Service Plays Monday 2/7/11

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Monday, February 7

Home side won eight of last 10 Pitt-West Virginia games, with Panthers 7-3 in last 10, splitting last four here. Pitt G Gibbs is out (knee); thats big blow to Panthers, who are 9-1 in Big East, 4-0 on road. WVU split last four games; they've scored just 56.4 ppg in last five games. Big East home teams covered 11 of 17 games if spread was 3 or less points.

Detroit (+9) lost 81-69 at Cleveland State Jan 20; they're 2-6 in last eight series games- Vikings are 4-3 in last seven visits here. Detroit won last two games, but is just 1-4 vs spread as Horizon underdog. Cleveland St. had its 6-game win streak snapped by Butler Saturday. Faves are 10-5 vs spread in Horizon games if spread is less than 4 points.

Butler won eight in row, 11 of last 12 games vs Ill-Chicago, winning last six games played here, by 4-19-26-16-19-18 points, but Bulldogs are 2-4 in last six games overall, failing to cover last five as a favorite. Flames are 1-11 in Horizon, 3-4 as road dog, losing away games by 2-24-12-24-9-14-6 points. Double digit favorites are 5-8 vs spread in Horizon games.

Youngstown has been gritty at home, but is 1-5 as a Horizon home dog, with road losses by 9-15-24-5-13-22 points; they lost 66-62 (+6) Jan 20 at home to Wright State. Raiders are 2-3 as Horizon home fave, winning home games by 24-3-5-13-6 points (lost to Valpo). Double digit faves are 5-8 against the spread in Horizon games, 5-5 at home.

Kansas PG Selby (foot) is out, but Jayhawks still won last three games by 24-22-20 points- they won three in row, eight of its last nine against rival Missouri, taking the last seven here by 9-12-33-3-19-25-19 points. Mizzou is 0-4 on Big 12 road, losing away games by 13-2-13-6 points. Double digit home favorites are 2-5 vs spread in Big 12 games.

New Mexico State won six of last seven games vs Louisiana Tech, with Tech losing last five visits here by 15-4-9-2-2 points. Bulldogs are 2-8 in WAC but covered four of last five, including last three on road. Aggies didn't play Saturday; they're 4-0-1 as home favorite, winning by 12-18-25-9-8. WAC home favorites of 8+ points are 4-9 against the spread.

Underdog is 11-1 vs spread in Siena's MAAC games, 7-0 in last seven Loyola tilts; Saints are 0-7 as a favorite, 0-5 at home (4-2 SU) with home wins by 6-4-2-7 points. Loyola covered its last four games as underdog. Siena (+3.5) won 76-59 at Loyola 10 days ago. Single digit home faves are 7-14-1 against the spread in MAAC games this season.

NC-Greensboro started season 0-15, is 4-3 since (6-0-1 vs spread), with only one loss by more than a hoop; they won two of last three at home- they're 1-0 as a favorite. Citadel scored 55-60 points in losing last couple road games, but they did win last two on road (2-3 as road dog). Home team is 12-8 vs spread in SoCon games if number is 3 or less points.

Manhattan is 4-19, a horrible team, but they've covered last five games on the road, losing by 10-12-2-7 points, with win at Marist on halfcourt shot at buzzer. 7-5 Iona lost last four games by total of 11 points; they are 4-1-1 as home favorites, winning at home by 9-24-18-18-38 points, with loss to Rider. Double digit home favorites are 12-6-1 in MAAC.

Tennessee Tech (+12) upset Austin Peay 71-68 in Clarksville Jan 20th, their third win in last four series games; Tech survived 22 turnovers by holding Peay to 36% from floor. AP lost four of their last six trips here; they're 3-4 in last seven games overall, after starting out 6-0 in OVC. Single digit home underdogs are 7-11 against the spread in OVC games.

Eastern Illinois (+14) won 61-60 at Murray State Jan 20th, in large part due to Racers' subs going 2-9 from foul line; it was Panthers' first win in last seven series games. Murray is 5-2 in last seven visits here, winning by 18-6-11-6-9 points. Underdog covered Eastern's last nine games. OVC home underdogs of 6+ points are 5-3 vs spread.

Tennessee State (-9) beat Jacksonville State 68-63 Jan 20, in a game Jax led by 10 at half; teams split season series in each of last five years, as Gamecocks won four of last five series games played here. OVC home underdogs of less than 4 points are 0-8 vs spread. Tigers lost three of last four games; they're 2-4 on OVC road, with wins by 10-3 points.

