Service Plays Monday 3/3/14

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Soccer Crusher
Chesterfield + Portsmouth UNDER 2.5
This match is happening in England
(System Record: 533-18, won last game)
Overall Record: 533-456-78
 

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Basketball Crusher
North Carolina State +11 over Pittsburgh
(System Record: 54-7, won last 3 games)
Overall Record: 54-67-4
Here are the rest of his hockey and basketball plays for today...


Hockey
Minnesota Wild -175 over Calgary
Buffalo Sabres +1.5 over Dallas
Minnesota Wild + Calgary UNDER 5


Basketball
Lafayette +1.5 over Loyola Maryland
Seton Hall +1 over Xavier
Kansas State +8.5 over Oklahoma St
 

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Monday's Notebook
•Xavier won five of last seven games after upsetting Creighton Saturday; Musketeers are looking to avenge only Big East home loss here a 68-60 loss to Seton Hall (-8) Feb 1, when Xavier was 2-16 from arc, 16-28 on foul line. Big East home teams are 7-3 versus spread in games where spread was 2 or less points. Xavier lost four of last six road games. Seton Hall lost six of its last seven games, four of last five at home.

•North Carolina (-2) won 73-62 at Notre Dame Feb 8, after trailing by 9 early; Tar Heels won last 11 games, last two by total of five points. It is a trap game for UNC, with Duke rematch and ACC tourney coming up in next 10 days. Notre Dame is 1-7 on ACC road, with only win by 4 in Boston; only two of their 11 ACC losses were by more than 11 points. ACC double digit home favorites are 8-12 versus spread.

•NC State jumped out to 17-2 over Pitt in ACC opener, got outscored in second half 48-28 and lost 74-62 (+3.5) Jan 4. Panthers are just 4-5 in last nine games, with three of four wins in OT- they've lost four of last five home games SU. Wolfpack lost four of last five games, losing close games to Syracuse/North Carolina; four of their last six losses are by 14+ points. ACC double digit home favorites are 8-12 versus spread.

•Oklahoma State is 3-0 since Smart returned from suspension; their subs played only 24:00 in 72-65 win over Kansas Saturday that basically put them in NCAA tourney, but quick turnaround here, versus Kansas St. squad that won five of last seven games and beat Cowboys 74-71 (+5.5) Jan 4, in foulfest where both sides took 35+ FTs. Big X home favorites of 7+ points are 11-14 versus spread. Kansas State lost five of last six road games.

•Montana (-2) won 70-66 at Montana State Feb 3, its 7th win in row versus in-state rival Bobcats. Grizzlies won last three series games here by 14-10-5 points. Montana won seven of last nine games, winning last five home games by 6-5-11-1-24 points. Big Sky home favorites of 9+ points are 7-13 versus spread. State is 3-4 on Big Sky road, with only one of four road losses by more than ten points.

Patriot League Tournament
•Navy lost 17 of last 21 games after starting season 5-3; they led Patriot league in forcing turnovers, but also foul most. Middies lost four games in row- their last win was 71-61 over Colgate Feb 15- they lost 63-41 in first series meeting in Hamilton. Navy lost 11 of last 12 games on road. Colgate won last three games by 24-17-17 points after starting 3-12 in Patriot play; their last five games were all decided by 8+ points.

•Loyola lost six of last seven games, finished 6-12 in first Patriot League season; Greyhounds are 3-10 since beating Lafayette 77-63 at home on Jan 13- they lost rematch 61-44 in Easton nineteen days ago. Loyola is 0-3 in last three home games, losing by 15-2-13 points. Lafayette was on 6-1 run before losing at Colgate/Army to close regular season; Leopards won road games at Bucknell/Holy Cross two of top league's three teams.

•Situational Trends of The Day
-- SETON HALL is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) in home games after a game where they failed to cover the spread over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was SETON HALL 68.0, OPPONENT 68.2.

-- MONTANA is 9-1 OVER (+7.9 Units) after a win by 15 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MONTANA 70.9, OPPONENT 65.8.

-- PITTSBURGH is 5-14 (-10.4 Units) against the 1rst half line after playing 2 consecutive games as favorite this season.
The average score was PITTSBURGH 31.6, OPPONENT 29.2.

-- MONTANA is 49-19 OVER (+28.1 Units) the 1rst half total in home games when playing only their 2nd game in a week since 1997.
The average score was MONTANA 34.5, OPPONENT 31.2.

