[h=1]Today's NFL Picks[/h] [h=2]Atlanta at Green Bay[/h] The Falcons (5-7 SU) head to Green Bay tonight to face a Packers team that is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games versus teams with a losing record. Atlanta is the pick (+13) according to Dunkel, which has the Packers favored by only 10. Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+13). Here are all of this week's NFL picks.
| MONDAY, DECEMBER 8 Time Posted: 11:00 a.m. EST (12/3) |
| Game 179-180: Atlanta at Green Bay (8:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 133.124; Green Bay 143.086 Dunkel Line: Green Bay by 10; 52 Vegas Line: Green Bay by 13; 56 Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+13); Under |
STATSYSTEMS SPORTS STAT/SHEETS, 12/8/14
NATIONAL BASKETBALL ASSOCIATION
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
_______________________________________
***** Monday, 12/8/14 NBA Information *****
(ALL RESULTS ATS) - Against The Spread - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Each and every day during the 2014-15 National Basketball Association season we will analyze all of your daily basketball action, featuring all our Highly-Rated (Situational & Match-up) Power Trends, along with some of our Situational Analysis (Betting Systems) that pertain to some of that days match-ups. Content contained in this report remains exclusive private property of Stat/Systems Sports. Database information may not be reused or disseminated in any form without express written consent of the publisher.
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Betting Notes – Week #7
•Hot Teams
-- Hawks won their last six games, covering five of them (3-3 AU).
-- Washington won four of its last five games (3-0 last three HF). Celtics won last three games, covered last four (3-2 AU).
-- Cavaliers won their last six games, covering four.
-- Warriors won last 12 games, covered eight of last 11.
-- Clippers won last seven games, covering six of them.
•Cold Teams
-- Pacers lost last four games, but covered five of last seven.
-- Brooklyn lost four of its last five home games.
-- Nuggets lost their last three games (2-6 AU). Toronto lost three of its last five games (0-3 last three HF).
-- Minnesota lost 13 of last 15 games (3-12 vs. spread).
-- Jazz lost their last eight games, covering two of eight (4-5 AU). Kings lost five of their last six games (2-3 HF).
-- Suns lost three of last four road games (2-3 AU).
•Totals
-- Five of last seven Hawk-Pacer games stayed under total.
-- Four of last five Boston road games went over total; four of last five Wizard games stayed under.
-- Seven of last ten Cleveland games stayed under.
-- Last five Denver games stayed under the total.
-- Ten of last thirteen Minnesota games went over.
-- 11 of last 15 Utah games stayed under the total.
-- Over is 7-2-1 in last ten Clipper games.
•Series Records
-- Pacers won three of last five visits to Indiana.
-- Celtics won nine of last twelve games with Washington.
-- Nets won six of last seven games with (Lebron-less) Cavaliers.
-- Nuggets won nine of last twelve games with Toronto.
-- Warriors won eight of last nine games with Minnesota.
-- Kings-Jazz split their last dozen games.
-- Clippers won their last four games with Phoenix.
•Back-to-Backs
-- Hawks are 2-2-1 vs. spread if they played night before.
-- Celtics are 2-0 vs. spread if they played night before. Wizards are 3-2.
-- Nuggets are 3-2 vs. spread if they played night before.
•Incredible Stat of the Day
Wizards head coach Randy Wittman is 23-8 Under in home games versus poor defensive teams (74.1%) with a shooting percent defense of less than 46% as the coach of Washington. The Wizards appeared to abandon their unselfish play in the opener of a home-and-home with the Boston Celtics and it cost them their winning streak. Wittman hopes it was only a temporary lapse. Washington seeks its fifth straight home win Monday night when it closes the set against Boston at Verizon Center.
The Wizards started slow Sunday in Boston, missing 14 of their first 18 shots and getting outscored 53-36 in the first half of a 101-93 loss. Washington trailed by 25 at one point before pulling within one on John Wall's layup with 1:12 left. They might have completed the comeback behind their usual brand of basketball, but the Wizards had just 21 assists, one of their lowest totals this season and 8.5 fewer than their average during a four-game winning streak preceding the loss. They also committed 19 turnovers after averaging 13.8 during the streak.
•Situational Trends of The Day
--BROOKLYN is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) after trailing in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was BROOKLYN 101.9, OPPONENT 91.7.
--MINNESOTA is 23-8 UNDER (+14.1 Units) in home games after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MINNESOTA 95.8, OPPONENT 96.4.
--BOSTON is 9-28 against the money line (-24.7 Units) when playing 6 or less games in 14 days over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was BOSTON 97.5, OPPONENT 104.2.
--BROOKLYN is 11-1 (+9.9 Units) against the 1rst half line after trailing in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was BROOKLYN 52.7, OPPONENT 42.5.
--UTAH is 35-13 UNDER (+20.7 Units) the 1rst half total as a road underdog versus the 1rst half line over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was UTAH 43.5, OPPONENT 50.6.
•Matchup Trends of The Day
--PHOENIX is 55-25 ATS (+27.5 Units) versus teams who make 6 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PHOENIX 107.2, OPPONENT 103.7.
--WASHINGTON is 12-3 UNDER (+8.7 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of >=46% over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was WASHINGTON 98.9, OPPONENT 92.1.
--BOSTON is 13-42 against the money line (-26.2 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was BOSTON 99.4, OPPONENT 104.1.
--PHOENIX is 29-16 (+11.4 Units) against the 1rst half line versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=36% of their attempts over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PHOENIX 53.7, OPPONENT 51.7.
--INDIANA is 42-18 UNDER (+22.2 Units) the 1rst half total versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=36% of their attempts over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was INDIANA 43.8, OPPONENT 46.4.
•Situation Analysis of The Day
--Play Against - Home teams versus the money line (MINNESOTA) - poor defensive team - allowing 99+ points/game on the season, after trailing in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half against opponent after scoring 110 points or more 2 straight games.
(24-6 over the last 5 seasons.) (80.0%, +25.3 units. Rating = 5*)
The average money line posted in these games was: Team underdog with a money line of: +130.4
The average score in these games was: Team 109.4, Opponent 99.7 (Average point differential = +9.7)
The situation's record this season is: (3-0, +5.8 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (17-4, +19.3 units).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (51-35, +19.1 units).
--Play On - Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (ATLANTA) – a good 3PT shooting team (>=36.5%) against a poor 3PT shooting team (<=33%), good ball handling team (<=14.5 TO's) against a poor pressure defensive team (<=14.5 TO's), after a blowout win by 20 points or more.
(35-11 since 1996.) (76.1%, +22.9 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is : (34-13)
The average line posted in these games was: Team favored by 0.6
The average score in these games was: Team 102.5, Opponent 98.6 (Average point differential = +3.9)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 21 (45.7% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (4-0).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (9-2).
--Play Under - All teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (GOLDEN STATE) - an average pressure defensive team (14.5-16.5 TO's) against a good ball handling team (<=14.5 TO's), after a win by 10 points or more against opponent after a combined score of 215 points or more 2 straight games.
