THE DUKE SPORTS
Houston (+3) for 2 Units
Houston is still in the hunt for a playoff birth in the sluggish AFC South. They have talent, especially offensively, and because of late game collapses they're sitting at an underachieving 5-7. We'll jump on them here where they're a dangerous home dog as a sub .500 team. The Texans are 14-2 ATS at less than .500 against an opponent off a home game. And the Texans have a solid history in December at 9-1 ATS at home off a SU loss and 8-1 ATS as a sub .500 team at home against a .600 or greater team. Houston has covered 7 of their last 10 as a small home dog. Their offense is potent with Schaub surrounded by talented skill players (Andre Johnson, Arian Foster) and a pretty decent offensive line. They'll need the defense, which has been poor defending the pass all season, to step up its game tonight. Baltimore's offense has struggled in three of the last four weeks to move the ball consistently. And because of Houston's offensive potency and Baltimore's offensive inconsistency, we'll steer away from the Ravens, which are 4-11 as a road favorite, including 0-4 in this spread range. Houston is well aware of the beating the Ravens gave them the last time they hosted this matchup (41-13); tonight, we'll look for a more focused Texans team.