-- ROY WILLIAMS is 45-19 ATS (+24.1 Units) after 5 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers as the coach of N CAROLINA.
The average score was Williams 79.5, OPPONENT 67.5.

•Matchup Trends of The Day
-- MONTANA ST is 0-11 ATS (-12.1 Units) versus poor rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 4+ per game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MONTANA ST 67.5, OPPONENT 72.9.

-- LOYOLA-MD is 8-0 UNDER (+8.0 Units) versus good free throw shooting teams - making >=72% of their attempts after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was LOYOLA-MD 62.9, OPPONENT 66.3.

-- OKLAHOMA ST is 1-9 (-8.9 Units) against the 1rst half line versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game after 15+ games this season.
The average score was OKLAHOMA ST 34.0, OPPONENT 38.4.

-- N CAROLINA is 12-1 UNDER (+10.9 Units) the 1rst half total versus bad pressure defensive teams - forcing <=12 turnovers/game this season.
The average score was N CAROLINA 33.5, OPPONENT 26.8.

-- ED DECHELLIS is 24-7 ATS (+16.3 Units) in road games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=37% of their attempts after 15+ games in all games he has coached since 1997.
The average score was DECHELLIS 60.4, OPPONENT 69.3.

•Situation Analysis of The Day
-- Play On - Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (OKLAHOMA ST) - an excellent offensive team (>=76 PPG) against a good defensive team (63-67 PPG) after 15+ games, after allowing 65 points or less 2 straight games.
(26-5 since 1997.) (83.9%, +20.5 units. Rating = 3*)

The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (28-3)
The average line posted in these games was: Team favored by 6.8
The average score in these games was: Team 78.1, Opponent 66.6 (Average point differential = +11.4)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 11 (36.7% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (1-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (4-1).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (8-2).

-- Play Against - Home favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (N CAROLINA) - average 3PT shooting team (32-36.5%) against a poor 3PT defense (>=36.5%), good ball handling team (<=14.5 TO's) against a poor pressure defense (<=14.5 TO's) after 15+ games.
(79-34 over the last 5 seasons.) (69.9%, +41.6 units. Rating = 3*)

The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (14-104 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 13.4
The average score in these games was: Team 62.5, Opponent 72.4 (Average point differential = -9.9)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 34 (29.3% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (25-11).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (52-27).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (152-99).

-- Play Over - Road teams where the first half total is 60.5 to 65.5 (NC STATE) - revenging a home loss versus opponent, off a home loss by 10 points or more, excellent team - shooting >=45% with a defense of <=42% on the season, in March games.
(57-23 over the last 5 seasons.) (71.2%, +31.7 units. Rating = 3*)

The average first half total posted in these games was: 63.1
The average first half score in these games was: Team 32.2, Opponent 33.2 (Total first half points scored = 65.4)

The situation's record this season is: (6-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (32-10).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (107-80).

Note: Get today’s complete NCAACB report by heading on over to Monday’s (3/3/14) service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...
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Betting Notes - Monday
•Hot Teams
-- Washington won its last six games (4-1-1 vs. spread).
-- Grizzlies won six of their last eight games.
-- Brooklyn won last four home games.
-- Bulls won/covered nine of their last ten games overall.
-- Miami won its last seven games (5-0-2 vs. spread).
-- Minnesota won five of its last six games.
-- Portland won last five games, covered three of last four.

•Cold Teams
-- Detroit lost its last four games, all by 8+ points.
-- Knicks lost their last six games (1-5 vs. spread).
-- Bobcats won/covered one of last four road games.
-- Milwaukee lost 23 of last 27 games, covered five of last seven.
-- Jazz lost five of last seven games, covered three of last four.
-- Nuggets lost ten of their last eleven games (2-9 vs. spread).
-- Lakers lost seven of their last nine games.
-- Kings lost last three games, allowing 121 ppg.
-- New Orleans lost its last seven games (1-5-1 vs. spread).

•Totals
-- Last six Memphis games went over the total.
-- Under is 11-6 in Chicago's last 17 games.
-- Eight of last ten New York games went over.
-- Over is 6-2-1 in last nine Charlotte games.
-- Last eight Utah road games stayed under.
-- Six of Milwaukee's last seven games went over.
-- Under is 5-1-1 in last seven Minnesota games.
-- Six of last seven Laker games went over the total.
-- Portland's last five games stayed under.
-- Five of last seven Pelican games stayed under total.