(34-8 over the last 5 seasons.) (81.0%, +25.2 units. Rating = 4*)
The average total posted in these games was: 215.2
The average score in these games was: Team 104.6, Opponent 102.4 (Total points scored = 207)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 23 (53.5% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (27-6).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (101-60).
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Monday's Week #7 Matchups
Systems Analyst Todd Smith
#501 BOSTON @ #502 WASHINGTON - 7:05 PM
The Boston Celtics look to beat the Washington Wizards for the second time in as many days as the two teams conclude their home-and-home set in the nation's capital on Monday. The Celtics had dropped six straight home games for the first time since the 2006-07 season before reeling off three straight wins at TD Garden, including a nervy 101-93 victory over the Wizards. Boston hopes to string together its first four-game winning streak and beat Washington for the 10th time in its last 13 tries.
The Wizards had won four games in a row before their setback to the Celtics on Sunday. Washington was down by as many as 23 points in the third quarter before storming back and pulling within one late in the game, but the rally fell short and it dropped to 4-4 on the road. The Wizards return home to the comfortable confines of the Verizon Center where they look to secure their fifth consecutive win and move back ahead of the streaking Atlanta Hawks at the top of the Southeast Division standings.
•ABOUT THE CELTICS (7-11 SU, 9-9-0 ATS): Rajon Rondo collected 13 points, 13 rebounds and 11 assists versus Washington for his second triple-double of the season and the 31st of his career. Jeff Green scored a game-high 25 points against the Wizards and has poured in 25 or more in three of his last four outings. Marcus Thornton tallied a season-high 21 points on 7-of-12 shooting in a reserve role on Sunday after combining for 13 in his previous two games.
•ABOUT THE WIZARDS (13-6 SU, 9-10-0 ATS): John Wall - who recorded 17 points, 14 assists, eight rebounds and three steals in the loss to the Celtics - has handed out 54 helpers in his last four games. Paul Pierce scored 16 points on Sunday to pass Indiana Pacers legend Reggie Miller for 16th place on the NBA all-time scoring list. Rasual Butler came off the bench to knock down five of his season-high six 3-pointers in the fourth quarter to ignite Washington's late rally.
#503 ATLANTA @ #504 INDIANA - 7:05 PM
The Atlanta Hawks are roping in victories and look for their seventh straight win when they visit the Indiana Pacers on Monday. Atlanta stretched the winning streak to six by delivering a 96-84 victory over the Denver Nuggets on Sunday and now get a chance to beat the struggling Pacers for the second time this season. Indiana went 0-4 on a four-game road trip and is beginning a stretch in which four of five games are at home.
The Pacers haven’t forgotten their 102-92 loss to the Hawks on Nov. 1 and are aware of Atlanta’s array of players. “They’ve got shooters like Kyle Korver and they’ve got (Al) Horford in the paint,” Indiana guard C.J. Watson told reporters. “They rebound, they push, so it’s not just like a halfcourt team or a strictly transition team. They do a little of both and they’re pretty dangerous.” Forward Paul Millsap led the way with 23 points in Atlanta’s win over the Nuggets.
•ABOUT THE HAWKS (13-6 SU, 11-8-0 ATS): A veteran like Korver knows better than to get too excited in early December about the success or failure of a team. That includes his own squad, which is thus far exceeding the expectations most observers were placing on the team. “Every NBA game is tough, but we’ve had a favorable schedule to this point,” Korver told reporters. “We’ve gotten to play some teams that aren’t as high up in the standings as we’re going to play later.”
•ABOUT THE PACERS (7-13 SU, 12-7-1 ATS): Indiana announced Sunday that backup center Ian Mahinmi will be sidelined six to eight weeks after tearing his left plantar fascia during Friday’s loss to Sacramento. Mahinmi was providing solid defense and rebounding for the Pacers and forward Lavoy Allen will likely become the backup to center Roy Hibbert. Allen has just seven points in his last two games as his minutes were reduced when starters David West and Hibbert returned from ankle injuries.
#505 CLEVELAND @ #506 BROOKLYN - 7:35 PM
Cleveland can extend its winning streak to seven games for the first time since LeBron James' first stint with the team when it visits Brooklyn on Monday. The Cavaliers ran their current surge to six with an impressive 105-91 win at Toronto in the second half of a back-to-back set on Friday. James had 24 points and 13 assists as Cleveland's winning streak matched its longest since an eight-game run near the end of the 2009-10 season.
After surviving an overtime affair with San Antonio on Wednesday in the opener of a three-game homestand, the Nets offered little resistance in a 98-75 loss to Atlanta two nights later. Brook Lopez scored 20 points and Joe Johnson had 12 but no other Brooklyn player reached double figures. The Nets have gone 11 straight games without reaching 100 points within regulation after recording triple digits in six of their first seven contests.
•ABOUT THE CAVALIERS (11-7 SU, 8-10-0 ATS): James' 13 assists represent a season high and provides the latest example of how dangerous Cleveland can be when the superstar is distributing the basketball at an increased rate. He is averaging 10.2 assists during the winning streak, during which the Cavaliers have scored at least 105 points on five occasions. The four-time MVP has made only 4-of-20 3-pointers over the last five games but has 799 for his Cleveland career, four behind franchise leader Mark Price.
•ABOUT THE NETS (8-10 SU, 8-10-0 ATS): Lopez was the one bright spot in the loss to Atlanta but will miss at least four games due to a back strain. Brooklyn announced the injury Sunday and said that Lopez - who is averaging 19.7 points and 10.3 rebounds over his last three games - will be re-evaluated in a week. Kevin Garnett may slide to the center position while backups Mason Plumlee and Jerome Jordan figure to get a notable increase in playing time.
#507 DENVER @ #508 TORONTO - 7:35 PM
DeMar DeRozan is one of the leading scorers for the Toronto Raptors, but apparently it is his defense that the team misses the most. The Raptors will try to hold an opponent under 100 points for the first time since DeRozan went down with a groin injury when they host the Denver Nuggets on Monday. Including the game on Nov. 28 in which DeRozan was injured, Toronto has lost three of five while allowing an average of 110.6 points.
The Nuggets won seven of eight to get above .500 at 9-8 but have since dropped three straight as their offense struggles. Denver scored 101 or more points in eight straight games but failed to reach 90 in losses at Washington and Atlanta in the first two stops of a three-game trip. Wilson Chandler scored a season-high 29 points and Timofey Mozgov added 14 at Atlanta on Sunday but the rest of the starting five went 6-of-26 from the field in a 96-84 setback.
•ABOUT THE NUGGETS (9-11 SU, 8-11-1 ATS): Denver added forward Kenneth Faried to its growing injury list with a lower back strain and he sat out Sunday’s setback. J.J. Hickson moved into the starting lineup in Faried’s spot and hauled in nine rebounds but contributed only four points on 1-of-6 shooting while leaving the second unit without its primary rebounder. Ty Lawson found his way to 10 assists on Sunday but managed only four points on 1-of-10 shooting to end a string of seven straight double-doubles.
