David Chang
NCB Syracuse at Louisville 7:00 PM ET under
NCB Syracuse at Louisville 7:00 PM ET Syracuse
NBA Philadelphia at Charlotte 7:00 PM ET under 177.5
NBA Miami at Milwaukee 8:00 PM ET under 201
NCB Kansas at Kansas State 9:00 PM ET over 137.5
NHL Phoenix Coyotes at Vancouver Canucks 10:00 PM ET Vancouver Canucks -174<!-- google_ad_section_end -->
NCB Syracuse at Louisville 7:00 PM ET under
NCB Syracuse at Louisville 7:00 PM ET Syracuse
NBA Philadelphia at Charlotte 7:00 PM ET under 177.5
NBA Miami at Milwaukee 8:00 PM ET under 201
NCB Kansas at Kansas State 9:00 PM ET over 137.5
NHL Phoenix Coyotes at Vancouver Canucks 10:00 PM ET Vancouver Canucks -174<!-- google_ad_section_end -->
Senior Handicapper The Real Matt Rivers of OffshoreInsiders has a pick on Monday is on Kansas (-4) to Kansas State.
Kansas State has been a dangerous team in Manhattan over the last five or so years. Even Kansas has had to watch it with the Wildcats
when traveling but Frank Martin's current group is extremely mediocre and we saw another indication of just that a few days ago in the complete implosion in Austin against an average Texas team. K State has a few big boys and some talented guys with McGruder, Henriquez, Samuels and Spradlin but losing Jacon Pullen and Denis Clemente over the last couple of seasons has left a major void in guard play and leadership which has left a team that has regressed mightily.
Bill Self's Jayhawks have grown on me in a major way. I expected this to be a rebuilding year after losing the Morris twins and a few others but it has turned out to be anything but. Thomas Robinson is a total monster and a player of the year candidate and Tyshawn Taylor can be great when he wants to be. These guys deserved to win at Missouri and then a few nights later did win easily in Waco against Baylor. I'm not saying that KU is going to win another national championship but it's not out of the realm of possibility and right now these guys are light years better than their in-state rival.
Winning on the road in such a spot is never easy and I do think we are looking at a competitive game through and through. But the Jayhawks are currently a confident and fairly well oiled machine that without a doubt should win this game and at this very cheap price become somewhat of a no-brainer.
Top expert pick on this game: Kansas
Bill Tanner has Philadelphia 76ers @ Charlotte Bobcats
On Monday night, the Philadelphia 76ers will take on the Charlotte Bobcats in a battle of two Eastern Conference teams. The 76ers are 19-9 and lead the Atlantic Division. The Bobcats are 3-24, and have the worst record in all of the National Basketball Association.
The Bobcats cannot seem to find a way to win games. Charlotte has lost 14 straight games, including a blow-out loss Saturday to the Clippers. The Bobcats are the worst offensive team in the league with just 86.3 points per game. The top scorer for Charlotte is Gerald Henderson, with 15 per game.
For Philadelphia, they continue to have an excellent season. The 76ers are coming off a road win in Cleveland on Saturday. The 76ers are led in scoring by Lou Williams, with 15.7 points per game. Philadelphia, as a team is scoring 95.8 points per game, but allowing just 86.7.
The Philadelphia 76ers have been one of the best teams in the National Basketball Association against the spread. Philadelphia is 18-9-1, while Charlotte hasn’t been very good; with a 9-18 record. Philadelphia is 6-4 on the road, while Charlotte is 2-10 at home. The Bobcats are an 11.5 point underdog, which we feel is too many. We are betting the Bobcats.
Tanners Tip: Charlotte Bobcats +11.5
From Vic Duke, who also has a historic OffshoreInsiders.com Exclusives 5-Unit play tonight: Syracuse (-3) for 2 Units **
Syracuse/Louisville 7:00: I realize the Cardinals have had the Orange's number in recent meetings (7-0 SU) but this year's Syracuse squad is the best version they've faced and poses problems. L'ville is on a hot 6-0 SU/ATS tear, but now the Cardinals take a significant step up in the Big East tier.