•Series Records
-- Grizzlies won eight of last ten games with Washington.
-- Bulls won eight of last eleven games with Brooklyn.
-- Knicks won 12 of last 14 games against Detroit.
-- Bobcats lost 14 in row versus Miami (1-4 last five vs. spread).
-- Jazz won five of last six games with Milwaukee.
-- Nuggets won three of last four games with Minnesota.
-- Lakers won five of last seven games with Portland.
-- Pelicans lost four of last five visits to Sacramento.

•Situational Trends of The Day
-- MEMPHIS is 14-1 ATS (+12.9 Units) after scoring 100 points or more 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MEMPHIS 100.3, OPPONENT 93.2.

-- DETROIT is 16-3 OVER (+12.7 Units) when playing 8 or more games in 14 days this season.
The average score was DETROIT 101.9, OPPONENT 102.5.

-- LA LAKERS are 6-24 (-20.4 Units) against the 1rst half line in road games after playing a home game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was LA LAKERS 50.0, OPPONENT 55.9.

-- DETROIT is 11-0 OVER (+11.0 Units) the 1rst half total after playing 2 consecutive games as an underdog this season.
The average score was DETROIT 52.0, OPPONENT 57.1.

-- RANDY WITTMAN is 21-6 UNDER (+14.4 Units) after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games as the coach of WASHINGTON.
The average score was WITTMAN 96.2, OPPONENT 96.0.

•Matchup Trends of The Day
-- CHICAGO is 24-8 ATS (+15.2 Units) in road games versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was CHICAGO 94.5, OPPONENT 92.4.

-- MINNESOTA is 17-3 UNDER (+13.7 Units) versus up-tempo teams averaging 83 or more shots/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MINNESOTA 101.1, OPPONENT 98.7.

-- CHARLOTTE is 18-5 (+12.5 Units) against the 1rst half line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
The average score was CHARLOTTE 48.5, OPPONENT 47.7.

-- LA LAKERS are 20-5 OVER (+14.5 Units) the 1rst half total in road games versus teams who make 6 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season.
The average score was LA LAKERS 53.4, OPPONENT 56.6.

-- MIKE WOODSON is 20-6 (+13.4 Units) against the 1rst half line when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) - 2nd half of the season as the coach of NEW YORK.
The average score was WOODSON 51.7, OPPONENT 43.7.

•Situation Analysis of The Day
-- Play Against - Road underdogs of +145 to +350 versus the money line (NEW ORLEANS) - a good offensive team (98-102 PPG) against a horrible defensive team (>=102 PPG), revenging a loss versus opponent of 10 points or more, off 3 or more consecutive road losses.
(30-1 over the last 5 seasons.) (96.8%, +28.8 units. Rating = 6*)

The average money line posted in these games was: Team favored with a money line of: -120
The average score in these games was: Team 107.3, Opponent 94.4 (Average point differential = +12.9)

The situation's record this season is: (1-0, +1 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (13-1, +11.8 units).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (97-25, -0.3 units).

-- Play On - Road favorites where the line is +3 to -3 (MEMPHIS) - average defensive team (92-98 PPG) against a poor defensive team (98-102 PPG) after 42+ games, after allowing 55 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games against opponent after a win by 10 points or more.
(42-13 since 1996.) (76.4%, +27.7 units. Rating = 3*)

The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (48-8)
The average line posted in these games was: Team favored by 5.6
The average score in these games was: Team 101.8, Opponent 91.4 (Average point differential = +10.4)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 23 (43.4% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (1-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (10-5).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (19-7).

-- Play Under - All teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points (MEMPHIS) - after scoring 100 points or more 3 straight games against opponent after scoring 55 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games, in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42 or more games.
(32-9 since 1996.) (78.0%, +22.1 units. Rating = 3*)

The average total posted in these games was: 195.3
The average score in these games was: Team 93.9, Opponent 95.3 (Total points scored = 189.2)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 28 (65.1% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (0-3).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (6-3).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (14-4).

-- Play On - Favorites of 2 to 5.5 points versus the first half line (DETROIT) - a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a losing record, second half of the season, after allowing 100 points or more 4 straight games against opponent after trailing their last 3 games by 5+ points at the half.
(30-7 since 1996.) (81.1%, +22.3 units. Rating = 3*)

The average first half line posted in these games was: Team favored by 3.6
The average first half score in these games was: Team 57.1, Opponent 47.2 (Average first half point differential = +9.8)

The situation's record this season is: (2-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (6-2).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (11-3).