•ABOUT THE RAPTORS (15-5 SU, 12-8-0 ATS): Toronto suffered its worst loss of the season in a 105-91 home setback to the Cleveland Cavaliers on Friday and got its only positive sign from Amir Johnson, who posted a season-high 27 points on 11-of-15 shooting. "I feel like I have a little bit more bounce since I hurt myself in Orlando and it's a process," Johnson told reporters. "It's slowly getting better and better. Even though I'm still taking beatings, I feel good." Johnson was hurt on Nov. 1 and missed three games before slowly working himself back into shape and is 37-of-57 from the floor in the last six contests.
#509 GOLDEN STATE @ #510 MINNESOTA - 8:05 PM
The streaking Golden State Warriors look to remain hot and extend their franchise-record winning streak to 13 games when they visit the Minnesota Timberwolves on Monday. Golden State also will be looking for its sixth straight victory at Minnesota as well as improve on its gaudy 10-1 road mark. The Timberwolves are struggling with five straight losses and own the worst record in the Western Conference while the Warriors have the best record in the NBA.
Golden State was forecasted to have a good club but nobody was projecting it owning the top record in the league as the one-quarter pole approaches while also breaking in a first-year coach in Steve Kerr. “It’s good to have great players,” Kerr told reporters. “It’s my first job and I come into the league and inherit these guys.” Minnesota is beginning a four-game homestand and continues to play without starters Kevin Martin (wrist), Nikola Pekovic (wrist) and Ricky Rubio (ankle).
•ABOUT THE WARRIORS (17-2 SU, 13-6-0 ATS): A hamstring injury to David Lee opened the door for Draymond Green to be a starting forward and he has been superb while averaging 13.5 points per game. Despite a sprained thumb, Green set career highs with 31 points and seven 3-pointers in Saturday’s 112-102 road win over the Chicago Bulls and he’s also aware of the importance of the winning streak. “You’re talking about a franchise that was historically known for losing,” Green told reporters. “A new ownership group came in and it completely changes the entire organization. It’s a great feeling.”
•ABOUT THE TIMBERWOLVES (4-15 SU, 7-11-1 ATS): Veteran guard Mo Williams (back) has missed the past two games and rookie Zach LaVine has drawn the starts at point guard and has been up to the task by averaging 19.5 points and seven assists. LaVine had 22 points and a season-best 10 assists in Saturday’s loss to the San Antonio Spurs and displayed promise earlier this season when he scored a season-high 28 points on 11-of-14 shooting against the Los Angeles Lakers. Also seeing extended playing time because of the injuries is forward Shabazz Muhammad, who has scored 18 or more points in four of the past five games.
#511 UTAH @ #512 SACRAMENTO - 10:05 PM
The Sacramento Kings will be without their best player for at least a little longer after DeMarcus Cousins was reportedly diagnosed with viral meningitis. The Kings will try to get by with the standout center when they host the Utah Jazz on Monday. Cousins has missed the last five games and was hospitalized last week while undergoing treatment and is expected to be out another 7-10 days, according to the USA Today Sports report.
The absence of Cousins is good news for the Jazz front line of Enes Kanter and Derrick Favors, who combined for 37 points and 18 rebounds as Utah’s losing streak hit eight games in a 98-93 home loss to the Orlando Magic on Friday. “Regardless of our long-term beliefs and commitment, there’s an immediacy with losing that’s difficult,” Utah coach Quin Snyder told reporters. “We live here in the moment, and in the moment losing is no fun.” Sacramento dropped a 105-96 decision to the Magic on Saturday and has lost five of six.
•ABOUT THE JAZZ (5-15 SU, 9-11-0 ATS): Utah is building for the future around Favors, Kanter, Gordon Hayward, Alec Burks and Trey Burke, and the inconsistency from the younger players is leading to uneven play during games. The Jazz fell into a double-digit hole at the half in each of the last four games and are coming up short while trying to battle back in the fourth quarter. “We can’t hang our heads or feel sorry for ourselves because we’re going to be in these situations and we’ve got to make them work to the best of our ability,” Snyder told reporters.
•ABOUT THE KINGS (10-10 SU, 11-9-0 ATS): Sacramento was one of the surprises of the first few weeks while jumping out to a 9-5 start but the loss of Cousins is hurting the team on both ends. The Kings are surrendering an average of 106.4 points in five games without Cousins and head coach Michael Malone is tinkering with the lineup to try to get the most out of the defense. “I was in search mode,” Malone told reporters after Saturday’s loss. “I was trying to find a group that could give us some life. We played very flat, very uninspired basketball, and I was just looking for a lineup, a group that could give us some life and a spark.”
#513 PHOENIX @ #514 LA CLIPPERS - 10:35 PM
Eric Bledsoe of the Phoenix Suns hasn’t had much luck in his last two visits to Staples Center to play the Los Angeles Clippers, the team he played for his first three NBA seasons. He’ll try to turn things around Monday when the Suns visit the Clippers for the second time this season. Bledsoe missed all six of his field-goal attempts and scored one point in a 13-point loss last month, and last December suffered a knee injury in his first visit to the Clippers and missed the next 2 ½ months.
The Clippers have won seven in a row and climbed atop the league lead in field-goal percentage and 3-point field-goal percentage after shooting 52.9 and converting 14-of-29 from beyond the arc in Saturday’s 20-point win against the visiting New Orleans Pelicans. J.J. Redick has scored at least 20 points in the last three games, a first for the nine-year shooting guard, and he’s 13-for-21 from long range in that span. The Suns could be getting some relief as guard Isaiah Thomas, who averages 15.5 points, could return after missing the last six games with a right ankle injury.
•ABOUT THE SUNS (12-9 SU, 11-9-1 ATS): Goran Dragic continues to look like the player he did last season when he averaged 20.3 points and shot 50.5 percent from the floor. He averaged just over 14 points through the first 17 games but is up to 24.2 in the last four. He took a step back from his exceptional three-game stretch with 13 points on 5-for-14 shooting in Saturday’s loss to the undermanned Houston Rockets, and has struggled in 22 career games against Los Angeles, averaging 11.5 points and shooting 43.1 percent from the field.
•ABOUT THE CLIPPERS (14-5 SU, 9-10-0 ATS): One reason Bledsoe and Dragic have likely struggled against the Clippers in recent games is they spend so much energy trying to stay in front of Chris Paul. The latter scored 32 points on 10-for-13 shooting and distributed nine assists when these teams met last month, and he’s been just as solid of late, shooting 14-for-23 the last two games with 26 assists and three turnovers. Paul is on pace to lead the league in assist-to-turnover ratio for a third straight season.
_____________________________________________________
NATIONAL BASKETBALL ASSOCIATION
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
_______________________________________
***** Monday, 12/8/14 NBA Information *****
(ALL RESULTS ATS) - Against The Spread - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Each and every day during the 2014-15 National Basketball Association season we will analyze all of your daily basketball action, featuring all our Highly-Rated (Situational & Match-up) Power Trends, along with some of our Situational Analysis (Betting Systems) that pertain to some of that days match-ups. Content contained in this report remains exclusive private property of Stat/Systems Sports. Database information may not be reused or disseminated in any form without express written consent of the publisher.