Syracuse, the highest scoring team in the Big East (75 ppg), is deep, takes care of the basketball and creates turnovers defensively, and is running their 2-3 zone defense at a high level. The Louisville full court press, which worked well during their six game winning run, should spin their wheels against senior PG Scoop Jardine who ranks in the top echelon of NCAA players assist turnover ratio. And the Syracuse rotation is deep with 7 productive players (7 + ppg). The Orange are #2 in the nation in turnover margin (+8) nationally. Moreover, the inside game of Syracuse will be challenging for L'ville to stop with 7' Fab Melo, 6'7" Kris Joseph and the emergence of C.J. Fair roaming the paint. Should L'ville defense pack the paint, Jardine and Waiters can surely knock down jumpers. Furthermore, the Syracuse 2-3 zone defense is playing extremely well and rotating near perfection. Surely Boeheim is well aware of what Kyle Kuric did to them the past two meetings and will adjust accordingly.
Technically, 'Cuse is a sweet 20-7 ATS on the road against teams with a home winning percentage above .600. They're also 20-7-1 ATS as a road favorite in this spread range. L'ville, however, has trouble as a home dog in this spread range at 1-6 ATS. Tonight, Boeheim should get the monkey off his back and break the losing skid to his former assistant.
Kansas State has been a dangerous team in Manhattan over the last five or so years. Even Kansas has had to watch it with the Wildcats
when traveling but Frank Martin's current group is extremely mediocre and we saw another indication of just that a few days ago in the complete implosion in Austin against an average Texas team. K State has a few big boys and some talented guys with McGruder, Henriquez, Samuels and Spradlin but losing Jacon Pullen and Denis Clemente over the last couple of seasons has left a major void in guard play and leadership which has left a team that has regressed mightily.
Bill Self's Jayhawks have grown on me in a major way. I expected this to be a rebuilding year after losing the Morris twins and a few others but it has turned out to be anything but. Thomas Robinson is a total monster and a player of the year candidate and Tyshawn Taylor can be great when he wants to be. These guys deserved to win at Missouri and then a few nights later did win easily in Waco against Baylor. I'm not saying that KU is going to win another national championship but it's not out of the realm of possibility and right now these guys are light years better than their in-state rival.
Winning on the road in such a spot is never easy and I do think we are looking at a competitive game through and through. But the Jayhawks are currently a confident and fairly well oiled machine that without a doubt should win this game and at this very cheap price become somewhat of a no-brainer.
Top expert pick on this game: Kansas
Bill Tanner has Philadelphia 76ers @ Charlotte Bobcats
On Monday night, the Philadelphia 76ers will take on the Charlotte Bobcats in a battle of two Eastern Conference teams. The 76ers are 19-9 and lead the Atlantic Division. The Bobcats are 3-24, and have the worst record in all of the National Basketball Association.
The Bobcats cannot seem to find a way to win games. Charlotte has lost 14 straight games, including a blow-out loss Saturday to the Clippers. The Bobcats are the worst offensive team in the league with just 86.3 points per game. The top scorer for Charlotte is Gerald Henderson, with 15 per game.
For Philadelphia, they continue to have an excellent season. The 76ers are coming off a road win in Cleveland on Saturday. The 76ers are led in scoring by Lou Williams, with 15.7 points per game. Philadelphia, as a team is scoring 95.8 points per game, but allowing just 86.7.
The Philadelphia 76ers have been one of the best teams in the National Basketball Association against the spread. Philadelphia is 18-9-1, while Charlotte hasn’t been very good; with a 9-18 record. Philadelphia is 6-4 on the road, while Charlotte is 2-10 at home. The Bobcats are an 11.5 point underdog, which we feel is too many. We are betting the Bobcats.
Tanners Tip: Charlotte Bobcats +11.5
From Vic Duke, who also has a historic OffshoreInsiders.com Exclusives 5-Unit play tonight: Syracuse (-3) for 2 Units **
Syracuse/Louisville 7:00: I realize the Cardinals have had the Orange's number in recent meetings (7-0 SU) but this year's Syracuse squad is the best version they've faced and poses problems. L'ville is on a hot 6-0 SU/ATS tear, but now the Cardinals take a significant step up in the Big East tier.