-- Play Under - Home teams where the first half total is greater than 100 (DETROIT) - a good offensive team (98-102 PPG) against a poor defensive team (98-102 PPG) after 42+ games, after trailing in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half.
(30-7 since 1996.) (81.1%, +22.3 units. Rating = 3*)

The average first half total posted in these games was: 103.9
The average first half score in these games was: Team 49, Opponent 46.8 (Total first half points scored = 95.8)

The situation's record this season is: (2-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (3-1).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (8-3).

Note: Get today’s complete NBA report by heading on over to Monday’s (3/3/14) service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...
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NCAA Basketball Picks

Kansas State at Oklahoma State

The Wildcats face Oklahoma State tonight in Stillwater where they are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games versus the Cowboys. Oklahoma State is the pick (-8 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Cowboys favored by 11. Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma State (-8 1/2). Here are all of today's games.
MONDAY, MARCH 3
Time Posted: 10:30 a.m. EST
Game 717-718: Xavier at Seton Hall (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Xavier 67.798; Seton Hall 62.929
Dunkel Line: Xavier by 5; 131
Vegas Line: Xavier by 1 1/2; 137
Dunkel Pick: Xavier (-1 1/2); Under
Game 719-720: Notre Dame at North Carolina (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Notre Dame 59.604; North Carolina 74.487
Dunkel Line: North Carolina by 15; 140
Vegas Line: North Carolina by 11; 144 1/2
Dunkel Pick: North Carolina (-11); Under
Game 721-722: NC State at Pittsburgh (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NC State 59.114; Pittsburgh 72.110
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 13; 128
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 10; 135
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-10); Under
Game 723-724: Kansas State at Oklahoma State (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas State 64.556; Oklahoma State 75.781
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma State by 11; 142
Vegas Line: Oklahoma State by 8 1/2; 136
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma State (-8 1/2); Over
Game 725-726: Montana State at Montana (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Montana State 45.542; Montana 52.352
Dunkel Line: Montana by 7
Vegas Line: Montana by 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Montana State (+9 1/2)
Game 729-730: Savannah State at North Carolina Central (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Savannah State 43.692; North Carolina Central 64.255
Dunkel Line: North Carolina Central by 20 1/2; 122
Vegas Line: North Carolina Central by 14; 126 1/2
Dunkel Pick: North Carolina Central (-14); Under
Game 731-732: Navy at Colgate (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Navy 43.825; Colgate 58.025
Dunkel Line: Colgate by 14
Vegas Line: Colgate by 11
Dunkel Pick: Colgate (-11)
Game 733-734: Lafayette at Loyola-MD (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Lafayette 50.174; Loyola-MD 48.877
Dunkel Line: Lafayette by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: Lafayette by 3
Dunkel Pick: Loyola-MD (+3)
 
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Today's NBA Picks

New York at Detroit

The Knicks head to Detroit tonight following yesterday 109-90 loss to Chicago and carrying an 0-7 ATS record in their last 7 games following a SU loss by more than 10 points. Detroit is the pick (-5) according to Dunkel, which has the Pistons favored by 8. Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-5). Here are all of today's picks.
MONDAY, MARCH 3
Time Posted: 10:30 a.m. EST
Game 701-702: Memphis at Washington (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 123.588; Washington 119.120
Dunkel Line & Total: Memphis by 4 1/2; 198
Vegas Line & Total: Memphis by 2; 190
Dunkel Pick: Memphis (-2); Over
Game 703-704: Chicago at Brooklyn (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 125.415; Brooklyn 121.992
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 3 1/2; 182
Vegas Line & Total: Brooklyn by 3 1/2; 186 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (+3 1/2); Under
Game 705-706: New York at Detroit (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New York 110.525; Detroit 118.761
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 8; 200
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit by 5; 205 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-5); Under
Game 707-708: Charlotte at Miami (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Charlotte 121.605; Miami 127.126
Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 5 1/2; 192
Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 12; 196 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Charlotte (+12); Under
Game 709-710: Utah at Milwaukee (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 111.535; Milwaukee 114.934
Dunkel Line & Total: Milwaukee by 3 1/2; 189
Vegas Line & Total: Milwaukee by 1 1/2; 194 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-1 1/2); Under
Game 711-712: Minnesota at Denver (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 122.420; Denver 111.193
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 11; 217
Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota by 5 1/2; 212 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-5 1/2); Over
Game 713-714: LA Lakers at Portland (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Lakers 111.711; Portland 120.727
Dunkel Line & Total: Portland by 9; 226
Vegas Line & Total: Portland by 12 1/2; 220
Dunkel Pick: LA Lakers (+12 1/2); Over
Game 715-716: New Orleans at Sacramento (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 110.463; Sacramento 121.217
Dunkel Line & Total: Sacramento by 11; 209
Vegas Line & Total: Sacramento by 4; 204 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Sacramento (-4); Over
 