_____________________________________________________
Betting Notes – Week #7
•Hot Teams
-- Hawks won their last six games, covering five of them (3-3 AU).
-- Washington won four of its last five games (3-0 last three HF). Celtics won last three games, covered last four (3-2 AU).
-- Cavaliers won their last six games, covering four.
-- Warriors won last 12 games, covered eight of last 11.
-- Clippers won last seven games, covering six of them.
•Cold Teams
-- Pacers lost last four games, but covered five of last seven.
-- Brooklyn lost four of its last five home games.
-- Nuggets lost their last three games (2-6 AU). Toronto lost three of its last five games (0-3 last three HF).
-- Minnesota lost 13 of last 15 games (3-12 vs. spread).
-- Jazz lost their last eight games, covering two of eight (4-5 AU). Kings lost five of their last six games (2-3 HF).
-- Suns lost three of last four road games (2-3 AU).
•Totals
-- Five of last seven Hawk-Pacer games stayed under total.
-- Four of last five Boston road games went over total; four of last five Wizard games stayed under.
-- Seven of last ten Cleveland games stayed under.
-- Last five Denver games stayed under the total.
-- Ten of last thirteen Minnesota games went over.
-- 11 of last 15 Utah games stayed under the total.
-- Over is 7-2-1 in last ten Clipper games.
•Series Records
-- Pacers won three of last five visits to Indiana.
-- Celtics won nine of last twelve games with Washington.
-- Nets won six of last seven games with (Lebron-less) Cavaliers.
-- Nuggets won nine of last twelve games with Toronto.
-- Warriors won eight of last nine games with Minnesota.
-- Kings-Jazz split their last dozen games.
-- Clippers won their last four games with Phoenix.
•Back-to-Backs
-- Hawks are 2-2-1 vs. spread if they played night before.
-- Celtics are 2-0 vs. spread if they played night before. Wizards are 3-2.
-- Nuggets are 3-2 vs. spread if they played night before.
•Incredible Stat of the Day
Wizards head coach Randy Wittman is 23-8 Under in home games versus poor defensive teams (74.1%) with a shooting percent defense of less than 46% as the coach of Washington. The Wizards appeared to abandon their unselfish play in the opener of a home-and-home with the Boston Celtics and it cost them their winning streak. Wittman hopes it was only a temporary lapse. Washington seeks its fifth straight home win Monday night when it closes the set against Boston at Verizon Center.
The Wizards started slow Sunday in Boston, missing 14 of their first 18 shots and getting outscored 53-36 in the first half of a 101-93 loss. Washington trailed by 25 at one point before pulling within one on John Wall's layup with 1:12 left. They might have completed the comeback behind their usual brand of basketball, but the Wizards had just 21 assists, one of their lowest totals this season and 8.5 fewer than their average during a four-game winning streak preceding the loss. They also committed 19 turnovers after averaging 13.8 during the streak.
•Situational Trends of The Day
--BROOKLYN is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) after trailing in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was BROOKLYN 101.9, OPPONENT 91.7.
--MINNESOTA is 23-8 UNDER (+14.1 Units) in home games after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MINNESOTA 95.8, OPPONENT 96.4.
--BOSTON is 9-28 against the money line (-24.7 Units) when playing 6 or less games in 14 days over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was BOSTON 97.5, OPPONENT 104.2.
--BROOKLYN is 11-1 (+9.9 Units) against the 1rst half line after trailing in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was BROOKLYN 52.7, OPPONENT 42.5.
--UTAH is 35-13 UNDER (+20.7 Units) the 1rst half total as a road underdog versus the 1rst half line over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was UTAH 43.5, OPPONENT 50.6.
•Matchup Trends of The Day
--PHOENIX is 55-25 ATS (+27.5 Units) versus teams who make 6 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PHOENIX 107.2, OPPONENT 103.7.
--WASHINGTON is 12-3 UNDER (+8.7 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of >=46% over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was WASHINGTON 98.9, OPPONENT 92.1.
--BOSTON is 13-42 against the money line (-26.2 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was BOSTON 99.4, OPPONENT 104.1.
--PHOENIX is 29-16 (+11.4 Units) against the 1rst half line versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=36% of their attempts over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PHOENIX 53.7, OPPONENT 51.7.
--INDIANA is 42-18 UNDER (+22.2 Units) the 1rst half total versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=36% of their attempts over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was INDIANA 43.8, OPPONENT 46.4.
•Situation Analysis of The Day
--Play Against - Home teams versus the money line (MINNESOTA) - poor defensive team - allowing 99+ points/game on the season, after trailing in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half against opponent after scoring 110 points or more 2 straight games.
(24-6 over the last 5 seasons.) (80.0%, +25.3 units. Rating = 5*)
The average money line posted in these games was: Team underdog with a money line of: +130.4
The average score in these games was: Team 109.4, Opponent 99.7 (Average point differential = +9.7)
The situation's record this season is: (3-0, +5.8 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (17-4, +19.3 units).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (51-35, +19.1 units).
--Play On - Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (ATLANTA) – a good 3PT shooting team (>=36.5%) against a poor 3PT shooting team (<=33%), good ball handling team (<=14.5 TO's) against a poor pressure defensive team (<=14.5 TO's), after a blowout win by 20 points or more.
(35-11 since 1996.) (76.1%, +22.9 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is : (34-13)
The average line posted in these games was: Team favored by 0.6
The average score in these games was: Team 102.5, Opponent 98.6 (Average point differential = +3.9)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 21 (45.7% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (4-0).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (9-2).
--Play Under - All teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (GOLDEN STATE) - an average pressure defensive team (14.5-16.5 TO's) against a good ball handling team (<=14.5 TO's), after a win by 10 points or more against opponent after a combined score of 215 points or more 2 straight games.
(34-8 over the last 5 seasons.) (81.0%, +25.2 units. Rating = 4*)
The average total posted in these games was: 215.2
The average score in these games was: Team 104.6, Opponent 102.4 (Total points scored = 207)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 23 (53.5% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (27-6).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (101-60).
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Your Guide To Crushing The Books In NBA/NCAAB
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___________________________________________________
Monday's Week #7 Matchups
Systems Analyst Todd Smith
#501 BOSTON @ #502 WASHINGTON - 7:05 PM
The Boston Celtics look to beat the Washington Wizards for the second time in as many days as the two teams conclude their home-and-home set in the nation's capital on Monday. The Celtics had dropped six straight home games for the first time since the 2006-07 season before reeling off three straight wins at TD Garden, including a nervy 101-93 victory over the Wizards. Boston hopes to string together its first four-game winning streak and beat Washington for the 10th time in its last 13 tries.
