STAT/SySTEMS by Stan !!! GL to ALL
*** MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL ***
BALTIMORE (8 - 4) @ HOUSTON (5 - 7)
Kickoff: Monday, 8:30 p.m. EDT Line: Ravens -3, O/U 46
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With a division title still within reach and only a handful of games remaining in the regular season, the Baltimore Ravens will need to bounce back quickly from a painful loss in their last game. The Houston Texans have had a few extra days to cope with a tough and damaging defeat of their own from the previous week. The Ravens begin their healing process with Monday's visit to Reliant Stadium, where the still-contending club takes on a Texans team that's had trouble getting out of tailspin that's being going on for more than a month.
Baltimore entered last week's play in control of the AFC North race and appeared poised to distance itself from its chief competition for the division crown, the Pittsburgh Steelers, when the two bitter rivals squared off this past Sunday. The Ravens were ahead for the majority of that game and held a four-point advantage with under 3 1/2 minutes to play, but a game-changing turnover led to late touchdown that gave the Steelers an uplifting 13-10 win and sole possession of first place.
The momentum-shifting moment occurred when blitzing Pittsburgh safety Troy Polamalu sacked Ravens quarterback Joe Flacco and forced a fumble that the Steelers recovered on the Baltimore nine-yard line. Less than a minute later, Pittsburgh's Ben Roethlisberger connected with running back Isaac Redman for the go-ahead points. The Ravens now trail the Steelers by a game in the standings with just four to play in the regular season, and have one more loss within the division than their hated foes.
Baltimore is still in good position in regards to making the playoffs, presently owning a two-game lead on a three-team pack consisting of San Diego, Oakland and Miami for the AFC's second Wild Card spot. The same can't be said about the Texans. A midseason downturn that's produced five losses in a six-game span has Houston in a familiar position entering the stretch run -- on the outside looking in of the postseason picture.
The Texans, who have never advanced to the playoffs in their nine-year existence, are now two games behind surging Jacksonville for the AFC South's top spot after being dealt a 34-24 Thursday night defeat at Philadelphia in Week 13. Houston put forth a determined third-quarter rally to overcome a 10-point halftime deficit in that contest, scoring 14 unanswered points to forge ahead, but its troublesome defense surrendered two touchdowns in the final 15 minutes that sealed the team's fate.
The Texans have now allowed 29 points or more in each of the five losses during their current swoon and have held an opponent under 24 points only once this entire season. That poor track record may bode well for a Baltimore offense that's seeking to break out of a mild recent slump. The Ravens mustered just 269 total yards against the Steelers last Sunday, one week after gaining a lackluster 92 rushing yards in a 17-10 win over Tampa Bay.
• SERIES HISTORY
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The Ravens have won each of the three previous meetings between the teams, with two of those victories taking place in Houston. Baltimore handed the Texans a 23-19 setback at Reliant Stadium in 2002 and came away with a 41-13 road rout during the 2008 season. That game was initially scheduled to be played in Week 2, but was pushed back into November due to the arrival of Hurricane Ike.
Baltimore, which also posted a 16-15 home win over the Texans in 2005, has lost a game in Houston before, however, falling by a 29-13 count to the Oilers at the Astrodome in 1996. Ravens head coach John Harbaugh won his only career encounter with the Texans, while Houston's Gary Kubiak is 0-1 all-time against both Harbaugh and Baltimore.
• WHEN THE RAVENS HAVE THE BALL
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Baltimore had established itself as a powerful running team during Harbaugh's first two seasons at the helm, placing in the NFL's top five in rushing yards in both those years, but hasn't been able to achieve the same success in that area in 2010. The Ravens are averaging only 3.6 yards per carry thus far, the second-lowest figure in the league, and managed a paltry 43 yards on the ground against Pittsburgh's formidable defense last week. Baltimore did not have fullback Le'Ron McClain (64 rushing yards, 15 receptions), the lead blocker for top running back Ray Rice (844 rushing yards, 3 TD, 49 receptions), available for that game due to a sprained ankle, but he's on track to return for Monday's contest. Rice has rushed for over 100 yards just once this year after eclipsing that mark five times during a breakthrough 2009 campaign, but the third-year pro has remained an impact receiver in an offense that has plenty of proven pass-catchers for Flacco (2988 passing yards, 19 TD, 8 INT).
