larry ness
REASON FOR PICK: My #1 NFC North Total (10*) is on Min/Chi Over at 8:30 ET. When these teams faced each other one month ago, the over/under line was 47. The game finished with 46 - a tough beat for Over bettors as there were 31 points at the half. An identical score this week will cash an Over ticket as the total is much lower. That's partly due to the game being outdoors rather than indoors. Don't make the mistake of thinking that will stop the teams from scoring though. The Over is 3-0 when the Vikings have played here the last three years. Last year's game finished with a score of 48-41 and the 2007 meeting had a score of 34-31! The Vikings have plenty of motivation to put up points as both Brett Favre and Adrian Peterson are looking to bounce back and have something to prove. The Bears haven't played on Monday night yet this season. The Vikings have though (10/05 vs. GB) and that game finished with 53 points. Both the Vikings Monday Night games finished above the total last year too. They combined with the Saints for 57 and the Packers for 43. The Vikings have also gone 15-7 to the Over when playing games with totals ranging from 35.5 to 42, 3-1 this season. The number is low and this one should also have plenty of fireworks. *10