Service Plays Monday 3/31/14

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THE FACTSMAN

MLB WAS NATIONALS v NY METS
D GEE -R/S STRASBURG -R
OVER 6½-120

MLB STL CARDINALS v CIN REDS
J CUETO -R/A WAINWRIGHT -R
OVER 7-115

MLB BOS RED SOX v BAL ORIOLES
C TILLMAN -R/J LESTER
OVER 8½-120
 

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Baseball Crusher
Miami Marlins -145 over Colorado Rockies
(System Record: 1-0)
Overall Record: 1-0
 

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Hockey Crusher
Florida Panthers + New Jersey Devils OVER 5
(System Record: 81-4, lost last 4 games)
Overall Record: 81-69-1
 

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Basketball Crusher
Milwaukee Bucks +6 over Detroit Pistons
(System Record: 66-8, lost last game)
Overall Record: 66-81-5
 

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Soccer Crusher
Mlada Boleslav + Slavia Prague UNDER 2.5
This match is happening in
Czech Repub
(System Record: 544-20, lost last game)
Overall Record: 544-468-80
 

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STATSYSTEMS SPORTS STAT/SHEETS, 3/31/14
NATIONAL BASKETBALL ASSOCIATION
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
_________________________________________



***** Monday, 3/31/14 NBA Information *****
(ALL RESULTS ATS) - Against The Spread - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Each and every day during the 2013-14 National Basketball Association season we will analyze all of your daily basketball action, featuring all our Highly-Rated (Situational & Match-up) Power Trends, along with some of our Situational Analysis (Betting Systems) that pertain to some of that days match-ups.
______________________________________________

Betting Notes - Monday
•Hot Teams
-- Spurs won last 17 games, covered 10 of last 11.
-- Raptors won four of their last five games.
-- Miami won three of last four games, covered last three.
-- Bulls won three of last four games (1-5 ATS L5 home).
-- Clippers won 15 of their last 17 games.
-- Timberwolves won four of last five home games.
-- New Orleans won five of its last six games.
-- Knicks won 10 of their last 13 games.

•Cold Teams
-- Charlotte lost four of its last six games.
-- Wizards lost four of their last seven games (2-5 vs. spread).
-- Pacers lost four of their last five games.
-- Atlanta lost its last six games (1-5 ATS).
-- 76ers lost 26 of last 27 games, covered five of last seven.
-- Bucks lost nine of last ten games, covered four of last six.
-- Detroit lost eight of its last nine games.
-- Celtics lost nine of their last ten games.
-- Kings lost six of last eight games (6-2-1 ATS last nine).
-- Grizzlies lost three of last four road games (0-4 vs. spread).
-- Denver lost four of its last five games.
-- Jazz lost 15 of their last 17 games.

•Totals
-- Last four Washington games stayed under the total.
-- Four of last five Charlotte games went over
-- Five of last six San Antonio games stayed under.
-- Seven of last ten Philly games stayed under total.
-- Over is 48-25 in Detroit games, 25-13 at home.
-- Five of last six Miami games stayed under total.
-- Four of last five Boston games went over total.
-- Seven of last nine Clipper games stayed under total.
-- Eight of last nine King-Pelican games went over total.
-- Five of last seven Memphis-Denver games stayed under.
-- Three of last four Utah games went over the total.

•Series Records
-- Wizards won four of last six visits to Charlotte.
-- Pacers won by 11 in San Antonio Dec 7, ending 9-game series skid.
-- 76ers lost four of their last five games with Atlanta.
-- Pistons won five of last seven games with Milwaukee.
-- Heat won last 14 games with Toronto (6-2 vs. spread in last eight).
-- Bulls won nine of last 12 games against Boston.
-- Clippers won their last eight games with Minnesota.
-- Kings won three of last four games with New Orleans.
-- Grizzlies lost last three visits to Denver, by 5-7-3 points.
-- Knicks won their last five games with Utah.

•Situational Trends of The Day
-- MILWAUKEE is 2-14 ATS (-13.4 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MILWAUKEE 92.1, OPPONENT 102.5.