Syracuse, the highest scoring team in the Big East (75 ppg), is deep, takes care of the basketball and creates turnovers defensively, and is running their 2-3 zone defense at a high level. The Louisville full court press, which worked well during their six game winning run, should spin their wheels against senior PG Scoop Jardine who ranks in the top echelon of NCAA players assist turnover ratio. And the Syracuse rotation is deep with 7 productive players (7 + ppg). The Orange are #2 in the nation in turnover margin (+8) nationally. Moreover, the inside game of Syracuse will be challenging for L'ville to stop with 7' Fab Melo, 6'7" Kris Joseph and the emergence of C.J. Fair roaming the paint. Should L'ville defense pack the paint, Jardine and Waiters can surely knock down jumpers. Furthermore, the Syracuse 2-3 zone defense is playing extremely well and rotating near perfection. Surely Boeheim is well aware of what Kyle Kuric did to them the past two meetings and will adjust accordingly.
Technically, 'Cuse is a sweet 20-7 ATS on the road against teams with a home winning percentage above .600. They're also 20-7-1 ATS as a road favorite in this spread range. L'ville, however, has trouble as a home dog in this spread range at 1-6 ATS. Tonight, Boeheim should get the monkey off his back and break the losing skid to his former assistant.
Jimmy the Gent Sports Plays
ytd 45-22-1 (68% winners) Coming off yet another clean 2-0 sweep sunday with easy over in purdue, and the celtics winning outright. .., I got the whole card of Mondays cbb on tap, so i got things covered nonetheless there is something for everyone. Lets have a look :
IOWA STATE +9... there is turmoil running around in the halls of Baylor University, what has looked like a promising season in the big 12 has now drastically changed losses of 2 straight failing to score 60 points in both defeats, they now take on a Iowa State squad that is loaded with talent and can score. Iowa state is an amazing 7-2 ats AWAY from home, and they get the call tonight getting 9 points in what is really an inflated line vs a team that is 0-5 ats in last 5 games . Baylor is a horrid 1-7 l3y ats after failing to score 60 points and havent covered the spread this year or the last 3yrs when they failed in back to back games. Both teams are now tied for fourth in conference. Although Iowa state hasn't beaten Baylor in Texas in quite some time, they definately get the call tonight in what should be a much closer game than expected. With overtime a possibility, im also gonna suggest a play on the over 141. IOWA STATE AND OVER
Louisville +3 : plain and simple, one of my favorite teams (orange) coming in for a visit to louisville who is coming off a big win in west virginia, have won 6 in a row, and are getting points, when one looks deeper into the #'s you can see that Louisville is 0-6 ats after winning 6 in a row BUT they haven't lost ats when coming off a road win as a dog this year. Cuse coming off a easy victory against uconn in front of 35000 in New York will find the going much more difficult tonight in front of a raucous Cardinal crowd on national tv. louisville has owned cuse in kentucky, winners of 5 straight, and they will do it again in primetime. Petino always a preacher of defense will get it done catching a sleeping cuse team. Im also leaning heavy on the UNDER 139 in this game where cuse has been a perfect 0-5 under in all ats conference losses. LOUISVILLE AND UNDER
KANSAS STATE / KANSAS UNDER 137 : gone are the days of Kansas "overs" this team has been a wrecking ball in unders this year, and they havent gone "over" on the road this year yet, so im riding the streak. Just the fact that the total is 10 points less than what these two combine (147) is saying Vegas is trying to set folks up. I love the under in this game which fits the scenario that has mostly been my motto for monday games which is "take the under on a Monday TV game, after a heartbreaking loss on road on Saturday" ya something like that. Anyway its a proven theory that shows how kids react to losses and with discipline. Trust me if this game was played on a Saturday with at least 5 days rest the total would be at least 8 points more around 145. Kansas State has been a solid defensive team this season, allowing opponents 63.2 points on 39.7 percent shooting, including 30.6 percent from 3-point range, to go with a Big 12-best 38.4 rebounds, 16.8 turnovers forced, 6.2 steals and 4.5 blocks per game. The Wildcats have held 13 foes to under 65 points, including 10 below 60 points and three under 50 points. The team is 13-1 this season when holding an opponent below 65 points, including 10-0 when they score fewer than 60. Under head coach Frank Martin, the squad has a 42-2 (.955) record when an opponent scores less than 60 points. In Big 12 play, K-State is holding opponents to 64.8 points on 43.2 percent shooting, including 34.3 percent from 3-point range, to go with 35.1 rebounds, 16.9 turnovers forced, 6.3 steals and 3.5 blocks per game. The Wildcats have held seven foes to 65 points or less in league play. K-State ranks among the Top 50 nationally in four defensive categories, including 19th in rebounding margin, 39th in 3-point field goal percentage defense, 43rd in scoring margin and 45th in field goal percentage defense. The team places in the Big 12’s Top 5 in seven defensive categories, including first in rebounding and offensive rebounds, second in rebounding margin, third in scoring defense and field goal percentage defense and fourth in 3-point percentage defense and blocked shots. After posting a 4-5 mark in January, Kansas State will look to continue its recent success in the month of February, where the Wildcats have posted a 25-9 (.735) record under head coach Frank Martin, including a 16-2 (.889) mark at Bramlage Coliseum. The squad has won 11 consecutive games at home in the month dating back to the 2008-09 season with the only losses under Martin coming to No. 5 Texas (74-65, Feb. 25, 2008) and No. 16 Kansas (85-74, Feb. 14, 2009). The record is even better in the last four years in February, where the Wildcats are 22-4 (.846), including 13-1 (.929) at Bramlage Coliseum.