 
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NHL
Write-Up


Monday, February 7

Hot Teams
-- Flames won six of their last seven games.
-- Vancouver won its last five games, outscoring foes 23-5.

Cold Teams
-- Thrashers lost ten of their last 12 games. Toronto lost seven of ten.
-- Detroit got shut out in last two games, losing both 3-0. Rangers lost last four games, scoring 8 goals.
-- Edmonton lost four in row, nine of last ten games. Predators lost four of their last five games.
-- Avalanche lost five of their last six games. Coyotes lost six of nine.
-- Blackhawks lost three of their last four games.
-- Ottawa lost last eight games, giving up 30 goals in last six.

Totals
-- Over is 6-2 in Atlanta's last six road games.
-- Four of last five Detroit games stayed under the total.
-- Over is 5-2 in last seven Edmonton games. Under is 5-0-1 in last six Nashville games.
-- Six of last seven Colorado games went over the total.
-- Over is 6-2-1 in last nine Calgary games.
-- Over is 4-2 in last six games for both Ottawa, Vancouver.

Back-to-Back
-- None

Series records
-- Thrashers are 5-3 in last eight trips to Toronto, but lost 9-3 last time teams met, Jan 7 in Atlanta.
-- Red Wings won 3-1 in NYC in last year'smeeting.
-- Predators won their last four games against Edmonton.
-- Coyotes won their last four games against Colorado.
-- Flames lost seven of their last eight games against Chicago.
-- Home teams won both Ottawa-Vancouver games last season.
 

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Today's NBA Picks



Chicago at Portland



The Blazers look to take advantage of a Chicago team that is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games as a road favorite. Portland is the pick (+2 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Blazers favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Portland (+2 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.


MONDAY, FEBRUARY 7
Time Posted: 10:00 a.m. EST

Game 701-702: Boston at Charlotte (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 122.146; Charlotte 114.550
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 7 1/2; 188
Vegas Line & Total: Boston by 4 1/2; 183 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-4 1/2); Over

Game 703-704: Minnesota at New Orleans (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 113.375; New Orleans 119.243
Dunkel Line & Total: New Orleans by 6; 197
Vegas Line & Total: New Orleans by 8 1/2; 201
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+8 1/2); Under

Game 705-706: LA Lakers at Memphis (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Lakers 125.391; Memphis 119.365
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Lakers by 6; 199
Vegas Line & Total: LA Lakers by 3 1/2; 195 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Lakers (-3 1/2); Over

Game 707-708: Cleveland at Dallas (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 107.469; Dallas 120.787
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 13 1/2; 197
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas by 15; 203 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+15); Under

Game 709-710: Houston at Denver (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 116.295; Denver 124.625
Dunkel Line & Total: Denver by 8 1/2; 208
Vegas Line & Total: Denver by 6 1/2; 216 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Denver (-6 1/2); Under

Game 711-712: Chicago at Portland (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 121.001; Portland 122.311
Dunkel Line & Total: Portland by 1 1/2; 188
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 2 1/2; 183
Dunkel Pick: Portland (+2 1/2); Over

Game 713-714: Utah at Sacramento (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 114.591; Sacramento 119.530
Dunkel Line & Total: Sacramento by 5; 206
Vegas Line & Total: Utah by 2 1/2; 199
Dunkel Pick: Sacramento (+2 1/2); Over

Game 715-716: Phoenix at Golden State (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 117.238; Golden State 123.765
Dunkel Line & Total: Golden State by 6 1/2; 213
Vegas Line & Total: Golden State by 4 1/2; 220
Dunkel Pick: Golden State (-4 1/2); Under
 

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Las Vegas Sports Advisors

10* G.O.M ( Upgraded from 5* play on Monday )

CHICAGO BLACKHAWKS -120 NHL
 
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OUTLAW SPORT ADVISOR

Monday's plays:
$500 play - Pittsburgh +1 (NCAAB)
$400 play - Siena -4.5 (NCAAB)
$300 play - Manhattan +18 (NCAAB)
 
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WUNDERDOG (HORSE RACE)
PARX RACING (PHILADELPHIA PARK) Race #1 at 12:25 PM Eastern

Top pick: #8 (SCARY TERI) - Well bet in her debut, home-bred from the barn of Allen Iwinski showed good early speed in her only outing and pressed the pace of a filly that went wire to wire and won by just over 7 lengths. This newly turned 3-year-old has been freshened up for the past two months, draws a good post, and leading rider Carmouche climbs aboard this afternoon. The horse to beat.