-- DETROIT is 20-5 OVER (+14.5 Units) when playing 6 or more games in 10 days this season.
The average score was DETROIT 101.0, OPPONENT 104.9.

-- MILWAUKEE is 0-10 against the 1rst half line (-11.0 Units) after a game where their opponent was called for 13 or less fouls over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MILWAUKEE 45.4, OPPONENT 53.9.

-- SAN ANTONIO is 16-3 UNDER (+12.7 Units) the 1rst half total after 3 straight games where they made 47% of their shots or better this season.
The average score was SAN ANTONIO 49.7, OPPONENT 44.3.

-- DAVID JOERGER is 14-1 UNDER (+12.9 Units) the 1rst half total as a road favorite versus the 1rst half line as the coach of MEMPHIS.
The average score was JOERGER 44.1, OPPONENT 41.3.

•Matchup Trends of The Day
-- CHARLOTTE is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) this season.
The average score was CHARLOTTE 102.3, OPPONENT 99.4.

-- INDIANA is 30-13 UNDER (+15.7 Units) versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=24 free throws/game this season.
The average score was INDIANA 96.3, OPPONENT 90.3.

-- MEMPHIS is 10-2 against the 1rst half line (+7.8 Units) versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 103+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
The average score was MEMPHIS 49.4, OPPONENT 45.6.

-- INDIANA is 26-6 UNDER (+19.4 Units) the 1rst half total versus good free throw shooting teams - making >=76% of their attempts this season.
The average score was INDIANA 45.4, OPPONENT 45.4.

-- STEVE CLIFFORD is 18-2 against the 1rst half line (+15.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season as the coach of CHARLOTTE.
The average score was CLIFFORD 52.1, OPPONENT 47.3.

•Situation Analysis of The Day
-- Play On - Road underdogs of 10 or more points (BOSTON) - a poor pressure defensive team (<=14.5 TO's), after going over the total by 42 or more points total in their last five games against opponent after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games.
(49-16 since 1996.) (75.4%, +31.4 units. Rating = 3*)

The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is : (16-51)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 12
The average score in these games was: Team 94.5, Opponent 102 (Average point differential = -7.5)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 31 (48.4% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (5-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (13-4).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (15-5).

-- Play Over - All teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points (CHARLOTTE) - an average offensive team (92-98 PPG) against a poor defensive team (98-102 PPG) after 42+ games, after allowing 110 points or more 2 straight games, in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3 PPG diff.).
(23-4 since 1996.) (85.2%, +18.6 units. Rating = 3*)

The average total posted in these games was: 195.9
The average score in these games was: Team 104.1, Opponent 104.1 (Total points scored = 208.2)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 19 (65.5% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (1-2).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (5-2).

-- Play On - Home favorites of 2 to 5.5 points versus the first half line (MIAMI) - an excellent offensive team (>=102 PPG) against an average defensive team (92-98 PPG), after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record.
(23-2 since 1996.) (92.0%, +20.8 units. Rating = 4*)

The average first half line posted in these games was: Team favored by 3.9
The average first half score in these games was: Team 55.4, Opponent 45.2 (Average first half point differential = +10.2)

The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (6-0).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (11-0).

-- Play Under - All teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (MILWAUKEE) - a poor team - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game, after going under the total by more than 18 points in their previous game, terrible team, winning 25% or less of their games on the season.
(32-9 over the last 5 seasons.) (78.0%, +22.1 units. Rating = 3*)

The average total posted in these games was: 208.4
The average score in these games was: Team 97.3, Opponent 103.6 (Total points scored = 200.9)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 26 (61.9% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (4-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (11-2).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (69-45).
___________________________________________
 

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Hondo -

Hondo was cruising with the Dodgers Sunday, seemingly headed toward a victory on Domestic Opening Night, but then Mattingly called for Brian “The Bearded Blunder” Wilson. Next thing you know the Pods are on their way to a 3-1 “W” and the Day 1 debt is 55 tidrows.

