere close to covering as 12 ½-point favorites. BYU is now 7-0 SU in its last seven games and that was the first time during this run that it failed to cover the spread. The total went OVER the 148-point closing line after staying UNDER in its previous five games. Senior guard Tyler Haws has been a force all season long with a team-high 22.2 PPG and he led the way in Saturday’s win with 30 points while going 9-for-19 from the field. The Cougars are ranked second in the nation in scoring with 83.8 PPG and they are shooting 46.6 percent from the field. However, when it comes to playing defense BYU is ranked near the bottom of Division I in points allowed (72.1).
•Betting Trends
-- The Pilots have covered ATS in five of their last seven games played at a neutral site and they are 6-2-1 ATS in their last nine games following an ATS win. The total has stayed UNDER in 11 of their last 16 games following a SU win.
-- The Cougars are 5-1 ATS in their last six games following a SU win, but they have failed to cover in their last five games played on a Monday. The total has stayed UNDER in nine of their last 12 neutral-site games.
-- BYU holds a 9-1 SU edge in the last 10 meetings including a two-game sweep this season, but Portland has a slight 3-2 edge ATS in the last five games. The total stayed UNDER a closing 155 ½-point line the last time they met on Feb. 26 after going OVER in the previous five meetings.
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MONDAY, MARCH 9th 2015
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
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***** Monday, 3/9/15 NCAA College Basketball Knowledge *****
(ALL RESULTS ATS) - Against The Spread - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Each and every day during the 2014-15 NCAA College Basketball season we will analyze all of your daily basketball action, featuring all our Highly-Rated (Situational & Match-up) Power Trends, along with some of our Situational Analysis (Betting Systems) that pertain to some of that days match-ups. Content contained in this report remains exclusive private property of StatSystemsSports.net. Database information may not be reused or disseminated in any form without express written consent of the publisher.
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Monday's Notebook
MAC Tournament, Campus Sites
•Bowling Green is much-improved this season under first-year coach Jans; Falcons beat Ball State twice this year, 58-46 (-9) at home Jan 17, then 79-65 (-6) in Muncie Feb 14. Cardinals won first two MAC games but haven't won since, losing 16 games in row, going 4-5 as road underdogs in MAC play. Falcons lost four of last six games after starting season 17-6; they lost last two games by total of three points. Ball is 2-8 in its last ten tourney openers; Bowling Green is 2-7 in last nine.
•Over last six years,Akron is 17-6 in this event, winning it twice in last four years; Zips won their first tourney game last nine years, but Akron lost 64-61 (-3.5) at Northern Illinois this year in its only meeting with the Huskies Jan 21- Zips were 9-28 from arc. Akron is banged-up, lost six of last seven games, all by 7 or less points. NIU is 2-11 in MAC tourney last 11 years, with only two wins by three points each; four of their last six losses in this event were by six or less points.
•Eastern Michigan started MAC play 11-2, but lost five of first six games in league and stumbled to 8-10 mark, winning last two; home teams won both EMU-Miami games this year. Redhawks won 82-81 (+4.5) in OT Jan 10, after being down 25 in first half. Eastern (-9) won rematch 83-69 at home Feb 10, making 10-19 from arc. Eagles are 4-4-1 as a home favorite. Miami won five of last seven games after starting MAC play 3-8, but in last game, they lost by 30 at Ohio U.
•Western Michigan won five of last seven games, one of which was 80-69 (-8) home win over Bobcats Feb 18, when WMU outscored Ohio 15-2 in last 6:01. Broncos outscored Bobcats 15-5 on foul line. Broncos won first tourney game 10 of last 11 years; Ohio eight of last ten. Western is 3-4 as home favorite this year, winning five of last six at home. Ohio snapped a 7-game skid with 30-point win in season finale; Bobcats are 2-7 as a road underdog, failing to cover last four games on foreign soil.
CAA Tournament, Baltimore, MD
•Wm&Mary is one of five original NCAA teams that has never been in NCAA tourney; they lost this game by point to Delaware LY. Tribe is here after winning in double OT Sunday after being down 5 with 0:50 to play- they made 12-28 from arc. Northeastern hasn't been in NCAAs in last 24 years; Huskies won five of last six games, winning couple close games last two days, by 3-7 points. Home side won both series games this year by double digits.
WCC Tournament, Las Vegas, NV
•Gonzaga is playing for NCAA seed, thought they seemed locked in to a 2-seed; Bulldogs beat Pepperdine twice this season, 78-76 (-19) Jan 15 in Malibu, then 56-48 (-18) at home Feb 19. Zags are 20-3 in WCC tourney last 11 years, winning it eight times- they won last 12 semifinal games. Pepperdine is 6-12 in WCC tourney since 2003; the five years they won a game, they lost next game every time, last three by 18-24-17. Waves are 3-1 in last four games- they were down 8 in 2nd half versus USD Saturday.