2nd pick: #6 (Empire Diva) - Filly has been competitive in all five starts and will drop into a claimer for the first time and trainer Bob Reid will shorten her up in distance this afternoon. Win candidate from just off the pace.

3rd pick: #7 (Darn That Raven) - Home-bred showed some early speed when debuting here Jan. 3, facing special weights and her connections will drop her into a high-price claimer for this attempt. Needs to do a bit better.

4th pick: #5 (Nashway) - She's improved a bit in each one of her starts, races third back off a two month layoff, drops into a claimer, and wasn't that far off of "Darn That Raven" in her last start.
 

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WUNDERDOG (HORSE RACE)
PARX RACING (PHILADELPHIA PARK) Race #1 at 12:25 PM Eastern

Top pick: #8 (SCARY TERI) - Well bet in her debut, home-bred from the barn of Allen Iwinski showed good early speed in her only outing and pressed the pace of a filly that went wire to wire and won by just over 7 lengths. This newly turned 3-year-old has been freshened up for the past two months, draws a good post, and leading rider Carmouche climbs aboard this afternoon. The horse to beat.

2nd pick: #6 (Empire Diva) - Filly has been competitive in all five starts and will drop into a claimer for the first time and trainer Bob Reid will shorten her up in distance this afternoon. Win candidate from just off the pace.

3rd pick: #7 (Darn That Raven) - Home-bred showed some early speed when debuting here Jan. 3, facing special weights and her connections will drop her into a high-price claimer for this attempt. Needs to do a bit better.

4th pick: #5 (Nashway) - She's improved a bit in each one of her starts, races third back off a two month layoff, drops into a claimer, and wasn't that far off of "Darn That Raven" in her last start.

any good?
 

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SPORTSHANDICAPPERKING
(7-2 last 9 with 50 dime winner green bay last night)


10 dime Loyola Maryland +4.5


NBA Freeplay Chicago -2
 
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Prediction Machine

baskets start today
went 11-0 ats in the football playoffs

Normal plays
726 9:00 PM @ KANSAS MISSOURI -11 14.5 58.4
753 7:00 PM MISS. VAL. ST. @ ALABAMA ST. -3 5.9 57.6


weak but playable
727 9:00 PM LOUISIANA TECH @ NEW MEXICO ST. 10 -7.5 56.4
719 7:00 PM CLEVELAND ST. @ DETROIT -2 4.3 55.6
723 7:00 PM YOUNGSTOWN ST. @ WRIGHT ST. 12.5 -11.3 53.5
752 9:00 PM @ DELAWARE ST. NORFOLK ST. -3.5 4.9 53.5

53 -57% is weak but playable
57% - 62% Normal Play
62% - 65% normal 2x play
65+% normal 3x

His upset watch is PITT

His 4 unders for normal plays are
754 7:00 PM MISS. VAL. ST. @ ALABAMA ST. 135 128.5 Under 60.7
730 7:00 PM LOYOLA (MD) @ SIENA 135.5 130.0 Under 59.0
726 9:00 PM MISSOURI @ KANSAS 154.5 148.9 Under 58.3
728 9:00 PM LOUISIANA TECH @ NEW MEXICO ST. 140 135.2 Under 57.6

4 more totals weak but playable
752 9:00 PM NORFOLK ST. @ DELAWARE ST. 133 136.5 Over 55.6
736 8:00 PM AUSTIN PEAY @ TENN. TECH 146 142.4 Under 55.6
732 7:00 PM CITADEL @ UNC-GREENSBORO 142 144.2 Over 53.4
718 7:00 PM PITTSBURGH @ W. VA. 128.5 130.4 Over 53.3
 

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HRC PREMIUM NBA ACTION-February 7th

Capper: JSM Sports (Handicappers Paradise)

Play Strengths
*****************
2* Action
5* Selection (Rated)
8* Premium (Rated)
10* Diamond (Rated)
*****************

[704] New Orleans |5*|Bet A|-5|B+3|NBA TV|8:05 pm EST


note*
This is the "NBA Spread System" (3 game chase)


NBA SPREAD LOSSES- 0

A. 6 wins

B. 1 win

C.

 
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Big Al

TOP MONDAY NIGHT COLLEGE HOOPS WINNER!
Illinois Chicago +16.5

27-11 ATS MONDAY NIGHT ROADKILL WINNER!
Charolette +4.5
 

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5* Ottawa +215
3* Chicago -120

NBA
3* Dallas -14.5
 

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50unit**utah-2
50unit**laker-3.5
50unit**cleveland+15
50unit**minnasota over202
 

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