The Wizards had won four games in a row before their setback to the Celtics on Sunday. Washington was down by as many as 23 points in the third quarter before storming back and pulling within one late in the game, but the rally fell short and it dropped to 4-4 on the road. The Wizards return home to the comfortable confines of the Verizon Center where they look to secure their fifth consecutive win and move back ahead of the streaking Atlanta Hawks at the top of the Southeast Division standings.
•ABOUT THE CELTICS (7-11 SU, 9-9-0 ATS): Rajon Rondo collected 13 points, 13 rebounds and 11 assists versus Washington for his second triple-double of the season and the 31st of his career. Jeff Green scored a game-high 25 points against the Wizards and has poured in 25 or more in three of his last four outings. Marcus Thornton tallied a season-high 21 points on 7-of-12 shooting in a reserve role on Sunday after combining for 13 in his previous two games.
•ABOUT THE WIZARDS (13-6 SU, 9-10-0 ATS): John Wall - who recorded 17 points, 14 assists, eight rebounds and three steals in the loss to the Celtics - has handed out 54 helpers in his last four games. Paul Pierce scored 16 points on Sunday to pass Indiana Pacers legend Reggie Miller for 16th place on the NBA all-time scoring list. Rasual Butler came off the bench to knock down five of his season-high six 3-pointers in the fourth quarter to ignite Washington's late rally.
#503 ATLANTA @ #504 INDIANA - 7:05 PM
The Atlanta Hawks are roping in victories and look for their seventh straight win when they visit the Indiana Pacers on Monday. Atlanta stretched the winning streak to six by delivering a 96-84 victory over the Denver Nuggets on Sunday and now get a chance to beat the struggling Pacers for the second time this season. Indiana went 0-4 on a four-game road trip and is beginning a stretch in which four of five games are at home.
The Pacers haven’t forgotten their 102-92 loss to the Hawks on Nov. 1 and are aware of Atlanta’s array of players. “They’ve got shooters like Kyle Korver and they’ve got (Al) Horford in the paint,” Indiana guard C.J. Watson told reporters. “They rebound, they push, so it’s not just like a halfcourt team or a strictly transition team. They do a little of both and they’re pretty dangerous.” Forward Paul Millsap led the way with 23 points in Atlanta’s win over the Nuggets.
•ABOUT THE HAWKS (13-6 SU, 11-8-0 ATS): A veteran like Korver knows better than to get too excited in early December about the success or failure of a team. That includes his own squad, which is thus far exceeding the expectations most observers were placing on the team. “Every NBA game is tough, but we’ve had a favorable schedule to this point,” Korver told reporters. “We’ve gotten to play some teams that aren’t as high up in the standings as we’re going to play later.”
•ABOUT THE PACERS (7-13 SU, 12-7-1 ATS): Indiana announced Sunday that backup center Ian Mahinmi will be sidelined six to eight weeks after tearing his left plantar fascia during Friday’s loss to Sacramento. Mahinmi was providing solid defense and rebounding for the Pacers and forward Lavoy Allen will likely become the backup to center Roy Hibbert. Allen has just seven points in his last two games as his minutes were reduced when starters David West and Hibbert returned from ankle injuries.
#505 CLEVELAND @ #506 BROOKLYN - 7:35 PM
Cleveland can extend its winning streak to seven games for the first time since LeBron James' first stint with the team when it visits Brooklyn on Monday. The Cavaliers ran their current surge to six with an impressive 105-91 win at Toronto in the second half of a back-to-back set on Friday. James had 24 points and 13 assists as Cleveland's winning streak matched its longest since an eight-game run near the end of the 2009-10 season.
After surviving an overtime affair with San Antonio on Wednesday in the opener of a three-game homestand, the Nets offered little resistance in a 98-75 loss to Atlanta two nights later. Brook Lopez scored 20 points and Joe Johnson had 12 but no other Brooklyn player reached double figures. The Nets have gone 11 straight games without reaching 100 points within regulation after recording triple digits in six of their first seven contests.
•ABOUT THE CAVALIERS (11-7 SU, 8-10-0 ATS): James' 13 assists represent a season high and provides the latest example of how dangerous Cleveland can be when the superstar is distributing the basketball at an increased rate. He is averaging 10.2 assists during the winning streak, during which the Cavaliers have scored at least 105 points on five occasions. The four-time MVP has made only 4-of-20 3-pointers over the last five games but has 799 for his Cleveland career, four behind franchise leader Mark Price.
•ABOUT THE NETS (8-10 SU, 8-10-0 ATS): Lopez was the one bright spot in the loss to Atlanta but will miss at least four games due to a back strain. Brooklyn announced the injury Sunday and said that Lopez - who is averaging 19.7 points and 10.3 rebounds over his last three games - will be re-evaluated in a week. Kevin Garnett may slide to the center position while backups Mason Plumlee and Jerome Jordan figure to get a notable increase in playing time.
#507 DENVER @ #508 TORONTO - 7:35 PM
DeMar DeRozan is one of the leading scorers for the Toronto Raptors, but apparently it is his defense that the team misses the most. The Raptors will try to hold an opponent under 100 points for the first time since DeRozan went down with a groin injury when they host the Denver Nuggets on Monday. Including the game on Nov. 28 in which DeRozan was injured, Toronto has lost three of five while allowing an average of 110.6 points.
The Nuggets won seven of eight to get above .500 at 9-8 but have since dropped three straight as their offense struggles. Denver scored 101 or more points in eight straight games but failed to reach 90 in losses at Washington and Atlanta in the first two stops of a three-game trip. Wilson Chandler scored a season-high 29 points and Timofey Mozgov added 14 at Atlanta on Sunday but the rest of the starting five went 6-of-26 from the field in a 96-84 setback.
•ABOUT THE NUGGETS (9-11 SU, 8-11-1 ATS): Denver added forward Kenneth Faried to its growing injury list with a lower back strain and he sat out Sunday’s setback. J.J. Hickson moved into the starting lineup in Faried’s spot and hauled in nine rebounds but contributed only four points on 1-of-6 shooting while leaving the second unit without its primary rebounder. Ty Lawson found his way to 10 assists on Sunday but managed only four points on 1-of-10 shooting to end a string of seven straight double-doubles.
•ABOUT THE RAPTORS (15-5 SU, 12-8-0 ATS): Toronto suffered its worst loss of the season in a 105-91 home setback to the Cleveland Cavaliers on Friday and got its only positive sign from Amir Johnson, who posted a season-high 27 points on 11-of-15 shooting. "I feel like I have a little bit more bounce since I hurt myself in Orlando and it's a process," Johnson told reporters. "It's slowly getting better and better. Even though I'm still taking beatings, I feel good." Johnson was hurt on Nov. 1 and missed three games before slowly working himself back into shape and is 37-of-57 from the floor in the last six contests.
#509 GOLDEN STATE @ #510 MINNESOTA - 8:05 PM
The streaking Golden State Warriors look to remain hot and extend their franchise-record winning streak to 13 games when they visit the Minnesota Timberwolves on Monday. Golden State also will be looking for its sixth straight victory at Minnesota as well as improve on its gaudy 10-1 road mark. The Timberwolves are struggling with five straight losses and own the worst record in the Western Conference while the Warriors have the best record in the NBA.