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Today's NHL Picks

Columbus at Toronto

The Blue Jackets head to Toronto tonight following a 6-3 win over Florida and carrying a 6-1 record in their last 7 games after scoring 5 goals or more in the previous game. Columbus is the pick (-105) according to Dunkel, which has the Blue Jackets favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Columbus (-105). Here are all of today's picks.
MONDAY, MARCH 3
Time Posted: 11:00 a.m. EST
Game 51-52: Columbus at Toronto (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Columbus 12.040; Toronto 11.123
Dunkel Line & Total: Columbus by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Toronto (-115); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Columbus (-105); Over
Game 53-54: Calgary at Minnesota (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Calgary 11.013; Minnesota 12.544
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 1 1/2; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota (-180); 5
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-180); Under
Game 55-56: Buffalo at Dallas (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 11.644; Dallas 10.499
Dunkel Line & Total: Buffalo by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas (-220); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (+180); Under
Game 57-58: Montreal at Los Angeles (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Montreal 11.511; Los Angeles 13.126
Dunkel Line & Total: Los Angeles by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Los Angeles (-150); 5
Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (-150); Over
 

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Paul Leiner

100* Grizzlies / Wizards Over 190

100* Xavier -1.5

50* NC State +11
 

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Cappersports
[705] TOTAL o207½
(NY KNICKS vrs DET PISTONS)


707] TOTAL o198
(CHA BOBCATS vrs MIA HEAT)


709] TOTAL o196
(UTA JAZZ vrs MIL BUCKS)


[713] TOTAL o221
(LA LAKERS vrs POR TRAIL BLAZERS)
 

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Diamond Dog Sports
Over Bucks 194.5 -110 (0.5*)
Over Nuggets 211.5 -110 (0.5*)








#725 Montana State +9.5 -110 (0.5*)
 

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Shaker's Shorts


CBB
#718 Xavier/Seton Hall - UNDER 63.5 - 1st Half
 

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Vegas Gunners
(NBA) 7:35 PM EST -
NEW YORK KNICKS VS. DETROIT PISTONS OVER 206 (-110) - RISK 10 UNITS
 

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Kansas State @ OKLAHOMA STATE
K-State +9 -106 over OKLAHOMA STATE

The Wildcats are probably in. They have wins over Kansas, Oklahoma, Iowa State and Texas, they have 10 wins in the conference and they also have 20 wins overall. What K-State doesn’t have is a signature road win and the committee usually likes to see one of those. We’re not saying that the Wildcats will be left out should they finish the regular season without a notable road victory but a win here would leave nothing to doubt. The oddsmakers may have this line a little too high because they must figure K-State is in while the Cowboys remain on the bubble.
For OSU to get in they have to defeat the Cyclones at Iowa State on Saturday. A win here combined with a loss at Iowa State and the Cowboys aren’t likely to get an at-large bid. A loss here combined with a win over Iowa State on Saturday and it would be very difficult for the committee to ignore them. The Cowboys took the first step in their quest to get in with a HUGE win over Kansas on Saturday night. Oklahoma State played with incredible intensity and fought back from being down by 10 with about eight minutes to go. Down the stretch of that game every possession was vital and the Cowboys celebrated and picked up more intensity with every made bucket and with every stop. When Marcus Smart grabbed a rebound with 14 seconds left and the Cowboys up seven, the Cowboys reacted like they had just won a championship. The fans reacted the same way after the game, as they flocked onto the court by the thousands. Coming back on one day’s rest and being asked to win by double digits against a quality club is a tall order, especially when you consider that the entire team, school and community is till celebrating. If K-State cares about this game, they may win it outright.