Southern Conference, Asheville, NC
•Woffordwon seven games in row, 14 of last 15 games; they won SoCon tourney three of last five years. Still, Terriers need win here or they'll be like Murray State, on outside looking in on Selection Sunday. Furman has beaten Chattanooga/Mercer last two days, both huge upsets; this is 4th day in row they're playing- they were 1-8 in last nine games before this tourney. Wofford beat Furman by 25 at home Jan 22, but only by hoop in Greenville nine days ago, hanging on after being up 13 with 11:30 left.
MAAC Tournament, Albany, NY
•Iona-Manhattan meet in MAAC final for third year in row- they've split last two, both by 3 points. Top-seed Iona beat Jaspers twice this season by total of 7 points, with games in February two weeks apart- thin Iona bench has played total of 56:00 in two games of this tourney, but game yesterday wasn't stressful. Gaels made 19-35 from arc yesterday- they were up 57-45 at half. Manhattan won six of last seven games, with 79-75 loss to Iona only setback. Iona shot 32% or less on arc in its MAAC losses. Jaspers are in middle of MAAC pack defending the arc.
Summit League, Sioux Falls, SD
•South Dakotais #21 in experience in country; they won six of last seven games, were up 22 at half over favored Fort Wayne yesterday, held off Mastodon charge in second half. South Dakota State won 11 of its last 13 game after starting 0-2 in Summit. Jackrabbits won this tournament two of last three years; they beat South Dakota 71-57 at home Jan 17, then lost 80-64 to Coyotes in regular season finale 9 days ago. South Dakota played seven guys Sunday, three for 32+ minutes.
•Oral Roberts won eight of last eleven games, four of last six on road- they lost 72-66 at North Dakota State in Summit opener Jan 2, then whacked Bison 74-58 in Tulsa eleven nights ago. Eagles played two guys for 39-40 minutes in tense 58-56 win over IUPUI last nght- they allowed Jaguars 16 offensive boards, were -7 (14-7) in turnovers. North Dakota State won seven of its last nine games; three of its last eight wins came in overtime. Bison has rookie head coach, only one senior in rotation.
_____________________________________
StatSystems Sports
Your #1 Source for Winning Information
StatSystemsSports.net takes pride in providing the average player with an edge by building a full in-depth analysis of football, basketball and baseball games. All aspects of games are considered. These include; but are not limited to, injuries, weather, playing surface, team chemistry, individual match-ups, line moves, scheduling, fatigue, statistical analysis, trend analysis, etc. The better prepared you are - The better chance you have of winning, plain and simple.
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"You'll be Real Glad You Did!"
_________________________
Hoop Trends - Monday
•PEPPERDINE is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) versus good passing teams, averaging >=16 assists/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PEPPERDINE 68.6, OPPONENT 68.9.
•AKRON is 13-2 UNDER (+10.8 Units) in home games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was AKRON 67.8, OPPONENT 59.8.
•BYU is 10-1 (+14.3 Units) against the money line after 3 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers this season.
The average score was BYU 81.9, OPPONENT 68.1.
•W MICHIGAN is 19-5 (+13.5 Units) against the 1rst half line versus good free throw shooting teams - making >=72% of their attempts over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was W MICHIGAN 34.9, OPPONENT 30.5.
•GONZAGA is 9-0 OVER (+9.0 Units) the 1rst half total in road games versus good free throw shooting teams - making >=72% of their attempts after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was GONZAGA 37.4, OPPONENT 33.1.
•MARK MONTGOMERY is 17-1 ATS (+15.9 Units) in road games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game after 15+ games as the coach of N ILLINOIS.
The average score was MONTGOMERY 61.7, OPPONENT 65.3.
Situational Analysis of The Day
•Play Under - Neutral court teams where the total is between 130 and 139.5 points (WM & MARY) – a good ball handling team (<=14.5 TO's) against a poor pressure defense (<=14.5 TO's) after 15+ games, after allowing 90 points or more, with just two starters returning from last season.
(26-4 since 1997.) (86.7%, +21.6 units. Rating = 4*)
The average total posted in these games was: 134.7
The average score in these games was: Team 59.5, Opponent 64.7 (Total points scored = 124.2)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 19 (65.5% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (8-0).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (13-1).
•Play Under - Neutral court teams where the first half total is 60.5 or less points (FURMAN) - off a win over a conference rival as an underdog of 6 points or more against opponent off 2 straight wins against conference rivals, in a game involving 2 slow-down teams (<=55 shots/game) after 15+ games.