Monday: Mr. Aitch figures the Sawx will be less than sharp due to the dreaded World Series hangover, so he will risk 10 units worth of his DDPs (disposable dead presidents) on Tillman and the Orioles.
 

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Mighty Quinn----------

Mighty missed with Michigan (+2) on Sunday and likes the Spurs on Monday. The deficit is 270 sirignanos.
 
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NBA

Hot teams
-- Spurs won last 17 games, covered 10 of last 11.
-- Raptors won four of their last five games. Miami won three of last four games, covered last three.
-- Bulls won three of last four games, but covered once in their last five home games.
-- Clippers won 15 of their last 17 games. Timberwolves won four of last five home games.
-- New Orleans won five of its last six games.
-- Knicks won 10 of their last 13 games.

Cold Teams
-- Charlotte lost four of its last six games. Wizards lost four of their last seven games (2-5 vs spread).
-- Pacers lost four of their last five games.
-- Atlanta lost its last six games (1-5 vs spread). 76ers lost 26 of last 27 games, covered five of last seven.
-- Bucks lost nine of last ten games, covered four of last six. Detroit lost eight of its last nine.
-- Celtics lost nine of their last ten games.
-- Kings lost six of last eight games (6-2-1 vs spread in last nine).
-- Grizzlies lost three of last four road games (0-4 vs spread). Denver lost four of its last five games.
-- Jazz lost 15 of their last 17 games.

Series records
-- Wizards won four of last six visits to Charlotte.
-- Pacers won by 11 in San Antonio Dec 7, ending 9-game series skid.
-- 76ers lost four of their last five games with Atlanta.
-- Pistons won five of last seven games with Milwaukee.
-- Heat won last 14 games with Toronto (6-2 vs spread in last eight).
-- Bulls won nine of last 12 games against Boston.
-- Clippers won their last eight games with Minnesota.
-- Kings won three of last four games with New Orleans.
-- Grizzlies lost last three visits to Denver, by 5-7-3 points.
-- Knicks won their last five games with Utah.

Totals
-- Last four Washington games stayed under the total; four of last five Charlotte games went over
-- Five of last six San Antonio games stayed under.
-- Seven of last ten Philly games stayed under total.
-- Over is 48-25 in Detroit games, 25-13 at home.
-- Five of last six Miami games stayed under total.
-- Four of last five Boston games went over total.
-- Seven of last nine Clipper games stayed under total.
-- Eight of last nine King-Pelican games went over total.
-- Five of last seven Memphis-Denver games stayed under.
-- Three of last four Utah games went over the total.
 
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NHL

Hot teams
-- Senators won three of last four games. Carolina won three of its last four road games.
-- Anaheim won three of its last four games.
-- Los Angeles won its last six games, allowing 11 runs.

Cold teams
-- Panthers lost five of their last six games. New Jersey lost six of last eight.
-- Jets lost seven of their last ten games.
-- Minnesota lost six of its last nine games.

Totals
-- Six of last seven Carolina games stayed under total.
-- Under is 5-1-1 in last seven Florida games.
-- Under is 22-12-3 in Winnipeg road games.
-- Over is 5-1-1 in last seven Minnesota games.

Series records
-- Hurricanes won six of last seven games with Ottawa.
-- Devils won five of last seven games with Florida.
-- Jets won five of last six games with Anaheim.
-- Minnesota won four of last seven visits to Staples Center.
 
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MLB

Hot pitchers
-- Liriano is 2-1, 2.84 in his last six starts.
-- Strasburg is 2-0, 3.33 in his last five starts. Gee is 1-2, 4.21 in his last seven.
-- Gallardo is 4-1, 2.58 in his last eight starts.
-- Fernandez is 4-1, 1.13 in his last six starts. de la Rosa is 6-0, 4.34 in his last seven starts.
-- Bumgarner is 2-0, 1.80 in his last four starts.

-- Verlander is 1-1, 0.26 in his last five starts. Shields is 3-0, 1.24 in his last four starts.
-- Lester is 4-1, 1.56 in his last five starts.
-- Dickey is 5-1, 3.35 in his last seven starts.
-- Weaver is 2-0, 2.84 in his last three starts.
-- Gray is 2-1, 2.48 in his last five starts.