Golden State was forecasted to have a good club but nobody was projecting it owning the top record in the league as the one-quarter pole approaches while also breaking in a first-year coach in Steve Kerr. “It’s good to have great players,” Kerr told reporters. “It’s my first job and I come into the league and inherit these guys.” Minnesota is beginning a four-game homestand and continues to play without starters Kevin Martin (wrist), Nikola Pekovic (wrist) and Ricky Rubio (ankle).
•ABOUT THE WARRIORS (17-2 SU, 13-6-0 ATS): A hamstring injury to David Lee opened the door for Draymond Green to be a starting forward and he has been superb while averaging 13.5 points per game. Despite a sprained thumb, Green set career highs with 31 points and seven 3-pointers in Saturday’s 112-102 road win over the Chicago Bulls and he’s also aware of the importance of the winning streak. “You’re talking about a franchise that was historically known for losing,” Green told reporters. “A new ownership group came in and it completely changes the entire organization. It’s a great feeling.”
•ABOUT THE TIMBERWOLVES (4-15 SU, 7-11-1 ATS): Veteran guard Mo Williams (back) has missed the past two games and rookie Zach LaVine has drawn the starts at point guard and has been up to the task by averaging 19.5 points and seven assists. LaVine had 22 points and a season-best 10 assists in Saturday’s loss to the San Antonio Spurs and displayed promise earlier this season when he scored a season-high 28 points on 11-of-14 shooting against the Los Angeles Lakers. Also seeing extended playing time because of the injuries is forward Shabazz Muhammad, who has scored 18 or more points in four of the past five games.
#511 UTAH @ #512 SACRAMENTO - 10:05 PM
The Sacramento Kings will be without their best player for at least a little longer after DeMarcus Cousins was reportedly diagnosed with viral meningitis. The Kings will try to get by with the standout center when they host the Utah Jazz on Monday. Cousins has missed the last five games and was hospitalized last week while undergoing treatment and is expected to be out another 7-10 days, according to the USA Today Sports report.
The absence of Cousins is good news for the Jazz front line of Enes Kanter and Derrick Favors, who combined for 37 points and 18 rebounds as Utah’s losing streak hit eight games in a 98-93 home loss to the Orlando Magic on Friday. “Regardless of our long-term beliefs and commitment, there’s an immediacy with losing that’s difficult,” Utah coach Quin Snyder told reporters. “We live here in the moment, and in the moment losing is no fun.” Sacramento dropped a 105-96 decision to the Magic on Saturday and has lost five of six.
•ABOUT THE JAZZ (5-15 SU, 9-11-0 ATS): Utah is building for the future around Favors, Kanter, Gordon Hayward, Alec Burks and Trey Burke, and the inconsistency from the younger players is leading to uneven play during games. The Jazz fell into a double-digit hole at the half in each of the last four games and are coming up short while trying to battle back in the fourth quarter. “We can’t hang our heads or feel sorry for ourselves because we’re going to be in these situations and we’ve got to make them work to the best of our ability,” Snyder told reporters.
•ABOUT THE KINGS (10-10 SU, 11-9-0 ATS): Sacramento was one of the surprises of the first few weeks while jumping out to a 9-5 start but the loss of Cousins is hurting the team on both ends. The Kings are surrendering an average of 106.4 points in five games without Cousins and head coach Michael Malone is tinkering with the lineup to try to get the most out of the defense. “I was in search mode,” Malone told reporters after Saturday’s loss. “I was trying to find a group that could give us some life. We played very flat, very uninspired basketball, and I was just looking for a lineup, a group that could give us some life and a spark.”
#513 PHOENIX @ #514 LA CLIPPERS - 10:35 PM
Eric Bledsoe of the Phoenix Suns hasn’t had much luck in his last two visits to Staples Center to play the Los Angeles Clippers, the team he played for his first three NBA seasons. He’ll try to turn things around Monday when the Suns visit the Clippers for the second time this season. Bledsoe missed all six of his field-goal attempts and scored one point in a 13-point loss last month, and last December suffered a knee injury in his first visit to the Clippers and missed the next 2 ½ months.
The Clippers have won seven in a row and climbed atop the league lead in field-goal percentage and 3-point field-goal percentage after shooting 52.9 and converting 14-of-29 from beyond the arc in Saturday’s 20-point win against the visiting New Orleans Pelicans. J.J. Redick has scored at least 20 points in the last three games, a first for the nine-year shooting guard, and he’s 13-for-21 from long range in that span. The Suns could be getting some relief as guard Isaiah Thomas, who averages 15.5 points, could return after missing the last six games with a right ankle injury.
•ABOUT THE SUNS (12-9 SU, 11-9-1 ATS): Goran Dragic continues to look like the player he did last season when he averaged 20.3 points and shot 50.5 percent from the floor. He averaged just over 14 points through the first 17 games but is up to 24.2 in the last four. He took a step back from his exceptional three-game stretch with 13 points on 5-for-14 shooting in Saturday’s loss to the undermanned Houston Rockets, and has struggled in 22 career games against Los Angeles, averaging 11.5 points and shooting 43.1 percent from the field.
•ABOUT THE CLIPPERS (14-5 SU, 9-10-0 ATS): One reason Bledsoe and Dragic have likely struggled against the Clippers in recent games is they spend so much energy trying to stay in front of Chris Paul. The latter scored 32 points on 10-for-13 shooting and distributed nine assists when these teams met last month, and he’s been just as solid of late, shooting 14-for-23 the last two games with 26 assists and three turnovers. Paul is on pace to lead the league in assist-to-turnover ratio for a third straight season.
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[h=1]Today's NBA Picks[/h] [h=2]Denver at Toronto[/h] The Nuggets head to Toronto tonight to face a Raptors team that is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 home games. Denver is the pick (+9) according to Dunkel, which has the Raptors favored by only 6 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Denver (+9). Here are all of today's NBA picks.