Offseason pickup Anquan Boldin (56 receptions, 770 yards, 7 TD) has lived up to expectations as the primary target and comes in off a 118-yard, one-touchdown display on five catches against the Steelers, while 36-year-old Derrick Mason (47 receptions, 4 TD) has continued to be a consistent performer in his 14th NFL season. Flacco likely won't have trusty tight end Todd Heap (37 receptions, 5 TD) at his disposal after injuring a hamstring in the Pittsburgh game, which should present an opportunity for promising rookie Ed Dickson (8 receptions) and may mean an increased role for third receiver T.J. Houshmandzadeh (21 receptions, 2 TD) as well.
Flacco should have a chance to atone for a shaky showing last week with an inviting matchup against Houston's porous pass defense. The Texans have permitted an NFL-worst average of 287.4 yards per game through the air as well as 27 passing touchdowns, which also sits at the bottom of the league rankings. A young secondary in which cornerbacks Glover Quin (63 tackles, 3 INT, 12 PD) and Kareem Jackson (54 tackles, 2 INT, 9 PD) have undergone a baptism by fire hasn't gotten a whole lot of support from a pass rush that's generated only 19 sacks on the year and lacks a reliable complement to standout end Mario Williams (28 tackles, 8.5 sacks), who's still been a force despite constantly drawing double teams.
The Texans have been solid against the run in spite of a crippling season-ending injury to Pro Bowl middle linebacker DeMeco Ryans in mid-October, rating 10th overall in that category (101.4 ypg) and limiting Tennessee to a meager 24 rushing yards in a shutout win two weeks back. Houston does sport the NFL's 2009 Defensive Rookie of the Year in strongside starter Brian Cushing (53 tackles), while strong safety and leading stopper Bernard Pollard (90 tackles, 1 sack) adds a hard-hitting presence from his position.
• WHEN THE TEXANS HAVE THE BALL
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Houston's obvious strong suit comes from this side of the ball, as an offense that's seventh in the NFL in both total yards (373.0 ypg) and rushing (130.5 ypg) contains a pair of difference-makers in running back Arian Foster (1230 rushing yards, 50 receptions, 15 total TD) and wide receiver Andre Johnson (71 receptions, 1018 yards, 5 TD). Foster comes in as the league's leading ground- gainer and is averaging a robust 5.0 yards per attempt in a terrific sophomore year, while his 15 touchdowns are already a franchise best for a single season. A lingering ankle injury has yet to slow down Johnson, as evidenced by the 149 receiving yards on six catches he put up against the Eagles in Week 13, and the physically-imposing wideout serves as the clear-cut go-to guy for quarterback Matt Schaub (3089 passing yards, 17 TD, 8 INT).
The Texans have had some trouble defining a steady secondary option in the passing game, with Foster ranking second on the team in catches and receiving yards (479), but this week's anticipated return of sure-handed tight end Owen Daniels (16 receptions) from a five-game absence due to a hamstring strain could provide a safe outlet for the accurate Schaub, who's completing passes at a 64 percent rate and put up 337 yards and two scores in the Philadelphia loss.
Foster could find the yards a little tougher to come in this week's test against a nasty Baltimore defense that stands sixth in the NFL versus the run (97.8 ypg) and yielded a scant 54 rushing yards to the Steelers last Sunday. As always, the charge has been headed up by iconic inside linebacker Ray Lewis (108 tackles, 2 sacks, 2 INT), who's on his way towards another Pro Bowl season that's been aided by the stout presence up front from mammoth interior lineman Haloti Ngata (54 tackles, 5.5 sacks).
Those two help form an excellent front seven that fields another outstanding playmaker in outside linebacker Terrell Suggs (55 tackles, 9 sacks), the team's best pass rusher who was a one-man wrecking crew against Pittsburgh, compiling 1 1/2 sacks and five quarterback pressures in a stellar individual effort. One more star exists in the secondary, where six-time All-Pro free safety Ed Reed (18 tackles, 4 INT, 9 PD) patrols a backfield that's helped the Ravens rank sixth overall in pass efficiency defense. Baltimore's stop unit has been playing its best ball over the season's second half, having held four of its last five opponents to 13 or fewer points.