KSTATE +4 AND UNDER 137
ytd 45-22-1 (68% winners) Coming off yet another clean 2-0 sweep sunday with easy over in purdue, and the celtics winning outright. .., I got the whole card of Mondays cbb on tap, so i got things covered nonetheless there is something for everyone. Lets have a look :
IOWA STATE +9... there is turmoil running around in the halls of Baylor University, what has looked like a promising season in the big 12 has now drastically changed losses of 2 straight failing to score 60 points in both defeats, they now take on a Iowa State squad that is loaded with talent and can score. Iowa state is an amazing 7-2 ats AWAY from home, and they get the call tonight getting 9 points in what is really an inflated line vs a team that is 0-5 ats in last 5 games . Baylor is a horrid 1-7 l3y ats after failing to score 60 points and havent covered the spread this year or the last 3yrs when they failed in back to back games. Both teams are now tied for fourth in conference. Although Iowa state hasn't beaten Baylor in Texas in quite some time, they definately get the call tonight in what should be a much closer game than expected. With overtime a possibility, im also gonna suggest a play on the over 141. IOWA STATE AND OVER
Louisville +3 : plain and simple, one of my favorite teams (orange) coming in for a visit to louisville who is coming off a big win in west virginia, have won 6 in a row, and are getting points, when one looks deeper into the #'s you can see that Louisville is 0-6 ats after winning 6 in a row BUT they haven't lost ats when coming off a road win as a dog this year. Cuse coming off a easy victory against uconn in front of 35000 in New York will find the going much more difficult tonight in front of a raucous Cardinal crowd on national tv. louisville has owned cuse in kentucky, winners of 5 straight, and they will do it again in primetime. Petino always a preacher of defense will get it done catching a sleeping cuse team. Im also leaning heavy on the UNDER 139 in this game where cuse has been a perfect 0-5 under in all ats conference losses. LOUISVILLE AND UNDER
KANSAS STATE / KANSAS UNDER 137 : gone are the days of Kansas "overs" this team has been a wrecking ball in unders this year, and they havent gone "over" on the road this year yet, so im riding the streak. Just the fact that the total is 10 points less than what these two combine (147) is saying Vegas is trying to set folks up. I love the under in this game which fits the scenario that has mostly been my motto for monday games which is "take the under on a Monday TV game, after a heartbreaking loss on road on Saturday" ya something like that. Anyway its a proven theory that shows how kids react to losses and with discipline. Trust me if this game was played on a Saturday with at least 5 days rest the total would be at least 8 points more around 145. Kansas State has been a solid defensive team this season, allowing opponents 63.2 points on 39.7 percent shooting, including 30.6 percent from 3-point range, to go with a Big 12-best 38.4 rebounds, 16.8 turnovers forced, 6.2 steals and 4.5 blocks per game. The Wildcats have held 13 foes to under 65 points, including 10 below 60 points and three under 50 points. The team is 13-1 this season when holding an opponent below 65 points, including 10-0 when they score fewer than 60. Under head coach Frank Martin, the squad has a 42-2 (.955) record when an opponent scores less than 60 points. In Big 12 play, K-State is holding opponents to 64.8 points on 43.2 percent shooting, including 34.3 percent from 3-point range, to go with 35.1 rebounds, 16.9 turnovers forced, 6.3 steals and 3.5 blocks per game. The Wildcats have held seven foes to 65 points or less in league play. K-State ranks among the Top 