-- Lee is 3-2, 2.08 in his last five starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Samardzija is 0-2, 5.79 in his last six starts.
-- Teheran is 2-2, 6.64 in his last four starts.
-- Cueto is 2-3, 6.10 in his last five starts. Wainwright is 0-3, 3.79 in his last three starts.
-- McCarthy is 1-2, 3.96 in his last four starts.

-- Tillman is 0-2, 4.33 in his last four starts.
-- Nolasco is 0-3, 12.38 in his last four starts. Sale is 0-2, 4.82 in his last three.
-- Price is 2-3, 3.99 in his last seven starts.
-- FHernandez is 0-5, 6.42 in his last six starts.
-- Masterson is 1-2, 4.68 in his last six starts.

-- Scheppers is first pitcher since Fernando Valenzuela in 1981 to make first MLB start on Opening Day; he was 6-2, 1.88 in 76 relief appearances LY. .

Hot teams
-- Mariners won their last seven season openers.

Cold teams

Totals
-- Last four Samardzija starts stayed under the total; five of Liriano's last seven starts went over.
-- Over is 5-1-1 in last seven Strasburg starts.
-- Seven of last ten Teheran starts stayed under total.
-- Five of last seven Cueto starts stayed under the total.
-- Last three de la Rosa starts went over the total.
-- Under is 4-0-2 in last six Bumgarner starts.

-- Four of last five Shields starts went over the total; Verlander's last five starts stayed under.
-- Eight of last nine Tillman starts stayed under the total.
-- Seven of last nine Sale starts went over the total.
-- Six of last eight Price starts went over the total.
-- Under is 3-1-1 in last five Weaver starts.
-- Five of Gray's last six home starts stayed under.

-- Under is 6-2-1 in Lee's last nine starts.
 
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Hockey Crusher
Florida Panthers + New Jersey Devils OVER 5
(System Record: 81-4, lost last 4 games)
Overall Record: 81-69-1

Rest of the Plays
Carolina Hurricanes +112 over Ottawa Senators
Los Angeles Kings -165 over Minnesota Wild
Winnipeg Jets + Anaheim Ducks UNDER 5.5
 
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Basketball Crusher
Milwaukee Bucks +6 over Detroit Pistons
(System Record: 66-8, lost last game)
Overall Record: 66-81-5

Rest of the Plays
Washington Wizards +3 over Charlotte
Denver Nuggets +3.5 over Memphis
San Antonio Spurs + Indiana Pacers OVER 190.5
 

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Anyone Kevin from MLB predictions? He has 5 units play for today.
 

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ADVANCED SPORTS INVESTMENTS


NCAA BASKETBALL
JIMMY (22-26-2 -4.60)
PASS


JEFF (19-15-2 +4.70)
1X- FRESNO -8 SIENA (10pm)


MARC (16-21 -5.10)
PASS


NHL RELEASES
JIMMY (14-8 +3.55)
PASS


MARC (12-13-1 -4.69)
PASS


NBA RELEASES
JEFF (8-9 -1.90)
1X- INDIANA +5 SA (7pm)


JIMMY (3-2 +.80)
PASSING


MARC (13-14-1 -2.40)
1X- CHARLOTTE/WASHINGTON – UNDER 193.5 (7pm)


BASEBALL
JEFF (0-0 0.00)
1X- OAKLAND -145 CLEVELAND (10pm)
1X- KC/DETROIT – OVER 7 -105 (1pm)


JIMMY (1-0 +1.00)
1X- ATLANTA/MILWAUKEE – UNDER 7.5 +100 (2pm)
1X- MIAMI -153 COLORADO (7pm)


MARC (1-1 -.15)
1X- PITTSBURGH/CHICAGO – 6.5 +100 (1pm)
1X- TORONTO/TB – OVER 7 -105 (4pm)
1X- CHICAGO/MINNESOTA – UNDER 7 +100 (4pm)
 

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