Our Pick
Kansas State +9 -106 (Risking 2.12 units - To Win: 2.00)



Last 30 Days12120.00-0.96
Season to Date27370.00-23.20
 

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Columbus @ TORONTO
Columbus +103 over TORONTO
Regulation only. The Maple Leafs play their first home game since the Olympic break after opening up with two on the road after it. Not much has changed for the Leafs in that they are still living off some serious good fortune. In their first game back, Toronto was defeated by the Islanders 5-4 and were outshot 35-20. Ok, we’ll excuse them because many teams were flat in their first game back also. On Saturday, in perhaps its biggest game of the year to date, the Maple Leafs looked lost for the first 1½-periods and were quickly down 2-0 before a an extremely lucky tip-in by James Van Riemsdyk woke them up late in the first period. The Leafs were outshot in the first, 14-6. The Phil Kessel/James Van Riemsdyk/Tyler Bozak line has deservedly become one of the most feared in the NHL. However, teams that pay attention to detail, like the Jackets, are going to make life a lot more difficult for that trio. Toronto is the second worst in the NHL at the possession game. One of the primary factors for that has been Randy Carlyle's unwillingness to roll four lines because he doesn’t have NHL caliber players (unless you like two goons) on the fourth line to trust them enough with the game on the line. The Maple Leafs can’t keep playing the way they do (without the puck) and expect to win hockey games, especially down the stretch where good teams rise and bad teams fade.
The Jackets have played two games since the Olympics and like the Maple Leafs they were flat in their first game back, losing to New Jersey 5-2. However, they followed that up with a three-goal win over the Panthers while outshooting Florida, 37-20. Prior to the break, Columbus played at San Jose, Anaheim and Los Angeles and picked up three out of possible six tough points. Marion Gaborik is back and so is Nathan Horton. The Jackets rank 7th in the NHL in goals per game average and that was without Gaborik and Horton. Playing on one day’s rest, the Jackets have won four straight (4-0) and they are also 9-2 following a win. They are the vastly superior team taking back a tag, albeit a small one, against a Toronto team that is coming off a huge game against Montreal and that has the Rangers on deck in New York.
Our Pick
Columbus +103 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.06)

Calgary @ MINNESOTA
Calgary +183 over MINNESOTA
Situational betting is vital to success and while it doesn’t always work out, it’s one of the reasons why upsets happen so frequently in sports. You cannot take the human element out of anything and the outcome of sporting events is no different. The Wild are 2-0 since the break with wins over Edmonton and Vancouver. That win in Vancouver was big because that’s a rink that the Wild have been slaughtered in over the years. They also won in in extra time. Beating the Canucks is no great feat but for Minnesota it was a significant and satisfying victory. Still, the Wild managed just 23 shots on net and just a handful of scoring chances. The game prior in Edmonton, they managed a mere 21 shots on net against the NHL’s worst defensive team. Minnesota has huge games on deck against Dallas and St. Louis and could definitely be caught napping here. The Wild are tough defensively but they are one of the likeliest teams to suffer upsets because they are offensively challenged and overall just a very average club.
Calgary is on our radar because they remain one of the most undervalued squads in the NHL. Every publication and so-called expert is insisting that the Flames are a mess and should unload players at the deadline but that’s really not necessary. At the moment, the Flames have a solid prospect system. 2013 first-round pick Sean Monahan is going to be producing for years along with Joe Colborne and Mikael Backland. Recent call-up, Mikael Granlund has not looked a bit out of place in two games and Calgary’s defense is pretty good with Mark Giordano (undoubtedly one of the games most underrated players), Dennis Wideman and T.J. Brodie. Yeah, the Flames are flawed and still a long way from being contenders but they are headed in the right direction, they play their hearts out every single night and they are very capable of beating almost anyone in favorable situations. Calgary has won seven of its last 10 games and they have allowed two goals or less in five straight and six of their past seven. They are quietly putting together a very decent run and it would be of no surprise to us if they keep it going here. At this price in a favorable spot, the risk is worth the reward.
Our Pick
Calgary +183 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 3.66)


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GC: NHL Play

Monday card has a 5* Triple Perfect NBA Totals System similar to the one we had on Sunday with Atlanta and Phoenix posting over the total. In NCAAB We have a Blowout side with 14-2 and 10-0 Power Indicators. NHL Play below.

On Monday the NHL Play is on the Toronto Mapleleafs. Game 52 at 7:05 eastern. Toronto has this one circled on their calendar after a humiliation loss here 6-0 to Columbus back in November. The Leafs are 9-2 with home loss revenge and have won 14 of 21 at home when the posted total is 5.5. Columbus has lost 32 of 47 long term on the road when the total sits at 5.5. With Toronto having won 4 straight at home off a road game we will look for them to serve up revenge here tonight. Take Toronto. On Monday we have 2 Powerful Plays up and ready. The lead is the 5* NBA Triple perfect totals system play and the Big Blowout in NCAAB Action with 14-2 and 10-0 angles. NBA Has remained at or near the top of several leader boards all year. Jump on now as we start the week big. For the play in the NHL Take Toronto. GC
 

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