| MONDAY, DECEMBER 8 Time Posted: 8:30 a.m. EST |
| Game 501-502: Boston at Washington (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Boston 118.226; Washington 124.794 Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 6 1/2; 210 Vegas Line & Total: Washington by 9; 204 Dunkel Pick: Boston (+9); Over |
| Game 503-504: Atlanta at Indiana (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 117.511; Indiana 121.039 Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 3 1/2; 188 Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 1 1/2; 193 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Indiana (-1 1/2); Under |
| Game 505-506: Cleveland at Brooklyn (7:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 125.034; Brooklyn 117.408 Dunkel Line & Total: Cleveland by 7 1/2; 209 Vegas Line & Total: Cleveland by 5; 200 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-5); Over |
| Game 507-508: Denver at Toronto (7:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Denver 117.941; Toronto 124.628 Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 6 1/2; 220 Vegas Line & Total: Toronto by 9; 216 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Denver (+9); Over |
| Game 509-510: Golden State at Minnesota (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Golden State 124.290; Minnesota 114.328 Dunkel Line & Total: Golden State by 10; 218 Vegas Line & Total: Golden State by 13; 213 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+13); Over |
| Game 511-512: Utah at Sacramento (10:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Utah 110.059; Sacramento 122.289 Dunkel Line & Total: Sacramento by 12; 191 Vegas Line & Total: No Line Dunkel Pick: N/A |
| Game 513-514: Phoenix at LA Clippers (10:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 121.415; LA Clippers 132.365 Dunkel Line & Total: LA Clippers by 11; 219 Vegas Line & Total: LA Clippers by 7 1/2; 214 1/2 Dunkel Pick: LA Clippers (-7 1/2); Over |
WAYNE ROOT
MILLIONAIRES---GREEN BAY
Monday night football pits the Atlanta Falcons against the Green Bay Packers, two teams clinging on to first place, but two teams in very different positions. The Falcons have won three of their last four after blowing a lead against Cleveland at home just two weeks ago. Green Bay (9-3) is coming off of a huge win at home against New England, a game that many people believe might be a Super Bowl preview. The Packers started off 1-2, but they have been dominate ever since, aside a road loss to a strong New Orleans team that needed it, winning their last four and putting up over 50 points in two contests. Since the 1-2 start no team in NFL has been better and it continues as Packers roll. At home this year Green Bay has been amazing on both sides of the ball and Packers flex their muscles in early blow out. Atlanta is just not very good defensively and the offensive turnovers have not helped either. It seems that even Aaron Rodgers can't stop this scoring machine. It's like hike, throw and score no matter which team it's against. MNF in front of the packer fans will become a blowout. TAKE GREEN BAY
MILLIONAIRES---GREEN BAY
Monday night football pits the Atlanta Falcons against the Green Bay Packers, two teams clinging on to first place, but two teams in very different positions. The Falcons have won three of their last four after blowing a lead against Cleveland at home just two weeks ago. Green Bay (9-3) is coming off of a huge win at home against New England, a game that many people believe might be a Super Bowl preview. The Packers started off 1-2, but they have been dominate ever since, aside a road loss to a strong New Orleans team that needed it, winning their last four and putting up over 50 points in two contests. Since the 1-2 start no team in NFL has been better and it continues as Packers roll. At home this year Green Bay has been amazing on both sides of the ball and Packers flex their muscles in early blow out. Atlanta is just not very good defensively and the offensive turnovers have not helped either. It seems that even Aaron Rodgers can't stop this scoring machine. It's like hike, throw and score no matter which team it's against. MNF in front of the packer fans will become a blowout. TAKE GREEN BAY
[h=1]Today's NHL Picks[/h] [h=2]Pittsburgh at NY Rangers[/h] The Penguins head to New York tonight to face a Rangers team that is 4-1 in the last 5 games versus Pittsburgh. New York is the pick (-120) according to Dunkel, which has the Rangers favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: NY Rangers (-120). Here are all of today's NHL picks.
| MONDAY, DECEMBER 8 Time Posted: 9:00 a.m. EST |
| Game 51-52: New Jersey at Carolina (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: New Jersey 12.262; Carolina 10.802 Dunkel Line & Total: New Jersey by 1 1/2; 6 Vegas Line & Total: Carolina (-115); 5 Dunkel Pick: New Jersey (-105); Over |
| Game 53-54: Pittsburgh at NY Rangers (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 10.357; NY Rangers 11.958 Dunkel Line & Total: NY Rangers by 1 1/2; 5 Vegas Line & Total: NY Rangers (-120); 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: NY Rangers (-120); Under |
| Game 55-56: Florida at St. Louis (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Florida 11.367; St. Louis 12.768 Dunkel Line & Total: St. Louis by 1 1/2; 4 Vegas Line & Total: St. Louis (-200); 5 Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-200); Under |
New Jersey @ CAROLINA
CAROLINA -108 over New Jersey
OT included. The Devils have four wins in their last 16 games and that’s while they were healthy. That’s not the case right now. On the rack after their loss to Washington on Saturday are Patrick Elias, Mike Cammalleri, Martin Havlat and Travis Zajac. The Devils are on a current run of one win in their last seven games. That lone victory was an anomaly in that they scored five times on Jonathan Bernier and defeated Toronto 5-3. Take away that fluky outburst and the Devils have scored twice in their past three of their four other games. The Devils’ struggles are a direct result of very average goaltending combined with very little offense. This is a dejected team and it sure doesn’t hurt our chances that they’ve lost 20 of their past 21 shootouts should it come to that.
Carolina is a lot like Winnipeg in that their record does not match their advanced stats. What that suggests is that the ‘Canes are much undervalued and they’re likely in line for a good stretch of games very soon. Yesterday, Carolina outshot the Red Wings 35-22 and held a significant edge in play but lost 3-1. Five games ago they outshot the Penguins by that exact same amount (35-22) and won 4-2. Recently, the ‘Canes outshot San Jose 45-19 and lost 2-0. The ‘Canes rank eighth in the NHL in shots allowed per game and here are the teams just above them: Nashville, Winnipeg, Detroit, Tampa Bay, St. Louis and Minnesota. Just below in 9th 10th and 11th respectively are the Islanders, Chicago and Vancouver. There is a distinct correlation between winning and shots on net allowed and the Hurricanes have yet to benefit from their strong defensive play. Much of their struggles can be attributed to poor “puck luck”, as they are getting great chances but the puck just isn’t going in for them. Carolina has the fewest wins in the East with eight but this group is not close to being the worst team in that conference and are therefore extremely playable at this price at home. Spotting a half puck and taking back 40 cents or more is not a bad option either.
Our Pick
CAROLINA -108 (Risking 2.16 units - To Win: 2.00)
CAROLINA -108 over New Jersey
OT included. The Devils have four wins in their last 16 games and that’s while they were healthy. That’s not the case right now. On the rack after their loss to Washington on Saturday are Patrick Elias, Mike Cammalleri, Martin Havlat and Travis Zajac. The Devils are on a current run of one win in their last seven games. That lone victory was an anomaly in that they scored five times on Jonathan Bernier and defeated Toronto 5-3. Take away that fluky outburst and the Devils have scored twice in their past three of their four other games. The Devils’ struggles are a direct result of very average goaltending combined with very little offense. This is a dejected team and it sure doesn’t hurt our chances that they’ve lost 20 of their past 21 shootouts should it come to that.
Carolina is a lot like Winnipeg in that their record does not match their advanced stats. What that suggests is that the ‘Canes are much undervalued and they’re likely in line for a good stretch of games very soon. Yesterday, Carolina outshot the Red Wings 35-22 and held a significant edge in play but lost 3-1. Five games ago they outshot the Penguins by that exact same amount (35-22) and won 4-2. Recently, the ‘Canes outshot San Jose 45-19 and lost 2-0. The ‘Canes rank eighth in the NHL in shots allowed per game and here are the teams just above them: Nashville, Winnipeg, Detroit, Tampa Bay, St. Louis and Minnesota. Just below in 9th 10th and 11th respectively are the Islanders, Chicago and Vancouver. There is a distinct correlation between winning and shots on net allowed and the Hurricanes have yet to benefit from their strong defensive play. Much of their struggles can be attributed to poor “puck luck”, as they are getting great chances but the puck just isn’t going in for them. Carolina has the fewest wins in the East with eight but this group is not close to being the worst team in that conference and are therefore extremely playable at this price at home. Spotting a half puck and taking back 40 cents or more is not a bad option either.