• PREGAME NOTES
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The 8-4 Ravens have a comfortable two-game lead for the sixth and final playoff spot in the AFC, but head coach John Harbaugh isn’t pleased with the progress of the offense, particularly the play of QB Joe Flacco. Making matters worse, star tight end Todd Heap likely won’t be able to play because of a severe hamstring pull. Meanwhile, the Texans have dumped five of their last six games. Betrayed by their struggling defense, they’ve lost second-half leads in their last four defeats to San Diego, Jacksonville, the New York Jets and Philadelphia.
Seeking clarity, we consulted with our powerful database, only to find out both outfits own some strong numbers for this Prime-Time scuffle. Baltimore is 9-1 ATS in December off a SU favorite loss, 4-1 ATS in their last five MNF appearances and coach Harbaugh has gone 5-1 ATS in the last four games of the regular season versus non-division opponents. But Houston coach Kubiak happens to be 8-2 ATS home, including 5-0 ATS off a loss during the final four games of season. The Texans are also 8-1 ATS as dogs off an NFC battle.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Baltimore by 3; O/U 44
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Baltimore -2.5
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Baltimore -2.56
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
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--HOUSTON is 2-11 ATS (-9.9 Units) vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 61% or better. over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was HOUSTON 22.6, OPPONENT 27.1 - (Rating = 3*)
--BALTIMORE is 20-6 ATS (+13.3 Units) versus good rushing teams - averaging >=130 rushing yards/game in the second half of the season since 1992.
The average score was BALTIMORE 18.3, OPPONENT 16.5 - (Rating = 3*)
--BALTIMORE is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was BALTIMORE 32.1, OPPONENT 11.9 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
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--BALTIMORE is 18-3 UNDER (+14.6 Units) in road games after gaining 75 or less rushing yards last game since 1992.
The average score was BALTIMORE 14.2, OPPONENT 14.7 - (Rating = 3*)
--BALTIMORE is 16-5 UNDER (+10.5 Units) against AFC South division opponents since 1992.
The average score was BALTIMORE 15.5, OPPONENT 19.5 - (Rating = 2*)
--BALTIMORE is 11-2 UNDER (+8.8 Units) in road games vs. poor passing defenses - allowing 235 or more passing yards/game since 1992.
The average score was BALTIMORE 13.6, OPPONENT 18.4 - (Rating = 2*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
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--HOUSTON is 11-1 against the 1rst half line (+9.9 Units) as a home underdog of 1.5 points or less vs. the 1rst half line since 1992.
The average score was HOUSTON 15.5, OPPONENT 8.8 - (Rating = 3*)
--BALTIMORE is 10-23 against the 1rst half line (-15.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing >=350 yards/game since 1992.
The average score was BALTIMORE 9.1, OPPONENT 9.8 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
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--HOUSTON is 16-2 OVER (+13.6 Units) the 1rst half total in home games vs. poor punt return teams, less than 7.5 yards per return since 1992.
The average score was HOUSTON 12.1, OPPONENT 12.6 - (Rating = 3*)
--BALTIMORE is 32-14 OVER (+16.4 Units) the 1rst half total after a loss by 6 or less points since 1992.
The average score was BALTIMORE 11.4, OPPONENT 11.6 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
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--PLAY OVER - Road teams where the first half total is between 21.5 and 24.5 (BALTIMORE) - after failing to cover the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games, in the last 4 weeks of the regular season.
(28-5 over the last 5 seasons.) (84.8%, +22.5 units. Rating = 4*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 22.5
The average first half score in these games was: Team 12.3, Opponent 15.8 (Total first half points scored = 28.1)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (13-2).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (37-17).
Since 1983 the situation's record is: (60-37).
--PLAY ON - Road teams (BALTIMORE) - average rushing team (95-125 RY/G) against an average rushing defense (95-125 RY/G) after 8+ games, after gaining 75 or less rushing yards last game.
(25-5 over the last 5 seasons.) (83.3%, +19.5 units. Rating = 4*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (21-10 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 3.9
The average score in these games was: Team 21.8, Opponent 17.7 (Average point differential = +4.1)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 15 (48.4% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (1-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (8-2).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (41-25).
Since 1983 the situation's record is: (90-78).