(47-14 since 1997.) (77.0%, +31.6 units. Rating = 4*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 57.5
The average first half score in these games was: Team 25.3, Opponent 28.4 (Total first half points scored = 53.7)
The situation's record this season is: (2-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (6-1).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (14-4).
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Monday's WCC Semifinals
Systems Analyst William Stillman
This season’s West Coast Conference Tournament is down to its final four teams heading into Monday night’s semifinal round. The Gonzaga Bulldogs cruised to the WCC regular season title with a straight-up record of 17-1 and they will now face Pepperdine in a 9:00 PM (ET) tip in their quest for the tournament crown. The only team in the WCC that beat the Bulldogs this season was the BYU Cougars and they will headline the second semifinal when the square-off against Portland in an 11:30 PM tip.
Pepperdine vs. Gonzaga
ESPN, 9:00 PM EST
Opening Odds: Gonzaga -14
Pepperdine finished the regular season with a SU record of 18-12 while going 10-8 in conference play. It opened this tournament with a 50-47 victory against San Diego while covering against the spread as a two-point underdog. The Waves are now 3-1 (SU and ATS) in their last four outings and the total has stayed UNDER in their last six games. Junior forward Stacy Davis came up huge against San Diego this past Saturday with a game-high 19 points while adding eight rebounds and three assists. Overall, the Waves are averaging 63.8 points per game while shooting 42.7 percent from the field.
The Bulldogs bounced back from that 73-70 season-ending loss to BYU as 13 ½-point home favorites with a tighter than expected 81-72 victory over San Francisco this past Saturday as 16 ½-point favorites. They have now failed to cover in six of their last nine games and the total has stayed UNDER five of their last seven contests. Gonzaga has been one of the highest scoring teams in the nation all season long with 78.8 PPG and it is ranked first in the nation shooting the ball with a field goal percentage of 52.4. Against San Francisco, the Bulldogs matched that mark by hitting 52.7 percent of their 55 shots from the floor. One injury note; Gonzaga’s leading scorer junior forward Kyle Wiltjer (16.6 PPG) left the game late in the second half with an apparent hip injury.
•Betting Trends
-- The Waves are 6-1 ATS in their last seven neutral-site games and they are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 games following a SU win. The total has gone OVER in five of their last seven games against a team with a SU winning record.
-- The Bulldogs are 0-5-1 ATS in their last six games played at a neutral site, but they have covered in 24 of their last 36 games following an ATS loss. The total has gone OVER in five of their last six neutral-site games.
-- The favorite in this series has gone 19-6-3 ATS in the last 28 meetings and the total has gone OVER in five of the last seven games. Gonzaga has won the last 10 meetings SU, but Pepperdine covered ATS in both losses this season.
Portland vs. BYU
ESPN2, 11:30 PM EST
Opening Odds: BYU -8.5
Portland stunned St. Mary’s in its tournament opener with a 69-52 win as a 6 ½-point underdog. This snapped a four-game losing streak (SU and ATS) to close-out the regular season. The total has stayed UNDER in seven of its last 10 games. Three of five starters scored in double figures in Saturday’s upset led by senior guard Kevin Bailey. He has led the way all season long with an average of 14.5 PPG. The Pilots are averaging 70.3 PPG, but this number has dropped a bit over their last seven games to 66.7. They hit an impressive 50 percent of their 46 shots against St. Mary’s as opposed to a field goal percentage of 44.4 percent on the year.
The Cougars stayed hot with a 78-76 victory against Santa Clara on Saturday, but they came nowhere close to covering as 12 ½-point favorites. BYU is now 7-0 SU in its last seven games and that was the first time during this run that it failed to cover the spread. The total went OVER the 148-point closing line after staying UNDER in its previous five games. Senior guard Tyler Haws has been a force all season long with a team-high 22.2 PPG and he led the way in Saturday’s win with 30 points while going 9-for-19 from the field. The Cougars are ranked second in the nation in scoring with 83.8 PPG and they are shooting 46.6 percent from the field. However, when it comes to playing defense BYU is ranked near the bottom of Division I in points allowed (72.1).
•Betting Trends
-- The Pilots have covered ATS in five of their last seven games played at a neutral site and they are 6-2-1 ATS in their last nine games following an ATS win. The total has stayed UNDER in 11 of their last 16 games following a SU win.
-- The Cougars are 5-1 ATS in their last six games following a SU win, but they have failed to cover in their last five games played on a Monday. The total has stayed UNDER in nine of their last 12 neutral-site games.
-- BYU holds a 9-1 SU edge in the last 10 meetings including a two-game sweep this season, but Portland has a slight 3-2 edge ATS in the last five games. The total stayed UNDER a closing 155 ½-point line the last time they met on Feb. 26 after going OVER in the previous five meetings.
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