50 nationally in four defensive categories, including 19th in rebounding margin, 39th in 3-point field goal percentage defense, 43rd in scoring margin and 45th in field goal percentage defense. The team places in the Big 12’s Top 5 in seven defensive categories, including first in rebounding and offensive rebounds, second in rebounding margin, third in scoring defense and field goal percentage defense and fourth in 3-point percentage defense and blocked shots. After posting a 4-5 mark in January, Kansas State will look to continue its recent success in the month of February, where the Wildcats have posted a 25-9 (.735) record under head coach Frank Martin, including a 16-2 (.889) mark at Bramlage Coliseum. The squad has won 11 consecutive games at home in the month dating back to the 2008-09 season with the only losses under Martin coming to No. 5 Texas (74-65, Feb. 25, 2008) and No. 16 Kansas (85-74, Feb. 14, 2009). The record is even better in the last four years in February, where the Wildcats are 22-4 (.846), including 13-1 (.929) at Bramlage Coliseum.
KSTATE +4 AND UNDER 137
Craig Davis
Monday's Plays...
30 Dime Play on the BAYLOR BEARS as the favorite against Iowa State. As I release this selectaon at 11 AM Eastern, Baylor is -9 point favorite in Vegas and offshore.
30 Dime Play on the LOUISVILLE CARDINALS as the underdog against Syracuse. Louisville is +2 1/2 point underdog at the majoriety of books offshore and in Vegas.
30 Dime Play on the KANSAS STATE WILDCATS as the underdog against Kansas. Kansas State is a +4 point underdlg at the majority of books offshore and in Vegas.
Monday's Plays...
30 Dime Play on the BAYLOR BEARS as the favorite against Iowa State. As I release this selectaon at 11 AM Eastern, Baylor is -9 point favorite in Vegas and offshore.
30 Dime Play on the LOUISVILLE CARDINALS as the underdog against Syracuse. Louisville is +2 1/2 point underdog at the majoriety of books offshore and in Vegas.
30 Dime Play on the KANSAS STATE WILDCATS as the underdog against Kansas. Kansas State is a +4 point underdlg at the majority of books offshore and in Vegas.
StatFox Super Situations - FoxSheets
NBA MIAMI at MILWAUKEE
Play On - Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MIAMI) off 2 consecutive wins against division rivals
44-17 over the last 5 seasons. ( 72.1% 25.3 units )
1-0 this year. ( 100.0% 1.0 units )
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NBA MIAMI at MILWAUKEE
Play Against - Home underdogs vs. the money line (MILWAUKEE) off a home loss, extremely tired team - playing their 5th game in 7 days
46-9 since 1997. ( 83.6% 30.1 units )
2-2 this year. ( 50.0% -2.4 units )
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NBA MIAMI at MILWAUKEE
Play Under - Road teams where the first half total is 100.5 to 105 very good shooting team - shooting >=48% on the season
120-66 since 1997. ( 64.5% 47.4 units )
5-3 this year. ( 62.5% 1.7 units )<!-- google_ad_section_end -->
NBA MIAMI at MILWAUKEE
Play On - Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MIAMI) off 2 consecutive wins against division rivals
44-17 over the last 5 seasons. ( 72.1% 25.3 units )
1-0 this year. ( 100.0% 1.0 units )
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NBA MIAMI at MILWAUKEE
Play Against - Home underdogs vs. the money line (MILWAUKEE) off a home loss, extremely tired team - playing their 5th game in 7 days
46-9 since 1997. ( 83.6% 30.1 units )
2-2 this year. ( 50.0% -2.4 units )
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NBA MIAMI at MILWAUKEE
Play Under - Road teams where the first half total is 100.5 to 105 very good shooting team - shooting >=48% on the season
120-66 since 1997. ( 64.5% 47.4 units )
5-3 this year. ( 62.5% 1.7 units )<!-- google_ad_section_end -->