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*** NY GIANTS (8 - 4) vs. MINNESOTA (5 - 7) ***
Kickoff: Monday, 7:20 p.m. EDT Line: NY -4, O/U 43.5
Site: Ford Field Detroit, Michigan
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The two straight victories the Minnesota Vikings have delivered following a change in leadership have indeed been impressive, albeit far less so than Brett Favre's incredible run of 297 consecutive starts. The Vikings are hoping both streaks can continue this week, when the revitalized team tangles with the NFC East co-leading New York Giants from Ford Field. Though still a longshot for a return postseason trip, Minnesota is 2-0 since replacing the unpopular Brad Childress with Leslie Frazier as head coach following a forgettable 34-3 home loss to rival Green Bay on Nov. 21. It's the first time the disappointing Vikings have put together back-to-back victories this season, and the defending NFC North champions seem to have displayed both a renewed energy and camaraderie with the necessary switch.
The most one-sided of the Vikings' five 2010 wins came this past Sunday, a 38-14 shellacking of downtrodden Buffalo that marked the club's highest scoring output of the year. That eruption of points was even more noteworthy due to the fact that Favre spent the majority of the game on the sidelines after the legendary quarterback was forced to exit with a shoulder injury on the opening series after taking a hard blind-side hit from Bills' linebacker Arthur Moats. An MRI taken last Monday revealed a sprained SC joint in Favre's throwing shoulder, and he sat out this week's early practice sessions while experiencing considerable discomfort and a limited range of motion. All those factors have raised the possibility that the three-time league MVP may not be under center on for the first time since Sept. 27th, 1992, Favre's second professional season and first as a member of the Green Bay Packers.
If the 41-year old, whose status likely won't be determined until game time, is unable to go, the Vikings will turn the offense over to one-time starter Tarvaris Jackson. The athletic former Childress protégé produced mixed results after taking over in the Buffalo game, throwing three interceptions but connecting on a pair of touchdown passes to wide receiver Sidney Rice while completing 15 of his 23 attempts. Favre isn't the only valued member of the Minnesota offense who's questionable to play, as dynamic wideout Percy Harvin dealt with a recurrence of migraine headaches that also kept him out of last Sunday's triumph during the week and is considered a game-time decision as well.
The Giants enter this clash with some injury issues of their own, though they've received mostly positive news regarding their ailing players in recent days. Wide receivers Steve Smith (pectoral tear) and Hakeem Nicks (leg), who have missed the team's last four and two outings, respectively, returned to practice this week and appear on track to suit up on, while offensive tackle David Diehl is also expected to return from a four-game absence caused by a partially torn hamstring.
New York was able to withstand its depleted receiving corps by utilizing a run-based approach in its Week 13 matchup with Washington, and wound up steam- rolling the disinterested Redskins by a 31-7 score behind a combined 200 rushing yards and four touchdowns from the backfield tandem of Brandon Jacobs and Ahmad Bradshaw. The win was the second in a row for the Giants and kept Big Blue tied with Philadelphia atop the NFC East standings. New York will host the Eagles in a critical divisional showdown next week.
• SERIES HISTORY
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Minnesota has a 13-8 advantage in its all-time regular-season series with the Giants and has defeated New York at the Metrodome in each of the past two years. The Vikings walloped the Giants by a 44-7 count in the 2009 regular- season finale and came through with a 20-19 decision during Week 17 of the previous campaign, though Big Blue rested many of its key starters for all or part of that game in preparation for the playoffs. That result snapped a three-game winning streak for New York in Minnesota, with the Giants posting victories there in 2002, 2003 and 2004. The Vikings subsequently won at Giants Stadium in 2005 and 2007.
The Giants own a 2-1 edge over Minnesota in the postseason, including a 41-0 home blowout of the Vikings in the 2000 NFC Championship. New York also won an NFC First-Round playoff tilt at home versus Minnesota in 1993, and lost an opening-round bout with the Vikes at Giants Stadium in 1997. Giants head coach Tom Coughlin is 2-5 against the Vikings during his career, registering a 1-4 record since coming to New York in 2004 and a 1-1 mark during his prior stop in Jacksonville. Frazier will be taking on both the Giants and Coughlin for the first time since his recent promotion.