Our Pick
CAROLINA -108 (Risking 2.16 units - To Win: 2.00)
GC: NBA Play
Monday card started the Week with the highest rated Monday night Football Play of this season. There are 2 Undefeated league wide systems that pertain to Monday night games. In the NBA The lone play is a Perfect system 5* Blowout side. Football continues to rank#1 on several leader boards. NBA play below.
On Monday night the NBA play is on the the LA. Clippers. Game 514 at 10:35 eastern. The Clippers are on a 7 game win streak and are 4-0 ats off 3 or more wins. They have covered 6 of 7 vs teams like Phoenix that allow 99 or more points per game. They fit a solid system here tonight that has cashed 83% long term and play on rested home favorites of 5 or more points that are off a home favored win and cover and scored 120 or more points, vs an opponent that scored 90 or more as a road favorites but failed to cover like the Suns. The Clippers already have a win and cover this season here vs Phoenix and the winning tem in the series has covered 15 of 16 times. Take the Clippers. The Monday night Football Double Perfect Game Of The Year takes center stage tonight. Football overall is ranked #1 for 5 straight weeks on several leader boards. In the NBA Its another 5* 100% Blowout system, similar to the one last night on Dallas. Jump on and start the week big with Most Powerful data available. For the Bonus Play take the LA. Clippers. GC
On Monday night the NBA play is on the the LA. Clippers. Game 514 at 10:35 eastern. The Clippers are on a 7 game win streak and are 4-0 ats off 3 or more wins. They have covered 6 of 7 vs teams like Phoenix that allow 99 or more points per game. They fit a solid system here tonight that has cashed 83% long term and play on rested home favorites of 5 or more points that are off a home favored win and cover and scored 120 or more points, vs an opponent that scored 90 or more as a road favorites but failed to cover like the Suns. The Clippers already have a win and cover this season here vs Phoenix and the winning tem in the series has covered 15 of 16 times. Take the Clippers. The Monday night Football Double Perfect Game Of The Year takes center stage tonight. Football overall is ranked #1 for 5 straight weeks on several leader boards. In the NBA Its another 5* 100% Blowout system, similar to the one last night on Dallas. Jump on and start the week big with Most Powerful data available. For the Bonus Play take the LA. Clippers. GC
Here are today's system bet(s):
December 8: Denver {C} bet - This is a confirmed official bet under the Exterminator system
Note that all bets labeled with {A} are bets under the original NBA system, and are not Exterminator system plays. Only bet on these game if you are able to buy 3 points at -170 odds!
All bets labeled with either {B} or {C} are Exterminator system plays. Bet a flat percentage of your bankroll as instructed in the system manual.
Since you're a member of my Exterminator system, make sure to follow the guidelines below:
- All {A} bets are not part of the Exterminator system. Unless, however, if you have the ability to buy 3 points at -170 odds, then it is strongly advisable to place a small wager on all the {A} bets with buying 3 points, up to 5% of your bankroll. This is an optional betting strategy, which has proven to be a profitable one based on my research. Buying 3 points on {A} bets has won over 65% of the time over the years, so you should bet on {A} bets if you can buy 3 points at -170 odds.
-All {B} and {C} bets are qualified under both the original NBA system as well as the Exterminator system. For the Exterminator system, bet a flat percentage of your bankroll on both {B} and {C} bets. You do not need to buy any points on these bets under the Exterminator system.
- Remember to bet on the point spread (handicap line)
- If your team is a favorite, bet on the money line. If the team is a big favorite resulting in odds that are too unfavorable for you to be comfortable with, then you can either optionally skip the series, or bet on the point spread plus 3 points as normal (only applicable under the original NBA system), but do not continue betting on the series if your team wins the game but the bet does not cover.
Always consider the injury and the best/worst road team filters. Check the injuries to ensure your team's best player isn't out. I will always make my best effort to notify you of game-changing injuries whenever I am aware of them to ensure that you don't make wagers on team that don't pass the injury filter. However, I cannot make guarantees that I will always be able to be on top of every single injury, every game, every day, at all times. Some teams may hold off on releasing relevant injury information until much later in the day. A bet will be unofficial if it does not pass the filters of the system. Ultimately as a bettor, I always strongly encourage that if there's any uncertainty about the status of your team's best player for a game that you always check on final injury updates.
Good luck,
Tony Chau, author of the best-selling Exterminator Betting System
P.S. Check out my revolutionary new service, the Sports
December 8: Denver {C} bet - This is a confirmed official bet under the Exterminator system
Note that all bets labeled with {A} are bets under the original NBA system, and are not Exterminator system plays. Only bet on these game if you are able to buy 3 points at -170 odds!
All bets labeled with either {B} or {C} are Exterminator system plays. Bet a flat percentage of your bankroll as instructed in the system manual.
Since you're a member of my Exterminator system, make sure to follow the guidelines below:
- All {A} bets are not part of the Exterminator system. Unless, however, if you have the ability to buy 3 points at -170 odds, then it is strongly advisable to place a small wager on all the {A} bets with buying 3 points, up to 5% of your bankroll. This is an optional betting strategy, which has proven to be a profitable one based on my research. Buying 3 points on {A} bets has won over 65% of the time over the years, so you should bet on {A} bets if you can buy 3 points at -170 odds.
-All {B} and {C} bets are qualified under both the original NBA system as well as the Exterminator system. For the Exterminator system, bet a flat percentage of your bankroll on both {B} and {C} bets. You do not need to buy any points on these bets under the Exterminator system.
- Remember to bet on the point spread (handicap line)
- If your team is a favorite, bet on the money line. If the team is a big favorite resulting in odds that are too unfavorable for you to be comfortable with, then you can either optionally skip the series, or bet on the point spread plus 3 points as normal (only applicable under the original NBA system), but do not continue betting on the series if your team wins the game but the bet does not cover.
Always consider the injury and the best/worst road team filters. Check the injuries to ensure your team's best player isn't out. I will always make my best effort to notify you of game-changing injuries whenever I am aware of them to ensure that you don't make wagers on team that don't pass the injury filter. However, I cannot make guarantees that I will always be able to be on top of every single injury, every game, every day, at all times. Some teams may hold off on releasing relevant injury information until much later in the day. A bet will be unofficial if it does not pass the filters of the system. Ultimately as a bettor, I always strongly encourage that if there's any uncertainty about the status of your team's best player for a game that you always check on final injury updates.
Good luck,
Tony Chau, author of the best-selling Exterminator Betting System
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