• WHEN THE GIANTS HAVE THE BALL
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New York's offense can be a very difficult one to keep in check when all its parts are in place and operating in sync, as evidenced by the team's No. 5 overall ranking in both total yards (384.6 ypg) and scoring (25.7 ppg). Besides the injuries, the Giants' biggest problem as often been a tendency to stop themselves, having committed a league-worst 31 turnovers that includes 17 interceptions thrown by quarterback Eli Manning (2982 passing yards, 23 TD, 17 INT). That hasn't been as much as issue the past two weeks due to the heavy emphasis on a ground attack that's churning out an average of 142.9 yards per game, with both Bradshaw (1013 rushing yards, 7 TD, 33 receptions) and the powerful Jacobs (577 rushing yards, 7 TD) having been very effective in a timeshare.
The two backs have benefited by the work up front from a line that hasn't allowed a sack in a club-record five straight contests despite having been without Diehl and Pro Bowl center Shaun O'Hara for the majority of that period. The impending return of the physical Nicks (62 receptions, 800 yards, 9 TD) and the savvy Smith (47 receptions, 3 TD) should greatly bolster a receiving group that's relied heavily on inconsistent wideout Mario Manningham (43 receptions, 5 TD) and tight end Kevin Boss (26 receptions, 3 TD) as of late.
Frazier's promotion seems to have had the most impact on the elevated defensive coordinator's charges, as the Vikings have been a shutdown operation on that side of the ball in his two games in charge. After holding Washington to a paltry 216 total yards and generating four sacks in a Week 12 win, Minnesota yielded a mere 239 yards and had a season-best five takeaways against the Bills. The charge has been led by end Jared Allen (46 tackles, 8.5 sacks), with the premier pass rusher on a five-week tear in which he's amassed 7 1/2 sacks and forced a fumble, and the run defense has been superb as well during that stretch.
The Vikings are permitting just 92.0 rushing yards per game (4th overall) and 3.6 yards per attempt, mostly due to the performance of a stout interior core that features two Pro Bowl tackles in Kevin Williams (25 tackles, 1 sack) and Pat Williams (23 tackles) and a quality middle linebacker in E.J. Henderson (80 tackles, 1 sack, 3 INT). Minnesota has been somewhat suspect in the secondary, however, and may not have second-leading sacker Ray Edwards (24 tackles, 5.5 sacks) available for a second straight week due to a high ankle sprain, so opportunities may exist for Manning and his pass- catchers.
• WHEN THE VIKINGS HAVE THE BALL
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Regardless of whether Favre (2446 passing yards, 10 TD, 18 INT) drags his ailing and aging body out for another go-around or if it's Jackson (223 passing yards, 3 TD, 3 INT) calling the shots, expect the Vikings to give New York a heavy dose of Adrian Peterson (1123 rushing yards, 33 receptions, 12 total TD) come Sunday. The NFC's leading rusher abused Buffalo for 107 yards and three touchdowns on only 16 carries last week despite dealing with a sprained ankle, and with rookie understudy Toby Gerhart (216 rushing yards, 16 receptions) hobbled by a gimpy hamstring, expect Peterson to see an increase from his Week 13 workload.
Harvin's (51 receptions, 5 total TD) possible absence may be offset by the return to form from Rice (9 receptions, 2 TD), a 1,300-yard receiver in 2009 who compiled 105 yards and two scores on five catches in just his third game back from offseason hip surgery. He's the lone healthy standout of an otherwise pedestrian allotment of passing-game targets, though tight end and ex-Giant Visanthe Shiancoe (35 receptions, 2 TD) is a solid safety valve underneath. Like its opponent this week, Minnesota has been plagued by miscues throughout the season, owning a troubling minus-11 turnover ratio that's tied for worst in the NFL. The quarterbacks have been the primary culprits for that poor margin, with Favre and Jackson having combined for 21 interceptions.
Though the Giants stand seventh in the league in run defense (98.0 ypg), they were gashed for 207 rushing yards in a narrow win over Jacksonville two weeks back, so it's imperative that players such as linebackers Michael Boley (67 tackles, 1 sack) and Jonathan Goff (53 tackles, 0.5 sacks) and tackle Barry Cofield (43 tackles, 3 sacks) win their battles and tackle well to prevent the dangerous Peterson from going wild on Sunday. New York's goal will be to put the Vikings into obvious throwing situations in order to unleash a slew of strong pass rushers that have teamed up for 36 sacks, tied for the third-most in the NFL.
Ends Osi Umenyiora (38 tackles, 9 sacks) and Justin Tuck (59 tackles, 8.5 sacks) are tremendous disrupters who have forced an eye-opening 14 fumbles between them, while 2010 first-round pick Jason Pierre-Paul (22 tackles, 4 sacks) has racked up a pair of two-sack efforts over the past couple of weeks. The Giants' knack for creating pressure is a big reason why they've surrendered the second-least passing yards this season (192.8 ypg), though the steady play of cornerbacks Terrell Thomas (70 tackles, 5 INT, 17 PD) and Corey Webster (42 tackles, 3 INT, 8 PD) has helped as well.
• PREGAME NOTES
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We know that the 5-7 Vikings are not in the playoff hunt, but you can bet that the Giants would like to squash any of that talk. Minnesota has won the last four meetings in the series and handed the Giants season-ending losses each of the last two regular seasons, including a 44-7 embarrassment last year that denied the G-Men a winning campaign. Despite the recent run, don’t forget that the Purple People Eaters are 0-6 SU and ATS in this matchup when entering off back-to-back straight up wins.
It would also be wise to remember that the Vikings are 0-5 ATS before facing the Bears when taking on a foe off a straight up victory, and that head coach Tom Coughlin’s road warriors are 13-2 SU and 14-1 ATS away off a straight up win versus a non-divisional opponent off a non-division confrontation. While it appears that the Vikings are breathing fresh air under Frazier, a word of caution: both of Minnesota’s wins under his lead have been against teams (Washington, Buffalo) that are 7-17 SU this season.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - New York by 4.5; O/U 45
*STAN'S POWER LINE - New York -4
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - New York -3.69
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
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--MINNESOTA is 2-11 ATS (-10.0 Units) in road games off a home win over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MINNESOTA 21.3, OPPONENT 26.8 - (Rating = 2*)
--MINNESOTA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) as an underdog this season.
The average score was MINNESOTA 14.5, OPPONENT 26.2 - (Rating = 2*)
--NY GIANTS are 51-23 ATS (+25.5 Units) after outrushing opponent by 75 or more yards last game since 1992.
The average score was NY GIANTS 21.3, OPPONENT 19.2 - (Rating = 4*)
--NY GIANTS are 29-10 ATS (+17.8 Units) in road games vs. excellent punt coverage teams, allowing <= 7.5 yards per return since 1992.
The average score was NY GIANTS 22.1, OPPONENT 20.1 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
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--MINNESOTA is 32-11 OVER (+19.7 Units) in road games vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 61% or better since 1992.
The average score was MINNESOTA 23.3, OPPONENT 28.7 - (Rating = 3*)
--MINNESOTA is 42-21 OVER (+18.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
The average score was MINNESOTA 21.6, OPPONENT 26.1 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
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--MINNESOTA is 16-31 against the 1rst half line (-17.0 Units) in road games after a win by 10 or more points since 1992.
The average score was MINNESOTA 11.0, OPPONENT 14.1 - (Rating = 3*)
--NY GIANTS are 44-24 against the 1rst half line (+17.9 Units) in road games off a division game since 1992.
The average score was NY GIANTS 11.1, OPPONENT 10.2 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
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--MINNESOTA is 34-13 OVER (+19.5 Units) the 1rst half total in road games after 2 or more consecutive wins since 1992.
The average score was MINNESOTA 13.8, OPPONENT 13.2 - (Rating = 3*)
--NY GIANTS are 9-0 OVER (+9.0 Units) the 1rst half total in road games vs. poor kickoff coverage teams, allowing >= 24 yards per return over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NY GIANTS 14.6, OPPONENT 23.4 - (Rating = 5*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
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--PLAY ON - Favorites (NY GIANTS) - off a win against a division rival, when playing on Monday night.
(50-18 since 1983.) (73.5%, +30.2 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is : (57-12)
The average line posted in these games was: Team favored by 5.6
The average score in these games was: Team 27, Opponent 16.5 (Average point differential = +10.5)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 33 (50% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (5-1).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (10-2).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (27-8).
--PLAY OVER - Any team where the first half total is between 21.5 and 24.5 (MINNESOTA) - after failing to cover the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games, in the last 4 weeks of the regular season.
(50-18 over the last 5 seasons.) (73.5%, +30.2 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 22.4
The average first half score in these games was: Team 12.4, Opponent 13.5 (Total first half points scored = 25.9)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (23-10).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (72-45).
Since 1983 the situation's record is: (116-83).
